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Towards the second half of November, the
Russian command intensified its assault
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operations in a number of areas, thereby
creating the visualization of some kind
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of large offensive along the entire front
line, although this is not the case. The
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most dangerous zone of their offensive was,
is and remains Avdiivka. It is not easier in
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other areas, but the enemy's functional
situation there is somewhat different.
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In the area of Kupiansk pressure is carried out
on Sinkovka. The main task in this location for
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them is to seize the dominant heights, but all
their assaults at this stage ends in failure.
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In general, the picture on Lyman-Kupiansk axis,
in the matter of offensive capabilities of Russian
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troops, does not change. They have the quantity
of personnel, but there is a serious question
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about the quality, namely the technical equipment
that would allow them to attack effectively. This
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important factor showed itself last summer, when
they went after Lyman, Borova, and Kupiansk just
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as aggressively, suffering serious losses
and having almost no gains as a result.
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Their current defensive functionality allows
them to attack, but as a result they suffer
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heavy losses with little or no results. If they
had offensive functionality, we would see a very
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different result. And we wouldn't like it !
I talked more about this in the last video.
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The lack of a full offensive capability
forces them to use in large numbers the
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thing they value the least - human resource
and they have them in large quantities.
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The systemic nature indicates that local
commanders have been ordered to advance in
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a number of areas. Near Bakhmut, in the area
of Klishchiivka it is especially tangible.
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Renewed wave-like assaults literally
cover the fields with enemy bodies.
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Obviously, this order is conditioned by the
necessity to get at least some result, which
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has not been there for a long time. To repulse
Kleshchyivka - to show that they can return
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lost positions. Break through to Kupiansk, capture
Avdiivka - to give hope for new victories in 2024.
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Avdiivka: enemy forces are trying to spread
out on the left side of the railroad,
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unable to gain a foothold on the right side,
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attacking in the direction of Vodiane
and trying to pressure Pervomayske.
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The concentration of forces for the
next wave of offensive continues,
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with the aim of breaking through
on the right side of the railroad,
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with the subsequent capture of the
villages of Stepove and Siverne.
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The entire line of fighting has been
revitalized in recent weeks and the
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intensity of actions is catalyzed by
the Russian command in an attempt to
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probe a weak spot in the AFU defenses and
present success at this location as some
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kind of victory. Which the propaganda will
be able to present as an epic achievement.
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Given the simultaneous intensification,
even in areas where the enemy has little
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chance to achieve any result, it
can be assumed that the occupants
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do not have full information about the
capabilities of the Ukrainian troops.
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Separately, it is worth mentioning
that this activation occurs during
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the period of deteriorating weather
conditions, which also complicates
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the enemy's performance of their tasks.
But, again, the Russian command does not
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care about casualties and the conditions
in which the assaults are carried out,
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and at least until the end of the year the
intensity of attacks will not decrease.
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