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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:06,309 --> 00:00:10,780 1,200 years ago, a catastrophe struck. 2 00:00:15,779 --> 00:00:22,219 One of the most extraordinary civilizations the world has known disappeared. 3 00:00:25,299 --> 00:00:27,882 Millions of people died. 4 00:00:27,869 --> 00:00:30,327 Some were savagely murdered. 5 00:00:36,129 --> 00:00:39,702 Why it happened is a mystery. 6 00:00:59,706 --> 00:01:03,893 This is the story of one man's search for the truth. 7 00:01:07,676 --> 00:01:14,582 For years, Dick Gill has been on a personal quest to discover why the magnificent Maya society collapsed. 8 00:01:17,056 --> 00:01:21,573 Hidden deep in the tropical rainforest of Central America, 9 00:01:21,556 --> 00:01:25,129 are the ruins of the lost city of Tikal. 10 00:01:27,136 --> 00:01:29,685 It's now deserted, 11 00:01:29,666 --> 00:01:35,582 but, 1,200 years ago, Tikal stood at the heart of the Maya civilisation. 12 00:01:46,956 --> 00:01:53,350 Tikal was one of the greatest cities in the world, home to 100,000 Maya. 13 00:01:58,026 --> 00:02:02,122 They were deeply spiritual, worshipping dozens of gods - 14 00:02:02,106 --> 00:02:06,851 of the sun and the moon, the earth and wind, fire and rain. 15 00:02:11,426 --> 00:02:14,828 Their priests were superhuman rulers. 16 00:02:14,806 --> 00:02:19,277 They alone could communicate with the celestial world of the gods. 17 00:02:25,536 --> 00:02:31,509 The Maya lived in what is today Southern Mexico and Central America. 18 00:02:32,526 --> 00:02:36,759 From the jungles and plains rose cities and towns, 19 00:02:36,746 --> 00:02:39,431 great centres of worship, 20 00:02:39,416 --> 00:02:42,101 of art and learning. 21 00:02:48,416 --> 00:02:51,670 The Maya's achievements were staggering. 22 00:02:51,656 --> 00:02:56,730 They developed their own writing and mastered astronomy and mathematics. 23 00:02:58,126 --> 00:03:04,748 But they were also capable of brutality - sacrificing human victims to appease the gods. 24 00:03:09,796 --> 00:03:12,345 In the 9th century AD, 25 00:03:12,326 --> 00:03:17,639 it was a thriving culture. But then, at the very height of their glory, 26 00:03:17,626 --> 00:03:21,062 something terrible happened. 27 00:03:30,706 --> 00:03:33,528 In less than 100 years, 28 00:03:33,516 --> 00:03:36,338 the Maya were all but obliterated. 29 00:03:36,326 --> 00:03:39,864 Tikal and other cities were abandoned for ever. 30 00:03:43,686 --> 00:03:47,645 Archaeologists have always been mystified - 31 00:03:47,626 --> 00:03:54,760 why did a civilisation that had lasted for almost 2,000 years disappear in such a short time? 32 00:03:57,516 --> 00:04:02,124 Dick Gill's mission to solve this mystery started in 1968 33 00:04:02,106 --> 00:04:06,304 when a holiday in Mexico changed his life. 34 00:04:08,066 --> 00:04:13,004 I felt this magnetic attraction. I'm not really sure why, 35 00:04:12,986 --> 00:04:15,626 but I did feel it. 36 00:04:15,606 --> 00:04:20,828 I went home and told everyone that I was going to work with the Maya. 37 00:04:20,816 --> 00:04:25,982 Of course, my friends and family were quite amused by the idea. 38 00:04:29,626 --> 00:04:36,726 Back in Texas, they laughed, because Dick was the most unlikely person to tackle this puzzle. 39 00:04:36,706 --> 00:04:42,201 When I first turned my attention to the collapse of Maya civilisation, 40 00:04:42,186 --> 00:04:44,780 I was a banker. 41 00:04:44,766 --> 00:04:50,273 I was really an outsider with respect to the archaeological community. 42 00:04:52,646 --> 00:04:59,643 Archaeologists treated him with derision. What could a banker tell them that they didn't already know? 43 00:04:59,626 --> 00:05:04,803 Then fate stepped in. The family bank collapsed. 44 00:05:06,566 --> 00:05:09,354 I gave up banking 45 00:05:09,336 --> 00:05:15,776 and I set out on a quest to resolve the age-old mystery of what happened to the Maya. 46 00:05:55,086 --> 00:06:01,469 As he was now out of a job, Dick went back to college and studied archaeology, 47 00:06:01,456 --> 00:06:05,927 devoting his life to solving the riddle of the Maya. 48 00:06:05,916 --> 00:06:13,710 First, he needed to establish the scale of the disaster. How many people had actually disappeared? 49 00:06:16,456 --> 00:06:19,198 Dick knew just the man to ask. 50 00:06:26,966 --> 00:06:32,040 One of the first archaeologists to encourage Dick was Fred Valdez. 51 00:06:32,026 --> 00:06:36,771 Fred has turned his back on the glamorous Maya temples and palaces 52 00:06:36,756 --> 00:06:42,547 and, instead, works with his team deep in the mosquito-ridden jungle. 53 00:06:56,916 --> 00:07:02,878 They're looking for traces of the houses where the ordinary Maya lived. 54 00:07:02,866 --> 00:07:09,169 Fred calculates from the number of stone foundations, how many people once lived here. 55 00:07:09,156 --> 00:07:11,887 He was amazed. 56 00:07:11,866 --> 00:07:14,699 It was most surprising. 