All language subtitles for captions-15-04-2023

I would like to share my observations about
the so-called "goodwill gesture" of the occupiers

and the evacuation from the temporarily occupied
territories that some sources write about.

Let me put it this way.

At the moment, I do not see any signs of preparation
of a "goodwill gesture" in the left-bank Kherson

region, Zaporizhzhia region and other occupied
territories.

All those evacuation processes that take place
in some regions do not count, because they

do not reflect the willingness of the occupants
themselves to flee.

The main signs of preparation for a "gesture
of good will" are not the removal of civilians

and collaborators, but some other actions,
in three stages.

First, it is the removal of medical personnel.

The first sign of preparation for flight is
the removal of occupant medical personnel

from medical institutions in the cities and
the winding up of field hospitals, and so

on.

This process is accompanied by the looting
of medical equipment and the emptying of local

pharmacies.

The second is the withdrawal of artillery
units.

Artillery is now worth its weight in gold
for the Russian troops and is being withdrawn

at the same time or after the medical personnel.

The decrease of this component in the combat
zone and along the line of contact indicates

that the occupants are preparing to flee.

And thirdly, the withdrawal of communications
systems.

If the Russians start phasing out communications
units, primary and redundant systems, it is

a sign of the final stage of preparations
to flee.

To date, not even the first stage of this
process has been observed at any of the locations.

All this suggests that the enemy forces are
not currently preparing to flee from any of

the bridgeheads they occupy and continue to
believe that they can hold their ground under

the onslaught of the AFU counteroffensive.

Well, the suicides made their election.

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If you look carefully at the dynamics of the
burning out of the Russian logistics - it

occurs accurately along the entire front line,
which, let me remind you, is more than a thousand

kilometers.

The depth is still the same - up to 100 km
from the line of contact.

All this suggests that the Ukrainians are
preparing for an offensive, but carefully

conceal the possible direction of the main
strike.

Back in World War I it became clear - intensive
artillery preparation in a particular direction

gives the enemy a precise idea of where it
will be.

Actually, the success of the defense depends
on the answer to several questions: when,

who, and where?

When - we don't know, maybe in a week, maybe
in a month.

Any "exact" dates now are speculation.

Who - the answer is obvious, trained AFU reserves
with Western vehicles.

But the scale is not obvious - this is why
all sorts of leaks are organized to fool the

heads of Russian "analysts".

Where - is the most important question, and
here are possible options.

If they do not determine it in time - then
there will be no way to stop the breakthrough.

All we have to do is wait.

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