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In his third section of the mentorship we're going to be talkin about top-down analysis
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We've got a long-term perspective
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Intermediate-term perspective
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Short-term perspective with a New York session bread-and-butter model
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And then eventually putting it all together so let's go to long-term perspective
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Long-term perspective guys
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Here we have a nice little quote from the inner circle trailer or i c t
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Without the understanding of
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Higher time frame charts you are gambling
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Which is very true
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So the long-term perspective is the wai-wai price moves right so the long-term perspective month
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Bi-weekly
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Daily charts gives us the Y
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Why should price go up to a specific level
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And why should price go down to specific level
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We also to question two why brushes move
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From these time frames right
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All prices doing is trading from 100 time frame premium or discount level to another high time frame
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Premium or discount level
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So what do we need to trade with these time frames
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Right we have seasonal Tennessee's which
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It's not always necessary but highly effective when used in combination with iodine from PD erase
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We needs a thieling range
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And those higher time frame PD array
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We need
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Higher time frame external end
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Internal range liquidity
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We can couple it up with daily SMC and stop hands
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And eventually we'll go into a buy or a sell program
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How do we determine
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If Dyer die from order flow is on our side
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So we can go over a few things
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Is Fry's rejecting when going below Lowe's and significantly training through eyes or is price rejecting when going above
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I'm off highs and significantly
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Breaking laws right and think about high resistance liquidity and low resistance liquidity right
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Begin Spoto's
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With those rejections and
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Easy prize movements
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Engineered liquidity highs right
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Are down clothes candles supporting price higher or up-close candle supporting price higher
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Think about that sort of looks right
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By side of the curve and sell-side of the Curve
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Are bullish. Erase failing or bearish. Failing
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With using this we can also
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Confirm our bias
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Seasonal tendencies
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Seasonal Tendencies are treasure maps to finding low-resistance higher timeframe moves where they are lined with
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With higher timeframe PD erase
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So on their own
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They don't really mean much but if you combine it and align it with higher timeframe. They are very effect
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Went to see snow Tennessee to align with the higher timeframe premium and discount erase price is very likely to have a
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Fast and full of
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Low resistance price wings between one Higher timeframe price level to another higher timeframe priceless
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When does seasonal Tennessee don't align with the higher time frame premium and discount erase
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Price is more likely to take a longer to move
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From one hard time from price level to another
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Hard time frame price level
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The seasonal Tennessee's are the 12-month macro laid out in front of you
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I will show you a chart later how it looks like
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Before the trading year even begins every single year so we have those median lies right 15 years
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30 years Lions what the seasonal
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Might be
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Doing our objectives with seasonal Tennessee's is tube length time
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Dip seasonal Tennessee right and price together
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The higher time frame premium or discount race
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So price
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Miss time and time
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Meats price
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So far we've got a seasonal
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Tennessee
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Chart for the US dollar Index and let's focus on January and February right
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Over here we can see
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They're pretty bullish
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Alright so we have those lines going up with the 33-year line
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Scott the 15-year line
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Then January and February living
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Pretty bullish right
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So here we have a u.s. dollar index chart
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On the monthly
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He's got this monthly trevally get
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Being hit
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Wright's discount monthly February G
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Let's look at how does forms
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So we just talked about the seasonal Tennessee rice from January and February
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Both should be
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Polish
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Or at least
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Start Saturn bullish in January and February
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And when a higher time frame alliance with that seasonal Tennessee
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You can clearly see
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How did
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Price action explodes to the upside right so over here
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We still have a bullish seasonal Tennessee but you can see price action is just consolidating right
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And we didn't hit that the higher time frame pdra yet
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Which is that
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Discount monthly for Valley give right
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Know as soon as
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February starts we hit that
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Monthly bullish Reveille Gap and You Cassie
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Just in a couple of days we move
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Way more than we did
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And a half of this January price action right so
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So over here these three candles keep pushing up right and then this whole area which took
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A lot of days 2 weeks almost
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And then in a few days will you make the same move
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So I showed him the previous slide we can see that even though January has a bull seasonal Tennessee
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We don't just long because we have a bullish seasonal Tennessee right
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We need to wait
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What time