57 00:07:14,686 --> 00:07:21,490 The biggest surprise for us on the project was how large the population was, out away from the major centres. 58 00:07:21,476 --> 00:07:25,288 We're talking millions and millions of ancient inhabitants. 59 00:07:27,056 --> 00:07:32,233 But, suddenly, 1,200 years ago, the house building stopped. 60 00:07:34,186 --> 00:07:36,541 The Maya that were living here 61 00:07:36,526 --> 00:07:41,043 were very interested in continuing to occupy this location. 62 00:07:41,026 --> 00:07:47,841 They built one house over the other. That's what these floors represent. With this last floor, 63 00:07:47,826 --> 00:07:52,388 that was the end of construction. Then this place is abandoned. 64 00:08:03,526 --> 00:08:06,837 The mystery is, what happened? 65 00:08:06,816 --> 00:08:09,683 There's no sign of mass migration, 66 00:08:09,666 --> 00:08:14,183 no increase in population anywhere else. 67 00:08:14,166 --> 00:08:19,115 This led Fred to one horrible conclusion. 68 00:08:19,096 --> 00:08:25,581 I would estimate that 80% to, perhaps, as much as 90% of the population died off at this time. 69 00:08:30,856 --> 00:08:36,363 Most of the Maya probably died, here in the very place they were born. 70 00:08:44,966 --> 00:08:49,483 It's possible up to 11 million people perished. 71 00:08:49,466 --> 00:08:54,222 What could explain how so many died, so quickly? 72 00:08:57,866 --> 00:09:04,306 Dick's quest was given an even greater poignancy by a grim discovery. 73 00:09:20,926 --> 00:09:28,629 In 1980, archaeologist Torn Hester and his team were digging near an ancient Maya palace. 74 00:09:30,626 --> 00:09:33,505 When we began to excavate, 75 00:09:33,486 --> 00:09:37,161 it was the most dramatic thing I've ever seen. 76 00:09:46,328 --> 00:09:53,052 On the top of the neck, the top of the back, is a single, killing blow. 77 00:09:56,078 --> 00:10:00,595 "Oh, my God! What is this?" Nobody had ever seen anything like this. 78 00:10:03,488 --> 00:10:10,167 They'd found evidence of savage murder at precisely the same time as the Maya collapse. 79 00:10:11,508 --> 00:10:15,695 The scar on the bone shows that the axe that was used, 80 00:10:15,678 --> 00:10:20,388 the weapon that was used, came up from the bottom of the body 81 00:10:20,368 --> 00:10:24,601 up towards the chin, up towards the back of the ears 82 00:10:24,588 --> 00:10:28,638 and the back of the head. Right like this. 83 00:10:31,288 --> 00:10:37,728 Finding the skulls and no bodies attached to them was...quite a shock. 84 00:10:39,958 --> 00:10:42,973 This is a six-year-old child 85 00:10:42,958 --> 00:10:48,692 and, over the corner of the eyes, there are cut marks. 86 00:10:48,678 --> 00:10:53,002 Part of the face, if not all of the face, was removed. 87 00:10:58,288 --> 00:11:02,475 We found 30 - ten men, ten women, ten children. 88 00:11:08,508 --> 00:11:15,460 What affected me was. . .just the sheer mass of the number of skulls. 89 00:11:16,808 --> 00:11:23,521 The most horrible killing is to a baby - a six-month old. 90 00:11:23,508 --> 00:11:25,727 On the baby, 91 00:11:25,708 --> 00:11:31,021 the killer didn't stop with one blow. It didn't sever the head. 92 00:11:32,278 --> 00:11:35,384 And there's a second chop 93 00:11:35,368 --> 00:11:40,022 comes in from the back of the neck that delivered 94 00:11:40,008 --> 00:11:46,072 a much deeper, a much stronger blow to the back of the head than to the front. 95 00:11:47,328 --> 00:11:50,298 Truly, a horrible, horrible thing. 96 00:11:55,198 --> 00:11:59,999 These killings did not bear the hallmarks of ritual human sacrifice. 97 00:12:06,308 --> 00:12:13,169 The unusual savagery suggested a society in the midst of some cataclysmic shock. 98 00:12:17,698 --> 00:12:23,489 I felt, whatever the explanation for the Maya disappearance was, 99 00:12:23,468 --> 00:12:31,455 it had to explain the disappearance of millions of people and it had to cover the whole Maya area. 100 00:12:31,438 --> 00:12:37,593 We're talking about hundreds of miles, north and south, east and west. 101 00:12:37,578 --> 00:12:43,210 I looked at some explanations that had been proposed - 102 00:12:43,198 --> 00:12:48,045 warfare, disease, declining agricultural productivity, 103 00:12:48,028 --> 00:12:54,286 plant disease, religious inflexibility and on and on. 104 00:12:54,268 --> 00:12:56,908 I've collected over a hundred now. 105 00:12:58,488 --> 00:13:02,630 Dick was unconvinced by any of the conventional theories, 106 00:13:02,608 --> 00:13:08,160 which failed to account for the speed and scale of the Maya collapse. 107 00:13:08,138 --> 00:13:10,880 There must be something else, 108 00:13:10,858 --> 00:13:14,294 something the academic world had neglected. 109 00:13:15,688 --> 00:13:20,250 It was then that I turned my attention to natural disasters, 110 00:13:20,238 --> 00:13:24,232 to see whether there might be a natural disaster, 111 00:13:24,218 --> 00:13:30,373 that explained how this great civilisation came to an end so quickly. 