Original subtitles

In his third section of the mentorship we're going to be talkin about top-down analysis

We've got a long-term perspective

Intermediate-term perspective

Short-term perspective with a New York session bread-and-butter model

And then eventually putting it all together so let's go to long-term perspective

Long-term perspective guys

Here we have a nice little quote from the inner circle trailer or i c t

Without the understanding of

Higher time frame charts you are gambling

Which is very true

So the long-term perspective is the wai-wai price moves right so the long-term perspective month

Bi-weekly

Daily charts gives us the Y

Why should price go up to a specific level

And why should price go down to specific level

We also to question two why brushes move

From these time frames right

All prices doing is trading from 100 time frame premium or discount level to another high time frame

Premium or discount level

So what do we need to trade with these time frames

Right we have seasonal Tennessee's which

It's not always necessary but highly effective when used in combination with iodine from PD erase

We needs a thieling range

And those higher time frame PD array

We need

Higher time frame external end

Internal range liquidity

We can couple it up with daily SMC and stop hands

And eventually we'll go into a buy or a sell program

How do we determine

If Dyer die from order flow is on our side

So we can go over a few things

Is Fry's rejecting when going below Lowe's and significantly training through eyes or is price rejecting when going above

I'm off highs and significantly

Breaking laws right and think about high resistance liquidity and low resistance liquidity right

Begin Spoto's

With those rejections and

Easy prize movements

Engineered liquidity highs right

Are down clothes candles supporting price higher or up-close candle supporting price higher

Think about that sort of looks right

By side of the curve and sell-side of the Curve

Are bullish. Erase failing or bearish. Failing

With using this we can also

Confirm our bias

Seasonal tendencies

Seasonal Tendencies are treasure maps to finding low-resistance higher timeframe moves where they are lined with

With higher timeframe PD erase

So on their own

They don't really mean much but if you combine it and align it with higher timeframe. They are very effect

Went to see snow Tennessee to align with the higher timeframe premium and discount erase price is very likely to have a

Fast and full of

Low resistance price wings between one Higher timeframe price level to another higher timeframe priceless

When does seasonal Tennessee don't align with the higher time frame premium and discount erase

Price is more likely to take a longer to move

From one hard time from price level to another

Hard time frame price level

The seasonal Tennessee's are the 12-month macro laid out in front of you

I will show you a chart later how it looks like

Before the trading year even begins every single year so we have those median lies right 15 years

30 years Lions what the seasonal

Might be

Doing our objectives with seasonal Tennessee's is tube length time

Dip seasonal Tennessee right and price together

The higher time frame premium or discount race

So price

Miss time and time

Meats price

So far we've got a seasonal

Tennessee

Chart for the US dollar Index and let's focus on January and February right

Over here we can see

They're pretty bullish

Alright so we have those lines going up with the 33-year line

Scott the 15-year line

Then January and February living

Pretty bullish right

So here we have a u.s. dollar index chart

On the monthly

He's got this monthly trevally get

Being hit

Wright's discount monthly February G

Let's look at how does forms

So we just talked about the seasonal Tennessee rice from January and February

Both should be

Polish

Or at least

Start Saturn bullish in January and February

And when a higher time frame alliance with that seasonal Tennessee

You can clearly see

How did

Price action explodes to the upside right so over here

We still have a bullish seasonal Tennessee but you can see price action is just consolidating right

And we didn't hit that the higher time frame pdra yet

Which is that

Discount monthly for Valley give right

Know as soon as

February starts we hit that

Monthly bullish Reveille Gap and You Cassie

Just in a couple of days we move

Way more than we did

And a half of this January price action right so

So over here these three candles keep pushing up right and then this whole area which took

A lot of days 2 weeks almost

And then in a few days will you make the same move

So I showed him the previous slide we can see that even though January has a bull seasonal Tennessee

We don't just long because we have a bullish seasonal Tennessee right

We need to wait

What time

To hit price and price is that higher timeframe PD array and it needs to align before we get that explosive

