Original subtitles

Russian propaganda resources, "experts" and other talking heads, are now convincing their faithful

or casual consumers of information fast food that the "offensive" of the Ukrainian defense forces

is taking place in an area that is outside the main defense line of the Russian army.

And this is true. But there is a nuance.

That zone where the Ukrainians are now conducting combat reconnaissance is an operational zone.

It is designed to slow down the advance of the main enemy forces and, if possible,

to stop them completely. It is there where the main mine and

landmine obstacles and ambush of the Russian side are concentrated.

So Russian propagandists tell the truth - this is not the main line of defense. But the Ukrainians

have not even started the offensive yet either, and are conducting quite different activities.

In turn, what happens to the enemy forces ? And the occupation forces that were in reserve,

mainly on the 2nd and 3rd lines, are already being drawn down to the supply line!

In particular, to stop the Ukrainians from advancing

down the Mokri Yaly river to Staromlynivka,

the Russian command sent the 127th Motor Rifle Division from the "comfortable" trenches.

The 58th Combined Arms Army also did not feel very comfortable in the Zaporizhzhia expanses,

and urgently needed an additional resource in the form of the 49th Combined Arms Army.

From the Kherson region began to pull forces into the triangle Tokmak-Vasylivka-Melitopol,

to strengthen the third line.

Why is this happening? Were the reserves thrown to reinforce the 2nd line or all

gone lying bone in the support line? What about the left bank then? After the dam explosion,

the large body of water is already receding...

I have been saying for quite a long time that the Russian troops in the whole combat zone

have the most problematic grouping in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions. In detail, from month

to month, I pointed to their main vulnerabilities, namely - the lack of full staff equipment units.

And also the absence of the possibility of filling all the lines of defense with

a proportionally sufficient number of defenders.

That is, not only are they critically short of equipment, for the number of men they have,

but also critically short of men to fill the lines of defense completely with them.

And now we are seeing in all its glory the manifestation of all these facts.

While the Ukrainian defense forces have not yet started anything in

earnest and are using units of limited functionality, the Russian forces are

already being forced to put their reserves into action from the 2nd and 3rd lines!

Of course, Russian propagandists will not tell their consumers of informational fast food this.

They will tell that as a result of the "failed" offensive the Ukrainian

army lost more than 50% of its personnel, all Leopard 2 tanks were destroyed, Kyiv panics,

Biden has dementia, Scholz and Macron are already calling Putin in hysterics,

and the Chinese and Bulgarians as usual admired the actions of the Russian army...

Well, let them tell it. But taking into account the movements going on in the deep

and not so deep in the rear of the temporarily occupied territories of southern Ukraine,

we can conclude that in fact the Russian army is not doing very well.

I would use the term "pre-stroke state," but some people take me somewhat literally, not always

understanding the allegories, so I will leave the option "the Russian army is not doing very well.

We are on the verge of great events and while Ukraine's defense forces are

operating at the level of reconnaissance troops, the enemy is feverishly pulling

in the remnants of Marines who have never seen the sea and Arctic assault aircraft,

which will not be fated to be the dinner of polar bears...