112 00:13:39,878 --> 00:13:43,269 Dick had one particular disaster in mind, 113 00:13:43,248 --> 00:13:47,446 a force of nature that he knows all too well. 114 00:13:48,638 --> 00:13:52,313 I'm a Texan. I know what drought can do. 115 00:13:52,298 --> 00:13:55,780 I have lived with drought all of my life. 116 00:14:05,048 --> 00:14:11,488 I was a child in the 1950s when Texas was devastated by a serious drought. 117 00:14:21,548 --> 00:14:27,146 I remember my father taking me into the hill country near San Antonio. 118 00:14:27,128 --> 00:14:31,884 I remember seeing the dead animals, the countryside burned to a crisp, 119 00:14:31,868 --> 00:14:36,704 the sunny days that went on and on and on without end. 120 00:14:36,688 --> 00:14:40,454 There was nothing that anyone could do. 121 00:14:40,438 --> 00:14:46,172 The drought started when it started and it finally ended when it ended. 122 00:14:55,768 --> 00:15:00,751 It was a very dramatic experience and it is one... 123 00:15:00,738 --> 00:15:03,571 that is burned into my memory. 124 00:15:03,558 --> 00:15:05,720 And... 125 00:15:05,708 --> 00:15:11,863 it has left me with a very clear understanding... 126 00:15:11,848 --> 00:15:19,608 of the awful, devastating, destructive power of drought. 127 00:15:37,208 --> 00:15:44,490 It would be difficult for Dick to persuade sceptical archaeologists that the Maya had run out of water. 128 00:15:44,478 --> 00:15:50,167 His theory had one very big and rather obvious problem. 129 00:15:51,278 --> 00:15:54,293 THUNDER CRASHES 130 00:15:55,358 --> 00:16:00,296 Tikal is in the middle of a rainforest. 131 00:16:04,778 --> 00:16:11,445 I can understand why many of my colleagues have difficulty accepting the possibility 132 00:16:11,428 --> 00:16:16,184 that drought would occur in many parts of the Maya lowlands. 133 00:16:16,168 --> 00:16:21,208 After all, we're sitting here in Tikal, surrounded by high forest. 134 00:16:21,188 --> 00:16:28,845 We've seen parrots flying in and out among the tree tops, toucans, vines hanging out of the branches, 135 00:16:28,828 --> 00:16:32,219 there are rainstorms all around us today. 136 00:16:32,198 --> 00:16:37,238 It's hard to convince someone that, yes, right here in this spot, 137 00:16:37,218 --> 00:16:43,180 they had a terrible drought and it wiped out a great civilisation. 138 00:16:44,298 --> 00:16:47,598 It's just... hard to accept. 139 00:16:47,578 --> 00:16:50,263 It's kind of intuitive. 140 00:16:58,028 --> 00:17:04,934 But a clue from the present day suggested that Dick's idea might not be quite so outlandish. 141 00:17:09,698 --> 00:17:14,829 Here, the descendants of the few Maya who survived the catastrophe 142 00:17:14,808 --> 00:17:16,651 are praying for rain. 143 00:17:19,218 --> 00:17:27,205 Secret ceremonies take place at the end of the dry season. While the women prepare a feast for the gods, 144 00:17:27,188 --> 00:17:33,764 the men perform rituals, combining Maya and Christian ceremonies. 145 00:17:37,458 --> 00:17:41,270 HE PRAYS IN OWN LANGUAGE 146 00:17:48,328 --> 00:17:55,098 Pleading with the gods, just like their ancestors did, not to allow the rains to fail. 147 00:18:11,818 --> 00:18:19,191 Dick went back to Tikal, searching for evidence that the ancient Maya were in fear of drought. 148 00:18:19,178 --> 00:18:26,175 Far from any rivers or lakes, the people of Tikal were completely reliant on the summer rains, 149 00:18:26,158 --> 00:18:29,412 which last for six months of the year. 150 00:18:39,518 --> 00:18:47,039 Dick was fascinated to find that the whole city was designed to conserve water. 151 00:18:47,018 --> 00:18:52,058 Plazas and streets sloped to channel the rain into dozens of reservoirs. 152 00:18:52,038 --> 00:18:56,748 The main problem the Mayas had in Tikal was solving the water problem 153 00:18:56,728 --> 00:19:00,813 since we have no rivers, no lake and no underground waters. 154 00:19:00,798 --> 00:19:07,704 Dick has enlisted the help of local guide, Rafeno Ortiz who knows every inch of the city. 155 00:19:07,688 --> 00:19:14,833 As you notice, there is a reservoir here. We're going to go down the side of a retaining wall. 156 00:19:14,818 --> 00:19:19,710 What is this we're coming down? One of the largest reservoirs... 157 00:19:19,698 --> 00:19:27,219 Rafeno is taking Dick to hidden parts of Tikal - one of the huge reservoirs now smothered by jungle. 158 00:19:27,198 --> 00:19:30,350 Do you have any idea how deep it is? 159 00:19:30,338 --> 00:19:37,529 From the top to the bottom of the reservoir, there's about 125ft of depth. How much water will it hold? 160 00:19:37,508 --> 00:19:43,470 This has the capacity, it's estimated, about 100 million gallons of water. 161 00:19:43,458 --> 00:19:48,635 These are rain-fed reservoirs. This had to fill up from rainwater. 162 00:19:48,618 --> 00:19:50,973 Exactly. Everything is rain fed here 163 00:19:50,958 --> 00:19:56,510 because, at Tikal, we don't have lakes, rivers or underground water. 