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To hit price and price is that higher timeframe PD array and it needs to align before we get that explosive
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One side of the price action move
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To the upside and that is what we see
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February
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Back to the dollar charts right we've got that bullies Tennessee
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Again
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January we did not tap into that
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Hyatt diaphragm discount away
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What's in February we did right
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Breaking structure over here in January
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And this move up
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Doing February
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Displacing of higher leaving a Polish fair-value
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So we got a pedia re-formed
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Like we can take a trade from or base or trade idea from
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So we've got a Australian dollar US dollar monthly charge right
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Let's think about external to internal range again
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Keep repeating that right for yourself if you see external range liquidity being taken on a higher time frame
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It's highly likely to draw into a
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Higher time frame internal range liquidity which should be a fairly good
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So pulling off the seasonal rise we have
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A foolish seasonal for January end
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February on the DIY which means all foreign currency should go lower right so we should have embarrassed seasonal
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In January and February for the Australian dollar
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Because the US dollar has a Buddhist Tennessee now after raiding that external race liquidity on them
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Muncie taking out this those biceps right
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Once we take out that external race liquidity and we are in line with its very seasonal
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Because see how price explodes to the downside
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We have to
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Daily step-count
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Right
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And from this point out
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Up close kennels shoot support dry section lower right
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Against each other over here price
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Moe's up
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Respecting
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This area over here this frivolity
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Trading lower and lower and lower
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Until we reach that monthly internal range liquidity
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So seasonals
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Couple it up with a higher timeframe pdra
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An old high is also a pedia re-write is a premium area
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So we stopped found over here and then we displace with that seasonal Tennessee
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So again I reminder that you was dollar Index is bullish right bullish seasonal Tennessee switch got that daily forever
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Lily cup
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So again back to death
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Australian dollar US dollar charge rides
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Does Muncie range buy stocks have been liquidated and now let's
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Look what are dealing Rangers rights we've got this Range High
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Down into this range low
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And then we have a break or structure down here
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Equilibrium is around here so everything about the sacrilege equilibrium line is in premium
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And then
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If you look at this like this on a daily time frame
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We've got that stop on top here
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Break of structure
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Throw out that premium levels right
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Another daily step-count
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And if you are
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Remember about
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The Silver Bullet lesson rights intermediate-term High has been formed over here
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Write so even on the daily time frame you can sports that Silver Bullet setup
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After we go into Bears order flow right after respecting bearish erase
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We should see all up close kennels supporting price to go lower
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I'm conceited over here
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Price to Respec into.
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Barish waterblock
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Those up close Kennels
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Trace lower
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Forming another Bears or the bloke
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Over here definitely in slightly
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Moving down lower with another a sort of bloke
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And we keep declining declining until we had our targets right so we go from external
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Back to internal on the higher time frame
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It's over here we've got a British pound u.s. dollar multicharts right
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We've got that premium
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Levels outline over here right this little red books
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And then the discount levels down here all the way to the low
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What should be discount right
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Now what did we do over here
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Monthly premium
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Can we spot something else
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Got that mitigation block Riders
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Should have been a bullish order block which got violated
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And now we're using that on Southside of the Curve
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To look for a monthly premium level
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Now we write those biceps over here on the monthly
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And then declining lower so with that bearish seasonal right
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And a bullish seasonal for the DIY remember so if dxy has a bullet seasonal
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Then old foreign currency trade lower
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Which would be a very seasonal for the British pound to the US dollar
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Now we don't we don't just look for shorts in January because
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We have a bearish seasonal tendency right we need to wait for time to meet price
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And to meet on the deeps way as well
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Right so hard time frame pdra
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On the DIY remember in January that fair-value get got hit
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And that should be the Catalyst to trade down lower
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No
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If you're unfamiliar with smt
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It is when
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Let's say these high
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Are not getting rated
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Right and home DIY
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The lows are getting raided and then continues to move up
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This is considered smt
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Over here
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We got daily smt with a gyro Tuesday
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So
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Over here we don't we are not taking out any Heist
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Gbpusd
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And on your you see we are presumably taking out those eyes right
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Kodi Swype.
