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I remember in 2008, Paul Volker, who used
to be the chairman of the Fed, not a left winger,
but he was brought in by Barack Obama to oversee
a project for defanging the financial sector.
It didn't go down very well with the financial sector
as you can imagine, but there was this remarkable conference
in which all the representatives
of the financial community were there
and they were looking at Paul Volker as the devil
because he was there in order
to impose restrictions upon them.
And their arguments were all about the financial innovation
that their banks were performing
and what a great service to the world that was.
They were warning them that if you constrain us,
then all this financial innovation goes away.
Paul Volker listened to them,
and then at some point he got up
and he said, "I'm 80 something years old.
I've been in banking all my life, not just central banking,
but private, commercial banking.
The only financial innovation
I've ever come across was the ATM."
"Everything else was differently bundled forms of debt
that you are producing against the interests of society."
That was a very interesting comment coming from somebody
that was in the banking community all his life.
In 1944, President Roosevelt convened
in Bretton Woods the conference
of representatives of different states.
It is quite interesting that within a few weeks
they designed the post-war financial
and economic system, which oversaw the the golden age,
the golden era of capitalism.
What I find fascinating is that the President
of the United States of America only made one condition
regarding who attends that conference.
Remember, Roosevelt made sure
that in the Bretton Woods Conference, which
designed the post-war... the first post-war phase
between the 1940s
and 1971, 1973, he had stipulated
that one kind of person should not be allowed into
the Bretton Woods Conference.
You know who these people were? Bankers.
Not one banker attended the Bretton Woods Conference,
and that was at the explicit order of FDR. True.
So you had boring banks
between 1944 and 1971.
This explains to a very large extent
the serious reduction in inequality.
The difference between what a CEO made
and what a janitor made collapsed
to unprecedented levels, low levels,
and that had to do with the fact that
the financial genie was put into the bottle.
The Bretton Woods system banned the transfer
of capital from one country to another without permission,
and totally did away with the right of financiers to
send money around the world in search of means
to escape taxation.
They were not in a position to gamble with
people's deposits.
This is why the Bretton Woods system was so very hated by bankers.
While that system was viable, you had the highest level
of growth together with the lowest level of unemployment
and shrinking inequality. Alas,
that system could not survive,
and the United States just jettisoned it
famously on the 15th of August 1971,
and all hell broke loose.
Most people believe that money is printed
by the State via the Central Bank.
Well, it is true that the money in our pocket, cash,
is printed by the Central Bank,
but that only constitutes about 3%
of the money doing the rounds.
So, when you get from Barclays Bank, from ING,
from whichever bank a loan, 50,000 quid,
where is the money coming from?
The money is conjured up from thin air.
Somebody just typed 50,000,
somebody from within the bank. This is why 97%
of the money in an economy
has nothing to do with the state.
It's produced by the banks. They just type it in.
You pay interest to the bank. The bank has a profit.
Imagine the power that this gives a banker.
A banker can create money out of thin air and earn a profit.
This is more or less like having a free ATM in your own
living room producing money out of the wall
but, actually, it gets worse.
With financialization,
this process of creating money is turbocharged.
Capitalism is a wonderful beast with a unique capacity
to undermine itself, to be pregnant with its opposite.
Not only is it producing immense wealth
and immense poverty at the same time
but, when it is stable, its stability breeds instability.
When financiers place all sorts of bets
and everything works out
and they make money, they become increasingly greedy, and
therefore they keep taking new risks
that eventually blow up in their face.
Now, in 2008, the whole thing came crashing down
but because the financiers have so much power in society,
when the crisis happens, they also have the political
weight to ensure that their misdeeds,
the losses that they have created,
are shifted onto the shoulders of the weakest
of the proletariat, of the precariat, of those
who did not have the political power to oppose them.
The result is austerity for the many.
Economics is really simple. I've got
£10 in my pocket.
If I go out and buy three pints of beer in Cambridge,
I'm probably borrowing money.
If I carry on doing that, then I'm going to run out of money,
and I'm going to go bust.
It's not difficult guys to sit down, work out
what the country needs to do,
and work collectively together.
Because the country does not operate as your budget
does. We have a magic money tree.
But why not?
Why not?
Why not? In the country, total
expenditure equals total
income. In your life,
you have a wonderful independence
between your expenses and your income.
So, when you cut down on your expenses,
your income doesn't cut... is not cut.
But for the country as a whole, if the country
as a whole goes into a major savings spree,
then its total income is going to come down.
