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- You know, I've been around for a while,
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met some interesting people,
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done some crazy things.
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See, you just might think that there's
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not much that can take me by surprise.
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You'd be wrong.
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The world is full of
stories, science and things
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that amaze and confound
me every single day.
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Incredible mysteries that
keep me awake at night.
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Some I can answer.
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Others just defy logic.
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- [Voiceover] Is the end
of the world upon us?
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In Wyoming, a deadly force is sleeping
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underneath Yellowstone National Park.
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Could it awake and destroy the planet?
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- It could happen today.
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It could happen tomorrow.
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It's a race against time.
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- [Voiceover] In Alabama, a NASA scientist
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makes a remarkable discovery.
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Is a killer solar storm coming our way?
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- If it were hit today,
would knock us out,
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would knock civilization to its knees.
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- [Voiceover] And across the world
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comes the threat of an invasion by robots.
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Could the Terminator be real?
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- Yep, it's a weird world and I love it.
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Do you believe in prophecies?
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Some of the biggest events in history
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have been forseen by some
of the greatest minds.
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Nostradamus predicted World War I,
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Hitler, Napoleon, the election
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of U.S. President Barack Obama
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and the atomic destruction
of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
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How did he do that and
why can't I do that?
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Were they simply lucky guesses?
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Can we somehow see with
incredible accuracy
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what will happen hundreds or perhaps
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thousands of years into the future?
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And if we can, do we really
want to know what's coming?
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Patrick Geryl is an astronomer.
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In 1996 he didn't something extraordinary.
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He devoted his life to
studying the complex
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and mysterious texts
of the ancient Mayans.
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What he found is now
the stuff of Hollywood.
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The world is coming to an end and soon.
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- What captivated me
the most after reading
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the Mayan prophecies
was that they calculated
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this huge cataclysm at the end of 2012
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and this was very disturbing
information for me.
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I said, wow, gee, my whole future
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and the whole future of everybody
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will be destroyed in a few years.
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What am I going to do?
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And that changed my whole life.
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Before 1996 I planned to become
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the oldest person in the world
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by following a long living diet.
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In the morning, one and a
half liters of orange juice.
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In the midday, seven steamed bananas
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and in the evening, rice
with one kilo vegetables
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and two egg yolks.
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- [Voiceover] But knowing when
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the world would end wasn't enough.
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Patrick had to know how it would happen.
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For the next two years, using
complex mathematical formulas,
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he set out to decode the
Mayans hidden messages.
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- I was immediately grasped by the fact
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that they had very high accuracy
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and that they were able
to calculate something
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very spectacular into the future
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and it took me several years to decode it,
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but I found what will happen in 2012.
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- [Voiceover] What did Patrick find?
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Is it an asteroid?
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Nuclear war?
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How will the world end?
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Geryl believes on December 12, 2012
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a sleeping giant will awake.
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- The supervolcano will erupt
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and that will destroy
completely our civilization.
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- [Voiceover] There are at least seven
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known super volcanos on Earth.
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They contain massive
amounts of molten rock,
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which is trapped inside them
below the Earth's crust.
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The pressure builds
until finally it bursts.
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Exploding in a catastrophic eruption
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thousands of times more
powerful than a regular volcano.
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The last eruption occurred
over 70,000 years ago.
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Could one of these giants
be a threat to us now?
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Remarkably, the answer could be yes
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and it's underneath
Yellowstone National Park.
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Over two million tourists
visit Yellowstone every year.
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Little do they know that under the surface
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lies one of the deadliest
forces on the planet.
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Incredibly, this sleeping super volcano
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may be coming to life.
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In 2004, scientists detected the ground
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starting to bulge around Yellowstone.
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Soon after, over 1,000 mini earthquakes
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occurred there in just a few months.
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Some dismiss it,
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but others say it can only mean one thing.
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- The scientists that
are saying that, well,
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the rumbling at Yellowstone Park,
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that is normal, well, they don't know
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what the Maya knew.
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The rotation from the Earth will change.
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Once the inner core of the
Earth starts moving on its head,
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then the lava that is
around the inner core
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will be pushed also, very
sharply, to the crust
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and we will have an
eruption of the Yellowstone
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at the end of 2012.
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- [Voiceover] Did Patrick
Geryl unlock the Mayan secret?
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Is the Yellowstone super
volcano about to erupt?
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And could it mean the end of the world?
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Robert Vicino is an
entrepreneur and survivalist.
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He's not waiting to find out.
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- So you thought Mount St.
Helens was something to see,
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wait til you see Yellowstone go.
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- [Voiceover] In 2003, Robert
decided that there was only
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one way to survive the
blast of a supervolcano,
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by building volcano-proof
bunkers all over America.
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- It's a race against time
to get our shelters built.
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You could say it isn't so
and ignore the possibilities,
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but it's not going to make it go away.
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- [Voiceover] Made of concrete and steel,
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these self-contained bunkers
are buried underground.
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They can house up to 1,000 people
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and store enough food for a year.
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But who is going to use them?
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- We have about 10,000 members
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currently signed up
from all over the world.
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After the Japan quake, we had a spike.
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I think we received
6-700 people in one day.
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So, the awareness is going up, you know,
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as my prediction is, if we're
still here a year from now,
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in early 2012, we're going to have a line.
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People are going to be waiting in line
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begging to get in and it'll be too late.
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When I first mentioned it to people,
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they thought it was crazy.
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I found that the reactions
have changed in the last year
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and even more specifically
this year, 2011.
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Now they're really wanting to know,
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where is it and how big are they
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and how do we get in and
how much does it cost?
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Because I think people are
starting to realize it's coming
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and it may be coming sooner than we think.
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You know, something interesting,
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and I just heard this today,
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somebody advised me that, you know,
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the Mayan calander talks about the,
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or we believe it ends
on December 21, 2012,
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and a lot of people say,
well so what it ends,
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it's going to restart and
there's no proof of anything
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and that's not what they meant,
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That the world was going to end.
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What I heard this morning was,
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15 years ago, the common
interpretation of the calendar was
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that the, it would end
on December 24, 2011.
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So, it's closer than we think.
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- [Voiceover] Could Vicino and his friends
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someday be the only surviving
members of the human race?
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- If Yellowstone blows, you're looking
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at a life extinction event.
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The only parties that are going to survive
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are those that are underground.
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It could happen today.
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It could happen tomorrow.
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I think the Mayans knew something.
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How they knew, I don't know.
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Were they informed by some other culture?
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Did they know?
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Were they able to see into the future?
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Were they able to calculate the patterns
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of the solar system and the heavens
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to know when the alignments
are going to happen
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and when this happens that'll happen?
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Did they exist in the last
go around, 3,600 years ago,
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Or did somebody tell them?
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- [Voiceover] Does this survivalist
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know something we don't?
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Whatever the truth is,
he's taking no chances.
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- I don't know what inspired Noah,
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but I would imagine he was as passionate
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about what he was doing as I am.
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- [Voiceover] Are Robert
Vicino and Patrick Geryl
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simply prophets of doom
or could they be right?
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Will a supervolcano cause
the end of the world?
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Crazy isn't it?
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I mean, if you listen to
every doomsday prediction,
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prophecy or conspiracy theory
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you'd never leave the house, right?
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I mean, what is it with these people?
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Do they think that just because
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they say a giant volcano is gonna
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rip through this planet and wipe us out
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that we're gonna believe them?
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I don't believe a word they say.
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I'm just being careful.
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- [Voiceover] A man decoding
the text of the ancient Mayans
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uncovers an astonishing prophecy.
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Will a super volcano at
Yellowstone destroy our planet?
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Stanley Ambrose is an anthropologist.
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He thinks we have reason
to believe it might.
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- I suppose if you really
wanted to stay around
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in a place that was
struck by an apocalypse
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that would be a good idea.
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I'd rather move.
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- [Voiceover] A lifetime
spent studying supervolcanos
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has convinced Ambrose they
are a force to be feared.
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- If Yellowstone blows, it would
eject a huge amount of dust
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and gases up to 50 kilometers
into the stratosphere.
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We have to fear global famine.
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We can imagine complete
loss of crop production
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for decades to centuries.
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- [Voiceover] In 1980,
Mount St. Helens erupted
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in Washington State sending volcanic ash
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over 10 kilometers into the air.
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Ambrose thinks this massive eruption
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would be dwarfed by Yellowstone.
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Could humans survive this kind
of catastrophic explosion?
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We may know the answer
because it's already happened.
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- The volcanic eruption of Toba
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stands among the most explosive
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and largest in Earth history.
