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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:01,480 --> 00:00:07,550 In Southern Italy, a city under threat: 2 00:00:07,580 --> 00:00:12,880 Naples, flanked by two dangerous volcanoes. 3 00:00:12,920 --> 00:00:17,580 On one side, Vesuvius, 4 00:00:17,620 --> 00:00:21,520 destroyer of ancient Pompeii. 5 00:00:21,550 --> 00:00:24,650 None of them met with a peaceful death. 6 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:26,280 They were afraid, they were panicked, 7 00:00:26,320 --> 00:00:28,620 and it was terrifying. 8 00:00:28,650 --> 00:00:32,480 And on the other, Campi Flegrei, 9 00:00:32,520 --> 00:00:34,220 an invisible monster 10 00:00:34,250 --> 00:00:38,420 that threatens three million people. 11 00:00:38,450 --> 00:00:40,196 This is the most dangerous volcano in the world. 12 00:00:40,220 --> 00:00:46,350 Now scientists are seeing increases in volcanic activity 13 00:00:46,380 --> 00:00:49,380 and are scrambling to unlock the inner secrets 14 00:00:49,420 --> 00:00:53,680 of these volcanoes, before it's too late. 15 00:00:53,720 --> 00:00:54,750 There's no choice. 16 00:00:54,780 --> 00:00:55,896 You just have to go to a place 17 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:57,480 which is relatively difficult to get to. 18 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:02,950 Can they find ways to predict the next eruption? 19 00:01:06,450 --> 00:01:09,350 This is evidence of how fast things change in this area. 20 00:01:09,380 --> 00:01:12,180 Can they save this jewel of Italy 21 00:01:12,220 --> 00:01:14,920 from another disaster? 22 00:01:14,950 --> 00:01:17,750 This volcano can erupt at any time... 23 00:01:17,780 --> 00:01:18,780 Even tomorrow. 24 00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:24,480 Could Naples become the next Pompeii? 25 00:01:25,480 --> 00:01:28,550 Right now, on "NOVA." 26 00:01:34,750 --> 00:01:37,220 Major funding for "NOVA" is provided by the following: 27 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:45,074 Advertise your product or brand here contact www.OpenSubtitles.org today 28 00:01:56,080 --> 00:02:01,050 More than 1,000 volcanoes around the world are active. 29 00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:11,180 Driven by Earth's fiery interior, 30 00:02:11,220 --> 00:02:14,420 they can erupt at any time, 31 00:02:14,450 --> 00:02:17,620 blasting molten rock and ash into the sky 32 00:02:17,650 --> 00:02:20,450 with frightening power and speed. 33 00:02:24,850 --> 00:02:27,950 And unleashing deadly destruction 34 00:02:27,980 --> 00:02:32,250 on those who live in their shadow. 35 00:02:33,650 --> 00:02:36,780 Volcanoes have the power to kill thousands 36 00:02:36,820 --> 00:02:41,050 in the blink of an eye. 37 00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:46,150 A stark warning for the people who live here, 38 00:02:46,180 --> 00:02:50,450 in the beautiful port city of Naples in Southern Italy. 39 00:02:52,980 --> 00:02:55,320 This ancient and vibrant metropolis 40 00:02:55,350 --> 00:02:57,050 of over three million people 41 00:02:57,080 --> 00:03:00,450 might seem an ideal place to call home. 42 00:03:03,280 --> 00:03:06,920 But looks can be deceiving. 43 00:03:06,950 --> 00:03:10,720 It is built right next to not one, 44 00:03:10,750 --> 00:03:14,150 but two active volcanoes. 45 00:03:14,180 --> 00:03:18,250 Each has a history of catastrophic eruptions. 46 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:23,850 To the east is the well-known Vesuvius, 47 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:26,320 a classic, cone-shaped volcano 48 00:03:26,350 --> 00:03:30,950 that has claimed thousands of lives, 49 00:03:30,980 --> 00:03:35,680 erupting as recently as 1944. 50 00:03:35,720 --> 00:03:41,050 And to the west is an almost unknown volcano, 51 00:03:41,080 --> 00:03:45,820 Campi Flegrei, hidden below ground 52 00:03:45,850 --> 00:03:50,150 in an area where hundreds of thousands live. 53 00:03:50,180 --> 00:03:54,480 It doesn't even look like a volcano. 54 00:03:54,520 --> 00:03:57,880 And yet, it has the potential to be far more destructive 55 00:03:57,920 --> 00:04:01,150 than its more famous neighbor. 56 00:04:04,820 --> 00:04:06,780 Today, there are ominous signs 57 00:04:06,820 --> 00:04:11,680 that both volcanoes are still active: 58 00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:15,120 swirling clouds of gas and bubbling pools of mud. 59 00:04:18,950 --> 00:04:21,080 What do these mean about the likelihood 60 00:04:21,120 --> 00:04:24,420 of a major eruption? 61 00:04:27,280 --> 00:04:28,920 It's hard to imagine the impact 62 00:04:28,950 --> 00:04:34,250 on such a densely populated city. 63 00:04:35,650 --> 00:04:39,050 And yet, it's happened before. 64 00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:41,620 Just 15 miles from central Naples 65 00:04:41,650 --> 00:04:44,620 is the site of one of history's most infamous 66 00:04:44,650 --> 00:04:47,880 volcanic disasters. 67 00:04:49,580 --> 00:04:54,680 The Roman city of Pompeii. 68 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:57,320 In year 79 of the Common Era... 69 00:04:59,020 --> 00:05:02,520 Vesuvius exploded and buried the entire city 70 00:05:02,550 --> 00:05:06,480 in over a dozen feet of ash. 71 00:05:13,080 --> 00:05:14,880 Over the last 150 years, 72 00:05:14,920 --> 00:05:17,750 archaeologists have been carefully 73 00:05:17,780 --> 00:05:19,480 uncovering the remains... 74 00:05:21,180 --> 00:05:26,520 Revealing a scene of carnage and death. 75 00:05:26,550 --> 00:05:30,580 A city and its people, frozen in time 76 00:05:30,620 --> 00:05:34,520 at the exact moment an eruption struck. 77 00:05:38,620 --> 00:05:40,880 Among these ruins are crucial lessons 78 00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:46,050 about how a volcanic disaster can unfold 79 00:05:46,080 --> 00:05:51,680 and evidence of just how suddenly an eruption can strike. 80 00:05:54,120 --> 00:05:56,720 For archaeologist Kevin Dicus, 81 00:05:56,750 --> 00:06:02,620 this human tragedy is a stark warning from history. 82 00:06:02,650 --> 00:06:06,250 Walking around the ruins today, it's really easy to forget 83 00:06:06,280 --> 00:06:10,020 that this was actually a functioning Roman town 84 00:06:10,050 --> 00:06:11,150 2,000 years ago. 85 00:06:11,180 --> 00:06:14,780 Within the city walls, perhaps 15,000 people 86 00:06:14,820 --> 00:06:17,580 of different classes, different ethnic makeup, 87 00:06:17,620 --> 00:06:22,620 all trying to survive in this city. 88 00:06:22,650 --> 00:06:26,050 Remarkably, everyday items, like food, 89 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:29,280 survived the eruption. 90 00:06:30,520 --> 00:06:32,880 Walnuts. 91 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:34,580 Walnut kernels, already peeled. 92 00:06:37,250 --> 00:06:41,480 One of these food items shows how the people of Pompeii 93 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:46,350 were caught completely off-guard when Vesuvius erupted. 94 00:06:46,380 --> 00:06:49,320 This one is one of the 81 breads 95 00:06:49,350 --> 00:06:52,320 found inside an oven that was fully operational 96 00:06:52,350 --> 00:06:55,380 - at the moment of the eruption. - Wow. 97 00:06:55,420 --> 00:06:58,120 With one peculiarity. 98 00:06:58,150 --> 00:07:01,280 There is still the fingerprint from the baker, 99 00:07:01,320 --> 00:07:02,820 the baker's thumb. 