One side of the price action move

To the upside and that is what we see

February

Back to the dollar charts right we've got that bullies Tennessee

Again

January we did not tap into that

Hyatt diaphragm discount away

What's in February we did right

Breaking structure over here in January

And this move up

Doing February

Displacing of higher leaving a Polish fair-value

So we got a pedia re-formed

Like we can take a trade from or base or trade idea from

So we've got a Australian dollar US dollar monthly charge right

Let's think about external to internal range again

Keep repeating that right for yourself if you see external range liquidity being taken on a higher time frame

It's highly likely to draw into a

Higher time frame internal range liquidity which should be a fairly good

So pulling off the seasonal rise we have

A foolish seasonal for January end

February on the DIY which means all foreign currency should go lower right so we should have embarrassed seasonal

In January and February for the Australian dollar

Because the US dollar has a Buddhist Tennessee now after raiding that external race liquidity on them

Muncie taking out this those biceps right

Once we take out that external race liquidity and we are in line with its very seasonal

Because see how price explodes to the downside

We have to

Daily step-count

Right

And from this point out

Up close kennels shoot support dry section lower right

Against each other over here price

Moe's up

Respecting

This area over here this frivolity

Trading lower and lower and lower

Until we reach that monthly internal range liquidity

So seasonals

Couple it up with a higher timeframe pdra

An old high is also a pedia re-write is a premium area

So we stopped found over here and then we displace with that seasonal Tennessee

So again I reminder that you was dollar Index is bullish right bullish seasonal Tennessee switch got that daily forever

Lily cup

So again back to death

Australian dollar US dollar charge rides

Does Muncie range buy stocks have been liquidated and now let's

Look what are dealing Rangers rights we've got this Range High

Down into this range low

And then we have a break or structure down here

Equilibrium is around here so everything about the sacrilege equilibrium line is in premium

And then

If you look at this like this on a daily time frame

We've got that stop on top here

Break of structure

Throw out that premium levels right

Another daily step-count

And if you are

Remember about

The Silver Bullet lesson rights intermediate-term High has been formed over here

Write so even on the daily time frame you can sports that Silver Bullet setup

After we go into Bears order flow right after respecting bearish erase

We should see all up close kennels supporting price to go lower

I'm conceited over here

Price to Respec into.

Barish waterblock

Those up close Kennels

Trace lower

Forming another Bears or the bloke

Over here definitely in slightly

Moving down lower with another a sort of bloke

And we keep declining declining until we had our targets right so we go from external

Back to internal on the higher time frame

It's over here we've got a British pound u.s. dollar multicharts right

We've got that premium

Levels outline over here right this little red books

And then the discount levels down here all the way to the low

What should be discount right

Now what did we do over here

Monthly premium

Can we spot something else

Got that mitigation block Riders

Should have been a bullish order block which got violated

And now we're using that on Southside of the Curve

To look for a monthly premium level

Now we write those biceps over here on the monthly

And then declining lower so with that bearish seasonal right

And a bullish seasonal for the DIY remember so if dxy has a bullet seasonal

Then old foreign currency trade lower

Which would be a very seasonal for the British pound to the US dollar

Now we don't we don't just look for shorts in January because

We have a bearish seasonal tendency right we need to wait for time to meet price

And to meet on the deeps way as well

Right so hard time frame pdra

On the DIY remember in January that fair-value get got hit

And that should be the Catalyst to trade down lower

No

If you're unfamiliar with smt

It is when

Let's say these high

Are not getting rated

Right and home DIY

The lows are getting raided and then continues to move up

This is considered smt

Over here

We got daily smt with a gyro Tuesday

So

Over here we don't we are not taking out any Heist

Gbpusd

And on your you see we are presumably taking out those eyes right

Kodi Swype.

