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Next up
We're going to be talkin about if the market Cycles
So what does EPCOT stand for Sarepta stands for interbank Price delivery algorithm
This is the algorithm which makes the market move a certain way
And this algorithm has certain Cycles
So over here we have to surprise delivery
Depiction
We're starting with
Retracements
We've got
Reversal
Consolidation
Aunt expansion
Price only has four stages and is always doing one of these there's nothing else it does so we have to
Consolidation
Expansion
Retracements and reversal
I'm going to
Depict what it can do and
Also importantly what it cannot do so you can anticipate
What's in which cycle it is and
If you know what it shouldn't do that you have a higher probability of framing your trade setup
It's over here firstly price always grow goes from a consolidation to an expansion next
Price can go from an expansion into a retracements
Price can also go from an expansion into a reversal
Enterprise can also go from an expansion into a consolidation
No
What price never does
Is go from a consolidation into a reversal
Wild line
In the charts later how did
Looks like
Enterprise can never go from a consolidation
A retracements
When price looks like is delivering a consolidation to reversal
It's a trap and you will be followed by an AMD reversal pattern
So if you're not familiar with AMD it stands for accumulation
Manipulation and distribution
So you can already see in the name AMD we've got that manipulation
So think about what we just said right
You cannot go from a consolidation into a reversal
Because
Consolidation is accumulation write the a in AMD
But we cannot go into a referral from a consolidation
But if we do
Traits
Let's say we are bullish and we have a consolidation
The price starts to
Go lower reversing from that's consolidation which it can undo its a manipulation right
For us to continue
Higher later which will be distribution face and we'll all sign those
In charts coming up
Once price has gone from consolidation to expansion
There's only two things that can happen from the expansion
It's from expansion
Two reversal which could be an AMD reversal pattern
Which I just outlined
And we have
Expansion into retracements
Which could be a return to an order block or a very fair Valley get
Tacote you up
So how does it look like right
What do we see of hair we've got
An old low down here
Right external range liquidity
So what what do we want to do once we hit external Reigns liquidity will want to go to internal race liquidity right so we heard wrong
Liquidity of higher
So
If you look at this consolidation
Can we reverse from this
We have a break structure over here but no
We are not reversing from this why because we have this consolidation and we're still embarrass order flow right
Yes we do take out the slow but look at how these laws are formed right
We have to
Equal lows
So what's more likely to happen is the price Engineers liquidity up here
Bright in relatively quiet
What infocity does brake structure over here right but is strep
Because we still have two consolidation
So we shouldn't reverse from here
Now we have one more raid lower
And then expansion up higher
So this is a classic AMD schematic right
Accumulation down here right
Then I manipulation face upwards
Which inducao that's why it's called manipulation
Then Distributing lower
And then eventually
Following the true market Direction after reading those sale stops
And here we can see
With a depiction
Accumulation phase right
The manipulation face pillow
Cell stops right water-bearing again external race liquidity
Then Distributing up higher
In the process highly likely to leave a Fairvilla get behind
Or an order block
And then we can distribute higher from that point on out
Continuation patents only two things can happen here after it starts consolidating
Continuation expansion from the consolidation
Or mpmd
Bullish or bearish for price of reverse
It has to go higher first
Type of ear where does this AMV down here right
Accumulation manipulation and then distribution of higher now wearing polish order fluoride
Strong liquidity up in this verbally give up here
Right
Sell stocks have been
Paired up with
Bye-bye orders from Smart money
So we know we shouldn't go down here anymore
So we are ambushed Autoflower so we have expansion
Into consolidation so what does price action never do
After consolidation
It's never reverses right
So if we
Where to move down lower than this
Accumulation of air or this consolidation
We can expect that to be a fake move
So we should move like this right
But if it does move a little bit lower we can see an AMD model form
Right and that's should look something like this
Again Rhett
Is in the manipulation face right
We should not reverse from this consolidation
Keep that in mind if you are in Polish order flow and you see a consolidation and we have not
Importantly not hit a Target yet
A by side Target or internal or external range
We can expect that to be a manipulation
You can see over down here
Spending of higher into a distribution face
You can see this probably will become a breaker block
If there's a fair Valley gift coupled with a break block makes it even higher probability distribution
To distribute up higher so
Until we get to death
Interracial quiddity
Over here we have to same pattern but
Reverse right
We don't necessarily have to hit this target we can also
Reject
What's over here and not reach this target
We're not
Always 100% going into
Internal external
There might be a different level here which its King off of
So here we can see
Also accumulation and then we have a manipulation up higher and then distribution down lower
So this is an expansion into
Consolidation into expansion and then Ira first one
Right and then retracement into expansion
How does that look like on a
Candlestick chart
Euro British pound daily chart
Again
Think about the previous lessons right
Failure swings
Order barring
External range and internal range by its what can we see over here
Again by stops have been rated order pairing happening above Marketplace here
What are we having here
I fill your swing right so with a drawing liquidity
We have a break of structure
Look at all these fill your swings down here right
