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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,510 we won't see this again we will not see 2 00:00:02,510 --> 00:00:02,520 we won't see this again we will not see 3 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:05,329 we won't see this again we will not see a bubble economy for for our kids will 4 00:00:05,329 --> 00:00:05,339 a bubble economy for for our kids will 5 00:00:05,339 --> 00:00:07,610 a bubble economy for for our kids will probably not even see a bubble economy 6 00:00:07,610 --> 00:00:07,620 probably not even see a bubble economy 7 00:00:07,620 --> 00:00:09,770 probably not even see a bubble economy decades and decades from now it happens 8 00:00:09,770 --> 00:00:09,780 decades and decades from now it happens 9 00:00:09,780 --> 00:00:12,709 decades and decades from now it happens once in a lifetime at most and this is 10 00:00:12,709 --> 00:00:12,719 once in a lifetime at most and this is 11 00:00:12,719 --> 00:00:13,970 once in a lifetime at most and this is the bubble of Our Lifetime right now 12 00:00:13,970 --> 00:00:13,980 the bubble of Our Lifetime right now 13 00:00:13,980 --> 00:00:15,770 the bubble of Our Lifetime right now this is the bubble of our lifetime and 14 00:00:15,770 --> 00:00:15,780 this is the bubble of our lifetime and 15 00:00:15,780 --> 00:00:19,250 this is the bubble of our lifetime and bigger than either the 1837 Peak or the 16 00:00:19,250 --> 00:00:19,260 bigger than either the 1837 Peak or the 17 00:00:19,260 --> 00:00:21,710 bigger than either the 1837 Peak or the 29 Peak this is going to be the biggest 18 00:00:21,710 --> 00:00:21,720 29 Peak this is going to be the biggest 19 00:00:21,720 --> 00:00:24,830 29 Peak this is going to be the biggest crisis in the baby boomers life the 20 00:00:24,830 --> 00:00:24,840 crisis in the baby boomers life the 21 00:00:24,840 --> 00:00:26,269 crisis in the baby boomers life the biggest crisis of the Bob Hope 22 00:00:26,269 --> 00:00:26,279 biggest crisis of the Bob Hope 23 00:00:26,279 --> 00:00:28,849 biggest crisis of the Bob Hope generation was the Great Depression this 24 00:00:28,849 --> 00:00:28,859 generation was the Great Depression this 25 00:00:28,859 --> 00:00:30,710 generation was the Great Depression this is going to be the big crisis the the 26 00:00:30,710 --> 00:00:30,720 is going to be the big crisis the the 27 00:00:30,720 --> 00:00:33,650 is going to be the big crisis the the final kind of depression into this is 28 00:00:33,650 --> 00:00:33,660 final kind of depression into this is 29 00:00:33,660 --> 00:00:35,150 final kind of depression into this is going to hit the Baby Boomers the 30 00:00:35,150 --> 00:00:35,160 going to hit the Baby Boomers the 31 00:00:35,160 --> 00:00:37,130 going to hit the Baby Boomers the hardest because they're going to need 32 00:00:37,130 --> 00:00:37,140 hardest because they're going to need 33 00:00:37,140 --> 00:00:39,530 hardest because they're going to need that net worth that's going to disappear 34 00:00:39,530 --> 00:00:39,540 that net worth that's going to disappear 35 00:00:39,540 --> 00:00:41,630 that net worth that's going to disappear at the speed of light and I mean 36 00:00:41,630 --> 00:00:41,640 at the speed of light and I mean 37 00:00:41,640 --> 00:00:44,270 at the speed of light and I mean disappear not come back our next guest 38 00:00:44,270 --> 00:00:44,280 disappear not come back our next guest 39 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:47,030 disappear not come back our next guest is calling for possibly the largest 40 00:00:47,030 --> 00:00:47,040 is calling for possibly the largest 41 00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:50,029 is calling for possibly the largest crash in our lifetime in the markets why 42 00:00:50,029 --> 00:00:50,039 crash in our lifetime in the markets why 43 00:00:50,039 --> 00:00:52,130 crash in our lifetime in the markets why is this happening where are we in the 44 00:00:52,130 --> 00:00:52,140 is this happening where are we in the 45 00:00:52,140 --> 00:00:54,350 is this happening where are we in the multi-wave cycle Harry Dent has the 46 00:00:54,350 --> 00:00:54,360 multi-wave cycle Harry Dent has the 47 00:00:54,360 --> 00:00:56,869 multi-wave cycle Harry Dent has the answers he is the founder of HS dent and 48 00:00:56,869 --> 00:00:56,879 answers he is the founder of HS dent and 49 00:00:56,879 --> 00:00:58,850 answers he is the founder of HS dent and the author of several best-selling books 50 00:00:58,850 --> 00:00:58,860 the author of several best-selling books 51 00:00:58,860 --> 00:01:01,310 the author of several best-selling books including zero hour turn the greatest 52 00:01:01,310 --> 00:01:01,320 including zero hour turn the greatest 53 00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:03,229 including zero hour turn the greatest political and financial upheaval in 54 00:01:03,229 --> 00:01:03,239 political and financial upheaval in 55 00:01:03,239 --> 00:01:05,450 political and financial upheaval in modern history to your advantage and the 56 00:01:05,450 --> 00:01:05,460 modern history to your advantage and the 57 00:01:05,460 --> 00:01:08,090 modern history to your advantage and the demographic Cliff how to survive and 58 00:01:08,090 --> 00:01:08,100 demographic Cliff how to survive and 59 00:01:08,100 --> 00:01:11,270 demographic Cliff how to survive and prosper during the Great deflation ahead 60 00:01:11,270 --> 00:01:11,280 prosper during the Great deflation ahead 61 00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:13,730 prosper during the Great deflation ahead Harry wonderful titles you've written 62 00:01:13,730 --> 00:01:13,740 Harry wonderful titles you've written 63 00:01:13,740 --> 00:01:16,010 Harry wonderful titles you've written wonderful books everyone should check 64 00:01:16,010 --> 00:01:16,020 wonderful books everyone should check 65 00:01:16,020 --> 00:01:18,590 wonderful books everyone should check out your site hsdeck or Harry den.com 66 00:01:18,590 --> 00:01:18,600 out your site hsdeck or Harry den.com 67 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:20,510 out your site hsdeck or Harry den.com rather in your newsletter welcome to my 68 00:01:20,510 --> 00:01:20,520 rather in your newsletter welcome to my 69 00:01:20,520 --> 00:01:23,030 rather in your newsletter welcome to my show nice to be back Dave you're calling 70 00:01:23,030 --> 00:01:23,040 show nice to be back Dave you're calling 71 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:26,570 show nice to be back Dave you're calling for possibly the greatest crash in our 72 00:01:26,570 --> 00:01:26,580 for possibly the greatest crash in our 73 00:01:26,580 --> 00:01:28,730 for possibly the greatest crash in our lifetime we already had a pretty big 74 00:01:28,730 --> 00:01:28,740 lifetime we already had a pretty big 75 00:01:28,740 --> 00:01:30,950 lifetime we already had a pretty big downturn last year the S P 500 was down 76 00:01:30,950 --> 00:01:30,960 downturn last year the S P 500 was down 77 00:01:30,960 --> 00:01:34,070 downturn last year the S P 500 was down 18 percent year on year but that's not 78 00:01:34,070 --> 00:01:34,080 18 percent year on year but that's not 79 00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:35,450 18 percent year on year but that's not it that's not the crash you're talking 80 00:01:35,450 --> 00:01:35,460 it that's not the crash you're talking 81 00:01:35,460 --> 00:01:36,469 it that's not the crash you're talking about 82 00:01:36,469 --> 00:01:36,479 about 83 00:01:36,479 --> 00:01:40,670 about right and in the 2008-9 crash was 57 on 84 00:01:40,670 --> 00:01:40,680 right and in the 2008-9 crash was 57 on 85 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:44,810 right and in the 2008-9 crash was 57 on the S P 500 so so yes no this this is 86 00:01:44,810 --> 00:01:44,820 the S P 500 so so yes no this this is 87 00:01:44,820 --> 00:01:47,210 the S P 500 so so yes no this this is basically what that crash should have 88 00:01:47,210 --> 00:01:47,220 basically what that crash should have 89 00:01:47,220 --> 00:01:49,429 basically what that crash should have been people didn't notice it's pretty 90 00:01:49,429 --> 00:01:49,439 been people didn't notice it's pretty 91 00:01:49,439 --> 00:01:51,830 been people didn't notice it's pretty obvious about how about a year and a 92 00:01:51,830 --> 00:01:51,840 obvious about how about a year and a 93 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:54,289 obvious about how about a year and a half into that crash the central banks 94 00:01:54,289 --> 00:01:54,299 half into that crash the central banks 95 00:01:54,299 --> 00:01:55,969 half into that crash the central banks just stepped in and just just started 96 00:01:55,969 --> 00:01:55,979 just stepped in and just just started 97 00:01:55,979 --> 00:01:59,149 just stepped in and just just started printing money uh unprecedented rates to 98 00:01:59,149 --> 00:01:59,159 printing money uh unprecedented rates to 99 00:01:59,159 --> 00:02:00,469 printing money uh unprecedented rates to blow us out of that that's what 100 00:02:00,469 --> 00:02:00,479 blow us out of that that's what 101 00:02:00,479 --> 00:02:02,170 blow us out of that that's what basically happened so that recession 102 00:02:02,170 --> 00:02:02,180 basically happened so that recession 103 00:02:02,180 --> 00:02:05,630 basically happened so that recession didn't really do its job of flushing out 104 00:02:05,630 --> 00:02:05,640 didn't really do its job of flushing out 105 00:02:05,640 --> 00:02:07,789 didn't really do its job of flushing out the greatest debt bubble in history 106 00:02:07,789 --> 00:02:07,799 the greatest debt bubble in history 107 00:02:07,799 --> 00:02:10,010 the greatest