All language subtitles for 21-07-2023reydsdxl

This is what the gradual advance of Ukrainian
troops in southern Ukraine looks like now.

The infantry is moving ahead and clearing
enemy trenches, while the armored vehicles

are moving behind them along a route that
has already been checked for mines.

With such tactics do not expect quick breakthroughs,
but the Defense Forces of Ukraine bear minimal

losses.

Only after the breakthrough of the main defense
lines will the classic attacks of armored

vehicles together with infantry led by tanks
begin.

To understand what this tactic gives, let's
look at some numbers in the dynamics of the

Ukrainian offensive and Russian attempts to
attack in some directions....

Let's take the Oryx data for the last published
10 days.

Some of the numbers in the reports are old
equipment, but most are fresh casualties on

both sides.

A peculiarity of the statistics of the summer
campaign is that the Ukrainian defense forces

conduct their actions in the mode of semi-silence.

Therefore - especially with regard to Ukrainian
losses - the supporting video and photographic

material is mostly independent or of Russian
origin.

Consequently, the casualty figures are likely
even worse for Russian forces.

Between July 10 and July 19, Russia lost 248
units, Ukraine lost 73 units.

The ratio of losses for these 10 days is 3.4
to 1.

Losses by type of equipment:

Tanks: 46 to 12.

At that, the last big losses of the AFU were
recorded in the report for July 10-11 with

8 tanks.

Since that time the ratio of 33 to 4 in favor
of Ukraine has been recorded.

Armoured fighting vehicles and Infantry fighting
vehicles: 58 to 18.

The same, the last heavy losses of Ukraine
were recorded in the report for July 10-11

with 13 vehicles.

Armored personnel carriers and light armored
vehicles: 33 to 29.

Here everything is more - less even.

Both sides are actively using light armored
vehicles.

Why Russia loses a lot of such armored vehicles?

On the photo you see the old largest Soviet
BMP-1 storage base in Buryatia.

Already more than half of the base is empty,
the enemy has lost a lot of modern vehicles

on the Kharkov and Kyiv direction since the
beginning of the invasion of Ukraine.

The only way for Russia to support its troops
is with old USSR equipment, but it loses significantly

in this war.

This is one of the reasons for such inflated
losses.

Artillery: 28 vs. 8.

Here the numbers are clearly underestimated
by OSINT specialists.

Perhaps - in both directions.

Because fixing the results of counter-battery
work is quite a complicated thing.

But the trend is also clear.

Trucks: 53 vs. 7.

Ukraine is consistently better at enemy logistics
and that's great.

Drones: 12 to 6.

These are mainly operational-tactical level
drones and during this time the Ukrainians

lost one Bayraktar.

What else do these numbers tell us?

They show us quite clearly how the gap in
the quantity of equipment is narrowing.

Qualitatively, the advantage is already on
the side of Ukraine.

Yes, it's not a quick process.

But the rate of Russian losses of the same
tanks far outstrips the rate of their restoration

and modernization, even if we take only a
very conservative estimate of Oryx.

And so it is for almost all types of equipment.

The Ukrainian offensive began without an actual
advantage of 2-3 times as it should have been

and without mopping up the enemy with airpower,
which is still lacking.

Such systematic "loss ratios" should lead
to one result: the enemy will not be able

to hold the 200-kilometer front line in the
South at a certain time.

Mobility and speed of reactions after breaking
through the enemy's defense line will be the

key factor after the "exhaustion" and "breakthrough"
stages.

And many armies of the world can learn mobility
from the Ukrainians.

The gradual softening of Russian defenses
in the South continues.

They are already hurting, and it's going to
hurt a lot.

So let's keep watching...