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Did the chain of events I mentioned earlier,
which in the short term will have a definite
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impact on the dynamics of 3 of the 5 bridgeheads,
take place?
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In short, yes.
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But it is better to analyze it step by step
and I will start with the southern bridgehead.
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The task of the units of the first wave was
not only to break through the supply line,
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which could not be broken through so easily
from the start, but also to deplete the enemy's
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resources in this area.
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And the result of these actions was already
felt in the second half of June, when the
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Russian command put the reserves into action.
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And last week the occupation forces started
the process of unpacking the strategic reserve.
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In addition, a more tangible process of transferring
units to the Zaporizhzhya region is being
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realized.
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The occupants are trying to hold the defense
by filling the defense with as much meat as
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possible.
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At the same time, having a quantitative advantage,
as well as conducting defense actions, the
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enemy forces cannot hold the defense.
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The Ukrainian side in smaller numbers and
with limited capabilities, such as the lack
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of a full-fledged aviation component, are
pushing through and expanding the bridgehead.
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In addition to enemy attrition, there were
2 events in the Southern bridgehead last week
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that will "definitely and fundamentally affect
the dynamics" here.
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These are, the expected liberation of one
very important village, and the entry of Ukrainian
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forces into another very important village.
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Thus, we can say that at one location, the
Ukrainians have not only come close to the
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main line of defense of the Russians, but
have begun the process of inevitable liberation
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of one of their strongholds in the second
line of defense.
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I talked in more detail in the last video.
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At another location, a direct path to one
of the strongholds opened up.
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It is important to understand that this process
occurred almost simultaneously, which also
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speaks about the planned process and once
again leads to the idea of controllability
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of the situation and direct initiative of
the Ukrainian forces on these bridgeheads,
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where, in the near future, intensification
may begin.
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In addition, we should not lose sight of the
regular fire impact of the AFU on the critical
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logistics of the South, which is beginning
to undermine the level of support for the
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advanced units of the invaders.
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The effectiveness of the supply is markedly
reduced, and there is also an undermining
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of the command and control system.
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Now about the Eastern bridgehead.
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Luhansk and Kharkov regions.
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After the failure of the attack on Lyman,
the Russian command decided to move on Kupiansk
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and it seems that they decided to make a second
Bakhmut out of it.
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First of all, they need at least some semblance
of forward movement.
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Secondly, they are trying to pull the resources
of the AFU from the south to the east in order
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to reduce the pressure on their defense, which
is cracking at the seams.
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Therefore, Kupiansk is their last chance.
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Since last week I've been watching Russian
propaganda convince its information fast-food
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consumers that "Kupiansk is only 7 kilometers
away!
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Let's capture it and go to Kharkiv!"
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Let me remind you that they also had 7 km
to Bakhmut in some directions.
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While they were "taking" Bakhmut, the right-bank
Kherson region and most of Kharkiv region
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were liberated.
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Therefore, Kupiansk can indeed become the
second Bakhmut, as another trap pulling the
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resources of the enemy, exhausting him and
not allowing to redistribute them to other
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directions, but there is a nuance.
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The groups of troops concentrated at the occupants
along the R-66 line can successfully hold
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the defense, but their offensive potential
is limited.
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And now, the defense-type grouping is going
on a suicidal offensive....
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In fact, the Russian commanders by their "ingenious"
decisions are grinding down and exsanguinating
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their grouping in the Lugansk region for the
sake of another ephemeral goal, for the sake
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of a picture on TV.
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Thus, on 3 bridgeheads out of 5 we can observe
a chain of events that will play an important
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role in the subsequent liberation of each
of them.
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In truth, there is one more bridgehead in
the south that should have been mentioned,
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but it's not time yet.
6659
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