debt bubble in history which I've been warning about for years 108 00:02:10,010 --> 00:02:10,020 which I've been warning about for years 109 00:02:10,020 --> 00:02:12,530 which I've been warning about for years and decades uh bigger than the Roaring 110 00:02:12,530 --> 00:02:12,540 and decades uh bigger than the Roaring 111 00:02:12,540 --> 00:02:14,869 and decades uh bigger than the Roaring 20s which ended up in a bubble in the 112 00:02:14,869 --> 00:02:14,879 20s which ended up in a bubble in the 113 00:02:14,879 --> 00:02:17,930 20s which ended up in a bubble in the stock markets and the the crash of a 114 00:02:17,930 --> 00:02:17,940 stock markets and the the crash of a 115 00:02:17,940 --> 00:02:22,190 stock markets and the the crash of a lifetime back then now down 89 for the 116 00:02:22,190 --> 00:02:22,200 lifetime back then now down 89 for the 117 00:02:22,200 --> 00:02:23,930 lifetime back then now down 89 for the Dow which was the leading index back 118 00:02:23,930 --> 00:02:23,940 Dow which was the leading index back 119 00:02:23,940 --> 00:02:26,930 Dow which was the leading index back then I'm predicting as much as 86 for 120 00:02:26,930 --> 00:02:26,940 then I'm predicting as much as 86 for 121 00:02:26,940 --> 00:02:30,350 then I'm predicting as much as 86 for the S P 500 in this crash and 92 percent 122 00:02:30,350 --> 00:02:30,360 the S P 500 in this crash and 92 percent 123 00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:33,830 the S P 500 in this crash and 92 percent on the NASDAQ so in that realm of 124 00:02:33,830 --> 00:02:33,840 on the NASDAQ so in that realm of 125 00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:36,410 on the NASDAQ so in that realm of something you only literally see why 126 00:02:36,410 --> 00:02:36,420 something you only literally see why 127 00:02:36,420 --> 00:02:39,770 something you only literally see why once in a lifetime if that so so this is 128 00:02:39,770 --> 00:02:39,780 once in a lifetime if that so so this is 129 00:02:39,780 --> 00:02:42,410 once in a lifetime if that so so this is nothing this is what my point is most 130 00:02:42,410 --> 00:02:42,420 nothing this is what my point is most 131 00:02:42,420 --> 00:02:44,270 nothing this is what my point is most financial advisors are right most the 132 00:02:44,270 --> 00:02:44,280 financial advisors are right most the 133 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:45,830 financial advisors are right most the time you can just sit through most 134 00:02:45,830 --> 00:02:45,840 time you can just sit through most 135 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:47,750 time you can just sit through most Corrections and rebalance and that sort 136 00:02:47,750 --> 00:02:47,760 Corrections and rebalance and that sort 137 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:49,490 Corrections and rebalance and that sort of stuff because it's not easy to time 138 00:02:49,490 --> 00:02:49,500 of stuff because it's not easy to time 139 00:02:49,500 --> 00:02:51,410 of stuff because it's not easy to time the market as most people know okay but 140 00:02:51,410 --> 00:02:51,420 the market as most people know okay but 141 00:02:51,420 --> 00:02:54,170 the market as most people know okay but but this is so important that I Am 142 00:02:54,170 --> 00:02:54,180 but this is so important that I Am 143 00:02:54,180 --> 00:02:56,030 but this is so important that I Am timing the market I have I warned about 144 00:02:56,030 --> 00:02:56,040 timing the market I have I warned about 145 00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:59,509 timing the market I have I warned about this in my newsletter off the charts two 146 00:02:59,509 --> 00:02:59,519 this in my newsletter off the charts two 147 00:02:59,519 --> 00:03:01,910 this in my newsletter off the charts two huge warnings in mid and late December 148 00:03:01,910 --> 00:03:01,920 huge warnings in mid and late December 149 00:03:01,920 --> 00:03:05,509 huge warnings in mid and late December saying this crash is about to happen it 150 00:03:05,509 --> 00:03:05,519 saying this crash is about to happen it 151 00:03:05,519 --> 00:03:06,890 saying this crash is about to happen it is going to be the crash of your 152 00:03:06,890 --> 00:03:06,900 is going to be the crash of your 153 00:03:06,900 --> 00:03:08,930 is going to be the crash of your lifetime and next thing you know we were 154 00:03:08,930 --> 00:03:08,940 lifetime and next thing you know we were 155 00:03:08,940 --> 00:03:13,009 lifetime and next thing you know we were down 38 percent uh in the NASDAQ uh in 156 00:03:13,009 --> 00:03:13,019 down 38 percent uh in the NASDAQ uh in 157 00:03:13,019 --> 00:03:15,890 down 38 percent uh in the NASDAQ uh in in October of last year and that's just 158 00:03:15,890 --> 00:03:15,900 in October of last year and that's just 159 00:03:15,900 --> 00:03:18,530 in October of last year and that's just the first wave down there's two more to 160 00:03:18,530 --> 00:03:18,540 the first wave down there's two more to 161 00:03:18,540 --> 00:03:20,089 the first wave down there's two more to follow and I think we're just about to 162 00:03:20,089 --> 00:03:20,099 follow and I think we're just about to 163 00:03:20,099 --> 00:03:22,729 follow and I think we're just about to see or we're we've already started the 164 00:03:22,729 --> 00:03:22,739 see or we're we've already started the 165 00:03:22,739 --> 00:03:24,949 see or we're we've already started the next wave down which could take the 166 00:03:24,949 --> 00:03:24,959 next wave down which could take the 167 00:03:24,959 --> 00:03:28,850 next wave down which could take the NASDAQ down to 8 000 just in this next 168 00:03:28,850 --> 00:03:28,860 NASDAQ down to 8 000 just in this next 169 00:03:28,860 --> 00:03:31,610 NASDAQ down to 8 000 just in this next wave not not the end of it and that's 170 00:03:31,610 --> 00:03:31,620 wave not not the end of it and that's 171 00:03:31,620 --> 00:03:34,009 wave not not the end of it and that's going to be down a little over 50 and 172 00:03:34,009 --> 00:03:34,019 going to be down a little over 50 and 173 00:03:34,019 --> 00:03:35,330 going to be down a little over 50 and that's when people are going to know 174 00:03:35,330 --> 00:03:35,340 that's when people are going to know 175 00:03:35,340 --> 00:03:39,830 that's when people are going to know this is is not a big correction it is a 176 00:03:39,830 --> 00:03:39,840 this is is not a big correction it is a 177 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:42,229 this is is not a big correction it is a major crash one that you have not seen 178 00:03:42,229 --> 00:03:42,239 major crash one that you have not seen 179 00:03:42,239 --> 00:03:46,490 major crash one that you have not seen in 7374 or 8082 in your lifetime and one 180 00:03:46,490 --> 00:03:46,500 in 7374 or 8082 in your lifetime and one 181 00:03:46,500 --> 00:03:48,710 in 7374 or 8082 in your lifetime and one that even the Millennials will not see a 182 00:03:48,710 --> 00:03:48,720 that even the Millennials will not see a 183 00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:50,990 that even the Millennials will not see a bigger crash than this when their boom 184 00:03:50,990 --> 00:03:51,000 bigger crash than this when their boom 185 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:53,390 bigger crash than this when their boom and bust hits many decades from now I 186 00:03:53,390 --> 00:03:53,400 and bust hits many decades from now I 187 00:03:53,400 --> 00:03:54,770 and bust hits many decades from now I remember the first time I talked to you 188 00:03:54,770 --> 00:03:54,780 remember the first time I talked to you 189 00:03:54,780 --> 00:03:57,289 remember the first time I talked to you was late 2020 and you had predicted that 190 00:03:57,289 --> 00:03:57,299 was late 2020 and you had predicted that 191 00:03:57,299 --> 00:03:59,930 was late 2020 and you had predicted that we would begin this crash I think it was 192 00:03:59,930 --> 00:03:59,940 we would begin this crash I think it was 193 00:03:59,940 --> 00:04:02,330 we would begin this crash I think it was first or second wave and eventually it 194 00:04:02,330 --> 00:04:02,340 first or second wave and eventually it 195 00:04:02,340 --> 00:04:04,309 first or second wave and eventually it did come you were correct in that 2022 196 00:04:04,309 --> 00:04:04,319 did come you were correct in that 2022 197 00:04:04,319 --> 00:04:07,070 did come you were correct in that 2022 last year saw the stock markets and 198 00:04:07,070 --> 00:04:07,080 last year saw the stock markets and 199 00:04:07,080 --> 00:04:09,649 last year saw the stock markets and cryptocurrencies all crash uh not to the 200 00:04:09,649 --> 00:04:09,659 cryptocurrencies all crash uh not to the 201 00:04:09,659 --> 00:04:13,070 cryptocurrencies all crash uh not to the extent of 50 but actually 2022 was the 202 00:04:13,070 --> 00:04:13,080 extent of 50 but actually 2022 was the 203 00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:14,990 extent of 50 but actually 2022 was the most severe crash for stocks and bonds 204 00:04:14,990 --> 00:04:15,000 most severe crash for stocks and bonds 205 00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:16,729 most severe crash for stocks and bonds collectively if you put them together as 206 00:04:16,729 --> 00:04:16,739 collectively if you put them together as 207 00:04:16,739 --> 00:04:19,009 collectively if you put them together as a percentage of GDP so in that regard 208 00:04:19,009 --> 00:04:19,019 a percentage of GDP so in that regard 209 00:04:19,019 --> 00:04:20,750 a percentage of GDP so in that regard you were correct however it did happen 210 00:04:20,750 --> 00:04:20,760 you were correct however it did happen 211 