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What is happening with the situation
around Avdiivka and on the left bank?
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There are battles going on there and there, albeit
in distinctly divergent formats. Under Avdiivka,
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the AFU are fighting in a deep defense, which
the enemy is now trying to break through with
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a proven terrible method - "meat assaults".
The enemy considers the capture of Bakhmut
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at a cost of 100,000 personnel, at least 40,000
of whom were killed, a story of their success.
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Now they are trying to repeat this
story in full detail with Avdiivka,
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sending infantry wave after wave.
This infantry is being killed in
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simply astronomical, unacceptable numbers for
any civilized country. But, unfortunately,
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it works. When there is wave after wave,
some still break through the defenses.
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Russian propaganda says that they allegedly
captured the Avdiivka industrial zone,
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but this is not true at all. They were able to
enter it and the fights now go not for Avdiivka,
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as it was all this time, but directly in
the Avdiivka industrial zone. That is,
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there are already close counter battles
literally for every building. It is difficult
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to judge how the battles will end, because
the quantitative superiority of the enemy in
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those meat waves over the Ukrainian defense
forces is, unfortunately, very significant.
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And even though the AFU inflict very large
losses to the enemy, but gradually withdraw.
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On the left bank of the Kherson region the
picture is exactly the opposite, there the
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bridgehead on the contrary is still expanding. It
seems that the weather has a significant impact
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on the fighting there. And, in particular, the
last noticeable expansion was just yesterday,
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when under the cover of bad weather the
AFU moved forward a little. Ukrainian
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Marines are advancing and have created a very
serious threat to the route Crimea-Melitopol.
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The bridgehead on the left bank is like a
bone in the throat for the enemy and that
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is why the enemy is preparing for an
operation - they plan to throw large
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forces there to eliminate it. Before that,
they mainly operated long-range weapons,
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that is, primarily aviation. Now they have
gathered a lot of infantry in this direction,
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though they also have an acute problem with
personnel, after the losses they have suffered.
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The attempt to push the AFU back behind
the Dnipro and eliminate the bridgehead
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has become a matter of life and death
for them. In the absence of reserves,
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they did not have a single ready brigade or
even a division that could be transferred there.
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They had to form mixed units from different
units, from different fronts. Despite this,
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their numerical superiority over the AFU
on the left bank is now about 10 times.
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They planned to start this operation a few
days ago, but the weather delayed the start
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of the operation. But one way or another the
bad weather is subsiding and most likely the
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decisive battles will start there soon.
That is, they will throw all their biomass
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they have been scraping along the entire
front and, of course, it will be very hard.
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When there are 10 occupiers per Ukrainian
soldier, even this rabble is a very serious
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problem. There are no guarantees that the AFU
will hold on there, because there was no time
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to dig. There will be battles in a clear
field and if the AFU hold on, it will be
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a miracle of heroism of the Ukrainian defenders.
If not, they will have to return in the spring.
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May victory be with the unwavering
spirit of the Ukrainian defenders.
5176
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