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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:01,170 --> 00:00:05,529 Today we will talk about the "Summer Dissection" of the Russian forces, what to expect from 2 00:00:05,529 --> 00:00:10,420 the fall campaign and about the strange business in the Rabotyno area. 3 00:00:10,420 --> 00:00:14,610 In the north-eastern sector of the village of Novoprokopivka, the enemy forces lost their 4 00:00:14,610 --> 00:00:19,210 combat capability, were knocked out of the dominant heights and were forced to flee into 5 00:00:19,210 --> 00:00:20,470 the village. 6 00:00:20,470 --> 00:00:27,560 Earlier, in the area of Ilchenkovo village, Russian units were also withdrawn to the village. 7 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:31,869 Of course, they were withdrawn due to the loss of combat effectiveness and what is most 8 00:00:31,869 --> 00:00:37,730 interesting is that in the area of Ilchenkovo is the last dominant height in the location. 9 00:00:37,730 --> 00:00:41,760 Beyond that, there is a descent into lowlands. 10 00:00:41,760 --> 00:00:46,170 Some kind of unexpected wave of loss of combat effectiveness of Russian troops, or...? 11 00:00:46,170 --> 00:00:48,000 quite expected? 12 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:52,590 A classic loss of combat effectiveness of a unit is when losses reach 30% of the number 13 00:00:52,590 --> 00:00:55,090 of personnel and equipment. 14 00:00:55,090 --> 00:00:59,800 When a unit loses combat capability, it's removed from the combat zone to recover. 15 00:00:59,800 --> 00:01:06,550 But, back in 2022, Russian commanders abandoned the 30% threshold and increased it to 60%. 16 00:01:06,550 --> 00:01:12,189 It was quite difficult to surpass the effectiveness of the June and July battles, but in August 17 00:01:12,189 --> 00:01:16,719 the Ukrainian side set an absolute record for the number of Russian artillery they destroyed 18 00:01:16,719 --> 00:01:17,719 - 691 units! 19 00:01:17,719 --> 00:01:24,790 This, in turn, allows maintaining an average level of losses that exceeds the capacity 20 00:01:24,790 --> 00:01:27,570 of the Russian defense industry to replenish them. 21 00:01:27,570 --> 00:01:33,430 To simplify, the Ukrainians destroy more Russian artillery than the enemy produces and removes 22 00:01:33,430 --> 00:01:35,610 from storage. 23 00:01:35,610 --> 00:01:39,800 Also in August was the second indicator for the entire period of full-scale war on the 24 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:44,680 destruction of Russian logistics vehicles - 685 units. 25 00:01:44,680 --> 00:01:50,570 Previously, more were burned only in March 2022, when Russian logistics convoys were 26 00:01:50,570 --> 00:01:51,570 destroyed non-stop. 27 00:01:51,570 --> 00:01:55,760 That month, 865 units were burned. 28 00:01:55,760 --> 00:02:00,920 I made a table of how much Russian troops lost equipment and personnel during the summer 29 00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:02,200 campaign. 30 00:02:02,200 --> 00:02:05,180 Who is interested, put the video on pause. 31 00:02:05,180 --> 00:02:10,000 It is my strong belief that in September the emphasis will shift more to Armoured fighting 32 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:12,300 vehicles and tanks. 33 00:02:12,300 --> 00:02:17,760 In August, a tendency was noticed, and closer to October, its catalyzing is not excluded. 34 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:22,310 We are likely to have almost the most intensive month in terms of news. 35 00:02:22,310 --> 00:02:26,319 September will determine what the fall will be like, and the fall may answer what the 36 00:02:26,319 --> 00:02:28,760 war will be like next. 37 00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:33,459 And - if we're very lucky - roughly orient how quickly it will all be over. 38 00:02:33,459 --> 00:02:36,780 It probably won't be the month of the biggest battles. 39 00:02:36,780 --> 00:02:40,310 But it could be a month of small but crucial operations. 40 00:02:40,310 --> 00:02:45,610 Operations by a team of neurosurgeons, led by Ukrainian commanders.... 41 00:02:45,610 --> 00:02:47,989 So, what can we expect? 42 00:02:47,989 --> 00:02:53,220 A cautious continuation of the offensive in the south and the destruction of Russian defense 43 00:02:53,220 --> 00:02:54,220 infrastructure. 44 00:02:54,220 --> 00:02:59,659 Over the summer, Ukrainian Liberation Forces inflicted a serious defeat on Russian defensive 45 00:02:59,659 --> 00:03:01,269 positions. 46 00:03:01,269 --> 00:03:05,600 They successfully overcame minefields and important fortification nodes along several 47 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:08,970 strategically important Russian defense lines. 48 00:03:08,970 --> 00:03:13,500 These actions potentially brought the Ukrainian Armed Forces closer to Tokmak and Melitopol 49 00:03:13,500 --> 00:03:17,750 on one side, and Mariupol and Berdyansk on the other. 50 00:03:17,750 --> 00:03:22,380 And in September, the Ukrainian Armed Forces will continue to work to expand offensive 51 00:03:22,380 --> 00:03:25,080 bridgeheads and make further advances. 52 00:03:25,080 --> 00:03:29,370 This fall will show how depleted the enemy's defenses are and how demoralized are their 53 00:03:29,370 --> 00:03:30,790 personnel. 54 00:03:30,790 --> 00:03:36,280 And the Ukrainians, having dismantled the Russians sufficiently, will strike properly. 55 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:38,970 Time will tell how close to victory this strike will be. 5585

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