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The head of Ukrainian intelligence,
in an interview with the Economist,
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said that Ukraine has a chance to break
Russia's land corridor to Crimea before winter.
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Ukraine is conducting offensives in small groups,
platoon-company level, often combined groups.
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First, enemy units are mopped up with various
means of defeat, such as cluster munitions,
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HIMARS and others. Then they release
the Kraken in the form of many small
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assault groups, which liberate
the settlement or other point.
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This tactic will allow the Ukrainian liberation
forces to advance despite changing weather
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conditions and this winter will be different
from last winter in terms of combat dynamics.
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The attackers can advance through a destroyed
village, it makes no difference to them whether
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tanks can pass somewhere on the field or
not. After all, tanks are hardly ever used
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for their intended purpose now either,
because of the high density of mines.
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This brings us back not only to the words of the
head of intelligence, but also to the statements
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of other Ukrainian leaders that the Ukrainian
offensive will not stop and will continue.
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Does this mean that for a few more months the
Ukrainian armed forces will use these tactics?
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Yes, but at some point all these minefields
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have to end and the Ukrainians
will be able to use equipment.
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Western military chiefs keep dreaming
of this big land maneuver. Probably,
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and the Ukrainian generals would
not refuse, if the opportunity.
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Imagine a situation when one or another combat
section of the enemy's front falls apart. And
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you manage to withdraw tank and mechanized units
with the support of special forces and various
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infantry and sabotage units like the Kraken. You
get an opportunity to get out on a highway that
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is not mined, that is used for enemy logistics.
And due to the fact that the enemy forces are
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defeated in this area and he can not build a new
line of defense, why not take advantage of this ?
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But I will immediately bring a counterargument
- Russian aviation and helicopters.
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At the same time, aviation and helicopters
did not really save the occupants in the
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same Kharkiv operation because of the speed
of movement of mobile groups of the AFU.
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That is, the enemy is not very good with target
designation and time. When the airplanes flew
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to the mission, there were no Ukrainian
units there, they were already far ahead.
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The arguments and outrages of Western
top military officers and their remarks
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towards Ukraine, including various
Western analysts and observers are
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now slowly changing. A big analytical
report came out recently where the tops
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recognized that the Ukrainian command
is doing everything right, in fact.
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It says that the situation in which Ukraine found
itself, any other Western army, if it had found
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itself under such conditions, would have behaved
in exactly the same way, and maybe even worse.
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That is, the AFU, not having
superiority in the air still
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advances and suffer losses one to one and
even less than the Russians in defense.
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But according to all the books it should be 1 to
3 in favor of the defending side. This shows that
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the Ukrainian tactics are correct and there is
not a single reason why the offensive should stop.
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