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Western media all as one are now talking about
the second phase of the Ukrainian defense
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offensive, and everyone who is not lazy has
picked up these theses....
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Although, the second phase of the offensive
has been underway since mid-June, and the
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implication is most likely the third phase
- the breakthrough of the main line of defense.
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But even here - miss...
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To understand what and how it is more correctly
called and what is happening in general, a
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little introductory information.
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The first phase can and even correctly be
considered those actions that began in the
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first days of June in the Zaporizhzhya and
Donetsk regions and which represented a reconnaissance
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by combat.
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Within the framework of these actions the
positions of Russian artillery of the second
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line of defense were uncovered, warehouses
with ammunition, fuel and lubricants and other
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objects were identified, the main logistic
routes were determined and the analysis of
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the supply line and not only was carried out.
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In mid-June, the process of breaking through
the supply line began.
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In general, this process can be considered
the second phase of the offensive, when, after
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the battle reconnaissance, a range of activities
to progressively reach the second line of
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defense was deployed.
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And, at present, this process is not yet complete.
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Yes, the Ukrainian forces have driven a wedge
between Robotino and Verbove and have indeed
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reached the main line of the enemy's defense,
but this is only in one area, in a certain
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location.
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Only after the flanks are equalized, the dominant
heights are occupied and the villages playing
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the role of Forward Operating Base are liberated,
the 3rd phase will begin.
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In fact, we can talk about the preparation
of the breakthrough of the second line of
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defense when you have reached this line not
in one section, for example, a kilometer long,
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but when you have created a convenient front
for the breakthrough and the appropriate conditions
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to support this process.
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For example, control of the same heights.
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Therefore, someone in the West is rushing
things very much.
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Either because of unprofessionalism or out
of malice.
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After all, when the second phase of the offensive
is announced, everyone expects something new,
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and when it does not happen, Russian propaganda
immediately turns on with the narrative "the
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offensive has failed!".
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There is no need to rush things, no one promised
to liberate Ukraine in 3 days.
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Everything is going according to plan !
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Now we can already summarize the results of
the second month of the offensive.
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In July, the Ukrainian side continued to systematically
destroy enemy equipment, with an emphasis
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on artillery and air defense, which are traditionally
placed in the second and third lines of defense.
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And for the third month in a row, the indicators
of this work are showing records.
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In terms of the number of artillery pieces
destroyed in July, the Ukrainians fell just
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a little short of the absolute record and
the figure amounted to 677, the second for
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the entire period of the full-scale invasion.
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Overall, the pace of Russian artillery removal
is bringing the moment of acute compensation
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crisis closer.
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The number of destroyed MLRS demonstrated
an absolute record.
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This was also due to the fact that the enemy
had to pull MLRS closer to the line of battle
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because of losses in the artillery, but after
a sharp jump in losses, they abandoned this
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idea.
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The air defense also showed an absolute record
in July and it is not surprising.
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Clearing the rear zone of air defense is now
no less of a priority than clearing artillery.
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At the same time, compensation of air defense
is a problematic process and the loss of each
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unit, in the current conditions, is conditionally
irretrievable.
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Thus, 3 months of increased load on compensation
processes within the framework of record destruction
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of equipment, as well as growing logistical
problems, lead to a progressive loss of combat
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effectiveness of Russian troops on certain
bridgeheads.
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And we continue to watch and think, where
will the first line break?
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