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The cryosphere
is the ice mass of our planet.
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The ice sheets, permafrost
and water ice of the poles.
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A moderator of ocean and
atmospheric temperatures,
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a sun reflector, the
cryosphere is an integral part
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of this planet's cooling system.
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Climate change is shrinking the icecaps,
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and it's a runaway effect.
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Our world is warming.
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The oceans are rising, and we need
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to do something about it.
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Of all the freshwater on Earth,
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99% is stored in ice sheets,
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the large frozen masses
that form over land.
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As climate changes, melting ice sheets
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can contribute to rising sea levels,
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which can place vulnerable cities
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around the world in jeopardy.
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From the South Pole to Greenland,
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from Alaska's glaciers to Svalbard,
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NASA's Operation Icebridge covered
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the icy regions of our planet in 2017,
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with a record seven
separate field campaigns.
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The mission of Icebridge, NASA's longest
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running airborne science
program monitoring polar ice,
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is to collect data on changing ice sheets,
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glaciers and sea ice,
and maintain continuity
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of measurements between
ICESat's satellite mission.
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World-renowned leading climate scientist
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and astronaut Dr. Piers Sellers
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was director of the Earth
Science Division at NASA-Goddard.
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Having seen Earth from space
on three shuttle flights
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and six EVAs, Dr. Sellers
was deeply concerned
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for the future of our climate.
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- Now, Icebridge is probably
one of the most important
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field campaigns we have running right now.
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The world is warming,
and it's warming faster
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in the north, around the
Arctic, than anywhere else,
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by a factor of two and a half.
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It's two and a half times
increase in warming here
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compared to the global average.
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So this is where it's all happening.
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And as a consequence,
the ice is melting fast.
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It's melting on the Arctic Ocean,
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and the ice mass on top of Greenland
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is melting and falling into the Atlantic.
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So we're mapping that using aircraft
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and satellites where we can.
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And of course we've got
people on the ground,
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checking against these data as well.
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So this is ground zero for global warming.
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We're doing a lot of work here,
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we put a lot of effort into it.
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And I think it's paying off
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in terms of improved understanding.
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Operation
Icebridge began in 2009,
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and continues to fly
aircraft through the region
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with advanced sensing equipment
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and coordinated land
traverses by scientists
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to ensure accuracy of satellite data.
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Now in conjunction with
the European Space Agency,
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they coordinate and share
data with additional
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satellite assets which fly
identical science instruments.
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Just why are the icecaps melting?
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Because of the so-called greenhouse gases,
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carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide,
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and fluorinated gases in the atmosphere.
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Together, they heat up the
atmosphere by trapping energy.
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While CO2 has always been part
of the atmospheric makeup,
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it has changed since the
Industrial Revolution.
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- In the preindustrial
age, the CO2 response
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to temperature was that the temperature
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would go up and CO2 would go up.
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And so if the temperature
went down, CO2 would go down.
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And the reason for that is
when the temperature went up,
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the whole biosphere
revved up and emitted CO2.
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And we had more CO2 in the atmosphere.
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So we understand that process.
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The problem for the science community
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is in the postindustrial age,
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the CO2 rises preceding
the temperature rise.
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So two different things happened.
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One preindustrial, where
temperature was driving the CO2.
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Postindustrial, where the
CO2 is driving temperature.
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Which means a completely
different physical,
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biological process is going on.
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And we don't understand
what the consequence
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of that change is, it
is a fundamental change
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to how the earth works, and how earth's
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radiation balance works.
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And so since we don't understand
that, we're very concerned.
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Because we don't see any restraining force
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on continued increase in temperature
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due to continued increase in CO2.
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And that's a problem.
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Warmth
tipped the scales again,
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with the hottest October on record.
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But also the fourth hottest
year to date for the globe,
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according to a fresh
analysis by scientists
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at NOAH's National Center for
Environmental Information.
