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Bloomberg estimates that after 16 months ofĀ
full-scale warfare, Ukraine has more tanks thanĀ Ā
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Russia, 1,500 Ukrainian tanks versus 1,400 RussianĀ
tanks. On the day of the full-scale invasion,Ā Ā
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Russia had 3.5 times more tanks. How did RussiaĀ
manage to shit its tank potential so badly?
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According to the documented data theĀ
Ukrainian side has lost 558 tanks as of today.Ā Ā
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Of these, 352 have been destroyed,Ā
66 damaged, 140 captured.
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The Russian side has lost 2,082 tanks,Ā Ā
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of which 1,308 were destroyed,Ā
231 damaged, and 545 captured.
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That is practically all the lost UkrainianĀ
tanks were compensated at the expense ofĀ Ā
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the Russian "Lend-Lease" so toĀ
speak. But there is a nuance.
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At first glance, Ukraine has anĀ
advantage in terms of quantity,Ā Ā
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but only conditionally, not in practice.
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The fact is that quite a few of theĀ
Russian tanks are unfit for service.
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These tanks require repairs,Ā
maintenance, crews and ammunition.Ā Ā
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Not all of them have been restoredĀ
to a combat-ready condition.Ā Ā
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The article takes a superficial look at theĀ
situation without delving into the issues.Ā Ā
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Although, the fact that Ukraine has as manyĀ
trophy tanks as it has lost is noteworthy.
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Also the other day a video appeared ofĀ
Russian T-54/T-55 tanks being transportedĀ Ā
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as ancient as "Mammoth's Crap" into the war zone.Ā Ā
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And don't tell me about using them as artillery,Ā
they actually use them as a combat unit.
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Having lost almost all of its original tankĀ
resource during the full-scale invasionĀ Ā
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of Ukraine, the Russian military industrialĀ
complex has never been able to make up for it.
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The reason for this is thatĀ
at the time of the full-scaleĀ Ā
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invasion of Ukraine there was no serialĀ
production of tanks in Russia as such.Ā Ā
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T-72 and T-80 tanks have not been producedĀ
since 1998, T-90 tanks since 2011.Ā Ā
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There was only repair and modernizationĀ
of the tanks in service and in storage.
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This led to degradation of productionĀ
lines of the same T-72 tanks.Ā Ā
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Over 25 years they have beenĀ
disassembled, sawn up, and broken down.
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Today Russian tank building enterprises canĀ
be divided into two categories - taking outĀ Ā
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of storage and modernization of conditionallyĀ
modern tanks and taking out of storage andĀ Ā
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modernization of outright junk from theĀ
"grandfathers rode on it to Berlin" era.
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Let's look again at the dynamics of destructionĀ
of Russian tanks in the combat zone.
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Yes, there have not been records for a long time,Ā
but on average it is in the range of 200 combatĀ Ā
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vehicles per month. The question is, does theĀ
Russian military-industrial complex have theĀ Ā
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ability to compensate for such a number of tanksĀ
per month with production? The answer is obvious.
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If we're talking about T-72/80/90 tanks, no.Ā Ā
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That is why more and more T-62/54/55 appearĀ
in the combat zone; although quantitativelyĀ Ā
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they can reach the approximate compensationĀ
level, but still they are very far from fullĀ Ā
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requirement, because their capacity isĀ
insufficient for such a replenishment.
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There is also one more veryĀ
important factor - logistics.Ā Ā
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Logistics does not always provide timelyĀ
delivery, according to the needs of the units.
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But, most importantly, the presence of tanksĀ
is mostly concentrated in the second line.Ā Ā
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And this all means that the real stressĀ
for the Russian troops is yet to come.
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Already now, losses and compensation are puttingĀ
the tank potential of the Russian occupationĀ Ā
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group into minus, but as soon as the processesĀ
on the main line of defense are intensified,Ā Ā
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compensation will plunge intoĀ
a deep and irreparable crisis.Ā Ā
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Very much looking forwardĀ
to this moment, are you ?
5500
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