Failing to take out these lower somewhere for draw liquidity down lower
We fill up this daily fair value
Cell steps into external rains liquidity
I'm dropping down into a lower time frame chart
Which makes it easier
To see what they're doing right we have our hired thing frame
Target Reno biceps have been rather than orders have been parrot for sales
Now we're going into a lower time frame charts
See how that looks like
That's with a high resistance liquidity run up here or repairing once again
And I'm breaking down structure lower
And remember it's off a key level right
Key levels
It has to
It's a tri-level
Not breaking down lower and we start to accumulate
Or consolidate
So price can not refers from Michael solidation right
If it's worth a do a
A fake move up
It is manipulation and we should still continue down lower cuz this
It's a drone liquidity right
So
I could eat a do this
Or could do this
Right
Backup
Into this one
Why this would be an AMD
And then
That would be
Accumulation manipulation dishin distribution face
Also consolidation
Into
Suspension reversal
Because you cannot reverse from a consolidation and this would be a consolidation into expansion again
Distributing lower
B o s explain the early expansion into consolidation
Only two things can happen now continuation from a consolidation
Intuit retracement
Back into place maybe a order blog
Aurifil you get
As the throne liquidity has not been Rich yet so it has to do a expansion into a replacement
To continue down lower into Rochelle stops right with all these targets down here all these cells tips are still present
These relative equalize
Or relative
Rico Rollo sweater
Are still present this is a very nice drawing liquidity
Andweknow this consolidation cannot reverse right
So
Price breaks down lower
Goes back into a retracement
So that's more of a cycle is correct right
Consolidation expansion replacement expansion
Price for hitting this order block
Perfect area in premium right also draw also always draw out your discount and premium levels
So this is the dealing range over here
Retracement into premium into that old
And then finally we hit those sell stoves
So here we have a Tuesday Canadian dollar for our charts
Sells out of the curve down here
Because a reversal down here
And then into by side of the curve now what is the Drone liquidity right after we reverse down here
We have two sparkly get
Toby called from external
Right
Does Lowe's has been rated
Wom2 internal
Pakicetus refusal to happening down here
Taking Eliquis relative equal Lowe's
And then think about the order books right external internal race liquidity
And Bryce respecting bullish erase
Making diss by sight of the curve now
Drawing liquidity remembers up in here
And now we're going to look at
The market Cycles come into play
So we can see expansion
A reversal right
Then what happens over here
We have a small consolidation
We expend the pyre
That would be traced back into the range right
And then we have this order block right over here which we talked about in the previous lesson
We're taking out
He slows down here with the Scandal
Breaking up structure so this
Support price action
Continue up higher
And the market Cycles
Also
We have this for volume
Retracements back into and with another expansion leg
So where do we consolidate again
We have this piece of price action over here
Consolidating right we cannot reverse from a consolidation
So what do we need to do
Expansion right
It's that simple
Think about those Market Cycles everything look at the charts
With his tools already USF internal range external range right
You've got that
Order pairing
Engineered liquidity and now with the market Cycles or even even have more clear
Fishing of what needs to happen at work price needs to draw into
So this consolidation within expansion afterwards what happens after this expansion
We have another consolidation so
Do we need to go down from here
We did rate is high right
But no we are in a consolidation Market cycle right so we don't reverse from a consolidation that we keep on
Pushing up an expanding higher until we reach that the drawing liquidity
Right
And eventually we hit it over here
We hit that
Strong liquidity right but what does price action start to do
It starts to consolidate again right
So what can we do
Once we consolidate we cannot reverse right
So we see this move down
You're asking yourself rehearsal right
No it cannot happen because the market Cycles tell us
We go from consolidation
Into expansion
Not from a consolidation into a reversal right
So this move down again AMT model right think about that manipulation face
So we need to trade lower before
We need to trade higher
Before we can trade lower because we can all the referrals from this consolidation
Manipulation phase of what happens over here
Again order faring right above
Old Heist
Continuing downloader breaking structure and then
We get that same
Expansion Lake lower
And then what happens again
After we have an expansion into a reversal and then we start to accumulate
Or consolidate
So what kind of Heaven from here we can all the reverse upright because we're
Going into bearish water flow after
Rating by self
We have
That's order pairing up here right
Breaking structure lower
And the current market cycle is expansion higher
Into a reversal
Going into
If you reverse your going into a different water flow so we're going into bearish order flow
Now we're starting to accumulate or consolidate once again right so we cannot reverse from this consolidation
We see price dust go up
So
You should immediately ask so why are we going up after this consolidation right
It's highly likely it is manipulation
Right
So we going into this
Fair-value affordable combination is a high probability order block right
Then price continues down lower expanding
This move up can be a reversal right
And here we can see the schematic of the AMD
I thought just explain it and what's a little bit more annotations weeks can see it clearly see the accumulation phase
Into the manipulation face
And then distribution lower right order bearing happens up here already so we know we cannot go higher than here
And we broke structure lower
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