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Quickly!
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The tsunami was right behind me
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and I was worried
I wouldn't make it in time.
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I thought
I'd be safe if I got to the hill.
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But I realized
I was in the water.
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I didn't know how.
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Instead of escaping,
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I started looking up
at the sky and floating.
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Earthquakes are
the deadliest of natural disasters.
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Destroying buildings.
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Causing tsunamis.
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Ripping apart the very fabric of a city.
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They have the power
to turn lives upside down.
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This is the story of three seismic zones.
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Each has experienced
deadly earthquakes in the past.
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Each faces the certainty
of another disaster in the future.
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Los Angeles.
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City of Angels.
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City of Earthquakes.
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00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:08,320
Every year, ten thousand
tremors happen in this region.
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00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:17,240
Most are harmless.
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But the threat is serious enough
for the city to be on constant alert.
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Earthquake.
Light shaking expected in 56 seconds.
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00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:39,040
Hold on. Protect yourself now.
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00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:43,040
Earthquake, earthquake.
Drop, cover...
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00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:49,600
So you can see the yellow waves are
those primary waves, the ones that rattle.
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00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:54,120
The red waves
are the big waves that shake hard.
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Those primary waves are fast...
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00:03:56,760 --> 00:03:58,720
When I became mayor,
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it was on Week One,
I can just remember thinking,
31
00:04:03,200 --> 00:04:06,080
"What will happen
in the four, or if I'm lucky,
32
00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:09,040
eight years that I'll sit in this office?"
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00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:11,760
And as an Angeleno,
my mind immediately went to an earthquake.
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00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:14,960
I just remember that feeling
of like praying it wouldn't happen
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00:04:15,040 --> 00:04:17,360
but realizing
that prayer wouldn't be good enough.
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That you can't just hope
it doesn't happen on your watch.
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You have to assume that it will
and get ready for it.
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00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:26,360
Earthquake, earthquake.
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00:04:26,440 --> 00:04:28,640
Protect yourself now.
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00:04:33,880 --> 00:04:37,160
I was shocked
by the sheer number of buildings
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that hadn't been reinforced.
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00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:46,920
I could see a city
completely cut off from itself.
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00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:54,040
I saw a place
that people wouldn't want to be
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00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:57,480
and a place of immense suffering
for those who couldn't leave.
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00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:11,560
The worst earthquake
in LA's history happened one night
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just before dawn,
in the suburb of Northridge.
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00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:23,440
I just happened to be
in the newsroom, working on another story
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on a hostage situation.
49
00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:28,616
I'm looking at my script and
then I look at the editor, and he says,
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00:05:28,640 --> 00:05:30,360
"Okay. Go into the narration booth."
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00:05:30,440 --> 00:05:32,480
So I ran into
the narration booth, and then
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you know, "Testing, one, two, three.
Check. One, two, three.
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00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:38,560
Okay. Here's first take one,
take one at three, two,
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and all of a sudden...
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Let's go! Come on.
Let's get out of here!
56
00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:46,096
- Standby, Joe!
- Give me a pen!
57
00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:48,456
Somebody's yelling,
"We've gotta get out of here quick."
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And I said, "Yeah, we do."
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4:30.
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00:05:51,240 --> 00:05:54,840
And then I realize, "Oh crap.
I'm the only reporter in here."
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00:05:56,080 --> 00:05:57,680
I can't tell if we're on the air or not.
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You are, Joe.
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00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:00,800
And I just went
and grabbed my earpiece,
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00:06:00,880 --> 00:06:02,056
and I'm looking around several times.
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00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:03,960
I said, "Here goes."
I just started talking.
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00:06:04,040 --> 00:06:06,520
There's no surprise
for any folks this morning.
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00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:08,240
We've been hit with a major earthquake.
68
00:06:08,320 --> 00:06:10,336
Right now we're trying
to basically gather some more information,
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00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:12,256
trying to figure
out where this has been centered.
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00:06:12,280 --> 00:06:14,256
I'm not sure if we can take
a look around that right now,
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00:06:14,280 --> 00:06:16,296
but half the newsroom
behind me has been disheveled.
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00:06:16,320 --> 00:06:19,000
A lot of television monitors
knocked off the shelves.
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00:06:20,440 --> 00:06:21,840
Oops. Hang on one second.
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00:06:21,920 --> 00:06:24,176
This is a very sharp aftershock
that just hit us right now.
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00:06:26,280 --> 00:06:28,696
To anyone who says in, uh,
Southern California and says,
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"Oh, we get used to this." Baloney.
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You do not get used to that.
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00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:37,776
It just hits you
in the middle of nowhere.
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00:06:37,800 --> 00:06:40,096
Listen to me, somebody!
My daddy's in there!
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00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:41,720
Get out of the house!
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00:06:45,080 --> 00:06:50,360
The shaking of an earthquake
can trigger a cascade of effects.
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00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:55,360
Debris, fires, and floods,
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00:06:56,240 --> 00:06:58,760
that spread throughout the city.
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00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:08,720
Tornadoes, you get a warning.
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00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:11,560
Hurricane, you know it's coming.
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00:07:12,520 --> 00:07:14,600
Earthquake is an intruder in the dark.
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00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:18,320
It just coldcocks you in the side
of the face,
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00:07:19,280 --> 00:07:21,360
and it just butchers you.