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- [Voiceover] Around 70,000 years ago
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a supervolcano exploded
at Toba in Indonesia.
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It was so powerful it left a
crater 100 kilometers long,
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still visible today.
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- Volcanic ash rained down over an area
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larger than the size of the United States.
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That's big.
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The Earth was surrounded
by this thick blanket
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of sulfuric acid haze.
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The sun weakened.
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Much solar energy was reflected
back into outer space.
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The landscape around the world
was basically devegetated.
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If you lived anywhere from Southeast Asia
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across to India and Pakistan,
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the land would have been covered
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with a very, very fine white dust.
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That's the volcanic ash
and it is really fine
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and it is really white and, like snow,
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it reflects sunlight off
of the land's surface.
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Unlike snow, it didn't melt.
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It had to be washed away by the rains,
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whenever the rains occurred
and that doesn't seem
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to have been very often.
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It's a global shock to the world's system,
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what I call a instant ice age.
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- [Voiceover] Before the eruption at Toba,
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the Earth was home to a
healthy population of humans.
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Ambrose believes we can judge our fate
256
00:14:16,544 --> 00:14:20,196
by looking at what happened to them.
257
00:14:20,196 --> 00:14:23,399
- The volcanic eruption
caused a population crash
258
00:14:23,399 --> 00:14:28,224
unlike any that had been seen
previously in human history
259
00:14:28,224 --> 00:14:31,022
and during the next 10,000 years,
260
00:14:31,022 --> 00:14:35,144
there were very few
archaeological traces of humans.
261
00:14:35,144 --> 00:14:36,670
- [Voiceover] Did a supervolcano
262
00:14:36,670 --> 00:14:40,268
take us to the brink of extinction?
263
00:14:40,268 --> 00:14:43,812
Could Yellowstone do the same now?
264
00:14:43,812 --> 00:14:47,027
- Everything within the
blast zone would be buried.
265
00:14:47,027 --> 00:14:51,446
There would probably be
general infrastructure failure.
266
00:14:51,446 --> 00:14:54,597
Agricultural production
would, of course, be hammered.
267
00:14:54,597 --> 00:14:58,004
The United States would
lose its entire green belt
268
00:14:58,004 --> 00:15:00,384
and if the whole world got cold,
269
00:15:00,384 --> 00:15:02,093
the way it did with Toba,
270
00:15:02,093 --> 00:15:04,793
then there would be few choices
271
00:15:04,793 --> 00:15:08,019
of where to go to get food.
272
00:15:08,019 --> 00:15:10,121
- [Voiceover] It's an alarming scenario.
273
00:15:10,121 --> 00:15:12,140
Should we heed the warning?
274
00:15:12,140 --> 00:15:15,919
Is the Yellowstone
supervolcano ready to blow?
275
00:15:15,919 --> 00:15:19,987
- Sometimes it's bulging up
like it's going to explode.
276
00:15:19,987 --> 00:15:23,169
Then these bulges go back down.
277
00:15:23,169 --> 00:15:27,055
One of these bulges coming up
is not going to go back down.
278
00:15:27,055 --> 00:15:29,692
The pressure just might
continue increasing.
279
00:15:29,692 --> 00:15:33,834
That's when it's time
to head for the hills.
280
00:15:33,834 --> 00:15:37,486
- [Voiceover] Could
Stanley Ambrose be right?
281
00:15:37,486 --> 00:15:39,546
Are billions of people in imminent danger
282
00:15:39,546 --> 00:15:41,505
of death by supervolcano?
283
00:15:44,629 --> 00:15:47,256
Jake Lowenstern is the chief scientist
284
00:15:47,256 --> 00:15:50,510
at the Yellowstone volcano observatory.
285
00:15:50,510 --> 00:15:52,304
- It's my job to worry about whether
286
00:15:52,304 --> 00:15:54,173
Yellowstone's going to erupt.
287
00:15:54,173 --> 00:15:57,974
- [Voiceover] Jake studied
the supervolcano's behavior.
288
00:15:57,974 --> 00:16:02,394
He believes it's not a
monster, but a pussycat.
289
00:16:02,394 --> 00:16:04,102
- People talk about the impending doom
290
00:16:04,102 --> 00:16:05,429
because they know there have been
291
00:16:05,429 --> 00:16:07,842
eruptions in Yellowstone's past.
292
00:16:07,842 --> 00:16:10,448
There have been very, very
large eruptions at Yellowstone.
293
00:16:10,448 --> 00:16:13,832
The size of eruptions that
people will call super eruptions.
294
00:16:13,832 --> 00:16:15,434
One of the things that you'll hear about
295
00:16:15,434 --> 00:16:16,971
when people talk about Yellowstone
296
00:16:16,971 --> 00:16:20,015
is somehow that it's overdue
and they throw out this number
297
00:16:20,015 --> 00:16:22,800
of 600,000 years for an interval
298
00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:24,637
between these large eruptions.
299
00:16:24,637 --> 00:16:29,409
Well that number is pretty
much taken out of nowhere.
300
00:16:29,409 --> 00:16:31,588
If you did the math on those two,
301
00:16:31,588 --> 00:16:34,214
those three big eruptions at Yellowstone
302
00:16:34,214 --> 00:16:36,030
that the number for the interval
303
00:16:36,030 --> 00:16:39,818
would be about 730,000 years.
304
00:16:39,818 --> 00:16:42,361
Of course, the last
eruption was 640,000 years.
305
00:16:42,361 --> 00:16:45,041
So, the number 600,000 is more appealing
306
00:16:45,041 --> 00:16:46,259
if you're trying to build the case
307
00:16:46,259 --> 00:16:48,340
that somehow it's overdue,
308
00:16:48,340 --> 00:16:50,869
but second of all, here
you're doing statistics
309
00:16:50,869 --> 00:16:53,272
based on a sample population of two.
310
00:16:53,272 --> 00:16:54,745
The interval between the first and second
311
00:16:54,745 --> 00:16:57,415
and the second and third
large eruption at Yellowstone.
312
00:16:57,415 --> 00:17:00,137
Sample population of two, not very big,
313
00:17:00,137 --> 00:17:03,394
not really statistically
meaningful to talk about
314
00:17:03,394 --> 00:17:06,691
how often big eruptions
occur at Yellowstone.
315
00:17:06,691 --> 00:17:08,294
And, finally, in terms of this,
316
00:17:08,294 --> 00:17:10,289
there's no guarantee that Yellowstone
317
00:17:10,289 --> 00:17:12,755
will have another one of
these super eruptions.
318
00:17:12,755 --> 00:17:14,399
Volcanoes have life cycles.
319
00:17:14,399 --> 00:17:17,656
They, they are born, they
live their lives, they die.
320
00:17:17,656 --> 00:17:19,642
There are very few places
that we can point to
321
00:17:19,642 --> 00:17:22,162
around the world that
have had more than three
322
00:17:22,162 --> 00:17:24,446
very large eruptions.
323
00:17:24,446 --> 00:17:28,930
There is a remote possibility
of those eruptions
324
00:17:28,930 --> 00:17:30,127
in the future.
325
00:17:30,127 --> 00:17:32,176
It's just a question of
whether the kind of activity
326
00:17:32,176 --> 00:17:34,611
we're seeing now actually forecast
327
00:17:34,611 --> 00:17:36,575
that anything is in the offing,
328
00:17:36,575 --> 00:17:40,002
but there's no reason
to expect a big eruption
329
00:17:40,002 --> 00:17:41,902
at Yellowstone within our lifetime
330
00:17:41,902 --> 00:17:44,881
which doesn't seem very worrying to me.
331
00:17:44,881 --> 00:17:47,230
- [Voiceover] Why is Jake so sure?
332
00:17:47,230 --> 00:17:49,590
He thinks there is something
the prophets of doom
333
00:17:49,590 --> 00:17:53,188
have overlooked.
334
00:17:53,188 --> 00:17:54,972
- Well, the way that
Yellowstone has erupted
335
00:17:54,972 --> 00:17:58,035
most of the time is through
these smaller lava flows,
336
00:17:58,035 --> 00:18:00,758
which are similar to those
that happen in Hawaii,
337
00:18:00,758 --> 00:18:04,024
which, as you can imagine would
be locally very interesting,
338
00:18:04,024 --> 00:18:08,491
but not an international problem.
339
00:18:10,525 --> 00:18:12,160
- [Voiceover] In the
last two million years,
340
00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:17,165
the Yellowstone supervolcano
has had three giant eruptions.
341
00:18:17,871 --> 00:18:22,876
Jake believes a crucial fact
is preventing another one.