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Generating longterm datasets is extremely
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important when studying climate.
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So to maintain continuity,
a new generation
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of Earth observation
satellites are coming online.
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ESA have deployed Aeolus,
METOP Three, Sentinel C,
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and NASA have launched ICESat-2, the JSSC,
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and the Follow-On GRACE missions.
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All of these satellites
have one instrument
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in common that measures altitude.
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- A radar altimeter is
a beautiful instrument
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because it measures almost
everything we need on the planet.
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It measures the height of the sea,
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the height of the icecaps, but
also we can use it to measure
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the heights of lakes and rivers,
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even derive river discharge.
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METOP-C, the
third in the METOP program,
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carries no fewer than 13
observational instruments.
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Some are identical to
NOAH's suite of satellites.
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- We have 10 instruments aboard METOP,
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it was a very large platform.
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And these instruments are also provided
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by different organizations.
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We have a set of instruments
provided by NOAH-NASA.
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We have instruments provided by CNSA.
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We have brought instruments
that are procured by ESA,
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and some other instruments
which are procured by EUMETSAT.
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- So METOP-C is the last
satellite of a cooperation program
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that we had with NOAH in the United States
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as part of what we called the
Initial Joint Product System.
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So in 1998, EUMETSAT and NOAH signed
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this cooperation agreement,
where three European satellites,
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or three METOP satellites were
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corresponding to three US satellites.
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And for these satellites,
we share instruments
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so that the user gets
information from both satellites,
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the same types of information.
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So we tried to create synergies
between the US and Europe,
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more benefits to our user.
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- We didn't expect that
we'd be able to measure
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sea level to just a few
millimeters every 10 days.
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And having such accurate
measurements for 25 years
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that it's monitored sea level rise.
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And even perhaps detect an acceleration
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in the sea level record.
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And that was something that
wasn't envisioned 25 years ago.
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But as the technology has
gotten more and more accurate,
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we've been able to make more and more
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accurate measurements of sea level.
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And so we can be even more
confident in our results.
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Combined with, we have
other observing systems
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other than altimetry, we
have a gravity mission,
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called GRACE, where every
month we weigh the ocean.
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And we have robots that
float throughout the sea,
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about 3,000 to 4,000
that take the temperature
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of the ocean every few days.
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So when we add up the results we get
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from the gravity mission, where we weigh,
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and where the ARGO floats,
where we take the temperature,
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we get almost exactly the same answers
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that we'll get from the radar altimeters,
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to within a few millimeters.
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So we're very confident in our results
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that we're seeing 25
years of sea level rise
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of about three millimeters per year.
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Which doesn't sound like
a lot, but as we see it
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starting to increase year after year,
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we know that acceleration
will be very devastating
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for coastal communities
all over the world.
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AEOLUS, ESA's
newest Earth explorer satellite,
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with which the agency
will measure wind profiles
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from space with laser technology.
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- At the moment, we have
a very poor understanding
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of how the wind is around the globe.
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And we need more knowledge about that.
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But that's the information
you need to start.
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You need to have a picture
of how is the weather now
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to be able to predict how is
the weather in the future.
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- AEOLUS is a relatively short mission
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to demonstrate the
potential of the Doppler
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wind light air in space.
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And once we can demonstrate
that actually it's made a decent
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impact on the numerical
weather prediction forecast,
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then hopefully we can have an
operational follow-on mission,
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or maybe several satellites in tandem,
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rather than one just satellite.
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It's not just wind information, actually,
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you need to also known
temperature information,
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pressure and humidity information.
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But the winds are a key
component of that information
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that you need to know right now
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to work out the weather in the future.
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Sentinel-3A
was launched in 2016,
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and 3B in 2018.
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Both satellites primarily
focus on our oceans.
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They measure the
temperature, color and height
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of the sea surface, as
well as sea ice thickness.
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These measurements are
needed to study changes
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in sea level, marine pollution
and biological productivity.