So, your personal life is not a good model on which
to base planning.
Economists do not know many things about the economy.
We're not real experts in the economy.
There are a few things we know.
One is that you cannot overcome a
bankruptcy through more loans.
And the other is that austerity never works.
Hi. You went on Question Time -
it was probably about six weeks ago -
and there was a bloke in the audience
and he tried to start a parable about having £10 at
the end of the week and going
to the pub and buying four pints,
and you explained to him correctly that his
personal life wasn't a very good model
for economics. But his personal life has been used
as a model for economics by, particularly in this country,
by the Conservative Party.
I just wanted to ask why you thought the center-left
and the left in this country
and in Europe has failed so spectacularly really to
debug that myth. You're
right.
The main point he was making is one which
is dominant around the world
to this day. It's dominant in the Republican Party
in the United States.
It's dominant even in the socialist parties of Europe.
The idea of belt tightening... of austerity.
Austerity is a very specific macroeconomic policy.
It is the policy of trying to
prevent debt from rising, even forcing it to fall,
during periods of recession
by cutting on government expenditure and increasing taxes.
That's austerity. That has never worked and never will work
because it's a law of nature that it cannot work.
Pigs are more likely
to fly than austerity is likely to work.
The problem is exacerbated, the problem of falling incomes,
by an attempt to cut down.
So, if tonight you don't have a pint, you abstain
from having a pint. How much is a pint these days?
£4? Okay, let's say £4.
You've saved £4. Your income doesn't
shrink, doesn't increase.
Stays the same. In an economy like Britain,
total expenditure equals total income.
So, my expenditure is your income
if I'm buying something from you.
Our total expenditure equals our total income.
Suddenly there is a complete breakdown in the
independence between expenditure and income.
What happens during a crisis is this. Corporations
and households seeing that now they're in trouble,
they stop spending. The private sector as a whole,
families, individuals, companies, spend less.
If suddenly you panic
and you try to apply the principles of austerity
that work at the private level, you try
to apply this at the governmental macroeconomic level,
what happens is while private expenditure shrinks,
public expenditure shrinks. What's the sum of these two,
private and public expenditure? It's total income.
So what should we do instead of austerity
if we are serious about cutting down on debt
and on deficits? The answer is, stimulate
investment. Periods of recession are typified by
lots of losses and debts
but at the same time savings that are too
terrified to be invested into productive activity
because those who own that money fear
that if they invest it in productive activity,
then there won't be enough demand for those goods
and services that are being produced
because the rest of society
doesn't have enough money to buy them.
We must remember that, at times of recession,
we are not missing out on money, on people, on skills.
They're all there. The money is there...
idle savings. The workers are there waiting to work,
if only somebody will gainfully employ them.
What we have is a massive coordination failure.
That failure can only be overcome
through the political system.
I'm astounded to hear neoliberals telling us
that we just can't afford a welfare state.
We cannot afford all the public goods
that society absolutely needs.
Think of 1945 in the United Kingdom.
The country was coming out of a war.
There was scarcity everywhere, rationing,
and yet the country managed to finance the most spectacular
welfare state creation process, including pensions,
including the National Health Service.
Tomorrow, there will come into operation
the most comprehensive system of social security
ever introduced into any country.
When the political will is there, the money becomes
immediately available as a result of bringing together
of economic forces that can contribute
to the generation of those public goods.
After 2008,
when the financial sector had created this massive crisis,
it was treated to a version of socialism - the bailouts
that the public was providing
to the bankers - while the public was
being treated to austerity.
What was effectively happening at the time was a cynical
shift of the losses
of the financial sector onto the shoulders of the poor.
Austerity is another term for class war against the poor.
That's what it is.
I grew up in a Greece where you could lose your life
or freedom because you read a book that was banned.
My greatest fear is a fascist Europe.
We had it in the 1930s, we may have it again.
The forces of fascism are feeding off the fragmentation
of the liberal establishment. Greece
was the canary in the mine.
It should be seen as a warning sign that the galleries
of the mine were about to collapse. The powers that be chose
to blame the canary, not the mine's architecture,
not the methane gas that was about to blow up the mine.
And the result is
that now we're facing a postmodern 1930s across Europe,
across the world. Our generation
has to study very carefully the Weimar Republic.
John Maynard Keynes wrote a beautiful piece at the end
of the Great War in which he admonished the winners for
imposing harsh reparations upon the defeated Germans.
So harsh, that it was clear
that they would never be able to repay them.