164 00:19:56,488 --> 00:20:03,110 So they had to use the surface areas to channel the water and store it in these low reservoirs. 165 00:20:03,098 --> 00:20:07,387 So, if they didn't get rain, they were in trouble. Exactly. 166 00:20:20,398 --> 00:20:26,883 So, Tikal's only source of drinking water during the dry months were the reservoirs. 167 00:20:29,728 --> 00:20:36,122 If the annual rains failed to fill them, the Maya would be in serious trouble. 168 00:20:58,046 --> 00:21:02,984 Dick still needed proof that there had ever been a drought at all, 169 00:21:02,966 --> 00:21:06,038 and that took him to Mexico City. 170 00:21:09,626 --> 00:21:14,848 Hola. Soy Dick Gill. Tengo una cita para revisar datos meteorologicas... 171 00:21:14,826 --> 00:21:19,775 20.25.19.87. 172 00:21:19,756 --> 00:21:26,560 1.15.1.5.18.75. 173 00:21:26,546 --> 00:21:33,225 To his delight, the city authority's meticulous weather records revealed just what he'd hoped to find. 174 00:21:33,206 --> 00:21:36,358 14. 6.25. 175 00:21:36,346 --> 00:21:39,168 89.62. 176 00:21:39,156 --> 00:21:44,560 'It turns out that, in the last century,' 177 00:21:44,546 --> 00:21:49,074 there was one severe drought. It was really a pretty bad drought. 178 00:21:49,056 --> 00:21:53,141 In fact, it happened in 1902, 1903 and 1904. 179 00:21:53,126 --> 00:21:59,714 Given the fact that really severe drought is so rare, we're pretty lucky that it showed up, 180 00:21:59,696 --> 00:22:03,223 in this 100-year record that we have here. 181 00:22:05,226 --> 00:22:08,947 A drought that lasted three years proved to Dick 182 00:22:08,926 --> 00:22:14,148 that severe droughts not only could happen, but had happened. 183 00:22:14,126 --> 00:22:18,131 This was, certainly, a very extraordinary moment. 184 00:22:18,116 --> 00:22:23,850 If a pretty bad drought happened at least once, maybe it happened twice. 185 00:22:23,836 --> 00:22:29,002 And maybe that other time was when the Maya disappeared. 186 00:22:32,176 --> 00:22:39,321 But one destructive drought in the last 100 years was not enough to hang a whole theory on. 187 00:22:39,306 --> 00:22:42,549 He had to search further back in time. 188 00:22:43,566 --> 00:22:51,178 To delve more deeply into Mexican history, Dick had to visit a most unlikely place - 189 00:22:51,166 --> 00:22:53,715 the city prison. 190 00:22:56,606 --> 00:23:03,182 Now the national archives, it houses a unique collection of handwritten books, 191 00:23:03,166 --> 00:23:06,796 some dating back to the 16th century. 192 00:23:06,776 --> 00:23:10,872 WHISPERING: "The land was everywhere dry and barren." 193 00:23:10,856 --> 00:23:15,930 "Those became the five years during which there was nothing to eat." 194 00:23:15,916 --> 00:23:19,068 "The deadly hunger continued." 195 00:23:19,056 --> 00:23:21,935 "There was no water in the wells." 196 00:23:21,916 --> 00:23:27,605 After months of searching, Dick found a number of haunting accounts 197 00:23:27,586 --> 00:23:34,538 of devastating droughts from the Yucatan province of Mexico - the heartland of the ancient Maya. 198 00:23:34,526 --> 00:23:37,496 "The entire forest was burned." 199 00:23:37,476 --> 00:23:41,151 "That which came was a drought 200 00:23:41,136 --> 00:23:45,562 "where the hooves of the animals were burnt." 201 00:23:45,546 --> 00:23:49,312 VOICES CONTINUE TO WHISPER 202 00:23:57,726 --> 00:24:04,678 These reports that are contained in these books here, are reports made by the Spanish colonial authorities 203 00:24:04,666 --> 00:24:09,046 to their superiors in Mexico City or in Madrid. 204 00:24:09,026 --> 00:24:13,782 This one, for example, that I've found, is a plea for help 205 00:24:13,766 --> 00:24:16,679 from the authorities in Yucatan. 206 00:24:16,666 --> 00:24:20,625 The crops had been very bad in the year 1795. 207 00:24:20,606 --> 00:24:23,257 They were running out of grain. 208 00:24:23,236 --> 00:24:30,427 They were very much afraid that the terrible death they had seen so much in the past would repeat itself. 209 00:24:31,956 --> 00:24:34,505 So they say, "Send help now." 210 00:24:36,406 --> 00:24:40,730 Dick was now certain that he was on the right track. 211 00:25:11,706 --> 00:25:18,419 He now had evidence of several severe droughts. But that wasn't enough. 212 00:25:18,406 --> 00:25:23,719 There were no records for as far back as the 9th century. 213 00:25:30,036 --> 00:25:36,897 Back at the ranch, Dick's research now took off in a completely new direction. 214 00:25:37,906 --> 00:25:42,525 He studied meteorology and read hundreds of scientific papers, 215 00:25:42,506 --> 00:25:47,956 looking for anything that might shed light on the collapse of the Maya. 216 00:25:49,116 --> 00:25:53,587 I don't think climate events happen in isolation. 217 00:25:53,566 --> 00:25:56,718 Weather is part of a global pattern. 218 00:25:56,706 --> 00:26:02,725 So I began looking at ancient climate records from all over the world, 219 00:26:02,706 --> 00:26:09,612 trying to understand what was going on around the world at the time that the Maya disappeared. 