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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:01,320 --> 00:00:05,520 Avdiivka... The situation continues to develop. 2 00:00:05,520 --> 00:00:10,360 So, it is tentatively confirmed that after the  failure of the first wave of the offensive,   3 00:00:10,360 --> 00:00:12,360 the Russian command started the process of   4 00:00:12,360 --> 00:00:16,320 transferring units from the  Luhansk region to Avdiivka. 5 00:00:16,320 --> 00:00:21,560 Recently, the Russian command sent a platoon  of suicide bombers to the Avdiivka slag heap,   6 00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:27,360 whose combat task was to plant a flag as a symbol  of Russian troops' control over the site. They   7 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:32,160 completed the task, but the control over the  terraicon as it was not, and not. The enemy   8 00:00:32,160 --> 00:00:39,400 could not entrench, set up positions, or control  the site. The terricon remains a gray zone. 9 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:43,520 On the other hand, they are not just bringing  such diverse forces to Avdiivka from other   10 00:00:43,520 --> 00:00:48,680 bridgeheads for no reason. New waves of  offensives are expected in the near future,   11 00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:52,840 although they will have their own nuance,  which can play in favor of the Ukrainian   12 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:59,120 Liberation Forces. Namely, the lack  of the necessary technical component. 13 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:01,880 That is, in terms of staffing of offensive units,   14 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:06,360 what we will see in the near future in the area  of Avdiivka will not be similar to what we saw   15 00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:12,240 on October 10. Marching battalions will  predominantly go on the offensive. This,   16 00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:16,600 in a certain sense, simplifies the  process of defeating the enemy's manpower. 17 00:01:16,600 --> 00:01:19,240 In fact, in the 3rd week of  the offensive on Avdiivka,   18 00:01:19,240 --> 00:01:22,680 the Russian command switched to  the tactics of storming Bakhmut,   19 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:27,440 which was used by the enemy in the 4th month  of the offensive on the city. That is, in the   20 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:33,560 near future we will see under Avdiivka what we  observed under Bakhmut from November to December. 21 00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:36,680 At the moment, the situation  in the Avdiivka, Kupiansk,   22 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:41,800 and Lyman directions increasingly reminds  me of the Russian command going all in. 23 00:01:41,800 --> 00:01:46,360 This is evident from the speed at which the  understaffed 25th Combined Arms Army was sent   24 00:01:46,360 --> 00:01:51,080 to the front, the fact that hidden mobilization  does not cover the enemy's losses, and the pace   25 00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:56,360 of modernization and equipment production does  not compensate for its losses. What will happen   26 00:01:56,360 --> 00:02:02,640 to them at the end of the fall-winter campaign?  All of this does not seem to concern them. 27 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:06,880 They want to get a break in the war in their  favor, so they have taken out of storage what   28 00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:12,560 can drive and shoot. That is why they are now  so actively "shuffling" units from one area to   29 00:02:12,560 --> 00:02:18,320 another. That is why they have set the task of  gaining the strategic initiative at any cost. 30 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:23,640 The Russian command believes that the capture  of Avdiivka, Marinka, Lyman, and Kupiansk will   31 00:02:23,640 --> 00:02:29,240 be enough to force the Ukrainian side to agree  to negotiations. Their goal is to recognize the   32 00:02:29,240 --> 00:02:33,680 occupied territories in favor of Russia and  to gain time to prepare for a possible new   33 00:02:33,680 --> 00:02:40,120 war with Ukraine. But the Russian side will  not be able to realize its strategic goal. 34 00:02:40,120 --> 00:02:44,760 During the last week we have observed maximum  activity of the enemy in the north, in the area   35 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:50,240 of the slag heap and the railroad. However, in  general, the fate of the defense of the Avdiivka   36 00:02:50,240 --> 00:02:55,880 area is likely to be decided not in the north, but  to the south of it. Where, the extent to which the   37 00:02:55,880 --> 00:03:00,560 enemy troops can bypass the main positions of  the AFU in Avdiivka is much greater than in the   38 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:05,520 north. In fact, they to the south have already  gone "for the flank" of the Ukrainian defense   39 00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:11,400 area in Avdiivka, and they only need to break  through to its rear in the area of Orlivka. 40 00:03:11,400 --> 00:03:15,880 The enemy's main forces are concentrated  to the south ... I think that another   41 00:03:15,880 --> 00:03:19,000 attempt to break through from the  south to the rear of the Avdiivka   42 00:03:19,000 --> 00:03:23,800 defense will obviously take  place in the near future.... 5296

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