Original subtitles

Will the Russian occupants blow up the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant

when they flee from the left bank to the Crimea?

Such a question was asked by different people in different publications.

I will give you some figures to understand the expediency of such an action,

as well as bring understanding to any other nuclear scaremongering on the part of Russia.

But before explaining about the Nuclear Power Plant, it is necessary to understand what forces

and means the occupants have deployed in the south of Ukraine. On the left bank of the Kherson region

and in the occupied part of Zaporizhzhia region they have concentrated up to 150

thousand personnel. At the same time, this number of forces is still insufficient to hold territory.

The worst situation the enemy has with holding territory in the defense is in the Kherson region.

There they have a shortage of forces along the front line, as well as a lack of means

according to the staffing. But most importantly, the situation in the temporarily occupied Crimea

is even worse. No more than 25 combat-ready Battalion tactical groups are stationed there.

Therefore, in case of activation of some actions in the south, the main part of this 150,000-strong

mass will rush to the Crimea in panic, thus saturating it with resources.

In particular, why I am so sure that the occupants will flee from the South and

will not be able to hold the defense, because they have trenches there and a lot of people.

In the current state, the occupants' Battalion tactical groups on the left bank of the Kherson

region and in the Zaporizhzhya region are able to hold an average of 1 km of front each in defense.

Thus the occupants need 256 Battalion tactical groups or 155

thousand personnel to hold Kherson bridgehead in defense.

In turn in Zaporizhzhya region they must concentrate 200 Battalion tactical groups

or 120 thousand people to hold in the defense.

Therefore we conclude that the adversary requires 275,000

manpower to hold the south in defense, with the actual number of 150,000, which is almost

twofold less. Not to mention the incomplete equipment of these Battalion tactical groups.

The enemy has a critical resource shortage.

At the same time, part of the available resource in the south "serves" the Donetsk region and the

potential of this group should be considered even lower than voiced.

In fact, all of the above raises the question...

Trenches have been dug, defensive lines erected, but who will hold this defense?

Especially when the first line of defense is broken through, and the rest will follow?

And they will all run to the Crimea, where the next phase will begin, but about that later.

So, let's imagine they blow up the Nuclear Power Plant, what then? Then the Russian

side loses 150,000 conditionally combat-ready units in an extremely short period of time.

They will simply not be able to hold the south, let alone hold Crimea. At the same time,

a nuclear terrorist act will be committed, which is unprecedented in history, which, in turn,

will activate the international military machine to subdue the nuclear terrorist.

Such a terrorist attack could well activate NATO's Article 5 of collective security. In its turn,

Russia will not have the resources to repulse NATO's counter-terrorist operation.

Therefore, the fleeing occupiers will not carry out any subversion of Nuclear Power Plant.

The Russian command still wants to postpone the moment of total defeat,

hopefully twitching in convulsions for six months to a year defending Crimea.