220 00:26:09,596 --> 00:26:14,215 I looked at records from North America, South America, 221 00:26:14,196 --> 00:26:18,758 from Australia, from Asia, from Europe. 222 00:26:20,566 --> 00:26:24,708 And it was from Europe that he got his breakthrough. 223 00:26:24,696 --> 00:26:27,518 A paper with the catchy title... 224 00:26:27,506 --> 00:26:34,412 "Dendorochronology, mass balance and glacier front fluctuations in Northern Sweden." 225 00:26:34,396 --> 00:26:37,411 The dates just leapt out at him. 226 00:26:37,396 --> 00:26:42,527 1,200 years ago, at precisely the time when the Maya collapsed, 227 00:26:42,506 --> 00:26:47,216 tree rings in Sweden revealed an exceptionally cold period. 228 00:26:47,196 --> 00:26:52,088 Could freezing weather in Europe be linked to drought in Central America? 229 00:26:52,066 --> 00:26:56,071 The experts were extremely sceptical. 230 00:26:57,416 --> 00:27:05,028 The first thing that I did was to get in contact with distinguished and respectable meteorologists 231 00:27:05,006 --> 00:27:11,776 to ask them what kind of a tie can there be here? No-one had really looked at this before. 232 00:27:15,136 --> 00:27:19,835 I seem to have been the first to have stumbled across this. 233 00:27:19,816 --> 00:27:23,730 In fact, I got one letter that said 234 00:27:23,716 --> 00:27:29,211 that most meteorologists would probably find the idea far-fetched. 235 00:27:30,886 --> 00:27:33,856 It was nothing more than a hunch. 236 00:27:34,776 --> 00:27:39,156 People get hunches and they follow up on their hunches. 237 00:27:39,136 --> 00:27:42,993 My hunch was that there was a connection. 238 00:27:47,576 --> 00:27:53,629 Dick threw himself back into the record books, looking for the connection. 239 00:27:53,616 --> 00:28:00,670 The best place to start, he thought, was one of the weather systems that links Europe and Central America - 240 00:28:00,656 --> 00:28:05,218 the North Atlantic high-pressure system. 241 00:28:05,196 --> 00:28:07,881 It was a daunting task. 242 00:28:07,866 --> 00:28:12,064 As you can see, I've got over 1,000 pages of just numbers. 243 00:28:12,046 --> 00:28:19,373 I almost went blind trying to find which was the highest pressure out of all of these numbers here. 244 00:28:19,356 --> 00:28:23,873 It was just thousands of pages that I had to go through. 245 00:28:27,516 --> 00:28:30,850 He scoured the records for the 20th century. 246 00:28:30,836 --> 00:28:34,318 It took him over two years. 247 00:28:36,656 --> 00:28:39,432 But what he found was a revelation. 248 00:28:40,736 --> 00:28:46,937 Areas of high pressure are associated with calm, settled weather. 249 00:28:46,916 --> 00:28:51,012 There are high-pressure systems in the North Atlantic. 250 00:28:50,996 --> 00:28:57,481 One in particular normally stays near Europe, and that's where it was for most of the time. 251 00:28:57,466 --> 00:29:05,226 But Dick discovered that, just once during the 20th century, this system moved towards Central America. 252 00:29:06,846 --> 00:29:11,079 That was a time of severe drought in the Maya lowlands, 253 00:29:11,066 --> 00:29:17,779 AND it was a period where the coldest Arctic temperatures were recorded for the 20th century. 254 00:29:29,956 --> 00:29:34,894 Dick had found that weather systems half a world apart could be linked. 255 00:29:34,876 --> 00:29:37,800 Was he at last onto something? 256 00:29:40,456 --> 00:29:44,086 There was only one man who could tell - 257 00:29:44,066 --> 00:29:46,808 climate modeller Tony Broccoli. 258 00:29:48,236 --> 00:29:51,911 With the computer, I can change the world's climate. 259 00:29:54,896 --> 00:30:00,062 I don't have to go to the polar regions or sweat in the Tropics. 260 00:30:00,046 --> 00:30:06,861 I can just sit in my office, comfortable and dry, and perform my experiments. 261 00:30:06,846 --> 00:30:11,647 At the touch of a button on my keyboard, I can, say... 262 00:30:11,626 --> 00:30:14,414 make the sun stronger or brighter 263 00:30:14,396 --> 00:30:20,221 and see what happens to the rains in tropical Africa or the US. 264 00:30:26,116 --> 00:30:32,271 In his virtual world, Tony has a unique overview of the Earth's climate. 265 00:30:33,286 --> 00:30:40,386 This map shows us the distribution of rain throughout the whole world for a particular time of year. 266 00:30:40,366 --> 00:30:47,079 This is January, and one of the interesting features is this rain belt throughout the tropical regions. 267 00:30:49,086 --> 00:30:52,659 As we go through the seasons - 268 00:30:52,646 --> 00:30:55,525 January, February, March - 269 00:30:55,506 --> 00:31:01,058 we see that that tropical rain belt slowly shifts northward. 270 00:31:01,036 --> 00:31:05,178 We see the rains come to Central America 271 00:31:05,166 --> 00:31:09,069 during June, July, August, September. 