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00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:27,840
What we've estimated is that
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00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:31,560
the fault is slipping somewhat
shallowly in the western edge
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00:07:31,640 --> 00:07:33,960
and it's getting deeper
and deeper over towards the east.
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00:07:34,800 --> 00:07:38,040
Currently,
we've got four receivers out right now...
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00:07:38,120 --> 00:07:39,456
When the earthquake occurred,
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00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:41,840
I didn't have time to watch the news.
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I immediately called my colleagues
and we drove in the field
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00:07:44,800 --> 00:07:46,280
and we saw the damage.
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00:07:46,360 --> 00:07:49,560
And that was really shocking.
It looked like a war zone.
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00:07:54,440 --> 00:07:58,320
And I think people finally
understood that Earth is moving.
99
00:08:01,720 --> 00:08:05,440
The Earth is layered. We have
the core, the mantle, which is hot,
100
00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:09,520
soft rock, and then the crust,
which is the thin cold layer on top.
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00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:13,240
The mantle is actually
convecting, so the hot part is rising,
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00:08:13,320 --> 00:08:16,200
the cold part is falling,
and then the plates ride on top,
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00:08:16,280 --> 00:08:19,000
and they bump into each other,
they slide against each other
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00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:21,400
and that causes
earthquakes where those forces occur.
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00:08:24,640 --> 00:08:29,360
In total, the Earth's crust
is made of 15 different plates,
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00:08:30,000 --> 00:08:34,960
which form the bedrock
of the world's oceans and continents.
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California is at the boundary of two
plates moving in different directions.
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One heading
northwest, the other southeast,
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causing a buildup of stress that makes
Los Angeles so seismically active.
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00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:01,880
This is
not a good story to tell you.
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This is an apartment complex
that you're looking at
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00:09:04,640 --> 00:09:08,120
around the 9500 block
of Reseda Boulevard in Northridge.
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00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:11,560
You see some men in yellow jackets
working in the rubble.
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There was a guy there and he was
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00:09:14,760 --> 00:09:18,440
he was clawing
at the stucco at the base of the building.
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00:09:18,520 --> 00:09:20,960
And I said, "What are you doing?"
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00:09:21,040 --> 00:09:24,400
And he said, "Well,
there's somebody trapped underneath here.
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00:09:24,480 --> 00:09:25,560
I'm talking to him."
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00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:32,080
And as I followed the roof line across,
I saw a big one-story drop,
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00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:37,360
and then I realized
that we had a major collapse.
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Do you believe there are
people inside the building,
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and if there are, where might they be?
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It's hard to answer that yes or no.
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If they're in the building,
they're most likely on the first floor,
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00:09:49,680 --> 00:09:52,440
which has been compressed
by the second and third floors above.
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I remember just screaming,
just not knowing what's going on.
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00:10:01,840 --> 00:10:04,000
I'm facing straight up.
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00:10:04,080 --> 00:10:06,600
There was nothing
I could do in terms of movement.
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00:10:06,680 --> 00:10:10,080
So left and right, aside from
wiggling around, that was it.
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00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:13,640
It felt like a coffin.
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00:10:13,720 --> 00:10:17,960
And I grabbed my left thigh area
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00:10:18,040 --> 00:10:21,320
and I just yanked my leg out
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00:10:21,400 --> 00:10:23,000
and I remember feeling a big pop,
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00:10:24,000 --> 00:10:26,920
and I had flipped over on my stomach and
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00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:31,640
the next thing was to just crawl and
just try and get out as soon as possible.
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00:10:31,720 --> 00:10:33,336
Move back.
Put this in there before...
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00:10:33,360 --> 00:10:35,520
And I could hear voices
outside saying,
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00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:39,800
"Hey, I think somebody is
underneath that crawlspace there."
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00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:42,960
And I was pulled
out in just one fell swoop.
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00:10:43,040 --> 00:10:44,896
Come on, let's get out of here!
Let's go!
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00:10:44,920 --> 00:10:47,480
We gotta go. Come on.
Let's go! Let's get out of here.
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00:10:47,560 --> 00:10:49,120
The next thing I remember,
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I had just seen another firefighter
pull my mom out of the building.
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00:10:55,160 --> 00:10:56,856
And she was just
running all over the place,
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trying to find somebody, a firefighter,
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00:10:58,720 --> 00:11:04,200
anybody to do anything they could to try
and see where my brother and father were.
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00:11:06,920 --> 00:11:10,080
A woman
by the name of Hyun Sook Lee,
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00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:15,440
she was trying
to convey that her son, her other son
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was in the building
and he needed to be rescued.
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00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:26,120
Uh, eventually, we did get to
the bedroom and we cut a big hole over it.
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00:11:27,680 --> 00:11:33,760
Unfortunately, he was home visiting for
the Martin Luther King holiday, and, uh,
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00:11:34,640 --> 00:11:39,600
his mother put him in her bed
so that he'd have a bed to sleep on.
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She slept on the floor.
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And so that saved her life, and it
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00:11:44,840 --> 00:11:48,680
and it didn't save her son's life.
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00:11:48,760 --> 00:11:52,720
So, um, that was, that was tough.
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00:11:55,640 --> 00:12:00,000
Even to this day, we
don't talk much about it just because, uh,
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00:12:00,080 --> 00:12:02,360
personally,
I don't want to ask her about it.