100 00:07:02,850 --> 00:07:04,280 Oh, my gosh. 101 00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:08,120 This really brings a human element to this, right? 102 00:07:08,150 --> 00:07:10,820 Bread being baked at the time of the eruption, 103 00:07:10,850 --> 00:07:13,580 and the baker... hopefully the baker escaped, 104 00:07:13,620 --> 00:07:16,750 hopefully he lived the rest of his days 105 00:07:16,780 --> 00:07:18,750 baking bread somewhere else, but we have no idea. 106 00:07:18,780 --> 00:07:20,556 But it really it tells us something about the eruption, 107 00:07:20,580 --> 00:07:23,120 how unexpected it was. 108 00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:28,150 In the face of this sudden cataclysm, 109 00:07:28,180 --> 00:07:33,620 many of Pompeii's residents fled in blind panic. 110 00:07:33,650 --> 00:07:39,180 But some chose to stay behind and shelter in the city. 111 00:07:41,220 --> 00:07:44,480 They paid the ultimate price. 112 00:07:46,750 --> 00:07:50,380 Their last desperate moments preserved for eternity, 113 00:07:50,420 --> 00:07:54,750 as Pompeii's most evocative remains. 114 00:07:57,880 --> 00:07:59,550 These are but a few 115 00:07:59,580 --> 00:08:04,020 of the approximately 2,000 victims 116 00:08:04,050 --> 00:08:06,650 that decided to wait out the eruption 117 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:08,980 and, of course, didn't make it. 118 00:08:09,020 --> 00:08:11,780 Now, what we have here are not the bodies themselves, 119 00:08:11,820 --> 00:08:16,450 but these are the exact poses of the victims 120 00:08:16,480 --> 00:08:20,050 at the very last moments of their lives. 121 00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:22,820 After their death, they were covered with ash. 122 00:08:22,850 --> 00:08:26,850 Over time, the soft tissue decayed, liquefied, 123 00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:31,280 and leaked through the ash, leaving behind these voids. 124 00:08:31,320 --> 00:08:35,080 Archaeologists pour in plaster of Paris, 125 00:08:35,120 --> 00:08:39,180 leave them to dry, and we get these exact poses. 126 00:08:41,080 --> 00:08:44,020 This is a really macabre reminder 127 00:08:44,050 --> 00:08:45,920 of what can happen in the blink of an eye 128 00:08:45,950 --> 00:08:49,280 to an entire city. 129 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:54,650 Could Vesuvius erupt today with such violence? 130 00:08:57,150 --> 00:08:59,780 Do millions of people risk the same fate 131 00:08:59,820 --> 00:09:04,550 as their ancestors? 132 00:09:04,580 --> 00:09:09,380 Centuries have passed, but one thing hasn't changed. 133 00:09:12,550 --> 00:09:15,750 Vesuvius is still active. 134 00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:19,550 Driven by a geological collision 135 00:09:19,580 --> 00:09:23,520 that has been shaping this part of Italy for millions of years. 136 00:09:25,920 --> 00:09:27,450 To the east of Naples, 137 00:09:27,480 --> 00:09:30,420 two of the planet's vast tectonic plates 138 00:09:30,450 --> 00:09:33,620 are crashing into each other. 139 00:09:33,650 --> 00:09:36,520 The African plate is being forced downwards 140 00:09:36,550 --> 00:09:40,350 in a process called subduction. 141 00:09:40,380 --> 00:09:43,480 As it descends toward the hot center of the Earth, 142 00:09:43,520 --> 00:09:48,150 it gets warmer. 143 00:09:48,180 --> 00:09:53,020 This causes rocks to melt and turn into liquid magma, 144 00:09:53,050 --> 00:09:58,420 which rises towards the surface. 145 00:09:58,450 --> 00:09:59,980 To the east of Naples, 146 00:10:00,020 --> 00:10:02,280 there are weaknesses in the rock. 147 00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:04,780 Here the magma can break through. 148 00:10:07,780 --> 00:10:09,520 And if it has enough power, 149 00:10:09,550 --> 00:10:12,350 it can even trigger an eruption. 150 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:22,180 It's this constant subduction which keeps Vesuvius active 151 00:10:22,220 --> 00:10:24,580 and fuels its eruptions. 152 00:10:29,720 --> 00:10:31,720 Due to this ever-present danger, 153 00:10:31,750 --> 00:10:36,380 the volcano is kept under 24-hour surveillance. 154 00:10:39,350 --> 00:10:42,350 At the Osservatorio Vesuviano, 155 00:10:42,380 --> 00:10:45,350 scientists are watching for the warning signs 156 00:10:45,380 --> 00:10:48,080 of an imminent eruption. 157 00:10:48,120 --> 00:10:50,880 We have one millions and five hundred people 158 00:10:50,920 --> 00:10:56,820 that are at high risk in case of eruption. 159 00:10:58,520 --> 00:11:01,150 From a high-tech control center, 160 00:11:01,180 --> 00:11:05,380 Francesca and her colleagues pick up seismic activity... 161 00:11:05,420 --> 00:11:08,980 Movements in the Earth's crust. 162 00:11:09,020 --> 00:11:13,520 In these screens, we see all the signals 163 00:11:13,550 --> 00:11:16,780 that came from the sensors 164 00:11:16,820 --> 00:11:20,280 that we have installed on Vesuvius. 165 00:11:21,580 --> 00:11:24,750 In all, there are 150 sensors on the volcano, 166 00:11:24,780 --> 00:11:28,280 all listening for earthquakes. 167 00:11:28,320 --> 00:11:33,380 These can indicate if an eruption is on the way. 168 00:11:36,080 --> 00:11:40,350 Each eruption begins when magma starts to rise upwards 169 00:11:40,380 --> 00:11:42,920 from deep in the Earth. 170 00:11:47,180 --> 00:11:49,150 It pushes through weaknesses in the rocks 171 00:11:49,180 --> 00:11:53,750 towards the surface. 172 00:11:53,780 --> 00:11:55,080 If its way is blocked, 173 00:11:55,120 --> 00:11:59,050 it builds up more and more pressure 174 00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:02,080 until it fractures the rocks apart. 175 00:12:04,050 --> 00:12:05,750 This is so violent, 176 00:12:05,780 --> 00:12:08,880 it generates earthquakes which the scientists can detect 177 00:12:08,920 --> 00:12:11,450 at the surface. 178 00:12:15,250 --> 00:12:17,950 Every time the magma breaks through the rock, 179 00:12:17,980 --> 00:12:22,050 it generates a new quake 180 00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:25,050 until the magma erupts out of the volcano. 181 00:12:32,520 --> 00:12:35,580 Francesca and her colleagues detect minor earthquakes 182 00:12:35,620 --> 00:12:38,050 nearly every week. 183 00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:41,150 And this constant monitoring is vital. 184 00:12:41,180 --> 00:12:46,480 Vesuvius can change very quickly. 185 00:12:46,520 --> 00:12:49,720 We have active volcano, and of course, 186 00:12:49,750 --> 00:12:52,350 if a volcano is active, for sure, 187 00:12:52,380 --> 00:12:54,280 it will erupt again. 188 00:12:54,320 --> 00:12:55,850 We don't know when. 189 00:12:58,120 --> 00:13:01,050 Mindful of Vesuvius's lethal past, 190 00:13:01,080 --> 00:13:04,250 the observatory's scientists don't rely solely 191 00:13:04,280 --> 00:13:07,650 on earthquake monitoring. 192 00:13:07,680 --> 00:13:10,150 They have another, more hands-on way 193 00:13:10,180 --> 00:13:12,520 to monitor the magma. 194 00:13:15,620 --> 00:13:19,120 At the summit of Mount Vesuvius is a vast crater, 195 00:13:19,150 --> 00:13:22,920 nearly 1,000 feet deep. 196 00:13:25,920 --> 00:13:27,580 Every month, 197 00:13:27,620 --> 00:13:31,150 a monitoring team carefully descends into this gaping hole 198 00:13:31,180 --> 00:13:35,580 to gather data. 199 00:13:35,620 --> 00:13:39,550 Today, geologist Chris Jackson is joining them. 200 00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:43,720 Some of the critical bits of data 201 00:13:43,750 --> 00:13:47,720 about the volcano's behavior and the kind of threat it can pose, 202 00:13:47,750 --> 00:13:50,650 they can only be gotten from one particular location. 