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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:04,240 --> 00:00:08,280 people are dying entire ecosystems are 2 00:00:08,280 --> 00:00:11,000 collapsing we are in the beginning of a 3 00:00:11,000 --> 00:00:13,759 mass extinction and all you can talk 4 00:00:13,759 --> 00:00:17,600 about is money and fair Tales of Eternal 5 00:00:17,600 --> 00:00:20,380 economic growth how dare 6 00:00:20,380 --> 00:00:24,809 [Applause] 7 00:00:25,160 --> 00:00:27,720 you this is the story of how an 8 00:00:27,720 --> 00:00:30,279 eccentric environmental scare grew into 9 00:00:30,279 --> 00:00:32,200 a powerful Global 10 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:34,920 industry it's a wonderful business 11 00:00:34,920 --> 00:00:37,960 opportunity okay you want climate we'll 12 00:00:37,960 --> 00:00:39,640 give you climate there's a huge amount 13 00:00:39,640 --> 00:00:42,320 of money involved and this is a huge big 14 00:00:42,320 --> 00:00:45,440 money scam there are not just now 15 00:00:45,440 --> 00:00:47,879 billions but there are trillions of 16 00:00:47,879 --> 00:00:50,920 dollars at stake it's a story of 17 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:54,079 self-interest and big government funding 18 00:00:54,079 --> 00:00:57,480 people like me our careers depend on 19 00:00:57,480 --> 00:01:00,399 funding of climate research this is what 20 00:01:00,399 --> 00:01:01,920 I've been doing just about my whole 21 00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:03,840 career this is what the other climate 22 00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:05,400 researchers are doing with their whole 23 00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:08,439 career they don't want this to end if 24 00:01:08,439 --> 00:01:10,640 CO2 isn't having the huge negative 25 00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:12,560 impacts that we claimed it was having 26 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:15,080 originally how are we going to stay in 27 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:17,320 business a lot of people's livelihoods 28 00:01:17,320 --> 00:01:19,320 depend on it they're not going to give 29 00:01:19,320 --> 00:01:21,920 that up this is a story of the 30 00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:24,240 corruption of science there's no such 31 00:01:24,240 --> 00:01:25,880 thing as a climate emergency happening 32 00:01:25,880 --> 00:01:28,360 on this planet now it's there's no no 33 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:31,280 evidence of one the climate alarm is 34 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:33,479 nonsense you know it's it's a hoax I've 35 00:01:33,479 --> 00:01:35,560 never liked hoax I I think scam is a 36 00:01:35,560 --> 00:01:38,079 better word but I'm willing to live with 37 00:01:38,079 --> 00:01:41,000 hoax it's a story about the bullying and 38 00:01:41,000 --> 00:01:43,159 intimidation of anyone who dares to 39 00:01:43,159 --> 00:01:46,479 challenge the climate alarm to speak up 40 00:01:46,479 --> 00:01:48,439 against or about climate change in any 41 00:01:48,439 --> 00:01:49,920 sort of skeptical way was essentially 42 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:51,280 career 43 00:01:51,280 --> 00:01:55,159 suicide activists are even calling for 44 00:01:55,159 --> 00:01:58,479 any skepticism to be 45 00:01:58,479 --> 00:02:00,520 criminalized it's the story of an 46 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:03,439 assault on individual Freedom It's a 47 00:02:03,439 --> 00:02:05,960 Wonderful way to uh increase government 48 00:02:05,960 --> 00:02:08,679 power if there's an existential threat 49 00:02:08,679 --> 00:02:11,599 out there it's worldwide well you need a 50 00:02:11,599 --> 00:02:14,160 powerful worldwide government you know 51 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:17,560 to cope with it we see all these kind of 52 00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:20,680 uh authoritarian measures being adopted 53 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:23,120 in the name of saving the planet you've 54 00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:25,080 suddenly got the population under 55 00:02:25,080 --> 00:02:28,239 control all over the 56 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:31,840 world 57 00:02:33,760 --> 00:02:35,959 we called it industrial 58 00:02:35,959 --> 00:02:38,720 progress since the Industrial Revolution 59 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:40,239 the development of free market 60 00:02:40,239 --> 00:02:42,440 capitalist mass production has made ever 61 00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:44,840 more Goods ever more affordable to ever 62 00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:47,800 larger numbers of people mass production 63 00:02:47,800 --> 00:02:50,440 marched hand inand with mass 64 00:02:50,440 --> 00:02:52,840 consumption in the Modern Age Ordinary 65 00:02:52,840 --> 00:02:55,159 People enjoy a level of prosperity never 66 00:02:55,159 --> 00:02:57,319 before achieved in human 67 00:02:57,319 --> 00:03:00,400 history but all the while we are told we 68 00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:02,190 were destroying the 69 00:03:02,190 --> 00:03:05,080 [Music] 70 00:03:05,080 --> 00:03:07,879 planet computers have calculated what is 71 00:03:07,879 --> 00:03:09,920 in store for us as we produce and 72 00:03:09,920 --> 00:03:12,080 consume ever more the weather will get 73 00:03:12,080 --> 00:03:15,519 worse the planet will boil we greedy 74 00:03:15,519 --> 00:03:18,000 humans must accept limits on our 75 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:22,000 lifestyle consume less travel less those 76 00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:24,280 who deny the climate crisis are not just 77 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:26,799 wrong they're dangerous spreading the 78 00:03:26,799 --> 00:03:28,760 poison of Doubt among a gullible 79 00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:31,120 population these denials should be 80 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:34,720 shunned and shamed and censored for 81 00:03:34,720 --> 00:03:37,519 these climate deniers are flat earthers 82 00:03:37,519 --> 00:03:40,200 they are 83 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:44,519 anti-science teaching at New York 84 00:03:44,519 --> 00:03:46,400 University is one of these climate 85 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:48,879 deniers Professor Steven Koonan is one of 86 00:03:48,879 --> 00:03:50,400 America's leading 87 00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:52,799 physicists he was a science adviser to 88 00:03:52,799 --> 00:03:55,360 President Obama and both vice president 89 00:03:55,360 --> 00:03:57,720 and Provost of Caltech one of the most 90 00:03:57,720 --> 00:03:59,599 prestigious scientific institutes in the 91 00:03:59,599 --> 00:04:01,720 world 92 00:04:04,000 --> 00:04:07,560 world I teach climate science to my 93 00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:11,480 students at NYU and I always tell them 94 00:04:11,480 --> 00:04:14,959 check the data or the papers yourself 95 00:04:14,959 --> 00:04:17,199 and they all come out of that course 96 00:04:17,199 --> 00:04:20,120 with their eyes wide 97 00:04:20,120 --> 00:04:22,960 open Professor coan's best-selling book 98 00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:25,160 unsettled argues that mainstream 99 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:27,560 scientific studies accepted by official 100 00:04:27,560 --> 00:04:30,280 agencies do not support the notion that 101 00:04:30,280 --> 00:04:33,360 there is any kind of climate crisis at 102 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:36,759 all of course I've been called a denier 103 00:04:36,759 --> 00:04:39,520 uh and my response is tell me what I'm 104 00:04:39,520 --> 00:04:42,240 denying because I'm quoting from you 105 00:04:42,240 --> 00:04:47,199 directly from the official un scientific 106 00:04:47,199 --> 00:04:50,160 reports dick lindsen also dismisses the 107 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:52,720 claims of climate alarmists he's one of 108 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:55,160 the world's leading meteorologists was 109 00:04:55,160 --> 00:04:57,160 professor of meteorology at both Harvard 110 00:04:57,160 --> 00:04:59,880 University and MIT and has served on the 111 00:04:59,880 --> 00:05:02,120 un's intergovernmental panel on climate 112 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:04,960 change or 113 00:05:05,280 --> 00:05:08,440 ipcc even the intergovernmental panel on 114 00:05:08,440 --> 00:05:11,360 climate change if you go to their 115 00:05:11,360 --> 00:05:14,639 section on working one group one which 116 00:05:14,639 --> 00:05:17,479 is the science they don't support any of 117 00:05:17,479 --> 00:05:18,600 these 118 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:21,600 claims and I assure you having served on 119 00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:22,800 it's 120 00:05:22,800 --> 00:05:25,280 biased but you couldn't get any real 121 00:05:25,280 --> 00:05:27,560 scientists to agree some of the nonsense 122 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:28,639 that's being 123 00:05:28,639 --> 00:05:31,960 promoted will haer is also a denier and 124 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:33,759 is another of America's leading 125 00:05:33,759 --> 00:05:36,039 physicists he has been science adviser 126 00:05:36,039 --> 00:05:38,199 to three presidents and professor of 127 00:05:38,199 --> 00:05:40,240 physics at both Columbia and Princeton 128 00:05:40,240 --> 00:05:43,440 University there's this mischievous uh 129 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:46,680 idea that's promoted that scientific 130 00:05:46,680 --> 00:05:49,880 truth is determined by consensus in real 131 00:05:49,880 --> 00:05:51,479 science you know there are always 132 00:05:51,479 --> 00:05:53,800 arguments no science is ever settled you 133 00:05:53,800 --> 00:05:56,039 know it just uh is absurd when people 134 00:05:56,039 --> 00:05:57,880 say the science of climate is settled 135 00:05:57,880 --> 00:05:59,960 it's not there's no such thing as sett 136 00:05:59,960 --> 00:06:02,400 science especially 137 00:06:02,400 --> 00:06:05,039 climate Dr John clauser is one of the 138 00:06:05,039 --> 00:06:07,160 most respected scientists in the world 139 00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:09,919 in 20122 he was awarded the Nobel Prize 140 00:06:09,919 --> 00:06:12,160 for physics the science that's being 141 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:14,840 done is appallingly bad in my opinion 142 00:06:14,840 --> 00:06:16,400 there are a large number of scientists 143 00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:18,759 who are in violent disagreement they 144 00:06:18,759 --> 00:06:21,319 refer to themselves as Skeptics since I 145 00:06:21,319 --> 00:06:24,160 am no longer worried about losing 146 00:06:24,160 --> 00:06:27,360 funding or a job whatever I call myself 147 00:06:27,360 --> 00:06:30,080 a climate change denier 148 00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:31,840 these very eminent and respected 149 00:06:31,840 --> 00:06:34,360 scientists and others like them are not 150 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:37,840 flat earthers they do not deny science 151 00:06:37,840 --> 00:06:39,560 so what's the evidence that has caused 152 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:43,420 them to dismiss the climate alarm as 153 00:06:43,420 --> 00:06:46,910 [Music] 154 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:51,520 nonsense we are told that current 155 00:06:51,520 --> 00:06:53,759 temperatures are unprecedented and 156 00:06:53,759 --> 00:06:56,520 dangerously high it's possible to check 157 00:06:56,520 --> 00:06:58,560 if this is true because we have evidence 158 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:00,160 of Earth's climate history history 159 00:07:00,160 --> 00:07:02,360 dating back hundreds thousands even 160 00:07:02,360 --> 00:07:05,000 millions of 161 00:07:05,000 --> 00:07:07,960 years the Desert of Judea by the Dead 162 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:10,720 Sea Professor n shavei from The raker 163 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:12,639 Institute of physics has come here 164 00:07:12,639 --> 00:07:13,800 looking for 165 00:07:13,800 --> 00:07:16,520 Clues thousands of years ago this place 166 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:19,240 was underwater and etched into the rocks 167 00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:21,440 are lines which if you know how to read 168 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:24,199 them tell the story of Earth's climate 169 00:07:24,199 --> 00:07:26,520 history and here's the 170 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:29,879 climate we are at the uh lake bed of 171 00:07:29,879 --> 00:07:32,440 what used to be Lake lisan um it's a 172 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:35,039 lake that existed until the end of the 173 00:07:35,039 --> 00:07:38,879 last ice age back then the lake level 174 00:07:38,879 --> 00:07:41,599 was maybe 100 m above where we're 175 00:07:41,599 --> 00:07:44,240 located when we want to reconstruct 176 00:07:44,240 --> 00:07:47,199 climates of the past we have to look for 177 00:07:47,199 --> 00:07:50,720 evidence U for Clues and when the lake 178 00:07:50,720 --> 00:07:53,680 existed it had the deposits and by 179 00:07:53,680 --> 00:07:55,919 looking at these uh layers here we can 180 00:07:55,919 --> 00:07:58,440 actually reconstruct how the climate is 181 00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:00,560 changed 182 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:03,000 warmer water means more life the 183 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:05,000 accumulation of more shells and Bones 184 00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:05,960 from sea 185 00:08:05,960 --> 00:08:08,720 creatures and other changes that are 186 00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:10,400 reflected in the ancient layers of the 187 00:08:10,400 --> 00:08:13,159 lake bed the lines act as a kind of 188 00:08:13,159 --> 00:08:15,159 thermometer and this is just one way 189 00:08:15,159 --> 00:08:18,479 geologists can reconstruct past climate 190 00:08:18,479 --> 00:08:21,360 in other places we can go to stalagmite 191 00:08:21,360 --> 00:08:24,360 caves and see the annual rings that you 192 00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:27,639 have in the stalite or we can drill cors 193 00:08:27,639 --> 00:08:30,639 from the bottom of the oan and then look 194 00:08:30,639 --> 00:08:34,039 at layers there or many other places but 195 00:08:34,039 --> 00:08:35,839 here I think this is one of the nicest 196 00:08:35,839 --> 00:08:37,640 places because you can actually see you 197 00:08:37,640 --> 00:08:42,240 can actually see how the climate has 198 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:44,800 changed so when we look back in time 199 00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:45,890 what do we 200 00:08:45,890 --> 00:08:50,560 [Music] 201 00:08:50,560 --> 00:08:54,279 find for 200 million years dinosaurs 202 00:08:54,279 --> 00:08:57,160 roamed the Earth an earth marked by 203 00:08:57,160 --> 00:09:01,240 fertile dense forests teaming with life 204 00:09:01,240 --> 00:09:03,519 and at no time during those 200 million 205 00:09:03,519 --> 00:09:06,079 years were temperatures as cold as they 206 00:09:06,079 --> 00:09:07,760 are 207 00:09:07,760 --> 00:09:11,360 today if you go back let's say 200 208 00:09:11,360 --> 00:09:15,160 million years it was maybe 13ยฐ warmer 209 00:09:15,160 --> 00:09:18,120 than it is now so on the geological 210 00:09:18,120 --> 00:09:22,160 perspective this is not at all 211 00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:24,839 unprecedented for the last 500 million 212 00:09:24,839 --> 00:09:27,720 years temperatures have varied greatly 213 00:09:27,720 --> 00:09:29,760 but for almost all that time the Earth 214 00:09:29,760 --> 00:09:32,079 was much much warmer than 215 00:09:32,079 --> 00:09:34,839 today compared to the last half billion 216 00:09:34,839 --> 00:09:36,640 years the earth right now is 217 00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:39,120 exceptionally cold in fact there are 218 00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:41,399 very few times when it's been this 219 00:09:41,399 --> 00:09:44,920 cold we're relatively cold maybe not 220 00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:47,640 quite the coldest it's been in 500 221 00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:50,720 million years but pretty close to it we 222 