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00:12:02,440 --> 00:12:06,000
Um, so the bits and pieces
that I've gathered together,
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00:12:06,080 --> 00:12:08,280
I've actually read through Time magazine.
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00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:11,280
You know, she was on the cover of Time.
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00:12:12,240 --> 00:12:16,320
You know, there's a firefighter
informing her at that moment that,
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00:12:16,400 --> 00:12:19,800
uh, my brother and father were gone.
164
00:12:23,680 --> 00:12:25,920
It was the blink of an eye,
really, for me.
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00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:27,480
Went from, uh,
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being a big, full happy family to just
having everything taken away from us.
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00:12:37,920 --> 00:12:41,040
The Northridge
earthquake killed 57 people.
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00:12:41,880 --> 00:12:44,880
And caused $44 billion worth of damage.
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00:12:47,680 --> 00:12:52,640
It registered six point seven
on the Moment Magnitude Scale.
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00:12:56,360 --> 00:12:59,720
That scale is calibrated exponentially.
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00:13:01,280 --> 00:13:06,680
So a Magnitude One earthquake
is the equivalent of a pound of TNT.
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00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:14,800
But a Magnitude six point seven
releases 350 million times more energy.
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00:13:20,920 --> 00:13:26,600
The biggest earthquake
in California's history, happened in 1906.
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00:13:28,000 --> 00:13:34,560
It destroyed 80% of San Francisco
and became known as "The Big One."
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It was
a Magnitude seven point nine.
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Releasing 60 times more energy
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than the quake at Northridge.
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00:13:57,280 --> 00:14:02,000
It's only a matter of time
before LA experiences
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00:14:02,080 --> 00:14:04,640
its own "Big One."
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00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:12,480
New building codes are designed
to protect the city's infrastructure
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00:14:12,560 --> 00:14:14,080
from such a disaster.
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00:14:20,920 --> 00:14:24,040
Where we're standing now
is the very east end approach of the,
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00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:27,320
new viaduct that's being constructed.
184
00:14:28,480 --> 00:14:30,880
This bridge
is designed and built to account
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00:14:30,960 --> 00:14:34,440
for a seismic event up
to a 1000-year capacity.
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00:14:36,280 --> 00:14:39,360
If there was an earthquake,
the movement would be, uh,
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00:14:39,440 --> 00:14:44,000
absorbed by the bearings that have
been installed on this bridge structure.
188
00:14:44,080 --> 00:14:46,440
These bearings
are allowed to move up to 30 inches
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00:14:46,520 --> 00:14:49,040
in any direction in a seismic event.
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00:14:50,400 --> 00:14:51,920
Never been done before.
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00:14:55,480 --> 00:14:58,280
Los Angeles
is a very shattered landscape.
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00:15:00,280 --> 00:15:03,920
In all of California, the most
complex in terms of all the faults.
193
00:15:05,840 --> 00:15:07,360
There is a fault in Hollywood.
194
00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:11,160
There's a fault called
the Raymond Hill. Fault in Pasadena area.
195
00:15:11,240 --> 00:15:14,520
There's the Puente Hills Thrust Fault,
the Newport-Inglewood Fault,
196
00:15:14,600 --> 00:15:16,120
the Elysian Park Fault.
197
00:15:16,200 --> 00:15:17,400
it goes on, and on, and on.
198
00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:20,160
The San Jacinto Fault, San Andreas Fault.
199
00:15:20,240 --> 00:15:21,600
So, there are many, many faults.
200
00:15:21,680 --> 00:15:23,760
There are networks
of faults, and in some ways,
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00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:27,160
they're all connected
to be part of the same system.
202
00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:34,400
What we don't understand
well is, which fault is likely to rupture,
203
00:15:35,080 --> 00:15:37,000
so that we're prepared for the next one.
204
00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:44,136
It is roughly eight hours
now after the violent earthquake
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00:15:44,160 --> 00:15:45,960
that hit Southern California.
206
00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:49,720
The terrible toll
is just now becoming apparent.
207
00:15:51,680 --> 00:15:56,360
It's not the daily occurrence
of seismic activity that scares us.
208
00:15:58,240 --> 00:16:02,120
It's that once in a generation
one that scares us.
209
00:16:02,840 --> 00:16:05,680
The longer we wait without one,
210
00:16:05,760 --> 00:16:10,600
we kind of wonder, "Hmm.
When will that be and how bad will it be?"
211
00:16:16,280 --> 00:16:19,240
On the other side
of the Pacific Ocean,
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00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:23,200
Japan sits
at the junction of four different plates.
213
00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:30,480
It's the most seismically
active location in the world.
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00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:43,280
Because the plates
meet offshore,
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00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:47,560
many of Japan's earthquakes happen at sea,
216
00:16:48,440 --> 00:16:52,200
and bring with them
the threat of a tsunami.
217
00:16:54,040 --> 00:16:55,296
Good morning.
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00:16:55,320 --> 00:16:57,600
Good morning.
219
00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:04,080
In the region of Tohoku,
children grow up preparing for the worst.
220
00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:13,200
Learning what to do in an earthquake,
221
00:17:13,640 --> 00:17:17,240
but also any tsunami that follows.
222
00:17:17,319 --> 00:17:20,440
A drill. A drill.
223
00:17:25,359 --> 00:17:27,440
Mega tsunami warning.
224
00:17:29,480 --> 00:17:31,880
Please evacuate.
225
00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:39,520
I repeat. Emergency, emergency.