342
00:18:23,497 --> 00:18:27,535
Yellowstone erupts all the
time, but on such a tiny scale.
343
00:18:27,535 --> 00:18:30,697
It produces nothing but
harmless flows of lava.
344
00:18:30,697 --> 00:18:32,484
- Lava flows can block roads.
345
00:18:32,484 --> 00:18:36,722
Forest fires might start, but
they sort of roll very slowly
346
00:18:36,722 --> 00:18:37,949
across the ground.
347
00:18:37,949 --> 00:18:40,523
You could generally out
run them very easily.
348
00:18:40,523 --> 00:18:43,406
So they're not very damaging events.
349
00:18:43,406 --> 00:18:45,669
- [Voiceover] Far from causing a disaster,
350
00:18:45,669 --> 00:18:48,712
Jake thinks these lava
flows are keeping a lid
351
00:18:48,712 --> 00:18:52,042
on the sleeping giant.
352
00:18:52,042 --> 00:18:54,382
- Any time that you're
having a volcanic eruption,
353
00:18:54,382 --> 00:18:57,222
you're removing pressure
on the magma chamber.
354
00:18:57,222 --> 00:18:59,507
It seems to be relatively common place
355
00:18:59,507 --> 00:19:02,592
for Yellowstone to have
this kind of activity.
356
00:19:02,592 --> 00:19:04,866
- [Voiceover] Are mini
eruptions at Yellowstone
357
00:19:04,866 --> 00:19:07,627
keeping us safe from the supervolcano?
358
00:19:09,321 --> 00:19:12,574
Do they explain its recent rumblings?
359
00:19:12,574 --> 00:19:17,176
- Around 2009-2010 we had
a couple earthquake swarms.
360
00:19:17,176 --> 00:19:20,922
In a swarm you have a number
of medium sized earthquakes
361
00:19:20,922 --> 00:19:23,283
and they happen all in
one particular location.
362
00:19:23,283 --> 00:19:27,002
They were among the larger
ones that we've had.
363
00:19:27,002 --> 00:19:30,468
- [Voiceover] But what caused the quakes?
364
00:19:30,468 --> 00:19:33,113
Scientists believe magma is flowing
365
00:19:33,113 --> 00:19:36,818
into the volcanic chamber
pushing up the crust.
366
00:19:36,818 --> 00:19:41,823
Is this a sign of an
impending giant eruption?
367
00:19:41,900 --> 00:19:44,827
- There was about 25
centimeters or 10 inches,
368
00:19:44,827 --> 00:19:47,869
something like this, of
uplift at Yellowstone.
369
00:19:47,869 --> 00:19:52,874
Between 1925 and 1975 it rose
about three times that amount.
370
00:19:53,089 --> 00:19:55,139
So that, that uplift doesn't in particular
371
00:19:55,139 --> 00:19:57,862
seem very worrying to me.
372
00:19:57,862 --> 00:19:59,336
The kinds of activity we're seeing
373
00:19:59,336 --> 00:20:01,503
are the kind of activity that clearly
374
00:20:01,503 --> 00:20:02,847
has been going on for hundreds
375
00:20:02,847 --> 00:20:04,907
and even thousands of years.
376
00:20:06,654 --> 00:20:08,352
- [Voiceover] Even if Jake is right,
377
00:20:08,352 --> 00:20:11,074
there's another burning question.
378
00:20:11,074 --> 00:20:15,045
Why are some people certain
the Yellowstone supervolcano
379
00:20:15,045 --> 00:20:17,850
will erupt in 2012?
380
00:20:20,140 --> 00:20:21,881
- I think there's a
subset of the population
381
00:20:21,881 --> 00:20:24,827
out there that just likes
to be scared in a way.
382
00:20:24,827 --> 00:20:26,462
They like to, to come up with things
383
00:20:26,462 --> 00:20:28,703
that, that kind of stir the pot,
384
00:20:28,703 --> 00:20:30,871
but there's no clock beneath volcanoes
385
00:20:30,871 --> 00:20:33,295
that tells them when to erupt.
386
00:20:33,295 --> 00:20:34,789
Based on the information
that we're seeing,
387
00:20:34,789 --> 00:20:36,530
there's no guarantee that Yellowstone
388
00:20:36,530 --> 00:20:39,614
will ever have another one
of these super eruptions.
389
00:20:42,364 --> 00:20:45,674
- [Voiceover] Were the
ancient Mayans right?
390
00:20:45,674 --> 00:20:48,716
WIll a supervolcano
wipe out the human race
391
00:20:48,716 --> 00:20:53,721
in the greatest mass
extinction since the big bang?
392
00:20:53,958 --> 00:20:56,777
Or is Yellowstone sleeping
giant nothing more
393
00:20:56,777 --> 00:20:59,841
than a harmless firecracker?
394
00:20:59,841 --> 00:21:02,440
Weird or what?
395
00:21:26,373 --> 00:21:31,378
- Everywhere you look our
planet is teeming with life.
396
00:21:31,413 --> 00:21:34,797
Whether a single celled amoeba, a snail,
397
00:21:34,797 --> 00:21:39,802
or incredibly complex
organisms and species like us,
398
00:21:40,424 --> 00:21:44,310
but all life forms on earth
have one thing in common.
399
00:21:44,310 --> 00:21:47,406
Our very existence depends upon,
400
00:21:47,406 --> 00:21:50,618
in fact, is at the
mercy of just one thing.
401
00:21:54,809 --> 00:21:59,814
If it's in trouble, then
there's trouble for all of us.
402
00:22:02,443 --> 00:22:03,959
- [Voiceover] They say you
shouldn't stare directly
403
00:22:03,959 --> 00:22:08,507
into the sun, but for over three decades
404
00:22:08,507 --> 00:22:10,654
NASA scientist, David Hathaway,
405
00:22:10,654 --> 00:22:14,208
has done exactly that.
406
00:22:14,208 --> 00:22:17,047
In 2005 he noticed something very strange.
407
00:22:20,973 --> 00:22:23,444
- It was a little
unexpected by many of us,
408
00:22:23,444 --> 00:22:25,916
myself included.
409
00:22:25,916 --> 00:22:28,273
- [Voiceover] Hathaway
was tracking sunspots
410
00:22:28,273 --> 00:22:31,294
in giant regions of
intense magnetic activity
411
00:22:31,294 --> 00:22:33,843
that occur on the surface of the sun.
412
00:22:37,095 --> 00:22:39,519
But the greatest danger to our planet
413
00:22:39,519 --> 00:22:42,402
is what explodes out of them.
414
00:22:42,402 --> 00:22:44,569
Solar flares.
415
00:22:44,569 --> 00:22:47,312
- Solar flares can blast
material off of the sun,
416
00:22:47,312 --> 00:22:50,131
million miles an hour.
417
00:22:50,131 --> 00:22:52,576
- [Voiceover] WIth a force
of 10 billion atomic bombs,
418
00:22:52,576 --> 00:22:55,213
solar flares catapult billions of tons
419
00:22:55,213 --> 00:22:58,864
of red hot plasma into space and sometimes
420
00:22:58,864 --> 00:23:02,623
directly at Earth.
421
00:23:02,623 --> 00:23:03,949
- When it strikes the Earth, can shake
422
00:23:03,949 --> 00:23:05,989
the Earth's magnetic field.
423
00:23:05,989 --> 00:23:07,836
Does some spectacular things like
424
00:23:07,836 --> 00:23:09,790
produce Aurora Borealis.
425
00:23:09,790 --> 00:23:12,981
It can also do things to our
technology in particular.
426
00:23:12,981 --> 00:23:15,298
Solar flares can cause
a satellite to de-orbit
427
00:23:15,298 --> 00:23:18,641
and ultimately re-enter the
Earth's atmosphere and burn up.
428
00:23:18,641 --> 00:23:21,892
So, you literally lose the satellite.
429
00:23:21,892 --> 00:23:24,198
- [Voiceover] Solar
flares and sunspots occur
430
00:23:24,198 --> 00:23:27,305
in regular cycles, but in 2008
431
00:23:27,305 --> 00:23:31,822
Hathaway discovered something remarkable.
432
00:23:31,822 --> 00:23:36,827
Suddenly, they appeared
to mysteriously stop.
433
00:23:38,836 --> 00:23:40,117
- We're seeing a sunspot cycle,
434
00:23:40,117 --> 00:23:43,277
the smallest we've seen
in at least 100 years
435
00:23:43,277 --> 00:23:45,113
or perhaps 200 years.