203 00:13:50,680 --> 00:13:51,780 So there's no choice 204 00:13:51,820 --> 00:13:52,956 about trying to collect it somewhere easy, 205 00:13:52,980 --> 00:13:54,096 you just have to go to a place 206 00:13:54,120 --> 00:13:56,150 which is relatively difficult to get to. 207 00:14:01,320 --> 00:14:05,350 Their mission is to collect vital gas samples. 208 00:14:05,380 --> 00:14:07,150 These could hold clues 209 00:14:07,180 --> 00:14:11,220 about how close the magma is to the surface. 210 00:14:12,680 --> 00:14:14,850 To get them, they need to climb down 211 00:14:14,880 --> 00:14:18,780 into the heart of Vesuvius's massive crater. 212 00:14:49,920 --> 00:14:52,820 Their target is a fumarole, a gap in the rock 213 00:14:52,850 --> 00:14:55,950 where gases from the magma escape. 214 00:14:55,980 --> 00:14:58,420 The team takes samples 215 00:14:58,450 --> 00:15:00,980 to measure the levels of one these gases... 216 00:15:01,020 --> 00:15:03,680 Carbon dioxide. 217 00:15:03,720 --> 00:15:05,096 What we are really interested in here 218 00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:08,480 are spikes in carbon dioxide coming out of the volcano, 219 00:15:08,520 --> 00:15:10,420 because that spike in carbon dioxide 220 00:15:10,450 --> 00:15:13,850 might mean that there's new magma coming into the volcano, 221 00:15:13,880 --> 00:15:16,350 which could occur immediately before it erupts. 222 00:15:16,380 --> 00:15:22,050 Rising magma experiences less and less pressure, 223 00:15:22,080 --> 00:15:27,380 causing it to release more and more carbon dioxide. 224 00:15:27,420 --> 00:15:28,780 The magma within a volcano 225 00:15:28,820 --> 00:15:31,950 is a little like the soda within this soda bottle. 226 00:15:31,980 --> 00:15:33,820 Both of them contain carbon dioxide, 227 00:15:33,850 --> 00:15:35,780 so CO2 dissolved within them. 228 00:15:37,350 --> 00:15:39,380 As the pressure drops... 229 00:15:40,820 --> 00:15:43,480 the gas comes out of solution, 230 00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:47,220 forming bubbles, which can escape to the surface. 231 00:15:47,250 --> 00:15:49,380 The reasons the bubbles came out of the soda 232 00:15:49,420 --> 00:15:51,120 is because we released the pressure. 233 00:15:51,150 --> 00:15:53,850 And the same happens when magma rises up within a volcano. 234 00:15:53,880 --> 00:15:56,126 It is that decreasing pressure that allows the gas bubbles 235 00:15:56,150 --> 00:15:59,420 to expand and to eventually come out the top of the volcano. 236 00:16:01,650 --> 00:16:05,320 Constant monitoring of carbon dioxide and earthquakes 237 00:16:05,350 --> 00:16:09,850 is vital to predicting when Vesuvius might erupt again. 238 00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:17,220 But this isn't enough to keep the people of Naples safe. 239 00:16:21,680 --> 00:16:25,080 For that, scientists also need to understand 240 00:16:25,120 --> 00:16:27,950 the consequences of an eruption. 241 00:16:27,980 --> 00:16:30,920 Who would be most at risk? 242 00:16:30,950 --> 00:16:34,720 And what dangers would they face? 243 00:16:37,220 --> 00:16:41,720 Clues can be uncovered by analyzing past eruptions. 244 00:16:43,620 --> 00:16:47,180 Even if they happened 2,000 years ago, 245 00:16:47,220 --> 00:16:52,050 such as the annihilation of Pompeii. 246 00:16:53,820 --> 00:16:57,550 Remarkably, there was a witness... 247 00:16:57,580 --> 00:17:01,820 The Roman author Pliny the Younger. 248 00:17:01,850 --> 00:17:05,880 This is the very first eyewitness account 249 00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:08,380 of a major volcanic eruption. 250 00:17:10,050 --> 00:17:12,920 "On August 24, in the early afternoon, 251 00:17:12,950 --> 00:17:14,850 "my mother drew my uncle's attention 252 00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:17,650 "to a cloud of unusual size and appearance. 253 00:17:17,680 --> 00:17:21,220 "Its general appearance can be best expressed 254 00:17:21,250 --> 00:17:23,320 as being like a pine tree." 255 00:17:24,620 --> 00:17:25,850 We don't think of a pine tree 256 00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:29,350 as an analogy for the cloud of a volcanic eruption. 257 00:17:29,380 --> 00:17:32,020 But, if you come to Italy, if you come to Campania 258 00:17:32,050 --> 00:17:34,620 and see the type of pine tree that grows here, 259 00:17:34,650 --> 00:17:38,080 you realize that what Pliny was describing 260 00:17:38,120 --> 00:17:41,620 is a perfect analogy. 261 00:17:41,650 --> 00:17:44,520 In modern times, scientists have seen 262 00:17:44,550 --> 00:17:47,850 this same distinctive, pine-tree-shaped cloud 263 00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:49,520 again and again. 264 00:17:54,820 --> 00:17:56,650 Called Plinian eruptions, 265 00:17:56,680 --> 00:18:00,020 these are the most explosive and the most lethal. 266 00:18:05,120 --> 00:18:06,450 But how exactly 267 00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:10,780 did a Plinian eruption kill around 2,000 people in Pompeii? 268 00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:18,880 Volcanologist Claudio Scarpati looks to the ash left behind 269 00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:21,380 for clues. 270 00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:25,920 In this deposit, we see different layers: 271 00:18:25,950 --> 00:18:28,220 coarse layers, fine layers. 272 00:18:28,250 --> 00:18:31,650 These different layers are different phases 273 00:18:31,680 --> 00:18:34,580 of the eruption. 274 00:18:34,620 --> 00:18:36,320 The bottom layer was deposited 275 00:18:36,350 --> 00:18:38,980 in the first phase of the eruption. 276 00:18:40,620 --> 00:18:41,920 It consists of pumice, 277 00:18:41,950 --> 00:18:47,620 small pieces of white volcanic rock. 278 00:18:47,650 --> 00:18:50,420 Amazingly, their size can be used to calculate 279 00:18:50,450 --> 00:18:54,250 how high the eruption reached, 280 00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:59,220 an indication of its power. 281 00:18:59,250 --> 00:19:01,880 The size of the particles is proportional 282 00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:03,220 to the height of the column. 283 00:19:03,250 --> 00:19:06,520 Taking these fragments all around the volcano, 284 00:19:06,550 --> 00:19:10,420 volcanologists were able to define the height 285 00:19:10,450 --> 00:19:13,180 of the 79 A.D. eruption column 286 00:19:13,220 --> 00:19:16,020 as 32 kilometers high. 287 00:19:16,050 --> 00:19:18,780 The Roman people saw a column 288 00:19:18,820 --> 00:19:24,080 that was 32 times the height of Vesuvius. 289 00:19:26,450 --> 00:19:29,220 This was a massive eruption. 290 00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:34,220 Gas and pumice exploded out 291 00:19:34,250 --> 00:19:39,220 at a rate of over one-and-a-half million tons every second, 292 00:19:39,250 --> 00:19:41,820 forming the distinctive pine-tree-shaped cloud 293 00:19:41,850 --> 00:19:43,180 of a Plinian eruption. 294 00:19:46,580 --> 00:19:49,520 This reached 21 miles high 295 00:19:49,550 --> 00:19:53,880 and was so vast, it blocked out the sun. 296 00:19:56,350 --> 00:20:00,650 Then it rained pumice down on Pompeii and its inhabitants 297 00:20:00,680 --> 00:20:05,080 for 18 hours solid. 298 00:20:10,120 --> 00:20:12,880 Surprisingly, this sustained bombardment 299 00:20:12,920 --> 00:20:16,220 actually gave people an opportunity to escape. 