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On the Tokmak direction, the occupiers have
significantly worn down their reserves and
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airborne units against the forces of Ukraine's
liberation.
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But they realized that throwing their elite
into pointless infantry assaults on the flanks
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is a futile business, so they are slowly redeploying
them to the Novoprokopivka area.
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But this is more like a Brownian movement
with a high probability of changing their
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minds in the future.
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A strategic reserve of the enemy, understaffed,
is already arriving there, but they have no
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other.
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Most likely, they will again turn to frontal
attacks on Robotino, using the advantage in
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personnel.
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This may slow down the Ukrainian offensive
in the depth from Robotino.
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But gives opportunities in other areas.
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We'll see how it goes, it's too early to draw
conclusions.
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But such a haste of the enemy indicates their
crisis in the operational management of troops
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on the Robotino bridgehead.
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They are trying by all means and forces to
stop the movement of the AFU, and therefore
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they make mistakes right on the move.
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Therefore, it is very important to capitalize
on the mistakes of the occupiers.
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They will be very hurt and will be forced
to adjust plans again.
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The flanks of Bakhmut.
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Heavy fighting continues along the railroad
and east of it near Klishchiivka and Andriivka.
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In at least three sections the railroad has
been passed.
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On one of them a bridgehead is already being
formed.
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When the appropriate conditions are created
- we should expect the resumption of larger-scale
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actions.
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And where it will be - Opytne, Odradivka or
even "Mariupol cemetery" - let the occupants
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guess.
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By the way, in the area of the cemetery the
enemy is now strengthening and building fortifications,
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probably they want Ukrainian artillery to
bury them right there, it is very symbolic.
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In Kurdyumivka also fighting continues and
there is a small advance.
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In the north there is actually parity, otherwise
no change.
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I would also like to touch on a seemingly
obvious point, but one that is overlooked
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by many.
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Ukraine continues to advance, and Russia continues
to retreat.
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And all the counterattacks of the enemy, which
are now more numerous, tell us what?
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There's a lot of talk in the media about the
Ukrainian counteroffensive, but the Russians
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then have what, a counter-counteroffensive?
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No, it's been a Ukrainian offensive for a
long time.
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Because when someone attacks and you attack
back, that's called a counteroffensive.
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Russia is constantly counterattacking in response
to the Ukrainian offensive.
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The fact that Russia is counterattacking shows
that it is adjusting, it needs to react.
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When you counterattack, it shows that you
don't have the initiative, the one who is
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attacking has it.
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It is important to say in the media that Ukraine
is now advancing, not counter-attacking.
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Because if someone says that Ukraine is counter-attacking,
it creates a false impression that the initiative
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is on the side of the Russians, but it is
not.
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Ukraine is offensive, including in this Bakhmut
direction, and the fact that Russia is counter-attacking
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shows that Ukraine still has the initiative
in its hands.
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