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Sentinel-3A has already
yielded interesting results.
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- The Sentinel-3 mission was actually
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quite a versatile mission
in the sense that it serves
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a large variety of different
Copernicus services.
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So we're not just working with
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the Marine Environment Service,
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we're also working with the
land, with the atmosphere,
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and with the Climate Service.
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There's a large variety of data
that we can actually supply.
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The Marine Service is probably the most
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developed for the moment.
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It's already using data over the ocean,
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in particular the ocean color data,
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which tells us something
about the marine ecosystem,
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about the health of the
sea, and can basically
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also predict something
like harmful alga blooms.
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Snow cover gives us an idea
about the snow water extent.
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And so basically, that
gives us an idea of,
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when this melts, for
example, where we go in terms
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of flat forecasting runoff models.
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So for hydrological applications,
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but also for weather
forecasting, for example.
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- Sentinel-3 Mission is supposed
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to last until 2040 at least.
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So A and now B will be in space soon.
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The C and D models, which
are replicas of this one,
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are under manufacturing
now, and will be completed
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by the end of the decade.
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And they are expected to be
launching in 2023-24 time frame
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to cover basically the
Sentinel-3 mission until 2030.
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That's why we want to
have continuous measurements.
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So we have planned with the
next series of JASON missions.
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JASON CS or Sentinel-6
that will have at least
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10 more years of measurements.
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Because we need to keep monitoring
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the sea level as it accelerates.
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With this
long-range forecasting,
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the acceleration of global
warming can be monitored,
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and better predictive models developed.
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- Yes, that's why, by having
all three measurements,
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that helps us understand the cause.
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That we can see from
GRACE a measure of which
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continents the water is coming from,
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that Greenland and Antarctica are melting.
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And some glaciers are also melting.
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And we can also see, as the temperature
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of the globe increases,
we can watch the water
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in the ocean actually expand
for not more and more heat.
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Scientists on the
ground continue to innovate
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ways to improve satellite data accuracy.
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Surfing for science may seem far-fetched.
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Yet, that is exactly how Dr. Bob Brewin
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of the Plymouth Marine
Laboratory is pioneering
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a new technique in satellite oceanography.
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By equipping his surfboard with
a device called a SmartFin,
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Bob can measure sea surface temperature
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and motion of coastal
waters with his smartphone.
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00:13:39,870 --> 00:13:43,110
Later, Bob can use the
SmartFin data he has gathered
256
00:13:43,110 --> 00:13:46,282
to better interpret
Sentinel-3 satellite data.
257
00:13:53,360 --> 00:13:56,540
The Sentinels are part of
the Copernicus program.
258
00:13:56,540 --> 00:13:58,780
Using the three instruments on board,
259
00:13:58,780 --> 00:14:01,470
the satellites gather
information on ocean color,
260
00:14:01,470 --> 00:14:05,640
water quality, changes in
sea level, and most important
261
00:14:05,640 --> 00:14:08,613
for Bob's research, sea
surface temperature.
262
00:14:13,030 --> 00:14:17,600
- With over 40 years of
thermal radiometry we have now
263
00:14:17,600 --> 00:14:20,060
from our satellite platforms,
we can begin to get
264
00:14:20,060 --> 00:14:21,770
a really good understanding of how
265
00:14:21,770 --> 00:14:24,900
temperature's changing in
the near shore environment.
266
00:14:24,900 --> 00:14:27,680
And temperature is a critical
component of our oceans.
267
00:14:27,680 --> 00:14:31,700
It controls the biology,
through changes in growth rates
268
00:14:31,700 --> 00:14:35,130
and reproduction, it controls
the physical environment,
269
00:14:35,130 --> 00:14:37,104
together with salinity, it controls
270
00:14:37,104 --> 00:14:39,970
the density of the ocean,
how coastal currents move,
271
00:14:39,970 --> 00:14:42,970
and it's also a fundamental
component of marine chemistry.