And Keynes's concern was
that the moment you impose unsustainable debts simply
because you have the military power to do it
or the political power to do it,
not only are you destroying the life prospects
of the vast majority of the people in the defeated country,
but you're also creating economic stagnation
that will only foment political forces, social forces,
that will result in another great war.
Moreover, during the 1920s
and early 1930s in Germany,
the liberal establishment at the time
was committing one error after the other.
It was a comedy of errors.
It was constantly shifting the burden of the economic crisis
onto the shoulders of the many, of the disenfranchised,
of those who were finding it very
difficult to make ends meet.
And at the same time, while it was being genuinely
threatened by the monstrosity of the Nazis,
the Weimar Republic was far more preoccupied with the task
of not allowing progressives, genuine progressives,
to gain any kind of influence within German society.
The result was Nazi Germany.
It seems to me that the liberal establishment today
is struggling in order to emulate the Weimar Republic.
Yes, we can.
We are in the middle
of the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression.
So, at a moment like this, the last thing we can afford
is four more years of the same old, tired,
worn-out economic theories that say, as long as we give more
and more to billionaires and millionaires
and big corporations, prosperity will somehow
trickle down on everybody else.
These are the economic theories that got us into this mess.
They have not worked. It is time for a change,
and that's why I'm running for President
of the United States of America.
Obama rode into the White House on a tsunami of
expectations that he cultivated,
and which he spectacularly failed to honor.
In the one and only meeting I had
with Barack Obama in the White House when he was president,
he felt the need, possibly
because he was talking to a left-wing finance minister,
without being prompted to justify himself, he said
to me, "Oh, Yanis, you know, when I was first elected,
I had to save the bankers,
and this was really very unappetising.
It was like drinking a glass of poison."
So, that's his excuse for what he did.
You've got to save the banks.
They are like the arteries of the capitalist system.
He was right on this but he didn't just save the banks,
he saved the bankers.
These two are not one
the same thing. In 1992, when
Sweden's Banks collapsed, in 1998
when South Korea's banks collapsed, the states of Sweden
and South Korea saved the banks,
but they got rid of the bankers.
They nationalised the banks. They cleansed the banks.
They made sure that the practices
that had brought about their bankruptcy
were never to be repeated.
Instead of doing that, he brought into the treasury
people like Larry Summers
and Tim Geithner, who were the ones
who had unshackled Wall Street, and allowed them to run riot
and effectively, in my view, bring about the
Great Crash of 2008.
He brings these people back in with one
remit: to refloat the bankers,
and they spent around $1 trillion without
even this being transparent,
the so-called Geithner-Summers plan, which was
a dastardly plan - very clever
but very dastardly at the same time.
This was his window of opportunity
to bring back the New Deal into American politics.
He misses it.
The combination of austerity for the many
with this restoration of Wall Street
and illiberalism when it came
to never closing down Guantanamo Bay,
introducing increasingly authoritarian powers
for the national security apparatus,
if you put all this together, you end up with Donald Trump.
We will have strong borders and we will have the wall
and Mexico will pay for the wall
Mexico will pay for the wall, believe me.
Donald Trump
was created by the Democratic Party's failure to perform
the duties that a New Deal administration should
and could have performed
after 2008.
In 2016, for the first time in 50 years,
more than half of American families
could not afford the cheapest new car on the market.
When I say that they couldn't afford it,
not only did they not have the money, the $14,000,
but they did not have the credit worthiness
to borrow the money to buy that car.
In the United States, if you can't buy a car,
you can't get a a job,
you can't take your kids to school,
you can't go to the supermarket.
There is no doubt that Trump weaponised racism
and the 75 million that voted
for him are either tolerant of racism or actively racist.
But people are not born racist.
They're made racist.
They're made racist by
circumstances not of their choosing.
We need a humanist embracing of the Trumpists,
of the supporters of Trump, not to vilify them
but to treat them like human beings who
have surrendered to despair.
Nothing is going to change until and
unless we can talk to people who have been deluded,
who have been oppressed, who've been suppressed,
who've been exploited, you know,
and who've become effectively enslaved in a machine
that uses them as fodder
to produce value for the very, very few. You have to speak
to their concerns
and you've got to do it in a way
you have to engage with them.
Fascism only rises up during moments of crisis,
capitalist crisis, to be precise.
Fascism is all about harnessing the discontent
in the people's hearts to grab power
by strongmen, by authoritarians like Mussolini,
like Salvini, like Donald Trump,
and then use this power
to ingratiate themselves
with the financiers, with industrialists.