00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:53,680 are in a remarkably cool period if we 223 00:09:53,680 --> 00:09:56,240 look over the last 550 million years in 224 00:09:56,240 --> 00:09:59,079 fact only one other time period in that 225 00:09:59,079 --> 00:10:00,920 last 550 million years was the 226 00:10:00,920 --> 00:10:03,760 temperature as cool as it is now the 227 00:10:03,760 --> 00:10:05,720 mammals who now inhabit the Earth began 228 00:10:05,720 --> 00:10:08,320 to evolve around 60 million years ago 229 00:10:08,320 --> 00:10:10,079 when the world was much warmer than 230 00:10:10,079 --> 00:10:12,959 today we just look at the last 65 231 00:10:12,959 --> 00:10:14,519 million years so this is after the 232 00:10:14,519 --> 00:10:17,079 dinosaurs go extinct mammals really 233 00:10:17,079 --> 00:10:19,839 start to take over and our evolutionary 234 00:10:19,839 --> 00:10:22,440 ancestors start to live on the land any 235 00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:24,839 time period within the last 65 million 236 00:10:24,839 --> 00:10:27,079 years was warmer than it is essentially 237 00:10:27,079 --> 00:10:29,640 today the Earth's mammals humans 238 00:10:29,640 --> 00:10:32,800 included appear to thrive when it's warm 239 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:35,600 warmer than it is now there's no doubt 240 00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:37,399 that warm is better than cold in 241 00:10:37,399 --> 00:10:39,959 geological history we are a tropical 242 00:10:39,959 --> 00:10:43,680 species a human being in the shade naked 243 00:10:43,680 --> 00:10:46,760 dies at 20c from 244 00:10:46,760 --> 00:10:49,720 hypothermia we evolved on the equator in 245 00:10:49,720 --> 00:10:52,160 Africa and the only reason we were able 246 00:10:52,160 --> 00:10:54,959 to get out of there eventually was fire 247 00:10:54,959 --> 00:10:57,680 shelter and 248 00:10:58,240 --> 00:11:01,440 clothing over the last 50 million years 249 00:11:01,440 --> 00:11:03,959 temperatures steadily declined plunging 250 00:11:03,959 --> 00:11:06,200 the earth into what geologists call the 251 00:11:06,200 --> 00:11:09,639 late cazic Ice Age we are still in that 252 00:11:09,639 --> 00:11:12,240 Ice Age the reason there's all that ice 253 00:11:12,240 --> 00:11:14,639 on the poles is because we're in an ice 254 00:11:14,639 --> 00:11:16,519 age everybody knows that who knows 255 00:11:16,519 --> 00:11:18,920 anything about the history of the Earth 256 00:11:18,920 --> 00:11:21,440 this is an Ice Age we're at the tail end 257 00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:23,639 of a 50 million year cooling period and 258 00:11:23,639 --> 00:11:25,440 they're saying it's too 259 00:11:25,440 --> 00:11:28,040 hot if we zoom in on the past few 260 00:11:28,040 --> 00:11:30,000 million years we sea temperatures 261 00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:32,839 sinking and as they do fluctuating 262 00:11:32,839 --> 00:11:35,000 between extremely cold periods and 263 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:38,120 slightly milder periods the extremely 264 00:11:38,120 --> 00:11:40,720 cold periods are called glacial Maxima 265 00:11:40,720 --> 00:11:43,160 when the planet is mostly covered in ice 266 00:11:43,160 --> 00:11:45,120 and the slightly less cold are called 267 00:11:45,120 --> 00:11:47,200 glacial Minima when there's just ice at 268 00:11:47,200 --> 00:11:48,160 the 269 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:50,639 poles for the past 10,000 years 270 00:11:50,639 --> 00:11:52,440 fortunately we've been in a slightly 271 00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:55,840 less cold glacial minimum known as the 272 00:11:55,840 --> 00:11:57,880 [Music] 273 00:11:57,880 --> 00:12:00,440 holline with milder weather humans began 274 00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:02,920 to emerge from their caves and several 275 00:12:02,920 --> 00:12:04,920 thousand years ago we see the rise of 276 00:12:04,920 --> 00:12:07,200 the first great civilizations in a 277 00:12:07,200 --> 00:12:09,360 blissful period which according to many 278 00:12:09,360 --> 00:12:11,600 studies was considerably warmer than 279 00:12:11,600 --> 00:12:14,279 today this is known as the hollene 280 00:12:14,279 --> 00:12:15,600 climate 281 00:12:15,600 --> 00:12:18,079 Optimum it was called an Optimum because 282 00:12:18,079 --> 00:12:20,720 people thought that warmer was better 283 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:22,880 since then temperatures have declined 284 00:12:22,880 --> 00:12:25,560 and began to fluctuate in Roman times 285 00:12:25,560 --> 00:12:27,440 there was a blissfully warm 286 00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:30,320 period followed by brutal cold period in 287 00:12:30,320 --> 00:12:31,279 the Dark 288 00:12:31,279 --> 00:12:33,920 Ages then came the Bain medieval warm 289 00:12:33,920 --> 00:12:36,399 period according to many studies as warm 290 00:12:36,399 --> 00:12:38,440 or warmer than 291 00:12:38,440 --> 00:12:41,000 today followed by an especially cold 292 00:12:41,000 --> 00:12:43,320 period known as the little Ice Age 293 00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:45,600 possibly the coldest in the last 10,000 294 00:12:45,600 --> 00:12:48,440 years and here it is the Roman warm 295 00:12:48,440 --> 00:12:51,000 period the cold Dark Age the medieval 296 00:12:51,000 --> 00:12:53,160 warm period and then the very cold 297 00:12:53,160 --> 00:12:55,399 little ice age from which for the past 298 00:12:55,399 --> 00:12:58,120 300 years or so we've been 299 00:12:58,120 --> 00:13:00,480 recovering 300 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:02,079 the longest instrumental record of 301 00:13:02,079 --> 00:13:03,720 temperature in the world comes from 302 00:13:03,720 --> 00:13:05,480 Central England and this is what it 303 00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:07,720 shows since the worst of the little ice 304 00:13:07,720 --> 00:13:10,800 age from 1650 the temperature has risen 305 00:13:10,800 --> 00:13:14,000 gently by little more than 1ยฐ 306 00:13:14,000 --> 00:13:17,480 C the central England record of 307 00:13:17,480 --> 00:13:20,079 temperature is a world treasure you know 308 00:13:20,079 --> 00:13:22,279 it's the longest continuous record that 309 00:13:22,279 --> 00:13:24,720 we have and it's certainly not a very 310 00:13:24,720 --> 00:13:28,399 alarming record it began in the depths 311 00:13:28,399 --> 00:13:30,800 of the little Ice Age and so you can see 312 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:32,720 the slight warming that followed the 313 00:13:32,720 --> 00:13:35,040 little ice age and there's certainly 314 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:37,079 nothing very alarming that's happening 315 00:13:37,079 --> 00:13:40,240 today at the very end of the record most 316 00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:42,120 of the warming that we're observing 317 00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:44,560 today is the recovery from the little 318 00:13:44,560 --> 00:13:47,320 Ice Age whatever calls that well you 319 00:13:47,320 --> 00:13:49,680 know we're talking over the entire 320 00:13:49,680 --> 00:13:54,600 industrial period of about 1ยฐ 321 00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:56,759 cenr to put this one degree in 322 00:13:56,759 --> 00:13:58,560 perspective let's look at New York 323 00:13:58,560 --> 00:14:01,480 Central Park Records show that there has 324 00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:03,399 been no overall change in temperature 325 00:14:03,399 --> 00:14:04,519 here since 326 00:14:04,519 --> 00:14:07,199 1940 but from one year to the next the 327 00:14:07,199 --> 00:14:10,519 average temperature can vary by 3ยฐ C 328 00:14:10,519 --> 00:14:13,279 without many New Yorkers even noticing 329 00:14:13,279 --> 00:14:14,800 in fact between the warmest year and the 330 00:14:14,800 --> 00:14:17,680 1960s and the coolest in 2000 there's a 331 00:14:17,680 --> 00:14:20,440 difference of 5ยฐ C the average 332 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:23,920 temperature on this day in this year 333 00:14:23,920 --> 00:14:27,759 might be 5ยฐ different from the average 334 00:14:27,759 --> 00:14:30,560 temperature a year ago or two years you 335 00:14:30,560 --> 00:14:33,360 know when I hear people pontificating 336 00:14:33,360 --> 00:14:36,160 about 1 and a half degrees leading to 337 00:14:36,160 --> 00:14:37,959 the end of civilization I think what 338 00:14:37,959 --> 00:14:39,920 have they been smoking you know are you 339 00:14:39,920 --> 00:14:41,639 crazy right 340 00:14:41,639 --> 00:14:44,000 so according to thermometer readings 341 00:14:44,000 --> 00:14:46,399 since 1880 there's been a very mild 342 00:14:46,399 --> 00:14:47,560 increase in 343 00:14:47,560 --> 00:14:50,360 temperature only by stretching the Y AIS 344 00:14:50,360 --> 00:14:53,560 on this graph is the increase noticeable 345 00:14:53,560 --> 00:14:55,560 this is the rising line used by official 346 00:14:55,560 --> 00:14:58,800 agencies as proof of global warming but 347 00:14:58,800 --> 00:15:01,240 is it it 348 00:15:02,560 --> 00:15:04,959 accurate Professor Ross mckitrick is an 349 00:15:04,959 --> 00:15:07,959 expert in statistical analysis at GF 350 00:15:07,959 --> 00:15:10,360 University he noticed something odd 351 00:15:10,360 --> 00:15:12,639 about modern thermometer records 352 00:15:12,639 --> 00:15:14,800 thermometers even in the same region 353 00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:16,839 give out very different readings 354 00:15:16,839 --> 00:15:19,399 depending on where they're located I was 355 00:15:19,399 --> 00:15:21,000 interested in the question of how do you 356 00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:22,800 explain the spatial pattern of warming 357 00:15:22,800 --> 00:15:24,519 so some places warm a lot some places 358 00:15:24,519 --> 00:15:26,360 don't warm much and it turns out highly 359 00:15:26,360 --> 00:15:28,519 correlated with the spatial pattern of 360 00:15:28,519 --> 00:15:30,079 economics 361 00:15:30,079 --> 00:15:32,440 activity where there are more people and 362 00:15:32,440 --> 00:15:34,360 there is more human activity there's 363 00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:37,120 more heat this is known as the urban 364 00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:38,800 heat island 365 00:15:38,800 --> 00:15:41,240 effect Urban heat island effect is 366 00:15:41,240 --> 00:15:43,399 essentially London right you pick London 367 00:15:43,399 --> 00:15:46,279 with buildings with a lot of activities 368 00:15:46,279 --> 00:15:48,440 tends to be a few degree I mean we're 369 00:15:48,440 --> 00:15:50,560 talking now Celsius right even four five 370 00:15:50,560 --> 00:15:53,000 degree celsus warmer than outskirt this 371 00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:55,519 is a phenomenon of urbanization this day 372 00:15:55,519 --> 00:15:57,079 is the obvious effect is actually 373 00:15:57,079 --> 00:15:59,560 concrete retting retaining 374 00:15:59,560 --> 00:16:02,120 Heat this can be Illustrated with a 375 00:16:02,120 --> 00:16:05,120 satellite heat map of Paris the center 376 00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:08,759 of Paris can be as much as 5ยฐ C warmer 377 00:16:08,759 --> 00:16:11,480 than the surrounding 378 00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:14,959 Countryside Paris London Beijing 379 00:16:14,959 --> 00:16:18,279 Shanghai you name it New Delhi all of 380 00:16:18,279 --> 00:16:21,279 them absolutely demonstrated the 381 00:16:21,279 --> 00:16:23,519 defs so how is this affected the 382 00:16:23,519 --> 00:16:26,040 official temperature record in the early 383 00:16:26,040 --> 00:16:27,959 part of the 20th century it was normal 384 00:16:27,959 --> 00:16:30,399 to erect weather thers just outside 385 00:16:30,399 --> 00:16:33,040 Towns close enough to check every day 386 00:16:33,040 --> 00:16:36,120 but away from the heat of urban life but 387 00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:38,120 over the 20th century those towns have 388 00:16:38,120 --> 00:16:40,839 expanded suburbs have spread there are 389 00:16:40,839 --> 00:16:43,680 more roads more cars thermometers which 390 00:16:43,680 --> 00:16:46,199 were once outside towns are now 391 00:16:46,199 --> 00:16:48,959 surrounded by shopping malls offices 392 00:16:48,959 --> 00:16:51,279 factories and 393 00:16:51,279 --> 00:16:54,440 houses these towns and all the locations 394 00:16:54,440 --> 00:16:56,680 where thermometers are located on 395 00:16:56,680 --> 00:16:58,680 average they've all grown in population 396 00:16:58,680 --> 00:17:01,759 let's say since 1880 you've got 397 00:17:01,759 --> 00:17:03,800 buildings uh growing up around the 398 00:17:03,800 --> 00:17:06,400 thermometers you've got parking lots so 399 00:17:06,400 --> 00:17:08,520 you've got all of these non-climate 400 00:17:08,520 --> 00:17:10,280 influences which are affecting the 401 00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:12,039 temperatures which raises questions 402 00:17:12,039 --> 00:17:14,000 about the quality of thermometer data 403 00:17:14,000 --> 00:17:15,839 for monitoring global 404 00:17:15,839 --> 00:17:18,120 warming to correct for this Corruption 405 00:17:18,120 --> 00:17:20,360 of the data an obvious solution is to 406 00:17:20,360 --> 00:17:22,880 use only records from rural weather 407 00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:24,679 stations which have been less affected 408 00:17:24,679 --> 00:17:26,959 by Urban Development this has now been 409 00:17:26,959 --> 00:17:30,400 done by a team led by Dr Willam soon we 410 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:33,520 combine all the best rural station any 411 00:17:33,520 --> 00:17:35,200 anything that we can correct for we 412 00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:37,559 correct for and we show if you just 413 00:17:37,559 --> 00:17:40,240 don't use this the and use only rural 414 00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:42,799 you you get a very different kind of 415 00:17:42,799 --> 00:17:45,200 picture according to rural temperature 416 00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:48,080 records temperatures Rose from the 1880s 417 00:17:48,080 --> 00:17:49,559 but peaked in the 418 00:17:49,559 --> 00:17:51,919 1940s then there was a marked cooling 419 00:17:51,919 --> 00:17:52,880 until the 420 00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:55,919 1970s after that temperatures recover 421 00:17:55,919 --> 00:17:57,760 but are still today barely higher than 422 00:17:57,760 --> 00:18:00,480 they were in the 1940s 423 00:18:00,480 --> 00:18:02,720 what we see is that basically you have a 424 00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:05,720 warming from the 1900 18 you know 50s or 425 00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:08,480 so to 1930s and 40s and started to warm 426 00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:11,280 and then cool in a substantial way to 427 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:14,240 the ' 70s about 76 or so instead of a 428 00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:17,120 longterm systematic warming Trend it has 429 00:18:17,120 --> 00:18:19,760 a variability multi decade or like every 430 00:18:19,760 --> 00:18:23,919 50 60 years or so kind of a 431 00:18:23,919 --> 00:18:26,120 variation it's not just rural 432 00:18:26,120 --> 00:18:28,440 thermometers that show little warming 433 00:18:28,440 --> 00:18:30,720 mer ships and other Naval vessels have 434 00:18:30,720 --> 00:18:32,039 been measuring the temperature of the 435 00:18:32,039 --> 00:18:34,440 sea since the 19th 436 00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:36,960 century in red we see the land 437 00:18:36,960 --> 00:18:39,240 temperature record since the 1860s which 438 00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:42,159 has been inflated by Urban thermometers 439 00:18:42,159 --> 00:18:44,240 but in blue is the ocean temperature 440 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:47,840 record from around 1900 the two begin to 441 00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:50,360 diverge ocean records show far less 442 00:18:50,360 --> 00:18:52,240 warming in the 20th century and the 443 00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:54,400 pattern more closely resembles the rural 444 00:18:54,400 --> 00:18:56,880 temperature 445 00:18:57,080 --> 00:18:59,400 record sea is not supposed to be good 446 00:18:59,400 --> 00:19:01,400 and contaminated by Urban heat island 447 00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:04,039 effect am I right yes so when we compare 448 00:19:04,039 --> 00:19:05,559 the two record within the range of 449 00:19:05,559 --> 00:19:08,159 uncertainty these Behavior actually 450 00:19:08,159 --> 00:19:10,400 fits scientists have also studied 451 00:19:10,400 --> 