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The naval battle in the Black Sea continues: this
time a large landing ship with a strange name,
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which I will not try to repeat, was seriously
"wounded" as a result of a surface drone attack.
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Russian officials at first bravely
reported "that all attacks were repelled",
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but when it became clear from the video
that the ship "repelled" the attack with
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its left side and "caught" the roll - they
admitted the failure of their defense.
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But the main thing is not so much the fact of
the attack on one of the logistics ships of
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the military bases in Crimea, but the place
where it happened - the bay of Novorossiysk,
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a safe harbor in the rear and one of the
main bases of the Russian Black Sea Fleet.
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Against the background of this news,
information about another attack by
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Ukrainian surface drones that same
night - on an oil depot in Crimea,
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where fuel supplies for the Russian
Black Sea Fleet are stored - looks muted.
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Not so long ago, Putin threatened that the
"invincible" Black Sea Fleet would sink
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even civilian ships if they sailed to Ukrainian
ports, including those flying the flag of other
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countries. And hinted that such a fate will not
escape the foreign warships that will cover them.
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"Playing with his muscles", Putin hinted at
Russia's hegemony in the Black Sea and the
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invulnerability of its fleet in its eastern
part. But after this war, the history of
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the Russian Black Sea Fleet is likely to
come to an end. Once again, but for good.
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Having seriously damaged a Russian warship in
the "courtyard" of the Black Sea Fleet, Putin was
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given a big "hello". And if he did not understand
the first time, then in the evening he was fixed
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with a strike on a tanker that was carrying
aviation fuel to the Russian group in Syria.
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It seems that «hegemony» of Russia remained
only in the heads of Putin and his minions,
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and «red lines» turn into red
flags for corralling the beast.
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And while we were all watching in almost real time
how the "tired" Dock landing ship was dragged to
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eternal rest and scrolling the news after
the strike by sea drones on the tanker,
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on land the Russians have another problem,
which is not being talked about very loudly...
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Today we are talking about the enemy artillery,
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it is important because it is one piece of the
puzzle affecting further events on the front !
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After three months of
terrible losses in artillery,
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the Russian military-industrial complex
was unable to compensate for these losses.
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The fact is that the capacity of the Russian
military-industrial complex to remove from
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conservation and restore towed barrel
artillery is within 300 units per month.
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Until May 2023, this potential for towed
howitzers, especially taking into account peak
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capabilities, fully not only covered the monthly
loss compensation requirements, but exceeded them!
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In fact, the average loss rate of Russian troops'
barrel artillery for 14 months was 200 barrels.
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Thanks to such indicators, the
Russian military-industrial complex,
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without much strain, was able not only
to compensate each month's losses,
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but also to increase its potential
by +100 barrels from time to time.
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But in May everything changed. For 3 months, May,
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June and July, the average losses of
barrel artillery amounted to 640 units.
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That is, for 3 months not only the
standard volume corresponding to the
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previous 14 months was destroyed, but also
exceeded this figure by more than 3 times,
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thus leveling out the increase of the past period.
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In the artillery forces of the enemy in this
regard begins to feel a serious imbalance.
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The artillery still continues to fulfill its
functions at the expense of the created reserve,
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but the reserve is already practically exhausted,
and the compensatory capabilities of the Russian
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military-industrial complex will
not leap above its capabilities,
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indicating huge problems around
the turn of August and September.
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Well, if the dynamics continues,
it won't be long at all....
5981
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