436
00:23:45,113 --> 00:23:48,637
We didn't see sunspots for
literally months at a time.
437
00:23:48,637 --> 00:23:51,884
That had us a little surprised.
438
00:23:51,884 --> 00:23:53,068
- [Voiceover] Some scientists believe
439
00:23:53,068 --> 00:23:56,164
the change in the sunspot
cycles is the calm
440
00:23:56,164 --> 00:23:59,355
before an unprecedented solar storm.
441
00:23:59,355 --> 00:24:02,474
A wave of solar flares so destructive
442
00:24:02,474 --> 00:24:05,505
scientists call it Space Katrina.
443
00:24:09,311 --> 00:24:14,159
But now other ominous
signs suggest the sun
444
00:24:14,159 --> 00:24:17,425
could be waking from its deep slumber.
445
00:24:17,425 --> 00:24:19,102
- We've gone from no sunspots to
446
00:24:19,102 --> 00:24:22,284
20 or 30 sunspots on the
sun on a given day now.
447
00:24:22,284 --> 00:24:26,830
We've also seen the
number of flares increase.
448
00:24:26,830 --> 00:24:28,956
- [Voiceover] Is there
something wrong with the star
449
00:24:28,956 --> 00:24:32,617
that gives life to all things on Earth?
450
00:24:32,617 --> 00:24:34,122
- We've had some fairly wild predictions.
451
00:24:34,122 --> 00:24:35,285
You've gotta go way back.
452
00:24:35,285 --> 00:24:37,603
You've gotta go back to the 1600s
453
00:24:37,603 --> 00:24:40,849
to find the sun misbehaving or acting
454
00:24:40,849 --> 00:24:43,871
as weirdly as it is now.
455
00:24:43,871 --> 00:24:46,091
- [Voiceover] Is our
sun preparing to launch
456
00:24:46,091 --> 00:24:51,096
the biggest solar storm in history?
457
00:24:51,215 --> 00:24:55,059
A NASA scientist discovers
strange activity in solar flares
458
00:24:55,059 --> 00:24:57,386
on the surface of the sun.
459
00:24:57,386 --> 00:25:00,846
Could a giant solar
storm be coming our way?
460
00:25:00,846 --> 00:25:03,472
Or is there another explanation
461
00:25:03,472 --> 00:25:05,442
for the sun's weird behavior?
462
00:25:09,036 --> 00:25:11,487
Nassim Haramein is a scientist.
463
00:25:13,862 --> 00:25:17,109
He believes he has the answer.
464
00:25:17,109 --> 00:25:19,949
In 2009 he made a remarkable discovery
465
00:25:19,949 --> 00:25:23,520
when viewing images taken
by a NASA satellite.
466
00:25:25,477 --> 00:25:28,402
- What I noticed is when
I was looking at this,
467
00:25:28,402 --> 00:25:31,766
first of all, we see two objects appear.
468
00:25:31,766 --> 00:25:34,148
Those two objects seem
to have moved together
469
00:25:34,148 --> 00:25:36,410
and have moved across the frame.
470
00:25:36,410 --> 00:25:41,415
What's strange about
this particular sequence
471
00:25:41,717 --> 00:25:44,780
is that when you follow this object,
472
00:25:44,780 --> 00:25:49,179
they made almost a 90 degree angle turn
473
00:25:49,179 --> 00:25:52,468
and then entering the sun.
474
00:25:52,468 --> 00:25:56,386
- [Voiceover] NASA claimed
the objects were simply comets
475
00:25:56,386 --> 00:26:01,139
or glitches, but when Nassim
studied them more closely,
476
00:26:01,139 --> 00:26:04,299
he came to an amazing conclusion.
477
00:26:04,299 --> 00:26:05,869
- And when I started to see these objects,
478
00:26:05,869 --> 00:26:08,069
I couldn't believe my eyes.
479
00:26:08,069 --> 00:26:10,332
They were immense.
480
00:26:10,332 --> 00:26:13,109
I mean, they only look like
little dots on the data,
481
00:26:13,109 --> 00:26:15,937
but that little dot beside the sun
482
00:26:15,937 --> 00:26:19,110
mean that object is almost
the size of the Earth.
483
00:26:21,259 --> 00:26:26,264
- [Voiceover] Planet sized
objects entering the sun.
484
00:26:26,374 --> 00:26:28,595
Had Nassim found something extraordinary
485
00:26:28,595 --> 00:26:31,477
that even NASA had missed?
486
00:26:31,477 --> 00:26:34,498
He thinks there's only one explanation.
487
00:26:34,498 --> 00:26:39,143
- I believe these objects
may be intergalactic ships
488
00:26:39,143 --> 00:26:41,481
from advanced civilization.
489
00:26:41,481 --> 00:26:45,473
They appear to be under
intelligent control.
490
00:26:45,473 --> 00:26:50,478
They don't appear to act in a natural way
491
00:26:50,975 --> 00:26:55,118
that you would expect
from cosmological objects
492
00:26:55,118 --> 00:26:59,784
like comets and meteorites and so on.
493
00:26:59,784 --> 00:27:02,400
It may sound completely outrageous,
494
00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:07,226
but imagine a civilization
that's like thousands
495
00:27:07,226 --> 00:27:09,948
if not millions of years ahead of us.
496
00:27:09,948 --> 00:27:14,953
Look at what we did in 150
years of advanced technology.
497
00:27:15,276 --> 00:27:18,457
We went from like
literally horse and buggy
498
00:27:18,457 --> 00:27:21,255
to having rockets that
are going to the moon
499
00:27:21,255 --> 00:27:24,618
and a space shuttle and space stations
500
00:27:24,618 --> 00:27:26,946
and all this in 150 years.
501
00:27:26,946 --> 00:27:29,444
Imagine if we had a thousand years
502
00:27:29,444 --> 00:27:32,006
of advancements in technology or
503
00:27:32,006 --> 00:27:33,907
a million years in advancement.
504
00:27:33,907 --> 00:27:36,437
What would our ships look like?
505
00:27:36,437 --> 00:27:39,758
Well, they might be the size of planets.
506
00:27:39,758 --> 00:27:43,515
- [Voiceover] Could this
explain the sun's odd behavior?
507
00:27:43,515 --> 00:27:46,687
Are changes in its sunspot
and solar flare activity
508
00:27:46,687 --> 00:27:49,805
being caused by alien ships?
509
00:27:49,805 --> 00:27:54,352
- The solar flare appears
to emanate right after
510
00:27:54,352 --> 00:27:58,954
the objects impact the sun.
511
00:27:58,954 --> 00:28:03,075
To me, clear that the two
are absolutely related
512
00:28:03,075 --> 00:28:06,285
and the sun flare is
most likely the shockwave
513
00:28:06,285 --> 00:28:09,681
resulting from the
penetration of the objects
514
00:28:09,681 --> 00:28:14,251
through the surface of the sun.
515
00:28:14,251 --> 00:28:16,514
- [Voiceover] Alien spacecraft
516
00:28:16,514 --> 00:28:19,974
deliberately crashing into the sun.
517
00:28:19,974 --> 00:28:24,298
It's an incredible theory,
but why would they do it?
518
00:28:24,298 --> 00:28:27,265
According to Nassim, the answer lies
519
00:28:27,265 --> 00:28:32,270
in the astronomical records
of the ancient Egyptians.
520
00:28:32,291 --> 00:28:36,199
- When I looked at all
the data around the world
521
00:28:36,199 --> 00:28:38,057
from all these civilization they
522
00:28:38,057 --> 00:28:40,266
all talked about the sun gods.
523
00:28:40,266 --> 00:28:42,829
When you looked at these texts
524
00:28:42,829 --> 00:28:44,431
and the way they described them.
525
00:28:44,431 --> 00:28:49,436
They talked about the sun gods
using the sun as a gateway.
526
00:28:49,791 --> 00:28:51,573
If you were an advanced civilization
527
00:28:51,573 --> 00:28:54,979
and here I'm talking about a
very advanced civilization,
528
00:28:54,979 --> 00:28:58,920
you could maybe enter and then come out
529
00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:03,264
at any other point in the universe.
530
00:29:03,264 --> 00:29:07,129
To me, after all these
years, it has really become,
531
00:29:07,129 --> 00:29:11,175
you know, a fact of
life and I'm, you know,
532
00:29:11,175 --> 00:29:13,953
not surprised anymore
when people come up to me
533
00:29:13,953 --> 00:29:17,677
and say, you know, when I
was 10 I saw this object
534
00:29:17,677 --> 00:29:21,564
in the sky or, you know, a few months ago
535
00:29:21,564 --> 00:29:24,702
I saw this amazing, you know, object
536
00:29:24,702 --> 00:29:27,308
that could not be a
plane and all this stuff.