We have the legendary Wall Street genius, Wilbur Ross,
here. He is our Secretary of Commerce.
We have Gary Cohn, who's the President of Goldman Sachs.
When you get the president, this is the President
of Goldman Sachs. Smart. And I love all people, rich
or poor, but in those particular positions,
I just don't want a poor person. Does that make sense?
Fascism never became powerful
by promising war,
the Gulag concentration camps, pogroms.
It combines the rhetoric of nationalism, jingoism, racism
with genuine
or genuine-sounding concern for the weak.
As long as the weak are the right kind of people.
I'm going to deliver jobs,
safety, great education, help small businesses to thrive and
grow. We must
remember that Mussolini was the first
to introduce universal pensions
in Europe, a welfare state. Too
many Americans are living in terrible
poverty and violence.
We need jobs and we're going to produce those jobs.
They look into the eyes of those disenfranchised people,
desperate people, and they promise them their pride back.
They say to them, we will make you feel good about being
Greek again, about being American, about being German,
about being white, about being Italian.
What the Brexit campaign did is we reached those people
who've been let down by modern global corporatism.
We reached those people who have never voted in their lives
but believed by going out and voting for Brexit
they could take back control of their country,
take back control of their borders, and get back their pride
and self-respect.
If the ordinary decent people are prepared to stand up
and fight for what they believe in,
we can overcome the big banks.
We can overcome the multinationals.
They promise them that they will look
after them, that they will shield them from the vagaries
of austerity on condition
that there will be no trades unions,
that you'd never contest the authority, our authority,
or the authority of the industrialists,
that you'll simply follow
the patriarchal authoritarian
social norms that fascists are building up
in order to create solid foundations for the reproduction
of their authoritarianism.
That is fascism. That's
how it grew up in the 1920s and 30s,
this is how it's growing up today.
Really... you know, I campaigned against Brexit
and yet the contempt
with which radical left-wing, good people,
my friends
who were on the pro-remain side, the way
with which they treated contemptuously, people who had voted
for Brexit, that really upset me.
And until and unless younger, more liberal,
more urbanite and more upwardly mobile leftists
can start paying their dues
and be more respectful to those who have been held behind
and left behind in the Rust Belt areas,
or in the Clacton-on-Sea areas
and the Bournemouth areas of the world,
it can't work. I'm all for, for instance,
bringing down the symbols of
institutionalised racism,
whether it is changing the name of Yale University
or bringing down a statue in Bristol.
I don't have a problem with that.
I don't mind it. But what we must understand is
that when somebody is about to lose their job in a factory
or they've lost it, it really offers them no succour,
it offers them no satisfaction to hear
that Yale University now is called something else.
What do you make of those politicians whose reaction
to the rise of fascism is to concede ground?
The so-called liberals who were in power
or close to power at the time of the fragmentation
of the liberal establishment order, fragmentation
that was due to the inane policies
that they were pursuing while in power, panicked.
Started competing with the racists
and the fascists by offering light versions of racism
in juxtaposition to the fully blown versions
of racism from the right.
So you had François Hollande,
who was cuddly socialist... social democrat up
until he became president of the Republic in France
and then succumbed to the austerian logic
of the European Union. When his regime was collapsing
and the ultra-right was increasing its strength,
he introduced in the National Assembly of the people
of France, legislation against migrants
that allowed the state to withdraw the passports
of the children of migrants
who had become naturalised, and citizenship.
A measure that even the right would not have contemplated
up until recently. When Hillary Clinton is
advising European liberals to be tougher on
the migrants and on the refugees so as
to stem the rise of xenophobia,
she's following the same path of xenophobia-lite.
But of course, xenophobia-lite is never
a bulwark against xenophobia.
It simply feeds the beast.
It makes the Le Pens of the world, the Trumps
of the world, the Kurzes of the world,
the Salvinis of the world feel that they're onto something... feel
that all they need to do is up the ante,
increase the toxicity of their racism. Because
however much to the right Hillary Clinton and François Hollande
and Emmanuel Macron moved,
the alt-right will move further to the right.
The fascists do not need to win office to be in power.
Simply by existing, simply by being, simply by
altering the agenda,
they can shift the whole of the spectrum of politics,
the political center, towards increasingly right-wing
and racist narratives
and policies without ever winning office.
And this is a truth about fascism that
I think should keep all of us awake at night.
We are in a church, so let me tell you a story
that has a Christian dimension.
His name is Shabbir. He comes from Pakistan.
