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Ukraine's counteroffensive will begin in ...
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But what's the rush, I'll tellĀ
you about it a little later...
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You know, the Chinese use the same hieroglyph forĀ
the characteristics of a wise and cunning man.Ā Ā
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And military cunning is notĀ
considered a deception at all.
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Such non-standard strategies,Ā
developed in ancient China,Ā Ā
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form the basis of the essay "Thirty-SixĀ
Stratagems. They cover the field of politics,Ā Ā
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diplomacy, espionage and are based onĀ
the experience of three thousand years.
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The treatise recommends, for example:
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-ļø do "dirty work" with other people's hands;
-ļø to disguise one's trueĀ Ā
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intentions with a false purpose;
-ļø use a long-rejected technology or method;Ā
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- deceive the enemy into believingĀ
that he is acquiring something,Ā Ā
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thereby diverting his attention;
- free a cornered enemy to relax,Ā Ā
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and then attack unexpectedly;
- influence an army through their leader...
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Most effective, however,Ā Ā
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is to introduce more chaos by throwing inĀ
false information to disorient the enemy.
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In connection with the Ukrainian counteroffensive,Ā
it is appropriate to recall the German command'sĀ Ā
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"Kremlin" operation to disinformĀ
Stalin on the eve of the attack.
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In general, Nazi Germany since the mid-30s beganĀ
to declare the inevitability of war with the USSR.Ā Ā
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Soviet intelligence understood that theĀ
war would begin. The question is when?
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In '41 a kaleidoscope of insinuations began -Ā
dates of possible attack changed twice a day.Ā Ā
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But analytics was weak after Stalin's "purges",Ā Ā
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and the intelligence did not know whatĀ
to report to the leader. However, StalinĀ Ā
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considered himself to be the best analyst,Ā
just as Putin considers himself to be now.
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In general, I am sure that this skilful and subtleĀ
information-psychological operation on the timingĀ Ā
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and readiness of the Ukrainian counteroffensiveĀ
successfully disoriented everyone who was needed.
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But at the same time it only optimizedĀ
the algorithm of the future counterattack,Ā Ā
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without violating the sober accounting of forces,Ā Ā
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discipline, cold calculation and daringĀ
ambition of Ukraine to defeat the enemy.
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And now I will name the date of Ukraine'sĀ
counteroffensive. It will begin in November '22,Ā Ā
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in December, in spring, in March,Ā
when the ground dries up, April 30...
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You get the idea...
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I'm wrapping up for today,Ā
but I'll see you all tomorrow.
3643
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