00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:23,749 you were correct however it did happen later than you initially anticipated why 212 00:04:23,749 --> 00:04:23,759 later than you initially anticipated why 213 00:04:23,759 --> 00:04:26,450 later than you initially anticipated why why did it happen later you think that's 214 00:04:26,450 --> 00:04:26,460 why did it happen later you think that's 215 00:04:26,460 --> 00:04:29,390 why did it happen later you think that's extremely extremely simple never before 216 00:04:29,390 --> 00:04:29,400 extremely extremely simple never before 217 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:31,550 extremely extremely simple never before look at the Great Depression look at any 218 00:04:31,550 --> 00:04:31,560 look at the Great Depression look at any 219 00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:34,129 look at the Great Depression look at any major downturn the mid 70s never before 220 00:04:34,129 --> 00:04:34,139 major downturn the mid 70s never before 221 00:04:34,139 --> 00:04:38,090 major downturn the mid 70s never before have central banks declared War literal 222 00:04:38,090 --> 00:04:38,100 have central banks declared War literal 223 00:04:38,100 --> 00:04:41,270 have central banks declared War literal war on recessions and said we will not 224 00:04:41,270 --> 00:04:41,280 war on recessions and said we will not 225 00:04:41,280 --> 00:04:43,610 war on recessions and said we will not let the economy fall Mario Dragon was 226 00:04:43,610 --> 00:04:43,620 let the economy fall Mario Dragon was 227 00:04:43,620 --> 00:04:46,010 let the economy fall Mario Dragon was the first one to say he said to traders 228 00:04:46,010 --> 00:04:46,020 the first one to say he said to traders 229 00:04:46,020 --> 00:04:47,810 the first one to say he said to traders who were shorting the European markets 230 00:04:47,810 --> 00:04:47,820 who were shorting the European markets 231 00:04:47,820 --> 00:04:50,270 who were shorting the European markets back there in in 2020 when we should 232 00:04:50,270 --> 00:04:50,280 back there in in 2020 when we should 233 00:04:50,280 --> 00:04:53,270 back there in in 2020 when we should have had The Real Crash started okay he 234 00:04:53,270 --> 00:04:53,280 have had The Real Crash started okay he 235 00:04:53,280 --> 00:04:56,030 have had The Real Crash started okay he said I will print unlimited amounts of 236 00:04:56,030 --> 00:04:56,040 said I will print unlimited amounts of 237 00:04:56,040 --> 00:04:58,310 said I will print unlimited amounts of money do not bet against me you damn 238 00:04:58,310 --> 00:04:58,320 money do not bet against me you damn 239 00:04:58,320 --> 00:05:00,110 money do not bet against me you damn Traders and that's what they've done 240 00:05:00,110 --> 00:05:00,120 Traders and that's what they've done 241 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:03,469 Traders and that's what they've done they have pushed this off but even with 242 00:05:03,469 --> 00:05:03,479 they have pushed this off but even with 243 00:05:03,479 --> 00:05:06,409 they have pushed this off but even with all this unprecedented nine trillion 244 00:05:06,409 --> 00:05:06,419 all this unprecedented nine trillion 245 00:05:06,419 --> 00:05:07,969 all this unprecedented nine trillion dollars for the FED alone and money 246 00:05:07,969 --> 00:05:07,979 dollars for the FED alone and money 247 00:05:07,979 --> 00:05:10,790 dollars for the FED alone and money printing never have we seen even a 248 00:05:10,790 --> 00:05:10,800 printing never have we seen even a 249 00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:13,550 printing never have we seen even a fraction of that okay even with all that 250 00:05:13,550 --> 00:05:13,560 fraction of that okay even with all that 251 00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:16,129 fraction of that okay even with all that we keep falling back in a recession we 252 00:05:16,129 --> 00:05:16,139 we keep falling back in a recession we 253 00:05:16,139 --> 00:05:19,249 we keep falling back in a recession we just came we just came out of the covet 254 00:05:19,249 --> 00:05:19,259 just came we just came out of the covet 255 00:05:19,259 --> 00:05:21,890 just came we just came out of the covet down and with all this massive stimulus 256 00:05:21,890 --> 00:05:21,900 down and with all this massive stimulus 257 00:05:21,900 --> 00:05:24,050 down and with all this massive stimulus 10 trillion dollars half of it fiscal 258 00:05:24,050 --> 00:05:24,060 10 trillion dollars half of it fiscal 259 00:05:24,060 --> 00:05:26,510 10 trillion dollars half of it fiscal half of it monetary the biggest single 260 00:05:26,510 --> 00:05:26,520 half of it monetary the biggest single 261 00:05:26,520 --> 00:05:28,850 half of it monetary the biggest single two-year stimulus in all of history 262 00:05:28,850 --> 00:05:28,860 two-year stimulus in all of history 263 00:05:28,860 --> 00:05:31,189 two-year stimulus in all of history topping everything before that and we're 264 00:05:31,189 --> 00:05:31,199 topping everything before that and we're 265 00:05:31,199 --> 00:05:33,409 topping everything before that and we're already falling in a recession again 266 00:05:33,409 --> 00:05:33,419 already falling in a recession again 267 00:05:33,419 --> 00:05:35,330 already falling in a recession again that's the problem the economy 268 00:05:35,330 --> 00:05:35,340 that's the problem the economy 269 00:05:35,340 --> 00:05:38,210 that's the problem the economy underneath is really really weak and 270 00:05:38,210 --> 00:05:38,220 underneath is really really weak and 271 00:05:38,220 --> 00:05:39,830 underneath is really really weak and really needs to get rid of a lot of 272 00:05:39,830 --> 00:05:39,840 really needs to get rid of a lot of 273 00:05:39,840 --> 00:05:42,590 really needs to get rid of a lot of really bad debt and zombie companies and 274 00:05:42,590 --> 00:05:42,600 really bad debt and zombie companies and 275 00:05:42,600 --> 00:05:44,810 really bad debt and zombie companies and the central banks won't let the economy 276 00:05:44,810 --> 00:05:44,820 the central banks won't let the economy 277 00:05:44,820 --> 00:05:46,550 the central banks won't let the economy do its thing oh we're free market 278 00:05:46,550 --> 00:05:46,560 do its thing oh we're free market 279 00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:48,469 do its thing oh we're free market capitalists no we're not 280 00:05:48,469 --> 00:05:48,479 capitalists no we're not 281 00:05:48,479 --> 00:05:50,629 capitalists no we're not be trusted the free markets you'd let 282 00:05:50,629 --> 00:05:50,639 be trusted the free markets you'd let 283 00:05:50,639 --> 00:05:53,390 be trusted the free markets you'd let the free markets do what they do and 284 00:05:53,390 --> 00:05:53,400 the free markets do what they do and 285 00:05:53,400 --> 00:05:56,570 the free markets do what they do and central banks have declared war on the 286 00:05:56,570 --> 00:05:56,580 central banks have declared war on the 287 00:05:56,580 --> 00:05:58,850 central banks have declared war on the free markets that's the problem and the 288 00:05:58,850 --> 00:05:58,860 free markets that's the problem and the 289 00:05:58,860 --> 00:06:00,590 free markets that's the problem and the free markets thank God look like they're 290 00:06:00,590 --> 00:06:00,600 free markets thank God look like they're 291 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:02,029 free markets thank God look like they're going to win this I'm I've been 292 00:06:02,029 --> 00:06:02,039 going to win this I'm I've been 293 00:06:02,039 --> 00:06:04,310 going to win this I'm I've been threatening to my subscribers saying you 294 00:06:04,310 --> 00:06:04,320 threatening to my subscribers saying you 295 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:05,629 threatening to my subscribers saying you know I don't know if we'll ever have 296 00:06:05,629 --> 00:06:05,639 know I don't know if we'll ever have 297 00:06:05,639 --> 00:06:07,670 know I don't know if we'll ever have free markets again I mean this may never 298 00:06:07,670 --> 00:06:07,680 free markets again I mean this may never 299 00:06:07,680 --> 00:06:10,310 free markets again I mean this may never end if the economy gets its way and we 300 00:06:10,310 --> 00:06:10,320 end if the economy gets its way and we 301 00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:12,050 end if the economy gets its way and we have this crash it means the markets 302 00:06:12,050 --> 00:06:12,060 have this crash it means the markets 303 00:06:12,060 --> 00:06:14,090 have this crash it means the markets have taken back over they're going to do 304 00:06:14,090 --> 00:06:14,100 have taken back over they're going to do 305 00:06:14,100 --> 00:06:16,310 have taken back over they're going to do what the economy really needs and not 306 00:06:16,310 --> 00:06:16,320 what the economy really needs and not 307 00:06:16,320 --> 00:06:18,590 what the economy really needs and not listen to stupid Central Bankers who 308 00:06:18,590 --> 00:06:18,600 listen to stupid Central Bankers who 309 00:06:18,600 --> 00:06:21,050 listen to stupid Central Bankers who never had sex or run a business find me 310 00:06:21,050 --> 00:06:21,060 never had sex or run a business find me 311 00:06:21,060 --> 00:06:22,790 never had sex or run a business find me one that meets either those two 312 00:06:22,790 --> 00:06:22,800 one that meets either those two 313 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:24,890 one that meets either those two definitions or looks like it 314 00:06:24,890 --> 00:06:24,900 definitions or looks like it 315 00:06:24,900 --> 00:06:26,990 definitions or looks like it what are these people doing in