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The Zaporizhzhya Triangle hasĀ
been revitalized. In general,Ā Ā
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this is not surprising, because thereĀ
was no lull, but hard work to createĀ Ā
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the conditions for "revitalization". InĀ
particular, to deplete the resource thatĀ Ā
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was transferred by the Russian command fromĀ
the Luhansk region to the Zaporizhzhya region.
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What is quite interesting is that as theĀ
Ukrainian Liberation Forces movement in theĀ Ā
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Novoprokopivka-Verbove-OcheretuvateĀ
triangle revived, the media startedĀ Ā
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talking about Putin allegedly orderingĀ
Defense Minister Shoigu to stop theĀ Ā
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Ukrainian army offensive in theĀ
Zaporizhzhya region at any cost.
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Letās just say that it willĀ
not be possible to stop,Ā Ā
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but they will try to slow down the advanceĀ
of the Ukrainian forces in the hope thatĀ Ā
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they will not break through the second line ofĀ
defense before the weather conditions worsen.
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Almost simultaneously, those Russian unitsĀ
that were supposed to take a direct partĀ Ā
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in encircling the Ukrainian defense forces inĀ
this triangle lost their combat effectiveness.Ā Ā
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A significant part of the officer staff ofĀ
one of the divisions was also eliminated.
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That is, those units that were supposed toĀ
take part in the "defeat" of the UkrainianĀ Ā
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attackers quickly became fatally fatigued. InĀ
the western and southwestern sector near Verbove,Ā Ā
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the Ukrainian armed forces advancedĀ
by passing the second boundary of theĀ Ā
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second line of defense, continuingĀ
to cover the village from the south.
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In addition, a very difficultĀ
fortification maze was passed,Ā Ā
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after the fall of which the occupantsĀ
have nothing to do at Novoprokopivka,Ā Ā
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but the tactics of the Russian command are notĀ
like that. They are not looking for easy ways.
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They will sit in all dens, trenches, foxholesĀ
to the last and no one will give them an orderĀ Ā
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to withdraw to other positions until somethingĀ
comes from the sky and calms them down forever.Ā Ā
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And once those positions are taken by theĀ
Ukrainian side, the occupiers will startĀ Ā
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counterattacking them frantically, trying toĀ
repel them. They are not changing their tactics.
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But, most importantly, they lose a resourceĀ
that cannot stop the advance of the AFU. TheyĀ Ā
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slow the enemy down, but they canāt stop himĀ
completely, and even that requires sufficientĀ Ā
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resources. But by dragging this resource forĀ
the meat grinder in the Zaporizhzhya Triangle,Ā Ā
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the bridgeheads from which this resourceĀ
is taken are weakened. Such an ouroboros,Ā Ā
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where the Russian side isĀ
biting itself not by the tail.
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In general, the Russian command is onceĀ
again faced with a dilemma. By takingĀ Ā
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resources from other bridgeheads, theyĀ
can create a precedent for the beginningĀ Ā
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of an offensive of the AFU where thisĀ
offensive is not expected. But withoutĀ Ā
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supplying Zaporizhzhya region withĀ
the necessary amount of resources,Ā Ā
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their second line of defense will collapse with aĀ
bang in October and pull the third line with it.
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And while the Russian command is in a stalemate,Ā
the Ukrainian side is solving its task - toĀ Ā
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improve its positions as much as possible, soĀ
that the rainy season and worsening weatherĀ Ā
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conditions will catch them where weatherĀ
conditions do not play a significant role.Ā Ā
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And in Zaporizhzhya region there can beĀ
three such areas, maximally unfavorable,Ā Ā
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medium tolerance and maximally positive forĀ
the actions of the Ukrainian side. And evenĀ Ā
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if the AFU enters the area of medium tolerance,Ā
it will be a defeat for the Russian command.
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Now the situation for the RussiansĀ
strongly resembles the events onĀ Ā
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the right bank of the Kherson region.
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