537
00:29:27,308 --> 00:29:31,269
You know, it's becoming, it's so common.
538
00:29:31,269 --> 00:29:33,512
So many people have seen it
539
00:29:33,512 --> 00:29:36,638
and now there is governments
540
00:29:36,638 --> 00:29:41,643
that are releasing files
from the military facilities
541
00:29:42,778 --> 00:29:46,985
from extremely credible,
you know, sources.
542
00:29:46,985 --> 00:29:51,157
You're talking, generals
and all sorts of high level
543
00:29:51,157 --> 00:29:53,090
military personnel coming forward
544
00:29:53,090 --> 00:29:56,453
talking about this
activity around the world.
545
00:29:56,453 --> 00:30:00,776
There is true phenomenon occurring
546
00:30:00,776 --> 00:30:04,024
that has to do with UFO activity
547
00:30:04,024 --> 00:30:05,741
and extraterrestrial activity.
548
00:30:05,741 --> 00:30:09,307
Supporting this idea
that maybe the sun gods
549
00:30:09,307 --> 00:30:10,980
are on their way back.
550
00:30:12,691 --> 00:30:16,140
- [Voiceover] Is our sun part
of an intergalactic highway
551
00:30:16,140 --> 00:30:18,937
being used by alien traffic?
552
00:30:18,937 --> 00:30:22,748
Are they responsible for
disrupting its natural cycles
553
00:30:22,748 --> 00:30:26,549
and threatening the Earth?
554
00:30:26,549 --> 00:30:28,888
- Now we did some pretty strange
things on the Enterprise,
555
00:30:28,888 --> 00:30:31,813
but this is weird or what, I,
556
00:30:31,813 --> 00:30:33,617
let me see if I got this straight.
557
00:30:33,617 --> 00:30:37,995
NASA scientists say our
sun's sunspot cycles
558
00:30:37,995 --> 00:30:40,397
are behaving weirdly and this could cause
559
00:30:40,397 --> 00:30:45,266
a giant killer solar flare
to head towards Earth, right?
560
00:30:45,266 --> 00:30:46,910
While another guy, Nassim, thinks that
561
00:30:46,910 --> 00:30:51,915
there's something else
causing these solar flares.
562
00:30:52,110 --> 00:30:57,115
He thinks aliens and spaceships
the size of the Earth
563
00:31:00,341 --> 00:31:05,346
are crashing in and out
of the sun wreaking havoc.
564
00:31:06,725 --> 00:31:10,388
Nassim's theory seems crazy, right?
565
00:31:10,388 --> 00:31:12,005
Or is it?
566
00:31:15,075 --> 00:31:18,054
- [Voiceover] Our sun is
acting like an odd ball.
567
00:31:18,054 --> 00:31:23,059
Are it's natural cycles being
disrupted by giant UFOs?
568
00:31:24,022 --> 00:31:29,027
Is a fatal solar storm
on its way to Earth?
569
00:31:29,392 --> 00:31:31,315
NASA researcher, David Hathaway,
570
00:31:31,315 --> 00:31:35,755
has an explanation that's
far more down to earth.
571
00:31:35,755 --> 00:31:38,798
He thinks we have nothing to worry about.
572
00:31:38,798 --> 00:31:43,464
- This recent sunspot cycle
has started later than expected
573
00:31:43,464 --> 00:31:46,763
and I think I understand it.
574
00:31:46,763 --> 00:31:49,730
The sunspot cycle is
caused by magnetic fields,
575
00:31:49,730 --> 00:31:52,273
those magnetic fields
that make the sunspots
576
00:31:52,273 --> 00:31:54,706
and we've known for
decades that it's the flows
577
00:31:54,706 --> 00:31:57,312
within the sun that take
those magnetic fields,
578
00:31:57,312 --> 00:32:01,273
amplify them and produce
sunspots every 11 years,
579
00:32:01,273 --> 00:32:03,142
but the devil is in the details.
580
00:32:03,142 --> 00:32:07,060
Exactly what flows are there
inside the sun that do this?
581
00:32:07,060 --> 00:32:08,982
What are the structure of those flows?
582
00:32:08,982 --> 00:32:11,106
And we're getting a better handle on that,
583
00:32:11,106 --> 00:32:13,924
but we're still not quite there yet
584
00:32:13,924 --> 00:32:16,871
that we still really haven't got a model
585
00:32:16,871 --> 00:32:19,892
for how the sun does this
where we can take the equations
586
00:32:19,892 --> 00:32:21,494
and march them forward in time
587
00:32:21,494 --> 00:32:23,075
the way meteorologists might do with
588
00:32:23,075 --> 00:32:28,080
the equations for flows
in the Earth's atmosphere.
589
00:32:29,662 --> 00:32:31,722
- [Voiceover] The sun's magnetic fields
590
00:32:31,722 --> 00:32:33,179
violently swirl around the surface
591
00:32:33,179 --> 00:32:37,578
like powerful ocean currents.
592
00:32:37,578 --> 00:32:40,545
They produce sunspots and solar flares
593
00:32:40,545 --> 00:32:44,240
until finally something bizarre happens.
594
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:47,112
- The sun's magnetic field flips.
595
00:32:47,112 --> 00:32:48,948
- [Voiceover] Every 11 years the sun's
596
00:32:48,948 --> 00:32:52,472
magnetic poles do a back flip.
597
00:32:52,472 --> 00:32:55,035
Scientists believe this
causes a dramatic decrease
598
00:32:55,035 --> 00:32:58,557
in sunspot and solar flare activity,
599
00:32:58,557 --> 00:33:02,220
but does it threaten us now?
600
00:33:02,220 --> 00:33:04,544
- We had weak magnetic fields produced
601
00:33:04,544 --> 00:33:08,132
on the surface of the sun
during the last sunspot cycle.
602
00:33:08,132 --> 00:33:10,438
Because they were weak, we'll survive this
603
00:33:10,438 --> 00:33:13,257
without any major inconvenience.
604
00:33:13,257 --> 00:33:15,541
The end of the worlders almost
certainly have it wrong.
605
00:33:15,541 --> 00:33:18,744
The timing's just way off.
606
00:33:18,744 --> 00:33:20,644
- [Voiceover] We may
be safe for the moment,
607
00:33:20,644 --> 00:33:25,044
but could a mega solar
storm hit us in the future?
608
00:33:25,044 --> 00:33:29,773
And what would happen if it did?
609
00:33:29,773 --> 00:33:34,439
Lawrence Joseph is a science journalist.
610
00:33:34,439 --> 00:33:37,162
- If a solar storm hit
today, it would knock us out,
611
00:33:37,162 --> 00:33:38,902
would knock civilization to its knees
612
00:33:38,902 --> 00:33:42,007
without any exaggeration.
613
00:33:42,007 --> 00:33:43,887
- [Voiceover] How?
614
00:33:43,887 --> 00:33:46,724
An historical event
could provide the answer.
615
00:33:49,013 --> 00:33:53,485
On September 1, 1859, British astronomer,
616
00:33:53,485 --> 00:33:56,709
Richard Carrington, was
looking through his telescope
617
00:33:56,709 --> 00:34:01,612
when a giant solar flare
exploded onto the Earth.
618
00:34:05,645 --> 00:34:07,363
- It caused the northern lights to dance
619
00:34:07,363 --> 00:34:08,366
down to the Equator.
620
00:34:08,366 --> 00:34:10,267
You could read a book at midnight outside
621
00:34:10,267 --> 00:34:13,609
because of the incredible radiation.
622
00:34:13,609 --> 00:34:15,274
The Carrington event caused some fires
623
00:34:15,274 --> 00:34:17,516
in telegraph offices and
caused some disruption.
624
00:34:17,516 --> 00:34:22,086
Basically it didn't inflict great damage.
625
00:34:22,086 --> 00:34:26,695
- [Voiceover] Why didn't this
massive flare destroy us?
626
00:34:26,695 --> 00:34:29,021
- There was no power grid
holding society together.
627
00:34:29,021 --> 00:34:30,036
There was no telecom.
628
00:34:30,036 --> 00:34:31,979
There was none of the
things that we've come
629
00:34:31,979 --> 00:34:36,283
to rely upon existed back then.
630
00:34:36,283 --> 00:34:37,265
- [Voiceover] Joseph believes that
631
00:34:37,265 --> 00:34:39,092
if a similar solar flare hit us today,
632
00:34:39,092 --> 00:34:43,386
our massive reliance on
electricity would be our downfall.