00:19:12,120 temperature change by looking at tree 452 00:19:12,120 --> 00:19:14,440 rings which again shows very little 453 00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:16,640 warming there's a gentle rise till the 454 00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:18,720 mid 20th century but cooling to the 455 00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:21,919 1970s followed by a mild recovery once 456 00:19:21,919 --> 00:19:24,240 again it shows temperatures today are 457 00:19:24,240 --> 00:19:26,000 barely different to those of the 1930s 458 00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:28,080 and 40s and the pattern closely 459 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:30,300 resembles rural 460 00:19:30,300 --> 00:19:33,480 [Music] 461 00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:36,400 temperatures satellites too seem to be 462 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:38,039 telling a different 463 00:19:38,039 --> 00:19:40,440 story our ability to measure Global 464 00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:42,320 temperature accurately took a Leap 465 00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:44,360 Forward when satellites began to orbit 466 00:19:44,360 --> 00:19:45,360 the 467 00:19:45,360 --> 00:19:47,480 earth one of the scientists who 468 00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:48,960 pioneered the use of satellites to 469 00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:51,720 measure temperature is Dr Roy Spencer 470 00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:53,960 who in the 1980s was senior scientist 471 00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:56,520 for climate at NASA's Marshall space 472 00:19:56,520 --> 00:19:57,640 flight 473 00:19:57,640 --> 00:20:00,520 center we were discussing over lunch 474 00:20:00,520 --> 00:20:01,919 isn't there some way we can use 475 00:20:01,919 --> 00:20:03,640 satellites to monitor global 476 00:20:03,640 --> 00:20:06,240 temperatures because as you know the 477 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:10,120 temperature network of thermometers is 478 00:20:10,120 --> 00:20:12,039 pretty skimpy around the world so it's 479 00:20:12,039 --> 00:20:14,000 kind of hard to get a global 480 00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:16,280 temperature Dr Spencer's development of 481 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:18,880 weather satellites was revolutionary he 482 00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:20,280 and his colleague professor John 483 00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:22,280 Christie have been awarded NASA's medal 484 00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:24,480 for exceptional scientific 485 00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:27,280 achievement our satellite data begins in 486 00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:29,600 January of 197 that's when we have 487 00:20:29,600 --> 00:20:32,080 complete Global coverage uh and we have 488 00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:34,320 it right up to the 489 00:20:34,320 --> 00:20:36,760 present there was one critical question 490 00:20:36,760 --> 00:20:38,600 about temperature that satellites were 491 00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:41,120 singularly well equipped to 492 00:20:41,120 --> 00:20:44,159 answer has there been a spous warming 493 00:20:44,159 --> 00:20:45,799 that has crept into the global 494 00:20:45,799 --> 00:20:48,600 temperature record Overland uh that's 495 00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:50,720 just a result of an increase in 496 00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:52,640 population and that's something that 497 00:20:52,640 --> 00:20:55,080 we've been analyzing and working a lot 498 00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:57,280 on lately and we're finding that 499 00:20:57,280 --> 00:21:00,159 especially in urban areas uh it's large 500 00:21:00,159 --> 00:21:02,720 I mean since 1880 most of the warming it 501 00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,159 looks like is due to the urban heat 502 00:21:05,159 --> 00:21:07,799 island effect we're lucky to have a few 503 00:21:07,799 --> 00:21:10,159 independent scientists like John 504 00:21:10,159 --> 00:21:12,760 Christie and Roy Spencer with their 505 00:21:12,760 --> 00:21:14,600 satellite measurements of 506 00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:18,200 temperature you know before they uh 507 00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:20,559 started releasing this groundbased 508 00:21:20,559 --> 00:21:22,559 temperature records were going wild they 509 00:21:22,559 --> 00:21:26,480 were going up you know like crazy with 510 00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:29,000 no no bounds but now they have to 511 00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:30,640 contend with the fact that there's this 512 00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:33,520 independent and probably better way of 513 00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:36,640 measuring the whole globe's temperature 514 00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:39,159 which is not alarming at 515 00:21:39,159 --> 00:21:42,080 all evidence from multiple sources now 516 00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:43,960 agree that the official Global 517 00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:46,120 temperature record as used by World 518 00:21:46,120 --> 00:21:47,840 governments and reported in the world's 519 00:21:47,840 --> 00:21:50,159 media is showing far too much warming 520 00:21:50,159 --> 00:21:53,120 over the last 120 years artificially 521 00:21:53,120 --> 00:21:56,240 inflated by urbanization you look at the 522 00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:57,880 weather balloon record the satellite 523 00:21:57,880 --> 00:22:00,320 record the record the ocean record 524 00:22:00,320 --> 00:22:02,919 doesn't warm nearly as much as land all 525 00:22:02,919 --> 00:22:05,919 of these indications show that the like 526 00:22:05,919 --> 00:22:07,960 the big warming pulse in the record is 527 00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:11,080 the Northern Hemisphere land record and 528 00:22:11,080 --> 00:22:13,039 that's also where most of this data 529 00:22:13,039 --> 00:22:16,000 contamination is happening but of the 530 00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:17,960 mild warming that has taken place in the 531 00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:20,799 last 3 to 400 years can any of it be 532 00:22:20,799 --> 00:22:23,720 attributed to human emissions of 533 00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:27,520 [Music] 534 00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:30,520 CO2 535 00:22:31,919 --> 00:22:34,240 Professor Henrik sansar is visiting the 536 00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:36,480 Hebrew University of Jerusalem and 537 00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:38,799 taking a stroll in the evolution Garden 538 00:22:38,799 --> 00:22:40,720 dedicated to preserving the oldest 539 00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:42,960 surviving plant species on 540 00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:45,240 Earth these plants aren't just pleasing 541 00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,200 on the eye they can also tell us about 542 00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:49,480 levels of CO2 in the atmosphere in 543 00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:51,960 Earth's geological 544 00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:55,799 past what we have here is a Ginko tree 545 00:22:55,799 --> 00:22:57,960 and it's actually a living fossil in the 546 00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:01,480 sense that this type of tree H first 547 00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:05,039 appeared about 270 million years ago on 548 00:23:05,039 --> 00:23:07,360 the underside of the leave there are 549 00:23:07,360 --> 00:23:09,679 what we call stomer the cells where they 550 00:23:09,679 --> 00:23:12,600 can uptake CO2 so they actually 551 00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:15,679 measuring how much CO2 is in the air and 552 00:23:15,679 --> 00:23:19,039 then they adjust the number of this stom 553 00:23:19,039 --> 00:23:21,840 to how much CO2 there is and by looking 554 00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:24,320 at fossils and measuring how many there 555 00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:26,640 are at a different time it says 556 00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:28,760 something about what was the level of 557 00:23:28,760 --> 00:23:31,520 CO2 back in 558 00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:34,120 time so when we look back in time what 559 00:23:34,120 --> 00:23:37,000 do we find over almost all of the last 560 00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:39,640 500 million years the level of CO2 in 561 00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:42,080 the atmosphere has been far far higher 562 00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:44,400 than it is now even with modern 563 00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:47,039 industry's contribution to CO2 Levels by 564 00:23:47,039 --> 00:23:48,960 geological standards the level of 565 00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:51,440 atmospheric CO2 today is close to being 566 00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:54,640 as low as it has ever 567 00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:58,880 been at present we have about uh 4 400 568 00:23:58,880 --> 00:24:01,760 parts per million 50 million years ago 569 00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:03,520 it might have been 2,000 parts per 570 00:24:03,520 --> 00:24:06,159 million so a much much higher 571 00:24:06,159 --> 00:24:08,480 concentration of 572 00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:11,400 CO2 I think current estimates of global 573 00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:12,600 CO2 is 574 00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:16,120 423 or so parts per million today if we 575 00:24:16,120 --> 00:24:19,000 look through the furoic the last 550 576 00:24:19,000 --> 00:24:22,120 million years we would see CO2 on the 577 00:24:22,120 --> 00:24:26,200 order of 7,000 parts per million CO2 is 578 00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:28,480 plant food and the result of much higher 579 00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:30,760 levels of atmospheric CO2 in the past 580 00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:34,000 was a much much Greener World periods of 581 00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:37,799 elevated CO2 tend to be time periods of 582 00:24:37,799 --> 00:24:40,559 of of a huge biodiversity on on the 583 00:24:40,559 --> 00:24:43,080 planet in fact we're in a CO2 famine if 584 00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:46,120 we look over the last 550 million 585 00:24:46,120 --> 00:24:48,640 years at the depths of the most recent 586 00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:51,159 glacial maximum the amount of CO2 in the 587 00:24:51,159 --> 00:24:54,520 atmosphere sank so low all life on Earth 588 00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:57,720 came close to extinction they say CO2 is 589 00:24:57,720 --> 00:24:59,799 higher than it's been for 100,000 years 590 00:24:59,799 --> 00:25:01,360 but what they don't tell you in that 591 00:25:01,360 --> 00:25:03,480 period they're talking about is that CO2 592 00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:05,640 sank so low that all life on Earth 593 00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:09,240 nearly died 20,000 years ago CO2 is at 594 00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:10,960 the lowest level it has ever been in the 595 00:25:10,960 --> 00:25:13,600 history of the earth 180 parts per 596 00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:16,159 million if it had gone down another 30 597 00:25:16,159 --> 00:25:18,840 parts per million we'd all be 598 00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:22,080 dead there is a low point of CO2 where 599 00:25:22,080 --> 00:25:25,080 photosynthesis becomes so inefficient 600 00:25:25,080 --> 00:25:27,600 that plant life would die then 601 00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:29,679 everything else starts to perish after 602 00:25:29,679 --> 00:25:33,039 that during the last glacial maximum 603 00:25:33,039 --> 00:25:35,520 there's good evidence that in many parts 604 00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:38,000 of the world there was plant starvation 605 00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:41,960 from not enough CO2 so uh we should be 606 00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:44,120 very grateful that CO2 levels are 607 00:25:44,120 --> 00:25:46,279 beginning to go back up we're still far 608 00:25:46,279 --> 00:25:48,399 from the historical Norms which would be 609 00:25:48,399 --> 00:25:50,360 several thousand parts from a million 610 00:25:50,360 --> 00:25:52,559 there's not enough fossil fuel to get 611 00:25:52,559 --> 00:25:56,120 there but at least we're making a 612 00:25:56,120 --> 00:25:59,960 start but has the small increase in CO2 613 00:25:59,960 --> 00:26:01,320 affected the 614 00:26:01,320 --> 00:26:03,240 temperature we would now show you a 615 00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:06,080 picture of CO2 but we can't because it's 616 00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:08,919 invisible CO2 makes up a tiny fraction 617 00:26:08,919 --> 00:26:12,520 of the gases in the atmosphere just 0.04 618 00:26:12,520 --> 00:26:15,640 of a percent it is just one of 25 619 00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:17,760 different greenhouse gases which taken 620 00:26:17,760 --> 00:26:20,360 as a whole form only one part of Earth's 621 00:26:20,360 --> 00:26:23,200 complex climate system so what evidence 622 00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:25,399 is there that this Trace gas is having 623 00:26:25,399 --> 00:26:29,240 any noticeable impact on the climate 624 00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:30,720 if it were true that higher levels of 625 00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:33,120 CO2 caused higher temperatures we should 626 00:26:33,120 --> 00:26:36,520 be able to see that in Earth's climate 627 00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:38,720 history here scientists are drilling 628 00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:41,440 into ancient ice cores these cores tell 629 00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:44,799 us both about past temperatures and CO2 630 00:26:44,799 --> 00:26:47,279 levels scientists have indeed found a 631 00:26:47,279 --> 00:26:49,760 link between temperature and CO2 the 632 00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:52,399 trouble is it's the wrong way 633 00:26:52,399 --> 00:26:55,200 round so it's true over the last few 634 00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:57,640 million years of the Ice Age that we're 635 00:26:57,640 --> 00:27:00,760 in now that CO2 and temperature are 636 00:27:00,760 --> 00:27:03,279 correlated but if CO2 is the driver it 637 00:27:03,279 --> 00:27:05,760 has to change first and the temperature 638 00:27:05,760 --> 00:27:07,720 has to change second in fact when you 639 00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:09,520 start to look at the data very 640 00:27:09,520 --> 00:27:11,399 specifically you see the exact reverse 641 00:27:11,399 --> 00:27:13,840 temperature starts to rise first and 642 00:27:13,840 --> 00:27:16,159 then on the order of a century to a few 643 00:27:16,159 --> 00:27:18,799 centuries later we start to see a a rise 644 00:27:18,799 --> 00:27:22,240 in CO2 it's long been known that uh the 645 00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:25,200 temperature actually moves first so 646 00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:27,600 temperature goes up CO2 goes up after 647 00:27:27,600 --> 00:27:30,120 that temperature goes down CO2 goes down 648 00:27:30,120 --> 00:27:33,279 ice ages start when carbon dioxide is at 649 00:27:33,279 --> 00:27:36,720 its maximum and Ice Ages end when carbon 650 00:27:36,720 --> 00:27:39,640 dioxide is at its minimum which is the 651 00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:42,000 exact opposite of what would occur if 652 00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:43,720 carbon dioxide was controlling the 653 00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:45,640 temperature