All language subtitles for 9. IPDA - Market Cycles

Next up

We're going to be talkin about if the market Cycles

So what does EPCOT stand for Sarepta stands for interbank Price delivery algorithm

This is the algorithm which makes the market move a certain way

And this algorithm has certain Cycles

So over here we have to surprise delivery

Depiction

We're starting with

Retracements

We've got

Reversal

Consolidation

Aunt expansion

Price only has four stages and is always doing one of these there's nothing else it does so we have to

Consolidation

Expansion

Retracements and reversal

I'm going to

Depict what it can do and

Also importantly what it cannot do so you can anticipate

What's in which cycle it is and

If you know what it shouldn't do that you have a higher probability of framing your trade setup

It's over here firstly price always grow goes from a consolidation to an expansion next

Price can go from an expansion into a retracements

Price can also go from an expansion into a reversal

Enterprise can also go from an expansion into a consolidation

No

What price never does

Is go from a consolidation into a reversal

Wild line

In the charts later how did

Looks like

Enterprise can never go from a consolidation

A retracements

When price looks like is delivering a consolidation to reversal

It's a trap and you will be followed by an AMD reversal pattern

So if you're not familiar with AMD it stands for accumulation

Manipulation and distribution

So you can already see in the name AMD we've got that manipulation

So think about what we just said right

You cannot go from a consolidation into a reversal

Because

Consolidation is accumulation write the a in AMD

But we cannot go into a referral from a consolidation

But if we do

Traits

Let's say we are bullish and we have a consolidation

The price starts to

Go lower reversing from that's consolidation which it can undo its a manipulation right

For us to continue

Higher later which will be distribution face and we'll all sign those

In charts coming up

Once price has gone from consolidation to expansion

There's only two things that can happen from the expansion

It's from expansion

Two reversal which could be an AMD reversal pattern

Which I just outlined

And we have

Expansion into retracements

Which could be a return to an order block or a very fair Valley get

Tacote you up

So how does it look like right

What do we see of hair we've got

An old low down here

Right external range liquidity

So what what do we want to do once we hit external Reigns liquidity will want to go to internal race liquidity right so we heard wrong

Liquidity of higher

So

If you look at this consolidation

Can we reverse from this

We have a break structure over here but no

We are not reversing from this why because we have this consolidation and we're still embarrass order flow right

Yes we do take out the slow but look at how these laws are formed right

We have to

Equal lows

So what's more likely to happen is the price Engineers liquidity up here

Bright in relatively quiet

What infocity does brake structure over here right but is strep

Because we still have two consolidation

So we shouldn't reverse from here

Now we have one more raid lower

And then expansion up higher

So this is a classic AMD schematic right

Accumulation down here right

Then I manipulation face upwards

Which inducao that's why it's called manipulation

Then Distributing lower

And then eventually

Following the true market Direction after reading those sale stops

And here we can see

With a depiction

Accumulation phase right

The manipulation face pillow

Cell stops right water-bearing again external race liquidity

Then Distributing up higher

In the process highly likely to leave a Fairvilla get behind

Or an order block

And then we can distribute higher from that point on out

Continuation patents only two things can happen here after it starts consolidating

Continuation expansion from the consolidation

Or mpmd

Bullish or bearish for price of reverse

It has to go higher first

Type of ear where does this AMV down here right

Accumulation manipulation and then distribution of higher now wearing polish order fluoride

Strong liquidity up in this verbally give up here

Right

Sell stocks have been

Paired up with

Bye-bye orders from Smart money

So we know we shouldn't go down here anymore

So we are ambushed Autoflower so we have expansion

Into consolidation so what does price action never do

After consolidation

It's never reverses right

So if we

Where to move down lower than this

Accumulation of air or this consolidation

We can expect that to be a fake move

So we should move like this right

But if it does move a little bit lower we can see an AMD model form

Right and that's should look something like this

Again Rhett

Is in the manipulation face right

We should not reverse from this consolidation

Keep that in mind if you are in Polish order flow and you see a consolidation and we have not

Importantly not hit a Target yet

A by side Target or internal or external range

We can expect that to be a manipulation

You can see over down here

Spending of higher into a distribution face

You can see this probably will become a breaker block

If there's a fair Valley gift coupled with a break block makes it even higher probability distribution

To distribute up higher so

Until we get to death

Interracial quiddity

Over here we have to same pattern but

Reverse right

We don't necessarily have to hit this target we can also

Reject

What's over here and not reach this target

We're not

Always 100% going into

Internal external

There might be a different level here which its King off of

So here we can see

Also accumulation and then we have a manipulation up higher and then distribution down lower

