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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:39,123 --> 00:00:44,662 You look at that river, gently flowing by. 2 00:00:44,663 --> 00:00:46,865 You notice the leaves 3 00:00:48,066 --> 00:00:50,468 rustling with the wind. 4 00:00:50,469 --> 00:00:52,670 You hear the birds. 5 00:00:52,671 --> 00:00:54,738 You hear the tree frogs. 6 00:00:54,739 --> 00:00:57,975 In the distance, you hear a cow. 7 00:00:57,976 --> 00:01:00,310 You feel the grass. 8 00:01:00,311 --> 00:01:04,715 The mud gives a little bit on the river bank. 9 00:01:04,716 --> 00:01:08,251 It's quiet. It's peaceful. 10 00:01:08,252 --> 00:01:10,621 And all of a sudden, 11 00:01:10,622 --> 00:01:13,791 it's a gear shift inside you. 12 00:01:13,792 --> 00:01:17,728 And it's like taking a deep breath and going, 13 00:01:17,729 --> 00:01:20,699 "Oh, yeah, I forgot about this." 14 00:01:28,607 --> 00:01:32,576 This is the first picture of the earth from space 15 00:01:32,577 --> 00:01:34,845 that any of us ever saw. 16 00:01:34,846 --> 00:01:39,149 It was taken on, uh, Christmas Eve 1968 17 00:01:39,150 --> 00:01:41,652 during the Apollo 8 Mission. 18 00:01:41,653 --> 00:01:44,422 ...within relatively comfortable boundaries. 19 00:01:44,423 --> 00:01:49,060 But we are filling up that thin shell of atmosphere with pollution. 20 00:02:09,748 --> 00:02:12,617 Ladies and gentlemen, Mr. Al Gore. 21 00:02:13,618 --> 00:02:15,486 I am Al Gore. 22 00:02:15,487 --> 00:02:18,155 I used to be the next president of the United States Of America. 23 00:02:21,793 --> 00:02:24,629 I don't find that particularly funny. 24 00:02:49,588 --> 00:02:52,022 I've been trying to tell this story for a long time, 25 00:02:52,023 --> 00:02:55,827 and I feel as if I've failed to get the message across. 26 00:03:17,749 --> 00:03:22,053 I was in politics for a long time and I'm proud of my service. 27 00:03:28,292 --> 00:03:31,394 You gotta be kidding me. This is a national disaster. 28 00:03:31,395 --> 00:03:34,898 Get every doggone Greyhound bus line in the country, 29 00:03:34,899 --> 00:03:37,801 and get their... moving to New Orleans. 30 00:03:37,802 --> 00:03:39,803 That's them thinking small, man, 31 00:03:39,804 --> 00:03:43,106 and this is a major, major, major deal. 32 00:03:43,107 --> 00:03:45,709 What do you need right now? 33 00:03:45,710 --> 00:03:48,679 There are good people, 34 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:51,982 who are in politics in both parties 35 00:03:51,983 --> 00:03:54,451 who hold this at arm's length 36 00:03:54,452 --> 00:03:57,555 because if they acknowledge it and recognize it, 37 00:03:57,556 --> 00:04:00,558 then the moral imperative to make a big change is 38 00:04:00,559 --> 00:04:02,826 is--is inescapable. 39 00:04:02,827 --> 00:04:07,699 ...unless you fix the biggest damn crisis in the history of this country. 40 00:04:21,079 --> 00:04:25,248 ...scouted out landing spots and they lost radio contact 41 00:04:25,249 --> 00:04:28,552 when they went around the dark side of the moon. 42 00:04:28,553 --> 00:04:30,988 And there was inevitably some suspense. 43 00:04:30,989 --> 00:04:34,091 Then when they came back in radio contact, 44 00:04:34,092 --> 00:04:35,559 they looked up 45 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:39,763 and they snapped this picture, and it became known as Earth Rise. 46 00:04:39,764 --> 00:04:42,700 And that one picture exploded 47 00:04:42,701 --> 00:04:45,569 in the consciousness of humankind. 48 00:04:45,570 --> 00:04:47,738 It lead to dramatic changes. 49 00:04:47,739 --> 00:04:49,406 Within 18 months of this picture, 50 00:04:49,407 --> 00:04:52,509 the modern environmental movement had begun. 51 00:04:52,510 --> 00:04:56,546 The next picture was taken on the last of the Apollo missions, 52 00:04:56,547 --> 00:04:58,048 Apollo 17. 53 00:04:58,049 --> 00:05:01,952 This one was taken on December 11, 1972, 54 00:05:01,953 --> 00:05:06,657 and it is the most commonly published photograph in all of history. 55 00:05:06,658 --> 00:05:11,161 And it's the only picture of the earth from space that we have 56 00:05:11,162 --> 00:05:14,564 where the sun was directly behind the spacecraft 57 00:05:14,565 --> 00:05:20,437 so that the earth is fully lit up and not partly in darkness. 58 00:05:20,438 --> 00:05:24,207 The next image I'm gonna show you has almost never been seen. 59 00:05:24,208 --> 00:05:28,946 It was taken by a spacecraft called The Galileo 60 00:05:28,947 --> 00:05:31,414 that went out to explore the solar system. 61 00:05:31,415 --> 00:05:36,586 And as it was leaving Earth's gravity, it turned its cameras around 62 00:05:36,587 --> 00:05:41,091 and took a time lapse picture of one day's worth of rotation, 63 00:05:41,092 --> 00:05:43,762 here compressed into 24 seconds. 64 00:05:45,664 --> 00:05:47,798 Isn't that beautiful? 65 00:05:47,799 --> 00:05:50,467 This image is a magical image in a way. 66 00:05:50,468 --> 00:05:53,436 It was made by a friend of mine, Tom Van Sant. 67 00:05:53,437 --> 00:05:57,174 He took 3,000 separate satellite pictures 68 00:05:57,175 --> 00:06:01,679 taken over a three-year period, digitally stitched together. 69 00:06:01,680 --> 00:06:05,515 And he chose images that would give a cloud-free view 70 00:06:05,516 --> 00:06:08,251 of every square inch of the earth's surface. 71 00:06:08,252 --> 00:06:12,422 All of the land masses accurately portrayed. 72 00:06:12,423 --> 00:06:16,660 When that's all spread out, it becomes an iconic image. 73 00:06:16,661 --> 00:06:22,499 I show this because I--I wanna tell you a story about two teachers I had. 74 00:06:22,500 --> 00:06:27,170 One that I didn't like that much, the other who is a real hero to me. 75 00:06:27,171 --> 00:06:30,708 I had a grade school teacher who taught geography 76 00:06:30,709 --> 00:06:34,377 by pulling a map of the world down in front of the blackboard. 77 00:06:34,378 --> 00:06:38,115 I had a classmate in the sixth grade who raised his hand 78 00:06:38,116 --> 00:06:43,353 and he pointed to the outline of the east coast of South America 79 00:06:43,354 --> 00:06:47,190 and he pointed to the west coast of Africa 80 00:06:47,191 --> 00:06:50,293 and he asked, "Did they ever fit together?" 81 00:06:50,294 --> 00:06:51,962 And the teacher said, 82 00:06:51,963 --> 00:06:55,665 "Of course not. That's the most ridiculous thing I've ever heard." 83 00:06:55,666 --> 00:06:59,903 That student went on to become a drug addict and a ne'er-do-well. 84 00:06:59,904 --> 00:07:02,672 The teacher went on to become science advisor 85 00:07:02,673 --> 00:07:04,308 in the current administration. 86 00:07:14,185 --> 00:07:18,688 But, you know, the teacher was actually reflecting 87 00:07:18,689 --> 00:07:22,893 the conclusion of the scientific establishment of that time. 88 00:07:22,894 --> 00:07:28,231 Continents are so big, obviously they don't move. 89 00:07:28,232 --> 00:07:32,135 But, actually, as we now know, they did move. 90 00:07:32,136 --> 00:07:34,137 Uh, they moved apart from one another. 91 00:07:34,138 --> 00:07:37,374 But at one time they did, in fact, fit together. 92 00:07:37,375 --> 00:07:39,943 But that assumption was a problem. 93 00:07:39,944 --> 00:07:42,712 It reflected the well-known wisdom 94 00:07:42,713 --> 00:07:45,548 that what gets us into trouble is not what we don't know, 95 00:07:45,549 --> 00:07:50,220 it's what we know for sure that just ain't so. 96 00:07:50,221 --> 00:07:53,156 This is actually an important point, believe it or not, 97 00:07:53,157 --> 00:07:55,993 because there is another such assumption 98 00:07:55,994 --> 00:08:00,563 that a lot of people have in their minds right now about global warming 99 00:08:00,564 --> 00:08:02,332 that just ain't so. 100 00:08:02,333 --> 00:08:06,136 The assumption is something like this. The earth is so big 101 00:08:06,137 --> 00:08:09,739 we can't possibly have any lasting harmful impact 102 00:08:09,740 --> 00:08:11,574 on the earth's environment. 103 00:08:11,575 --> 00:08:14,845 And maybe that was true at one time, but it's not anymore. 104 00:08:14,846 --> 00:08:17,114 And one of the reasons it's not true anymore 105 00:08:17,115 --> 00:08:21,519 is that the most vulnerable part of the earth's ecological system 106 00:08:22,686 --> 00:08:24,822 is the atmosphere. 107 00:08:24,823 --> 00:08:28,658 Vulnerable because it's so thin. 108 00:08:28,659 --> 00:08:31,061 My friend, the late Carl Sagan, used to say, 109 00:08:31,062 --> 00:08:34,497 "If you had a big globe with a coat of varnish on it, 110 00:08:34,498 --> 00:08:37,734 "the thickness of that varnish relative to that globe 111 00:08:37,735 --> 00:08:39,202 "is pretty much the same 112 00:08:39,203 --> 00:08:41,738 "as the thickness of the earth's atmosphere 113 00:08:41,739 --> 00:08:44,774 "compared to the earth itself." 114 00:08:44,775 --> 00:08:46,543 And it's thin enough 115 00:08:46,544 --> 00:08:50,547 that we are capable of changing its composition. 116 00:08:50,548 --> 00:08:53,116 That brings up the basic science of global warming. 117 00:08:53,117 --> 00:08:57,154 And I'm not gonna spend a lot of time on this because, uh, you know it well. 118 00:08:57,155 --> 00:09:00,690 The sun's radiation comes in in the form of light waves 119 00:09:00,691 --> 00:09:02,392 and that heats up the Earth. 120 00:09:02,393 --> 00:09:07,230 And then some of the radiation that is absorbed and warms the earth 121 00:09:07,231 --> 00:09:09,967 is reradiated back into space 122 00:09:09,968 --> 00:09:12,702 in the form of infrared radiation. 123 00:09:12,703 --> 00:09:16,840 And some of the outgoing infrared radiation is trapped 124 00:09:16,841 --> 00:09:20,944 by this layer of atmosphere and held inside the atmosphere. 125 00:09:20,945 --> 00:09:25,015 And that's a good thing because it keeps the temperature of the earth 126 00:09:25,016 --> 00:09:27,017 within certain boundaries, 127 00:09:27,018 --> 00:09:29,853 keeps it relatively constant and livable. 128 00:09:29,854 --> 00:09:34,024 But the problem is this thin layer of atmosphere is being thickened 129 00:09:34,025 --> 00:09:39,262 by all of the global warming pollution that's being put up there. 130 00:09:39,263 --> 00:09:44,067 And what that does is it thickens this layer of atmosphere, 131 00:09:44,068 --> 00:09:47,637 more of the outgoing infrared is trapped. 132 00:09:47,638 --> 00:09:51,374 And so the atmosphere heats up worldwide. That's global warming. 133 00:09:51,375 --> 00:09:53,643 Now, that's the traditional explanation. 134 00:09:53,644 --> 00:09:56,380 Here's a... What I think is a better explanation. 135 00:10:12,931 --> 00:10:16,433 You're probably wondering why your ice cream went away. 136 00:10:16,434 --> 00:10:19,569 Well, Susie, the culprit isn't foreigners. 137 00:10:19,570 --> 00:10:21,671 It's global warming. 138 00:10:21,672 --> 00:10:25,009 Global wha... Yeah. 139 00:10:26,144 --> 00:10:27,777 Meet Mr. Sunbeam. 140 00:10:27,778 --> 00:10:31,248 He comes all the way from the sun to visit Earth. 141 00:10:31,249 --> 00:10:35,118 Hello, Earth. Just popping in to brighten your day. 142 00:10:37,721 --> 00:10:40,090 And now I'll be on my way. 143 00:10:40,091 --> 00:10:42,325 Not so fast, Sunbeam. 144 00:10:42,326 --> 00:10:46,297 We're greenhouse gases. You ain't going nowhere. 145 00:10:51,002 --> 00:10:52,669 Oh, God, it hurts. 146 00:10:52,670 --> 00:10:55,738 Pretty soon, Earth is chock-full of Sunbeams. 147 00:10:55,739 --> 00:10:58,976 Their rotting corpses heating our atmosphere. 148 00:11:01,112 --> 00:11:04,481 How do we get rid of the greenhouse grasses? 149 00:11:04,482 --> 00:11:07,050 Fortunately, our handsomest politicians 150 00:11:07,051 --> 00:11:11,288 came up with a cheap, last-minute way to combat global warming. 151 00:11:11,289 --> 00:11:13,190 Ever since 2063, 152 00:11:13,191 --> 00:11:17,996 we simply drop a giant ice cube into the ocean every now and then. 153 00:11:19,763 --> 00:11:23,000 Just like Daddy puts in his drink every morning. 154 00:11:23,001 --> 00:11:25,068 And then he gets mad. 155 00:11:25,069 --> 00:11:28,805 Of course, since the greenhouse gases are still building up, 156 00:11:28,806 --> 00:11:33,143 it takes more and more ice each time. 157 00:11:33,144 --> 00:11:36,113 Thus, solving the problem once and for all. 158 00:11:36,114 --> 00:11:37,581 But... Once and for all! 159 00:11:45,589 --> 00:11:48,858 This is, uh, the image that started me 160 00:11:48,859 --> 00:11:51,394 in my interest in this issue. 161 00:11:51,395 --> 00:11:53,730 And I saw it when I was a college student 162 00:11:53,731 --> 00:11:56,666 because I had a professor named Roger Revelle 163 00:11:56,667 --> 00:12:00,470 who was the first person to propose measuring carbon dioxide 164 00:12:00,471 --> 00:12:02,306 in the earth's atmosphere. 165 00:12:05,309 --> 00:12:08,511 He saw where the story was going 166 00:12:08,512 --> 00:12:11,414 after the first few chapters. 167 00:12:11,415 --> 00:12:14,951 After the first few years of data, 168 00:12:14,952 --> 00:12:18,988 he intuited what it meant 169 00:12:18,989 --> 00:12:21,659 for what w-was yet to come. 170 00:12:23,827 --> 00:12:27,264 They designed the experiment in 1957. 171 00:12:27,265 --> 00:12:29,632 He hired Charles David Keeling 172 00:12:29,633 --> 00:12:32,569 who was very faithful and precise 173 00:12:32,570 --> 00:12:36,539 in making these measurements for decades. 