the question of whether CO2 654 00:27:45,640 --> 00:27:47,799 drives the climate is easily resolved 655 00:27:47,799 --> 00:27:49,240 you can look back in time over hundreds 656 00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:51,360 of millions of years CO2 levels have 657 00:27:51,360 --> 00:27:53,600 changed radically many times did this 658 00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:56,000 cause temperature change no absolutely 659 00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:58,200 not CO2 has never driven temperature 660 00:27:58,200 --> 00:28:00,399 changes in the past 661 00:28:00,399 --> 00:28:03,399 never nor is it clear in recent times 662 00:28:03,399 --> 00:28:05,320 that CO2 is having any effect on 663 00:28:05,320 --> 00:28:07,360 temperature here we see industrial 664 00:28:07,360 --> 00:28:09,240 output of CO2 since 665 00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:11,720 1750 from the mid 19th century to the 666 00:28:11,720 --> 00:28:13,760 mid 20th century there was only a slight 667 00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:16,360 increase it's not until the 1940s that 668 00:28:16,360 --> 00:28:18,480 industrial production of CO2 begins to 669 00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:21,240 take off but this doesn't match the 670 00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:23,360 temperature record according to rural 671 00:28:23,360 --> 00:28:25,200 thermometers most of the warming in the 672 00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:28,880 past 200 years occurred before the 1940s 673 00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:31,519 and have barely changed since 674 00:28:31,519 --> 00:28:35,159 then one of the embarrassments that ipcc 675 00:28:35,159 --> 00:28:37,679 doesn't like to talk about was that the 676 00:28:37,679 --> 00:28:40,320 1930s when human influences were much 677 00:28:40,320 --> 00:28:43,039 smaller were particularly warm that's 678 00:28:43,039 --> 00:28:45,120 the puzzle that the first early part 679 00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:47,080 where we have such a sharp uh warming 680 00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:51,000 from the 1900 to 1930s and 1940s CO2 681 00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:53,760 could never cause that temperature 682 00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:57,000 rise but the 1930s and early 40s were so 683 00:28:57,000 --> 00:28:58,640 hot it's puzzling 684 00:28:58,640 --> 00:29:01,919 more puzzling still is what happened 685 00:29:01,919 --> 00:29:05,200 next by the end of World War II CO2 was 686 00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:08,000 really going up and yet the temperature 687 00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:11,200 was going down from 40 to 70 while the 688 00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:13,679 CO2 continued to rise this thing started 689 00:29:13,679 --> 00:29:16,679 to cool what happened journalists were 690 00:29:16,679 --> 00:29:19,320 writing about the coming Ice Age it was 691 00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:22,919 on the cover of Time Magazine the 1970s 692 00:29:22,919 --> 00:29:25,760 the new Ice Age was the big story and 693 00:29:25,760 --> 00:29:28,679 how about since the 1970s 694 00:29:28,679 --> 00:29:30,880 according to computer climate models 695 00:29:30,880 --> 00:29:33,440 over the past half century Rising CO2 696 00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:35,960 should have led to this increase in 697 00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:38,000 temperature but according to multiple 698 00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:40,080 satellite and balloon measurements what 699 00:29:40,080 --> 00:29:42,360 actually happened was 700 00:29:42,360 --> 00:29:44,840 this well what we found from the 701 00:29:44,840 --> 00:29:47,159 satellite data is that the global 702 00:29:47,159 --> 00:29:50,240 atmosphere is not warming up as fast as 703 00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:54,159 the climate models say it should be uh 704 00:29:54,159 --> 00:29:56,440 there's a couple dozen climate models 705 00:29:56,440 --> 00:30:00,200 now that have been worked on for decades 706 00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:02,279 you know billions of dollars tens of 707 00:30:02,279 --> 00:30:03,559 billions of dollars have been invested 708 00:30:03,559 --> 00:30:05,559 in these climate modeling efforts and we 709 00:30:05,559 --> 00:30:07,840 find that generally speaking virtually 710 00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:10,159 all of the climate models produce too 711 00:30:10,159 --> 00:30:13,000 much warming over this period since 1979 712 00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:17,480 up to the present now even if we say the 713 00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:20,120 surface thermometers are correct they 714 00:30:20,120 --> 00:30:23,039 still don't produce as much warming as 715 00:30:23,039 --> 00:30:24,880 most of the climate models say there 716 00:30:24,880 --> 00:30:26,880 should have been let's say in the last 717 00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:29,880 50 years the models individually and 718 00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:32,120 even collectively when you average over 719 00:30:32,120 --> 00:30:33,880 all of them in so-called 720 00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:36,279 ensembles they don't get it right you 721 00:30:36,279 --> 00:30:39,159 can already see that the main uh 722 00:30:39,159 --> 00:30:42,279 supports of the climate alarm movement 723 00:30:42,279 --> 00:30:44,519 which are these enormous computer models 724 00:30:44,519 --> 00:30:46,360 they're clearly wrong they they don't 725 00:30:46,360 --> 00:30:49,240 agree with what we observe you they uh 726 00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:51,720 they're all running much too hot they 727 00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:52,919 don't get 728 00:30:52,919 --> 00:30:55,559 the geographical distribution of 729 00:30:55,559 --> 00:30:57,399 temperatures anywhere close they don't 730 00:30:57,399 --> 00:30:59,000 get 731 00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:03,679 Lino Cycles they're just nonsense all 732 00:31:03,679 --> 00:31:05,000 climate models are based on the 733 00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:07,480 assumption that CO2 drives temperature 734 00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:09,960 change but actual observations and 735 00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:12,080 historical evidence clearly suggest that 736 00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:12,960 it 737 00:31:12,960 --> 00:31:15,840 doesn't yes I assert that there is no 738 00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:19,559 connection whatsoever between CO2 and 739 00:31:19,559 --> 00:31:22,519 climate change that's all a Coca crap in 740 00:31:22,519 --> 00:31:26,200 my opinion there is no truth to the idea 741 00:31:26,200 --> 00:31:28,080 that the Earth is warmer now than it it 742 00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:31,360 has been in the past it's a lie there is 743 00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:33,440 no truth that CO2 is higher than it 744 00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:35,799 should be that is a 745 00:31:35,799 --> 00:31:38,840 lie Earth's climate has changed many 746 00:31:38,840 --> 00:31:40,440 times over the course of its long 747 00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:42,720 history and will continue to change 748 00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:45,559 without any help from us climate always 749 00:31:45,559 --> 00:31:47,760 changes you know who denies climate 750 00:31:47,760 --> 00:31:49,919 change it's always 751 00:31:49,919 --> 00:31:52,399 changing but if CO2 doesn't drive 752 00:31:52,399 --> 00:31:55,600 climate change what 753 00:31:56,840 --> 00:31:58,700 does 754 00:31:58,700 --> 00:32:01,559 [Music] 755 00:32:01,559 --> 00:32:03,760 in Earth's atmosphere there are powerful 756 00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:05,919 forces at work and perhaps the most 757 00:32:05,919 --> 00:32:08,200 powerful of all are 758 00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:12,039 clouds CO2 is quite unimportant in 759 00:32:12,039 --> 00:32:14,639 controlling the earth's climate what is 760 00:32:14,639 --> 00:32:18,039 important is clouds clouds don't absorb 761 00:32:18,039 --> 00:32:20,760 any energy at all they simply reflect 762 00:32:20,760 --> 00:32:24,039 all of the sunlight back out into space 763 00:32:24,039 --> 00:32:26,480 big bright wide clouds if you look at 764 00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:29,080 the Earth you see lots and lots of them 765 00:32:29,080 --> 00:32:31,760 and they vary dramatically from one day 766 00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:35,880 to the next that is hundreds of times 767 00:32:35,880 --> 00:32:39,279 more powerful than the trivial effects 768 00:32:39,279 --> 00:32:41,120 of 769 00:32:41,120 --> 00:32:43,880 CO2 but what controls the number and 770 00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:46,279 density of clouds on 771 00:32:46,279 --> 00:32:48,760 Earth Professor Henrik fenmar from the 772 00:32:48,760 --> 00:32:50,960 Danish national space Institute is in 773 00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:54,320 Jerusalem with the astrophysicist near 774 00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:56,600 shiv together they've been exploring 775 00:32:56,600 --> 00:32:59,559 Cloud variation and effect on climate 776 00:32:59,559 --> 00:33:01,720 and strangely they found a link between 777 00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:04,720 clouds and exploding supern noi far off 778 00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:05,960 in our 779 00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:08,600 galaxy when you have big stars they 780 00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:11,240 don't live very long uh I mean 781 00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:14,240 relatively only maybe a few million 782 00:33:14,240 --> 00:33:16,880 years up to 40 million years but they 783 00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:19,200 end their life in a huge explosion which 784 00:33:19,200 --> 00:33:21,720 we call the 785 00:33:24,320 --> 00:33:27,120 Supernova an exploding Supernova sends 786 00:33:27,120 --> 00:33:29,760 out vast quantities of debris tiny 787 00:33:29,760 --> 00:33:32,360 charged subatomic particles known as 788 00:33:32,360 --> 00:33:34,799 cosmic rays traveling almost at the 789 00:33:34,799 --> 00:33:37,760 speed of light and as they hit Earth 790 00:33:37,760 --> 00:33:39,760 they develop into seeds which attract 791 00:33:39,760 --> 00:33:43,279 water vapor and form 792 00:33:44,200 --> 00:33:47,080 clouds Professor shiv noticed that the 793 00:33:47,080 --> 00:33:49,080 amount of cloud cover on Earth is 794 00:33:49,080 --> 00:33:51,440 related to our journey around the Milky 795 00:33:51,440 --> 00:33:54,000 Way as our solar system orbits the 796 00:33:54,000 --> 00:33:56,880 Galaxy over millions of years it passes 797 00:33:56,880 --> 00:33:59,639 through the Galaxy spiral arms dense 798 00:33:59,639 --> 00:34:03,120 clusters of stars as it does we are 799 00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:05,360 exposed to more or less Cloud forming 800 00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:08,240 cosmic rays and this corresponds to 801 00:34:08,240 --> 00:34:10,679 Historic temperature changes on 802 00:34:10,679 --> 00:34:14,240 Earth the really mindboggling thing is 803 00:34:14,240 --> 00:34:17,839 that using geology you can reconstruct 804 00:34:17,839 --> 00:34:19,560 the climates on Earth over the past 805 00:34:19,560 --> 00:34:21,520 billion years and you can reconstruct 806 00:34:21,520 --> 00:34:24,200 our Galactic journey and both tell the 807 00:34:24,200 --> 00:34:25,720 same 808 00:34:25,720 --> 00:34:28,200 story but what about temperature change 809 00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:31,040 on shorter time 810 00:34:31,240 --> 00:34:34,480 scales the sun are source of heat and 811 00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:37,000 light a seething mass of gigantic 812 00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:38,000 Magnetic 813 00:34:38,000 --> 00:34:40,679 storms which vary in strength and number 814 00:34:40,679 --> 00:34:42,760 over time and which affect Earth 815 00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:44,520 directly and 816 00:34:44,520 --> 00:34:46,960 indirectly when it is very active the 817 00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:49,599 sun sends giant gusts of solar wind 818 00:34:49,599 --> 00:34:50,940 through the solar 819 00:34:50,940 --> 00:34:53,639 [Music] 820 00:34:53,639 --> 00:34:56,200 system the solar wind warms us 821 00:34:56,200 --> 00:34:58,920 indirectly by acting is a barrier 822 00:34:58,920 --> 00:35:00,640 limiting the number of cloud forming 823 00:35:00,640 --> 00:35:02,800 cosmic rays reaching 824 00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:05,880 Earth so from the sun we have the solar 825 00:35:05,880 --> 00:35:08,720 wind it carries the sun magnetic field 826 00:35:08,720 --> 00:35:10,960 out to a large distance and it works 827 00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:14,280 like a shield uh against cosmic rays 828 00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:16,599 when the sun is more active you have a 829 00:35:16,599 --> 00:35:19,280 stronger solar wind you have less cosmic 830 00:35:19,280 --> 00:35:22,200 rays reaching the inner solar system and 831 00:35:22,200 --> 00:35:24,480 reaching the atmosphere and the clouds 832 00:35:24,480 --> 00:35:26,960 which are then formed are less white 833 00:35:26,960 --> 00:35:29,599 they reflect less of the sunlight uh 834 00:35:29,599 --> 00:35:31,200 which means that it's going to be warmer 835 00:35:31,200 --> 00:35:33,200 here on 836 00:35:33,200 --> 00:35:36,119 Earth here is a proxy reconstruction of 837 00:35:36,119 --> 00:35:38,119 ocean temperatures over thousands of 838 00:35:38,119 --> 00:35:40,839 years and here is one of solar activity 839 00:35:40,839 --> 00:35:43,359 over the same period what is causing the 840 00:35:43,359 --> 00:35:45,560 ocean temperature to change is clearly 841 00:35:45,560 --> 00:35:48,839 variations in solar 842 00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:53,480 activity because ipcc is determined to 843 00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:55,440 go on a narrative that only CO2 can 844 00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:57,800 drive the climate system they turn of 845 00:35:57,800 --> 00:35:59,720 the sun essentially right because the 846 00:35:59,720 --> 00:36:01,400 sun is just a background thing for them 847 00:36:01,400 --> 00:36:03,680 that it doesn't do 848 00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:06,440 anything astrophysicist willly soon 849 00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:08,359 decided to look again at the rural 850 00:36:08,359 --> 00:36:11,079 temperature record for the past 150 851 00:36:11,079 --> 00:36:13,319 years then he looked at a record of 852 00:36:13,319 --> 00:36:15,640 changes in solar activity over the same 853 00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:18,640 period to Dr soon it was obvious that it 854 00:36:18,640 --> 00:36:22,440 was the Sun not CO2 that was driving 855 00:36:22,440 --> 00:36:24,480 temperature as of 856 00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:27,920 2023 ipcc stes that the Sun have 857 00:36:27,920 --> 00:36:30,560 absolutely zero chance in to explain the 858 00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:33,400 changes of the climate system on Broad 859 00:36:33,400 --> 00:36:34,680 scale let's say global warming or 860 00:36:34,680 --> 00:36:38,200 Northern hemosphere we say no we can 861 00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:40,720 easily demate the sign can explain all 862 00:36:40,720 --> 00:36:43,839 of it there's zero for the CO2 100% for 863 00:36:43,839 --> 00:36:45,760 the sun how's 864 00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:48,480 that why are these and other studies 865 00:36:48,480 --> 00:36:51,319 never reported in the mainstream media 866 00:36:51,319 --> 00:36:53,200 and if climate change is natural what 867 00:36:53,200 --> 00:36:55,240 are we to make of the alleged terrifying 868 00:36:55,240 --> 00:36:57,839 increase in extreme weather events of 869 00:36:57,839 --> 00:37:00,280 the heat waves and hurricanes of forest 870 00:37:00,280 --> 00:37:01,990 fires droughts and the 871 00:37:01,990 --> 00:37:06,910 [Music] 872 00:37:07,119 --> 00:37:10,400 rest my first instinct