Original subtitles

The breakthrough of Wagner group through Suwałki Gap, is it real or are we again

scared by Russian propagandists? And also about the beginning of the Ukrainian safari!

Now there is a lot of talk that PMC "Wagner" will allegedly "cut through" Suwałki Gap corridor.

First of all, such claims come from Russian propagandists and all sorts of talking heads,

and secondly, provoke speculation themselves Wagner mercenaries.

At the end of July, about a hundred Wagnerites moved in the direction of

Suwałki Gap, which caused the Polish security forces to be on high alert.

Although, it is extremely difficult to imagine a breakthrough into Kaliningrad

Oblast with a hundred mercenaries. And what if there are not hundreds of them?

To date, there are 4 to 5 thousand Wagnerites stationed in Belarus. The camp itself can

safely take 8 thousand mercenaries and even more, if you squeeze in. But if we consider

the potential of 8 thousand Wagnerites, are they able to cut through Suwałki Gap?

Let me remind you that the functionality of PMC "Wagner" is not troop operations, but hybrid.

And the breakthrough Suwałki Gap is a purely military operation. The last military operation

of PMC "Wagner" is the campaign on Bakhmut. Remember the result of this operation?

For 10 months "Wagner" passed about 10 kilometers of Donetsk region and

failed to take full control of a small town, by the standards of Ukraine,

putting there tens of thousands of dead, wounded and prisoners. According to various estimates,

the losses of the "Wagners" at Bakhmut amounted from 30 to 50 thousand!

And now, let's imagine how 8 thousand Wagnerites, without heavy equipment,

Armored fighting vehicles and artillery, will break through almost 100 km of Suwałki Gap.

But there is a small nuance waiting for them - the Polish army. Almost 60 thousand Poles will stand

aside and watch convicts on pickup trucks with Maxim machine guns driving along highway 651?

For Poland, as well as Lithuania and Latvia,

Wagnerites can only pose a threat of sabotage and terrorist activities in the border zone.

Other threats are excluded. Unless Moscow has the goal of getting rid of the Wagner

group completely and throwing them into a suicide mission. But this is not the case.

Poland's Rzeszow can sleep easy.

And now let's move on to the second part. And do you know why they don't activate an

air raid alarm in Moscow when they are being attacked by drones right in the city center?

Because you can't sow panic. But in order to put out the panic in general you need more

air defense in Moscow. The electronic warfare isn't working against Ukrainian drones anymore.

And why can not add air defense? Because they are not enough,

so it will be necessary to take from the front. And also June-July were

absolute records of destroyed complexes relative to all other months of the war.

And also the other day the railroad bridge at Chongar was once again attacked.

And a few days in a row, Moscow. What if tomorrow it's Peter, Ryazan, Rostov? And if all together?

Little by little, not much more is needed

Propagandists say, "Putin doesn't care about panic, there will be no panic."

But if they didn't care, they'd turn on the siren, but they don't. They fear panic when they start to

turn on the siren - the final understanding will come that war has come to their home.

Muscovites' stress has not yet receded after

the trenches and the fleeing of the police before Prigozhin's offensive.

And already now the Ukrainian defense forces have once again knocked out the bridge at

Chongar, destroy warehouses in Crimea, headquarters near Mariupol and Melitopol.

And on Zaporizhzhya in some places they have already reached the main line of defense!

What if they take not one, but twenty air defense systems from the front?

This is the beginning of the Ukrainian safari,

and by the looks of it the most interesting thing is already close!