300 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:23,480 Pumice is such a light rock, 301 00:20:23,520 --> 00:20:25,250 it didn't present much of a threat 302 00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:28,850 to those who decided to flee. 303 00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:32,480 This fragment could hit you, but without any problem. 304 00:20:32,520 --> 00:20:33,720 We know from Pliny, 305 00:20:33,750 --> 00:20:36,620 that if you just put a pillow on your head, 306 00:20:36,650 --> 00:20:40,620 you can survive this first phase of the eruption. 307 00:20:40,650 --> 00:20:41,980 But strangely, 308 00:20:42,020 --> 00:20:44,150 hundreds of bodies have been excavated 309 00:20:44,180 --> 00:20:47,250 from this layer of pumice fallout, 310 00:20:47,280 --> 00:20:52,620 meaning they died during this first phase of the eruption. 311 00:20:52,650 --> 00:20:54,880 What killed them? 312 00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:59,420 One clue is the location of the bodies. 313 00:20:59,450 --> 00:21:03,680 Most were found inside buildings. 314 00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:06,580 They had probably decided to shelter in their homes 315 00:21:06,620 --> 00:21:10,480 rather than flee. 316 00:21:10,520 --> 00:21:12,250 Many seem to have died 317 00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:17,320 from traumatic fractures to their skulls. 318 00:21:17,350 --> 00:21:20,250 Claudio thinks these deadly blows to the head 319 00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:25,250 are explained by the long duration of sustained fallout... 320 00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:28,180 18 agonizing hours. 321 00:21:30,650 --> 00:21:33,950 These roofs were quite flat, 322 00:21:33,980 --> 00:21:38,320 and so pumice accumulated, 323 00:21:38,350 --> 00:21:41,420 and the overload was too high, 324 00:21:41,450 --> 00:21:43,850 and so the roof just collapses. 325 00:21:44,580 --> 00:21:46,280 If you stay inside the house 326 00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:49,320 and the roof collapse on your head, 327 00:21:49,350 --> 00:21:51,980 you are probably killed. 328 00:21:52,020 --> 00:21:55,280 Killed and then buried. 329 00:21:56,720 --> 00:22:00,750 A warning for today. 330 00:22:02,080 --> 00:22:03,820 2,000 years later, 331 00:22:03,850 --> 00:22:08,880 Neapolitans still live in flat-roofed houses. 332 00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:13,420 We see that the roof of the buildings of the towns 333 00:22:13,450 --> 00:22:16,780 around Vesuvius are still flat. 334 00:22:16,820 --> 00:22:18,920 So you could have the same effect, 335 00:22:18,950 --> 00:22:21,820 an overloading of the modern roof, 336 00:22:21,850 --> 00:22:26,150 and so in two, three hours, this roof could collapse. 337 00:22:28,220 --> 00:22:31,150 The tragedy of Pompeii warns of the dangers 338 00:22:31,180 --> 00:22:35,080 of pumice fallout. 339 00:22:35,120 --> 00:22:40,150 But out of the 2,000 dead, only about a third died 340 00:22:40,180 --> 00:22:42,750 during this phase of the eruption. 341 00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:50,320 So what killed the rest of the victims? 342 00:22:50,350 --> 00:22:52,550 Once again, 343 00:22:52,580 --> 00:22:54,950 the answers are in the layers of volcanic ash 344 00:22:54,980 --> 00:22:58,250 Vesuvius left behind. 345 00:22:58,280 --> 00:23:02,880 There is a sudden change from a coarse layer of pumice 346 00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:07,880 to a band of fine material just over one-inch thick. 347 00:23:10,320 --> 00:23:12,480 This smooth layer is characteristic 348 00:23:12,520 --> 00:23:16,550 of the dramatic next phase of a Plinian eruption... 349 00:23:21,750 --> 00:23:27,250 A ground-hugging volcanic surge called a pyroclastic flow. 350 00:23:29,820 --> 00:23:34,020 This is the deadliest outpouring a volcano can unleash. 351 00:23:39,120 --> 00:23:41,220 It is an avalanche of gas and rock 352 00:23:41,250 --> 00:23:44,450 moving at up to 300 miles per hour. 353 00:23:51,820 --> 00:23:53,280 So why did Vesuvius 354 00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:58,980 suddenly start to produce a pyroclastic flow? 355 00:23:59,020 --> 00:24:00,720 In a Plinian eruption, 356 00:24:00,750 --> 00:24:02,220 the mass of material in the column 357 00:24:02,250 --> 00:24:04,820 grows and grows. 358 00:24:09,450 --> 00:24:11,080 But there comes a point 359 00:24:11,120 --> 00:24:13,420 where there is so much rock and debris 360 00:24:13,450 --> 00:24:15,580 that the eruption can no longer support 361 00:24:15,620 --> 00:24:20,220 all this weight. 362 00:24:20,250 --> 00:24:25,680 The column collapses back towards Earth, 363 00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:28,350 creating an avalanche of debris... 364 00:24:28,380 --> 00:24:31,050 The pyroclastic flow. 365 00:24:34,020 --> 00:24:35,620 The column collapsed, 366 00:24:35,650 --> 00:24:40,450 and the gases and the solids and everything moved down 367 00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:41,820 like an avalanche. 368 00:24:45,550 --> 00:24:46,950 In Pompeii, 369 00:24:46,980 --> 00:24:51,320 the pyroclastic flow crashed through the buildings 370 00:24:51,350 --> 00:24:54,020 and inundated people sheltering inside 371 00:24:54,050 --> 00:24:58,650 in a dense blanket of gas and fine ash. 372 00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:03,850 This is what claimed most victims in Pompeii. 373 00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:07,320 Can you imagine the air being replaced 374 00:25:07,350 --> 00:25:11,750 by an impossibly large cloud of ash and gas, 375 00:25:11,780 --> 00:25:17,480 and trying so hard to fight from breathing this in? 376 00:25:17,520 --> 00:25:20,550 Here we have, for example, this individual, 377 00:25:20,580 --> 00:25:23,850 and how clearly you can see his right hand 378 00:25:23,880 --> 00:25:25,380 pressed against his mouth. 379 00:25:25,420 --> 00:25:28,080 He no doubt had a cloth of some sort, 380 00:25:28,120 --> 00:25:31,320 trying to keep the ash from going into his lungs, 381 00:25:31,350 --> 00:25:34,620 and of course, it did not work. 382 00:25:34,650 --> 00:25:37,020 That ash meets your moist lung walls 383 00:25:37,050 --> 00:25:40,920 and clings to it like plaster on this wall here, 384 00:25:40,950 --> 00:25:43,650 and that's the last breath. 385 00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:45,850 But the shape of some of the casts 386 00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:48,880 suggests the pyroclastic flow 387 00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:53,780 killed in an even more gruesome way. 388 00:25:53,820 --> 00:25:56,520 This cast in particular is fascinating to me, 389 00:25:56,550 --> 00:25:59,680 and what is so interesting about it is the pose. 390 00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:02,850 You can see this individual died on his or her back, 391 00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:05,550 but the arms are up, the legs are up. 392 00:26:05,580 --> 00:26:07,950 Why is this? 393 00:26:07,980 --> 00:26:10,920 This is known as the cadaveric spasm, 394 00:26:10,950 --> 00:26:15,050 and it usually occurs in atmospheres of intense heat. 395 00:26:16,850 --> 00:26:19,120 Pyroclastic flows can reach temperatures 396 00:26:19,150 --> 00:26:22,750 of hundreds of degrees Fahrenheit. 