So this is an expansion into

Consolidation into expansion and then Ira first one

Right and then retracement into expansion

How does that look like on a

Candlestick chart

Euro British pound daily chart

Again

Think about the previous lessons right

Failure swings

Order barring

External range and internal range by its what can we see over here

Again by stops have been rated order pairing happening above Marketplace here

What are we having here

I fill your swing right so with a drawing liquidity

We have a break of structure

Look at all these fill your swings down here right

Failing to take out these lower somewhere for draw liquidity down lower

We fill up this daily fair value

Cell steps into external rains liquidity

I'm dropping down into a lower time frame chart

Which makes it easier

To see what they're doing right we have our hired thing frame

Target Reno biceps have been rather than orders have been parrot for sales

Now we're going into a lower time frame charts

See how that looks like

That's with a high resistance liquidity run up here or repairing once again

And I'm breaking down structure lower

And remember it's off a key level right

Key levels

It has to

It's a tri-level

Not breaking down lower and we start to accumulate

Or consolidate

So price can not refers from Michael solidation right

If it's worth a do a

A fake move up

It is manipulation and we should still continue down lower cuz this

It's a drone liquidity right

So

I could eat a do this

Or could do this

Right

Backup

Into this one

Why this would be an AMD

And then

That would be

Accumulation manipulation dishin distribution face

Also consolidation

Into

Suspension reversal

Because you cannot reverse from a consolidation and this would be a consolidation into expansion again

Distributing lower

B o s explain the early expansion into consolidation

Only two things can happen now continuation from a consolidation

Intuit retracement

Back into place maybe a order blog

Aurifil you get

As the throne liquidity has not been Rich yet so it has to do a expansion into a replacement

To continue down lower into Rochelle stops right with all these targets down here all these cells tips are still present

These relative equalize

Or relative

Rico Rollo sweater

Are still present this is a very nice drawing liquidity

Andweknow this consolidation cannot reverse right

So

Price breaks down lower

Goes back into a retracement

So that's more of a cycle is correct right

Consolidation expansion replacement expansion

Price for hitting this order block

Perfect area in premium right also draw also always draw out your discount and premium levels

So this is the dealing range over here

Retracement into premium into that old

And then finally we hit those sell stoves

So here we have a Tuesday Canadian dollar for our charts

Sells out of the curve down here

Because a reversal down here

And then into by side of the curve now what is the Drone liquidity right after we reverse down here

We have two sparkly get

Toby called from external

Right

Does Lowe's has been rated

Wom2 internal

Pakicetus refusal to happening down here

Taking Eliquis relative equal Lowe's

And then think about the order books right external internal race liquidity

And Bryce respecting bullish erase

Making diss by sight of the curve now

Drawing liquidity remembers up in here

And now we're going to look at

The market Cycles come into play

So we can see expansion

A reversal right

Then what happens over here

We have a small consolidation

We expend the pyre

That would be traced back into the range right

And then we have this order block right over here which we talked about in the previous lesson

We're taking out

He slows down here with the Scandal

Breaking up structure so this

Support price action

Continue up higher

And the market Cycles

Also

We have this for volume

Retracements back into and with another expansion leg

So where do we consolidate again

We have this piece of price action over here

Consolidating right we cannot reverse from a consolidation

So what do we need to do

Expansion right

It's that simple

Think about those Market Cycles everything look at the charts

With his tools already USF internal range external range right

You've got that

Order pairing

Engineered liquidity and now with the market Cycles or even even have more clear

Fishing of what needs to happen at work price needs to draw into

So this consolidation within expansion afterwards what happens after this expansion

We have another consolidation so

Do we need to go down from here

We did rate is high right

But no we are in a consolidation Market cycle right so we don't reverse from a consolidation that we keep on

Pushing up an expanding higher until we reach that the drawing liquidity

Right

And eventually we hit it over here

We hit that

Strong liquidity right but what does price action start to do

It starts to consolidate again right

So what can we do

Once we consolidate we cannot reverse right

So we see this move down

You're asking yourself rehearsal right

No it cannot happen because the market Cycles tell us

We go from consolidation

Into expansion

Not from a consolidation into a reversal right

So this move down again AMT model right think about that manipulation face

So we need to trade lower before

We need to trade higher

Before we can trade lower because we can all the referrals from this consolidation

Manipulation phase of what happens over here

Again order faring right above

Old Heist

Continuing downloader breaking structure and then

We get that same

Expansion Lake lower

And then what happens again

After we have an expansion into a reversal and then we start to accumulate

Or consolidate

So what kind of Heaven from here we can all the reverse upright because we're

Going into bearish water flow after

Rating by self

We have

That's order pairing up here right

Breaking structure lower

And the current market cycle is expansion higher

Into a reversal

Going into

If you reverse your going into a different water flow so we're going into bearish order flow

Now we're starting to accumulate or consolidate once again right so we cannot reverse from this consolidation

We see price dust go up

So

You should immediately ask so why are we going up after this consolidation right

It's highly likely it is manipulation

Right

So we going into this

Fair-value affordable combination is a high probability order block right

Then price continues down lower expanding

This move up can be a reversal right

And here we can see the schematic of the AMD

I thought just explain it and what's a little bit more annotations weeks can see it clearly see the accumulation phase

Into the manipulation face

And then distribution lower right order bearing happens up here already so we know we cannot go higher than here

And we broke structure lower