charge in 316 00:06:26,990 --> 00:06:27,000 what are these people doing in charge in 317 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:30,469 what are these people doing in charge in the first place okay so that's that's 318 00:06:30,469 --> 00:06:30,479 the first place okay so that's that's 319 00:06:30,479 --> 00:06:33,110 the first place okay so that's that's what I see the economy looks like and 320 00:06:33,110 --> 00:06:33,120 what I see the economy looks like and 321 00:06:33,120 --> 00:06:34,550 what I see the economy looks like and this this that's why we're in a critical 322 00:06:34,550 --> 00:06:34,560 this this that's why we're in a critical 323 00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:37,370 this this that's why we're in a critical point right now the economy is set by 324 00:06:37,370 --> 00:06:37,380 point right now the economy is set by 325 00:06:37,380 --> 00:06:38,990 point right now the economy is set by looking at the waves and I've spent 326 00:06:38,990 --> 00:06:39,000 looking at the waves and I've spent 327 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:41,090 looking at the waves and I've spent years and years studying what I call 328 00:06:41,090 --> 00:06:41,100 years and years studying what I call 329 00:06:41,100 --> 00:06:42,710 years and years studying what I call Elliott weight Theory brought by Robert 330 00:06:42,710 --> 00:06:42,720 Elliott weight Theory brought by Robert 331 00:06:42,720 --> 00:06:44,270 Elliott weight Theory brought by Robert Proctor he's another good guy to 332 00:06:44,270 --> 00:06:44,280 Proctor he's another good guy to 333 00:06:44,280 --> 00:06:46,370 Proctor he's another good guy to interview by the way 334 00:06:46,370 --> 00:06:46,380 interview by the way 335 00:06:46,380 --> 00:06:49,189 interview by the way um that this we're about to hit this 336 00:06:49,189 --> 00:06:49,199 um that this we're about to hit this 337 00:06:49,199 --> 00:06:51,290 um that this we're about to hit this third wave of the third wave would you 338 00:06:51,290 --> 00:06:51,300 third wave of the third wave would you 339 00:06:51,300 --> 00:06:54,110 third wave of the third wave would you win you basically the crash gets its 340 00:06:54,110 --> 00:06:54,120 win you basically the crash gets its 341 00:06:54,120 --> 00:06:56,210 win you basically the crash gets its most momentum if that happens if they 342 00:06:56,210 --> 00:06:56,220 most momentum if that happens if they 343 00:06:56,220 --> 00:06:57,770 most momentum if that happens if they can't stop this and I I don't think 344 00:06:57,770 --> 00:06:57,780 can't stop this and I I don't think 345 00:06:57,780 --> 00:06:59,029 can't stop this and I I don't think they're going to be able to stop I think 346 00:06:59,029 --> 00:06:59,039 they're going to be able to stop I think 347 00:06:59,039 --> 00:07:00,529 they're going to be able to stop I think it's going to creep up on them before 348 00:07:00,529 --> 00:07:00,539 it's going to creep up on them before 349 00:07:00,539 --> 00:07:02,689 it's going to creep up on them before they can reverse their tightening that's 350 00:07:02,689 --> 00:07:02,699 they can reverse their tightening that's 351 00:07:02,699 --> 00:07:05,990 they can reverse their tightening that's what what shows people uh oh no these 352 00:07:05,990 --> 00:07:06,000 what what shows people uh oh no these 353 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:07,909 what what shows people uh oh no these guys do not have control of the economy 354 00:07:07,909 --> 00:07:07,919 guys do not have control of the economy 355 00:07:07,919 --> 00:07:10,370 guys do not have control of the economy they're not able to stop this crash and 356 00:07:10,370 --> 00:07:10,380 they're not able to stop this crash and 357 00:07:10,380 --> 00:07:12,590 they're not able to stop this crash and then they lose credibility I want to 358 00:07:12,590 --> 00:07:12,600 then they lose credibility I want to 359 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:14,270 then they lose credibility I want to come back to this crash and your timing 360 00:07:14,270 --> 00:07:14,280 come back to this crash and your timing 361 00:07:14,280 --> 00:07:15,770 come back to this crash and your timing for this crash you're gonna you're gonna 362 00:07:15,770 --> 00:07:15,780 for this crash you're gonna you're gonna 363 00:07:15,780 --> 00:07:17,629 for this crash you're gonna you're gonna tell us exactly when you think this is 364 00:07:17,629 --> 00:07:17,639 tell us exactly when you think this is 365 00:07:17,639 --> 00:07:19,430 tell us exactly when you think this is going to bottom but first I want to talk 366 00:07:19,430 --> 00:07:19,440 going to bottom but first I want to talk 367 00:07:19,440 --> 00:07:21,830 going to bottom but first I want to talk to you uh or talk to the audience about 368 00:07:21,830 --> 00:07:21,840 to you uh or talk to the audience about 369 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:25,249 to you uh or talk to the audience about um your your views on our uh demographic 370 00:07:25,249 --> 00:07:25,259 um your your views on our uh demographic 371 00:07:25,259 --> 00:07:28,129 um your your views on our uh demographic Trends now remember that Harry wasn't 372 00:07:28,129 --> 00:07:28,139 Trends now remember that Harry wasn't 373 00:07:28,139 --> 00:07:31,189 Trends now remember that Harry wasn't always bearish in fact you were very 374 00:07:31,189 --> 00:07:31,199 always bearish in fact you were very 375 00:07:31,199 --> 00:07:33,230 always bearish in fact you were very very bullish on our economy and our 376 00:07:33,230 --> 00:07:33,240 very bullish on our economy and our 377 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:34,790 very bullish on our economy and our growth prospects I'm talking about the 378 00:07:34,790 --> 00:07:34,800 growth prospects I'm talking about the 379 00:07:34,800 --> 00:07:37,850 growth prospects I'm talking about the US in the 80s and then something shifted 380 00:07:37,850 --> 00:07:37,860 US in the 80s and then something shifted 381 00:07:37,860 --> 00:07:40,070 US in the 80s and then something shifted and then you changed your outlook what 382 00:07:40,070 --> 00:07:40,080 and then you changed your outlook what 383 00:07:40,080 --> 00:07:43,070 and then you changed your outlook what what shifted Harry okay it's just 384 00:07:43,070 --> 00:07:43,080 what shifted Harry okay it's just 385 00:07:43,080 --> 00:07:45,350 what shifted Harry okay it's just demographics I I was the one I was 386 00:07:45,350 --> 00:07:45,360 demographics I I was the one I was 387 00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:48,050 demographics I I was the one I was studying demographics for my new Venture 388 00:07:48,050 --> 00:07:48,060 studying demographics for my new Venture 389 00:07:48,060 --> 00:07:50,809 studying demographics for my new Venture clients and in the early 80s I was 390 00:07:50,809 --> 00:07:50,819 clients and in the early 80s I was 391 00:07:50,819 --> 00:07:52,850 clients and in the early 80s I was managing and turning around small 392 00:07:52,850 --> 00:07:52,860 managing and turning around small 393 00:07:52,860 --> 00:07:54,469 managing and turning around small businesses new Ventures and new 394 00:07:54,469 --> 00:07:54,479 businesses new Ventures and new 395 00:07:54,479 --> 00:07:56,510 businesses new Ventures and new Industries so I was seeing the new 396 00:07:56,510 --> 00:07:56,520 Industries so I was seeing the new 397 00:07:56,520 --> 00:07:58,969 Industries so I was seeing the new economy emerging in the early stages and 398 00:07:58,969 --> 00:07:58,979 economy emerging in the early stages and 399 00:07:58,979 --> 00:08:01,070 economy emerging in the early stages and I was seeing most importantly these 400 00:08:01,070 --> 00:08:01,080 I was seeing most importantly these 401 00:08:01,080 --> 00:08:03,170 I was seeing most importantly these people were not selling Goods to aging 402 00:08:03,170 --> 00:08:03,180 people were not selling Goods to aging 403 00:08:03,180 --> 00:08:04,909 people were not selling Goods to aging Bob Hope generation people they were 404 00:08:04,909 --> 00:08:04,919 Bob Hope generation people they were 405 00:08:04,919 --> 00:08:07,550 Bob Hope generation people they were selling back then to young baby boomers 406 00:08:07,550 --> 00:08:07,560 selling back then to young baby boomers 407 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:09,529 selling back then to young baby boomers so that's when I started studying the 408 00:08:09,529 --> 00:08:09,539 so that's when I started studying the 409 00:08:09,539 --> 00:08:12,350 so that's when I started studying the baby boom how big a generation is when 410 00:08:12,350 --> 00:08:12,360 baby boom how big a generation is when 411 00:08:12,360 --> 00:08:14,330 baby boom how big a generation is when do they spend money how they can impact 412 00:08:14,330 --> 00:08:14,340 do they spend money how they can impact 413 00:08:14,340 --> 00:08:15,830 do they spend money how they can impact the economy and of course the first 414 00:08:15,830 --> 00:08:15,840 the economy and of course the first 415 00:08:15,840 --> 00:08:19,550 the economy and of course the first indicator I came out out with in 1988 416 00:08:19,550 --> 00:08:19,560 indicator I came out out with in 1988 417 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:21,290 indicator I came out out with in 1988 was called the spending wave and here's 418 00:08:21,290 --> 00:08:21,300 was called the spending wave and here's 419 00:08:21,300 --> 00:08:25,249 was called the spending wave and here's how simple it was David a 46-year lag on 420 00:08:25,249 --> 00:08:25,259 how simple it was David a 46-year lag on 421 00:08:25,259 --> 00:08:27,230 how simple it was David a 46-year