272 00:31:13,506 --> 00:31:17,886 Tony looked at what might shift these tropical rains 273 00:31:17,866 --> 00:31:21,541 away from Central America, creating drought. 274 00:31:25,276 --> 00:31:30,305 Here, he starts with a tropical rain belt on top of the equator. 275 00:31:30,286 --> 00:31:34,996 But when he makes the far north colder, the effect is dramatic. 276 00:31:36,006 --> 00:31:40,944 The rain belt is forced south and doesn't reach Central America. 277 00:31:40,926 --> 00:31:43,805 The result is drought. 278 00:31:45,286 --> 00:31:52,431 It would only take a relatively small shift in the average position of that tropical rain belt 279 00:31:52,416 --> 00:32:00,028 to make the difference between abundant summer rains in Central America and drought conditions. 280 00:32:08,733 --> 00:32:15,025 Dick was now more convinced than ever that it was drought that had destroyed the Maya. 281 00:32:19,893 --> 00:32:24,547 Support for his theory came from a most surprising place. 282 00:32:25,653 --> 00:32:28,725 The frozen north. 283 00:32:35,543 --> 00:32:40,162 Paul Mayewski, an expert in ancient climates, 284 00:32:40,143 --> 00:32:45,309 was intrigued by Dick's idea about exceptional weather conditions. 285 00:32:45,293 --> 00:32:51,551 Not for him the warm comfort of an office. He prefers the freezing landscape of Greenland 286 00:32:51,533 --> 00:32:56,187 where he analyses chemicals in the ice. 287 00:32:56,173 --> 00:33:01,395 The beauty of the ice cores is they've built up over the years, 288 00:33:01,373 --> 00:33:06,413 each layer preserving precise evidence of past climates. 289 00:33:08,173 --> 00:33:13,771 If we walked outside right now, we could tell that it was cloudy, cool 290 00:33:13,753 --> 00:33:17,053 and that there wasn't a great deal of wind. 291 00:33:17,033 --> 00:33:23,143 But we wouldn't know about the greenhouse gas content, if the oceans were stormy. 292 00:33:23,123 --> 00:33:30,359 We wouldn't be able to tell as richly what we can tell from the ice-core record going back through time. 293 00:33:30,343 --> 00:33:34,678 That's a pretty odd thought when you think about it. 294 00:33:34,663 --> 00:33:41,433 It's almost better at telling us about the past than we're able to tell by going outside. 295 00:33:43,233 --> 00:33:50,572 Paul has constructed a uniquely accurate history of global weather from his ice cores. 296 00:33:50,553 --> 00:33:57,175 When he heard about Dick's drought theory, he decided to check his cores for the 9th century. 297 00:33:57,163 --> 00:34:04,627 Would HE be able to find evidence of any dramatic climate change in the northern hemisphere? 298 00:34:04,613 --> 00:34:09,039 First thing that we looked at was our record of ammonium. 299 00:34:09,023 --> 00:34:15,406 Ammonium is a chemical that gets into the atmosphere which tells us whether or not there was... 300 00:34:15,393 --> 00:34:19,955 a lot of vegetation in the northern hemisphere. 301 00:34:19,943 --> 00:34:24,983 If there's a lot of vegetation, one assumes it was probably warm and wet. 302 00:34:24,963 --> 00:34:29,764 Low amounts - it was probably drought conditions. The soil had dried up. 303 00:34:32,183 --> 00:34:37,485 When he looked at the ice that was 1,200 years old, he was astonished. 304 00:34:37,473 --> 00:34:43,207 We found that there was a tremendous drop in ammonium. 305 00:34:43,193 --> 00:34:50,008 They'd probably not experienced a drought like this going back 2,000, maybe 3,000 years. 306 00:34:51,443 --> 00:34:54,925 So the ice cores confirmed Dick's hunch. 307 00:34:54,913 --> 00:35:01,353 At the time of the Maya collapse, it was dry and cold across the northern hemisphere - 308 00:35:01,333 --> 00:35:05,622 conditions that would indicate drought in the Maya areas. 309 00:35:26,083 --> 00:35:29,815 But archaeologists remained unconvinced. 310 00:35:29,793 --> 00:35:36,893 If there HAD been such a severe drought, why was there no record of it in the Maya's own chronicles? 311 00:35:39,213 --> 00:35:45,755 The Maya carvings tell of great battles, of ruling dynasties and all-powerful gods. 312 00:35:45,733 --> 00:35:48,612 But on drought, they are silent. 313 00:36:11,603 --> 00:36:14,618 I decided to see 314 00:36:14,603 --> 00:36:20,064 whether the Maya had written anything about drought. 315 00:36:20,043 --> 00:36:24,332 We don't find anything on their monuments and buildings, 316 00:36:24,313 --> 00:36:30,980 but, IF drought were a regular part of Maya life, they must have written about it somewhere. 317 00:36:30,963 --> 00:36:33,842 Then he had a stroke of luck. 318 00:36:33,823 --> 00:36:41,196 He came across this rare manuscript written by the Maya, one of the few not destroyed by the Spaniards. 319 00:36:43,623 --> 00:36:49,687 I came to this Maya book to see whether there was any discussion of drought 320 00:36:49,673 --> 00:36:53,769 and, right here on the last page, there it is. 321 00:36:53,753 --> 00:36:57,417 There's a hieroglyphic symbol for drought. 322 00:36:57,403 --> 00:37:04,878 They did write about drought, it was an ongoing part of their life, and there it is right there. 