397 00:26:22,780 --> 00:26:26,450 This is what caused the victims to contort 398 00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:29,920 into these strange shapes. 399 00:26:29,950 --> 00:26:33,720 So when this pyroclastic flow surged over the city, 400 00:26:33,750 --> 00:26:36,680 it caused the muscles to contract 401 00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:38,980 and turn inwards. 402 00:26:39,020 --> 00:26:43,320 You can see it in many, many of these casts. 403 00:26:43,350 --> 00:26:49,580 A lot of these individuals display this cadaveric spasm. 404 00:26:49,620 --> 00:26:53,580 These people died instantly. 405 00:26:53,620 --> 00:26:55,480 The intense heat froze them 406 00:26:55,520 --> 00:27:01,150 at the exact moment the pyroclastic flow hit. 407 00:27:02,780 --> 00:27:05,520 What happened to Pompeii and its people 408 00:27:05,550 --> 00:27:09,920 is a stark reminder of the destructive power of volcanoes. 409 00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:15,920 And it could happen again. 410 00:27:19,150 --> 00:27:20,580 This is the reason 411 00:27:20,620 --> 00:27:25,380 that scientists have to keep monitoring Vesuvius's activity. 412 00:27:25,420 --> 00:27:30,220 But there is a far greater threat to Naples. 413 00:27:33,650 --> 00:27:37,320 Vesuvius isn't the biggest or most powerful volcano 414 00:27:37,350 --> 00:27:38,950 in town. 415 00:27:41,850 --> 00:27:43,420 On the other side of the city, 416 00:27:43,450 --> 00:27:45,780 scientists have seen an alarming increase 417 00:27:45,820 --> 00:27:48,050 in volcanic activity. 418 00:27:50,950 --> 00:27:56,920 Pisciarelli... a vast fumarole, a vent of bubbling gas and mud. 419 00:28:04,320 --> 00:28:07,720 In recent years, it has grown larger 420 00:28:07,750 --> 00:28:10,180 and turned into a destroyer. 421 00:28:15,480 --> 00:28:17,120 A few hundred feet away, 422 00:28:17,150 --> 00:28:20,680 expert in volcanic risk Antonio Costa 423 00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:23,320 is visiting a deserted building. 424 00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:33,080 Inside, the walls and floors are covered 425 00:28:33,120 --> 00:28:37,280 in a thick layer of solidified ooze, 426 00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:41,380 and the air is filled with the acrid smell of sulfur. 427 00:28:41,420 --> 00:28:45,720 This building, up to ten, 15 years ago, 428 00:28:45,750 --> 00:28:47,450 was, like, a sort of a club 429 00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:50,080 with a swimming pool there, there was a bar. 430 00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:53,720 People were pushed to abandon this place, 431 00:28:53,750 --> 00:28:56,680 because it's not anymore inhabitable. 432 00:28:57,980 --> 00:29:03,220 The volcanic vent has claimed the entire building. 433 00:29:03,250 --> 00:29:05,880 This hostile takeover began 434 00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:08,050 when gas from the vent punched holes 435 00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:10,820 through the floor and walls. 436 00:29:10,850 --> 00:29:16,850 Here you can even feel, if you put the hand here... 437 00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:18,920 It's terribly hot. 438 00:29:18,950 --> 00:29:24,750 As the gas cools, it releases dissolved minerals. 439 00:29:24,780 --> 00:29:27,380 These stick together to form the thick volcanic scum 440 00:29:27,420 --> 00:29:31,320 which is now consuming the entire house. 441 00:29:32,950 --> 00:29:34,750 This is clearly evidence 442 00:29:34,780 --> 00:29:37,850 of how fast change things in this area. 443 00:29:41,850 --> 00:29:43,420 So where is the volcano 444 00:29:43,450 --> 00:29:46,520 that is driving all this activity? 445 00:29:48,620 --> 00:29:52,980 The vent is in an area called Campi Flegrei, 446 00:29:53,020 --> 00:29:56,720 which is home to hundreds of thousands of people. 447 00:29:59,020 --> 00:30:03,280 At first glance, it's hard to spot the volcano. 448 00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:08,280 Unless you have a trained eye. 449 00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:10,520 So when we think of volcanoes, we think of that. 450 00:30:10,550 --> 00:30:13,250 Vesuvius, the perfect conical shape, 451 00:30:13,280 --> 00:30:15,550 with that beautiful crater on top. 452 00:30:15,580 --> 00:30:17,850 But at Campi Flegrei here, 453 00:30:17,880 --> 00:30:20,120 there's also some evidence that this is a volcano, 454 00:30:20,150 --> 00:30:22,650 but it's, it's just far more subtle. 455 00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:25,420 Good? 456 00:30:25,450 --> 00:30:26,550 Yeah. Okay. 457 00:30:26,580 --> 00:30:29,280 To take a better look at the lay of the land, 458 00:30:29,320 --> 00:30:32,520 Chris needs to take to the air. 459 00:30:32,550 --> 00:30:36,450 A monitor connected to a drone provides him 460 00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:40,450 with a bird's-eye view of Campi Flegrei. 461 00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:51,680 So the first thing you notice from up in the air 462 00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:53,096 is, as we come round to the shoreline, 463 00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:55,350 towards the Bay of Naples, 464 00:30:55,380 --> 00:30:57,850 we start to pick up a prominent ridgeline 465 00:30:57,880 --> 00:31:00,650 that comes all the way around towards the main city center. 466 00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:02,050 It's clearly curved. 467 00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:03,250 And then within there, 468 00:31:03,280 --> 00:31:06,320 it's a very densely populated flat area here. 469 00:31:06,350 --> 00:31:09,020 This ridgeline could be telling us something 470 00:31:09,050 --> 00:31:13,050 about a feature that is actually forming this landscape, 471 00:31:13,080 --> 00:31:15,520 an ancient, very large volcano. 472 00:31:15,550 --> 00:31:18,850 And in particular, we are actually looking at a caldera. 473 00:31:20,350 --> 00:31:23,680 A caldera is a collapsed volcano. 474 00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:30,280 In the past, Campi Flegrei was a flat plain. 475 00:31:32,950 --> 00:31:35,180 Deep beneath was a huge reservoir 476 00:31:35,220 --> 00:31:37,950 of bubbling magma. 477 00:31:37,980 --> 00:31:42,120 Then the magma started moving upwards, 478 00:31:42,150 --> 00:31:45,650 smashing through weaknesses in the rock 479 00:31:45,680 --> 00:31:48,220 and erupting powerfully. 480 00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:56,080 But this left an empty void beneath the surface. 481 00:31:58,220 --> 00:32:01,550 With nothing left to support the weight of the plain, 482 00:32:01,580 --> 00:32:03,350 it collapsed downwards... 483 00:32:06,980 --> 00:32:11,220 forming a crater known as a caldera. 484 00:32:14,350 --> 00:32:16,580 Radioactive dating of rocks reveals 485 00:32:16,620 --> 00:32:22,380 that Campi Flegrei's caldera formed 15,000 years ago. 486 00:32:22,420 --> 00:32:27,050 And at nearly eight miles wide, it must have been created 487 00:32:27,080 --> 00:32:31,020 by an incredibly large and powerful eruption. 488 00:32:33,150 --> 00:32:37,250 Volcanologist Giuseppe Mastrolorenzo 489 00:32:37,280 --> 00:32:42,650 thinks this sounds a warning for modern-day Naples. 