as a scientist 873 00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:13,000 and what I teach my students is well 874 00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:15,800 let's look at the data and when you do 875 00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:18,680 that you discover as you can read in the 876 00:37:18,680 --> 00:37:22,079 ipcc reports themselves that it's pretty 877 00:37:22,079 --> 00:37:25,359 hard to find Trends in extreme events 878 00:37:25,359 --> 00:37:28,200 much less attribute them to human 879 00:37:28,200 --> 00:37:30,920 influences you've now had Decades of 880 00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:33,440 putting the idea in people's heads that 881 00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:36,240 anytime the weather is bad it's climate 882 00:37:36,240 --> 00:37:38,680 change and greenhouse gases so I think 883 00:37:38,680 --> 00:37:40,119 people at this point can't help 884 00:37:40,119 --> 00:37:42,319 themselves if you have a heat wve 885 00:37:42,319 --> 00:37:44,079 immediately everybody's thinking oh what 886 00:37:44,079 --> 00:37:46,720 have we done to the weather if somebody 887 00:37:46,720 --> 00:37:49,200 says in the news this is the warmest day 888 00:37:49,200 --> 00:37:52,880 since 1980 or something well you can 889 00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:55,280 look up the temperature records and see 890 00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:57,599 for yourself whether it was in fact 891 00:37:57,599 --> 00:38:00,720 warmer in the 1930s as it often 892 00:38:00,720 --> 00:38:03,720 is US temperature records are the best 893 00:38:03,720 --> 00:38:06,400 in the world and here is the official US 894 00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:08,599 Government record of heat waves in the 895 00:38:08,599 --> 00:38:10,400 US over the past 896 00:38:10,400 --> 00:38:12,880 Century it shows very clearly that the 897 00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:15,599 1930s were far more prone to heat waves 898 00:38:15,599 --> 00:38:16,680 than we are 899 00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:18,880 today not only were there more heat 900 00:38:18,880 --> 00:38:21,520 waves in the 1930s the heat waves then 901 00:38:21,520 --> 00:38:23,800 were much hotter than those of 902 00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:26,599 today likewise official figures show 903 00:38:26,599 --> 00:38:29,040 that the number of hot days in the US 904 00:38:29,040 --> 00:38:31,530 has markedly 905 00:38:31,530 --> 00:38:32,760 [Music] 906 00:38:32,760 --> 00:38:35,720 declined United States was much hotter 907 00:38:35,720 --> 00:38:39,800 in the 1930s North Dakota reached 908 00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:43,920 121ยฐ um South Dakota was 120ยฐ Wisconsin 909 00:38:43,920 --> 00:38:45,280 was 910 00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:47,839 114ยฐ these sort of temperatures are just 911 00:38:47,839 --> 00:38:50,720 completely out of range of anything 912 00:38:50,720 --> 00:38:52,480 people experience 913 00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:55,599 now a common mistake is to suppose that 914 00:38:55,599 --> 00:38:57,760 higher average temperature will mean 915 00:38:57,760 --> 00:39:00,880 more hot weather but this isn't true 916 00:39:00,880 --> 00:39:02,240 here again is the central England 917 00:39:02,240 --> 00:39:03,720 temperature record the longest 918 00:39:03,720 --> 00:39:05,400 instrumental temperature record in the 919 00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:08,079 world summer temperatures over the past 920 00:39:08,079 --> 00:39:10,119 3 to 400 years since the end of the 921 00:39:10,119 --> 00:39:12,319 little ice age have barely changed at 922 00:39:12,319 --> 00:39:14,880 all it is winter temperatures that have 923 00:39:14,880 --> 00:39:17,280 been slightly Rising the earth's climate 924 00:39:17,280 --> 00:39:18,920 has not been getting hotter it's been 925 00:39:18,920 --> 00:39:20,440 getting 926 00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:22,760 milder that's certainly being observed 927 00:39:22,760 --> 00:39:24,520 all over the world if you look at 928 00:39:24,520 --> 00:39:26,520 temperature records high temperatures 929 00:39:26,520 --> 00:39:30,079 are almost changed but cold temperatures 930 00:39:30,079 --> 00:39:32,920 at night or during the winter are going 931 00:39:32,920 --> 00:39:35,480 up a little bit not very much but you 932 00:39:35,480 --> 00:39:38,760 can measure it when the average goes up 933 00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:41,800 it's really more due to the coldest 934 00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:44,680 temperatures getting warmer so the 935 00:39:44,680 --> 00:39:47,560 temperatur is getting milder rather than 936 00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:50,000 getting 937 00:39:50,000 --> 00:39:52,200 hotter what about the increasing number 938 00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:55,319 of wildfires we're often told about if 939 00:39:55,319 --> 00:39:57,000 you look at the actual number of forest 940 00:39:57,000 --> 00:39:57,920 fires 941 00:39:57,920 --> 00:40:00,079 from satellite observations the actual 942 00:40:00,079 --> 00:40:01,880 numbers going 943 00:40:01,880 --> 00:40:04,200 down here is an estimate of global 944 00:40:04,200 --> 00:40:07,720 wildfires since 1900 it shows a clear 945 00:40:07,720 --> 00:40:10,119 Decline and here is a record of areas 946 00:40:10,119 --> 00:40:13,200 affected by wildfires in the US it shows 947 00:40:13,200 --> 00:40:16,119 that wildfires were far far worse in the 948 00:40:16,119 --> 00:40:19,839 1930s from 1930s and 1920s when you have 949 00:40:19,839 --> 00:40:23,440 data thing was huge five to 10 times 950 00:40:23,440 --> 00:40:25,000 bigger than the current 951 00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:28,920 level how about hurricans 952 00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:30,760 the US has by far the best record of 953 00:40:30,760 --> 00:40:33,079 hurricane activity in the world over the 954 00:40:33,079 --> 00:40:36,000 past 120 years there is no overall 955 00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:40,040 change in fact the trend is slightly 956 00:40:40,839 --> 00:40:43,680 down when you look at the data for 957 00:40:43,680 --> 00:40:46,480 hurricanes technically tropical Cyclones 958 00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:49,520 you see that there is no long-term 959 00:40:49,520 --> 00:40:52,319 Trend how about the rest of the world 960 00:40:52,319 --> 00:40:54,000 here is a chart of global hurricane 961 00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:56,240 activity over the past 40 962 00:40:56,240 --> 00:40:58,599 years hurricanes have been around 963 00:40:58,599 --> 00:41:01,560 forever you know we've got good proxy 964 00:41:01,560 --> 00:41:03,680 records of hurricanes and uh there's 965 00:41:03,680 --> 00:41:05,920 been no change in their frequency even 966 00:41:05,920 --> 00:41:09,920 the ipcc admits that how about melting 967 00:41:09,920 --> 00:41:12,760 ice caps and drought here's a satellite 968 00:41:12,760 --> 00:41:15,359 record of temperature in Antarctica 969 00:41:15,359 --> 00:41:17,760 since the late 1970s it shows no 970 00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:19,079 increase 971 00:41:19,079 --> 00:41:21,079 whatsoever and here is a record of 972 00:41:21,079 --> 00:41:23,960 global drought since 1950 there is no 973 00:41:23,960 --> 00:41:26,240 observable increase at 974 00:41:26,240 --> 00:41:27,920 all 975 00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:29,319 polar bears are meant to be going 976 00:41:29,319 --> 00:41:31,280 extinct but studies suggest their 977 00:41:31,280 --> 00:41:32,720 numbers are 978 00:41:32,720 --> 00:41:35,640 growing the Great Barrier Reef too has 979 00:41:35,640 --> 00:41:38,040 recently reached record 980 00:41:38,040 --> 00:41:40,200 levels there's no such thing as a 981 00:41:40,200 --> 00:41:41,800 climate emergency happening on this 982 00:41:41,800 --> 00:41:44,400 planet now it's there's no no evidence 983 00:41:44,400 --> 00:41:46,599 of one yeah the extreme weather event 984 00:41:46,599 --> 00:41:49,400 story is is just absurd there there's no 985 00:41:49,400 --> 00:41:52,160 basis to it at all it's just based on 986 00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:54,480 propaganda the actual data shows the 987 00:41:54,480 --> 00:41:57,000 opposite I've shown you the official 988 00:41:57,000 --> 00:41:57,800 data 989 00:41:57,800 --> 00:42:01,119 the official science tell me what I'm 990 00:42:01,119 --> 00:42:04,160 denying the climate alarm is nonsense 991 00:42:04,160 --> 00:42:06,839 you know it's it's a hoax as as I I 992 00:42:06,839 --> 00:42:08,440 don't I've never liked hoax I I think 993 00:42:08,440 --> 00:42:10,520 scam is a better word but I'm willing to 994 00:42:10,520 --> 00:42:12,920 live with 995 00:42:13,400 --> 00:42:16,880 hoax but why are we told again and again 996 00:42:16,880 --> 00:42:19,119 that man-made climate chaos is an 997 00:42:19,119 --> 00:42:22,319 Undisputed scientific fact Beyond 998 00:42:22,319 --> 00:42:26,400 question Beyond doubt to answer this we 999 00:42:26,400 --> 00:42:28,880 must examine the so-called consensus on 1000 00:42:28,880 --> 00:42:30,480 climate 1001 00:42:30,480 --> 00:42:33,440 change thank you very much until the 1002 00:42:33,440 --> 00:42:35,760 1980s global warming was little more 1003 00:42:35,760 --> 00:42:38,079 than an eccentric scare story put out by 1004 00:42:38,079 --> 00:42:39,400 radical 1005 00:42:39,400 --> 00:42:41,200 environmentalists but then the cause was 1006 00:42:41,200 --> 00:42:43,319 picked up by an ambitious young Senator 1007 00:42:43,319 --> 00:42:45,680 Al Gore who would soon become vice 1008 00:42:45,680 --> 00:42:48,240 president a billion dollars a year of 1009 00:42:48,240 --> 00:42:49,720 public money was made available for 1010 00:42:49,720 --> 00:42:52,040 Research into climate change this 1011 00:42:52,040 --> 00:42:54,400 quickly Rose to 2 billion up to that 1012 00:42:54,400 --> 00:42:56,680 level academic researchers in various 1013 00:42:56,680 --> 00:42:58,839 disciplin began to apply for this 1014 00:42:58,839 --> 00:42:59,710 climate 1015 00:42:59,710 --> 00:43:01,400 [Music] 1016 00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:04,520 funding if you want to qualify for money 1017 00:43:04,520 --> 00:43:06,760 that's labeled climate well you take 1018 00:43:06,760 --> 00:43:08,760 whatever you're doing and you add a 1019 00:43:08,760 --> 00:43:12,880 little bit uh of climate speak to it and 1020 00:43:12,880 --> 00:43:16,960 Away you go you're dealing with the 1021 00:43:16,960 --> 00:43:20,240 sexual habits of cockroaches you'll add 1022 00:43:20,240 --> 00:43:23,040 and the in impact of climate so all I 1023 00:43:23,040 --> 00:43:26,200 have to do is add a little wrinkle to my 1024 00:43:26,200 --> 00:43:28,599 Grant application to explain how well 1025 00:43:28,599 --> 00:43:30,040 I'm worried that climate change will 1026 00:43:30,040 --> 00:43:31,920 mean the death of all the maple trees 1027 00:43:31,920 --> 00:43:34,720 and so right away you qualify for 1028 00:43:34,720 --> 00:43:37,720 funding academics of every kind lined up 1029 00:43:37,720 --> 00:43:40,640 for climate funding climate became an 1030 00:43:40,640 --> 00:43:42,880 exciting new area of interest for 1031 00:43:42,880 --> 00:43:45,640 sociologists biologists professors of 1032 00:43:45,640 --> 00:43:48,000 English literature lecturers in gender 1033 00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:51,359 studies and many more and it also serve 1034 00:43:51,359 --> 00:43:55,280 to create a community I mean you know 1035 00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:58,760 you've become a climate science I now 1036 00:43:58,760 --> 00:44:00,599 even though you know nothing about the 1037 00:44:00,599 --> 00:44:03,520 physics of climate thousands of papers 1038 00:44:03,520 --> 00:44:05,359 were published on climate change in 1039 00:44:05,359 --> 00:44:07,559 prostitution climate change in beer 1040 00:44:07,559 --> 00:44:09,079 climate change in the Black Death 1041 00:44:09,079 --> 00:44:10,920 climate change in disability climate 1042 00:44:10,920 --> 00:44:12,480 change in video games and everything 1043 00:44:12,480 --> 00:44:14,599 else imaginable there's an almost 1044 00:44:14,599 --> 00:44:17,520 comical list of studies out there just 1045 00:44:17,520 --> 00:44:20,680 do a Google search on climate change and 1046 00:44:20,680 --> 00:44:24,000 and and everything comes up few of these 1047 00:44:24,000 --> 00:44:26,160 papers ever questioned whether climate 1048 00:44:26,160 --> 00:44:27,960 change was 1049 00:44:27,960 --> 00:44:30,599 true after you've done the research and 1050 00:44:30,599 --> 00:44:32,880 you write the paper up sometimes you 1051 00:44:32,880 --> 00:44:34,599 find there's no effect at all from 1052 00:44:34,599 --> 00:44:36,520 climate but you still have to say in 1053 00:44:36,520 --> 00:44:38,680 your papers oh yes climate change is 1054 00:44:38,680 --> 00:44:40,920 real and uh we just need to study this 1055 00:44:40,920 --> 00:44:43,520 some more since so few of these 1056 00:44:43,520 --> 00:44:45,680 so-called climate studies challenged the 1057 00:44:45,680 --> 00:44:48,240 idea of climate change it was declared 1058 00:44:48,240 --> 00:44:50,480 that there was a scientific consensus 1059 00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:53,520 climate change must be 1060 00:44:53,520 --> 00:44:56,760 true climate also became a new Focus for 1061 00:44:56,760 --> 00:44:58,800 govern government funded research 1062 00:44:58,800 --> 00:45:01,800 bodies scientific research in the United 1063 00:45:01,800 --> 00:45:04,800 States tends to be dominantly funded by 1064 00:45:04,800 --> 00:45:05,800 government 1065 00:45:05,800 --> 00:45:08,920 grants uh and so whatever government 1066 00:45:08,920 --> 00:45:12,160 grants are offered uh sort of determine 1067 00:45:12,160 --> 00:45:15,000 much of the science being done it was 1068 00:45:15,000 --> 00:45:17,240 during the Cold War that many Government 1069 00:45:17,240 --> 00:45:19,280 research bodies were set 1070 00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:22,040 up but the end of the Cold War and 1071 00:45:22,040 --> 00:45:24,160 pressure on government spending has left 1072 00:45:24,160 --> 00:45:26,319 many of them struggling to justify their 1073 00:45:26,319 --> 00:45:28,319 continued 1074 00:45:28,319 --> 00:45:31,040 funding United States Congress only 1075 00:45:31,040 --> 00:45:34,440 funds problems okay Research into 1076 00:45:34,440 --> 00:45:36,839 problems whether it's money that goes to 1077 00:45:36,839 --> 00:45:39,119 NASA or Noah or National Science 1078 00:45:39,119 --> 00:45:41,160 Foundation or Department of energy or 1079 00:45:41,160 --> 00:45:43,240 any other alphabet suit you know 1080 00:45:43,240 --> 00:45:45,480 organization it's always been a problem 1081 00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:48,760 to support uh your research or your 1082 00:45:48,760 --> 00:45:50,640 existence raise on 1083 00:45:50,640 --> 00:45:54,480 Detra and so climate was a godsend if 1084 00:45:54,480 --> 00:45:56,599 Congress is willing to pay you to find 1085 00:45:56,599 --> 00:45:57,599 evidence 1086 00:45:57,599 --> 00:45:59,559 of global warming by golly as a 1087 00:45:59,559 --> 00:46:00,839 scientist we're going to go find 1088 00:46:00,839 --> 00:46:03,160 evidence of it because that's what what 1089 00:46:03,160 --> 00:46:05,280 we're being paid to do and guess what if 1090 00:46:05,280 --> 00:46:07,520 you don't find evidence or say the 1091 00:46:07,520 --> 00:46:09,640 evidence suggests it's not a problem 1092 00:46:09,640 --> 00:46:14,000 your funding ends this totally corrupts 1093 00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:16,359 the way we look at the science who was 1094 00:46:16,359 --> 00:46:19,720 the famous gangster asked why do you rob 1095 00:46:19,720 --> 00:46:21,960 banks and he said well cuz that's where 1096 00:46:21,960 --> 00:46:24,440 the money 1097 00:46:24,520 --> 00:46:27,880 is the climate alarm brought funds and 1098 00:46:27,880 --> 00:46:30,040 the bigger the supposed threat the more 1099 00:46:30,040 --> 00:46:32,839 funds seem to flow the publicly funded 1100 00:46:32,839 --> 00:46:34,960 science establishment now had a direct 1101 00:46:34,960 --> 00:46:37,520 financial interest in playing up the 1102 00:46:37,520 --> 00:46:40,920 alarm so there's a huge incentive to OV 1103 00:46:40,920 --> 00:46:43,920 exaggerate or to speak in hyperboy even 1104 00:46:43,920 --> 00:46:46,520 if the data doesn't support exactly what 1105 00:46:46,520 --> 00:46:48,640 you're saying because that's what brings 1106 00:46:48,640 --> 00:46:49,880 the 1107 00:46:49,880 --> 00:46:52,480 funds I was in that boat I was someone 1108 00:46:52,480 --> 00:46:54,280 that was defending climate change as a 1109 