lag on the birth index which I adjust for 422 00:08:27,230 --> 00:08:27,240 the birth index which I adjust for 423 00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:29,450 the birth index which I adjust for immigrants and I can do that accurately 424 00:08:29,450 --> 00:08:29,460 immigrants and I can do that accurately 425 00:08:29,460 --> 00:08:31,550 immigrants and I can do that accurately I've got accurate statistics on the age 426 00:08:31,550 --> 00:08:31,560 I've got accurate statistics on the age 427 00:08:31,560 --> 00:08:33,050 I've got accurate statistics on the age of immigrants and how many have come in 428 00:08:33,050 --> 00:08:33,060 of immigrants and how many have come in 429 00:08:33,060 --> 00:08:35,810 of immigrants and how many have come in and how many have projected to uh and 430 00:08:35,810 --> 00:08:35,820 and how many have projected to uh and 431 00:08:35,820 --> 00:08:37,430 and how many have projected to uh and and it said greatest boom in history 432 00:08:37,430 --> 00:08:37,440 and it said greatest boom in history 433 00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:41,209 and it said greatest boom in history until 2007 and and and and what happened 434 00:08:41,209 --> 00:08:41,219 until 2007 and and and and what happened 435 00:08:41,219 --> 00:08:44,329 until 2007 and and and and what happened after 2007 we hit 2008 the deepest 436 00:08:44,329 --> 00:08:44,339 after 2007 we hit 2008 the deepest 437 00:08:44,339 --> 00:08:45,949 after 2007 we hit 2008 the deepest downturn since the Great Depression 438 00:08:45,949 --> 00:08:45,959 downturn since the Great Depression 439 00:08:45,959 --> 00:08:48,889 downturn since the Great Depression since 1930 and central banks panicked 440 00:08:48,889 --> 00:08:48,899 since 1930 and central banks panicked 441 00:08:48,899 --> 00:08:50,389 since 1930 and central banks panicked and have been printing money ever since 442 00:08:50,389 --> 00:08:50,399 and have been printing money ever since 443 00:08:50,399 --> 00:08:53,570 and have been printing money ever since to offset this great downturn they don't 444 00:08:53,570 --> 00:08:53,580 to offset this great downturn they don't 445 00:08:53,580 --> 00:08:56,150 to offset this great downturn they don't understand what's happening I predicted 446 00:08:56,150 --> 00:08:56,160 understand what's happening I predicted 447 00:08:56,160 --> 00:08:58,250 understand what's happening I predicted this would happen decades although in 448 00:08:58,250 --> 00:08:58,260 this would happen decades although in 449 00:08:58,260 --> 00:08:59,750 this would happen decades although in the 80s I wasn't just predicting the 450 00:08:59,750 --> 00:08:59,760 the 80s I wasn't just predicting the 451 00:08:59,760 --> 00:09:03,370 the 80s I wasn't just predicting the boom I was saying 2008 through 452 00:09:03,370 --> 00:09:03,380 boom I was saying 2008 through 453 00:09:03,380 --> 00:09:06,470 boom I was saying 2008 through 2022-23 would be a week period in 454 00:09:06,470 --> 00:09:06,480 2022-23 would be a week period in 455 00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:08,930 2022-23 would be a week period in between generational spending cycles and 456 00:09:08,930 --> 00:09:08,940 between generational spending cycles and 457 00:09:08,940 --> 00:09:10,730 between generational spending cycles and particularly wheat because the baby boom 458 00:09:10,730 --> 00:09:10,740 particularly wheat because the baby boom 459 00:09:10,740 --> 00:09:13,190 particularly wheat because the baby boom was such a large generation to Peak and 460 00:09:13,190 --> 00:09:13,200 was such a large generation to Peak and 461 00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:15,949 was such a large generation to Peak and crash and that's why these guys they 462 00:09:15,949 --> 00:09:15,959 crash and that's why these guys they 463 00:09:15,959 --> 00:09:16,910 crash and that's why these guys they thought they were just going to print 464 00:09:16,910 --> 00:09:16,920 thought they were just going to print 465 00:09:16,920 --> 00:09:19,430 thought they were just going to print some money in 2009 and be done in a year 466 00:09:19,430 --> 00:09:19,440 some money in 2009 and be done in a year 467 00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:21,670 some money in 2009 and be done in a year they've been printing ever since 468 00:09:21,670 --> 00:09:21,680 they've been printing ever since 469 00:09:21,680 --> 00:09:23,810 they've been printing ever since unprecedented I think it's up to nine 470 00:09:23,810 --> 00:09:23,820 unprecedented I think it's up to nine 471 00:09:23,820 --> 00:09:26,210 unprecedented I think it's up to nine trillion dollars now they've had to 472 00:09:26,210 --> 00:09:26,220 trillion dollars now they've had to 473 00:09:26,220 --> 00:09:27,470 trillion dollars now they've had to print unprecedent amount of money 474 00:09:27,470 --> 00:09:27,480 print unprecedent amount of money 475 00:09:27,480 --> 00:09:30,290 print unprecedent amount of money because the the downward demographic 476 00:09:30,290 --> 00:09:30,300 because the the downward demographic 477 00:09:30,300 --> 00:09:32,329 because the the downward demographic forces are that strong and they actually 478 00:09:32,329 --> 00:09:32,339 forces are that strong and they actually 479 00:09:32,339 --> 00:09:35,050 forces are that strong and they actually do turn up around 480 00:09:35,050 --> 00:09:35,060 do turn up around 481 00:09:35,060 --> 00:09:39,110 do turn up around 2024-25 but they've kind of pushed this 482 00:09:39,110 --> 00:09:39,120 2024-25 but they've kind of pushed this 483 00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:42,650 2024-25 but they've kind of pushed this downturn out longer by by fighting it 484 00:09:42,650 --> 00:09:42,660 downturn out longer by by fighting it 485 00:09:42,660 --> 00:09:44,810 downturn out longer by by fighting it and not letting the markets do what they 486 00:09:44,810 --> 00:09:44,820 and not letting the markets do what they 487 00:09:44,820 --> 00:09:47,449 and not letting the markets do what they do best clear out bad debts clear out 488 00:09:47,449 --> 00:09:47,459 do best clear out bad debts clear out 489 00:09:47,459 --> 00:09:50,150 do best clear out bad debts clear out excessive valuations so we can move on 490 00:09:50,150 --> 00:09:50,160 excessive valuations so we can move on 491 00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:51,889 excessive valuations so we can move on and have a healthy bull market again 492 00:09:51,889 --> 00:09:51,899 and have a healthy bull market again 493 00:09:51,899 --> 00:09:53,690 and have a healthy bull market again which we always do when the next 494 00:09:53,690 --> 00:09:53,700 which we always do when the next 495 00:09:53,700 --> 00:09:55,790 which we always do when the next Generation starts spinning so the next 496 00:09:55,790 --> 00:09:55,800 Generation starts spinning so the next 497 00:09:55,800 --> 00:09:57,949 Generation starts spinning so the next generation is going to start spinning in 498 00:09:57,949 --> 00:09:57,959 generation is going to start spinning in 499 00:09:57,959 --> 00:10:00,410 generation is going to start spinning in the next year or two but we have not 500 00:10:00,410 --> 00:10:00,420 the next year or two but we have not 501 00:10:00,420 --> 00:10:03,610 the next year or two but we have not cleaned up the massive debts and and 502 00:10:03,610 --> 00:10:03,620 cleaned up the massive debts and and 503 00:10:03,620 --> 00:10:05,990 cleaned up the massive debts and and overvaluations of the biggest financial 504 00:10:05,990 --> 00:10:06,000 overvaluations of the biggest financial 505 00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:08,389 overvaluations of the biggest financial asset bubble in everything we've never 506 00:10:08,389 --> 00:10:08,399 asset bubble in everything we've never 507 00:10:08,399 --> 00:10:10,370 asset bubble in everything we've never had a financial asset bubble in 508 00:10:10,370 --> 00:10:10,380 had a financial asset bubble in 509 00:10:10,380 --> 00:10:13,130 had a financial asset bubble in everything like this this bubble has not 510 00:10:13,130 --> 00:10:13,140 everything like this this bubble has not 511 00:10:13,140 --> 00:10:15,230 everything like this this bubble has not been allowed to burst and clear out its 512 00:10:15,230 --> 00:10:15,240 been allowed to burst and clear out its 513 00:10:15,240 --> 00:10:17,389 been allowed to burst and clear out its excesses which we need to do and I think 514 00:10:17,389 --> 00:10:17,399 excesses which we need to do and I think 515 00:10:17,399 --> 00:10:20,150 excesses which we need to do and I think we're we're into that process now that 516 00:10:20,150 --> 00:10:20,160 we're we're into that process now that 517 00:10:20,160 --> 00:10:22,190 we're we're into that process now that that you know they over I mean now 518 00:10:22,190 --> 00:10:22,200 that you know they over I mean now 519 00:10:22,200 --> 00:10:24,889 that you know they over I mean now they're having to tighten strong I mean 520 00:10:24,889 --> 00:10:24,899 they're having to tighten strong I mean 521 00:10:24,899 --> 00:10:26,710 they're having to tighten strong I mean they they're they're up to uh 522 00:10:26,710 --> 00:10:26,720 they they're they're up to uh 523 00:10:26,720 --> 00:10:29,509 they they're they're up to uh 475 basis points and probably going to 524 00:10:29,509 --> 00:10:29,519 475 basis points and probably going to 525 00:10:29,519 --> 00:10:31,370 475 basis points and probably going to be at 500 in the next meeting before 526 00:10:31,370 --> 00:10:31,380 be at 500 in the next meeting before 527 00:10:31,380 --> 00:10:33,410 be at 500 in the next meeting before they stop that's more than they've 528 00:10:33,410 --> 00:10:33,420 they stop that's more than they've 529 00:10:33,420 --> 00:10:35,509 they stop that's more than they've they've uh pushed up interest rates and 530 00:10:35,509 --> 00:10:35,519 they've uh pushed up interest rates and 531 00:10:35,519 --> 00:10:37,670 they've uh pushed up interest rates and Titan ever since the early 80s this 532 00:10:37,670 --> 00:10:37,680 Titan ever since the early 80s this 533 00:10:37,680 --> 00:10:40,070 Titan ever since the early 80s this entire boom and bust so this is serious 534 00:10:40,070 --> 00:10:40,080 entire boom and bust so this is serious 535 00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:43,190 entire boom and bust so this is serious tightening why they had to tighten 536 00:10:43,190 --> 00:10:43,200 tightening why they had to tighten 537 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:45,170 tightening why they had to tighten because they over stimulated and covered 538 00:10:45,170 --> 00:10:45,180 because they over stimulated and covered 539 00:10:45,180 --> 00:10:47,389 because they over stimulated and covered that was their biggest mistake now 540 00:10:47,389 --> 00:10:47,399 that was their biggest mistake now 541 00:10:47,399 --> 00:10:48,590 that was their biggest mistake now they're tightening and they're thinking 542 00:10:48,590 --> 00:10:48,600 they're tightening and they're thinking 543 00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:50,269 they're tightening and they're thinking well the economy underneath can handle 544 00:10:50,269 --> 00:10:50,279 well the economy underneath can handle 545 00:10:50,279 --> 00:10:53,030 well the economy underneath can handle it no the economy underneath has been 546 00:10:53,030 --> 00:10:53,040 it no the economy underneath has been 547 00:10:53,040 --> 00:10:56,389 it no the economy underneath has been weak since 2008 and does not get strong 548 00:10:56,389 --> 00:10:56,399 weak since 2008 and does not get strong 549 00:10:56,399 --> 00:10:58,370 weak since 2008 and does not get strong until a few years from now so I think 550 00:10:58,370 --> 00:10:58,380 until a few years from now so I think 551 00:10:58,380 --> 00:11:00,829 until a few years from now so I think that's how this correction look what 552 00:11:00,829 --> 00:11:00,839 that's how this correction look what 553 00:11:00,839 --> 00:11:02,990 that's how this correction look what looks like a correction now keeps going 554 00:11:02,990 --> 00:11:03,000 looks like a correction now keeps going 555 00:11:03,000 --> 00:11:05,750 looks like a correction now keeps going down bills on itself and turns in to a 556 00:11:05,750 --> 00:11:05,760 down bills on itself and turns in to a 557 00:11:05,760 --> 00:11:10,250 down bills on itself and turns in to a crash more like 1929 to 32 down 86 558 00:11:10,250 --> 00:11:10,260 crash more like 1929 to 32 down 86 559 00:11:10,260 --> 00:11:12,769 crash more like 1929 to 32 down 86 percent on the S P 500 that's my best 560 00:11:12,769 --> 00:11:12,779 percent on the S P 500 that's my best 561 00:11:12,779 --> 00:11:15,590 percent on the S P 500 that's my best forecast at this time and we've already 562 00:11:15,590 --> 00:11:15,600 forecast at this time and we've already 563 00:11:15,600 --> 00:11:19,550 forecast at this time and we've already seen the s p down 28 much more than a 564 00:11:19,550 --> 00:11:19,560 seen the s p down 28 much more than a 565 00:11:19,560 --> 00:11:23,230 seen the s p down 28 much more than a normal correction and the NASDAQ down 38 566 00:11:23,230 --> 00:11:23,240 normal correction and the NASDAQ down 38 567 00:11:23,240 --> 00:11:26,389 normal correction and the NASDAQ down 38 and I studied every major Bubble Burst 568 00:11:26,389 --> 00:11:26,399 and I studied every major Bubble Burst 569 00:11:26,399 --> 00:11:28,430 and I studied every major Bubble Burst and all of history for hundreds of years 570 00:11:28,430 --> 00:11:28,440 and all of history for hundreds of years 571 00:11:28,440 --> 00:11:31,190 and all of history for hundreds of years and found that a bubble does not end 572 00:11:31,190 --> 00:11:31,200 and found that a bubble does not end 573 00:11:31,200 --> 00:11:34,009 and found that a bubble does not end until you see a first crash of 28 to 50 574 00:11:34,009 --> 00:11:34,019 until you see a first crash of 28 to 50 575 00:11:34,019 --> 00:11:36,949 until you see a first crash of 28 to 50 percent so that's what that crash last 576 00:11:36,949 --> 00:11:36,959 percent so that's what that crash last 577 00:11:36,959 --> 00:11:39,290 percent so that's what that crash last year was now we're moving in the next 578 00:11:39,290 --> 00:11:39,300 year was now we're moving in the next 579 00:11:39,300 --> 00:11:41,509 year was now we're moving in the next wave down I call it so you get a first 580 00:11:41,509 --> 00:11:41,519 wave down I call it so you get a first 581 00:11:41,519 --> 00:11:44,030 wave down I call it so you get a first wave down a second wave bounce which 582 00:11:44,030 --> 00:11:44,040 wave down a second wave bounce which 583 00:11:44,040 --> 00:11:46,250 wave down a second wave bounce which we've seen we're already into the third 584 00:11:46,250 --> 00:11:46,260 we've seen we're already into the third 585 00:11:46,260 --> 00:11:48,170 we've seen we're already into the third wave just starting the third wave 586 00:11:48,170 --> 00:11:48,180 wave just starting the third wave 587 00:11:48,180 --> 00:11:50,870 wave just starting the third wave usually is the strongest and hardest way 588 00:11:50,870 --> 00:11:50,880 usually is the strongest and hardest way 589 00:11:50,880 --> 00:11:52,790 usually is the strongest and hardest way and I think that's going to happen most 590 00:11:52,790 --> 00:11:52,800 and I think that's going to happen most 591 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:54,050 and I think that's going to happen most of that's going to happen between now 592 00:11:54,050 --> 00:11:54,060 of that's going to happen between now 593 00:11:54,060 --> 00:11:55,730 of that's going to happen between now and the end of the year and the biggest 594 00:11:55,730 --> 00:11:55,740 and the end of the year and the biggest 595 00:11:55,740 --> 00:11:58,970 and the end of the year and the biggest part of that I call it the third wave of 596 00:11:58,970 --> 00:11:58,980 part of that I call it the third wave of 597 00:11:58,980 --> 00:12:00,889 part of that I call it the third wave of the third wave so the most powerful part 598 00:12:00,889 --> 00:12:00,899 the third wave so the most powerful part 599 00:12:00,899 --> 00:12:03,410 the third wave so the most powerful part of the most of the larger third wave 600 00:12:03,410 --> 00:12:03,420 of the most of the larger third wave 601 00:12:03,420 --> 00:12:05,269 of the most of the larger third wave that we're already in is going to hit 602 00:12:05,269 --> 00:12:05,279 that we're already in is going to hit 603 00:12:05,279 --> 00:12:08,210 that we're already in is going to hit between now and about mid-june so this 604 00:12:08,210 --> 00:12:08,220 between now and about mid-june so this 605 00:12:08,220 --> 00:12:11,269 between now and about mid-june so this is the time to be cautious on stocks if 606 00:12:11,269 --> 00:12:11,279 is the time to be cautious on stocks if 607 00:12:11,279 --> 00:12:12,650 is the time to be cautious on stocks if you listen to me now then you'll 608 00:12:12,650 --> 00:12:12,660 you listen to me now then you'll 609 00:12:12,660 --> 00:12:14,030 you listen to me now then you'll probably listen to me more down the road 610 00:12:14,030 --> 00:12:14,040 probably listen to me more down the road 611 00:12:14,040 --> 00:12:16,310 probably listen to me more down the road but just listen to me now this is a 612 00:12:16,310 --> 00:12:16,320 but just listen to me now this is a 613 00:12:16,320 --> 00:12:18,170 but just listen to me now this is a really good time to lighten up or get 614 00:12:18,170 --> 00:12:18,180 really good time to lighten up or get 615 00:12:18,180 --> 00:12:20,690 really good time to lighten up or get out of stocks and see if this crash 616 00:12:20,690 --> 00:12:20,700 out of stocks and see if this crash 617 00:12:20,700 --> 00:12:22,670 out of stocks and see if this crash happens because if it does we could be 618 00:12:22,670 --> 00:12:22,680 happens because if it does we could be 619 00:12:22,680 --> 00:12:24,889 happens because if it does we could be down 50 on the NASDAQ from the top 620 00:12:24,889 --> 00:12:24,899 down 50 on the NASDAQ from the top 621 00:12:24,899 --> 00:12:27,650 down 50 on the NASDAQ from the top literally by mid-june or so and that's 622 00:12:27,650 --> 00:12:27,660 literally by mid-june or so and that's 623 00:12:27,660 --> 00:12:29,449 literally by mid-june or so and that's going to be very painful for investors 624 00:12:29,449 --> 00:12:29,459 going to be very painful for investors 625 00:12:29,459 --> 00:12:32,569 going to be very painful for investors you mentioned that between 2008 and 2020 626 00:12:32,569 --> 00:12:32,579 you mentioned that between 2008 and 2020 627 00:12:32,579 --> 00:12:36,050 you mentioned that between 2008 and 2020 or 2022 uh back then you forecast that 628 00:12:36,050 --> 00:12:36,060 or 2022 uh back then you forecast that 629 00:12:36,060 --> 00:12:37,550 or 2022 uh back then you forecast that this period would be a period of very 630 00:12:37,550 --> 00:12:37,560 this period would be a period of very 631 00:12:37,560 --> 00:12:38,990 this period would be a period of very low spending 632 00:12:38,990 --> 00:12:39,000 low spending 633 00:12:39,000 --> 00:12:42,769 low spending um okay fine but we also had a period of 634 00:12:42,769 --> 00:12:42,779 um okay fine but we also had a period of 635 00:12:42,779 --> 00:12:45,889 um okay fine but we also had a period