174 00:12:36,540 --> 00:12:39,776 They started sending these weather balloons up every day 175 00:12:39,777 --> 00:12:42,679 and they chose the middle of the Pacific 176 00:12:42,680 --> 00:12:47,550 because it was the area that was most remote. 177 00:12:47,551 --> 00:12:50,120 And he was a very hard-nosed scientist. 178 00:12:50,121 --> 00:12:53,091 He really emphasized the hard data. 179 00:12:55,459 --> 00:12:57,660 It was a wonderful time for me 180 00:12:57,661 --> 00:12:59,929 because, like a lot of young people, 181 00:12:59,930 --> 00:13:03,900 I came into contact with intellectual ferment, 182 00:13:03,901 --> 00:13:07,370 ideas that I'd never considered 183 00:13:07,371 --> 00:13:10,108 in my wildest dreams before. 184 00:13:11,142 --> 00:13:13,943 And he showed our class 185 00:13:13,944 --> 00:13:18,548 the results of his measurements after only a few years. 186 00:13:18,549 --> 00:13:21,251 It was startling to me. 187 00:13:21,252 --> 00:13:24,354 Now he was startled 188 00:13:24,355 --> 00:13:26,456 and made it clear to our class 189 00:13:26,457 --> 00:13:29,492 what he felt the significance of it was. 190 00:13:29,493 --> 00:13:33,563 And I just soaked it up like a sponge. 191 00:13:33,564 --> 00:13:35,398 He drew the connections 192 00:13:35,399 --> 00:13:39,802 between the larger changes in our civilization 193 00:13:39,803 --> 00:13:43,173 and this pattern that was now visible 194 00:13:43,174 --> 00:13:45,175 in the atmosphere of the entire planet. 195 00:13:45,176 --> 00:13:48,911 And then he projected into the future where this was headed 196 00:13:48,912 --> 00:13:51,314 unless we made some adjustments. 197 00:13:51,315 --> 00:13:54,552 And it was just as clear as day. 198 00:13:57,155 --> 00:13:59,689 After the first seven, eight, nine years, 199 00:13:59,690 --> 00:14:02,892 you could see the pattern that was developing. 200 00:14:02,893 --> 00:14:04,394 But I asked a question. 201 00:14:04,395 --> 00:14:08,131 Why is it that it goes up and down once each year? 202 00:14:08,132 --> 00:14:11,801 And he explained that if you look at the land mass of the earth, 203 00:14:11,802 --> 00:14:14,837 very little of it is south of the equator. 204 00:14:14,838 --> 00:14:17,774 The vast majority of it is north of the equator, 205 00:14:17,775 --> 00:14:21,344 and most of the vegetation is north of the equator. 206 00:14:21,345 --> 00:14:25,582 And so, when the Northern Hemisphere is tilted toward the sun, 207 00:14:25,583 --> 00:14:28,151 as it is in our spring and summer, 208 00:14:28,152 --> 00:14:31,954 the leaves come out and they breathe in carbon dioxide, 209 00:14:31,955 --> 00:14:34,357 and the amount in the atmosphere goes down. 210 00:14:34,358 --> 00:14:38,161 But when the Northern Hemisphere is tilted away from the sun, 211 00:14:38,162 --> 00:14:40,430 as it is in our fall and winter, 212 00:14:40,431 --> 00:14:43,700 the leaves fall and exhale carbon dioxide, 213 00:14:43,701 --> 00:14:47,537 and the amount in the atmosphere goes back up again. 214 00:14:47,538 --> 00:14:50,240 And so, it's as if the entire earth 215 00:14:50,241 --> 00:14:52,909 once each year breaths in and out. 216 00:14:55,446 --> 00:15:00,850 So we started measuring carbon dioxide in 1958. 217 00:15:00,851 --> 00:15:02,952 And you can see 218 00:15:02,953 --> 00:15:06,656 that by the middle '60s, when he showed my class this image, 219 00:15:06,657 --> 00:15:09,025 it was already clear that it was going up. 220 00:15:09,026 --> 00:15:13,296 I respected him and learned from him so much, I followed this. 221 00:15:13,297 --> 00:15:16,833 And when I went to the Congress in the middle 1970s, 222 00:15:16,834 --> 00:15:19,702 I helped to organize the first hearings on global warming 223 00:15:19,703 --> 00:15:23,406 and asked my professor to come and be the leadoff witness. 224 00:15:23,407 --> 00:15:25,342 And I thought that would have such a big impact, 225 00:15:25,343 --> 00:15:29,145 we'd be on the way to solving this problem, but it didn't work that way. 226 00:15:29,146 --> 00:15:32,782 But I kept having hearings. And in 1984 I went to the Senate 227 00:15:32,783 --> 00:15:35,952 and really dug deeply into this issue 228 00:15:35,953 --> 00:15:38,087 with science roundtables and the like. 229 00:15:38,088 --> 00:15:42,525 I wrote a book, uh, about it, ran for President in 1988, 230 00:15:42,526 --> 00:15:45,094 partly to try to gain some visibility for that issue. 231 00:15:45,095 --> 00:15:49,632 And in 1992 went to the White House. We passed a version of a carbon tax 232 00:15:49,633 --> 00:15:52,168 and some other measures to try to address this. 233 00:15:52,169 --> 00:15:55,972 Went to Kyoto in 1997 to help get a treaty 234 00:15:55,973 --> 00:15:59,309 that's so controversial, in the US at least. 235 00:15:59,310 --> 00:16:01,411 In 2000, 236 00:16:01,412 --> 00:16:05,715 my opponent pledged to regulate CO2 and then... 237 00:16:05,716 --> 00:16:08,217 T-That--That was not a pledge that was kept. 238 00:16:08,218 --> 00:16:11,087 But the point of this is 239 00:16:11,088 --> 00:16:13,656 all this time you can see 240 00:16:13,657 --> 00:16:16,393 what I have seen all these years. 241 00:16:16,394 --> 00:16:19,696 It just keeps going up. It is relentless. 242 00:16:19,697 --> 00:16:23,566 And now we're beginning to see the impact in the real world. 243 00:16:23,567 --> 00:16:27,169 This is Mount Kilimanjaro more than 30 years ago 244 00:16:27,170 --> 00:16:28,805 and more recently. 245 00:16:28,806 --> 00:16:31,941 And a friend of mine just came back from Kilimanjaro 246 00:16:31,942 --> 00:16:34,844 with a picture he took a couple of months ago. 247 00:16:34,845 --> 00:16:37,780 Another friend, Lonnie Thompson, studies glaciers. 248 00:16:37,781 --> 00:16:43,119 Here's Lonnie with a last sliver of one of the once mighty glaciers. 249 00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:48,591 Within the decade there will be no more snows of Kilimanjaro. 250 00:16:48,592 --> 00:16:51,461 This is happening in Glacier National Park. 251 00:16:51,462 --> 00:16:55,264 I climbed to the top of this in 1998 with one of my daughters. 252 00:16:55,265 --> 00:16:59,168 Within 15 years, this will be the park formerly known as Glacier. 253 00:16:59,169 --> 00:17:03,906 Here is what's been happening year by year to the Columbia Glacier. 254 00:17:03,907 --> 00:17:07,209 It just retreats every single year. 255 00:17:07,210 --> 00:17:10,547 And it's a shame 'cause these glaciers are so beautiful. 256 00:17:10,548 --> 00:17:13,583 But those who go up to see them, 257 00:17:13,584 --> 00:17:16,587 here's what they're seeing every day, now. 258 00:17:28,131 --> 00:17:31,000 In the Himalayas, uh, there's a particular problem 259 00:17:31,001 --> 00:17:34,471 because 40 percent of all the people in the world 260 00:17:34,472 --> 00:17:37,740 get their drinking water from rivers and spring systems 261 00:17:37,741 --> 00:17:41,444 that are fed more than half by the melt water 262 00:17:41,445 --> 00:17:43,279 coming off the glaciers. 263 00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:47,984 And within this next half century those 40 percent o-of the people on Earth 264 00:17:47,985 --> 00:17:51,153 are gonna face a very serious shortage 265 00:17:51,154 --> 00:17:54,223 because o-of this melting. 266 00:17:54,224 --> 00:17:56,593 Italy, the Italian Alps. 267 00:17:56,594 --> 00:17:58,495 Same sight today. 268 00:17:58,496 --> 00:18:01,263 An old postcard from Switzerland. 269 00:18:01,264 --> 00:18:04,801 Throughout the Alps, we're seeing the same story. 270 00:18:04,802 --> 00:18:07,203 It's also true in South America. 271 00:18:07,204 --> 00:18:09,839 This is Peru 15 years ago. 272 00:18:09,840 --> 00:18:12,174 And the same glacier today. 273 00:18:12,175 --> 00:18:17,414 This is Argentina 20 years ago. Same glacier today. 274 00:18:17,415 --> 00:18:22,619 Seventy-five years ago in Patagonia on the tip of South America. 275 00:18:22,620 --> 00:18:26,957 This vast expanse of ice is now gone. 276 00:18:28,125 --> 00:18:30,226 There's a message in this. 277 00:18:30,227 --> 00:18:32,128 It is worldwide. 278 00:18:32,129 --> 00:18:34,864 And the ice has stories to tell us. 279 00:18:34,865 --> 00:18:38,100 My friend, Lonnie Thompson, digs core drills in the ice. 280 00:18:38,101 --> 00:18:39,936 They dig down 281 00:18:39,937 --> 00:18:43,440 and they bring the core drills back up and they look at the ice 282 00:18:43,441 --> 00:18:45,241 and they study it. 283 00:18:45,242 --> 00:18:49,646 When the snow falls, it traps little bubbles of atmosphere 284 00:18:49,647 --> 00:18:51,881 and they can go in and measure 285 00:18:51,882 --> 00:18:56,152 how much CO2 is in the atmosphere the year that that snow fell. 286 00:18:56,153 --> 00:18:58,855 What's even more interesting, I think, is 287 00:18:58,856 --> 00:19:02,859 they can measure the different isotopes of oxygen 288 00:19:02,860 --> 00:19:06,162 and figure out a very precise thermometer 289 00:19:06,163 --> 00:19:08,565 and tell you what the temperature was 290 00:19:08,566 --> 00:19:13,970 the year that, uh, that bubble was trapped in the snow as it fell. 291 00:19:13,971 --> 00:19:17,373 When I was in Antarctica, I saw cores like this. 292 00:19:17,374 --> 00:19:19,542 And a guy looked at it. He said, 293 00:19:19,543 --> 00:19:23,412 "Right here is where the US Congress passed the Clean Air Act." 294 00:19:23,413 --> 00:19:24,781 And I couldn't believe it. 295 00:19:24,782 --> 00:19:26,883 But you can see the difference with the naked eye. 296 00:19:26,884 --> 00:19:29,886 Just a couple of years after that law was passed, 297 00:19:29,887 --> 00:19:32,354 it's very clearly distinguishable. 298 00:19:32,355 --> 00:19:35,492 They can count back year by year 299 00:19:35,493 --> 00:19:38,160 the same way a forester reads tree rings. 300 00:19:38,161 --> 00:19:42,499 And you can see each annual layer from the melting and re-freezing, 301 00:19:42,500 --> 00:19:47,069 so they can go back in a lot of these mountain glaciers 1,000 years. 302 00:19:47,070 --> 00:19:50,873 And they constructed a thermometer of the temperature. 303 00:19:50,874 --> 00:19:55,011 The blue is cold and the red is warm. 304 00:19:55,012 --> 00:19:58,280 Now, uh, I show this for a couple of reasons. 305 00:19:58,281 --> 00:20:03,085 Number one, the so-called skeptics will sometimes say, 306 00:20:03,086 --> 00:20:06,723 "Oh, this whole thing, this is a cyclical phenomenon. 307 00:20:06,724 --> 00:20:09,592 "There was a medieval warming period, after all." 308 00:20:09,593 --> 00:20:13,230 Well, yeah, there--there was. There--There it is, right there. 309 00:20:15,198 --> 00:20:16,633 There are two others. 310 00:20:16,634 --> 00:20:19,669 But compared to what's going on now, 311 00:20:19,670 --> 00:20:21,337 there's just no comparison. 312 00:20:21,338 --> 00:20:25,508 So if you look at 1,000 years' worth of temperature 313 00:20:25,509 --> 00:20:28,878 and compare it to 1,000 years of CO2, 314 00:20:28,879 --> 00:20:33,082 you can see how closely they fit together. 315 00:20:33,083 --> 00:20:36,653 Now, 1,000 years of CO2 in the mountain glaciers, 316 00:20:36,654 --> 00:20:38,154 that's one thing. 317 00:20:38,155 --> 00:20:43,226 But in Antarctica, they can go back 650,000 years. 318 00:20:45,529 --> 00:20:48,164 This incidentally, uh, is the first time 319 00:20:48,165 --> 00:20:54,036 anybody outside of a small group of scientists has seen this image. 320 00:20:54,037 --> 00:20:57,073 This is the present day, uh, era, 321 00:20:57,074 --> 00:20:59,776 and that's the last ice age. 322 00:20:59,777 --> 00:21:03,880 Then it goes up. That... We're going back in time now 650,000 years. 323 00:21:03,881 --> 00:21:07,149 That's the period of warming between the last two ice ages. 324 00:21:07,150 --> 00:21:10,753 That's the second and third ice age back. 325 00:21:10,754 --> 00:21:13,823 Fourth, fifth, sixth 326 00:21:13,824 --> 00:21:16,525 and seventh ice age back. 327 00:21:16,526 --> 00:21:18,895 Now, an important point. 328 00:21:18,896 --> 00:21:24,066 In all of this time, 650,000 years, 329 00:21:24,067 --> 00:21:27,236 the CO2 level has never gone above 330 00:21:27,237 --> 00:21:30,139 300 parts per million. 331 00:21:30,140 --> 00:21:32,374 Now, as I said, they can also measure temperature. 332 00:21:32,375 --> 00:21:36,614 Here's what the temperature has been on our earth. 333 00:21:38,048 --> 00:21:40,917 Now, one thing that kind of jumps out at you is... 334 00:21:40,918 --> 00:21:45,087 Well, let me put it this way. If my classmate from the sixth grade 335 00:21:45,088 --> 00:21:47,690 that talked about Africa and South America were here, 336 00:21:47,691 --> 00:21:52,028 he would say, "Did--did--did-- did they ever fit together?" 337 00:21:52,029 --> 00:21:54,897 "Most ridiculous thing I've ever heard." 338 00:21:54,898 --> 00:21:56,633 But they did, of course. 339 00:21:56,634 --> 00:22:00,469 And the--the relationship is actually very complicated. 340 00:22:00,470 --> 00:22:04,040 But there is one relationship that is far more powerful 341 00:22:04,041 --> 00:22:05,875 than all the others and it is this. 342 00:22:05,876 --> 00:22:10,913 When there is more carbon dioxide, the temperature gets warmer 343 00:22:10,914 --> 00:22:14,450 because it traps more heat from the sun inside. 