272
00:14:42,970 --> 00:14:45,060
The reaction rates of many chemicals
273
00:14:45,060 --> 00:14:46,755
are temperature-dependent.
274
00:14:46,755 --> 00:14:50,364
The gases that move from
the atmosphere to the ocean
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00:14:50,364 --> 00:14:55,050
are temperature-dependent.
276
00:14:55,050 --> 00:14:57,270
In situ data
gathered by scientists
277
00:14:57,270 --> 00:14:59,060
like Bob is extremely important
278
00:14:59,060 --> 00:15:01,970
because it complements
and helps to verify data
279
00:15:01,970 --> 00:15:04,930
provided by the Sentinel satellites.
280
00:15:04,930 --> 00:15:07,410
For example, the temperature
of coastal waters
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00:15:07,410 --> 00:15:09,500
is difficult to measure from space,
282
00:15:09,500 --> 00:15:13,400
for they have very high
levels of marine biodiversity.
283
00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:16,820
So scientists find new and
ingenious ways of increasing
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00:15:16,820 --> 00:15:20,290
the number of in situ
measurements in these waters.
285
00:15:20,290 --> 00:15:22,070
With the SmartFin, for instance,
286
00:15:22,070 --> 00:15:24,530
surfers and other water sport enthusiasts
287
00:15:24,530 --> 00:15:28,058
can gather data while
enjoying their hobby.
288
00:15:42,045 --> 00:15:45,060
Meanwhile, NASA has dispatched
two new satellite missions
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00:15:45,060 --> 00:15:49,450
to observe the most critically
changing regions, the poles.
290
00:15:49,450 --> 00:15:53,860
NASA, and the German Research
Center for Geosciences, GFZ,
291
00:15:53,860 --> 00:15:57,390
has launched GRACE-FO,
continuing the revolutionary
292
00:15:57,390 --> 00:16:01,172
gravity measurements of
its predecessor, GRACE.
293
00:16:04,560 --> 00:16:07,940
ICESat-2, with an advanced
laser altimeter system,
294
00:16:07,940 --> 00:16:10,111
is continuing the work of its predecessor.
295
00:16:14,670 --> 00:16:17,410
This new technology will
help study ice sheets,
296
00:16:17,410 --> 00:16:22,410
but also sea ice, glaciers,
permafrost and snow cover.
297
00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:26,700
Collectively known as the
cryosphere, these frozen zones
298
00:16:26,700 --> 00:16:30,173
help sustain stable
conditions for life on earth.
299
00:16:35,802 --> 00:16:39,120
- ICESat-2 is NASA's latest technology
300
00:16:39,120 --> 00:16:43,690
to measure the elevation or
the height of ice sheets.
301
00:16:43,690 --> 00:16:45,510
And by repeating those
measurements through time,
302
00:16:45,510 --> 00:16:47,580
we can measure how ice
sheets are changing.
303
00:16:47,580 --> 00:16:50,480
It'll also allow us to
measure the height of sea ice,
304
00:16:50,480 --> 00:16:54,112
which is a way to understand
the thickness of that sea ice.
305
00:16:56,900 --> 00:17:00,000
And so it's really a huge advance forward
306
00:17:00,000 --> 00:17:02,880
in both our precision of elevation
307
00:17:02,880 --> 00:17:05,070
change measurements, as well as coverage.
308
00:17:05,070 --> 00:17:07,410
Each of those six beams gives us much
309
00:17:07,410 --> 00:17:09,480
more data than we've ever had before.
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00:17:09,480 --> 00:17:11,060
ICESat-2 was designed and built here
311
00:17:11,060 --> 00:17:12,610
at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center,
312
00:17:12,610 --> 00:17:14,210
and it does take advantage of many
313
00:17:14,210 --> 00:17:16,940
of the latest advances in that technology.