of extraordinary growth for the S P 500 or 636 00:12:45,889 --> 00:12:45,899 extraordinary growth for the S P 500 or 637 00:12:45,899 --> 00:12:48,230 extraordinary growth for the S P 500 or any stock market index what was that 638 00:12:48,230 --> 00:12:48,240 any stock market index what was that 639 00:12:48,240 --> 00:12:49,670 any stock market index what was that caused by it wasn't caused by spending 640 00:12:49,670 --> 00:12:49,680 caused by it wasn't caused by spending 641 00:12:49,680 --> 00:12:52,069 caused by it wasn't caused by spending then right it was something else well it 642 00:12:52,069 --> 00:12:52,079 then right it was something else well it 643 00:12:52,079 --> 00:12:54,769 then right it was something else well it was caused by Massive money printing 644 00:12:54,769 --> 00:12:54,779 was caused by Massive money printing 645 00:12:54,779 --> 00:12:57,530 was caused by Massive money printing which did increase consumer spending 646 00:12:57,530 --> 00:12:57,540 which did increase consumer spending 647 00:12:57,540 --> 00:12:58,910 which did increase consumer spending consumer spending what it would have 648 00:12:58,910 --> 00:12:58,920 consumer spending what it would have 649 00:12:58,920 --> 00:13:01,210 consumer spending what it would have been much weaker so they were literally 650 00:13:01,210 --> 00:13:01,220 been much weaker so they were literally 651 00:13:01,220 --> 00:13:04,670 been much weaker so they were literally pouring money in into the economy to 652 00:13:04,670 --> 00:13:04,680 pouring money in into the economy to 653 00:13:04,680 --> 00:13:07,790 pouring money in into the economy to help offset the natural slowing it's not 654 00:13:07,790 --> 00:13:07,800 help offset the natural slowing it's not 655 00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:09,949 help offset the natural slowing it's not it's not that individual families are 656 00:13:09,949 --> 00:13:09,959 it's not that individual families are 657 00:13:09,959 --> 00:13:11,389 it's not that individual families are spending less it's just you have less 658 00:13:11,389 --> 00:13:11,399 spending less it's just you have less 659 00:13:11,399 --> 00:13:13,250 spending less it's just you have less people moving into their Peak spending 660 00:13:13,250 --> 00:13:13,260 people moving into their Peak spending 661 00:13:13,260 --> 00:13:15,050 people moving into their Peak spending which again I was the first to 662 00:13:15,050 --> 00:13:15,060 which again I was the first to 663 00:13:15,060 --> 00:13:17,990 which again I was the first to identified decades ago 46 is the magic 664 00:13:17,990 --> 00:13:18,000 identified decades ago 46 is the magic 665 00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:19,910 identified decades ago 46 is the magic number now it's about 47 for the 666 00:13:19,910 --> 00:13:19,920 number now it's about 47 for the 667 00:13:19,920 --> 00:13:22,790 number now it's about 47 for the Millennium 46 is when the Baby Boomers 668 00:13:22,790 --> 00:13:22,800 Millennium 46 is when the Baby Boomers 669 00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:25,550 Millennium 46 is when the Baby Boomers on average spent the most money so this 670 00:13:25,550 --> 00:13:25,560 on average spent the most money so this 671 00:13:25,560 --> 00:13:27,829 on average spent the most money so this whole boom was just increasing numbers 672 00:13:27,829 --> 00:13:27,839 whole boom was just increasing numbers 673 00:13:27,839 --> 00:13:30,110 whole boom was just increasing numbers of baby boomers moving in that Peak 674 00:13:30,110 --> 00:13:30,120 of baby boomers moving in that Peak 675 00:13:30,120 --> 00:13:32,329 of baby boomers moving in that Peak spinning and ever since 2008 nothing 676 00:13:32,329 --> 00:13:32,339 spinning and ever since 2008 nothing 677 00:13:32,339 --> 00:13:34,009 spinning and ever since 2008 nothing wrong with economy nobody did anything 678 00:13:34,009 --> 00:13:34,019 wrong with economy nobody did anything 679 00:13:34,019 --> 00:13:36,590 wrong with economy nobody did anything wrong we have less such Peak Spenders 680 00:13:36,590 --> 00:13:36,600 wrong we have less such Peak Spenders 681 00:13:36,600 --> 00:13:38,990 wrong we have less such Peak Spenders and that causes a natural slowing and 682 00:13:38,990 --> 00:13:39,000 and that causes a natural slowing and 683 00:13:39,000 --> 00:13:40,730 and that causes a natural slowing and what governments have done is because 684 00:13:40,730 --> 00:13:40,740 what governments have done is because 685 00:13:40,740 --> 00:13:42,470 what governments have done is because they only thought it was going to last a 686 00:13:42,470 --> 00:13:42,480 they only thought it was going to last a 687 00:13:42,480 --> 00:13:44,750 they only thought it was going to last a year to to in 2009 they thought one year 688 00:13:44,750 --> 00:13:44,760 year to to in 2009 they thought one year 689 00:13:44,760 --> 00:13:46,910 year to to in 2009 they thought one year of of stimulus and we'd be out of that 690 00:13:46,910 --> 00:13:46,920 of of stimulus and we'd be out of that 691 00:13:46,920 --> 00:13:49,030 of of stimulus and we'd be out of that recession they've had to continually 692 00:13:49,030 --> 00:13:49,040 recession they've had to continually 693 00:13:49,040 --> 00:13:51,829 recession they've had to continually stimulate the economy because it's a 694 00:13:51,829 --> 00:13:51,839 stimulate the economy because it's a 695 00:13:51,839 --> 00:13:55,790 stimulate the economy because it's a long-term predictable solid demographic 696 00:13:55,790 --> 00:13:55,800 long-term predictable solid demographic 697 00:13:55,800 --> 00:13:58,850 long-term predictable solid demographic slowing that you cannot cure except by 698 00:13:58,850 --> 00:13:58,860 slowing that you cannot cure except by 699 00:13:58,860 --> 00:14:00,170 slowing that you cannot cure except by printing money and what the problem with 700 00:14:00,170 --> 00:14:00,180 printing money and what the problem with 701 00:14:00,180 --> 00:14:01,910 printing money and what the problem with printing money is it creates financial 702 00:14:01,910 --> 00:14:01,920 printing money is it creates financial 703 00:14:01,920 --> 00:14:05,090 printing money is it creates financial asset bubbles which then will burst 704 00:14:05,090 --> 00:14:05,100 asset bubbles which then will burst 705 00:14:05,100 --> 00:14:08,750 asset bubbles which then will burst badly no financial asset bubble ever of 706 00:14:08,750 --> 00:14:08,760 badly no financial asset bubble ever of 707 00:14:08,760 --> 00:14:10,910 badly no financial asset bubble ever of this size and this is greater than the 708 00:14:10,910 --> 00:14:10,920 this size and this is greater than the 709 00:14:10,920 --> 00:14:12,889 this size and this is greater than the Roaring 20s greater than the bubble the 710 00:14:12,889 --> 00:14:12,899 Roaring 20s greater than the bubble the 711 00:14:12,899 --> 00:14:16,129 Roaring 20s greater than the bubble the tech bubble into 99 2000 no bubble has 712 00:14:16,129 --> 00:14:16,139 tech bubble into 99 2000 no bubble has 713 00:14:16,139 --> 00:14:19,129 tech bubble into 99 2000 no bubble has not burst and burst 80 to 90 percent and 714 00:14:19,129 --> 00:14:19,139 not burst and burst 80 to 90 percent and 715 00:14:19,139 --> 00:14:21,230 not burst and burst 80 to 90 percent and that's what I'm saying can happen and 716 00:14:21,230 --> 00:14:21,240 that's what I'm saying can happen and 717 00:14:21,240 --> 00:14:23,329 that's what I'm saying can happen and and anybody that looks at this bubble 718 00:14:23,329 --> 00:14:23,339 and anybody that looks at this bubble 719 00:14:23,339 --> 00:14:25,610 and anybody that looks at this bubble and sees anything else is bubble blonde 720 00:14:25,610 --> 00:14:25,620 and sees anything else is bubble blonde 721 00:14:25,620 --> 00:14:28,069 and sees anything else is bubble blonde it just just doesn't understand history 722 00:14:28,069 --> 00:14:28,079 it just just doesn't understand history 723 00:14:28,079 --> 00:14:30,110 it just just doesn't understand history because this should be the most obvious 724 00:14:30,110 --> 00:14:30,120 because this should be the most obvious 725 00:14:30,120 --> 00:14:32,269 because this should be the most obvious thing on earth we see a bubble now 726 00:14:32,269 --> 00:14:32,279 thing on earth we see a bubble now 727 00:14:32,279 --> 00:14:35,509 thing on earth we see a bubble now bigger and higher than the 95 to 2000 728 00:14:35,509 --> 00:14:35,519 bigger and higher than the 95 to 2000 729 00:14:35,519 --> 00:14:37,310 bigger and higher than the 95 to 2000 bubble and people somehow think we'll 730 00:14:37,310 --> 00:14:37,320 bubble and people somehow think we'll 731 00:14:37,320 --> 00:14:39,769 bubble and people somehow think we'll come out of this with a soft Landing 732 00:14:39,769 --> 00:14:39,779 come out of this with a soft Landing 733 00:14:39,779 --> 00:14:42,650 come out of this with a soft Landing last time 2008 was not a soft Landing 734 00:14:42,650 --> 00:14:42,660 last time 2008 was not a soft Landing 735 00:14:42,660 --> 00:14:45,050 last time 2008 was not a soft Landing was the deepest recession deeper than 80 736 00:14:45,050 --> 00:14:45,060 was the deepest recession deeper than 80 737 00:14:45,060 --> 00:14:48,290 was the deepest recession deeper than 80 to 82 the closest thing to 30 to 32 but 738 00:14:48,290 --> 00:14:48,300 to 82 the closest thing to 30 to 32 but 739 00:14:48,300 --> 00:14:49,970 to 82 the closest thing to 30 to 32 but nothing nothing will ever probably hit 740 00:14:49,970 --> 00:14:49,980 nothing nothing will ever probably hit 741 00:14:49,980 --> 00:14:52,069 nothing nothing will ever probably hit that again but this is what this is 742 00:14:52,069 --> 00:14:52,079 that