344 00:22:14,451 --> 00:22:18,487 In the parts of the United States that contain the modern cities 345 00:22:18,488 --> 00:22:23,025 of Cleveland, Detroit, New York, in the northern tier, 346 00:22:23,026 --> 00:22:27,163 this is the difference between a nice day 347 00:22:27,164 --> 00:22:31,367 and having a mile of ice over your head. 348 00:22:31,368 --> 00:22:35,772 Keep that in mind when you look at this fact. 349 00:22:35,773 --> 00:22:37,774 Carbon dioxide, 350 00:22:37,775 --> 00:22:41,678 having never gone above 300 parts per million, 351 00:22:41,679 --> 00:22:44,314 here is where CO2 is now. 352 00:22:48,652 --> 00:22:51,587 Way above where it's ever been 353 00:22:51,588 --> 00:22:54,090 as far back as this record will measure. 354 00:22:54,091 --> 00:22:57,526 Now, if you'll bear with me, I wanna really emphasize this point. 355 00:22:57,527 --> 00:23:00,296 The--The crew here 356 00:23:00,297 --> 00:23:03,332 has tried to teach me how to use this contraption here. 357 00:23:03,333 --> 00:23:05,902 So, if I don't kill myself, I'll... 358 00:23:13,777 --> 00:23:16,680 It's already right here. 359 00:23:17,948 --> 00:23:21,784 Look how far above the natural cycle this is, 360 00:23:21,785 --> 00:23:24,420 and we've done that. 361 00:23:24,421 --> 00:23:27,556 But, ladies and gentlemen, in the next 50 years, 362 00:23:27,557 --> 00:23:30,126 really, in less than 50 years, 363 00:23:30,127 --> 00:23:32,328 it's gonna continue to go up. 364 00:23:32,329 --> 00:23:36,465 When some of these children who are here are my age, 365 00:23:36,466 --> 00:23:40,669 here is what it's going to be in less than 50 years. 366 00:23:47,077 --> 00:23:49,747 You've heard of off the charts. 367 00:23:52,082 --> 00:23:56,385 Within less than 50 years, it'll be here. 368 00:23:56,386 --> 00:23:59,655 There's not a single fact or date or number 369 00:23:59,656 --> 00:24:03,325 that's been used to make this up that's in any controversy. 370 00:24:03,326 --> 00:24:07,196 The so-called skeptics look at this and they say, 371 00:24:07,197 --> 00:24:11,101 "So? That seems perfectly okay." 372 00:24:17,507 --> 00:24:19,876 Well, 373 00:24:19,877 --> 00:24:23,645 again, if on the temperature side, 374 00:24:23,646 --> 00:24:30,052 if this much on the cold side is a mile of ice over our heads, 375 00:24:30,053 --> 00:24:34,324 what would that much on the warm side be? 376 00:24:35,926 --> 00:24:40,797 Ultimately this is really not a political issue 377 00:24:40,798 --> 00:24:43,732 so much as a--a moral issue. 378 00:24:43,733 --> 00:24:46,468 If we allow that to happen, 379 00:24:46,469 --> 00:24:49,339 it is deeply unethical. 380 00:24:51,641 --> 00:24:55,077 I had such faith in our democratic system, 381 00:24:55,078 --> 00:24:57,313 our self-government. 382 00:24:57,314 --> 00:25:01,250 I actually thought and believed 383 00:25:01,251 --> 00:25:06,155 that the story would be compelling enough to cause a real sea change 384 00:25:06,156 --> 00:25:09,491 in the way the Congress reacted to that issue. 385 00:25:09,492 --> 00:25:13,062 I thought they would be startled, too. 386 00:25:13,063 --> 00:25:14,998 And they weren't. 387 00:25:18,268 --> 00:25:20,402 The struggles, 388 00:25:20,403 --> 00:25:26,175 the victories that aren't really victories, the defeats that aren't really defeats. 389 00:25:26,176 --> 00:25:30,546 They can serve to magnify the significance 390 00:25:30,547 --> 00:25:34,016 of some trivial step forward, 391 00:25:34,017 --> 00:25:38,554 exaggerate the seeming importance 392 00:25:38,555 --> 00:25:40,924 of some massive setback. 393 00:25:44,962 --> 00:25:47,464 April 3, 1989. 394 00:25:48,932 --> 00:25:51,600 My son pulled loose from my hand 395 00:25:51,601 --> 00:25:54,171 and chased his friend across the street. 396 00:25:56,739 --> 00:25:58,541 He was six years old. 397 00:26:01,478 --> 00:26:04,281 The machine was breathing for him. 398 00:26:07,684 --> 00:26:11,088 We were possibly going to lose him. 399 00:26:15,325 --> 00:26:18,561 He finally, uh, took a breath. 400 00:26:21,464 --> 00:26:24,868 We stayed in the hospital for a month. 401 00:26:26,870 --> 00:26:30,239 It was almost as if, uh, 402 00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:33,309 you could look at that calendar and just go... 403 00:26:33,310 --> 00:26:36,879 And everything just flew off. 404 00:26:36,880 --> 00:26:39,282 Seemed trivial, insignificant. 405 00:26:40,884 --> 00:26:43,219 He was so brave. He was such... 406 00:26:43,220 --> 00:26:46,523 Uh, he was such a--a brave guy. 407 00:26:49,092 --> 00:26:51,894 It just turned my whole world upside down 408 00:26:51,895 --> 00:26:56,832 and then shook it until everything fell out. 409 00:26:56,833 --> 00:27:02,304 My way of being in the world, it just changed everything for me. 410 00:27:02,305 --> 00:27:05,342 How should I spend my time on this earth? 411 00:27:11,014 --> 00:27:13,415 I really dug in, 412 00:27:13,416 --> 00:27:17,219 trying to learn about it much more deeply. 413 00:27:17,220 --> 00:27:19,355 I went to Antarctica. 414 00:27:19,356 --> 00:27:22,024 Went to the South Pole, the North Pole, the Amazon. 415 00:27:22,025 --> 00:27:27,229 Went to places where scientists could help me understand 416 00:27:27,230 --> 00:27:29,731 parts of the issue that 417 00:27:29,732 --> 00:27:32,669 I didn't really understand in depth. 418 00:27:36,706 --> 00:27:40,443 The possibility of losing what was most precious to me. 419 00:27:41,644 --> 00:27:44,780 I gained a-an ability 420 00:27:46,383 --> 00:27:49,686 that maybe I didn't have before. 421 00:27:50,887 --> 00:27:52,654 But when I felt it, 422 00:27:52,655 --> 00:27:57,060 I felt that we could really lose it, 423 00:27:58,928 --> 00:28:03,633 that what we take for granted might not be here for our children. 424 00:28:06,336 --> 00:28:09,171 These are actual measurements of atmospheric temperatures 425 00:28:09,172 --> 00:28:11,473 since our Civil War. 426 00:28:11,474 --> 00:28:14,643 In any given year, it might look like it's going down, 427 00:28:14,644 --> 00:28:17,713 but the overall trend is extremely clear. 428 00:28:17,714 --> 00:28:19,448 And in recent years, 429 00:28:19,449 --> 00:28:23,952 it's uninterrupted and it is intensifying. 430 00:28:23,953 --> 00:28:28,257 In fact, if you look at the 10 hottest years ever measured 431 00:28:28,258 --> 00:28:30,292 in this atmospheric record, 432 00:28:30,293 --> 00:28:33,395 they've all occurred in the last 14 years. 433 00:28:33,396 --> 00:28:38,100 And the hottest of all was 2005. 434 00:28:38,101 --> 00:28:41,370 We have already seen some of the heat waves 435 00:28:41,371 --> 00:28:43,605 that are similar to what scientists are saying 436 00:28:43,606 --> 00:28:45,374 are gonna be a lot more common. 437 00:28:45,375 --> 00:28:46,875 Couple of years ago in Europe 438 00:28:46,876 --> 00:28:49,111 they had that massive heat wave 439 00:28:49,112 --> 00:28:52,648 that killed 35,000 people. 440 00:28:52,649 --> 00:28:55,584 India didn't get as much attention, 441 00:28:55,585 --> 00:28:58,354 but the same year the temperature there went 442 00:28:58,355 --> 00:29:01,557 to 122 degrees Fahrenheit. 443 00:29:01,558 --> 00:29:04,026 This past summer in the American West, 444 00:29:04,027 --> 00:29:07,963 there were a lot of cities that broke all-time records for high temperatures 445 00:29:07,964 --> 00:29:13,335 and number of consecutive days with 100 degree temperature or more. 446 00:29:13,336 --> 00:29:18,107 Two hundred cities and towns in the west set all-time records. 447 00:29:18,108 --> 00:29:22,511 And in the east there were a lot of cities that did the same thing. 448 00:29:22,512 --> 00:29:26,082 Including, incidentally, New Orleans. 449 00:29:26,083 --> 00:29:30,086 So the temperature increases are taking place all over the world, 450 00:29:30,087 --> 00:29:32,088 including in the oceans. 451 00:29:32,089 --> 00:29:36,592 This is the natural range of variability for temperature in the oceans. 452 00:29:36,593 --> 00:29:38,394 You know, people say, "Oh, it's just natural. 453 00:29:38,395 --> 00:29:40,796 "It goes up and down, so don't worry about it." 454 00:29:40,797 --> 00:29:45,101 This is the range that would be expected over the last 60 years, 455 00:29:45,102 --> 00:29:48,970 but the scientists who specialize in global warming have computer models 456 00:29:48,971 --> 00:29:54,710 that long ago predicted this range of temperature increase. 457 00:29:54,711 --> 00:29:57,246 Now I'm gonna show you, recently released, 458 00:29:57,247 --> 00:30:01,183 the actual ocean temperatures. 459 00:30:01,184 --> 00:30:06,222 And, of course, when the oceans get warmer, that causes stronger storms. 460 00:30:06,223 --> 00:30:08,990 We have seen in the last couple of years 461 00:30:08,991 --> 00:30:10,726 a lot of big hurricanes. 462 00:30:10,727 --> 00:30:15,664 Hurricane Jeanne and Frances and Ivan were among them. 463 00:30:15,665 --> 00:30:19,535 And the same year that we had that string of big hurricanes, 464 00:30:19,536 --> 00:30:23,505 we also set an all-time record for tornadoes in the United States. 465 00:30:23,506 --> 00:30:27,576 Japan again didn't get as much attention in our news media, 466 00:30:27,577 --> 00:30:30,546 but they set an all-time record for typhoons. 467 00:30:30,547 --> 00:30:31,980 Previous record was seven. 468 00:30:31,981 --> 00:30:36,185 Here are all 10 of the ones they had in 2004. 469 00:30:36,186 --> 00:30:38,320 The science textbooks have had to be rewritten 470 00:30:38,321 --> 00:30:42,224 because they say that it's impossible to have a hurricane in the South Atlantic. 471 00:30:42,225 --> 00:30:44,960 But the same year the first one ever hit Brazil. 472 00:30:44,961 --> 00:30:48,530 Summer of 2005 has been one for the books. 473 00:30:48,531 --> 00:30:52,168 The first one was Emily that socked into Yucatan. 474 00:30:52,169 --> 00:30:56,138 Then Hurricane Dennis came along and it did a lot of damage, 475 00:30:56,139 --> 00:30:58,140 including to the oil industry. 476 00:30:58,141 --> 00:31:02,544 This is the largest oil platform in the world after Dennis went through. 477 00:31:02,545 --> 00:31:05,781 This one was driven into the bridge at Mobile. 478 00:31:05,782 --> 00:31:09,318 And then, of course, came Katrina. 479 00:31:09,319 --> 00:31:14,190 It's worth remembering that when it hit Florida, it was a Category One. 480 00:31:14,191 --> 00:31:18,126 But it killed a lot of people and caused billions of dollars' worth of damage. 481 00:31:18,127 --> 00:31:20,429 And then what happened? 482 00:31:20,430 --> 00:31:22,464 Before it hit New Orleans, 483 00:31:22,465 --> 00:31:25,634 it went over warmer waters. 484 00:31:25,635 --> 00:31:29,037 As the water temperature increases, 485 00:31:29,038 --> 00:31:31,440 the wind velocity increases 486 00:31:31,441 --> 00:31:34,776 and the moisture content increases. 487 00:31:34,777 --> 00:31:37,946 And you'll see Hurricane Katrina form over Florida. 488 00:31:37,947 --> 00:31:41,350 And then as it comes into the gulf over that warm water, 489 00:31:41,351 --> 00:31:45,487 it picks up that energy and gets stronger and stronger and stronger. 490 00:31:45,488 --> 00:31:47,489 Look at that hurricane's eye. 491 00:31:47,490 --> 00:31:52,761 And, of course, the--the consequences were so horrendous, 492 00:31:52,762 --> 00:31:55,898 there are no words, uh, to describe it. 493 00:32:19,622 --> 00:32:23,325 Yeah, we're getting reports and calls that are just breaking my heart. 494 00:32:23,326 --> 00:32:27,663 From people saying, "I've been in my attic. I can't take it anymore. 495 00:32:27,664 --> 00:32:32,568 "The water is up to my-- up to my neck. I don't think I can hold out." 496 00:32:32,569 --> 00:32:34,803 And that's happening as we speak. 497 00:32:34,804 --> 00:32:39,074 We told-- We told everybody the importance of the 17th Street Canal issue. 498 00:32:39,075 --> 00:32:41,877 We said, "Please, please, take care of this. 499 00:32:41,878 --> 00:32:44,481 "We don't care what you do. Figure it out." 500 00:32:51,888 --> 00:32:54,491 Something new for America. 501 00:32:57,026 --> 00:33:01,698 But how in God's name could that happen here? 502 00:33:04,133 --> 00:33:08,870 There had been warnings that hurricanes would get stronger. 503 00:33:08,871 --> 00:33:11,873 There were warnings that this hurricane, 504 00:33:11,874 --> 00:33:15,010 days before it hit, would breach the levees, 505 00:33:15,011 --> 00:33:19,515 would cause the kind of damage that it ultimately did cause. 506 00:33:19,516 --> 00:33:23,752 And one question we as a people need to decide 507 00:33:23,753 --> 00:33:27,623 is how we react when we hear warnings 508 00:33:27,624 --> 00:33:31,192 from the leading scientists in the world. 509 00:33:31,193 --> 00:33:35,831 There was another storm in the 1930s of a different kind. 510 00:33:35,832 --> 00:33:39,901 A horrible, unprecedented storm in continental Europe, 511 00:33:39,902 --> 00:33:45,841 and Winston Churchill warned the people of England 512 00:33:45,842 --> 00:33:49,611 that it was different from anything that had ever happened before 513 00:33:49,612 --> 00:33:52,113 and they had to get ready for it. 514 00:33:52,114 --> 00:33:55,917 And he... A-And--And a lot of people did not want to believe it. 515 00:33:55,918 --> 00:33:59,187 And he got real impatient with all the dithering. 516 00:33:59,188 --> 00:34:01,122 And he said this, 517 00:34:17,039 --> 00:34:21,142 Making mistakes in generations and centuries past 518 00:34:21,143 --> 00:34:25,581 would have consequences that we could overcome. 519 00:34:25,582 --> 00:34:28,316 We don't have that luxury anymore. 