490 00:32:42,680 --> 00:32:45,550 It is important to study the past eruption 491 00:32:45,580 --> 00:32:50,920 in order to imagine scenarios for the next eruption, 492 00:32:50,950 --> 00:32:53,850 because in geology, what happened in the past 493 00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:56,180 will happen also in the future. 494 00:32:58,920 --> 00:33:00,650 The remains of the eruption 495 00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:03,750 that formed Campi Flegrei's caldera 496 00:33:03,780 --> 00:33:08,380 can be found beneath the streets of downtown Naples. 497 00:33:10,550 --> 00:33:14,720 Here, there is a labyrinth of narrow passageways. 498 00:33:16,250 --> 00:33:18,620 These were hand-cut thousands of years ago 499 00:33:18,650 --> 00:33:22,380 to provide building materials for Naples. 500 00:33:27,280 --> 00:33:30,220 Today they are a treasure trove of information 501 00:33:30,250 --> 00:33:33,820 about the eruption. 502 00:33:33,850 --> 00:33:37,320 This is the Neapolitan Yellow Tuff formation. 503 00:33:37,350 --> 00:33:38,920 Here, underground Naples, 504 00:33:38,950 --> 00:33:42,850 we have several tens of meters of this formation. 505 00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:46,750 This rock has a powdery consistency, 506 00:33:46,780 --> 00:33:49,980 which points to the most deadly event 507 00:33:50,020 --> 00:33:53,250 in an eruption. 508 00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:59,050 Here you can see the fine matrix of fine particles of ash. 509 00:33:59,080 --> 00:34:01,950 This is typical of pyroclastic flows. 510 00:34:05,280 --> 00:34:08,420 In Pompeii, the pyroclastic flow, 511 00:34:08,450 --> 00:34:11,250 which killed more than 1,000 people 512 00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:15,450 left behind a layer of ash just over one inch thick. 513 00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:20,920 But here, beneath the very center of Naples, 514 00:34:20,950 --> 00:34:23,650 the thickness of the pyroclastic flow 515 00:34:23,680 --> 00:34:27,250 reaches over 300 feet. 516 00:34:27,280 --> 00:34:30,820 This eruption is about ten times bigger 517 00:34:30,850 --> 00:34:35,450 than the Pompeii 79 A.D. eruption. 518 00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:39,280 If another eruption like this will occur in the future, 519 00:34:39,320 --> 00:34:44,620 all the people and buildings of Naples will be buried 520 00:34:44,650 --> 00:34:48,950 under hundreds of meters of, of ash. 521 00:34:50,820 --> 00:34:54,280 So nothing can resist this eruption. 522 00:34:57,580 --> 00:35:01,420 In Campi Flegrei, there are hundreds of thousands of people 523 00:35:01,450 --> 00:35:05,250 living directly on top of an active volcano. 524 00:35:07,850 --> 00:35:09,180 If it erupts, 525 00:35:09,220 --> 00:35:13,050 deadly ash fallout and pyroclastic flows 526 00:35:13,080 --> 00:35:17,720 could even hit downtown Naples. 527 00:35:20,150 --> 00:35:23,650 With so many lives at stake, the pressure is on 528 00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:29,080 to determine when this volcano may erupt next. 529 00:35:30,580 --> 00:35:34,080 So scientists are keeping an eye on Pozzuoli, 530 00:35:34,120 --> 00:35:39,150 the biggest town inside Campi Flegrei's caldera. 531 00:35:40,220 --> 00:35:43,550 This is the site of an ancient Roman marketplace. 532 00:35:46,620 --> 00:35:49,680 Remarkably, these ruins could point to a way 533 00:35:49,720 --> 00:35:52,780 of predicting the next eruption. 534 00:35:52,820 --> 00:35:59,080 Within the remains is evidence of dramatic ground movements. 535 00:35:59,120 --> 00:36:01,680 The clues we're looking for we can see here, 536 00:36:01,720 --> 00:36:03,350 on the three marble columns. 537 00:36:03,380 --> 00:36:04,580 And you'll notice 538 00:36:04,620 --> 00:36:07,420 that after about ten to 20 feet above their bases, 539 00:36:07,450 --> 00:36:10,180 all three columns are full of small holes. 540 00:36:10,220 --> 00:36:13,320 These were holes produced by clams. 541 00:36:13,350 --> 00:36:16,450 They liked to burrow into the marble 542 00:36:16,480 --> 00:36:18,280 to form colonies. 543 00:36:18,320 --> 00:36:23,820 The clams that made these holes can't survive on dry land. 544 00:36:23,850 --> 00:36:27,420 They live solely under the sea. 545 00:36:27,450 --> 00:36:32,780 So at some point, these columns must have been underwater. 546 00:36:34,080 --> 00:36:37,250 Now, we know from studies across the Mediterranean 547 00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:38,920 that the sea level has only changed 548 00:36:38,950 --> 00:36:41,820 at most by a few feet since Roman times. 549 00:36:44,380 --> 00:36:46,620 If the sea level hasn't changed, 550 00:36:46,650 --> 00:36:51,150 there is only one other possibility. 551 00:36:51,180 --> 00:36:55,680 It must be the land that has risen and fallen. 552 00:36:55,720 --> 00:36:59,950 This whole area must have sunk into the sea 553 00:36:59,980 --> 00:37:03,350 and then come back up again at least once since Roman times. 554 00:37:04,380 --> 00:37:08,020 In fact, the ground in the caldera has a history 555 00:37:08,050 --> 00:37:10,720 of rising and falling. 556 00:37:10,750 --> 00:37:13,080 And eruptions are known 557 00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:17,120 to follow periods of intense uplift. 558 00:37:18,450 --> 00:37:22,150 Eyewitness accounts describe that in 1538, 559 00:37:22,180 --> 00:37:25,150 the ground rose rapidly. 560 00:37:26,750 --> 00:37:31,280 Two days later, a minor eruption created this crater, 561 00:37:31,320 --> 00:37:37,020 called Monte Nuovo, on the outskirts of Pozzuoli. 562 00:37:37,050 --> 00:37:42,020 In 1982, the ground around the town 563 00:37:42,050 --> 00:37:45,720 began to rise again very quickly. 564 00:37:45,750 --> 00:37:50,920 This prompted fears of an imminent eruption. 565 00:37:52,680 --> 00:37:56,020 Tiziana Vanorio lived on the outskirts of Pozzuoli 566 00:37:56,050 --> 00:37:57,450 during this period, 567 00:37:57,480 --> 00:38:01,880 and remembers the chaos it caused. 568 00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:05,950 The first thing that became unusable was the harbor, 569 00:38:05,980 --> 00:38:07,550 because of the uplift. 570 00:38:07,580 --> 00:38:11,250 The ocean floor became so shallow, 571 00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:14,180 so that the ferry could not dock. 572 00:38:14,220 --> 00:38:16,450 Over the next two years, 573 00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:19,380 the ground lifted up nearly six feet. 574 00:38:22,350 --> 00:38:25,650 Then the earthquakes started. 575 00:38:25,680 --> 00:38:29,380 On April 1, 1984, 576 00:38:29,420 --> 00:38:33,850 more than 500 shocks overnight struck the town of Pozzuoli. 577 00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:39,850 Fearing the worst, the authorities stepped in. 578 00:38:39,880 --> 00:38:42,780 As the seismic activity kept increasing in the area, 579 00:38:42,820 --> 00:38:45,250 the town of Pozzuoli was evacuated. 580 00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:47,320 People had to flee their own town, 581 00:38:47,350 --> 00:38:50,480 because of the fear of an impending eruption. 582 00:38:52,450 --> 00:38:55,280 Pozzuoli overnight became a ghost town. 583 00:39:00,250 --> 00:39:04,450 But strangely, the eruption never came. 584 00:39:04,480 --> 00:39:06,080 Two years later, 585 00:39:06,120 --> 00:39:08,980 people were allowed to return to their homes, 586 00:39:09,020 --> 00:39:12,350 but a big question remained: 587 00:39:12,380 --> 00:39:15,650 Why hadn't Campi Flegrei erupted? 