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Russian generals have an itch below
their backs, and they are in a hurry.
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Russia has transferred a unit of the
new 25th Combined Arms Army to Ukraine,
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which was planned to be deployed only in December
this year. Why such a rush and what is going on?
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And everything is very simple, there
is not enough meat in the defense.
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The 25th Combined Arms Army is called
an "amusing army" even among "smart"
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Russian officers, because it is
an unstaffed, unformed something.
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Every unit has two functions,
offensive and defense.
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In order for an average battalion-tactical
group to be able to carry out offensive actions,
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it should have a company set
of tanks, that is, 11 pieces,
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a battalion of Armoured fighting
vehicles, that is, 33 vehicles.
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And then there are barrel artillery, multiple
rocket launchers, electromagnetic warfare
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systems, short and medium-range air
defense missile systems, and so on.
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So, not a single Russian group is fully equipped.
Instead of 11 tanks there are 3, instead of 33
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Armoured fighting vehicles there are 2 times
less. And the 25th Combined Arms Army has only
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20 percent of the necessary equipment, which means
that the shortage of all equipment is 80 percent.
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There is only "meat of
dubious quality", but no iron.
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And under such conditions, this army can
neither attack nor defend effectively. It
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can only plug holes in the defense,
or create an imitation of offensive
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actions by sending units into the grinder and
pretend that it was advancing somewhere there.
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And why did they bring in this army? Because there
is not enough resource. When the Ukrainian defense
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forces began their offensive in the Zaporizhzhya
region, the Russians primarily used the reserve
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from the second line of defense to reinforce the
first. When the first line of defense was broken
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through and the AFU came to the second line of
defense and began to expand the bridgehead, it
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turned out that there was no reserve. It remained
tamped down at the first line to fertilize the
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Ukrainian black soil, so they had to transfer from
the Kherson region. But they realized in time,
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because in the left-bank Kherson region
they have the most poorly equipped grouping,
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and the Russian command decided to pull forces
from the Luhansk region. At the moment, these
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units are already being depleted in that very
triangle Novoprokopivka-Verbove-Ocheretuvate.
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And when you take from one bridgehead, you have
to fill it with something. So they threw the
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25th Combined Arms Army in there to make it look
like some kind of saturation of the bridgehead.
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The Russian troops have a serious problem
with technological resources, as well as
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with human resources, which can only be solved by
mobilization, and there is no mobilization yet.
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Will they be able to keep plugging
the holes with just people?
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No, it doesn't work that way. During WWII,
the Red Army threw people by the thousands
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just into the meat grinder and took Nazi
positions. But that mass of people had
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adequate support in terms of equipment. The
Soviet Union had lend-lease from partners, the
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military-industrial complex worked non-stop, all
enterprises produced products in huge quantities.
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And this mass of people pressed the enemy
positions with the support of rocket and barrel
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artillery, tanks and other equipment, in general
there was fire and mechanized support of the army.
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Just a mass of people does not solve anything and
this is what we are now seeing in the combat zone.
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Because since the second half of 2022 the Russian
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army has lost its defensive functions
with the corresponding conclusions...
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