226
00:17:40,920 --> 00:17:43,280
I was born in 2011.
227
00:17:43,360 --> 00:17:48,040
That year there was a big tsunami
caused by the Tohoku earthquake.
228
00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:54,000
If you get washed away by a tsunami,
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00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:59,760
you can't see your family
anymore and you can't go to school.
230
00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:06,960
I think tsunamis are scary
231
00:18:07,040 --> 00:18:10,800
because earthquakes
and tsunamis can destroy houses.
232
00:18:10,880 --> 00:18:16,320
Also, people die.
So I think they are very scary.
233
00:18:44,200 --> 00:18:47,360
The magnitude
of the earthquake was nine point zero.
234
00:18:47,440 --> 00:18:50,760
It was the most powerful
earthquake ever recorded in Japan.
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00:18:55,440 --> 00:18:58,360
This is the Pacific Ocean.
236
00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:05,800
Offshore, the Pacific plate
is moving towards us
237
00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:09,480
from America
at a speed of eight cm per year.
238
00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:16,280
It is sinking under
the Japanese Archipelago,
239
00:19:16,360 --> 00:19:19,480
which is getting
caught on top of it like this.
240
00:19:19,560 --> 00:19:24,880
Over time, it becomes
increasingly strained
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00:19:24,960 --> 00:19:27,520
until it rebounds
and there's an earthquake.
242
00:19:29,080 --> 00:19:34,480
The epicenter of the earthquake
was 70 miles off the Tohoku coast.
243
00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:40,920
It released 3000 times more energy
than the Northridge quake in 1994.
244
00:19:43,720 --> 00:19:47,520
The ocean floor rose
by 30 feet in a matter of seconds.
245
00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:53,480
A huge bulge
of water spread in every direction.
246
00:19:54,400 --> 00:19:56,840
This was the tsunami.
247
00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:04,600
The speed of a tsunami
depends on the depth of the water.
248
00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:10,520
Where it's very deep in
the open sea, it's as fast as a jet plane.
249
00:20:11,880 --> 00:20:15,240
But as it gets closer to the shore,
250
00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:16,440
it slows down.
251
00:20:16,520 --> 00:20:22,240
And as it slows down, the waves keep
coming and it grows larger and larger.
252
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:31,840
"Tsunami" means "Tsu" and "Nami."
253
00:20:31,920 --> 00:20:37,120
"Tsu" is a place where the sea
is shallow and "nami" is a wave.
254
00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:56,320
The earthquake was around 02:45 p.m.
255
00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:01,600
The fire station was over there,
256
00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:06,400
near the embankment.
257
00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:11,080
And I got there
a couple of minutes before 03:00 p.m.
258
00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:15,840
Hurry up and get out!
259
00:21:17,080 --> 00:21:20,000
There
was still one person evacuating.
260
00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:29,360
By the time he got
to the sea wall on his bike,
261
00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:33,560
the water level was rising rapidly.
262
00:21:33,640 --> 00:21:36,240
It's coming over the wall!
263
00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:49,520
Unlike a movie, where
there's a tidal wave like this,
264
00:21:49,600 --> 00:21:55,240
here the water kept flowing in,
constantly getting higher and higher.
265
00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:03,800
When I saw that,
266
00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:05,720
I thought it was over.
267
00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:10,240
I'd be swallowed by the wave and die.
268
00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:15,520
So I ran to the fire truck.
269
00:22:16,280 --> 00:22:17,480
Go!
270
00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:23,040
Let's get on!
271
00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:28,640
This is a disaster alert.
272
00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:32,560
Go! Hurry.
273
00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:37,080
I was filming from the beginning.
274
00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:40,840
But being in a position
of disaster prevention,
275
00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:43,280
that was an inappropriate move.
276
00:22:43,360 --> 00:22:47,080
- It's over the wall!
- No! It's over the wall.
277
00:22:47,160 --> 00:22:50,880
It's over the wall!
278
00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:57,080
If I survived this,
people would be able to see the footage.
279
00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:03,720
That's the feeling I had inside.
280
00:23:03,800 --> 00:23:06,440
That's why I kept on filming.
281
00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:29,440
I was driving, and the car
in front of me got caught in traffic,
282
00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:33,520
so I had to stop.
283
00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:39,680
The water level was still
low on the surface of the road,
284
00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:43,440
and I imagined
285
00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:45,640
it would start receding soon.
286
00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:47,760
I didn't feel like I was in danger.
287
00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:56,480
The person in front
of me got out of his car.
288
00:23:56,560 --> 00:24:02,400
He then rushed back
to close the door and ran off.
289
00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:06,560
Within a few seconds,
290
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:12,480
my car was surrounded
by the tsunami and was out of control.
291
00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:17,720
I'd missed my chance to escape.
292
00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:21,360
At that moment
I realized that this was serious.
293
00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:25,120
My life was in danger.
294
00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:32,000
Then I saw
295
00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:37,080
a person in front of me
who was trapped in a black car.
296
00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:44,800
He later broke the window
and got out onto the car roof.
297
00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:06,520
The sea had risen to this level,
298
00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:09,600
so I thought this is the tsunami,
and I started running.
299
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:18,880
People standing over there must
have thought, "Why is she running?"
300
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:21,640
I was running and shouting, "Quickly!"
301
00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:29,880
Quickly!