520 00:34:28,317 --> 00:34:30,387 We didn't ask for it, 521 00:34:31,253 --> 00:34:33,221 but here it is. 522 00:34:33,222 --> 00:34:36,191 Al Gore is the winner of the national popular vote. 523 00:34:36,192 --> 00:34:40,028 But the state of Florida, whomever wins there wins the White House. 524 00:34:40,029 --> 00:34:42,498 We call Florida, in the Al Gore column... 525 00:34:42,499 --> 00:34:46,368 MALE ANNOUNCER #2: Bulletin: Florida pulled back into the undecided column. 526 00:34:46,369 --> 00:34:49,405 George Bush is the president elect of the United States. He is... 527 00:34:49,406 --> 00:34:52,974 Florida goes Bush. The presidency is Bush. That's it. 528 00:34:52,975 --> 00:34:55,844 GORE: And at 2:18 this morning, we project... 529 00:34:55,845 --> 00:35:00,349 All right, we're officially saying that Florida is too close to call. 530 00:35:24,907 --> 00:35:29,177 While I strongly disagree with the court's decision, 531 00:35:29,178 --> 00:35:30,579 I accept it. 532 00:35:30,580 --> 00:35:33,450 I accept the finality of this outcome. 533 00:35:41,691 --> 00:35:43,291 ...do solemnly swear... 534 00:35:43,292 --> 00:35:45,727 I, George Walker Bush, do solemnly swear... 535 00:35:45,728 --> 00:35:48,665 ...that I will faithfully execute the office of... 536 00:36:00,176 --> 00:36:03,680 Well, that was a hard blow, but... 537 00:36:06,215 --> 00:36:08,485 What do you do? You... 538 00:36:10,753 --> 00:36:12,855 You make the best of it. 539 00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:27,669 It brought into clear focus 540 00:36:27,670 --> 00:36:32,207 the mission that I had been pursuing 541 00:36:32,208 --> 00:36:34,976 for all these years, and 542 00:36:36,178 --> 00:36:40,482 I started, uh, giving the slide show again. 543 00:36:47,289 --> 00:36:50,559 One often unnoticed effect of global warming 544 00:36:50,560 --> 00:36:52,494 is it causes more precipitation, 545 00:36:52,495 --> 00:36:56,231 but more of it coming in one-time big storm events. 546 00:36:56,232 --> 00:37:00,135 Because the evaporation off the oceans puts all the moisture up there, 547 00:37:00,136 --> 00:37:04,005 when storm conditions trigger the downpour, more of it falls down. 548 00:37:04,006 --> 00:37:07,375 The insurance industry has actually noticed this. 549 00:37:07,376 --> 00:37:10,011 Their recovered losses are going up. 550 00:37:10,012 --> 00:37:12,514 You see the damage from these severe weather events? 551 00:37:12,515 --> 00:37:16,084 And 2005 is not even on this yet. 552 00:37:16,085 --> 00:37:19,555 When it does, it'll be off that chart. 553 00:37:19,556 --> 00:37:24,092 Europe has just had a year very similar to the one we've had 554 00:37:24,093 --> 00:37:27,462 where they say nature's been going crazy. 555 00:37:27,463 --> 00:37:30,131 All kinds of unusual catastrophes, 556 00:37:30,132 --> 00:37:32,869 like a nature hike through the Book of Revelations. 557 00:37:34,303 --> 00:37:35,904 Flooding in Asia. 558 00:37:35,905 --> 00:37:38,974 Mumbai, India this past July. 559 00:37:38,975 --> 00:37:42,678 Thirty-seven inches of rain in 24 hours. 560 00:37:42,679 --> 00:37:45,814 By far, the largest downpour 561 00:37:45,815 --> 00:37:49,585 that any city in India has ever received. 562 00:37:49,586 --> 00:37:52,120 Lot of flooding in China, also. 563 00:37:52,121 --> 00:37:57,225 Global warming, paradoxically, causes not only more flooding, 564 00:37:57,226 --> 00:37:59,094 but also more drought. 565 00:37:59,095 --> 00:38:02,898 This neighboring province right next door 566 00:38:02,899 --> 00:38:08,036 had a severe drought at the same time these areas were flooding. 567 00:38:08,037 --> 00:38:10,772 One of the reasons for this has to do with the fact 568 00:38:10,773 --> 00:38:15,944 that global warming not only increases precipitation worldwide, 569 00:38:15,945 --> 00:38:19,247 but it also relocates the precipitation. 570 00:38:19,248 --> 00:38:23,218 And focus most of all on this part of Africa 571 00:38:23,219 --> 00:38:26,154 just on the edge of the Sahara. 572 00:38:26,155 --> 00:38:29,224 Unbelievable tragedies have been unfolding there, 573 00:38:29,225 --> 00:38:32,293 and there are a lot of reasons for it. 574 00:38:32,294 --> 00:38:37,799 But Darfur and Niger are among those tragedies. 575 00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:41,302 And one of the factors that has been compounding them 576 00:38:41,303 --> 00:38:44,740 is the lack of rainfall and the increasing drought. 577 00:38:44,741 --> 00:38:50,278 This is Lake Chad, once one of the largest lakes in the world. 578 00:38:50,279 --> 00:38:55,183 It has dried up over the last few decades to almost nothing, 579 00:38:55,184 --> 00:38:59,655 vastly complicating the other problems that they also have. 580 00:38:59,656 --> 00:39:01,623 The second reason 581 00:39:01,624 --> 00:39:05,026 why this is a paradox. 582 00:39:05,027 --> 00:39:08,730 Global warming creates more evaporation off the oceans 583 00:39:08,731 --> 00:39:10,231 to seed the clouds, 584 00:39:10,232 --> 00:39:14,169 but it sucks moisture out of the soil. 585 00:39:14,170 --> 00:39:18,073 Soil evaporation increases dramatically 586 00:39:18,074 --> 00:39:20,175 with higher temperatures. 587 00:39:20,176 --> 00:39:24,847 And that has consequences for us in the United States, as well. 588 00:39:25,748 --> 00:39:29,184 So this is the Carthage exit. 589 00:39:29,185 --> 00:39:32,889 When I was 14 years old, I totaled the family car 590 00:39:34,456 --> 00:39:36,692 right there. 591 00:39:36,693 --> 00:39:40,696 Went off that shoulder, turned it over. 592 00:39:40,697 --> 00:39:44,365 And see this Black Angus bull? 593 00:39:44,366 --> 00:39:46,769 We raised Black Angus. 594 00:39:50,172 --> 00:39:53,374 My father was named Breeder of the Month. 595 00:39:55,277 --> 00:39:57,313 He grew up on a farm. 596 00:39:59,048 --> 00:40:01,983 All through his career in the Senate, 597 00:40:01,984 --> 00:40:05,887 he continued to come back here and raise cattle. 598 00:40:05,888 --> 00:40:09,892 Learning it from your dad on the land, 599 00:40:12,194 --> 00:40:15,964 that's really something special. 600 00:40:15,965 --> 00:40:21,602 My, uh, childhood upbringing was a little unusual in the sense that 601 00:40:21,603 --> 00:40:26,041 I spent eight months of each year in Washington DC 602 00:40:26,042 --> 00:40:29,978 in a--a small little hotel apartment. 603 00:40:29,979 --> 00:40:34,817 And then the other four months were spent here on this big, beautiful farm. 604 00:40:36,685 --> 00:40:38,320 I had a dog here. 605 00:40:39,455 --> 00:40:41,857 I had a pony here. 606 00:40:41,858 --> 00:40:43,992 I could, uh, shoot my rifle here. 607 00:40:43,993 --> 00:40:48,063 I could-- I could go swimming in the river here. 608 00:40:48,064 --> 00:40:51,734 Go out and lay down in the grass. 609 00:40:58,240 --> 00:41:01,542 As a kid, it took me a while 610 00:41:01,543 --> 00:41:04,847 to learn the difference between fun and work. 611 00:41:11,053 --> 00:41:14,489 The places where people live were chosen 612 00:41:14,490 --> 00:41:16,724 because of the climate pattern 613 00:41:16,725 --> 00:41:20,862 that has been pretty much the same on Earth 614 00:41:20,863 --> 00:41:24,934 since the end of the last ice age 11,000 years ago. 615 00:41:26,468 --> 00:41:30,738 Here, on this farm, the patterns are changing. 616 00:41:30,739 --> 00:41:34,209 And it seems gradual in the course of a human lifetime 617 00:41:34,210 --> 00:41:39,180 but in the course of time, as defined by this river, 618 00:41:39,181 --> 00:41:43,185 it's happening very, very quickly. 619 00:41:45,654 --> 00:41:48,056 Two canaries in the coal mine. 620 00:41:48,057 --> 00:41:50,158 First one is in the Arctic. 621 00:41:50,159 --> 00:41:53,761 This, of course, is the Arctic Ocean, the floating ice cap. 622 00:41:53,762 --> 00:41:56,597 Greenland, on its side there. 623 00:41:56,598 --> 00:41:58,133 I say canary in the coal mine 624 00:41:58,134 --> 00:42:01,336 because the Arctic is one of the two regions of the world 625 00:42:01,337 --> 00:42:05,406 that, uh, is experiencing faster impacts 626 00:42:05,407 --> 00:42:06,875 from global warming. 627 00:42:06,876 --> 00:42:10,078 This is the largest ice shelf in the Arctic, 628 00:42:10,079 --> 00:42:12,113 the Ward Hunt Ice Shelf. 629 00:42:12,114 --> 00:42:14,082 It just cracked in half three years ago. 630 00:42:14,083 --> 00:42:16,651 The scientists were astonished. 631 00:42:16,652 --> 00:42:20,321 These are called drunken trees just going every which way. 632 00:42:20,322 --> 00:42:23,724 This is not caused by wind damage or alcohol consumption. 633 00:42:23,725 --> 00:42:29,064 These trees put their roots down in the permafrost, 634 00:42:29,065 --> 00:42:31,066 and the permafrost is thawing. 635 00:42:31,067 --> 00:42:34,335 And so they just go every which way now. 636 00:42:34,336 --> 00:42:37,338 This building was built on the, uh, permafrost 637 00:42:37,339 --> 00:42:40,241 and has collapsed as the permafrost thaws. 638 00:42:40,242 --> 00:42:43,879 This woman's house, uh, has had to be abandoned. 639 00:42:43,880 --> 00:42:48,416 The pipeline is suffering a great deal of structural damage. 640 00:42:48,417 --> 00:42:53,254 And incidentally, the oil that they want to produce in that protected area 641 00:42:53,255 --> 00:42:55,756 in Northern Alaska, which I hope they don't, 642 00:42:55,757 --> 00:42:59,527 they have to depend on trucks to go in and out of there. 643 00:42:59,528 --> 00:43:03,198 And the trucks go over the frozen ground. 644 00:43:03,199 --> 00:43:07,735 This shows the number of days that the tundra in Alaska is 645 00:43:07,736 --> 00:43:09,504 frozen enough to drive on it. 646 00:43:09,505 --> 00:43:14,809 Thirty-five years ago, 225 days a year. 647 00:43:14,810 --> 00:43:18,313 Now it's below 75 days a year 648 00:43:18,314 --> 00:43:22,450 because the spring comes earlier and the fall comes later 649 00:43:22,451 --> 00:43:25,987 and the temperatures just keep on going up. 650 00:43:25,988 --> 00:43:27,722 I went up to the North Pole. 651 00:43:27,723 --> 00:43:31,292 I went under that ice cap in a nuclear submarine 652 00:43:31,293 --> 00:43:34,495 that surfaced through the ice like this. 653 00:43:34,496 --> 00:43:37,999 Since they started patrolling in 1957, 654 00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:40,401 they have gone under the ice 655 00:43:40,402 --> 00:43:43,804 and measured with their radar looking upwards 656 00:43:43,805 --> 00:43:45,173 to measure how thick it is 657 00:43:45,174 --> 00:43:47,342 because they can only surface in areas 658 00:43:47,343 --> 00:43:50,445 where it's three and a half feet thick or less. 659 00:43:50,446 --> 00:43:53,114 So they have kept a meticulous record 660 00:43:53,115 --> 00:43:55,984 and they wouldn't release it because it was national security. 661 00:43:55,985 --> 00:43:59,787 I went up there in order to persuade them to release it, and they did. 662 00:43:59,788 --> 00:44:02,357 And here's what that record shows. 663 00:44:02,358 --> 00:44:06,761 Starting in 1970, there was a precipitous drop-off 664 00:44:06,762 --> 00:44:11,299 in the amount and extent and thickness of the Arctic ice cap. 665 00:44:11,300 --> 00:44:15,570 It has diminished by 40 percent in 40 years. 666 00:44:15,571 --> 00:44:18,206 And there are now two major studies showing 667 00:44:18,207 --> 00:44:20,641 that within the next 50 to 70 years, 668 00:44:20,642 --> 00:44:24,079 in summertime it will be completely gone. 669 00:44:24,080 --> 00:44:26,714 Now, you might say, "Why is that a problem?" 670 00:44:26,715 --> 00:44:32,253 And "How could the Arctic ice cap actually melt so quickly?" 671 00:44:32,254 --> 00:44:34,755 When the sun's rays hit the ice, 672 00:44:34,756 --> 00:44:39,094 more than 90 percent of it bounces off right back into space like a mirror. 673 00:44:39,095 --> 00:44:43,464 But when it hits the open ocean, more than 90 percent of it is absorbed. 674 00:44:43,465 --> 00:44:46,501 And so, as the surrounding water gets warmer, 675 00:44:46,502 --> 00:44:50,238 it speeds up the melting of the ice. 676 00:44:50,239 --> 00:44:53,841 Right now, the Arctic ice cap acts like a giant mirror. 677 00:44:53,842 --> 00:44:57,212 All the sun's rays bounce off, more than 90 percent. 678 00:44:57,213 --> 00:44:59,547 It keeps the earth cooler. 679 00:44:59,548 --> 00:45:01,016 But as it melts 680 00:45:01,017 --> 00:45:04,652 and the open ocean receives that sun's energy instead, 681 00:45:04,653 --> 00:45:07,088 more than 90 percent is absorbed. 682 00:45:07,089 --> 00:45:11,026 So there is a faster buildup of heat here, 683 00:45:11,027 --> 00:45:13,628 at the North Pole, in the Arctic Ocean, 684 00:45:13,629 --> 00:45:18,599 and the Arctic generally than anywhere else on the planet. 685 00:45:18,600 --> 00:45:23,472 That's not good for creatures like polar bears who depend on the ice. 686 00:45:24,573 --> 00:45:27,075 A new scientific study shows that 687 00:45:27,076 --> 00:45:33,014 for the first time they're finding polar bears that have actually drowned, 688 00:45:33,015 --> 00:45:37,718 swimming long distances, up to 60 miles, to find the ice. 689 00:45:37,719 --> 00:45:40,521 And they didn't find that before. 690 00:45:40,522 --> 00:45:42,623 But what does it mean to us? 691 00:45:42,624 --> 00:45:45,960 To look at a vast expanse of open water 692 00:45:45,961 --> 00:45:50,631 at the top of our world that used to be covered by ice. 693 00:45:50,632 --> 00:45:52,367 We ought to care a lot 694 00:45:52,368 --> 00:45:55,303 because it has planetary effects. 