00:46:54,280 --> 00:46:57,119 grad student quite a bit because the is 1110 00:46:57,119 --> 00:46:59,559 I didn't give it too much thought but I 1111 00:46:59,559 --> 00:47:01,599 I thought well it's getting a ton of 1112 00:47:01,599 --> 00:47:03,440 attention it brings a ton of money into 1113 00:47:03,440 --> 00:47:05,880 the Earth Sciences even if I don't buy 1114 00:47:05,880 --> 00:47:09,079 all the hyperbole what's the 1115 00:47:09,079 --> 00:47:12,040 problem by the late 1990s what had 1116 00:47:12,040 --> 00:47:14,480 started as an environmental scare story 1117 00:47:14,480 --> 00:47:16,680 was gaining 1118 00:47:16,680 --> 00:47:20,080 [Music] 1119 00:47:21,200 --> 00:47:23,400 momentum Western governments and their 1120 00:47:23,400 --> 00:47:25,240 senior civil servants were more than 1121 00:47:25,240 --> 00:47:27,920 willing to address the climate problem 1122 00:47:27,920 --> 00:47:30,760 problem green taxes were levied green 1123 00:47:30,760 --> 00:47:33,200 regulation expanded and this in turn 1124 00:47:33,200 --> 00:47:36,760 generated more climate related jobs and 1125 00:47:36,760 --> 00:47:38,960 activity take the banking sector for 1126 00:47:38,960 --> 00:47:41,599 instance you say to a banker we want you 1127 00:47:41,599 --> 00:47:44,359 to file reports with the the Regulatory 1128 00:47:44,359 --> 00:47:46,079 Commission on how climate change is 1129 00:47:46,079 --> 00:47:48,079 going to affect your bank well a banker 1130 00:47:48,079 --> 00:47:49,680 doesn't know anything about this subject 1131 00:47:49,680 --> 00:47:51,359 so then they have to commission studies 1132 00:47:51,359 --> 00:47:52,280 from 1133 00:47:52,280 --> 00:47:54,440 academics and of course the academics 1134 00:47:54,440 --> 00:47:56,800 are happy to come and tell them well 1135 00:47:56,800 --> 00:47:58,200 it's going to be terrible for your bank 1136 00:47:58,200 --> 00:47:59,599 it's going to cause all kinds of 1137 00:47:59,599 --> 00:48:01,400 problems and you get you need to give us 1138 00:48:01,400 --> 00:48:04,319 money to research this green subsidies 1139 00:48:04,319 --> 00:48:06,240 and regulation meant there was now money 1140 00:48:06,240 --> 00:48:08,880 to be made in climate Renewables firms 1141 00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:11,000 sprouted consultancy firms offered 1142 00:48:11,000 --> 00:48:12,480 advice on what they called 1143 00:48:12,480 --> 00:48:15,520 sustainability and climate compliance 1144 00:48:15,520 --> 00:48:18,200 it's a wonderful business opportunity 1145 00:48:18,200 --> 00:48:20,680 okay you want climate we'll give you 1146 00:48:20,680 --> 00:48:23,400 climate the Renewables industry alone 1147 00:48:23,400 --> 00:48:25,880 now turns over a trillion dollar a year 1148 00:48:25,880 --> 00:48:27,520 and that's expected to double in the 1149 00:48:27,520 --> 00:48:29,240 next few 1150 00:48:29,240 --> 00:48:32,240 years what used to be a cottage industry 1151 00:48:32,240 --> 00:48:35,480 has is now blossomed to become a major 1152 00:48:35,480 --> 00:48:37,440 part of the world 1153 00:48:37,440 --> 00:48:39,559 economy the growth of this climate 1154 00:48:39,559 --> 00:48:41,760 industry has seen an explosion of highly 1155 00:48:41,760 --> 00:48:44,839 paid green jobs Chief sustainability 1156 00:48:44,839 --> 00:48:47,680 officers carbon offset advisers ESG 1157 00:48:47,680 --> 00:48:50,040 Consultants climate compliance lawyers 1158 00:48:50,040 --> 00:48:52,160 and countless 1159 00:48:52,160 --> 00:48:55,880 others students started to come into our 1160 00:48:55,880 --> 00:48:57,960 departments as Earth science departments 1161 00:48:57,960 --> 00:48:59,960 with a focus on climate that never 1162 00:48:59,960 --> 00:49:02,720 happened before but they started to look 1163 00:49:02,720 --> 00:49:05,720 at their career prospects and they were 1164 00:49:05,720 --> 00:49:07,440 smart and they were looking at who's 1165 00:49:07,440 --> 00:49:10,040 hiring and the fact of the matter was is 1166 00:49:10,040 --> 00:49:12,119 that everything in the hiring pool had 1167 00:49:12,119 --> 00:49:14,319 climate somewhere attached to the name I 1168 00:49:14,319 --> 00:49:16,720 started a few years ago seeing programs 1169 00:49:16,720 --> 00:49:20,040 like uh a master's degree in climate 1170 00:49:20,040 --> 00:49:24,000 finance and I just what on Earth is is 1171 00:49:24,000 --> 00:49:25,559 climate I understand what a master's 1172 00:49:25,559 --> 00:49:27,599 degree in finance is well now you need a 1173 00:49:27,599 --> 00:49:29,359 university that's going to teach this 1174 00:49:29,359 --> 00:49:31,480 program you need professors of climate 1175 00:49:31,480 --> 00:49:34,599 Finance every single school or 1176 00:49:34,599 --> 00:49:37,799 University or business will have a 1177 00:49:37,799 --> 00:49:40,160 climate officer or climate officers and 1178 00:49:40,160 --> 00:49:44,119 a climate program and you look at any of 1179 00:49:44,119 --> 00:49:46,480 these institutions or businesses you 1180 00:49:46,480 --> 00:49:48,839 will find they all are signed up to it 1181 00:49:48,839 --> 00:49:50,680 and anyone who hasn't signed up will 1182 00:49:50,680 --> 00:49:51,470 come under 1183 00:49:51,470 --> 00:49:52,880 [Music] 1184 00:49:52,880 --> 00:49:55,240 pressure at the last Gathering of the 1185 00:49:55,240 --> 00:49:59,000 publicly funded un's PCC 70,000 1186 00:49:59,000 --> 00:50:01,480 delegates flew in from around the world 1187 00:50:01,480 --> 00:50:04,359 government bureaucrats green NOS carbon 1188 00:50:04,359 --> 00:50:06,640 sequestration Consultants environmental 1189 00:50:06,640 --> 00:50:08,599 journalists heads of Renewables 1190 00:50:08,599 --> 00:50:10,640 companies but this is just the tip of 1191 00:50:10,640 --> 00:50:13,079 the iceberg many hundreds of thousands 1192 00:50:13,079 --> 00:50:15,880 of jobs worldwide now depend on the 1193 00:50:15,880 --> 00:50:19,960 climate crisis you start building this 1194 00:50:19,960 --> 00:50:24,200 enormous population whose job is to 1195 00:50:24,200 --> 00:50:28,280 manage the crisis and um and 1196 00:50:28,280 --> 00:50:31,799 also uh explicitly to make sure that 1197 00:50:31,799 --> 00:50:34,680 people are alarmed about the crisis 1198 00:50:34,680 --> 00:50:36,839 because this whole industry depends on 1199 00:50:36,839 --> 00:50:38,359 the existence of the 1200 00:50:38,359 --> 00:50:41,040 crisis but therein lies the one great 1201 00:50:41,040 --> 00:50:43,079 threat to this multi-trillion dollar 1202 00:50:43,079 --> 00:50:46,319 industry all the jobs all of the funding 1203 00:50:46,319 --> 00:50:48,599 are totally dependent on there being a 1204 00:50:48,599 --> 00:50:49,520 climate 1205 00:50:49,520 --> 00:50:53,200 crisis if CO2 isn't having the huge 1206 00:50:53,200 --> 00:50:55,040 negative impacts that we claimed it was 1207 00:50:55,040 --> 00:50:57,359 having originally how how are we going 1208 00:50:57,359 --> 00:50:59,680 to stay in business how do we justify 1209 00:50:59,680 --> 00:51:02,160 our existence if climate change isn't 1210 00:51:02,160 --> 00:51:03,839 this existential threat that we claimed 1211 00:51:03,839 --> 00:51:06,280 it was over the last four decades or so 1212 00:51:06,280 --> 00:51:09,640 people like me our careers depend on 1213 00:51:09,640 --> 00:51:12,599 funding of climate research this is what 1214 00:51:12,599 --> 00:51:14,079 I've been doing just about my whole 1215 00:51:14,079 --> 00:51:16,000 career this is what the other climate 1216 00:51:16,000 --> 00:51:17,599 researchers are doing with their whole 1217 00:51:17,599 --> 00:51:20,200 career they don't want this to end if 1218 00:51:20,200 --> 00:51:22,799 NASA said global warming is not a 1219 00:51:22,799 --> 00:51:24,880 problem where does their funding 1220 00:51:24,880 --> 00:51:28,000 disappears right um um so they can't say 1221 00:51:28,000 --> 00:51:29,760 that I mean you've got the United 1222 00:51:29,760 --> 00:51:32,440 Nations intergovernmental panel for 1223 00:51:32,440 --> 00:51:34,799 climate change if they said the climate 1224 00:51:34,799 --> 00:51:37,720 isn't changing they'd have no reason to 1225 00:51:37,720 --> 00:51:40,680 exist the ipcc has a self-preservation 1226 00:51:40,680 --> 00:51:42,880 instinct to show that climate change is 1227 00:51:42,880 --> 00:51:44,760 an existential threat otherwise there's 1228 00:51:44,760 --> 00:51:46,480 no reason for them to be collecting the 1229 00:51:46,480 --> 00:51:48,880 money and doing the work in the first 1230 00:51:48,880 --> 00:51:52,480 place there are not just now billions 1231 00:51:52,480 --> 00:51:55,160 but there are trillions of dollars at 1232 00:51:55,160 --> 00:51:56,960 stake there's a huge amount of money 1233 00:51:56,960 --> 00:52:00,400 involved this is a huge big money scam a 1234 00:52:00,400 --> 00:52:03,079 lot of people's livelihoods depend on it 1235 00:52:03,079 --> 00:52:04,960 they're not going to give that up if 1236 00:52:04,960 --> 00:52:08,640 suddenly the notion becomes apparent 1237 00:52:08,640 --> 00:52:12,040 that this is not such a problem um 1238 00:52:12,040 --> 00:52:13,520 you're going to see that as an 1239 00:52:13,520 --> 00:52:14,960 existential 1240 00:52:14,960 --> 00:52:17,319 threat scientists who studied the 1241 00:52:17,319 --> 00:52:19,559 natural causes of climate change began 1242 00:52:19,559 --> 00:52:21,720 to be viewed with suspicion as two 1243 00:52:21,720 --> 00:52:24,960 Harvard astrophysicists discovered how 1244 00:52:24,960 --> 00:52:27,559 much does the Sun change and how does it 1245 00:52:27,559 --> 00:52:30,799 change and why does it change and then 1246 00:52:30,799 --> 00:52:32,400 we didn't even want to get into the 1247 00:52:32,400 --> 00:52:34,720 temperature record climate thing 1248 00:52:34,720 --> 00:52:36,680 immediately they will come after because 1249 00:52:36,680 --> 00:52:38,400 when we started to estimate that the sun 1250 00:52:38,400 --> 00:52:41,559 Changed by quite you know significantly 1251 00:52:41,559 --> 00:52:43,880 in terms of climatic sense immediately 1252 00:52:43,880 --> 00:52:45,920 the attack is there because it's not 1253 00:52:45,920 --> 00:52:47,319 following the narrative because they 1254 00:52:47,319 --> 00:52:50,119 need the CO2 to be the only one the only 1255 00:52:50,119 --> 00:52:53,400 dominant player when you tried to say 1256 00:52:53,400 --> 00:52:54,839 well you were just looking for the 1257 00:52:54,839 --> 00:52:58,319 background of natural variability 1258 00:52:58,319 --> 00:53:00,839 we C the response would be we can't have 1259 00:53:00,839 --> 00:53:04,000 natural changes as an effect it has to 1260 00:53:04,000 --> 00:53:05,319 be human 1261 00:53:05,319 --> 00:53:08,880 caused and some of that was directly 1262 00:53:08,880 --> 00:53:12,200 stated but most of it was indirect your 1263 00:53:12,200 --> 00:53:14,640 funding for this kind of project will be 1264 00:53:14,640 --> 00:53:17,440 dropped this kind of project doesn't go 1265 00:53:17,440 --> 00:53:21,480 anywhere by that time anything that 1266 00:53:21,480 --> 00:53:23,240 contradicted The 1267 00:53:23,240 --> 00:53:26,480 Narrative of global warming as a serious 1268 00:53:26,480 --> 00:53:27,640 ious 1269 00:53:27,640 --> 00:53:30,680 problem was not going to get 1270 00:53:30,680 --> 00:53:33,520 funded editors of academic journals came 1271 00:53:33,520 --> 00:53:35,880 under pressure not to accept papers 1272 00:53:35,880 --> 00:53:37,559 which were deemed to be skeptical of the 1273 00:53:37,559 --> 00:53:40,559 climate crisis we will not publish 1274 00:53:40,559 --> 00:53:43,119 anything that questions 1275 00:53:43,119 --> 00:53:46,760 this I mean it's not something 1276 00:53:46,760 --> 00:53:48,920 surreptitious scientists who dared to 1277 00:53:48,920 --> 00:53:50,839 point out in public that there was no 1278 00:53:50,839 --> 00:53:53,480 climate chaos began to be sidelined and 1279 00:53:53,480 --> 00:53:56,160 shunned if a scientifically qualified 1280 00:53:56,160 --> 00:53:59,040 person stands up and says uh we don't 1281 00:53:59,040 --> 00:54:01,559 see an upward Trend in the data on 1282 00:54:01,559 --> 00:54:02,720 Pacific 1283 00:54:02,720 --> 00:54:05,000 typhoons um well suddenly they lose 1284 00:54:05,000 --> 00:54:07,319 standing to address the topic of Pacific 1285 00:54:07,319 --> 00:54:08,680 typhoons not because what they said is 1286 00:54:08,680 --> 00:54:11,960 wrong but because it's off message they 1287 00:54:11,960 --> 00:54:15,760 can marginalize any kind of criticism of 1288 00:54:15,760 --> 00:54:17,760 the narrative by saying you're not 1289 00:54:17,760 --> 00:54:20,920 qualified to talk about this because you 1290 00:54:20,920 --> 00:54:23,880 don't support the narrative that is then 1291 00:54:23,880 --> 00:54:25,440 and then having marginalized everyone 1292 00:54:25,440 --> 00:54:26,680 who doesn't support the narrative they 1293 00:54:26,680 --> 00:54:28,200 can turn around and say well everybody 1294 00:54:28,200 --> 00:54:29,880 who counts supports the narrative so we 1295 00:54:29,880 --> 00:54:30,839 must be 1296 00:54:30,839 --> 00:54:33,720 right environmental journalists ignored 1297 00:54:33,720 --> 00:54:35,920 Skeptics and instead offered headlines 1298 00:54:35,920 --> 00:54:37,559 to anyone prepared to make the most 1299 00:54:37,559 --> 00:54:39,920 outrageous claims and predictions about 1300 00:54:39,920 --> 00:54:42,040 a climate 1301 00:54:42,040 --> 00:54:44,200 apocalypse it's gotten to where it has 1302 00:54:44,200 --> 00:54:46,200 nothing to do with the science anymore 1303 00:54:46,200 --> 00:54:48,119 it doesn't matter if your alarmist 1304 00:54:48,119 --> 00:54:50,960 prediction doesn't come true you're 1305 00:54:50,960 --> 00:54:53,680 still going to retain your status as an 1306 00:54:53,680 --> 00:54:55,599 expert and the media is still going to 1307 00:54:55,599 --> 00:54:58,079 come and ask you for your opinion even 1308 00:54:58,079 --> 00:55:02,420 though you were crazy wrong about your 1309 00:55:02,420 --> 00:55:04,359 [Music] 1310 00:55:04,359 --> 00:55:07,000 predictions but the consensus on climate 1311 00:55:07,000 --> 00:55:08,760 is not only enforced by those in the 1312 00:55:08,760 --> 00:55:09,680 climate 1313 00:55:09,680 --> 00:55:12,359 industry to explain the broader appeal 1314 00:55:12,359 --> 00:55:14,799 of the climate alarm we must look at the 1315 00:55:14,799 --> 00:55:17,010 politics behind 1316 00:55:17,010 --> 00:55:24,409 [Music] 1317 00:55:24,960 --> 00:55:28,039 climate from the start the climate scare 1318 00:55:28,039 --> 00:55:30,200 was political it came from the 1319 00:55:30,200 --> 00:55:32,640 environmental movement the sworn enemy 1320 00:55:32,640 --> 00:55:36,280 of free market industrial 1321 00:55:36,760 --> 00:55:40,559 capitalism finally we've got them we can 1322 00:55:40,559 --> 00:55:43,200 claim that it is the free markets who 1323 00:55:43,200 --> 00:55:45,480 are destroying the planet and we need 1324 00:55:45,480 --> 00:55:47,680 big government to save 1325 00:55:47,680 --> 00:55:50,880 us the climate problem it is said stems 1326 00:55:50,880 --> 00:55:53,160 from the irresponsible actions of greedy 1327 00:55:53,160 --> 00:55:55,480 feckless individuals who have too many 1328 00:55:55,480 --> 00:55:58,000 babies and drive too much and consume 1329 00:55:58,000 --> 00:56:00,920 too many products and of the capitalist 1330 00:56:00,920 --> 00:56:03,400 corporations who Pander to their whims 1331 00:56:03,400 --> 00:56:05,079 the solution is for government to have 1332 00:56:05,079 --> 00:56:06,640 greater power to regulate private 1333 00:56:06,640 --> 00:56:09,440 companies but also to guide and reshape 1334 00:56:09,440 --> 00:56:11,480 the lives and habits of 1335 00:56:11,480 --> 00:56:14,880 individuals policy agenda has sprawled 1336 00:56:14,880 --> 00:56:18,280 into micromanaging everybody's lives on 1337 00:56:18,280 --> 00:56:20,440 the most minute detail of what kind of 1338 00:56:20,440 --> 00:56:22,319 stove you can use what kind of heater 1339 00:56:22,319 --> 00:56:23,920 you can have how much you can set the 1340 00:56:23,920 --> 00:56:25,640 thermostat out where you can drive what 1341 00:56:25,640 --> 00:56:28,720 kind of car you can't according to the 1342 00:56:28,720 --> 00:56:30,079 the planners we're not going to have 1343 00:56:30,079 --> 00:56:32,640 internal combustion engines an hour from 1344 00:56:32,640 --> 00:56:34,440 now all of these things require the 1345 00:56:34,440 --> 00:56:36,000 government to get involved right because 1346 00:56:36,000 --> 00:56:38,400 the government has to sort of force 1347 00:56:38,400 --> 00:56:40,359 changes upon the public if it was up to 1348 00:56:40,359 --> 00:56:42,440 the public we wouldn't be buying 1349 00:56:42,440 --> 00:56:44,480 electric vehicles because you know 1350 00:56:44,480 --> 00:56:45,359 they're 1351 00:56:45,359 --> 00:56:47,319 impractical support for the climate 1352 00:56:47,319 --> 00:56:49,720 alarm is now virtually synonymous with 1353 00:56:49,720 --> 00:56:52,000 disdain for free market capitalism and a 1354 00:56:52,000 --> 00:56:54,640 yearning for bigger government it's 1355 00:56:54,640 --> 00:56:56,200 liberals versus conservatives in theit 1356 