302
00:25:29,960 --> 00:25:32,720
The tsunami was right behind me
303
00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:35,720
and I was worried
I wouldn't make it in time.
304
00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:44,440
I thought
I'd be safe if I got to the hill.
305
00:25:50,360 --> 00:25:54,440
But I realized I was in the water.
306
00:25:55,160 --> 00:25:57,840
I didn't know how.
307
00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:10,200
I used to think about
death sometimes in the bath,
308
00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:14,880
and when I'd go to bed,
I'd be scared about it.
309
00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:20,240
But at that moment,
when I had death right in front of me,
310
00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:23,680
I accepted it.
311
00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:34,880
The car started moving
backwards towards a storage unit
312
00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:37,840
and into debris.
313
00:26:38,440 --> 00:26:42,840
Water came gushing in
from the window that I had opened.
314
00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:49,200
So I grabbed the window frame
and pulled myself out.
315
00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:54,160
Then, I felt my hand breaking the surface.
316
00:26:54,240 --> 00:27:00,200
I thought, "Oh, it's right there,"
and my face popped out.
317
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:05,960
I'd made it. I was
literally seconds away from death.
318
00:27:08,760 --> 00:27:12,880
For a moment,
I thought I was going to die,
319
00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:14,800
and soon after that I passed out.
320
00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:17,920
When I came to,
321
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:23,240
I was near that building by the hill.
322
00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:29,320
And then I saw
our shuttle bus floating by the hill.
323
00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:31,400
I climbed on top of its tire.
324
00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:33,880
Then the water stopped for a moment.
325
00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:39,440
And I escaped onto the hill.
326
00:27:40,280 --> 00:27:43,680
This is what happened after the video.
327
00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:46,000
I am alive.
328
00:27:54,480 --> 00:28:01,040
The sight of a tsunami that size,
329
00:28:01,120 --> 00:28:04,480
smashing houses as it moves.
330
00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:12,920
It was something
beyond human understanding.
331
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:24,560
I will never forget it.
332
00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:39,120
Almost 20,000 people died
as a result of the earthquake and tsunami.
333
00:28:40,600 --> 00:28:43,040
More than half of them were elderly.
334
00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:48,600
Leaving loved ones behind,
to process the grief.
335
00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:04,880
My dear, oh my dear.
336
00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:08,760
It's been a while.
337
00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:18,040
Many people spin the dial
338
00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:21,920
and talk into the handset.
339
00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:27,720
Of course the line isn't connected,
340
00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:32,320
so you can't hear anything
or have a real conversation,
341
00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:35,160
but this simulated experience helps them
342
00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:37,240
remember those they have lost.
343
00:29:38,280 --> 00:29:42,120
It's a trigger for them to talk.
344
00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:48,080
I waited for you all night,
but you never came home.
345
00:29:55,080 --> 00:30:00,000
It can take a very long time
to come to terms
346
00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:05,200
with what you've actually lost.
347
00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:09,680
I miss you so much.
348
00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:15,560
Thank you.
349
00:30:34,440 --> 00:30:35,960
I pray at the Buddhist shrine
350
00:30:37,600 --> 00:30:40,000
with my hands together every day,
351
00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:46,480
but when I come here,
352
00:30:46,560 --> 00:30:50,960
I feel the joy
and comfort of talking to her directly.
353
00:30:51,040 --> 00:30:54,560
It's a feeling I can hardly express.
354
00:30:57,040 --> 00:31:03,040
Over time,
Japan has lost at least 130,000 lives
355
00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:05,400
to tsunamis.
356
00:31:11,320 --> 00:31:16,440
The Japanese have the most
detailed tsunami records in the world.
357
00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:20,280
Stretching back over a 1000 years.
358
00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:26,560
But there's one
tsunami that doesn't fit the mold.
359
00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:34,160
A seismological mystery
with implications for millions of people.
360
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:39,720
This is the Morioka
Domain's Book on Miscellaneous Subjects,
361
00:31:39,800 --> 00:31:43,000
the official record of this area.
362
00:31:43,080 --> 00:31:47,520
It says that at midnight
on January 27, 1700,
363
00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:52,360
a tsunami occurred
in a place called Kuwagasaki.
364
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:59,160
As a result, 20 houses burned down
365
00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:04,440
and 13 houses were washed away.
366
00:32:08,320 --> 00:32:10,496
The
strange thing about this tsunami,
367
00:32:10,520 --> 00:32:14,600
is there's no record
of an earthquake at the time.
368
00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:19,240
So it's known as an orphan tsunami.
369
00:32:22,080 --> 00:32:27,160
It must've been triggered by a
seismic event beyond the coast of Japan.
370
00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:35,360
In 1960, a massive earthquake in Chile
371
00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:40,240
caused a tsunami to cross
the Pacific and reach Japan.
372
00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:46,600
Might something
similar have happened in 1700?
373
00:32:55,960 --> 00:33:01,720
We didn't know where
this tsunami had come from.
374
00:33:02,760 --> 00:33:07,400
There was no record
of an earthquake anywhere in the world.
375
00:33:08,680 --> 00:33:10,880
We wanted to find out where it was.
376
00:33:13,960 --> 00:33:17,840
The solution
to this puzzle lies not in Japan
377
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:20,680
but back on the other side of the ocean,
378
00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:22,960
in North America.
379
00:33:35,200 --> 00:33:39,960
There is no written record
of an earthquake in January 1700.