His great move that completely wrecked his life
was to come to the aid of his neighbour.
His neighbour was a Christian,
a Christian family in a town in Pakistan.
The Islamists petrol bombed the house
of the Christians in the middle of the night
and Shabbir, who is a Muslim, went out and helped that family.
The next day, he was branded an apostate
for having helped the Christian family.
His brother was killed. He was a businessman,
he had a rent-a-car business.
His cars were burned down,
and then he had, in order to divert the attention
of the Islamic fundamentalists away from his family,
he took his elderly father
and walked across Iran into Turkey.
In Turkey, he was at attacked by robbers. His father died.
He carried his father's corpse in his arms.
Policemen attacked him. He managed to escape.
To cut a very long story, an odyssey, short,
he ends up on the boat from the Turkish coast
to Lesbos.
The boat sinks. There were 70 people on board. 35 died.
He managed to just about survive, to escape with his life.
He ends up in Mitilini in Lesbos, and he applies for asylum.
This person whose life was wrecked
because he tried to help a Christian neighbor,
and what does Christian Europe do? In the context
of the EU/Turkey treaty,
he's now waiting extradition back to Turkey.
Now, you only have to tell the story in order
to capture the horrors
that is the European Union/Turkey deal
and this humanitarian refugee crisis.
Civilised Europe is using the Mediterranean Sea as a means
by which to drown migrants
and other refugees trying to make the passage to Europe so
as to deter more of them from making the crossing.
The moment Europe behaves that way, it loses the right
to call itself civilised. It becomes barbaric
and, in the end, such barbarism turns against its own people
because it's a very short step
from turning a blind eye
to the way in which you are using other people as means
to an end and accepting that you can be used
as a means to an end.
Borders are a scar on the face of the earth.
The only way to beat this project
of creating fear, terror in the mind of the natives
about a refugee crisis is to confront it head-on.
We need to take the courageous position, let them in.
I think it should be a slogan for
all progressives across the world.
Let them in.
Globalisation was a process of liberating capital.
If you want an image of globalisation,
take the US-Mexican border.
It prevents any movement of humanity,
while at the very same time, it's got large openings
for huge trucks to be going up and down, in
and out, ferrying commodities while
across the ether through electronic means, trillions
of dollars are going backwards and forwards.
That's globalisation. Internationalism is
a project of reversing that, of liberating people
and constraining capital.
Our freedom as human beings
is oppressed by the freedom of capital
to move about unimpeded.
So, internationalism is all about going back
to the original Bretton Woods idea
that the financial genie must be placed back into its bottle,
that banking must be boring,
capital flows must be politically controlled,
money is socially produced
and must be controlled socially and democratically.
That is internationalism.
Of course, it is a major challenge to the model
of society which has been bred under globalisation.
The establishment has always been in denial. The worst
were the Social Democrats, the SPD in Germany, the
Parti Socialiste in France, the PASOK people in Greece.
They were the ones who used the name of social democracy
in order to do favours to the bankers
and in order to shift all the pain onto the innocent
victims of the financial sector.
Once you have the political centre,
whether it's the centre left
or the centre right, participate in this
crime against logic,
the result is infinite discontent.
Out of infinite discontent and hopelessness,
one thing grows. Xenophobia, antisemitism,
Islamophobia, misogyny.
It is a mistake to believe
that there is an almighty political clash
between the establishment and the populists.
I think of them as accomplices. They need each other.
Le Pen thrives on the failures of Brussels.
Farage would not have existed without the inane handling
of Europe's inevitable crisis.
And at the same time, the establishment needs Le Pen
because what is the only argument today for voting
for somebody like Fillon
for God's sakes. Vote for him otherwise
Le Pen will come in. So, they need each other. They are
accomplices. The toxic deception is that there is a clash
between the so-called liberal establishment on the one hand,
Mateo Salvini, Le Pen and so on
on the other hand. Nothing could be further from the truth.
Macron, Juncker and Merkel draw their authority
from the fact that they are facing Salvini
and they're facing Le Pen.
Macron would never have been President without Le Pen.
Juncker would never have a leg
to stand on if you could not say, if it's not me,
après moi, Salvini.
What you see there is an evil dance
between partners.
Comrades in arms. The inane austerity
politics create
greater economic failure.
The greater the economic failure,
the more austerity you need in order to keep a lid on it,
which means you need more authoritarianism.
So, there is this vicious cycle, process
of positive reinforcement, between authoritarianism,
austerity and economic failure.
The Weimar Republic lives on.
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