00:56:56,200 --> 00:56:59,280 United States and generally speaking 1357 00:56:59,280 --> 00:57:00,799 Liberals are worried that we're 1358 00:57:00,799 --> 00:57:03,440 destroying the planet and they're also 1359 00:57:03,440 --> 00:57:05,200 of course for big government and then 1360 00:57:05,200 --> 00:57:07,119 conservatives are are at the other end 1361 00:57:07,119 --> 00:57:09,240 of the spectrum where they a lot of them 1362 00:57:09,240 --> 00:57:10,640 don't believe that we're destroying the 1363 00:57:10,640 --> 00:57:13,079 planet and they don't want government 1364 00:57:13,079 --> 00:57:14,960 involved in their personal 1365 00:57:14,960 --> 00:57:17,480 lives paying lip service to The Climate 1366 00:57:17,480 --> 00:57:20,000 alarm has become almost Universal among 1367 00:57:20,000 --> 00:57:22,160 those who depend on government for their 1368 00:57:22,160 --> 00:57:24,400 livelihoods this includes those in the 1369 00:57:24,400 --> 00:57:26,440 publicly funded education art and 1370 00:57:26,440 --> 00:57:29,400 science establishments Tony hel recalls 1371 00:57:29,400 --> 00:57:31,960 his time at Los Alamos 1372 00:57:31,960 --> 00:57:35,760 labs the entire County of Los alos was 1373 00:57:35,760 --> 00:57:39,400 kept going by government money that we 1374 00:57:39,400 --> 00:57:41,839 we had the highest incomes in the state 1375 00:57:41,839 --> 00:57:44,760 so naturally people who lived in Los Al 1376 00:57:44,760 --> 00:57:47,480 supported big government because that 1377 00:57:47,480 --> 00:57:49,359 was where their livelihood came from 1378 00:57:49,359 --> 00:57:51,079 that was where their good schools came 1379 00:57:51,079 --> 00:57:53,440 from you know everything good and Los 1380 00:57:53,440 --> 00:57:55,200 alos came from the government so of 1381 00:57:55,200 --> 00:57:59,119 course they were all Believers in big 1382 00:57:59,119 --> 00:58:01,319 governments among the largely publicly 1383 00:58:01,319 --> 00:58:03,960 funded Western intelligencia support for 1384 00:58:03,960 --> 00:58:05,960 more government spending and regulation 1385 00:58:05,960 --> 00:58:09,039 is almost a defining moral 1386 00:58:09,039 --> 00:58:11,880 badge in these circles to question the 1387 00:58:11,880 --> 00:58:14,280 climate alarm is socially unacceptable 1388 00:58:14,280 --> 00:58:18,079 to be a climate skeptic is 1389 00:58:18,640 --> 00:58:21,359 taboo somebody that goes against it that 1390 00:58:21,359 --> 00:58:24,799 it really does get met with a lot of 1391 00:58:24,799 --> 00:58:27,280 anger and vitriol you know you're called 1392 00:58:27,280 --> 00:58:30,839 a denier a science denier and a heretic 1393 00:58:30,839 --> 00:58:33,640 your colleagues won't engage with you 1394 00:58:33,640 --> 00:58:36,480 anymore uh you don't get invited to 1395 00:58:36,480 --> 00:58:39,880 conferences your students uh May desert 1396 00:58:39,880 --> 00:58:43,440 you uh this is all really 1397 00:58:43,440 --> 00:58:45,920 terrible professors Henrik svensmark and 1398 00:58:45,920 --> 00:58:48,240 ni shiv describe what happened when they 1399 00:58:48,240 --> 00:58:50,280 published their results on the climatic 1400 00:58:50,280 --> 00:58:51,920 effects of solar 1401 00:58:51,920 --> 00:58:54,880 activity it was like all Hill had broken 1402 00:58:54,880 --> 00:58:58,760 loose because of this work I had no idea 1403 00:58:58,760 --> 00:59:02,000 that the things would escalate as they 1404 00:59:02,000 --> 00:59:05,000 did and it completely changed my life 1405 00:59:05,000 --> 00:59:09,079 once we said that uh people didn't like 1406 00:59:09,079 --> 00:59:12,720 hearing it and we became a persona 1407 00:59:12,720 --> 00:59:16,160 non I mean I have so many instances of 1408 00:59:16,160 --> 00:59:19,760 people doing really uh nasty things 1409 00:59:19,760 --> 00:59:24,240 uh when I applied for for a job uh a 1410 00:59:24,240 --> 00:59:26,319 group of scientists writes to the 1411 00:59:26,319 --> 00:59:29,520 University say they shouldn't hire 1412 00:59:29,520 --> 00:59:33,960 me and that's a typical story 1413 00:59:33,960 --> 00:59:35,680 uh 1414 00:59:35,680 --> 00:59:38,200 unfortunately if you don't agree with a 1415 00:59:38,200 --> 00:59:41,240 standard pmic you become an outcast 1416 00:59:41,240 --> 00:59:43,079 you're 1417 00:59:43,079 --> 00:59:46,640 shun as if you have 1418 00:59:46,760 --> 00:59:49,920 leprosy for Professor Sally balunas the 1419 00:59:49,920 --> 00:59:53,359 personal attacks became too 1420 00:59:53,839 --> 00:59:58,039 much I retired early 1421 01:00:00,160 --> 01:00:02,599 and my family said I should have retired 1422 01:00:02,599 --> 01:00:06,720 even sooner years sooner so they noticed 1423 01:00:06,720 --> 01:00:11,839 the toll or took a toll on them and 1424 01:00:12,039 --> 01:00:15,319 me Dr Matthew wicki was an assistant 1425 01:00:15,319 --> 01:00:17,200 professor of geology at the University 1426 01:00:17,200 --> 01:00:19,440 of Alabama when he decided to speak out 1427 01:00:19,440 --> 01:00:22,079 about the climate scare as a result of 1428 01:00:22,079 --> 01:00:24,720 the backlash he has decided to leave 1429 01:00:24,720 --> 01:00:27,359 teaching to speak up about climate 1430 01:00:27,359 --> 01:00:29,000 change in any sort of skeptical way was 1431 01:00:29,000 --> 01:00:31,359 essentially career suicide absolutely 1432 01:00:31,359 --> 01:00:34,920 there was no possible way that I would 1433 01:00:34,920 --> 01:00:37,400 publish in quite a few of the mainstream 1434 01:00:37,400 --> 01:00:39,039 journals that I was required to publish 1435 01:00:39,039 --> 01:00:41,880 in I essentially isolated myself from 1436 01:00:41,880 --> 01:00:44,359 many of the funding institutions this is 1437 01:00:44,359 --> 01:00:46,480 one of the reasons you can build a 1438 01:00:46,480 --> 01:00:49,319 consensus in a community is because 1439 01:00:49,319 --> 01:00:51,240 anybody who is skeptical of that 1440 01:00:51,240 --> 01:00:53,119 consensus essentially gets kicked out of 1441 01:00:53,119 --> 01:00:57,359 the community speaking out um 1442 01:00:57,359 --> 01:01:01,079 in scientific ways that go contrary to 1443 01:01:01,079 --> 01:01:04,000 the consensus I would say as a career 1444 01:01:04,000 --> 01:01:06,760 killer for people at the early stage of 1445 01:01:06,760 --> 01:01:10,799 their careers if I were 30 years old in 1446 01:01:10,799 --> 01:01:13,280 a university trying to make a career I I 1447 01:01:13,280 --> 01:01:15,839 would certainly keep my mouth shut and 1448 01:01:15,839 --> 01:01:18,880 in fact I I went to some effort to keep 1449 01:01:18,880 --> 01:01:20,799 my mouth shut when I was younger I I 1450 01:01:20,799 --> 01:01:23,039 knew climate was nonsense then but I was 1451 01:01:23,039 --> 01:01:26,000 a little bit careful if a young person 1452 01:01:26,000 --> 01:01:29,280 person is questioning this they can't 1453 01:01:29,280 --> 01:01:32,559 put that in a proposal The Proposal will 1454 01:01:32,559 --> 01:01:33,680 be 1455 01:01:33,680 --> 01:01:36,599 denied and they can't effectively 1456 01:01:36,599 --> 01:01:39,079 publish because the gatekeeper will keep 1457 01:01:39,079 --> 01:01:42,240 them out and so it would end their 1458 01:01:42,240 --> 01:01:45,760 career you have to go along with with 1459 01:01:45,760 --> 01:01:47,520 the global warming story if you don't 1460 01:01:47,520 --> 01:01:49,240 you're going to get cut off you're going 1461 01:01:49,240 --> 01:01:51,400 to lose funding you're going to get your 1462 01:01:51,400 --> 01:01:53,400 career ruined you're going to be trashed 1463 01:01:53,400 --> 01:01:57,240 by the community you'll be despised by 1464 01:01:57,240 --> 01:01:58,440 your 1465 01:01:58,440 --> 01:02:00,960 co-workers the so-called consensus on 1466 01:02:00,960 --> 01:02:03,559 climate has itself become a weapon a 1467 01:02:03,559 --> 01:02:05,680 form of bullying intimidation and 1468 01:02:05,680 --> 01:02:08,240 censorship used against those who refuse 1469 01:02:08,240 --> 01:02:10,920 to conform it's a it's a tool that 1470 01:02:10,920 --> 01:02:13,440 people use to bludge in their opponents 1471 01:02:13,440 --> 01:02:16,920 and the Skeptics and to attack their 1472 01:02:16,920 --> 01:02:19,480 character according to its critics far 1473 01:02:19,480 --> 01:02:21,640 from being scientific the militant 1474 01:02:21,640 --> 01:02:24,039 intolerant climate consensus represents 1475 01:02:24,039 --> 01:02:27,240 a devastating assault on free scientific 1476 01:02:27,240 --> 01:02:30,880 inquiry I see my job as a scientist as 1477 01:02:30,880 --> 01:02:33,480 just laying out the facts and letting 1478 01:02:33,480 --> 01:02:35,920 people decide what they want to do when 1479 01:02:35,920 --> 01:02:39,559 you can't talk about the facts uh Things 1480 01:02:39,559 --> 01:02:42,920 become corrupt if you shut the door on 1481 01:02:42,920 --> 01:02:45,960 ideas if you say you're not allowed to 1482 01:02:45,960 --> 01:02:48,960 test it you're not allowed to have that 1483 01:02:48,960 --> 01:02:52,599 idea you've left the realm of 1484 01:02:52,599 --> 01:02:55,279 science I don't think climate 1485 01:02:55,279 --> 01:02:58,720 researchers will ever back down from 1486 01:02:58,720 --> 01:03:02,240 their claim that increasing CO2 is the 1487 01:03:02,240 --> 01:03:05,799 control knob on today's climate system I 1488 01:03:05,799 --> 01:03:07,880 I don't think they will ever back down 1489 01:03:07,880 --> 01:03:09,960 from that no matter what the evidence is 1490 01:03:09,960 --> 01:03:12,680 it's clear it's now a 1491 01:03:12,680 --> 01:03:17,640 cult uh that completely divorced from 1492 01:03:17,640 --> 01:03:20,400 science but the Apparently Unstoppable 1493 01:03:20,400 --> 01:03:22,720 climate scare does not just represent an 1494 01:03:22,720 --> 01:03:25,200 attack on science it is starting to 1495 01:03:25,200 --> 01:03:29,200 shape for a new kind of 1496 01:03:34,000 --> 01:03:36,920 society environmentalists like to pose 1497 01:03:36,920 --> 01:03:39,720 as anti-establishment but their demands 1498 01:03:39,720 --> 01:03:42,400 are well received and piously echoed by 1499 01:03:42,400 --> 01:03:44,000 King Charles and the Archbishop of 1500 01:03:44,000 --> 01:03:47,599 Canterbury the BBC the UN the EU by 1501 01:03:47,599 --> 01:03:49,760 heads of government the World Bank and 1502 01:03:49,760 --> 01:03:52,440 World economic Forum in fact by the 1503 01:03:52,440 --> 01:03:54,720 entire state-funded ruling 1504 01:03:54,720 --> 01:03:56,599 establishment 1505 01:03:56,599 --> 01:04:00,200 global warming is like the perfect 1506 01:04:00,200 --> 01:04:02,720 problem that government can get involved 1507 01:04:02,720 --> 01:04:06,599 in to grow the influence of government 1508 01:04:06,599 --> 01:04:09,000 it's a wonderful way to uh increase 1509 01:04:09,000 --> 01:04:12,559 government power and uh if there's an 1510 01:04:12,559 --> 01:04:14,640 existential threat out there that's 1511 01:04:14,640 --> 01:04:17,039 worldwide well you need a powerful 1512 01:04:17,039 --> 01:04:19,559 worldwide government you know to cope 1513 01:04:19,559 --> 01:04:21,839 with it if you're a climate activist 1514 01:04:21,839 --> 01:04:23,279 you're actually 1515 01:04:23,279 --> 01:04:28,079 facilitating a huge uh uh validation of 1516 01:04:28,079 --> 01:04:30,160 the government running our Lives Many 1517 01:04:30,160 --> 01:04:31,799 environmentalists most environmental all 1518 01:04:31,799 --> 01:04:33,400 environmentalists who consider 1519 01:04:33,400 --> 01:04:35,119 themselves to be radical Progressive 1520 01:04:35,119 --> 01:04:37,160 alternatives are in fact simply 1521 01:04:37,160 --> 01:04:39,119 reinforcing the mantras and the 1522 01:04:39,119 --> 01:04:41,079 mainstream arguments of the entire 1523 01:04:41,079 --> 01:04:42,680 establishment the demands on the 1524 01:04:42,680 --> 01:04:44,520 government mean that the government 1525 01:04:44,520 --> 01:04:46,079 suddenly gains the authority to 1526 01:04:46,079 --> 01:04:48,720 interfere into every knok and cranny of 1527 01:04:48,720 --> 01:04:51,039 our lives and how we live everything has 1528 01:04:51,039 --> 01:04:53,359 a climate narrative attached to it how 1529 01:04:53,359 --> 01:04:55,359 much you consume where you spend your 1530 01:04:55,359 --> 01:04:57,839 money how much you travel who you 1531 01:04:57,839 --> 01:05:00,039 interact with what types of food you eat 1532 01:05:00,039 --> 01:05:03,279 whether you eat meat everything has some 1533 01:05:03,279 --> 01:05:06,000 sort of aspect that can be controlled 1534 01:05:06,000 --> 01:05:09,680 with a climate lens suppose 20 years ago 1535 01:05:09,680 --> 01:05:11,960 somebody had hatched the idea that I 1536 01:05:11,960 --> 01:05:17,119 would really like to ban cheap energy 1537 01:05:17,119 --> 01:05:19,319 I'd really like to control everybody's 1538 01:05:19,319 --> 01:05:21,240 Appliance purchases I'd really like to 1539 01:05:21,240 --> 01:05:23,640 tell everybody where they can go and 1540 01:05:23,640 --> 01:05:25,760 basically I'd like to have dictatorial 1541 01:05:25,760 --> 01:05:27,920 control over everything well it's not 1542 01:05:27,920 --> 01:05:29,480 going to fly no everybody would think 1543 01:05:29,480 --> 01:05:32,160 you're a nut and would ignore you but 1544 01:05:32,160 --> 01:05:35,480 fast forward 20 years that's what's 1545 01:05:35,480 --> 01:05:37,440 happening the publicly funded 1546 01:05:37,440 --> 01:05:39,599 establishment in the west is so large 1547 01:05:39,599 --> 01:05:42,520 and Powerful it is able to impose and 1548 01:05:42,520 --> 01:05:44,559 enforce the official consensus on 1549 01:05:44,559 --> 01:05:46,960 climate through its control of schools 1550 01:05:46,960 --> 01:05:51,160 universities government and much of the 1551 01:05:52,200 --> 01:05:55,279 media State broadcasters like the BBC 1552 01:05:55,279 --> 01:05:57,480 exclud include climate Skeptics 1553 01:05:57,480 --> 01:05:59,760 broadcasting regulatory bodies forbid 1554 01:05:59,760 --> 01:06:01,680 private stations from disseminating 1555 01:06:01,680 --> 01:06:04,240 skeptical views threatening them with 1556 01:06:04,240 --> 01:06:07,640 having their broadcasting licenses 1557 01:06:07,640 --> 01:06:09,920 revoked what normally happens in an 1558 01:06:09,920 --> 01:06:12,599 emergency is that all normal forms of 1559 01:06:12,599 --> 01:06:15,079 openness and democracy have to be 1560 01:06:15,079 --> 01:06:18,480 suppressed because how else to deal with 1561 01:06:18,480 --> 01:06:20,920 an emergency so we are facing a 1562 01:06:20,920 --> 01:06:23,839 situation not unlike lockdown where 1563 01:06:23,839 --> 01:06:27,279 basically all normal forms of behavior 1564 01:06:27,279 --> 01:06:30,520 normal forms of social communication and 1565 01:06:30,520 --> 01:06:33,160 so normal forms of democracy are 1566 01:06:33,160 --> 01:06:36,079 essentially ruled 1567 01:06:36,079 --> 01:06:40,680 out activists are even calling for any 1568 01:06:40,680 --> 01:06:43,599 skepticism to be 1569 01:06:43,599 --> 01:06:45,760 criminalized in certain jobs and 1570 01:06:45,760 --> 01:06:47,799 professions it is now dangerous to 1571 01:06:47,799 --> 01:06:50,200 express dissent on climate it's no 1572 01:06:50,200 --> 01:06:53,400 surprise that people uh who are more 1573 01:06:53,400 --> 01:06:57,039 skeptical will think twice before uh 1574 01:06:57,039 --> 01:06:58,920 voicing their concerns because they 1575 01:06:58,920 --> 01:07:01,240 might risk their careers they might risk 1576 01:07:01,240 --> 01:07:03,279 their business they might risk being 1577 01:07:03,279 --> 01:07:05,720 sacked if you're a professional of any 1578 01:07:05,720 --> 01:07:08,799 kind in science or law or medicine if 1579 01:07:08,799 --> 01:07:10,960 you belong to a professional association 1580 01:07:10,960 --> 01:07:12,559 or you are in a 1581 01:07:12,559 --> 01:07:15,920 university uh you can be fired for 1582 01:07:15,920 --> 01:07:19,000 saying what you believe the consequence 1583 01:07:19,000 --> 01:07:23,640 is a censorious authoritarian regime 1584 01:07:23,640 --> 01:07:26,880 that has to control every move every 1585 01:07:26,880 --> 01:07:30,799 word everything you want to do because 1586 01:07:30,799 --> 01:07:34,240 everything you do is a potential risk to 1587 01:07:34,240 --> 01:07:37,120 the survival of 1588 01:07:37,120 --> 01:07:41,680 [Music] 1589 01:07:41,680 --> 01:07:44,559 mankind climate protesters condemn 1590 01:07:44,559 --> 01:07:47,000 capitalism but at their anti- capitalist 1591 01:07:47,000 --> 01:07:48,920 rallies it's hard to spot anyone who 1592 01:07:48,920 --> 01:07:51,480 looks like a worker like a Docker or 1593 01:07:51,480 --> 01:07:53,960 crane driver or steel worker or a 1594 01:07:53,960 --> 01:07:56,240 beautician or a trucker 1595 01:07:56,240 --> 01:07:57,920 the workers it appears are totally 1596 01:07:57,920 --> 01:07:59,920 absent from these rallies and for very 1597 01:07:59,920 --> 01:08:03,079 good reason today's climate alarmists 1598 01:08:03,079 --> 01:08:05,079 complain not that capitalism isn't 1599 01:08:05,079 --> 01:08:07,440 producing enough but that it's producing 1600 01:08:07,440 --> 01:08:09,359 too 1601 01:08:09,359 --> 01:08:12,200 much the modern capitalist system has 1602 