633
00:34:47,374 --> 00:34:51,815
- We're talking a blackout that
could last months or years,
634
00:34:51,815 --> 00:34:55,862
could cover half to
two-thirds of the continent.
635
00:34:55,862 --> 00:35:00,145
After a month, I can't really see anything
636
00:35:00,145 --> 00:35:03,411
but anarchy or the beginning of it.
637
00:35:03,411 --> 00:35:05,109
It's the paradox of progress, I call it.
638
00:35:05,109 --> 00:35:07,617
We have become more
vulnerable to these storms
639
00:35:07,617 --> 00:35:10,526
and the storms are headed our way.
640
00:35:10,526 --> 00:35:14,092
The shields are down, Scotty.
641
00:35:14,092 --> 00:35:17,038
- [Voiceover] In 1989, a small solar flare
642
00:35:17,038 --> 00:35:19,537
knocked out the Quebec power grid
643
00:35:19,537 --> 00:35:21,801
and left six million people without power
644
00:35:21,801 --> 00:35:24,961
in the dead of winter.
645
00:35:24,961 --> 00:35:28,346
Joseph believes a giant
flare would destroy
646
00:35:28,346 --> 00:35:31,986
every power grid on the planet.
647
00:35:31,986 --> 00:35:35,414
No electricity means no food.
648
00:35:35,414 --> 00:35:37,218
- I'm damn concerned.
649
00:35:37,218 --> 00:35:40,400
People would really begin
to die off in large numbers.
650
00:35:40,400 --> 00:35:41,862
So, what are you gonna do?
651
00:35:41,862 --> 00:35:43,901
We don't know, I mean, people
are gonna head for the hills.
652
00:35:43,901 --> 00:35:45,139
What are you gonna do in the hills?
653
00:35:45,139 --> 00:35:46,624
I don't know what to do in the hills.
654
00:35:46,624 --> 00:35:48,940
Most people don't.
655
00:35:48,940 --> 00:35:51,247
- [Voiceover] Have our
advances in technology
656
00:35:51,247 --> 00:35:56,252
made us vulnerable to a super solar storm?
657
00:35:56,415 --> 00:36:00,578
Is the sun's mysterious behavior, natural
658
00:36:00,578 --> 00:36:04,305
or are aliens to blame?
659
00:36:04,305 --> 00:36:07,374
Weird or what?
660
00:36:27,812 --> 00:36:32,393
A world renowned inventor makes
an astonishing prediction.
661
00:36:32,393 --> 00:36:33,716
- 20 years from now computers will
662
00:36:33,716 --> 00:36:36,716
be operating fully at human levels.
663
00:36:36,716 --> 00:36:40,058
- [Voiceover] Are we facing an
uprising of killer machines?
664
00:36:40,058 --> 00:36:44,244
Could the terminator be real?
665
00:36:44,244 --> 00:36:46,570
- It's incredible isn't it?
666
00:36:46,570 --> 00:36:49,594
If we were to believe
the ancient prophecies
667
00:36:49,594 --> 00:36:52,295
or our modern day doomsday theorists,
668
00:36:52,295 --> 00:36:55,069
or even some of our best scientists,
669
00:36:55,069 --> 00:36:57,995
that not only is the end of
the world going to happen,
670
00:36:57,995 --> 00:37:03,000
but there's lots of ways
that nature could destroy us
671
00:37:04,123 --> 00:37:05,906
and none of them are nice,
672
00:37:10,438 --> 00:37:11,900
but what if they're all wrong.
673
00:37:11,900 --> 00:37:14,825
What if the thing that will wipe us out
674
00:37:14,825 --> 00:37:18,563
has nothing to do with
volcanoes or solar storms
675
00:37:18,563 --> 00:37:23,568
or what if there's something
aside from nuclear weapons,
676
00:37:24,093 --> 00:37:29,098
of course, that we've created
that's an even bigger threat?
677
00:37:33,937 --> 00:37:37,404
Weird or what?
678
00:37:40,216 --> 00:37:42,096
- [Voiceover] In 1984
Hollywood gave the world
679
00:37:42,096 --> 00:37:44,880
a futuristic science fiction blockbuster.
680
00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:49,885
The story of a cyborg assassin
sent back in time from 2029.
681
00:37:50,325 --> 00:37:54,083
The Termniator posed
a remarkable question.
682
00:37:54,083 --> 00:37:58,333
Could robots take over and destroy us?
683
00:37:58,333 --> 00:38:02,143
Nearly three decades later,
we may have the answer.
684
00:38:04,746 --> 00:38:09,262
Ray Kurzweil is a world
renowned inventor and futurist.
685
00:38:09,262 --> 00:38:12,252
He believes science
fiction will become reality
686
00:38:12,252 --> 00:38:14,750
sooner than we think.
687
00:38:14,750 --> 00:38:17,056
- In the last 15 years,
we've seen millions-fold
688
00:38:17,056 --> 00:38:20,516
improvement in the power of computers
689
00:38:20,516 --> 00:38:23,301
and this is not just an idle
speculation about the future,
690
00:38:23,301 --> 00:38:24,999
that's what we've seen.
691
00:38:24,999 --> 00:38:27,103
20 years from now
computers will be operating
692
00:38:27,103 --> 00:38:29,729
fully at human levels.
693
00:38:29,729 --> 00:38:30,989
- [Voiceover] It's an extraordinary theory
694
00:38:30,989 --> 00:38:33,509
based on an extraordinary fact.
695
00:38:33,509 --> 00:38:37,032
Today's computers are 100
billion times more powerful
696
00:38:37,032 --> 00:38:42,037
than they were a century ago
and their power is growing.
697
00:38:42,894 --> 00:38:47,217
Kurzweil believes they
are rapidly catching us.
698
00:38:47,217 --> 00:38:51,567
- Computers already exceed
humans at logical thinking,
699
00:38:51,567 --> 00:38:52,971
like playing games.
700
00:38:52,971 --> 00:38:55,576
There are robotic cars with
artificial intelligence
701
00:38:55,576 --> 00:38:58,046
that are driving without human drivers.
702
00:38:58,046 --> 00:39:00,382
A computer today can look
at an electrocardiogram
703
00:39:00,382 --> 00:39:02,762
and diagnose it with
the accuracy of doctors
704
00:39:02,762 --> 00:39:04,364
and that's something that wasn't feasible
705
00:39:04,364 --> 00:39:06,050
even a couple of years ago.
706
00:39:06,050 --> 00:39:09,425
So, things are moving
more and more quickly.
707
00:39:09,425 --> 00:39:14,076
- [Voiceover] Are we experiencing
the rise of the machines?
708
00:39:14,076 --> 00:39:17,845
Are our PCs more than
simply harmless pieces
709
00:39:17,845 --> 00:39:20,001
of plastic and metal?
710
00:39:20,001 --> 00:39:21,763
- They'll continue to grow exponentially
711
00:39:21,763 --> 00:39:23,525
in the basic hardware power,
712
00:39:23,525 --> 00:39:25,991
more than doubling in power every year.
713
00:39:25,991 --> 00:39:27,550
We'll get to human levels of intelligence
714
00:39:27,550 --> 00:39:32,493
in a machine by my estimates around 2029.
715
00:39:32,493 --> 00:39:32,773
- [Voiceover] Wait a minute.
716
00:39:32,773 --> 00:39:34,801
What did he say?
717
00:39:34,801 --> 00:39:36,777
- We'll get to human
levels of intelligence
718
00:39:36,777 --> 00:39:41,782
in a machine by my estimates around 2029.
719
00:39:42,185 --> 00:39:45,168
- [Voiceover] 2029 is the year
720
00:39:45,168 --> 00:39:48,227
from which the Terminator made its return.
721
00:39:48,227 --> 00:39:51,612
Will machines equal, then
surpass our brain power
722
00:39:51,612 --> 00:39:53,449
in just 20 years?
723
00:39:53,449 --> 00:39:58,454
Incredibly, Kurzweil
believes it won't end there.
724
00:39:58,936 --> 00:40:02,343
- By my calculations, when
we get to around 2045,
725
00:40:02,343 --> 00:40:04,585
we will have multiplied the intelligence
726
00:40:04,585 --> 00:40:08,406
of our human-machine
civilization a billion-fold
727
00:40:08,406 --> 00:40:12,485
by merging with this intelligent
technology we're creating.
728
00:40:12,485 --> 00:40:16,232
That will be such a profound,
singular transformation
729
00:40:16,232 --> 00:40:21,237
when we can actually vastly
multiply our own intelligence.