Into the Lowe's which makes Euro used in Moses time

Be in line and take out the high so we have some smt going on over here

And now it is lining up

With that very seasonal Tennessee right so

We don't need to liquidate this high

For this

Decline lower in February

Zooming in a little bit more right

Got those

Daily

External cell stops down here

We've got internal range liquidity down here

Again

After that S&T has occurred we don't need to go above these highs anymore or this high

So we're waiting for a bearish array to form which is this Philly get right

And it is in premium that's also important

Know what are we forming over here

Think about that silver Buddha lesson right this is an intermediate-term High

Making it even more probable

This we're going to continue lower and lower to eventually take out this sell-side liquidity

So from internal range liquidity

What are we looking for next

External range liquidity right

So from internal to external

Got some more external raise liquidity down here right

Before we go

To the extreme targets which is the slow down here

So as a drawn-out that premium and discount level right we can see those external rain slicker

What did he sell soap has been taken after we formed at intermediate-term high now we can anticipate a short-term High forming

Next to this intermediate-term high right cuz this intermediate-term high is a

Intermediate-term High because we have a short-term High to the left of it

I know a short time high to the right of it

We're hitting that's

Beresford will you get right so we have a

Premium a ray

If it exists

This Range High to this range low

Right price Trace back into it

Comes back one more time over here

And continuing that bears seasonal Tennessee

Hitting a higher timeframe py

And then eventually taken out that sell-side liquidity

It's over here at we've got a NASDAQ 100 e-mini Futures chart

Monthly chart

Now

Without knowing

The seasonal Tennessee's we can steal

Luke

And see where I died from is most likely to move

Cuz remember

Price is just moving from one Higher time frame level

To another

Higher time frame level

So I was lying the dealing range right first of all

This range low

Today's Range High

So we've got our dealing range

Look for daily smt or Stefan's

And then we can see

Where we go from internal to external and external to internal right

So what do we see over here

Because a monthly fair-value get right internal range liquidity

So where do we want to go next

What do we do after we take internal range we go to external range right

So we got that monthly external range liquidity up here so we know we go from internal to external

Anadrol liquidity without knowing those seasonal Tennessee's right

We know where rice is most likely to draw into

Let's look at the weekly structure after knowing what the monthly is most likely to do right

We've got that

Monty discount for Valley gift internal race liquidity remember

We going to external raise liquidity next so we know

The weekly should be bullish

And without no windows seasonal Tennessee so we can use all the PD race

Moving up into the external range until we liquidate that

So

Over here with drop-down

Right into the discount for Value get on the monthly now we have

Weekly external liquidity

Which is aware so where do we go after we take that Weekly external

Do I should immediately go to internal race liquidity right so you look for a fair value Gap

Which is down here right

Again

Troll Alex you're dealing range

This low

Titlis height

And it got the internal range liquidity

Then we can continue up higher so from

Internal

To external

From external

To internal

And once we have internal we want to go external once again right so

We take out this high

Over here right

External range liquidity

Internal to external

Why do we want to go next

To the bicycles

Right over here we've got another example we've got to Euro Australian dollar daily chart

Now without knowing seasonal Tennessee's and using a daily structure because

The monthly and the weekly is unclear right we can still go to a daily structure and see where we can

Find our setup and our daily draw on liquidity

So over here

First of all external range has been taken

I give you a few moments to see where you are most likely to draw into right so where do we go from external

Nice we want to go to

Internal race liquidity

Which is this fairly give

So drawn liquidity even without knowing the monthly or the weekly

And because that's unclear and we don't know what a seasonal Tennessee

What's a seasonal Tennessee is we can still see

Internal range to external and external race to internal race can be utilized to still figure out where the date

The timeframe is most likely to trade into

Iraq in the range same location right way of dealing range low

Into this dealing rate high

What's happening what is happening over here we creating an imbalance right

In discount that's important we don't want to see that in balancing a premium level

Taking out this Louis down here

Creating a intermediate-term low

And then continued up from the discount for really good

So using structure on daily

Because he'll still know where we want to go

We went external right

And then we go back to internal

And once we have the internal we want to go external once again which is up here

Putting a tie on there

So

Over here external by slopes and disc keeps repeating over and over and over again

So external has been taken so no

What do we want a drawing to write

Again

We go from external to internal and then from internal back to external so internal range liquidity

This fair value Gap

End

Mida just as we don't know what the weekly is doing right and the monthly and we don't know where the seasonal Tennessee is and we can still

Determine all drawn liquidity this way

Discounts for Philly get bespin hits now where do we go

Extern

Once again right

So from down here all the way to appear

It is all it is doing its going from external to internal

To external

Bexley internal

Back to external right