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Into the Lowe's which makes Euro used in Moses time
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Be in line and take out the high so we have some smt going on over here
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And now it is lining up
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With that very seasonal Tennessee right so
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We don't need to liquidate this high
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For this
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Decline lower in February
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Zooming in a little bit more right
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Got those
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Daily
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External cell stops down here
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We've got internal range liquidity down here
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Again
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After that S&T has occurred we don't need to go above these highs anymore or this high
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So we're waiting for a bearish array to form which is this Philly get right
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And it is in premium that's also important
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Know what are we forming over here
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Think about that silver Buddha lesson right this is an intermediate-term High
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Making it even more probable
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This we're going to continue lower and lower to eventually take out this sell-side liquidity
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So from internal range liquidity
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What are we looking for next
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External range liquidity right
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So from internal to external
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Got some more external raise liquidity down here right
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Before we go
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To the extreme targets which is the slow down here
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So as a drawn-out that premium and discount level right we can see those external rain slicker
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What did he sell soap has been taken after we formed at intermediate-term high now we can anticipate a short-term High forming
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Next to this intermediate-term high right cuz this intermediate-term high is a
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Intermediate-term High because we have a short-term High to the left of it
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I know a short time high to the right of it
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We're hitting that's
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Beresford will you get right so we have a
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Premium a ray
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If it exists
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This Range High to this range low
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Right price Trace back into it
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Comes back one more time over here
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And continuing that bears seasonal Tennessee
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Hitting a higher timeframe py
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And then eventually taken out that sell-side liquidity
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It's over here at we've got a NASDAQ 100 e-mini Futures chart
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Monthly chart
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00:12:54,655 --> 00:12:55,167
Now
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Without knowing
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The seasonal Tennessee's we can steal
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Luke
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And see where I died from is most likely to move
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Cuz remember
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Price is just moving from one Higher time frame level
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To another
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Higher time frame level
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So I was lying the dealing range right first of all
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This range low
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Today's Range High
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So we've got our dealing range
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Look for daily smt or Stefan's
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And then we can see
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Where we go from internal to external and external to internal right
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So what do we see over here
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Because a monthly fair-value get right internal range liquidity
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So where do we want to go next
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What do we do after we take internal range we go to external range right
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So we got that monthly external range liquidity up here so we know we go from internal to external
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Anadrol liquidity without knowing those seasonal Tennessee's right
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We know where rice is most likely to draw into
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00:13:59,167 --> 00:14:03,519
Let's look at the weekly structure after knowing what the monthly is most likely to do right
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We've got that
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00:14:04,799 --> 00:14:08,127
Monty discount for Valley gift internal race liquidity remember
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00:14:08,383 --> 00:14:10,943
We going to external raise liquidity next so we know
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00:14:11,199 --> 00:14:12,735
The weekly should be bullish
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And without no windows seasonal Tennessee so we can use all the PD race
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00:14:17,343 --> 00:14:20,159
Moving up into the external range until we liquidate that
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00:14:22,463 --> 00:14:22,975
So
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Over here with drop-down
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Right into the discount for Value get on the monthly now we have
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Weekly external liquidity
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00:14:30,911 --> 00:14:34,495