314
00:17:16,940 --> 00:17:19,370
It's really an excellent tool for studying
315
00:17:19,370 --> 00:17:21,223
changes in ice sheets and in sea ice.
316
00:17:24,850 --> 00:17:26,600
For sea ice, it's really critical.
317
00:17:26,600 --> 00:17:28,370
It plays a first order effect
318
00:17:28,370 --> 00:17:30,450
in weather patterns around the world.
319
00:17:30,450 --> 00:17:33,080
Sea ice in the Arctic Ocean regulates
320
00:17:33,080 --> 00:17:35,400
the exchange of heat and water vapor
321
00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:37,730
between the ocean and the atmosphere.
322
00:17:37,730 --> 00:17:39,970
And as sea ice gets thinner or thicker,
323
00:17:39,970 --> 00:17:42,430
it either allows more or less
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00:17:42,430 --> 00:17:44,300
of that heat exchange to happen.
325
00:17:44,300 --> 00:17:48,530
For ice sheets, as that ice
is lost back to the ocean,
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00:17:48,530 --> 00:17:51,320
it directly goes into sea level rise,
327
00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:53,830
which of course impacts folks worldwide.
328
00:17:53,830 --> 00:17:56,850
So NASA
scientists cross the Antarctic,
329
00:17:56,850 --> 00:17:59,350
taking altitude and
radar depth measurements
330
00:17:59,350 --> 00:18:02,023
to help calibrate ICESat-2's instruments.
331
00:18:03,732 --> 00:18:05,250
One of the other
experiments we were doing
332
00:18:05,250 --> 00:18:07,810
is leaving out what we
call corner cube reflectors
333
00:18:07,810 --> 00:18:11,330
to get an assessment of
the pointing of ICESat-2.
334
00:18:11,330 --> 00:18:12,750
When we make an elevation measurement,
335
00:18:12,750 --> 00:18:15,090
how are we sure it's in the right place?
336
00:18:15,090 --> 00:18:17,760
So in this picture, where
you can see a bamboo pole
337
00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:19,890
with a little white cap on the end of it.
338
00:18:19,890 --> 00:18:22,358
And embedded in that cap,
a little piece of glass
339
00:18:22,358 --> 00:18:26,830
about as big as your pinky
nail, and calibrated to return
340
00:18:26,830 --> 00:18:29,704
green laser light from the satellite.
341
00:18:39,810 --> 00:18:42,420
With the requisite
observation tools in place,
342
00:18:42,420 --> 00:18:45,370
the next step is to interpret the data.
343
00:18:45,370 --> 00:18:47,140
- Ice sheets are actually really dynamic,
344
00:18:47,140 --> 00:18:48,860
and they flow under their own weight,
345
00:18:48,860 --> 00:18:50,270
from the center of the ice sheet
346
00:18:50,270 --> 00:18:53,540
out to the perimeter of the continent.
347
00:18:53,540 --> 00:18:55,990
In the really cold regions, and way high
348
00:18:55,990 --> 00:18:58,990
up on our ice sheets, we get
a lot of snow accumulation,
349
00:18:58,990 --> 00:19:02,530
and over time, that
accumulation can build up.
350
00:19:02,530 --> 00:19:05,530
If it stays cold enough
and that snow persists,
351
00:19:05,530 --> 00:19:07,250
and then you get another year of snow
352
00:19:07,250 --> 00:19:09,020
and another year of snow,
you can imagine the weight
353
00:19:09,020 --> 00:19:11,500
of the snow on top of itself forces
354
00:19:11,500 --> 00:19:13,010
some of the lower layers to compact.
355
00:19:13,010 --> 00:19:14,930
We call that the firm densification
356
00:19:14,930 --> 00:19:17,033
of the top layer of the ice sheets.
357
00:19:17,890 --> 00:19:20,720
When we talk about the
health of our ice sheets,
358
00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:24,050
we talk about the mass
balance of the ice sheet.