695 00:45:55,304 --> 00:46:00,241 The earth's climate is like a big engine for redistributing heat 696 00:46:00,242 --> 00:46:02,143 from the equator to the poles. 697 00:46:02,144 --> 00:46:06,481 And it does that by means of ocean currents and wind currents. 698 00:46:06,482 --> 00:46:08,649 They tell us, the scientists do, 699 00:46:08,650 --> 00:46:11,052 that the earth's climate is a nonlinear system. 700 00:46:11,053 --> 00:46:14,255 Just a fancy way they have of saying 701 00:46:14,256 --> 00:46:17,692 that the changes are not all just gradual. 702 00:46:17,693 --> 00:46:20,795 Some of them come suddenly, in big jumps. 703 00:46:20,796 --> 00:46:24,499 On a worldwide basis, the annual average temperature is 704 00:46:24,500 --> 00:46:27,502 about 58 degrees Fahrenheit. 705 00:46:27,503 --> 00:46:31,339 If we have an increase of five degrees, 706 00:46:31,340 --> 00:46:34,442 which is on the low end of the projections, 707 00:46:34,443 --> 00:46:36,511 look at how that translates globally. 708 00:46:36,512 --> 00:46:40,248 That means an increase of only one degree at the equator, 709 00:46:40,249 --> 00:46:43,384 but more than 12 degrees at the pole. 710 00:46:43,385 --> 00:46:46,554 And so all those wind and ocean current patterns 711 00:46:46,555 --> 00:46:51,392 that have formed since the last ice age and have been relatively stable, 712 00:46:51,393 --> 00:46:54,862 they're all up in the air and they change. 713 00:46:54,863 --> 00:46:56,931 And one of the ones they're most worried about, 714 00:46:56,932 --> 00:47:01,136 where they've spent a lot of time, uh, studying the problem, 715 00:47:01,137 --> 00:47:03,271 is in the North Atlantic 716 00:47:03,272 --> 00:47:06,341 where the Gulf Stream comes up and meets the cold winds 717 00:47:06,342 --> 00:47:08,609 coming off the Arctic over Greenland. 718 00:47:08,610 --> 00:47:12,380 And that evaporates so that the heat out of the Gulf Stream 719 00:47:12,381 --> 00:47:14,515 and the steam is carried over to Western Europe 720 00:47:14,516 --> 00:47:17,152 by the prevailing winds and the earth's rotation. 721 00:47:17,153 --> 00:47:20,255 But isn't it interesting that the whole ocean current system 722 00:47:20,256 --> 00:47:22,757 is all linked together in this loop? 723 00:47:22,758 --> 00:47:25,493 They call it the ocean conveyor. 724 00:47:25,494 --> 00:47:28,829 And the red are the warm surface currents. 725 00:47:28,830 --> 00:47:31,266 The Gulf Stream is the best known of them. 726 00:47:31,267 --> 00:47:34,569 But the blue represent the cold currents 727 00:47:34,570 --> 00:47:36,704 running in the opposite direction, 728 00:47:36,705 --> 00:47:41,409 and we don't see them at all because they run along the bottom of the ocean. 729 00:47:41,410 --> 00:47:46,314 Up in the North Atlantic, after that heat is pulled out, 730 00:47:46,315 --> 00:47:50,050 what's left behind is colder water and saltier water 731 00:47:50,051 --> 00:47:52,187 because the salt doesn't go anywhere. 732 00:47:52,188 --> 00:47:55,122 And so that makes it denser and heavier. 733 00:47:55,123 --> 00:47:58,393 And so that cold, dense, heavy water sinks 734 00:47:58,394 --> 00:48:03,264 at the rate of five billion gallons per second. 735 00:48:03,265 --> 00:48:07,268 And then that pulls that current back south. 736 00:48:07,269 --> 00:48:09,637 At the end of the last ice age, 737 00:48:09,638 --> 00:48:13,741 as the last glacier was receding from North America, 738 00:48:13,742 --> 00:48:17,912 the ice melted and a giant pool of fresh water 739 00:48:17,913 --> 00:48:19,614 formed in North America. 740 00:48:19,615 --> 00:48:23,818 And the Great Lakes are the remnants of that huge lake. 741 00:48:23,819 --> 00:48:29,257 An ice dam on the eastern border formed and one day it broke. 742 00:48:29,258 --> 00:48:32,460 And all that fresh water came rushing out, 743 00:48:32,461 --> 00:48:35,062 ripping open the St. Lawrence there, 744 00:48:35,063 --> 00:48:38,766 and it diluted the salty, dense, cold water, 745 00:48:38,767 --> 00:48:43,170 made it fresher and lighter, so it stopped sinking. 746 00:48:43,171 --> 00:48:44,405 And that pump 747 00:48:44,406 --> 00:48:46,407 shut off. 748 00:48:46,408 --> 00:48:48,609 And the heat transfer stopped. 749 00:48:48,610 --> 00:48:53,080 And Europe went back into an ice age for another 900 to 1,000 years. 750 00:48:53,081 --> 00:48:58,052 And the change from conditions like we have here today 751 00:48:58,053 --> 00:48:59,687 to an ice age 752 00:48:59,688 --> 00:49:04,225 took place in perhaps as little as 10 years' time. 753 00:49:04,226 --> 00:49:06,561 So that's a sudden jump. 754 00:49:06,562 --> 00:49:09,530 Now, of course that's not gonna, uh, happen again 755 00:49:09,531 --> 00:49:12,800 because the glaciers of North America are not there, and... 756 00:49:12,801 --> 00:49:17,638 Is there any other big chunk of ice anywhere near there? 757 00:49:17,639 --> 00:49:19,674 Oh, yeah. 758 00:49:19,675 --> 00:49:21,910 We'll come back to that one. 759 00:49:42,063 --> 00:49:47,502 It's extremely frustrating to me 760 00:49:47,503 --> 00:49:52,508 to--to communicate over and over again, as clearly as I can. 761 00:49:57,112 --> 00:49:59,847 And we are still, by far, 762 00:49:59,848 --> 00:50:02,718 the worst contributor to the problem. 763 00:50:07,323 --> 00:50:08,923 And I look around 764 00:50:08,924 --> 00:50:12,760 and look for really meaningful signs 765 00:50:12,761 --> 00:50:15,931 that we're about to really change. 766 00:50:18,166 --> 00:50:20,435 I don't see it right now. 767 00:50:20,436 --> 00:50:23,103 A number of very reputable scientists have said 768 00:50:23,104 --> 00:50:25,105 that one factor of air pollution 769 00:50:25,106 --> 00:50:28,643 is oxides of nitrogen from decaying vegetation. 770 00:50:28,644 --> 00:50:33,581 This is what causes the haze that gave the big Smoky Mountains their name. 771 00:50:33,582 --> 00:50:35,950 Thank you very much, okay. 772 00:50:35,951 --> 00:50:39,587 This guy is so far off in the environmental extreme, 773 00:50:39,588 --> 00:50:44,325 we'll be up to our neck in owls and out of work for every American. 774 00:50:44,326 --> 00:50:46,394 This guy is crazy. 775 00:50:46,395 --> 00:50:50,965 Even if humans were causing global warming, and--and we are not, 776 00:50:50,966 --> 00:50:54,134 this could be maybe the greatest hoax ever perpetrated 777 00:50:54,135 --> 00:50:56,103 on the American people. 778 00:50:56,104 --> 00:50:59,475 We're dealing with something that's highly emotional. 779 00:51:00,442 --> 00:51:04,144 If an issue is not 780 00:51:04,145 --> 00:51:09,083 on the tips of their constituents' tongues, 781 00:51:09,084 --> 00:51:11,887 it's easy for them to ignore it. 782 00:51:17,693 --> 00:51:21,963 To say, "Well, we'll deal with that tomorrow." 783 00:51:26,968 --> 00:51:30,538 So the same phenomena of changing all these patterns 784 00:51:30,539 --> 00:51:33,408 is also affecting the seasons. 785 00:51:33,409 --> 00:51:35,810 Here is a study from the Netherlands. 786 00:51:35,811 --> 00:51:39,480 The peak arrival date for migratory birds 787 00:51:39,481 --> 00:51:42,450 25 years ago was April 25th, 788 00:51:42,451 --> 00:51:45,185 and their chicks hatched on June the 3rd. 789 00:51:45,186 --> 00:51:49,223 Just at the time when the caterpillars were coming out. 790 00:51:49,224 --> 00:51:52,059 Nature's, uh, plan. 791 00:51:52,060 --> 00:51:54,962 But 20 years of warming later, 792 00:51:54,963 --> 00:51:57,432 the caterpillars peaked two weeks earlier, 793 00:51:57,433 --> 00:52:02,503 and the chicks tried to catch up with it, but they couldn't. 794 00:52:02,504 --> 00:52:04,104 And so, they're in trouble. 795 00:52:04,105 --> 00:52:07,408 And there are millions of ecological niches 796 00:52:07,409 --> 00:52:11,111 that are affected by global warming in just this way. 797 00:52:11,112 --> 00:52:15,516 This is the number of days with frost in Southern Switzerland 798 00:52:15,517 --> 00:52:17,051 over the last 100 years. 799 00:52:17,052 --> 00:52:19,620 It has gone down rapidly. But now watch this. 800 00:52:19,621 --> 00:52:23,724 This is the number of invasive exotic species 801 00:52:23,725 --> 00:52:28,996 that have rushed in to fill the new ecological niches that are opening up. 802 00:52:28,997 --> 00:52:31,666 That's happening here in the United States, too. 803 00:52:31,667 --> 00:52:34,234 You've heard of the pine beetle problem? 804 00:52:34,235 --> 00:52:38,305 Those pine beetles used to be killed by the cold winters, 805 00:52:38,306 --> 00:52:40,541 but there are fewer days of frost, 806 00:52:40,542 --> 00:52:43,310 and so the pine trees are being devastated. 807 00:52:43,311 --> 00:52:48,649 This is part of 14 million acres of spruce trees in Alaska 808 00:52:48,650 --> 00:52:52,820 that have been killed by bark beetles. The exact same phenomenon. 809 00:52:52,821 --> 00:52:55,289 There are cities that were founded 810 00:52:55,290 --> 00:52:58,158 because they were just above the mosquito line. 811 00:52:58,159 --> 00:53:02,129 Nairobi is one, Harare is another. There are plenty of others. 812 00:53:02,130 --> 00:53:06,433 Now the mosquitoes, with warming, are climbing to higher altitudes. 813 00:53:06,434 --> 00:53:11,005 There are a lot of vectors for infectious diseases that are worrisome to us 814 00:53:11,006 --> 00:53:13,140 that are also expanding their range. 815 00:53:13,141 --> 00:53:16,176 Not only mosquitoes, but all of these others as well. 816 00:53:16,177 --> 00:53:19,146 And we've had 30 so-called new diseases 817 00:53:19,147 --> 00:53:22,650 that have emerged just in the last quarter century. 818 00:53:22,651 --> 00:53:26,887 And a lot of them, like SARS, have caused tremendous problems. 819 00:53:26,888 --> 00:53:29,590 The resistant forms of tuberculosis. There are others. 820 00:53:29,591 --> 00:53:32,392 And there's been a re-emergence of some diseases 821 00:53:32,393 --> 00:53:34,394 that were once under control. 822 00:53:34,395 --> 00:53:40,034 The avian flu, of course, quite a serious matter, as you know. 823 00:53:40,035 --> 00:53:41,301 West Nile Virus. 824 00:53:41,302 --> 00:53:44,805 It came to the eastern shore of Maryland in 1999. 825 00:53:44,806 --> 00:53:47,141 Two years later, it was across the Mississippi. 826 00:53:47,142 --> 00:53:51,345 And two years after that, it had spread across the continent. 827 00:53:51,346 --> 00:53:53,748 But these are very troubling signs. 828 00:53:53,749 --> 00:53:56,083 Coral reefs all over the world, 829 00:53:56,084 --> 00:53:58,653 because of global warming and other factors, 830 00:53:58,654 --> 00:54:01,922 are bleaching and they end up like this. 831 00:54:01,923 --> 00:54:04,959 And all the fish species that depend on the coral reefs 832 00:54:04,960 --> 00:54:07,695 are also in jeopardy as a result. 833 00:54:07,696 --> 00:54:10,731 Overall, species loss is now occurring 834 00:54:10,732 --> 00:54:15,202 at a rate 1,000 times greater than the natural background rate. 835 00:54:15,203 --> 00:54:18,573 This brings me to the second canary in the coal mine. 836 00:54:18,574 --> 00:54:19,874 Antarctica. 837 00:54:19,875 --> 00:54:23,343 The largest mass of ice on the planet by far. 838 00:54:23,344 --> 00:54:26,146 A friend of mine said in 1978, 839 00:54:26,147 --> 00:54:30,084 "If you see the breakup of ice shelves along the Antarctic peninsula, 840 00:54:30,085 --> 00:54:31,552 "watch out, 841 00:54:31,553 --> 00:54:35,856 "because that should be seen as an alarm bell for global warming." 842 00:54:35,857 --> 00:54:39,126 And actually, if you look at the peninsula up close, 843 00:54:39,127 --> 00:54:43,864 every place where you see one of these green blotches here 844 00:54:43,865 --> 00:54:47,301 is an ice shelf larger than the state of Rhode Island 845 00:54:47,302 --> 00:54:51,138 that has broken up just in the last 15 to 20 years. 846 00:54:51,139 --> 00:54:53,473 I want to focus on just one of them. 847 00:54:53,474 --> 00:54:54,975 It's called Larsen B. 848 00:54:54,976 --> 00:54:58,879 I want you to look at these black pools here. 849 00:54:58,880 --> 00:55:02,549 It makes it seem almost as if we're looking through the ice 850 00:55:02,550 --> 00:55:05,820 to the ocean beneath. But that's an illusion. 851 00:55:05,821 --> 00:55:09,624 This is melting water that forms in pools, 852 00:55:09,625 --> 00:55:12,126 and if you were flying over it in a helicopter, 853 00:55:12,127 --> 00:55:14,829 you'd see it's 700 feet tall. 854 00:55:14,830 --> 00:55:19,166 They are so majestic, so massive. 855 00:55:19,167 --> 00:55:22,336 In the distance are the mountains and just before the mountains 856 00:55:22,337 --> 00:55:25,741 is the shelf of the continent, there. 857 00:55:26,642 --> 00:55:28,575 This is floating ice, 858 00:55:28,576 --> 00:55:33,313 and there's land-based ice on the down slope of those mountains. 859 00:55:33,314 --> 00:55:38,518 From here to the mountains is about 20 to 25 miles. 860 00:55:38,519 --> 00:55:41,889 Now they thought this would be stable for at least 100 years, 861 00:55:41,890 --> 00:55:43,891 even with global warming. 862 00:55:43,892 --> 00:55:47,028 The scientists who study these ice shelves 863 00:55:47,996 --> 00:55:50,064 were absolutely astonished 864 00:55:50,065 --> 00:55:52,432 when they were looking at these images. 865 00:55:52,433 --> 00:55:55,235 Starting on January 31, 2002 866 00:55:55,236 --> 00:55:57,905 in a period of 35 days, 867 00:55:57,906 --> 00:56:01,441 this ice shelf completely disappeared. 