Which is aware so where do we go after we take that Weekly external
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00:14:35,007 --> 00:14:39,871
Do I should immediately go to internal race liquidity right so you look for a fair value Gap
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00:14:42,687 --> 00:14:43,967
Which is down here right
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00:14:44,479 --> 00:14:44,991
Again
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Troll Alex you're dealing range
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00:14:47,807 --> 00:14:48,319
This low
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00:14:48,831 --> 00:14:49,599
Titlis height
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00:14:51,903 --> 00:14:53,951
And it got the internal range liquidity
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00:14:54,207 --> 00:14:56,511
Then we can continue up higher so from
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Internal
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00:14:58,559 --> 00:14:59,327
To external
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00:14:59,839 --> 00:15:00,607
From external
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To internal
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00:15:02,143 --> 00:15:05,727
And once we have internal we want to go external once again right so
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00:15:05,983 --> 00:15:07,007
We take out this high
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00:15:07,775 --> 00:15:09,055
Over here right
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00:15:09,311 --> 00:15:10,847
External range liquidity
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00:15:12,383 --> 00:15:13,919
Internal to external
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00:15:14,431 --> 00:15:15,711
Why do we want to go next
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00:15:17,247 --> 00:15:18,015
To the bicycles
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00:15:20,319 --> 00:15:26,463
Right over here we've got another example we've got to Euro Australian dollar daily chart
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00:15:26,975 --> 00:15:32,095
Now without knowing seasonal Tennessee's and using a daily structure because
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00:15:32,863 --> 00:15:37,983
The monthly and the weekly is unclear right we can still go to a daily structure and see where we can
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00:15:38,495 --> 00:15:41,311
Find our setup and our daily draw on liquidity
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00:15:41,567 --> 00:15:42,591
So over here
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00:15:42,847 --> 00:15:45,151
First of all external range has been taken
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00:15:45,919 --> 00:15:52,063
I give you a few moments to see where you are most likely to draw into right so where do we go from external
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00:15:55,391 --> 00:15:56,415
Nice we want to go to
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00:15:56,671 --> 00:15:57,695
Internal race liquidity
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00:15:57,951 --> 00:15:59,487
Which is this fairly give
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00:16:01,535 --> 00:16:05,119
So drawn liquidity even without knowing the monthly or the weekly
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00:16:05,375 --> 00:16:08,959
And because that's unclear and we don't know what a seasonal Tennessee
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00:16:09,215 --> 00:16:11,775
What's a seasonal Tennessee is we can still see
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00:16:12,287 --> 00:16:18,431
Internal range to external and external race to internal race can be utilized to still figure out where the date
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00:16:18,687 --> 00:16:20,479
The timeframe is most likely to trade into
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00:16:22,271 --> 00:16:26,111
Iraq in the range same location right way of dealing range low
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00:16:26,367 --> 00:16:27,647
Into this dealing rate high
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00:16:28,927 --> 00:16:32,511
What's happening what is happening over here we creating an imbalance right
338
00:16:32,767 --> 00:16:36,607
In discount that's important we don't want to see that in balancing a premium level
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00:16:37,375 --> 00:16:39,423
Taking out this Louis down here
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00:16:39,679 --> 00:16:41,727
Creating a intermediate-term low
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00:16:41,983 --> 00:16:44,543
And then continued up from the discount for really good
342
00:16:44,799 --> 00:16:46,591
So using structure on daily
343
00:16:46,847 --> 00:16:48,895
Because he'll still know where we want to go
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00:16:49,151 --> 00:16:50,431
We went external right
345
00:16:50,943 --> 00:16:52,223
And then we go back to internal
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00:16:52,479 --> 00:16:55,807
And once we have the internal we want to go external once again which is up here
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00:16:56,831 --> 00:16:58,367
Putting a tie on there
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00:16:58,879 --> 00:16:59,391
So
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00:17:00,927 --> 00:17:06,303
Over here external by slopes and disc keeps repeating over and over and over again
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00:17:08,351 --> 00:17:09,887
So external has been taken so no
351
00:17:10,143 --> 00:17:12,191
What do we want a drawing to write
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00:17:12,447 --> 00:17:12,959
Again
353
00:17:13,471 --> 00:17:19,103
We go from external to internal and then from internal back to external so internal range liquidity
354
00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:20,639
This fair value Gap
355
00:17:20,895 --> 00:17:21,407
End
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00:17:22,175 --> 00:17:28,319
Mida just as we don't know what the weekly is doing right and the monthly and we don't know where the seasonal Tennessee is and we can still
357
00:17:28,575 --> 00:17:30,111
Determine all drawn liquidity this way
358
00:17:32,415 --> 00:17:34,719
Discounts for Philly get bespin hits now where do we go
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00:17:35,487 --> 00:17:35,999
Extern
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00:17:36,255 --> 00:17:37,023
Once again right
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00:17:37,535 --> 00:17:39,839
So from down here all the way to appear
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00:17:40,095 --> 00:17:43,167
It is all it is doing its going from external to internal
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00:17:43,423 --> 00:17:44,191
To external
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00:17:44,447 --> 00:17:45,215
Bexley internal
365
00:17:45,727 --> 00:17:47,263
Back to external right
28165
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