588 00:39:18,950 --> 00:39:23,420 Today, Tiziana is a rock physicist, 589 00:39:23,450 --> 00:39:26,320 and she is trying to answer this very question. 590 00:39:26,350 --> 00:39:28,320 This is a good one. Hi, guys! 591 00:39:28,350 --> 00:39:31,620 VANORIO: One thing piqued always my curiosity: 592 00:39:31,650 --> 00:39:36,280 why a place can withstand such large and sustained deformation. 593 00:39:36,320 --> 00:39:39,480 So we had to understand 594 00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:44,220 why the rocks of the caldera behaved this way. 595 00:39:44,250 --> 00:39:50,180 One mile below the surface of Campi Flegrei's caldera 596 00:39:50,220 --> 00:39:55,020 is a layer of hard stone known as caprock. 597 00:39:55,050 --> 00:39:58,450 Could this rock contain an explanation 598 00:39:58,480 --> 00:40:01,620 for why the ground rose and fell so much 599 00:40:01,650 --> 00:40:04,720 without an eruption happening? 600 00:40:04,750 --> 00:40:07,720 We want to understand how this rock 601 00:40:07,750 --> 00:40:09,820 would behave in the caldera 602 00:40:09,850 --> 00:40:13,550 under the conditions of temperature and pressure 603 00:40:13,580 --> 00:40:16,080 they experience in the caldera. 604 00:40:16,120 --> 00:40:20,020 A specialized chamber mimics these conditions 605 00:40:20,050 --> 00:40:24,980 and also subjects the samples to extreme stress. 606 00:40:28,350 --> 00:40:34,320 What she finds is that the rock doesn't snap or fail instantly. 607 00:40:34,350 --> 00:40:36,480 It actually bends. 608 00:40:36,520 --> 00:40:38,980 What we can see is that the caprock 609 00:40:39,020 --> 00:40:42,480 is capable of withstanding high level of stresses, 610 00:40:42,520 --> 00:40:45,650 but also, it shows from this bell shape 611 00:40:45,680 --> 00:40:47,750 a ductile behavior, 612 00:40:47,780 --> 00:40:52,420 which means this rock is not brittle. 613 00:40:52,450 --> 00:40:55,680 This finding may explain what happened in Pozzuoli 614 00:40:55,720 --> 00:40:58,980 in the 1980s. 615 00:40:59,020 --> 00:41:01,650 Magma started moving towards the surface, 616 00:41:01,680 --> 00:41:06,820 where it heated fluids trapped in the ground above. 617 00:41:06,850 --> 00:41:11,250 These expanded, pushing up the caprock. 618 00:41:11,280 --> 00:41:14,050 As it was ductile, it was flexible, 619 00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:17,480 and bent upwards. 620 00:41:17,520 --> 00:41:19,680 This put stress on the caprock, 621 00:41:19,720 --> 00:41:23,480 which began to fracture, generating the earthquakes. 622 00:41:28,980 --> 00:41:31,950 But it didn't crack completely. 623 00:41:31,980 --> 00:41:36,420 It could still resist the uplift and prevent an eruption. 624 00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:43,820 Tiziana wondered why the caprock had such unusual strength. 625 00:41:43,850 --> 00:41:47,020 Looking under a high-powered microscope, 626 00:41:47,050 --> 00:41:49,520 she was surprised to find something 627 00:41:49,550 --> 00:41:51,980 you don't normally see in stone. 628 00:41:54,180 --> 00:41:56,880 The rock had formed a network of fibers 629 00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:59,480 that were knitted together. 630 00:41:59,520 --> 00:42:03,620 The presence of fibers was really an intriguing discovery, 631 00:42:03,650 --> 00:42:08,280 because the fibers are intertwined or braided together, 632 00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:11,280 like the strands in a rope. 633 00:42:11,320 --> 00:42:13,880 Tiziana thinks these rope-like fibers 634 00:42:13,920 --> 00:42:17,420 are the secret of the caprock's strength 635 00:42:17,450 --> 00:42:21,050 because she also sees them in a man-made material 636 00:42:21,080 --> 00:42:25,250 famous for its durability and toughness. 637 00:42:25,280 --> 00:42:27,880 The same fibers that you can see here 638 00:42:27,920 --> 00:42:29,520 come from Roman concrete. 639 00:42:31,850 --> 00:42:34,650 The strength of Roman concrete is one reason 640 00:42:34,680 --> 00:42:37,780 so many of their structures survive to this day. 641 00:42:42,080 --> 00:42:44,680 Tougher and more durable than modern-day concrete, 642 00:42:44,720 --> 00:42:49,780 it was the Romans' go-to construction material. 643 00:42:49,820 --> 00:42:52,180 And the secret ingredient in Roman concrete? 644 00:42:53,680 --> 00:42:57,080 Volcanic ash, called "pozzolana," 645 00:42:57,120 --> 00:43:00,580 mined in Campi Flegrei. 646 00:43:00,620 --> 00:43:04,420 The Romans combined this with other ingredients 647 00:43:04,450 --> 00:43:07,180 to form their concrete. 648 00:43:07,220 --> 00:43:11,420 Remarkably, it seems a similar chemical process 649 00:43:11,450 --> 00:43:16,750 takes place a mile below in the volcano, under Pozzuoli. 650 00:43:18,350 --> 00:43:23,420 The caprock is a natural version of Roman concrete. 651 00:43:23,450 --> 00:43:28,850 Its strength may have prevented Campi Flegrei from erupting 652 00:43:28,880 --> 00:43:32,050 in the 1980s. 653 00:43:32,080 --> 00:43:37,320 But this strength is also a liability. 654 00:43:42,420 --> 00:43:44,450 To fracture the caprock completely 655 00:43:44,480 --> 00:43:47,050 would require colossal force. 656 00:43:51,480 --> 00:43:52,520 And that would result 657 00:43:52,550 --> 00:43:56,720 in an incredibly powerful eruption. 658 00:44:02,380 --> 00:44:07,820 Having a caprock that has high strength and ductility 659 00:44:07,850 --> 00:44:11,580 can be a blessing and a curse in a caldera. 660 00:44:13,380 --> 00:44:20,180 Today, Campi Flegrei's caprock is once more under stress. 661 00:44:20,220 --> 00:44:26,280 Since 2005, the ground has been rising out of the sea. 662 00:44:28,250 --> 00:44:30,880 And scientists think that the protective caprock 663 00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:33,120 is being weakened. 664 00:44:35,450 --> 00:44:37,780 At Pisciarelli, there is a shift in the gases 665 00:44:37,820 --> 00:44:43,750 bubbling up from Campi Flegrei's magma. 666 00:44:43,780 --> 00:44:48,320 The first gas that is released is carbon dioxide. 667 00:44:48,350 --> 00:44:52,980 When most of the carbon dioxide is escaped, 668 00:44:53,020 --> 00:44:56,050 the magma start to release 669 00:44:56,080 --> 00:44:59,350 increasing amount of water, of steam. 670 00:45:01,180 --> 00:45:05,850 Steam is the Achilles' heel of the all-important caprock. 671 00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:08,850 Because when steam condenses to water, 672 00:45:08,880 --> 00:45:11,480 it releases large amounts of heat, 673 00:45:11,520 --> 00:45:15,320 which starts to fracture the rocks. 674 00:45:15,350 --> 00:45:20,480 The rocks that cover the magma become weaker, 675 00:45:20,520 --> 00:45:22,880 so could favor an eruption. 676 00:45:22,920 --> 00:45:27,150 A catastrophe in the making for Naples 677 00:45:27,180 --> 00:45:31,080 and the three million residents threatened 678 00:45:31,120 --> 00:45:33,380 by an eruption of Campi Flegrei. 679 00:45:33,420 --> 00:45:36,550 Faced with this prospect, 680 00:45:36,580 --> 00:45:41,150 the observatory has enhanced its early-warning system, 681 00:45:41,180 --> 00:45:44,180 installing additional sensors across the caldera. 682 00:45:44,220 --> 00:45:48,950 We have sensor to measure ground deformations, 683 00:45:48,980 --> 00:45:52,180 to measure anomalies in gravity, 684 00:45:52,220 --> 00:45:56,450 to measure the geochemical activity, 685 00:45:56,480 --> 00:46:00,880 the temperature of the fumaroles, and so on. 686 00:46:00,920 --> 00:46:04,320 If there are big anomalies, 687 00:46:04,350 --> 00:46:08,820 you have more probability that an eruption is approaching. 