380
00:33:41,280 --> 00:33:42,840
But there is a legend,
381
00:33:44,520 --> 00:33:49,040
passed down by the Quinault people
of the Pacific Northwest.
382
00:34:05,040 --> 00:34:08,360
Long time ago,
the world would shake,
383
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:10,960
the ground would shake,
and the ocean would,
384
00:34:11,040 --> 00:34:14,120
would be rough
and the waves would hit the shore.
385
00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:22,360
And what was happening
was the Thunderbird, Xanissah,
386
00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:27,360
he would leave his lair
and he would go out over the sea.
387
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:31,880
He would look for the biggest whale.
388
00:34:34,320 --> 00:34:37,199
And then he would pick that whale up
389
00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:41,040
and he would fly high up
into the sky towards the mountain
390
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:46,400
and when he got there,
he would drop that whale
391
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:48,240
and that whale would hit the land so hard...
392
00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:53,760
that it would shake
and cause an earthquake.
393
00:34:55,800 --> 00:34:59,760
And that's our story
of where the earthquake is from.
394
00:34:59,840 --> 00:35:02,160
It's from Xanissah, the Thunderbird.
395
00:35:08,080 --> 00:35:10,496
I mean, over time, I believe
that there's been many earthquakes
396
00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:13,160
that have hit our coastline here.
397
00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:16,960
And that Thunderbird and Whale story, um,
398
00:35:17,040 --> 00:35:22,120
the interaction of those two
is what causes that every time.
399
00:35:22,200 --> 00:35:23,720
That's what we believe.
400
00:35:35,720 --> 00:35:40,440
While some look to legend,
others look for evidence.
401
00:35:43,240 --> 00:35:49,000
If there was an earthquake here
in 1700, it should've left telltale signs,
402
00:35:51,200 --> 00:35:53,840
somewhere among the trees.
403
00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:01,960
All of these trees
are actually what we would call subfossil.
404
00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:05,200
Which means they're not yet fossilized
405
00:36:05,280 --> 00:36:07,720
but they're dead
and downed for many hundreds of years.
406
00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:15,520
And so, these really charismatic pieces
of evidence for past landscapes
407
00:36:15,600 --> 00:36:17,240
are one of the first indicators
408
00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:20,360
that something dramatic
must have occurred in this area.
409
00:36:25,800 --> 00:36:30,280
In the mud and the sediment
that covers the roots of these trees,
410
00:36:30,360 --> 00:36:35,960
we can actually look with a microscope and
find these little critters called diatoms.
411
00:36:36,040 --> 00:36:40,360
So, diatoms are little bugs
in the ocean that have a shell,
412
00:36:40,440 --> 00:36:44,400
and some like to live
really close to the surface of the ocean
413
00:36:44,480 --> 00:36:47,960
and other types of diatoms
like to live underneath more water,
414
00:36:48,040 --> 00:36:50,080
closer to the bottom of the ocean.
415
00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:53,320
And the diatoms
that we find right above that soil
416
00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:55,400
that these trees are rooted in,
417
00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:58,360
like to live in about
six feet of water or even more.
418
00:37:02,520 --> 00:37:06,040
So, what we're talking about
is that the whole land subsided
419
00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:09,440
under at least six feet of salt water,
420
00:37:10,280 --> 00:37:13,880
killing the trees
and then depositing those diatoms.
421
00:37:15,720 --> 00:37:18,600
And really,
the only thing that could do that,
422
00:37:18,680 --> 00:37:24,120
that could cause that much subsidence
along the coast, is a massive earthquake.
423
00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:32,120
Trees are these incredible data recorders,
424
00:37:32,200 --> 00:37:35,560
and each
and every year they put on a growth ring.
425
00:37:37,440 --> 00:37:41,320
And we can utilize the pattern
of those growth rings to determine
426
00:37:41,400 --> 00:37:43,120
when these trees died.
427
00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:48,000
And what's incredible about
this ghost forest and other ghost forests
428
00:37:48,080 --> 00:37:51,320
along the coast of Washington and Oregon
429
00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:54,600
is that all of these trees
died at the same time.
430
00:37:54,680 --> 00:37:58,080
Their final ring was the year 1699,
431
00:37:58,160 --> 00:38:01,720
and this tree did
not grow in the year 1700.
432
00:38:04,080 --> 00:38:08,160
So, somewhere between the fall
and winter of 1699
433
00:38:08,240 --> 00:38:10,160
and in the spring of 1700,
434
00:38:10,240 --> 00:38:12,560
this massive event must have occurred.
435
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:17,400
And that very tight
time frame overlaps perfectly
436
00:38:17,480 --> 00:38:20,120
with the orphan tsunami
that we see in Japan.
437
00:38:21,120 --> 00:38:24,920
And the real ringer here then,
is the trees themselves,
438
00:38:25,000 --> 00:38:26,800
because they had the code,
439
00:38:26,880 --> 00:38:31,360
that barcode that helped us date the
event that allowed us to tie it to Japan.
440
00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:38,240
This is why I love my job.
441
00:38:40,440 --> 00:38:46,120
I get to be a detective who figures out
what happened here 300 years ago.
442
00:38:53,000 --> 00:38:56,480
A cold case solved.
443
00:38:57,600 --> 00:39:02,480
The orphan tsunami and ghost forest,
were created by the same event.