323 00:37:09,083 --> 00:37:14,635 It was just what he'd hoped to find - a voice from the past. 324 00:37:17,333 --> 00:37:24,194 But despite all the evidence he was accumulating, Dick's theory was still questioned by archaeologists. 325 00:37:26,473 --> 00:37:31,411 Drought as a solution to the Maya collapse 326 00:37:31,393 --> 00:37:37,742 has been very difficult for most of my colleagues in archaeology to accept. 327 00:37:37,723 --> 00:37:42,433 The current theories about the collapse of advanced civilizations, 328 00:37:42,413 --> 00:37:48,102 are that you have to have a very complex explanation 329 00:37:48,083 --> 00:37:52,975 and that an idea as simple as the idea of drought is too simple, 330 00:37:52,953 --> 00:37:56,912 and is probably proposed by a simpleton! 331 00:38:06,363 --> 00:38:12,518 But the final proof Dick was so desperately seeking was just around the corner. 332 00:38:16,393 --> 00:38:20,864 Out of the blue came a discovery made by three geologists, 333 00:38:20,853 --> 00:38:25,745 who had no particular interest in the history of the Maya. 334 00:38:25,723 --> 00:38:28,693 A University of Florida team 335 00:38:28,673 --> 00:38:35,909 happened to be researching climate history at their favourite location - the Yucatan in Mexico. 336 00:38:35,893 --> 00:38:39,193 Our basic research is to try to understand 337 00:38:39,173 --> 00:38:45,431 how the climate of the Yucatan has changed through the last several thousand years. 338 00:38:45,413 --> 00:38:47,632 In particular, 339 00:38:47,613 --> 00:38:53,495 we're interested in how rainfall may have varied over that time period. 340 00:38:56,853 --> 00:39:03,759 The focus of their attention is the bottom of the lake where the mud holds the secrets of past climates. 341 00:39:13,113 --> 00:39:18,335 They take a core down through the mud, layers and layers of sediment 342 00:39:18,323 --> 00:39:21,987 which have built up over thousands of years. 343 00:39:21,973 --> 00:39:28,458 We're taking it up from the bottom using these screw-together rods. 344 00:39:28,443 --> 00:39:33,529 At the bottom of this, we hope, we'll have a tube full of sediment. 345 00:39:33,513 --> 00:39:38,212 Sediments are a great trap of environmental information. 346 00:39:38,193 --> 00:39:45,338 Sediments will collect things like pollen and snail shells and bits of leaves and twigs. 347 00:39:46,823 --> 00:39:51,431 As they brought one core out of the water, they were amazed. 348 00:39:51,413 --> 00:39:56,260 Straightaway, they could see evidence of a severe drought. 349 00:39:56,243 --> 00:40:00,862 We have some very nice gypsum bands toward the base of this core. 350 00:40:00,843 --> 00:40:05,644 They indicate very dry periods, extreme drought in the area, 351 00:40:05,623 --> 00:40:09,810 when the lake level fell very low at some time in the past. 352 00:40:09,793 --> 00:40:12,945 Back in the lab, there was another surprise. 353 00:40:12,933 --> 00:40:18,531 This time, it came from the tiny snail shells found in the mud. 354 00:40:19,493 --> 00:40:25,705 In the shells are two sorts of oxygen from the lake water - a heavy one and a light one. 355 00:40:25,683 --> 00:40:29,870 Plenty of rain, and the light oxygen dominates. 356 00:40:29,853 --> 00:40:36,896 More of the heavy oxygen means it was dry. When they analysed the snails, they were astonished. 357 00:40:36,883 --> 00:40:41,116 They found a surge of heavy oxygen. 358 00:40:43,683 --> 00:40:48,621 It was the worst drought in the last 7,000 years. 359 00:40:48,603 --> 00:40:51,197 Do it very gently. 360 00:40:54,703 --> 00:40:57,297 But they had no way of knowing 361 00:40:57,283 --> 00:41:01,698 exactly when this apocalyptic drought had happened. 362 00:41:02,713 --> 00:41:05,307 Then they had a stroke of luck. 363 00:41:05,293 --> 00:41:11,733 Right in the middle of the driest part of the mud core, they found what they needed. 364 00:41:14,063 --> 00:41:16,555 A single seed. 365 00:41:21,613 --> 00:41:24,719 They sent it to be dated. 366 00:41:27,613 --> 00:41:33,438 When I looked at the result for the first time, it really was a eureka experience! 367 00:41:33,423 --> 00:41:35,972 I knew at that moment 368 00:41:35,953 --> 00:41:42,814 that this drought coincided with the collapse of Maya civilisation in the 9th century AD. 369 00:41:52,083 --> 00:41:54,905 When I heard the news, 370 00:41:54,893 --> 00:41:58,329 there was a tremendous sense of relief. 371 00:41:58,313 --> 00:42:02,967 Here was the evidence that finally supported my theory. 372 00:42:02,953 --> 00:42:05,775 When I first proposed my theory, 373 00:42:05,763 --> 00:42:10,280 there was no physical evidence from the Maya lowlands itself. 