359
00:19:24,050 --> 00:19:26,900
Basically that means
coming in is in balance
360
00:19:26,900 --> 00:19:30,460
with all the terms of
water or ice going out.
361
00:19:30,460 --> 00:19:31,730
The health of the ice sheets
362
00:19:31,730 --> 00:19:35,320
depends on a balance of these
terms of input and output.
363
00:19:35,320 --> 00:19:37,380
But the interaction of the atmosphere,
364
00:19:37,380 --> 00:19:40,890
ocean currents and temperatures
can force the ice sheets
365
00:19:40,890 --> 00:19:42,790
out of this equilibrium.
366
00:19:42,790 --> 00:19:45,100
- At a big scale, the winds in Antarctica
367
00:19:45,100 --> 00:19:47,550
are kind of spinning in a big clockwise
368
00:19:47,550 --> 00:19:49,590
direction around the continent.
369
00:19:49,590 --> 00:19:51,820
But you can imagine a big dome of ice
370
00:19:51,820 --> 00:19:54,250
has very little obstruction like trees
371
00:19:54,250 --> 00:19:56,600
or mountains kind of steering the winds.
372
00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:59,920
Consequently, winds that
sort of are gravity-driven
373
00:19:59,920 --> 00:20:01,480
and come down the continent can build up
374
00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:04,150
speed really quickly, and again,
375
00:20:04,150 --> 00:20:06,710
uninterrupted by any sort of disturbance.
376
00:20:06,710 --> 00:20:09,100
And we call those catabatic winds.
377
00:20:09,100 --> 00:20:10,620
And they have a major influence
378
00:20:10,620 --> 00:20:13,310
on what happens at the
edge of the continent.
379
00:20:13,310 --> 00:20:15,910
Around Antarctica,
there's a massive current
380
00:20:15,910 --> 00:20:18,740
that we call the Antarctic
circumpolar current.
381
00:20:18,740 --> 00:20:22,000
And it flows clockwise
around the continent.
382
00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:23,860
Close to the continent, we also have
383
00:20:23,860 --> 00:20:25,460
the Antarctic coastal current.
384
00:20:25,460 --> 00:20:28,270
It stays really close to the coastline.
385
00:20:28,270 --> 00:20:31,520
And it flows counterclockwise
around the continent.
386
00:20:31,520 --> 00:20:34,070
In addition to these
continent scale currents,
387
00:20:34,070 --> 00:20:37,600
we also have regional scale
currents, such as gyres.
388
00:20:37,600 --> 00:20:40,130
Gyres are these parts of the oceans
389
00:20:40,130 --> 00:20:42,360
that are sort of isolated,
because of topography,
390
00:20:42,360 --> 00:20:44,520
or ocean bottom topography.
391
00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:47,980
They're usually closed
currents that often circulate.
392
00:20:47,980 --> 00:20:52,030
The gyres have a big role
in sea ice formation,
393
00:20:52,030 --> 00:20:55,300
and also in currents that actually float
394
00:20:55,300 --> 00:20:57,750
underneath our ice shelves.
395
00:20:57,750 --> 00:21:01,070
You can imagine that around
the edge of the continent,
396
00:21:01,070 --> 00:21:03,760
near those ice shelves,
warm water from the ocean
397
00:21:03,760 --> 00:21:05,730
can intrude into that cavity
398
00:21:05,730 --> 00:21:07,830
and contribute to basal melting.
399
00:21:07,830 --> 00:21:10,530
The melting from warm ocean waters
400
00:21:10,530 --> 00:21:12,653
of the bottoms of our ice shelves.
401
00:21:13,530 --> 00:21:16,840
Calving in Antarctica is
a little bit sporadic,
402
00:21:16,840 --> 00:21:18,330
and it's hard to actually model.