688 00:46:10,180 --> 00:46:12,680 And the scientists are about to add 689 00:46:12,720 --> 00:46:13,850 an ingenious new detector 690 00:46:13,880 --> 00:46:16,120 to their early-warning system. 691 00:46:16,150 --> 00:46:22,220 This will offer Naples a unique form of protection. 692 00:46:22,250 --> 00:46:26,520 It's the brainchild of Luca de Siena. 693 00:46:26,550 --> 00:46:31,550 To see how the volcano is changing, deep underground, 694 00:46:31,580 --> 00:46:34,350 he uses sound waves. 695 00:46:34,380 --> 00:46:37,650 You could use dynamite or any sort of explosion 696 00:46:37,680 --> 00:46:38,780 to produce the wave, 697 00:46:38,820 --> 00:46:39,996 but that's obviously impossible 698 00:46:40,020 --> 00:46:43,280 in a metropolitan area of 1.5 million people. 699 00:46:44,920 --> 00:46:49,220 Instead, Luca found a surprising and less disruptive source 700 00:46:49,250 --> 00:46:51,020 of sound waves... 701 00:46:51,050 --> 00:46:55,880 One that's already in place and operating 24/7. 702 00:46:55,920 --> 00:46:58,220 It was quite astonishing when we discovered 703 00:46:58,250 --> 00:46:59,880 that we could use just the noise 704 00:46:59,920 --> 00:47:02,580 that the sea is producing at all time 705 00:47:02,620 --> 00:47:06,450 to see inside a volcano. 706 00:47:06,480 --> 00:47:08,750 As the sea crashes into the shore, 707 00:47:08,780 --> 00:47:12,180 it produces a sound wave. 708 00:47:12,220 --> 00:47:16,020 That in turn propagates through the ground. 709 00:47:16,050 --> 00:47:18,580 By measuring the velocity of the wave, 710 00:47:18,620 --> 00:47:23,720 Luca can tell the kind of material it is encountering. 711 00:47:23,750 --> 00:47:29,580 If it is traveling quickly, it's passing through solid rock. 712 00:47:29,620 --> 00:47:31,120 But if it slows down, 713 00:47:31,150 --> 00:47:36,480 it's likely to be passing through fluids, like magma. 714 00:47:36,520 --> 00:47:38,620 Measuring the velocity 715 00:47:38,650 --> 00:47:40,850 of different waves crossing the caldera, 716 00:47:40,880 --> 00:47:43,280 Luca has built up a 3D picture 717 00:47:43,320 --> 00:47:48,420 of what lurks beneath Campi Flegrei. 718 00:47:48,450 --> 00:47:50,280 We gathered three years of data, 719 00:47:50,320 --> 00:47:52,280 and what we got is this map, 720 00:47:52,320 --> 00:47:56,050 where we have found a sort of circular area, 721 00:47:56,080 --> 00:47:58,420 which is low velocity. 722 00:47:58,450 --> 00:48:00,880 Low velocity means that likely 723 00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:03,050 there are hot fluids inside this area. 724 00:48:03,080 --> 00:48:04,150 This could be magma. 725 00:48:06,320 --> 00:48:07,980 For the first time, 726 00:48:08,020 --> 00:48:10,720 scientists can see where the hot fluids are 727 00:48:10,750 --> 00:48:13,980 across the entire caldera. 728 00:48:14,020 --> 00:48:16,880 We know that most of the fluid come 729 00:48:16,920 --> 00:48:18,950 just under our feet, actually, 730 00:48:18,980 --> 00:48:22,280 here, under the port, in Pozzuoli. 731 00:48:23,650 --> 00:48:26,420 But to know if an eruption is on the way, 732 00:48:26,450 --> 00:48:27,980 Luca needs to be able to see 733 00:48:28,020 --> 00:48:33,780 if magma and hot fluids are rising towards the surface. 734 00:48:33,820 --> 00:48:36,580 For that level of detail, 735 00:48:36,620 --> 00:48:40,550 he will have to expand the network. 736 00:48:40,580 --> 00:48:41,680 When it's up and running, 737 00:48:41,720 --> 00:48:44,050 Naples will be the first city in the world 738 00:48:44,080 --> 00:48:49,780 able to track these movements in real time. 739 00:48:49,820 --> 00:48:52,350 If we measure this parameter all across the caldera, 740 00:48:52,380 --> 00:48:55,620 and we see that this parameter is changing over here, 741 00:48:55,650 --> 00:48:56,580 that's a marker 742 00:48:56,620 --> 00:48:58,520 that a possible eruption may happen. 743 00:49:00,220 --> 00:49:02,380 This cutting-edge early-warning system 744 00:49:02,420 --> 00:49:06,980 could be the best way of protecting Naples. 745 00:49:07,020 --> 00:49:12,420 It could buy people vital time to escape. 746 00:49:14,380 --> 00:49:17,650 An unexpected Plinian eruption of Campi Flegrei 747 00:49:17,680 --> 00:49:20,720 would put millions of lives at risk. 748 00:49:23,180 --> 00:49:25,050 In this nightmare scenario, 749 00:49:25,080 --> 00:49:27,820 the eruption could generate a huge cloud 750 00:49:27,850 --> 00:49:32,320 reaching tens of miles into the sky, 751 00:49:32,350 --> 00:49:35,350 pelting the Bay of Naples with pumice. 752 00:49:39,120 --> 00:49:41,380 Then, when the column collapses, 753 00:49:41,420 --> 00:49:44,050 a massive pyroclastic flow, 754 00:49:44,080 --> 00:49:46,580 heated to hundreds of degrees Fahrenheit, 755 00:49:46,620 --> 00:49:51,080 would tear across the caldera at hundreds of miles an hour... 756 00:49:53,250 --> 00:49:56,980 killing everyone in its path 757 00:49:57,020 --> 00:50:01,550 and burying Naples in an avalanche of ash. 758 00:50:06,580 --> 00:50:08,650 All this area will be devastating, 759 00:50:08,680 --> 00:50:12,920 and three million of people will be killed 760 00:50:12,950 --> 00:50:15,120 by the pyroclastic flows. 761 00:50:17,420 --> 00:50:19,120 The people of the Bay of Naples 762 00:50:19,150 --> 00:50:24,020 could suffer the same fate as the people of Pompeii, 763 00:50:24,050 --> 00:50:27,380 unless they remember one of the key lessons 764 00:50:27,420 --> 00:50:31,550 of this ancient tragedy: 765 00:50:31,580 --> 00:50:35,320 Those who hunker down during an eruption 766 00:50:35,350 --> 00:50:38,750 are the ones most likely to die. 767 00:50:41,080 --> 00:50:44,180 If you have a strong eruption, 768 00:50:44,220 --> 00:50:48,280 the only way to save the people is evacuation. 769 00:50:49,420 --> 00:50:51,420 We need to evacuate, 770 00:50:51,450 --> 00:50:54,880 because it's the only way we can prevent a disaster, 771 00:50:54,920 --> 00:50:57,250 because there is no way you can save people 772 00:50:57,280 --> 00:50:59,280 for, from pyroclastic flows. 773 00:51:02,620 --> 00:51:05,150 If evacuation is the only option, 774 00:51:05,180 --> 00:51:08,320 this will take time and planning. 775 00:51:08,350 --> 00:51:12,220 In Naples, millions of people are crammed 776 00:51:12,250 --> 00:51:16,480 into a city of narrow and crowded streets, 777 00:51:16,520 --> 00:51:20,920 making advanced warning essential. 778 00:51:23,420 --> 00:51:29,180 One day, there will be another volcanic eruption, 779 00:51:29,220 --> 00:51:32,120 perhaps even more powerful 780 00:51:32,150 --> 00:51:36,850 than the one that wiped out Pompeii. 781 00:51:36,880 --> 00:51:39,450 But as scientists improve 782 00:51:39,480 --> 00:51:42,420 their prediction and early-warning systems, 783 00:51:42,450 --> 00:51:48,420 the next time, there will be a crucial difference: 784 00:51:48,450 --> 00:51:54,650 They'll know an eruption is on the way ahead of time, 785 00:51:54,680 --> 00:51:59,920 allowing millions of people to escape with their lives. 786 00:52:11,880 --> 00:52:14,750 Major funding for "NOVA" is provided by the following: 787 00:52:41,850 --> 00:52:44,450 To order this "NOVA" program on DVD, 788 00:52:44,480 --> 00:52:49,380 visit ShopPBS or call 1-800-PLAY-PBS. 789 00:52:49,420 --> 00:52:53,180 This program is also available on Amazon Prime Video. 789 00:52:54,305 --> 00:53:00,383 Support us and become VIP member to remove all ads from www.OpenSubtitles.org 61641

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