868 00:56:01,442 --> 00:56:07,114 They could not figure out how in the world this happened so rapidly. 869 00:56:07,115 --> 00:56:11,819 And they went back to try to figure out where they'd gone wrong. 870 00:56:11,820 --> 00:56:16,691 And that's when they focused on those pools of melting water. 871 00:56:16,692 --> 00:56:19,960 But even before they could figure out what had happened there, 872 00:56:19,961 --> 00:56:22,429 something else started going wrong. 873 00:56:22,430 --> 00:56:25,065 When the floating sea-based ice cracked up, 874 00:56:25,066 --> 00:56:28,035 it no longer held back the ice on the land, 875 00:56:28,036 --> 00:56:31,538 and the land-based ice then started falling into the ocean. 876 00:56:31,539 --> 00:56:33,774 It was like letting the cork out of a bottle. 877 00:56:33,775 --> 00:56:37,611 And there's a difference between floating ice and land-based ice. 878 00:56:37,612 --> 00:56:41,515 That's like the difference between an ice cube floating in a glass of water, 879 00:56:41,516 --> 00:56:45,285 which when it melts doesn't raise the level of water in the glass, 880 00:56:45,286 --> 00:56:48,255 and a cube that's sitting atop a stack of ice cubes 881 00:56:48,256 --> 00:56:51,258 which melts and flows over the edge. 882 00:56:51,259 --> 00:56:54,895 That's why the citizens of these Pacific nations 883 00:56:54,896 --> 00:56:58,699 have all had to evacuate to New Zealand. 884 00:56:58,700 --> 00:57:01,001 But I want to focus on West Antarctica 885 00:57:01,002 --> 00:57:06,173 because it illustrates two factors about land-based ice and sea-based ice. 886 00:57:06,174 --> 00:57:09,910 It's a little of both. It's propped up on tops of islands, 887 00:57:09,911 --> 00:57:13,147 but the ocean comes up underneath it. 888 00:57:13,148 --> 00:57:16,784 So as the ocean gets warmer, it has an impact on it. 889 00:57:16,785 --> 00:57:19,119 If this were to--to go, 890 00:57:19,120 --> 00:57:22,522 sea level worldwide would go up 20 feet. 891 00:57:22,523 --> 00:57:27,027 They've measured disturbing changes on the underside of this ice sheet. 892 00:57:27,028 --> 00:57:31,031 It's considered relatively more stable, however, 893 00:57:31,032 --> 00:57:35,269 than another big body of ice that's roughly the same size. 894 00:57:35,270 --> 00:57:39,874 Greenland would also raise sea level almost 20 feet 895 00:57:39,875 --> 00:57:41,341 if it went. 896 00:57:41,342 --> 00:57:44,044 A friend of mine just brought back some pictures 897 00:57:44,045 --> 00:57:46,847 of what's going on on Greenland right now. 898 00:57:46,848 --> 00:57:51,318 Dramatic changes. These are the same kinds of pools 899 00:57:51,319 --> 00:57:55,455 that formed here, on this ice shelf in Antarctica. 900 00:57:55,456 --> 00:57:57,424 And the scientists thought 901 00:57:57,425 --> 00:58:02,262 that when that water seeped back into the ice, it would just refreeze. 902 00:58:02,263 --> 00:58:05,365 But they found out that actually what happens 903 00:58:05,366 --> 00:58:09,103 is that it just keeps on going. It tunnels to the bottom 904 00:58:09,104 --> 00:58:11,772 and makes the ice like Swiss cheese, 905 00:58:11,773 --> 00:58:13,573 sort of like termites. 906 00:58:13,574 --> 00:58:16,343 This shows what happens to the crevasses, 907 00:58:16,344 --> 00:58:21,248 and when lakes form, they create what are called moulins. 908 00:58:21,249 --> 00:58:23,117 The water goes down to the bottom 909 00:58:23,118 --> 00:58:26,987 and it lubricates where the ice meets the bedrock. 910 00:58:26,988 --> 00:58:29,389 See these people here for scale. 911 00:58:29,390 --> 00:58:31,358 This is not on the edge of Greenland, 912 00:58:31,359 --> 00:58:33,794 this is in the middle of the ice mass. 913 00:58:33,795 --> 00:58:37,397 This is a massive rushing torrent 914 00:58:37,398 --> 00:58:39,333 of fresh melt water 915 00:58:39,334 --> 00:58:42,937 tunneling straight down through the Greenland ice 916 00:58:42,938 --> 00:58:44,771 to the bedrock below. 917 00:58:44,772 --> 00:58:50,077 Now, to some extent, there has always been seasonal melting 918 00:58:50,078 --> 00:58:54,481 and moulins have formed in the past, but not like now. 919 00:58:54,482 --> 00:58:59,086 In 1992, they measured this amount of melting in Greenland. 920 00:58:59,087 --> 00:59:01,989 Ten years later, this is what happened. 921 00:59:01,990 --> 00:59:05,792 And here is the melting from 2005. 922 00:59:05,793 --> 00:59:09,129 Tony Blair's scientific advisor has said that 923 00:59:09,130 --> 00:59:12,132 because of what's happening in Greenland right now, 924 00:59:12,133 --> 00:59:15,335 the maps of the world will have to be redrawn. 925 00:59:15,336 --> 00:59:18,572 If Greenland broke up and melted, 926 00:59:18,573 --> 00:59:22,843 or if half of Greenland and half of West Antarctica 927 00:59:22,844 --> 00:59:24,344 broke up and melted, 928 00:59:24,345 --> 00:59:27,983 this is what would happen to the sea level in Florida. 929 00:59:33,088 --> 00:59:35,991 This is what would happen to San Francisco Bay. 930 00:59:37,859 --> 00:59:41,061 A lot of people live in these areas. 931 00:59:41,062 --> 00:59:44,299 The Netherlands, one of the low countries. 932 00:59:46,034 --> 00:59:48,035 Absolutely devastating. 933 00:59:48,036 --> 00:59:52,373 The area around Beijing that's home to tens of millions of people. 934 00:59:54,242 --> 00:59:57,777 Even worse, in the area around Shanghai, 935 00:59:57,778 --> 01:00:00,081 there are 40 million people. 936 01:00:01,782 --> 01:00:06,386 Worse still, Calcutta, and to the east, Bangladesh, 937 01:00:06,387 --> 01:00:10,357 the area covered includes 60 million people. 938 01:00:10,358 --> 01:00:15,529 Think of the impact of a couple hundred thousand refugees 939 01:00:15,530 --> 01:00:18,598 when they're displaced by an environmental event. 940 01:00:18,599 --> 01:00:23,238 And then imagine the impact of a hundred million or more. 941 01:00:24,539 --> 01:00:26,974 Here's Manhattan. 942 01:00:26,975 --> 01:00:29,911 This is the World Trade Center memorial site. 943 01:00:30,946 --> 01:00:34,382 And after the horrible events of 9/11, 944 01:00:36,084 --> 01:00:38,986 we said, "Never again." 945 01:00:38,987 --> 01:00:41,656 But this is what would happen to Manhattan. 946 01:00:47,028 --> 01:00:49,196 They can measure this precisely, 947 01:00:49,197 --> 01:00:52,232 just as the scientists could predict precisely 948 01:00:52,233 --> 01:00:56,203 how much water would breach the levees in New Orleans. 949 01:00:56,204 --> 01:01:01,608 The area where the World Trade Center Memorial is to be located 950 01:01:01,609 --> 01:01:04,278 would be underwater. 951 01:01:04,279 --> 01:01:09,916 Is it possible that we should prepare against other threats besides terrorists? 952 01:01:09,917 --> 01:01:14,022 Maybe we should be concerned about other problems as well. 953 01:01:21,196 --> 01:01:23,564 1.3 billion people. 954 01:01:25,500 --> 01:01:27,969 An economy that's surging. 955 01:01:30,005 --> 01:01:32,706 More and more energy needs. 956 01:01:32,707 --> 01:01:36,076 Massive coal reserves. 957 01:01:36,077 --> 01:01:39,813 The coal belt in Northern China, 958 01:01:39,814 --> 01:01:42,582 er, Inner Mongolia. Right. 959 01:01:42,583 --> 01:01:45,585 Then there's Shaanxi province. Uh-huh. 960 01:01:45,586 --> 01:01:49,556 And also biggest coal mine here. Up here. 961 01:01:49,557 --> 01:01:51,958 Yeah. Now, is that an open pit mine? 962 01:01:51,959 --> 01:01:53,560 Yes. Yes. 963 01:01:53,561 --> 01:01:56,230 Every time I've visited China, 964 01:01:56,231 --> 01:02:00,467 I've learned from their scientists. They're right on the cutting edge. 965 01:02:00,468 --> 01:02:03,303 Give me some sense of the numbers of 966 01:02:03,304 --> 01:02:06,373 new coal fire generating plants. 967 01:02:06,374 --> 01:02:09,176 Well, I have to say that the number is enormous 968 01:02:09,177 --> 01:02:11,245 because it's so profitable. 969 01:02:11,246 --> 01:02:17,217 This issue is really the same for China as it is for the US. 970 01:02:17,218 --> 01:02:22,056 We are both using old technologies that are dirty and polluting. 971 01:02:22,057 --> 01:02:23,523 ...more flooding and more drought 972 01:02:23,524 --> 01:02:26,026 and stronger storms is going up, 973 01:02:26,027 --> 01:02:28,762 and global warming is implicated in the pattern. 974 01:02:28,763 --> 01:02:32,766 And if you were to give some suggestions to everybody here 975 01:02:32,767 --> 01:02:37,137 about, like, what we can do for the, um, situation now. 976 01:02:37,138 --> 01:02:41,007 Separating the truth from the fiction 977 01:02:41,008 --> 01:02:45,779 and the accurate connections from the misunderstandings 978 01:02:45,780 --> 01:02:48,982 is part of what you learn here. 979 01:02:48,983 --> 01:02:54,621 But when the warnings are accurate and based on sound science, 980 01:02:54,622 --> 01:02:58,358 then we as human beings, whatever country we live in, 981 01:02:58,359 --> 01:03:00,660 have to find a way to make sure 982 01:03:00,661 --> 01:03:04,665 that the warnings are heard and responded to. 983 01:03:11,906 --> 01:03:16,676 We both have a hard time shaking loose the familiar patterns 984 01:03:16,677 --> 01:03:18,945 that we've relied on in the past. 985 01:03:18,946 --> 01:03:24,318 We both face completely unacceptable consequences. 986 01:03:34,962 --> 01:03:38,298 And there are three factors that are causing this collision, 987 01:03:38,299 --> 01:03:40,334 and the first is population. 988 01:03:40,335 --> 01:03:44,904 When my generation, the baby boom generation, was born after World War II, 989 01:03:44,905 --> 01:03:48,109 the population had just crossed the two billion mark. 990 01:03:49,510 --> 01:03:51,911 Now, I'm in my 50s, 991 01:03:51,912 --> 01:03:56,250 and it's already gone to almost six and a half billion. 992 01:03:56,251 --> 01:04:01,621 And if I reach the demographic expectation for the baby boomers, 993 01:04:01,622 --> 01:04:03,957 it'll go over nine billion. 994 01:04:03,958 --> 01:04:09,028 So if it takes 10,000 generations to reach two billion 995 01:04:09,029 --> 01:04:12,199 and then in one human lifetime, ours, 996 01:04:12,200 --> 01:04:15,435 it goes from two billion to nine billion, 997 01:04:15,436 --> 01:04:18,705 something profoundly different's going on right now. 998 01:04:18,706 --> 01:04:21,475 We're putting more pressure on the earth. 999 01:04:21,476 --> 01:04:24,578 Most of it's in the poorer nations of the world. 1000 01:04:24,579 --> 01:04:27,414 This puts pressure on food demand. 1001 01:04:27,415 --> 01:04:29,716 It puts pressure on water demand. 1002 01:04:29,717 --> 01:04:32,952 It puts pressure on vulnerable natural resources, 1003 01:04:32,953 --> 01:04:34,788 and this pressure's one of the reasons 1004 01:04:34,789 --> 01:04:38,091 why we have seen all the devastation of the forest, 1005 01:04:38,092 --> 01:04:40,260 not only tropical, but elsewhere. 1006 01:04:40,261 --> 01:04:42,128 It is a political issue. 1007 01:04:42,129 --> 01:04:46,800 This is the border between Haiti and the Dominican Republic. 1008 01:04:46,801 --> 01:04:51,205 One set of policies here, another set of policies here. 1009 01:04:51,206 --> 01:04:55,475 Much of it comes not only because of cutting, but--but also burning. 1010 01:04:55,476 --> 01:04:59,379 Almost 30 percent of all the CO2 that goes up each year into the atmosphere 1011 01:04:59,380 --> 01:05:01,981 comes from forest burning. 1012 01:05:01,982 --> 01:05:06,353 This is a time-lapse picture of the earth at night over a six-month period 1013 01:05:06,354 --> 01:05:08,655 showing the lights of the cities in white 1014 01:05:08,656 --> 01:05:11,157 and the burning forests and brush fires in red. 1015 01:05:11,158 --> 01:05:15,195 The yellow areas are the gas flares, like these in Siberia. 1016 01:05:15,196 --> 01:05:16,830 And that brings me to the second factor 1017 01:05:16,831 --> 01:05:19,733 that has transformed our relationship to the earth. 1018 01:05:19,734 --> 01:05:24,371 The scientific and technological revolution is a great blessing, 1019 01:05:24,372 --> 01:05:27,173 in that it has given us tremendous benefits 1020 01:05:27,174 --> 01:05:30,210 in areas like medicine and communications. 1021 01:05:30,211 --> 01:05:34,481 But this new power that we have also brings a responsibility 1022 01:05:34,482 --> 01:05:36,250 to think about its consequences. 1023 01:05:36,251 --> 01:05:37,751 Here's a formula to think about. 1024 01:05:37,752 --> 01:05:41,988 Old habits plus old technology have predictable consequences. 1025 01:05:41,989 --> 01:05:46,526 Old habits that are hard to change plus new technology 1026 01:05:46,527 --> 01:05:49,529 can have dramatically altered consequences. 1027 01:05:49,530 --> 01:05:52,799 Warfare with spears and bows and arrows 1028 01:05:52,800 --> 01:05:57,271 and rifles and machine guns, that's one thing. 1029 01:05:57,272 --> 01:05:59,539 But then a new technology came. 1030 01:06:07,315 --> 01:06:10,750 We have to think differently about war 1031 01:06:10,751 --> 01:06:14,821 because the new technologies so completely transformed 1032 01:06:14,822 --> 01:06:17,457 the consequences of that old habit 1033 01:06:17,458 --> 01:06:22,996 that we can't just mindlessly continue the patterns of the past. 1034 01:06:22,997 --> 01:06:28,001 In the same way, we have always exploited the earth for sustenance. 1035 01:06:28,002 --> 01:06:32,272 For most of our existence, we used relatively simple tools. 1036 01:06:32,273 --> 01:06:35,141 The plow, the tractor. 