374 00:42:10,263 --> 00:42:15,349 There was nothing in the dirt or in the lake cores that I could point to 375 00:42:15,333 --> 00:42:20,043 that said, "This demonstrates that they had a terrible drought here." 376 00:42:20,023 --> 00:42:22,663 But, finally, here it was! 377 00:42:22,643 --> 00:42:27,205 It was a sense of relief mixed with excitement, too. 378 00:42:34,133 --> 00:42:37,660 As long as my theory was just a theory, 379 00:42:37,643 --> 00:42:44,788 I think that some of my colleagues in archaeology were sceptical, which I understand. 380 00:42:44,773 --> 00:42:49,756 But when we had hard evidence from the ground in the Maya lowlands, 381 00:42:49,743 --> 00:42:57,730 I felt that, maybe, at last, people would start to take my theory seriously. 382 00:43:01,693 --> 00:43:08,508 Dick had gathered clues from around the world. From the frozen north to tropical Central America, 383 00:43:08,493 --> 00:43:12,543 from rare Spanish documents, to an ancient Maya book. 384 00:43:12,523 --> 00:43:18,872 But it was the Mexican lake core that gave him the clinching scientific evidence - 385 00:43:18,853 --> 00:43:25,520 final proof that the glorious Maya civilisation had been destroyed by the awful forces of nature. 386 00:43:28,323 --> 00:43:31,429 It's a chilling scenario. 387 00:43:31,413 --> 00:43:38,979 As the drought tightened its grip, the Maya people would have turned to their ruling priests. 388 00:43:38,963 --> 00:43:45,733 With their superhuman powers and their direct access to the gods, they should have saved the Maya. 389 00:43:47,303 --> 00:43:50,603 But the priests proved to be powerless. 390 00:43:53,963 --> 00:43:58,673 It's this that may explain why 30 men, women and children 391 00:43:58,653 --> 00:44:01,623 were so savagely massacred. 392 00:44:07,463 --> 00:44:12,025 You've got ten adult males, ten adult females and ten children. 393 00:44:14,683 --> 00:44:19,484 It just screams that it's... an extended family. 394 00:44:19,463 --> 00:44:24,776 Small inherited details in the teeth confirmed Diane's suspicion. 395 00:44:24,763 --> 00:44:30,873 The men were related. Not only that, the teeth showed that this was no ordinary family. 396 00:44:30,853 --> 00:44:35,700 Some teeth had been carefully filed to make them pointed. 397 00:44:35,683 --> 00:44:39,495 One even had an inlay of a precious stone. 398 00:44:39,483 --> 00:44:42,498 Among the Maya, 399 00:44:42,483 --> 00:44:50,186 this is a status symbol. It's something that the upper classes did to show who they were. 400 00:44:51,203 --> 00:44:56,835 The common folk, the rural populations, didn't practise this. 401 00:45:06,153 --> 00:45:12,547 The massacred family may well have come from the elite priests whose powers had failed, 402 00:45:12,533 --> 00:45:16,948 sacrificed, perhaps, to appease the gods. 403 00:45:20,543 --> 00:45:24,969 Even after the murders, the frenzy and brutality continued. 404 00:45:29,543 --> 00:45:34,856 This is the skull of a young adult female. This skull has been burned. 405 00:45:35,823 --> 00:45:41,227 You can see the charring. The shiny black indicates that... 406 00:45:41,213 --> 00:45:48,552 the bone was burned at a low temperature while the bone was fresh, while it was green. 407 00:45:48,533 --> 00:45:53,664 That's what we call green, when it's very close to the time of death. 408 00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:11,934 Nothing could save the Maya from the horror that enveloped them. 409 00:46:11,920 --> 00:46:19,805 The gods had betrayed them, their reservoirs were empty. There was no drinking water, their crops failed. 410 00:46:19,790 --> 00:46:22,475 There was nothing to eat. 411 00:46:22,460 --> 00:46:25,714 The Maya civilisation was destroyed. 412 00:46:36,290 --> 00:46:40,295 When drought afflicts an area, it's really all-powerful 413 00:46:40,280 --> 00:46:48,074 and human beings are very helpless, powerless, in their ability to do anything about it. 414 00:46:51,860 --> 00:46:56,934 You can't govern better in order to avoid drought. 415 00:46:56,920 --> 00:47:02,233 You can't carry on religious ceremonies better. 416 00:47:02,220 --> 00:47:08,466 You can't have better agricultural practices in your fields to avoid drought. 417 00:47:08,450 --> 00:47:15,265 When drought hits, it's not the people themselves that are at fault and there's nothing they can do. 418 00:47:15,250 --> 00:47:19,904 They are the victims, they are not the perpetrators of the problem. 419 00:47:25,560 --> 00:47:30,691 Today, the Maya who survived this ancient apocalypse 420 00:47:30,670 --> 00:47:34,675 still perform some of their ancestral ceremonies. 421 00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:45,129 But they never returned to their once-glorious cities, 422 00:47:45,110 --> 00:47:47,659 which were abandoned forever. 423 00:47:49,700 --> 00:47:52,488 There's a certain satisfaction 424 00:47:52,470 --> 00:47:58,853 that I have finally understood what happened to the Maya, but, as a human being, 425 00:47:58,840 --> 00:48:05,325 it's awful to think about what happened to those people and how this civilisation came to an end. 426 00:48:44,690 --> 00:48:49,161 Subtitles by Red Bee Media Ltd 42235

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