730
00:40:22,232 --> 00:40:25,724
- [Voiceover] Will man and machine merge
731
00:40:25,724 --> 00:40:27,923
before the middle of this century
732
00:40:27,923 --> 00:40:31,361
and if so, what does it mean for us?
733
00:40:31,361 --> 00:40:36,112
- It's not an invasion, you
know, from another planet.
734
00:40:36,112 --> 00:40:37,555
And people say, oh
we'll lose our humanity.
735
00:40:37,555 --> 00:40:40,437
In my mind, that is our humanity.
736
00:40:40,437 --> 00:40:42,220
That's part of who we are.
737
00:40:42,220 --> 00:40:44,398
Our computers, our technology is part of
738
00:40:44,398 --> 00:40:46,641
the human civilization.
739
00:40:46,641 --> 00:40:50,473
So, we will transcend our
biology not our humanity.
740
00:40:50,473 --> 00:40:54,531
I believe we will embody our
human values in these machines.
741
00:40:54,531 --> 00:40:57,851
They are part of human
civilization already.
742
00:40:57,851 --> 00:40:59,635
I don't like the term transhumanism
743
00:40:59,635 --> 00:41:02,164
because it implies that we're
gonna transcend our humanity.
744
00:41:02,164 --> 00:41:04,738
I think the goal, anyway,
is to keep our humanity
745
00:41:04,738 --> 00:41:08,047
and transcend the
limitations of our biology
746
00:41:08,047 --> 00:41:09,467
and that's not a new story.
747
00:41:09,467 --> 00:41:11,854
If we hadn't done that,
human life expectancy
748
00:41:11,854 --> 00:41:15,576
would still be 23, which is
what it was 1,000 years ago.
749
00:41:17,750 --> 00:41:18,967
- [Voiceover] Could our world end
750
00:41:18,967 --> 00:41:22,693
not by natural disaster,
but with humankind
751
00:41:22,693 --> 00:41:24,613
simply becoming obsolete?
752
00:41:28,747 --> 00:41:31,106
John Leslie is a professor of philosophy
753
00:41:31,106 --> 00:41:34,933
at the University of Guelph in Canada.
754
00:41:34,933 --> 00:41:39,276
- It could be in the next 20-30 years
755
00:41:39,276 --> 00:41:43,099
we have computers which are
more intelligent than humans
756
00:41:43,099 --> 00:41:47,039
and which take over,
control over our lives
757
00:41:47,039 --> 00:41:49,382
and there's an obvious possibility there
758
00:41:49,382 --> 00:41:51,773
that things could go badly wrong.
759
00:41:51,773 --> 00:41:52,506
- [Voiceover] John believes that
760
00:41:52,506 --> 00:41:55,141
far from advancing humanity,
761
00:41:55,141 --> 00:41:59,699
creating uber intelligent
robots and computers
762
00:41:59,699 --> 00:42:01,896
could backfire on all of us.
763
00:42:05,415 --> 00:42:07,976
- If robots became super intelligent,
764
00:42:07,976 --> 00:42:11,008
they could well have very little
interest in the human race.
765
00:42:11,008 --> 00:42:13,763
They could think of
themselves as superior humans
766
00:42:13,763 --> 00:42:16,817
and look on us in the same
way as we look on ants.
767
00:42:18,884 --> 00:42:20,325
And a machine could come to the answer,
768
00:42:20,325 --> 00:42:22,770
let's get rid of biological humans
769
00:42:22,770 --> 00:42:26,636
and put machines in place of them.
770
00:42:26,636 --> 00:42:29,795
- [Voiceover] Are the machines
we created gonna turn on us
771
00:42:29,795 --> 00:42:32,453
and take over our planet?
772
00:42:32,453 --> 00:42:36,041
Is Hollywood right?
773
00:42:36,041 --> 00:42:38,187
- You have to remember that
the science fiction of today
774
00:42:38,187 --> 00:42:41,974
quite often turns out to be
the science fact of tomorrow.
775
00:42:45,332 --> 00:42:46,753
- [Voiceover] According to John,
776
00:42:46,753 --> 00:42:48,717
it's not only Terminators that pose
777
00:42:48,717 --> 00:42:53,340
a very real threat to our survival.
778
00:42:53,340 --> 00:42:54,535
- In fact, one of the dangers here
779
00:42:54,535 --> 00:42:56,661
is that it may be that computers
780
00:42:56,661 --> 00:43:01,666
are in charge of the system
which controls the good ones.
781
00:43:01,690 --> 00:43:03,932
We simply don't know to what extent
782
00:43:03,932 --> 00:43:07,267
they are in charge of
the destructive forces.
783
00:43:09,120 --> 00:43:10,668
- [Voiceover] Could a machine
784
00:43:10,668 --> 00:43:13,997
deliberately trigger a nuclear Holocaust?
785
00:43:13,997 --> 00:43:17,040
It's a terrifying scenario,
786
00:43:17,040 --> 00:43:20,681
but Leslie has an even
more frightening theory.
787
00:43:20,681 --> 00:43:23,243
The ultimate threat to the human race
788
00:43:23,243 --> 00:43:26,788
is already in our homes.
789
00:43:26,788 --> 00:43:28,671
- You could argue that the Internet is,
790
00:43:28,671 --> 00:43:32,928
at present, a gigantic computer
791
00:43:32,928 --> 00:43:35,790
and that it's intelligence so far exceeds
792
00:43:35,790 --> 00:43:38,235
the intelligence of any individual human.
793
00:43:38,235 --> 00:43:39,555
Suddenly, the amount of knowledge
794
00:43:39,555 --> 00:43:42,065
you can get very, very
rapidly on the Internet
795
00:43:42,065 --> 00:43:44,008
is much bigger than you could get by
796
00:43:44,008 --> 00:43:47,403
consulting the greatest memory experts.
797
00:43:47,403 --> 00:43:51,375
I believe that the future of the Internet
798
00:43:51,375 --> 00:43:54,877
is pretty certainly going to push it
799
00:43:54,877 --> 00:43:58,613
in the direction of more
and more intelligence.
800
00:43:58,613 --> 00:44:00,258
- [Voiceover] Every day
over two billion people
801
00:44:00,258 --> 00:44:03,065
log on to the Internet.
802
00:44:03,065 --> 00:44:06,686
It connects most of the world's
computers and databases,
803
00:44:06,686 --> 00:44:08,734
moving information around the planet.
804
00:44:11,804 --> 00:44:13,801
John believes the Internet could evolve
805
00:44:13,801 --> 00:44:17,409
into a central brain that
leads a cybernetic revolt
806
00:44:17,409 --> 00:44:19,972
against mankind.
807
00:44:19,972 --> 00:44:22,737
- It could become immensely intelligent
808
00:44:22,737 --> 00:44:26,880
and become their form what
takes over world governments
809
00:44:26,880 --> 00:44:29,955
and possibly then decides that humans
810
00:44:29,955 --> 00:44:32,100
are irrelevant and gets rid of them.
811
00:44:32,100 --> 00:44:34,229
That's just one way in which we could
812
00:44:34,229 --> 00:44:37,784
be annihilated almost immediately.
813
00:44:37,784 --> 00:44:39,310
- [Voiceover] Will robots blow us up
814
00:44:39,310 --> 00:44:42,193
with our own nuclear weapons?
815
00:44:42,193 --> 00:44:46,218
Is the Internet going to destroy us?
816
00:44:46,218 --> 00:44:49,660
Will man be enslaved by machines?
817
00:44:54,181 --> 00:44:56,606
- You know, I never thought
machines were that smart.
818
00:44:56,606 --> 00:44:57,733
I mean, most of the gadgets I have
819
00:44:57,733 --> 00:45:00,978
are incapable of doing
anything useful at all,
820
00:45:00,978 --> 00:45:02,494
let alone reciting Shakespear,
821
00:45:02,494 --> 00:45:06,700
but if we believe what some of the world's
822
00:45:06,700 --> 00:45:10,064
greatest minds are telling
us these things we've created
823
00:45:10,064 --> 00:45:13,246
are going to take us over,
blow us up with our own weapons
824
00:45:13,246 --> 00:45:15,808
and enslave us for the rest of time.
825
00:45:15,808 --> 00:45:20,034
Could that, could that be possible?
826
00:45:20,034 --> 00:45:22,635
Not today, my friends!
827
00:45:26,389 --> 00:45:27,723
- [Voiceover] Leading
scientists believe machines
828
00:45:27,723 --> 00:45:29,848
are becoming so intelligent
829
00:45:29,848 --> 00:45:33,616
that they'll overtake humans by 2050.