444
00:39:04,920 --> 00:39:08,120
Immortalized by Native American legend.
445
00:39:11,480 --> 00:39:13,840
A Magnitude Nine earthquake
446
00:39:13,920 --> 00:39:18,640
along a fault between the
North American and Juan de Fuca plates.
447
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:24,960
This fault has a name: Cascadia.
448
00:39:38,680 --> 00:39:41,600
If a similar sized
earthquake struck today,
449
00:39:42,280 --> 00:39:45,160
it would devastate the Pacific Northwest.
450
00:39:46,280 --> 00:39:48,240
But how likely is that?
451
00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:55,320
If it's happened before,
could it happen again?
452
00:39:59,160 --> 00:40:03,400
This laboratory contains
samples of sediment drilled
453
00:40:03,480 --> 00:40:07,640
from the seabed, under the Cascadia Fault.
454
00:40:10,280 --> 00:40:13,280
The reason we take these core
samples is to look back in the past
455
00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:16,680
and see what the frequency
of earthquakes has been over time.
456
00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:23,040
Since we can't predict earthquakes,
the best thing we can do is make forecasts
457
00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:27,280
based on probabilities
that we've derived from the past.
458
00:40:31,600 --> 00:40:34,120
The cores
are typically six to eight meters long
459
00:40:34,200 --> 00:40:37,920
but we cut it into meter
and a half chunks for storage.
460
00:40:40,800 --> 00:40:43,960
We can reassemble them, so we have
the complete picture of that sample.
461
00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:49,880
In this core, there's a record
of layer upon layer upon layer
462
00:40:49,960 --> 00:40:51,880
of events in the deep sea,
463
00:40:51,960 --> 00:40:53,960
like tree rings or like a tape recorder.
464
00:40:54,040 --> 00:40:57,840
Just everything that took
place over that time, thousands of years.
465
00:40:57,920 --> 00:40:59,800
And we get up toward the top of the core,
466
00:40:59,880 --> 00:41:03,280
we see a significant event up at the top.
467
00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:07,600
This is the layer
that was laid down by the 1700 earthquake.
468
00:41:07,680 --> 00:41:08,920
Goes from about there to there,
469
00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:11,000
with a little bit
of sediment just sitting on top.
470
00:41:11,720 --> 00:41:14,640
But this layer from
the 1700 earthquake is not alone.
471
00:41:14,720 --> 00:41:16,320
It's not unique.
472
00:41:16,400 --> 00:41:18,560
We have the ability now
to collect thousands of years
473
00:41:18,640 --> 00:41:20,200
of layer upon layer upon layer.
474
00:41:20,960 --> 00:41:22,960
A total of 46 earthquakes,
475
00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:25,520
uh, we think are represented in this core.
476
00:41:25,600 --> 00:41:30,200
About 20 very large ones,
and about 26 smaller sizes.
477
00:41:36,360 --> 00:41:39,560
When the Magnitude
Nine earthquakes at Cascadia
478
00:41:39,640 --> 00:41:41,520
are averaged across time,
479
00:41:42,440 --> 00:41:47,320
it turns out
they occur once every 430 years.
480
00:41:52,400 --> 00:41:55,680
We have an average, but
that's just an average. It's statistics.
481
00:41:57,480 --> 00:42:01,280
We have intervals that are much,
much closer together, 200 years or so.
482
00:42:01,360 --> 00:42:04,600
And we have
several more that are, uh, 1200 years.
483
00:42:09,880 --> 00:42:12,280
So, this could be,
either good news or bad news.
484
00:42:13,680 --> 00:42:16,760
We could be looking at a
1200 year interval to the next,
485
00:42:16,840 --> 00:42:18,360
really, big earthquake.
486
00:42:18,440 --> 00:42:21,400
And, uh, but on the other hand,
we could be well overdue.
487
00:42:21,480 --> 00:42:24,640
We could be looking at, uh,
an interval that ends today.
488
00:42:26,800 --> 00:42:28,096
The one thing that we can be certain of,
489
00:42:28,120 --> 00:42:31,600
is that after this many earthquakes
repeated over thousands of years,
490
00:42:31,680 --> 00:42:33,400
that the next earthquake is inevitable.
491
00:42:34,160 --> 00:42:36,360
It's coming. It's just a matter of when.
492
00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:57,600
In the last 100 years,
493
00:42:57,680 --> 00:43:00,960
there have been
only five Magnitude Nine earthquakes,
494
00:43:01,800 --> 00:43:03,880
anywhere in the world.
495
00:43:08,720 --> 00:43:11,800
Cascadia
has the potential to be the next.
496
00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:17,840
And if that happens, the Quinault
people would be in the firing line...
497
00:43:19,640 --> 00:43:22,120
living at the edge of the ocean.
498
00:43:24,680 --> 00:43:25,816
We've always gone to sleep
499
00:43:25,840 --> 00:43:28,440
with the sound
of the wave coming to shore.
500
00:43:29,600 --> 00:43:32,920
And, uh, you know, science has told us,
501
00:43:33,000 --> 00:43:36,680
and history of our own has told us that
502
00:43:36,760 --> 00:43:40,520
the earthquake
and tidal wave will come here again.
503
00:43:42,840 --> 00:43:44,600
And when that tidal wave comes,
504
00:43:44,680 --> 00:43:47,080
it's going to change things drastically.