1037 01:06:35,142 --> 01:06:38,845 But even tools like shovels are different now. 1038 01:06:38,846 --> 01:06:40,947 Shovel used to be this. 1039 01:06:40,948 --> 01:06:42,816 Shovels have gotten bigger. 1040 01:06:42,817 --> 01:06:45,585 And every year, they get more powerful. 1041 01:06:45,586 --> 01:06:50,557 So our ability to have an effect, in this case on the surface of the earth, 1042 01:06:50,558 --> 01:06:52,559 is utterly transformed. 1043 01:06:52,560 --> 01:06:57,096 You can say, uh, the same thing about irrigation, which is a great thing. 1044 01:06:57,097 --> 01:07:01,635 But when we divert rivers without considering the consequences, 1045 01:07:01,636 --> 01:07:05,672 then sometimes rivers no longer reach the sea. 1046 01:07:05,673 --> 01:07:07,607 There were two rivers in Central Asia 1047 01:07:07,608 --> 01:07:13,146 that were used by the former Soviet Union for irrigating cotton fields unwisely. 1048 01:07:13,147 --> 01:07:15,315 The Aral Sea was fed by them. 1049 01:07:15,316 --> 01:07:18,418 It used to be the fourth largest inland sea in the world. 1050 01:07:18,419 --> 01:07:21,621 When I went there, I saw this strange sight 1051 01:07:21,622 --> 01:07:26,192 of an enormous fishing fleet resting in the sand. 1052 01:07:26,193 --> 01:07:31,297 This is the canal that the fishing industry desperately tried to build 1053 01:07:31,298 --> 01:07:33,567 to get to the receding shoreline. 1054 01:07:33,568 --> 01:07:36,536 Making mistakes in our dealings with nature can have 1055 01:07:36,537 --> 01:07:38,372 bigger consequences now 1056 01:07:38,373 --> 01:07:42,342 because our technologies are often bigger than the human scale. 1057 01:07:42,343 --> 01:07:46,580 When you put them all together, they've made us a force of nature. 1058 01:07:46,581 --> 01:07:49,383 And this is also a political issue. 1059 01:07:49,384 --> 01:07:51,618 This is a computer map of the world 1060 01:07:51,619 --> 01:07:56,623 that distorts to show the relative contributions to global warming. 1061 01:07:56,624 --> 01:08:00,727 In our country, we are responsible for more than all of South America, 1062 01:08:00,728 --> 01:08:03,430 all of Africa, all of the Middle East, 1063 01:08:03,431 --> 01:08:06,566 all of Asia, all combined. 1064 01:08:06,567 --> 01:08:11,705 The per capita average in Africa, India, China, Japan, EU, Russia. 1065 01:08:11,706 --> 01:08:14,774 There's where we are. Way, way above everyone else. 1066 01:08:14,775 --> 01:08:18,978 If you take population into account, it's a little bit different. 1067 01:08:18,979 --> 01:08:22,048 China's playing a bigger role, so is Europe. 1068 01:08:22,049 --> 01:08:26,085 But we are still by all odds the largest contributor. 1069 01:08:26,086 --> 01:08:29,789 And so it is up to us to look at how we think about it, 1070 01:08:29,790 --> 01:08:32,592 because our way of thinking is the third and final factor 1071 01:08:32,593 --> 01:08:35,228 that transforms our relationship to the earth. 1072 01:08:35,229 --> 01:08:39,799 If a frog jumps into, uh, a pot of boiling water, 1073 01:08:39,800 --> 01:08:43,403 it jumps right out again because it senses the danger. 1074 01:08:43,404 --> 01:08:45,672 But the very same frog, 1075 01:08:45,673 --> 01:08:49,042 if it jumps into a pot of lukewarm water 1076 01:08:49,043 --> 01:08:51,611 that is slowly brought to a boil, 1077 01:08:51,612 --> 01:08:54,614 will just sit there and it won't move. 1078 01:08:54,615 --> 01:08:59,218 It'll just sit there, even as the temperature continues to go up and up. 1079 01:08:59,219 --> 01:09:04,958 It'll stay there, until... Until it's rescued. 1080 01:09:04,959 --> 01:09:07,894 It's important to rescue the frog. 1081 01:09:11,265 --> 01:09:13,266 But the point is this. 1082 01:09:13,267 --> 01:09:16,803 Our collective nervous system is like that frog's nervous system. 1083 01:09:16,804 --> 01:09:21,407 It takes a sudden jolt sometimes before we become aware of a danger. 1084 01:09:21,408 --> 01:09:24,644 If it seems gradual, even if it really is happening quickly, 1085 01:09:24,645 --> 01:09:30,183 we're capable of just sitting there and not responding. 1086 01:09:30,184 --> 01:09:31,786 And not reacting. 1087 01:09:36,256 --> 01:09:40,159 I don't remember a time when I was a kid 1088 01:09:40,160 --> 01:09:44,363 when summertime didn't mean working with tobacco. 1089 01:09:44,364 --> 01:09:47,967 It was just... I used to love it. It was during that period 1090 01:09:47,968 --> 01:09:52,105 when working with the guys on the farm 1091 01:09:52,106 --> 01:09:55,108 seemed like fun to me. 1092 01:09:55,109 --> 01:09:59,980 Starting in 1964, with the Surgeon General's report, 1093 01:10:01,582 --> 01:10:03,950 the evidence was laid out on the connection 1094 01:10:03,951 --> 01:10:08,222 between smoking cigarettes and lung cancer. 1095 01:10:11,592 --> 01:10:13,694 We kept growing tobacco. 1096 01:10:17,331 --> 01:10:21,868 Nancy was, uh, almost 10 years older than me, 1097 01:10:21,869 --> 01:10:24,739 and there were only the two of us. 1098 01:10:26,574 --> 01:10:28,942 She was my protector 1099 01:10:28,943 --> 01:10:32,747 and my friend at the same time. 1100 01:10:34,915 --> 01:10:38,852 She started smoking when she was a teenager 1101 01:10:38,853 --> 01:10:42,256 and, uh, never stopped. 1102 01:10:43,991 --> 01:10:46,126 She died of lung cancer. 1103 01:10:50,097 --> 01:10:52,933 That's one of the ways you don't want to die. 1104 01:10:55,970 --> 01:10:59,540 The idea that, uh, we had been 1105 01:11:01,008 --> 01:11:03,610 part of that economic pattern 1106 01:11:03,611 --> 01:11:06,580 that produced the cigarettes, 1107 01:11:06,581 --> 01:11:09,783 that produced the cancer, 1108 01:11:09,784 --> 01:11:12,686 it was so... 1109 01:11:12,687 --> 01:11:17,356 It was so painful on so many levels. 1110 01:11:17,357 --> 01:11:22,563 My father, he had grown tobacco all his life. He stopped. 1111 01:11:24,865 --> 01:11:28,668 Whatever explanation 1112 01:11:28,669 --> 01:11:32,773 had seemed to make sense in the past, just didn't cut it anymore. 1113 01:11:34,374 --> 01:11:35,976 He stopped it. 1114 01:11:43,083 --> 01:11:48,888 It's just human nature to take time to connect the dots. I know that. 1115 01:11:48,889 --> 01:11:54,594 But I also know that there can be a day of reckoning 1116 01:11:54,595 --> 01:11:59,299 when you wish you had connected the dots more quickly. 1117 01:12:07,474 --> 01:12:11,110 There are three misconceptions in particular that bedevil our thinking. 1118 01:12:11,111 --> 01:12:13,046 First, isn't there a disagreement among scientists 1119 01:12:13,047 --> 01:12:15,715 about whether the problem is real or not? 1120 01:12:15,716 --> 01:12:18,217 Actually, not really. 1121 01:12:18,218 --> 01:12:21,821 There was a massive study of every scientific article 1122 01:12:21,822 --> 01:12:27,026 in a peer-reviewed journal written on global warming for the last 10 years. 1123 01:12:27,027 --> 01:12:31,731 And they took a big sample of 10 percent, 928 articles. 1124 01:12:31,732 --> 01:12:35,902 And you know the number of those that disagreed with the scientific consensus 1125 01:12:35,903 --> 01:12:39,806 that we're causing global warming and that it's a serious problem? 1126 01:12:39,807 --> 01:12:43,242 Out of the 928, zero. 1127 01:12:43,243 --> 01:12:46,780 The misconception that there's disagreement about the science 1128 01:12:46,781 --> 01:12:51,384 has been deliberately created by a relatively small group of people. 1129 01:12:51,385 --> 01:12:54,153 One of their internal memos leaked. 1130 01:12:54,154 --> 01:12:57,223 And here's, uh, what it said, according to the press. 1131 01:12:57,224 --> 01:13:01,360 Their objective is to reposition global warming 1132 01:13:01,361 --> 01:13:03,297 as theory rather than fact. 1133 01:13:04,464 --> 01:13:06,165 This has happened before. 1134 01:13:08,635 --> 01:13:12,405 After the Surgeon General's report. 1135 01:13:12,406 --> 01:13:15,508 One of their memos leaked 40 years ago. Here's what they said. 1136 01:13:15,509 --> 01:13:17,643 "Doubt is our product, 1137 01:13:17,644 --> 01:13:23,349 "since it is the best means of creating a controversy in the public's mind." 1138 01:13:23,350 --> 01:13:24,818 But have they succeeded? 1139 01:13:24,819 --> 01:13:29,055 You'll remember that there were 928 peer-reviewed articles. 1140 01:13:29,056 --> 01:13:31,925 Zero percent disagreed with the consensus. 1141 01:13:31,926 --> 01:13:35,661 There was another study of all the articles in the popular press. 1142 01:13:35,662 --> 01:13:39,733 Over the last 14 years, they looked at a sample of 636. 1143 01:13:39,734 --> 01:13:41,768 More than half of them said, 1144 01:13:41,769 --> 01:13:46,305 "Well, we're not sure. It could be a problem, may not be a problem." 1145 01:13:46,306 --> 01:13:49,043 So no wonder people are confused. 1146 01:13:58,485 --> 01:14:00,586 Hey. 1147 01:14:00,587 --> 01:14:02,056 What did you find out? 1148 01:14:04,491 --> 01:14:06,160 Working for who? 1149 01:14:09,229 --> 01:14:10,529 Chief of Staff? 1150 01:14:10,530 --> 01:14:11,865 I'm gonna... 1151 01:14:11,866 --> 01:14:14,033 That's the White House environment office. 1152 01:14:14,034 --> 01:14:17,603 American Petroleum Institute. It's fair to say that's oil and-- 1153 01:14:17,604 --> 01:14:19,273 and the oil and gas lobby. 1154 01:14:20,507 --> 01:14:22,375 Is that fair? 1155 01:14:22,376 --> 01:14:24,811 Totally fair. 1156 01:14:24,812 --> 01:14:29,983 Do a little bit more and see, uh, who his clients were? 1157 01:14:29,984 --> 01:14:33,252 So he was defending the Exxon Valdez thing. 1158 01:14:33,253 --> 01:14:34,353 Mmm-hmm. 1159 01:14:34,354 --> 01:14:36,156 Uh, very. Thank you. 1160 01:14:38,525 --> 01:14:43,329 Scientists have an independent obligation 1161 01:14:43,330 --> 01:14:46,967 to respect and present the truth as they see it. 1162 01:14:49,236 --> 01:14:54,607 Why do you directly contradict yourself 1163 01:14:54,608 --> 01:14:58,744 in the testimony you're giving about this scientific question? 1164 01:14:58,745 --> 01:15:02,816 The last paragraph in that section was not a paragraph which I wrote. 1165 01:15:02,817 --> 01:15:04,583 That was added to my testimony. 1166 01:15:04,584 --> 01:15:08,321 If they force you to change a scientific conclusion, 1167 01:15:08,322 --> 01:15:11,490 it's a form of science fraud by them. 1168 01:15:11,491 --> 01:15:14,727 You know, in the Soviet Union, ordering scientists 1169 01:15:14,728 --> 01:15:18,966 to change their studies to conform with the ideology... 1170 01:15:23,237 --> 01:15:25,872 I've seen scientists 1171 01:15:25,873 --> 01:15:28,976 who were persecuted, 1172 01:15:29,877 --> 01:15:32,145 ridiculed, 1173 01:15:32,146 --> 01:15:37,251 deprived of, uh, jobs, income, 1174 01:15:38,652 --> 01:15:42,521 simply because the facts they discovered 1175 01:15:42,522 --> 01:15:46,026 led them to an inconvenient truth 1176 01:15:49,329 --> 01:15:52,032 that they insisted on telling. 1177 01:15:55,502 --> 01:15:59,172 He worked for the American Petroleum Institute. 1178 01:15:59,173 --> 01:16:00,907 And in January of 2001, 1179 01:16:00,908 --> 01:16:05,045 he was put by the president in charge of environmental policy. 1180 01:16:06,680 --> 01:16:09,916 He received a memo from the EPA 1181 01:16:09,917 --> 01:16:13,352 that warned about global warming 1182 01:16:13,353 --> 01:16:17,490 and he edited. He has no scientific training whatsoever. 1183 01:16:17,491 --> 01:16:20,459 But he took it upon himself to overrule the scientist. 1184 01:16:20,460 --> 01:16:23,662 I said, "I want to see what this guy's handwriting looks like." 1185 01:16:23,663 --> 01:16:27,867 This is the memo from the EPA. These are his actual pen strokes. 1186 01:16:27,868 --> 01:16:31,938 He says, "No, you can't say this. This is just speculation." 1187 01:16:31,939 --> 01:16:34,507 This was embarrassing to the White House, 1188 01:16:34,508 --> 01:16:38,277 so this fellow resigned a few days later. 1189 01:16:38,278 --> 01:16:43,616 And the day after he resigned, he went to work for Exxon Mobil. 1190 01:16:43,617 --> 01:16:46,752 You know, more than 100 years ago, Upton Sinclair wrote this. 1191 01:16:46,753 --> 01:16:50,323 That it's difficult to get a man to understand something 1192 01:16:50,324 --> 01:16:54,394 if his salary depends upon his not understanding it. 1193 01:17:01,635 --> 01:17:03,436 The second misconception. 1194 01:17:03,437 --> 01:17:06,072 Do we have to choose between the economy and the environment? 1195 01:17:06,073 --> 01:17:07,773 This is a big one. 1196 01:17:07,774 --> 01:17:09,742 Lot of people say we do. 1197 01:17:09,743 --> 01:17:13,212 I was trying to convince, uh, the previous administration, 1198 01:17:13,213 --> 01:17:16,282 the first Bush administration, to go to the Earth Summit. 1199 01:17:16,283 --> 01:17:18,384 And they organized a big White House conference 1200 01:17:18,385 --> 01:17:20,319 to say, "Oh, we're on top of this." 1201 01:17:20,320 --> 01:17:22,288 And one of these view graphs caught my attention. 1202 01:17:22,289 --> 01:17:24,257 And I want to talk to you about it for a minute. 1203 01:17:24,258 --> 01:17:27,994 Now here is, uh, the choice that we have to make 1204 01:17:27,995 --> 01:17:29,762 according to this group. 1205 01:17:29,763 --> 01:17:34,934 We have here a--a scale that balances two different things. 