01:08:12,200 --> 01:08:15,520 led to Prosperity more and more people 1603 01:08:15,520 --> 01:08:17,960 have more and more things the modern 1604 01:08:17,960 --> 01:08:20,480 anti- capitalism of the present time is 1605 01:08:20,480 --> 01:08:22,159 a critique of capitalism that it gives 1606 01:08:22,159 --> 01:08:24,759 us too much they think that the problem 1607 01:08:24,759 --> 01:08:27,480 with capitalism now it's actually that 1608 01:08:27,480 --> 01:08:30,719 it's giving out too many rewards on mass 1609 01:08:30,719 --> 01:08:33,040 to ordinary workers and what they want 1610 01:08:33,040 --> 01:08:35,040 Instead This is often very explicit 1611 01:08:35,040 --> 01:08:38,359 actually is a much more austere simple 1612 01:08:38,359 --> 01:08:40,120 kind of Lifestyle in which the mass 1613 01:08:40,120 --> 01:08:42,440 consumption the consumption choices of 1614 01:08:42,440 --> 01:08:45,199 the great bulk of the population are 1615 01:08:45,199 --> 01:08:47,679 controlled or even prohibited you have 1616 01:08:47,679 --> 01:08:50,839 to consume less you have to uh holiday 1617 01:08:50,839 --> 01:08:52,600 less you have to drive less you have to 1618 01:08:52,600 --> 01:08:54,440 eat less and so 1619 01:08:54,440 --> 01:08:57,319 on it seems that what upsets many 1620 01:08:57,319 --> 01:08:59,719 environmentalists is not the failure but 1621 01:08:59,719 --> 01:09:01,679 rather the success of capitalism in 1622 01:09:01,679 --> 01:09:03,480 producing an abundance of affordable 1623 01:09:03,480 --> 01:09:06,120 Goods for the 1624 01:09:06,799 --> 01:09:11,440 masses ordinary working people for once 1625 01:09:11,440 --> 01:09:14,000 we've arrived at a point in history in 1626 01:09:14,000 --> 01:09:16,600 the Western World at least where Mass 1627 01:09:16,600 --> 01:09:18,960 manufacturers has allowed them cheap 1628 01:09:18,960 --> 01:09:21,839 clothes cheap food cheap furniture 1629 01:09:21,839 --> 01:09:24,480 therefore you get a clash when affluent 1630 01:09:24,480 --> 01:09:25,960 environmentalist 1631 01:09:25,960 --> 01:09:27,839 Express their disdain for Mass 1632 01:09:27,839 --> 01:09:30,799 consumption people going on those big 1633 01:09:30,799 --> 01:09:34,640 huge cruise ships it's like thousands of 1634 01:09:34,640 --> 01:09:36,640 it's like what are they doing oh my God 1635 01:09:36,640 --> 01:09:38,719 there's all those Cru like ruining 1636 01:09:38,719 --> 01:09:41,040 Venice you know ruining all our Beau we 1637 01:09:41,040 --> 01:09:43,080 own them don't we they're not what what 1638 01:09:43,080 --> 01:09:45,040 are they going there for what you have 1639 01:09:45,040 --> 01:09:47,520 here is a classic example of class 1640 01:09:47,520 --> 01:09:50,359 hypocrisy and self-interest masquerading 1641 01:09:50,359 --> 01:09:53,400 as public spirited concern you could 1642 01:09:53,400 --> 01:09:55,600 take these kind of green social this 1643 01:09:55,600 --> 01:09:57,719 much more seriously if they lived off 1644 01:09:57,719 --> 01:09:59,920 grid they cut their own consumption down 1645 01:09:59,920 --> 01:10:02,480 to the minimum they never flew instead 1646 01:10:02,480 --> 01:10:04,320 you get constant talk about how human 1647 01:10:04,320 --> 01:10:06,080 consumption is destroying the planet but 1648 01:10:06,080 --> 01:10:07,960 the people making all this talk show 1649 01:10:07,960 --> 01:10:11,400 absolutely no signs of reducing their 1650 01:10:11,400 --> 01:10:14,840 own what environmentalists call degrowth 1651 01:10:14,840 --> 01:10:16,960 is being achieved by the trashing of our 1652 01:10:16,960 --> 01:10:18,600 conventional energy and Transport 1653 01:10:18,600 --> 01:10:21,159 Systems and the forced introduction of 1654 01:10:21,159 --> 01:10:23,560 expensive and unreliable 1655 01:10:23,560 --> 01:10:25,320 Alternatives already this is happen 1656 01:10:25,320 --> 01:10:27,159 having the desired effect on Industrial 1657 01:10:27,159 --> 01:10:29,360 manufacturing which is straining under 1658 01:10:29,360 --> 01:10:31,280 the burden of punitive green taxes and 1659 01:10:31,280 --> 01:10:34,520 Regulation and higher energy 1660 01:10:34,520 --> 01:10:36,640 prices the people behind the climate 1661 01:10:36,640 --> 01:10:38,280 alarm couldn't give a damn about 1662 01:10:38,280 --> 01:10:40,120 manufacturing they have nothing to do 1663 01:10:40,120 --> 01:10:41,679 with it they don't know people who work 1664 01:10:41,679 --> 01:10:44,120 in manufacturing whose jobs and lives 1665 01:10:44,120 --> 01:10:45,880 depend on it they're not excited by 1666 01:10:45,880 --> 01:10:47,920 industry or industrial progress they 1667 01:10:47,920 --> 01:10:51,010 explicitly want to shut it 1668 01:10:51,010 --> 01:10:54,239 [Music] 1669 01:10:54,239 --> 01:10:56,239 down 1670 01:10:56,239 --> 01:10:58,920 Ki Kenya East 1671 01:10:58,920 --> 01:11:01,000 Africa according to many leading 1672 01:11:01,000 --> 01:11:03,000 environmentalists the world's poorest 1673 01:11:03,000 --> 01:11:04,800 people should not aspire to the 1674 01:11:04,800 --> 01:11:07,600 lifestyle of people in the first world 1675 01:11:07,600 --> 01:11:10,560 the planet will not 1676 01:11:10,560 --> 01:11:13,600 cope Grace Nando is one of the many 1677 01:11:13,600 --> 01:11:15,760 Africans who do not have electricity or 1678 01:11:15,760 --> 01:11:19,080 gas to cook with or heat their 1679 01:11:19,080 --> 01:11:21,600 homes the resulting indoor smoke from 1680 01:11:21,600 --> 01:11:23,760 burning wood and dried dung is the 1681 01:11:23,760 --> 01:11:26,040 deadliest form of pollution in the world 1682 01:11:26,040 --> 01:11:28,480 for Millions the cause of lung disease 1683 01:11:28,480 --> 01:11:31,880 blindness and early 1684 01:11:49,080 --> 01:11:51,560 death it's not just cheap reliable 1685 01:11:51,560 --> 01:11:53,760 electricity that Africa needs 1686 01:11:53,760 --> 01:11:55,440 agricultural productivity here is 1687 01:11:55,440 --> 01:11:57,920 incredibly low increasing it takes 1688 01:11:57,920 --> 01:12:00,520 fossil fuels to make fertilizer and 1689 01:12:00,520 --> 01:12:02,760 drive tractors and other farm 1690 01:12:02,760 --> 01:12:05,880 machinery jper mogu is a 1691 01:12:05,880 --> 01:12:08,719 farmer each and every African wants to 1692 01:12:08,719 --> 01:12:11,120 develop and increasing improving 1693 01:12:11,120 --> 01:12:13,199 agriculture is one of the easiest ways 1694 01:12:13,199 --> 01:12:16,560 to do that agriculture is tightly tied 1695 01:12:16,560 --> 01:12:21,440 to fossil fuels Fosso fuels that the 1696 01:12:21,440 --> 01:12:23,920 Western nations are saying we should not 1697 01:12:23,920 --> 01:12:26,360 have access to 1698 01:12:26,360 --> 01:12:28,120 around a third of the food produced in 1699 01:12:28,120 --> 01:12:30,400 Africa rots before it ever reaches the 1700 01:12:30,400 --> 01:12:33,159 mouths of consumers to prevent this 1701 01:12:33,159 --> 01:12:35,400 terrible waste Africa needs plastic 1702 01:12:35,400 --> 01:12:38,120 packaging refrigerated lorries and good 1703 01:12:38,120 --> 01:12:41,040 roads all are opposed by Western 1704 01:12:41,040 --> 01:12:42,679 environmentalists all come with 1705 01:12:42,679 --> 01:12:45,040 Industrial Development all rely on 1706 01:12:45,040 --> 01:12:47,679 affordable fossil fuel 1707 01:12:47,679 --> 01:12:50,800 energy diar from drinking dirty water 1708 01:12:50,800 --> 01:12:52,920 still kills hundreds of thousands of 1709 01:12:52,920 --> 01:12:55,520 African children but clean water water 1710 01:12:55,520 --> 01:12:57,360 requires large industrial water 1711 01:12:57,360 --> 01:12:59,639 purification plants and a modern water 1712 01:12:59,639 --> 01:13:02,800 supply network and this will come only 1713 01:13:02,800 --> 01:13:05,480 with cheap energy I think it's pretty 1714 01:13:05,480 --> 01:13:08,960 obvious that the West has got what it 1715 01:13:08,960 --> 01:13:11,880 has because of fossil fuels when people 1716 01:13:11,880 --> 01:13:14,320 say Africa doesn't need fossil fuels I 1717 01:13:14,320 --> 01:13:16,440 wonder I don't think they want what's 1718 01:13:16,440 --> 01:13:18,840 best for us they don't want us to 1719 01:13:18,840 --> 01:13:21,600 develop and that means we continue being 1720 01:13:21,600 --> 01:13:26,560 starving we continue being uh poor 1721 01:13:26,560 --> 01:13:27,840 most people don't know what climate 1722 01:13:27,840 --> 01:13:30,199 change is they don't care they just they 1723 01:13:30,199 --> 01:13:32,639 want food on their table they want to 1724 01:13:32,639 --> 01:13:34,960 beat poverty they want to beat Hunger 1725 01:13:34,960 --> 01:13:37,239 they need money to better their lives 1726 01:13:37,239 --> 01:13:40,480 they want to flourish that's just 1727 01:13:40,480 --> 01:13:42,719 it when they use the word sustainable 1728 01:13:42,719 --> 01:13:44,360 development they're talking about no 1729 01:13:44,360 --> 01:13:46,199 development exactly I mean it's the 1730 01:13:46,199 --> 01:13:48,000 point is that you know to develop 1731 01:13:48,000 --> 01:13:49,840 sustainably means not to use too much 1732 01:13:49,840 --> 01:13:51,880 energy not to use too much carbon you 1733 01:13:51,880 --> 01:13:53,840 know Net Zero the idea that you mustn't 1734 01:13:53,840 --> 01:13:55,560 use too many resources the you mustn't 1735 01:13:55,560 --> 01:13:57,560 produce enough consumer goods because 1736 01:13:57,560 --> 01:14:00,000 consumption is bad so ultimately you 1737 01:14:00,000 --> 01:14:03,639 know the idea of development is out the 1738 01:14:03,639 --> 01:14:07,159 window the greens think the Africans 1739 01:14:07,159 --> 01:14:11,280 should never use their resources the way 1740 01:14:11,280 --> 01:14:12,880 the Europeans or the Americans or the 1741 01:14:12,880 --> 01:14:15,199 Canadians or the Australians have used 1742 01:14:15,199 --> 01:14:18,760 theirs they are also in favor of 1743 01:14:18,760 --> 01:14:22,280 punitive taxes border taxes on any 1744 01:14:22,280 --> 01:14:24,880 African country that wants to export 1745 01:14:24,880 --> 01:14:27,440 their Goods to Europe if they do use 1746 01:14:27,440 --> 01:14:32,040 their resource so that sums up the 1747 01:14:32,040 --> 01:14:33,560 ethical 1748 01:14:33,560 --> 01:14:36,880 ruthlessness and and depravity of the 1749 01:14:36,880 --> 01:14:38,880 green 1750 01:14:38,880 --> 01:14:41,760 agenda the climate alarmists have a 1751 01:14:41,760 --> 01:14:44,159 problem many countries in Africa and 1752 01:14:44,159 --> 01:14:46,360 across Asia are simply ignoring the 1753 01:14:46,360 --> 01:14:48,040 environmentalist demands of Western 1754 01:14:48,040 --> 01:14:50,800 governments and international agencies 1755 01:14:50,800 --> 01:14:52,719 communist China is estimated to be 1756 01:14:52,719 --> 01:14:54,600 building an average of two new coal 1757 01:14:54,600 --> 01:14:57,760 power plants a week China now uses more 1758 01:14:57,760 --> 01:15:01,199 coal than the rest of the world 1759 01:15:01,199 --> 01:15:03,840 combined which is one of the reasons why 1760 01:15:03,840 --> 01:15:06,360 this whole climate agenda is falling 1761 01:15:06,360 --> 01:15:08,199 apart because the rest of the world is 1762 01:15:08,199 --> 01:15:11,639 not cutting emissions is not moving to 1763 01:15:11,639 --> 01:15:14,520 Renewables in the West too for many 1764 01:15:14,520 --> 01:15:18,719 people climate alarmism is wearing 1765 01:15:19,760 --> 01:15:22,840 thin Ordinary People are not stupid they 1766 01:15:22,840 --> 01:15:24,440 have seen one ridiculous claim after 1767 01:15:24,440 --> 01:15:27,120 another fail over and over what this 1768 01:15:27,120 --> 01:15:29,600 does is leave people with a profound and 1769 01:15:29,600 --> 01:15:31,520 Justified cynicism about what the 1770 01:15:31,520 --> 01:15:33,560 scientific establishment says and about 1771 01:15:33,560 --> 01:15:35,960 what the government 1772 01:15:35,960 --> 01:15:38,560 says to fix the climate crisis we're 1773 01:15:38,560 --> 01:15:42,040 told we must give up our 1774 01:15:42,600 --> 01:15:45,679 cars we must pay more for fuel heating 1775 01:15:45,679 --> 01:15:50,080 clothes food fly less limit where we go 1776 01:15:50,080 --> 01:15:53,120 this attack on mass travel Mass tourism 1777 01:15:53,120 --> 01:15:55,600 Mass consumption holds little appeal to 1778 01:15:55,600 --> 01:15:57,760 the 1779 01:15:58,120 --> 01:16:00,239 masses people have started to realize 1780 01:16:00,239 --> 01:16:02,440 it's going to cost them a lot of money 1781 01:16:02,440 --> 01:16:04,400 to Simply live the lives that they were 1782 01:16:04,400 --> 01:16:06,639 leading that they want to lead and as 1783 01:16:06,639 --> 01:16:08,960 soon as that started to happen I could 1784 01:16:08,960 --> 01:16:11,600 see people in the United Kingdom who had 1785 01:16:11,600 --> 01:16:13,440 previously been indifferent to 1786 01:16:13,440 --> 01:16:16,040 environmentalism soly think how dare 1787 01:16:16,040 --> 01:16:18,960 they do that right how dare they try and 1788 01:16:18,960 --> 01:16:21,159 take away what we consider to be not 1789 01:16:21,159 --> 01:16:23,800 luxuries but Necessities the whole 1790 01:16:23,800 --> 01:16:25,679 policy of sustainability is about 1791 01:16:25,679 --> 01:16:28,080 restraint it's about restriction it's 1792 01:16:28,080 --> 01:16:31,199 about doing less um and that obviously 1793 01:16:31,199 --> 01:16:33,320 for most people is anathema to their 1794 01:16:33,320 --> 01:16:35,440 everyday needs the fact that there is 1795 01:16:35,440 --> 01:16:37,800 actually an ideological movement of 1796 01:16:37,800 --> 01:16:40,920 people who think that cheap mass 1797 01:16:40,920 --> 01:16:43,679 production of whether it's houses or 1798 01:16:43,679 --> 01:16:47,040 anything else is a problem I mean for 1799 01:16:47,040 --> 01:16:50,840 God's sake no wonder people become uh 1800 01:16:50,840 --> 01:16:52,760 disdainful of the kind of middle class 1801 01:16:52,760 --> 01:16:54,560 Outlook of environmentalism but that is 1802 01:16:54,560 --> 01:16:58,000 lit what people say how can we stop 1803 01:16:58,000 --> 01:17:02,800 people buying cheap things in 1804 01:17:02,800 --> 01:17:05,400 shops when climate protesters climbed 1805 01:17:05,400 --> 01:17:07,280 onto an underground train in London's 1806 01:17:07,280 --> 01:17:09,600 East End they were not cheered on by 1807 01:17:09,600 --> 01:17:12,639 working commuters they were held abuse 1808 01:17:12,639 --> 01:17:15,760 pelted angrily dragged off the train and 1809 01:17:15,760 --> 01:17:17,960 received rough treatment on the 1810 01:17:17,960 --> 01:17:22,280 platform if you were to go into a pub uh 1811 01:17:22,280 --> 01:17:24,639 frequented mainly by what the americ 1812 01:17:24,639 --> 01:17:27,400 called blue color workers you will find 1813 01:17:27,400 --> 01:17:29,600 that uh being skeptical about climate 1814 01:17:29,600 --> 01:17:31,920 change policy is not going to get you 1815 01:17:31,920 --> 01:17:33,760 thrown out quite the contrary somebody 1816 01:17:33,760 --> 01:17:35,800 will probably buy you a drink they can 1817 01:17:35,800 --> 01:17:37,920 tell that behind all the talk about 1818 01:17:37,920 --> 01:17:41,040 climate emergency climate crisis what 1819 01:17:41,040 --> 01:17:43,840 there actually is is an animous and 1820 01:17:43,840 --> 01:17:47,080 hostility towards them their lifestyle 1821 01:17:47,080 --> 01:17:49,880 their beliefs and a desire to change it 1822 01:17:49,880 --> 01:17:52,060 by force if 1823 01:17:52,060 --> 01:17:53,840 [Music] 1824 01:17:53,840 --> 01:17:56,760 necessary punitive and restrictive 1825 01:17:56,760 --> 01:17:58,920 policies carried out both in the name of 1826 01:17:58,920 --> 01:18:01,679 climate change and covid have sparked 1827 01:18:01,679 --> 01:18:04,120 protests in Britain Canada and other 1828 01:18:04,120 --> 01:18:05,320 Western 1829 01:18:05,320 --> 01:18:08,000 countries anti-establishment politicians 1830 01:18:08,000 --> 01:18:11,719 and movements are gaining 1831 01:18:11,719 --> 01:18:13,560 support what they what they 1832 01:18:13,560 --> 01:18:16,040 underestimated was the fury that this 1833 01:18:16,040 --> 01:18:18,400 would meet uh with ordinary people who 1834 01:18:18,400 --> 01:18:19,520 just say you can't do this so you 1835 01:18:19,520 --> 01:18:22,400 suddenly get this new 1836 01:18:22,600 --> 01:18:25,040 movement many working people and not 1837 01:18:25,040 --> 01:18:27,560 merely skeptical but positively angry 1838 01:18:27,560 --> 01:18:29,239 about the climate alarm and all that 1839 01:18:29,239 --> 01:18:32,800 flows from it there is a suspicion or 1840 01:18:32,800 --> 01:18:35,560 perhaps realization that climate change 1841 01:18:35,560 --> 01:18:38,320 is an invented scare driven by 1842 01:18:38,320 --> 01:18:41,280 self-interest and snobbery cynically 1843 01:18:41,280 --> 01:18:44,080 promoted by a parasitic publicly funded 1844 01:18:44,080 --> 01:18:46,920 establishment hungry for ever more money 1845 01:18:46,920 --> 01:18:50,480 and power an assault on the freedom and 1846 01:18:50,480 --> 01:18:52,400 prosperity of the rest of 1847 01:18:52,400 --> 01:18:53,719 [Music] 1848 01:18:53,719 --> 01:18:56,719 us 1849 01:18:57,190 --> 01:19:54,050 [Music] 137739

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