403
00:21:18,330 --> 00:21:20,020
But some of the contributing factors
404
00:21:20,020 --> 00:21:22,040
associated with calving
include those strong
405
00:21:22,040 --> 00:21:26,380
catabatic winds pushing on
the edge of the ice sheet,
406
00:21:26,380 --> 00:21:28,140
pushing on the edge of the ice shelf,
407
00:21:28,140 --> 00:21:29,853
and calving large icebergs.
408
00:21:31,300 --> 00:21:33,450
So we're measuring surface elevation,
409
00:21:33,450 --> 00:21:36,120
and we can take that vertical measurement,
410
00:21:36,120 --> 00:21:38,420
kind of integrate it
over a whole ice sheet
411
00:21:38,420 --> 00:21:40,220
and get a volume change.
412
00:21:40,220 --> 00:21:42,130
And then the real science
of ICESat-2 is taking
413
00:21:42,130 --> 00:21:45,490
that volume change and
turning it into a mass change.
414
00:21:45,490 --> 00:21:48,810
And from that, we can determine
how much ice is actually
415
00:21:48,810 --> 00:21:51,740
turning into water in our
oceans and raising sea levels.
416
00:21:51,740 --> 00:21:54,080
So the Greenland ice sheet is thinning.
417
00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:57,720
And it's thinning variably, but
mostly along the coastlines.
418
00:21:57,720 --> 00:21:59,810
It's thinning beyond our expectations.
419
00:21:59,810 --> 00:22:01,817
And all of that thinning is taking place
420
00:22:01,817 --> 00:22:04,500
upstream of where the
ice sheet is grounded.
421
00:22:04,500 --> 00:22:07,360
Therefore, that is going
right into the ocean
422
00:22:07,360 --> 00:22:10,090
and contributing to mean sea level rise.
423
00:22:10,090 --> 00:22:12,815
- Since we launched ERS-1 in 1992
424
00:22:12,815 --> 00:22:17,280
we have been working on the
radar altimeter time series,
425
00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:21,290
and we have derived a 25 year long
426
00:22:21,290 --> 00:22:23,330
time series of sea level rise.
427
00:22:23,330 --> 00:22:26,150
Sea level rise is a major
indicator of climate change,
428
00:22:26,150 --> 00:22:28,270
because it integrates
for instance the melt
429
00:22:28,270 --> 00:22:30,810
of Greenland and Antarctica.
430
00:22:30,810 --> 00:22:33,120
We have analyzed this series,
431
00:22:33,120 --> 00:22:36,560
and we have analyzed the
error, which is under control.
432
00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:38,910
And so the scientists are convinced
433
00:22:38,910 --> 00:22:42,260
that now we have clearly on average
434
00:22:42,260 --> 00:22:44,180
eight centimeters of sea level rise,
435
00:22:44,180 --> 00:22:47,470
but we also have regional variation.
436
00:22:47,470 --> 00:22:51,270
For instance, in the tropics,
it's three times that value.
437
00:22:51,270 --> 00:22:55,835
And, what we have also
analyzed with the recent data
438
00:22:55,835 --> 00:22:59,410
is in the last five years, sea
level has been accelerating.
439
00:22:59,410 --> 00:23:01,650
So it's not three millimeters per year,
440
00:23:01,650 --> 00:23:03,930
or 3.2 millimeters per year,
441
00:23:03,930 --> 00:23:06,860
it's more like 5 millimeters per year.
442
00:23:06,860 --> 00:23:09,610
We have provided this data
to people doing projections,
443
00:23:09,610 --> 00:23:12,380
to scientists, climate change
scientists doing projections.
444
00:23:12,380 --> 00:23:17,330
And they have modeled
the sea level in 2100,
445
00:23:17,330 --> 00:23:21,050
which is expected to be two
meters higher than today.
446
00:23:21,050 --> 00:23:22,948
This animation
shows how different
447
00:23:22,948 --> 00:23:26,700
the globe will look by then,
and prompts us to consider
448
00:23:26,700 --> 00:23:29,553
where the food and
freshwater will come from.
36957
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