505
00:43:49,800 --> 00:43:52,080
I mean, it could be catastrophic here.
506
00:43:54,880 --> 00:44:00,240
So that forces us to think outside of
our traditional view of where we put our,
507
00:44:00,320 --> 00:44:02,080
our homes and villages and
508
00:44:02,160 --> 00:44:06,600
you know, now we're looking at,
moving our people up on the hill.
509
00:44:09,400 --> 00:44:12,040
The logistics of that is huge.
510
00:44:13,280 --> 00:44:15,160
We have to look at the best science,
511
00:44:15,240 --> 00:44:17,240
we have to look at our traditions,
512
00:44:17,320 --> 00:44:20,360
and understand
that this is going to happen.
513
00:44:27,000 --> 00:44:28,680
The Native Americans have legends
514
00:44:28,760 --> 00:44:31,240
about the 1700 earthquake
that have been passed down.
515
00:44:31,320 --> 00:44:32,440
But for the rest of us,
516
00:44:32,520 --> 00:44:35,240
who've essentially moved
in since the last earthquake,
517
00:44:35,320 --> 00:44:37,040
we're completely clueless.
518
00:44:42,880 --> 00:44:44,280
In a place like Portland,
519
00:44:44,360 --> 00:44:46,360
it's not the big tall skyscrapers
that are built
520
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:48,680
with building codes that are the problem.
521
00:44:50,800 --> 00:44:55,560
We have a huge number of four, five
six story unreinforced masonry buildings
522
00:44:55,640 --> 00:44:58,960
that simply weren't
constructed to withstand earthquakes.
523
00:45:02,480 --> 00:45:06,000
It really doesn't take very much shaking
for those buildings to come apart.
524
00:45:07,000 --> 00:45:10,640
They'll probably be heavily damaged,
so there will be a lot of casualties.
525
00:45:15,800 --> 00:45:18,600
According to
the Emergency Management Agency,
526
00:45:19,760 --> 00:45:24,360
a million buildings could be compromised
by a major Cascadia earthquake.
527
00:45:27,640 --> 00:45:29,680
There could be 13,000 deaths,
528
00:45:31,120 --> 00:45:33,080
and twice as many injuries.
529
00:45:36,480 --> 00:45:40,600
Potentially the worst
natural disaster in US history.
530
00:45:42,040 --> 00:45:43,880
I don't enjoy being, uh,
531
00:45:43,960 --> 00:45:46,720
the prophet of doom,
and bringing bad news all the time.
532
00:45:46,800 --> 00:45:51,040
Uh, people, uh, don't want to hear
these messages for the most part.
533
00:45:51,120 --> 00:45:53,840
I don't want
to hear them either, for that matter but
534
00:45:53,920 --> 00:45:56,680
it's our reality
and it's our job as scientists,
535
00:45:56,760 --> 00:46:00,960
really, to bring this out
and let people know what reality is,
536
00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:04,680
and then it's up to society
to decide what to do about that.
537
00:46:10,480 --> 00:46:12,680
When I look
at a city like Portland,
538
00:46:12,760 --> 00:46:15,880
it's hard for me
to not see piles of rubble everywhere.
539
00:46:21,000 --> 00:46:24,560
Most people don't see it that way,
don't think of it that way.
540
00:46:26,800 --> 00:46:30,560
And it's a bit of a curse to be able
to just look out and see that future.
541
00:46:39,920 --> 00:46:43,720
The danger is not confined
to the Pacific Northwest.
542
00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:48,120
Off the coast of Northern California,
543
00:46:48,200 --> 00:46:52,960
the Cascadia Fault connects
with the San Andreas Fault.
544
00:46:56,120 --> 00:46:58,760
And over the last 3000 years,
545
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:03,600
the timing of earthquakes
on both faults has been so similar,
546
00:47:04,680 --> 00:47:07,080
they appear to be in sync with each other.
547
00:47:17,200 --> 00:47:20,520
This is kind
of a startling and stunning thing.
548
00:47:20,600 --> 00:47:26,200
It implies that one fault may have
influenced or triggered the other.
549
00:47:26,280 --> 00:47:29,000
Perhaps a few months later
or days or weeks.
550
00:47:30,640 --> 00:47:34,520
We see this in geology
in other places around the world,
551
00:47:34,600 --> 00:47:36,736
but I don't think anyone
had ever considered that this might
552
00:47:36,760 --> 00:47:40,400
actually happen here with a
mega thrust earthquake
553
00:47:40,480 --> 00:47:43,760
and a giant San Andreas earthquake,
more or less at the same time.
554
00:47:48,480 --> 00:47:52,920
The entire West Coast is
living under the shadow of "The Big One"
555
00:47:53,000 --> 00:47:54,680
that lies in our future.
556
00:48:09,480 --> 00:48:13,400
We believe that nature
has a mind of its own.
557
00:48:15,280 --> 00:48:20,960
That the movements of the Earth
will occur whether we know it or not.
558
00:48:24,680 --> 00:48:29,040
And in certain times
in our existence, there's earthquakes.
559
00:48:32,000 --> 00:48:34,160
Those things will repeat themselves.
560
00:48:35,000 --> 00:48:36,920
That's what we've grown to accept.
561
00:48:40,480 --> 00:48:44,600
You know, it's been that way
for us since the beginning of time.
562
00:49:20,760 --> 00:49:23,040
Subtitle translation by: Antoinette Smit
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