830
00:45:33,616 --> 00:45:37,237
Will they become Terminators
and annihilate us?
831
00:45:41,312 --> 00:45:44,033
Noel Sharkey is a professor
of artificial intelligence
832
00:45:44,033 --> 00:45:48,016
and robotics at the University
of Sheffield, England.
833
00:45:48,016 --> 00:45:51,197
He says we have nothing to worry about.
834
00:45:51,197 --> 00:45:52,980
- We're really a long
way off, at the moment,
835
00:45:52,980 --> 00:45:54,924
of creating the kind of technology
836
00:45:54,924 --> 00:45:57,304
you see in the likes of the Terminator.
837
00:45:57,304 --> 00:46:00,389
With big humanoid robots
armed with machine guns
838
00:46:00,389 --> 00:46:02,130
plotting across the battlefield.
839
00:46:02,130 --> 00:46:05,653
- [Voiceover] Some of the
world's greatest minds disagree,
840
00:46:05,653 --> 00:46:10,658
but Sharkey believes they haven't
asked one simple question.
841
00:46:10,917 --> 00:46:12,060
Why?
842
00:46:12,060 --> 00:46:13,853
- And as a scientist I need evidence
843
00:46:13,853 --> 00:46:15,603
and there's no evidence of any kind of
844
00:46:15,603 --> 00:46:18,541
really smart intelligence
or any kind of desire
845
00:46:18,541 --> 00:46:21,401
or robots would have a
desire to take over the world
846
00:46:21,401 --> 00:46:23,302
anymore than a washing machine would want
847
00:46:23,302 --> 00:46:24,847
to take over the world.
848
00:46:26,656 --> 00:46:27,756
- [Voiceover] Not only does Sharkey think
849
00:46:27,756 --> 00:46:30,639
that machines aren't a threat,
850
00:46:30,639 --> 00:46:35,507
but they're not nearly as smart
as we make them out to be.
851
00:46:35,507 --> 00:46:38,348
- A lot of people talk about
artificial intelligence
852
00:46:38,348 --> 00:46:40,163
at the moment, being
at the level of the rat
853
00:46:40,163 --> 00:46:42,854
or the slug and it's going
to get so much smarter
854
00:46:42,854 --> 00:46:44,615
and be like the human later,
855
00:46:44,615 --> 00:46:45,950
but for me, I've studied animals
856
00:46:45,950 --> 00:46:48,159
all my life, really and I would say
857
00:46:48,159 --> 00:46:50,540
that current robots
weren't at the intelligence
858
00:46:50,540 --> 00:46:54,117
of a bacteria because
bacteria can feed themselves
859
00:46:54,117 --> 00:46:56,765
and they know how to
survive, robots don't.
860
00:46:56,765 --> 00:46:58,889
They're dependent on me and essentially,
861
00:46:58,889 --> 00:47:02,213
they're not bright enough
to be called stupid.
862
00:47:05,806 --> 00:47:07,827
- [Voiceover] But even
if robots and computers
863
00:47:07,827 --> 00:47:11,167
are nothing more than digital dummies,
864
00:47:11,167 --> 00:47:15,587
couldn't someone use them
for evil rather than good?
865
00:47:15,587 --> 00:47:18,724
- Well the problem is that
robots are very limited
866
00:47:18,724 --> 00:47:20,747
in what they can do.
867
00:47:20,747 --> 00:47:23,000
You just program a robot, but it's all up
868
00:47:23,000 --> 00:47:24,651
to what the programmer puts in there.
869
00:47:24,651 --> 00:47:26,854
There's no reason why
the robots, themselves,
870
00:47:26,854 --> 00:47:29,174
would do anything that we
haven't told them to do
871
00:47:29,174 --> 00:47:31,526
and I certainly wouldn't
be programming a robot
872
00:47:31,526 --> 00:47:32,577
to tell it to take over the world
873
00:47:32,577 --> 00:47:34,619
and I don't think anybody else would.
874
00:47:36,111 --> 00:47:38,373
- [Voiceover] Instead of creatures
with a super intelligence
875
00:47:38,373 --> 00:47:42,728
that surpasses humans,
Sharkey thinks machines
876
00:47:42,728 --> 00:47:45,574
are our moronic slaves that lack
877
00:47:45,574 --> 00:47:50,579
the one essential ingredient
for a robot-led Armageddon.
878
00:47:50,635 --> 00:47:53,059
Human emotion.
879
00:47:53,059 --> 00:47:54,639
- We have consciousness and we use that
880
00:47:54,639 --> 00:47:58,120
in our everyday lives, in
our thought, in our desires.
881
00:47:58,120 --> 00:48:01,130
Whereas robots have a really
rigid silicone intelligence,
882
00:48:01,130 --> 00:48:04,451
no desires, no wants.
883
00:48:04,451 --> 00:48:05,209
- [Voiceover] But if robots have
884
00:48:05,209 --> 00:48:09,895
neither the brains nor the
drive for world domination,
885
00:48:09,895 --> 00:48:13,952
why do so many others
believe it will happen?
886
00:48:13,952 --> 00:48:16,481
- The whole idea of a
robot takeover is quite odd
887
00:48:16,481 --> 00:48:18,755
and it's really the
subject of science fiction
888
00:48:18,755 --> 00:48:21,981
right back since the world
was invented in 1921.
889
00:48:21,981 --> 00:48:23,945
All science fiction movies have been
890
00:48:23,945 --> 00:48:27,425
about robots killing humans
and taking over the world,
891
00:48:27,425 --> 00:48:30,329
but it is as it says, fiction.
892
00:48:30,329 --> 00:48:31,953
One of my big concerns at the minute
893
00:48:31,953 --> 00:48:34,514
is that there are 43 countries world-wide
894
00:48:34,514 --> 00:48:36,500
that are developing military robots
895
00:48:36,500 --> 00:48:38,476
and one of the problems
is that military seem
896
00:48:38,476 --> 00:48:40,921
to have this idea, science
fiction idea, of robots
897
00:48:40,921 --> 00:48:43,964
that they could be that kind,
have that kind of intelligence
898
00:48:43,964 --> 00:48:45,949
but in actual fact, they
can't tell the difference
899
00:48:45,949 --> 00:48:47,870
between a soldier and a civilian
900
00:48:47,870 --> 00:48:49,792
and so a lot of people will die,
901
00:48:49,792 --> 00:48:52,131
but it won't be through
the intentions of robots.
902
00:48:52,131 --> 00:48:56,711
It'll be the misuse by
humans of a dangerous weapon.
903
00:48:56,711 --> 00:49:01,003
- [Voiceover] Are robots
just mindless heaps of metal
904
00:49:01,003 --> 00:49:05,433
or will man and machine merge
and destroy the human race?
905
00:49:07,515 --> 00:49:10,410
We'll just have to wait and find out.
906
00:49:10,410 --> 00:49:12,016
Weird or what?
907
00:49:37,062 --> 00:49:38,748
So there we have it.
908
00:49:38,748 --> 00:49:43,693
Doomsday stories from
the Earth and beyond.
909
00:49:43,693 --> 00:49:48,698
In Wyoming, a deadly
supervolcano lies dormant.
910
00:49:48,710 --> 00:49:51,999
Will it explode in 2012
911
00:49:51,999 --> 00:49:55,298
and fulfill a Mayan prophecy?
912
00:49:55,298 --> 00:50:00,060
In Alabama, a NASA scientist
discovers the unthinkable.
913
00:50:00,060 --> 00:50:02,547
A giant solar storm could be
914
00:50:02,547 --> 00:50:05,771
on its way to destroy the Earth
915
00:50:05,771 --> 00:50:09,231
and one of the world's greatest minds
916
00:50:09,231 --> 00:50:12,071
makes a startling prediction.
917
00:50:12,071 --> 00:50:16,779
Man and machine will merge by 2050.
918
00:50:16,779 --> 00:50:18,979
Will robots take over?
919
00:50:18,979 --> 00:50:22,566
Are we facing a Terminator Armageddon?
920
00:50:22,566 --> 00:50:24,231
Are these stories evidence
921
00:50:24,231 --> 00:50:27,690
that the end of the world is nigh?
922
00:50:27,690 --> 00:50:32,695
Can we dismiss those who
claim these things are true?
923
00:50:32,996 --> 00:50:34,487
You decide.
924
00:50:34,487 --> 00:50:36,659
- Join me again next time for more stories
925
00:50:36,659 --> 00:50:41,664
that will undoubtedly be weird or what.
73904
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