1206 01:17:34,935 --> 01:17:38,537 On one side, we have gold bars. 1207 01:17:38,538 --> 01:17:42,175 Mmm. Mmm. Mmm. 1208 01:17:42,176 --> 01:17:44,410 Don't they look good? 1209 01:17:44,411 --> 01:17:47,947 I'd just like to have some of those gold bars. 1210 01:17:47,948 --> 01:17:50,116 Mmm. Mmm. 1211 01:17:50,117 --> 01:17:55,255 On--On the other side of the scales, uh, the entire planet. 1212 01:17:59,793 --> 01:18:03,163 Hmm. Hmm. 1213 01:18:07,201 --> 01:18:08,202 Hmm. 1214 01:18:09,403 --> 01:18:13,106 I think this is a false choice for two reasons. 1215 01:18:13,107 --> 01:18:16,942 Number one, if we don't have a planet... 1216 01:18:20,280 --> 01:18:24,283 The other reason is that if we do the right thing, 1217 01:18:24,284 --> 01:18:26,485 then we're gonna create a lot of wealth 1218 01:18:26,486 --> 01:18:28,887 - and we're gonna create a lot of jobs. - Yes. 1219 01:18:28,888 --> 01:18:32,492 Because doing the right thing moves us forward. 1220 01:18:36,896 --> 01:18:41,501 I've probably given this slide show 1,000 times. 1221 01:18:47,207 --> 01:18:50,743 I would say, at least 1,000 times. 1222 01:18:50,744 --> 01:18:54,347 Nashville to Knoxville to Aspen and Sundance. 1223 01:18:54,348 --> 01:18:59,018 Los Angeles and San Francisco. Portland, Minneapolis. 1224 01:18:59,019 --> 01:19:04,223 Boston, New Haven, London, Brussels, Stockholm, Helsinki, 1225 01:19:04,224 --> 01:19:07,493 Vienna, Munich, Italy and Spain 1226 01:19:07,494 --> 01:19:10,564 and China, South Korea, Japan. 1227 01:19:12,599 --> 01:19:14,767 Thank you. 1228 01:19:14,768 --> 01:19:19,172 I guess the thing I've spent more time on than anything else in this slide show 1229 01:19:19,173 --> 01:19:21,874 is trying to identify 1230 01:19:21,875 --> 01:19:25,111 all those things in people's minds 1231 01:19:25,112 --> 01:19:30,350 that serve as obstacles to them understanding this. 1232 01:19:32,086 --> 01:19:36,622 A-And whenever I feel like I've identified an obstacle, 1233 01:19:36,623 --> 01:19:40,360 I try to take it apart, roll it away. Move it. 1234 01:19:41,461 --> 01:19:43,663 Demolish it, blow it up. 1235 01:19:52,005 --> 01:19:54,274 I set myself a goal. 1236 01:19:56,543 --> 01:20:00,180 Communicate this real clearly. 1237 01:20:01,215 --> 01:20:04,917 The only way I know to do it 1238 01:20:04,918 --> 01:20:06,753 is city by city, 1239 01:20:12,292 --> 01:20:14,261 person by person, 1240 01:20:19,065 --> 01:20:21,201 family by family. 1241 01:20:24,838 --> 01:20:26,839 - Bye-bye. Thank you again. - Bye. 1242 01:20:26,840 --> 01:20:29,975 And I have faith that pretty soon 1243 01:20:29,976 --> 01:20:32,379 enough minds are changed 1244 01:20:33,380 --> 01:20:36,416 that we cross a--a threshold. 1245 01:20:38,185 --> 01:20:39,752 Let me give you an example 1246 01:20:39,753 --> 01:20:43,156 of the wrong way to balance the economy and the environment. 1247 01:20:43,157 --> 01:20:45,524 One part of this issue involves automobiles. 1248 01:20:45,525 --> 01:20:48,261 Japan has mileage standards up here. 1249 01:20:48,262 --> 01:20:50,696 Europe plans to pass Japan. 1250 01:20:50,697 --> 01:20:55,834 Our allies in Australia and Canada are leaving us behind. 1251 01:20:55,835 --> 01:20:57,637 Here is where we are. 1252 01:20:59,639 --> 01:21:01,374 Now there's a reason for it. 1253 01:21:01,375 --> 01:21:05,144 They say that we can't protect the environment too much 1254 01:21:05,145 --> 01:21:08,381 without threatening the economy and threatening the automakers. 1255 01:21:08,382 --> 01:21:12,985 Because automakers in China might come in and just steal all our markets. 1256 01:21:12,986 --> 01:21:18,158 Well, here is where China's auto mileage standards are now. 1257 01:21:19,193 --> 01:21:20,426 Way above ours. 1258 01:21:20,427 --> 01:21:23,362 We can't sell our cars in China today 1259 01:21:23,363 --> 01:21:27,434 because we don't meet the Chinese environmental standards. 1260 01:21:28,502 --> 01:21:31,537 California has, uh, taken an initiative 1261 01:21:31,538 --> 01:21:35,874 to have higher-mileage cars sold in California. 1262 01:21:35,875 --> 01:21:39,312 Now the auto companies have sued California 1263 01:21:39,313 --> 01:21:41,780 to prevent this law from taking effect 1264 01:21:41,781 --> 01:21:45,918 because, as they point out, 11 years from now 1265 01:21:45,919 --> 01:21:50,323 this would mean that California would have to have cars for sale 1266 01:21:50,324 --> 01:21:53,259 that are as efficient 11 years from now 1267 01:21:53,260 --> 01:21:54,960 as China's are today. 1268 01:21:54,961 --> 01:21:59,198 Clearly too onerous a provision to comply with. 1269 01:21:59,199 --> 01:22:01,734 And is this helping our companies succeed? 1270 01:22:01,735 --> 01:22:05,070 Well, actually, if you look at who's doing well in the world, 1271 01:22:05,071 --> 01:22:08,807 it's the companies that are building more-efficient cars. 1272 01:22:08,808 --> 01:22:11,844 And our companies are in deep trouble. 1273 01:22:11,845 --> 01:22:12,978 Final misconception. 1274 01:22:12,979 --> 01:22:15,881 If we accept that this problem is real, 1275 01:22:15,882 --> 01:22:18,851 maybe it's just too big to do anything about. 1276 01:22:18,852 --> 01:22:23,121 And, you know, there are a lot of people who go straight from denial 1277 01:22:23,122 --> 01:22:24,690 to despair 1278 01:22:24,691 --> 01:22:27,793 without pausing on the intermediate step 1279 01:22:27,794 --> 01:22:31,063 of actually doing something about the problem. 1280 01:22:31,064 --> 01:22:35,568 And that's what I'd like to finish with. The fact that we already know 1281 01:22:35,569 --> 01:22:40,005 everything we need to know to effectively address this problem. 1282 01:22:40,006 --> 01:22:43,041 We've got to do a lot of things, not just one. 1283 01:22:43,042 --> 01:22:46,111 If we use more efficient 1284 01:22:46,112 --> 01:22:48,013 electricity appliances, 1285 01:22:48,014 --> 01:22:51,917 we can save this much off of the global warming pollution 1286 01:22:51,918 --> 01:22:54,987 that would otherwise be put into the atmosphere. 1287 01:22:54,988 --> 01:22:58,190 If we use other end-use efficiency, this much. 1288 01:22:58,191 --> 01:23:00,893 If we have higher mileage cars, this much. 1289 01:23:00,894 --> 01:23:04,263 And all these begin to add up. Other transport efficiency, 1290 01:23:04,264 --> 01:23:06,299 renewable technology, 1291 01:23:06,300 --> 01:23:08,301 carbon capture and sequestration. 1292 01:23:08,302 --> 01:23:12,137 A big solution that you're gonna be hearing a lot more about. 1293 01:23:12,138 --> 01:23:13,672 They all add up, 1294 01:23:13,673 --> 01:23:18,412 and pretty soon we are below our 1970 emissions. 1295 01:23:19,279 --> 01:23:21,914 We have everything we need, 1296 01:23:21,915 --> 01:23:25,083 save perhaps political will. 1297 01:23:25,084 --> 01:23:29,489 But you know what? In America, political will is a renewable resource. 1298 01:23:34,361 --> 01:23:36,662 We have the ability to do this. 1299 01:23:36,663 --> 01:23:39,197 Each one of us is a cause of global warming, 1300 01:23:39,198 --> 01:23:41,867 but each of us can make choices to change that. 1301 01:23:41,868 --> 01:23:46,405 With the things we buy, the electricity we use, the cars we drive, 1302 01:23:46,406 --> 01:23:50,876 we can make choices to bring our individual carbon emissions to zero. 1303 01:23:50,877 --> 01:23:53,912 The solutions are in our hands. 1304 01:23:53,913 --> 01:23:57,249 We just have to have the determination to make them happen. 1305 01:23:57,250 --> 01:24:01,354 Are we gonna be left behind as the rest of the world moves forward? 1306 01:24:01,355 --> 01:24:04,690 All of these nations have ratified Kyoto. 1307 01:24:04,691 --> 01:24:09,895 There are only two advanced nations in the world that have not ratified Kyoto, 1308 01:24:09,896 --> 01:24:14,199 and we are one of them. The other is Australia. 1309 01:24:14,200 --> 01:24:17,636 Luckily, several states are taking the initiative. 1310 01:24:17,637 --> 01:24:20,906 The nine northeastern states have banded together 1311 01:24:20,907 --> 01:24:23,509 on reducing CO2. 1312 01:24:23,510 --> 01:24:26,211 California and Oregon are taking the initiative. 1313 01:24:26,212 --> 01:24:31,149 Pennsylvania's exercising leadership on solar power and wind power. 1314 01:24:31,150 --> 01:24:35,354 And US cities are stepping up to the plate. 1315 01:24:35,355 --> 01:24:39,558 One after the other, we have seen 1316 01:24:39,559 --> 01:24:44,097 all of these cities pledge to take on global warming. 1317 01:24:46,500 --> 01:24:49,968 So what about the rest of us? 1318 01:24:49,969 --> 01:24:55,007 Ultimately this question comes down to this. 1319 01:24:55,008 --> 01:24:59,077 Are we, as Americans, 1320 01:24:59,078 --> 01:25:01,880 capable of doing great things 1321 01:25:01,881 --> 01:25:04,483 even though they are difficult? 1322 01:25:04,484 --> 01:25:06,018 Are we capable 1323 01:25:06,019 --> 01:25:09,922 of rising above ourselves and above history? 1324 01:25:09,923 --> 01:25:14,560 Well, the record indicates that we do have that capacity. 1325 01:25:14,561 --> 01:25:17,229 We formed a nation, we fought a revolution 1326 01:25:17,230 --> 01:25:20,232 and brought something new to this earth, 1327 01:25:20,233 --> 01:25:24,336 a free nation guaranteeing individual liberty. 1328 01:25:24,337 --> 01:25:29,241 America made a moral decision. Its slavery was wrong, 1329 01:25:29,242 --> 01:25:34,246 and that we could not be half free and half slave. 1330 01:25:34,247 --> 01:25:36,081 We, as Americans, decided 1331 01:25:36,082 --> 01:25:38,951 that of course women should have the right to vote. 1332 01:25:38,952 --> 01:25:41,687 We defeated totalitarianism and won a war 1333 01:25:41,688 --> 01:25:45,458 in the Pacific and the Atlantic simultaneously. 1334 01:25:45,459 --> 01:25:48,561 We desegregated our schools. 1335 01:25:48,562 --> 01:25:52,064 And we cured fearsome diseases like polio. 1336 01:25:52,065 --> 01:25:53,899 We landed on the moon. 1337 01:25:53,900 --> 01:25:57,102 The very example of what's possible when we are at our best. 1338 01:25:57,103 --> 01:26:00,606 We worked together in a completely bipartisan way 1339 01:26:00,607 --> 01:26:02,441 to bring down communism. 1340 01:26:02,442 --> 01:26:06,579 We have even solved a global environmental crisis before, 1341 01:26:06,580 --> 01:26:09,314 the hole in the stratospheric ozone layer. 1342 01:26:09,315 --> 01:26:12,017 This was said to be an impossible problem to solve 1343 01:26:12,018 --> 01:26:14,787 because it's a global environmental challenge 1344 01:26:14,788 --> 01:26:19,091 requiring cooperation from every nation in the world. 1345 01:26:19,092 --> 01:26:20,926 But we took it on. 1346 01:26:20,927 --> 01:26:24,463 And the United States took the lead in phasing out the chemicals 1347 01:26:24,464 --> 01:26:26,231 that caused that problem. 1348 01:26:26,232 --> 01:26:31,136 So now we have to use our political processes in our democracy, 1349 01:26:31,137 --> 01:26:34,507 and then decide to act together to solve those problems. 1350 01:26:34,508 --> 01:26:38,176 But we have to have a different perspective on this one. 1351 01:26:38,177 --> 01:26:41,781 It's different from any problem we have ever faced before. 1352 01:26:43,650 --> 01:26:49,622 You remember that home movie of the earth spinning in space? 1353 01:26:49,623 --> 01:26:54,693 One of those spacecraft continuing on out into the universe, 1354 01:26:54,694 --> 01:26:58,230 when it got four billion miles out in space, 1355 01:26:58,231 --> 01:27:02,235 Carl Sagan said, "Let's take another picture of the earth." 1356 01:27:03,537 --> 01:27:05,705 You see that pale blue dot? 1357 01:27:06,673 --> 01:27:08,440 That's us. 1358 01:27:08,441 --> 01:27:12,377 Everything that has ever happened in all of human history 1359 01:27:12,378 --> 01:27:15,380 has happened on that pixel. 1360 01:27:15,381 --> 01:27:18,450 All the triumphs and all the tragedies. 1361 01:27:18,451 --> 01:27:21,353 All the wars, all the famines. 1362 01:27:21,354 --> 01:27:23,256 All the major advances. 1363 01:27:24,791 --> 01:27:26,693 It's our only home. 1364 01:27:27,827 --> 01:27:32,497 And that is what is at stake. 1365 01:27:32,498 --> 01:27:37,069 Our ability to live 1366 01:27:37,070 --> 01:27:39,638 on planet Earth, 1367 01:27:39,639 --> 01:27:42,041 to have a future as a civilization. 1368 01:27:46,079 --> 01:27:49,882 I believe this is a moral issue. 1369 01:27:49,883 --> 01:27:52,985 It is your time to seize this issue. 1370 01:27:52,986 --> 01:27:57,523 It is our time to rise again, to secure our future. 1371 01:28:08,401 --> 01:28:14,406 There's nothing that unusual about what I'm doing with this. 1372 01:28:14,407 --> 01:28:18,443 What is unusual is that I had the privilege to be shown it 1373 01:28:18,444 --> 01:28:20,278 as a young man. 1374 01:28:21,715 --> 01:28:24,683 Ladies and gentlemen, Mr. Al Gore. 1375 01:28:24,684 --> 01:28:29,254 It's almost as if a window was opened through which 1376 01:28:29,255 --> 01:28:33,292 the future was very clearly visible. 1377 01:28:34,694 --> 01:28:38,664 "See that?" he said, "See that? 1378 01:28:38,665 --> 01:28:42,702 "That's the future in which you are going to live your life." 1379 01:29:05,825 --> 01:29:08,360 Future generations 1380 01:29:08,361 --> 01:29:12,030 may well have occasion to ask themselves, 1381 01:29:12,031 --> 01:29:14,599 "What were our parents thinking? 1382 01:29:14,600 --> 01:29:19,272 "Why didn't they wake up when they had a chance?" 1383 01:29:23,409 --> 01:29:25,278 We have to hear that question from them, now. 115907

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