again but this is what this is 743 00:14:52,079 --> 00:14:53,930 that again but this is what this is going to be stronger than that because 744 00:14:53,930 --> 00:14:53,940 going to be stronger than that because 745 00:14:53,940 --> 00:14:57,590 going to be stronger than that because we didn't finish the downturn in 2008 746 00:14:57,590 --> 00:14:57,600 we didn't finish the downturn in 2008 747 00:14:57,600 --> 00:14:59,629 we didn't finish the downturn in 2008 that that downturn should have lasted 748 00:14:59,629 --> 00:14:59,639 that that downturn should have lasted 749 00:14:59,639 --> 00:15:03,590 that that downturn should have lasted like 30 to 32 and well into 2010 and we 750 00:15:03,590 --> 00:15:03,600 like 30 to 32 and well into 2010 and we 751 00:15:03,600 --> 00:15:05,710 like 30 to 32 and well into 2010 and we should have had much you know 15 16 752 00:15:05,710 --> 00:15:05,720 should have had much you know 15 16 753 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:08,629 should have had much you know 15 16 unemployment instead of 10 to 11 on and 754 00:15:08,629 --> 00:15:08,639 unemployment instead of 10 to 11 on and 755 00:15:08,639 --> 00:15:10,730 unemployment instead of 10 to 11 on and on and on it didn't so now we're going 756 00:15:10,730 --> 00:15:10,740 on and on it didn't so now we're going 757 00:15:10,740 --> 00:15:13,310 on and on it didn't so now we're going to see that in the second crash in the 758 00:15:13,310 --> 00:15:13,320 to see that in the second crash in the 759 00:15:13,320 --> 00:15:15,170 to see that in the second crash in the Great Depression the first crash was the 760 00:15:15,170 --> 00:15:15,180 Great Depression the first crash was the 761 00:15:15,180 --> 00:15:17,210 Great Depression the first crash was the big one then we had a a second 762 00:15:17,210 --> 00:15:17,220 big one then we had a a second 763 00:15:17,220 --> 00:15:20,810 big one then we had a a second depression from 37 to 38 at the end this 764 00:15:20,810 --> 00:15:20,820 depression from 37 to 38 at the end this 765 00:15:20,820 --> 00:15:23,449 depression from 37 to 38 at the end this time we get we get the big crash at the 766 00:15:23,449 --> 00:15:23,459 time we get we get the big crash at the 767 00:15:23,459 --> 00:15:26,689 time we get we get the big crash at the end here in the early 2020s because we 768 00:15:26,689 --> 00:15:26,699 end here in the early 2020s because we 769 00:15:26,699 --> 00:15:29,030 end here in the early 2020s because we didn't let the first crash do what the 770 00:15:29,030 --> 00:15:29,040 didn't let the first crash do what the 771 00:15:29,040 --> 00:15:31,069 didn't let the first crash do what the economy would have loved to do just 772 00:15:31,069 --> 00:15:31,079 economy would have loved to do just 773 00:15:31,079 --> 00:15:33,470 economy would have loved to do just clear out a lot of bad debt and zombie 774 00:15:33,470 --> 00:15:33,480 clear out a lot of bad debt and zombie 775 00:15:33,480 --> 00:15:35,449 clear out a lot of bad debt and zombie companies which David as you know I mean 776 00:15:35,449 --> 00:15:35,459 companies which David as you know I mean 777 00:15:35,459 --> 00:15:37,490 companies which David as you know I mean both of those are at record levels I 778 00:15:37,490 --> 00:15:37,500 both of those are at record levels I 779 00:15:37,500 --> 00:15:39,650 both of those are at record levels I mean I can't even compare this debt 780 00:15:39,650 --> 00:15:39,660 mean I can't even compare this debt 781 00:15:39,660 --> 00:15:41,329 mean I can't even compare this debt bubble and the number of zombie 782 00:15:41,329 --> 00:15:41,339 bubble and the number of zombie 783 00:15:41,339 --> 00:15:42,590 bubble and the number of zombie companies which they didn't even used to 784 00:15:42,590 --> 00:15:42,600 companies which they didn't even used to 785 00:15:42,600 --> 00:15:44,689 companies which they didn't even used to measure companies that can't can own 786 00:15:44,689 --> 00:15:44,699 measure companies that can't can own 787 00:15:44,699 --> 00:15:47,389 measure companies that can't can own can't can't can't pay their Debt Service 788 00:15:47,389 --> 00:15:47,399 can't can't can't pay their Debt Service 789 00:15:47,399 --> 00:15:50,090 can't can't can't pay their Debt Service but can still barely be a lot this we've 790 00:15:50,090 --> 00:15:50,100 but can still barely be a lot this we've 791 00:15:50,100 --> 00:15:52,129 but can still barely be a lot this we've never seen levels like this which is a 792 00:15:52,129 --> 00:15:52,139 never seen levels like this which is a 793 00:15:52,139 --> 00:15:54,470 never seen levels like this which is a sign that the economy needs to take a 794 00:15:54,470 --> 00:15:54,480 sign that the economy needs to take a 795 00:15:54,480 --> 00:15:57,410 sign that the economy needs to take a break and flush out all these zombie 796 00:15:57,410 --> 00:15:57,420 break and flush out all these zombie 797 00:15:57,420 --> 00:15:59,810 break and flush out all these zombie companies and excessive debt that is 798 00:15:59,810 --> 00:15:59,820 companies and excessive debt that is 799 00:15:59,820 --> 00:16:02,389 companies and excessive debt that is unproductive now most debt now that was 800 00:16:02,389 --> 00:16:02,399 unproductive now most debt now that was 801 00:16:02,399 --> 00:16:04,790 unproductive now most debt now that was raised is not productive the economy 802 00:16:04,790 --> 00:16:04,800 raised is not productive the economy 803 00:16:04,800 --> 00:16:06,590 raised is not productive the economy loves to flush that out to make us 804 00:16:06,590 --> 00:16:06,600 loves to flush that out to make us 805 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:08,870 loves to flush that out to make us healthy again Central Bankers don't like 806 00:16:08,870 --> 00:16:08,880 healthy again Central Bankers don't like 807 00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:10,250 healthy again Central Bankers don't like recessions because they think they're 808 00:16:10,250 --> 00:16:10,260 recessions because they think they're 809 00:16:10,260 --> 00:16:12,110 recessions because they think they're the enemy when they and they don't 810 00:16:12,110 --> 00:16:12,120 the enemy when they and they don't 811 00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:14,689 the enemy when they and they don't understand that it's exactly recessions 812 00:16:14,689 --> 00:16:14,699 understand that it's exactly recessions 813 00:16:14,699 --> 00:16:16,870 understand that it's exactly recessions that make the economy so damn efficient 814 00:16:16,870 --> 00:16:16,880 that make the economy so damn efficient 815 00:16:16,880 --> 00:16:19,670 that make the economy so damn efficient recessions are the cleaning agent the 816 00:16:19,670 --> 00:16:19,680 recessions are the cleaning agent the 817 00:16:19,680 --> 00:16:21,530 recessions are the cleaning agent the rebalancing agent every time we have a 818 00:16:21,530 --> 00:16:21,540 rebalancing agent every time we have a 819 00:16:21,540 --> 00:16:23,930 rebalancing agent every time we have a boom and things get a little overdone 820 00:16:23,930 --> 00:16:23,940 boom and things get a little overdone 821 00:16:23,940 --> 00:16:26,810 boom and things get a little overdone and sloppy and in excessive and 822 00:16:26,810 --> 00:16:26,820 and sloppy and in excessive and 823 00:16:26,820 --> 00:16:28,550 and sloppy and in excessive and inefficient I mean the longer the 824 00:16:28,550 --> 00:16:28,560 inefficient I mean the longer the 825 00:16:28,560 --> 00:16:30,650 inefficient I mean the longer the economy booms the more everybody lets 826 00:16:30,650 --> 00:16:30,660 economy booms the more everybody lets 827 00:16:30,660 --> 00:16:32,810 economy booms the more everybody lets their guard down so recessions are as 828 00:16:32,810 --> 00:16:32,820 their guard down so recessions are as 829 00:16:32,820 --> 00:16:35,269 their guard down so recessions are as necessary as booms and and they don't 830 00:16:35,269 --> 00:16:35,279 necessary as booms and and they don't 831 00:16:35,279 --> 00:16:37,189 necessary as booms and and they don't last as long they only last you know 832 00:16:37,189 --> 00:16:37,199 last as long they only last you know 833 00:16:37,199 --> 00:16:39,530 last as long they only last you know about half as long as is upturns 834 00:16:39,530 --> 00:16:39,540 about half as long as is upturns 835 00:16:39,540 --> 00:16:42,110 about half as long as is upturns typically or less so recessions are a 836 00:16:42,110 --> 00:16:42,120 typically or less so recessions are a 837 00:16:42,120 --> 00:16:44,389 typically or less so recessions are a good thing and then the way not to have 838 00:16:44,389 --> 00:16:44,399 good thing and then the way not to have 839 00:16:44,399 --> 00:16:46,310 good thing and then the way not to have a deep recession is don't have a crazy 840 00:16:46,310 --> 00:16:46,320 a deep recession is don't have a crazy 841 00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:49,009 a deep recession is don't have a crazy bubbly boom like we've gotten from over 842 00:16:49,009 --> 00:16:49,019 bubbly boom like we've gotten from over 843 00:16:49,019 --> 00:16:52,129 bubbly boom like we've gotten from over stimulus since 2009. this boom has all 844 00:16:52,129 --> 00:16:52,139 stimulus since 2009. this boom has all 845 00:16:52,139 --> 00:16:54,590 stimulus since 2009. this boom has all been stimulus no demographics driving it 846 00:16:54,590 --> 00:16:54,600 been stimulus no demographics driving it 847 00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:57,829 been stimulus no demographics driving it the boom from 1983 to 2007 was driven by 848 00:16:57,829 --> 00:16:57,839 the boom from 1983 to 2007 was driven by 849 00:16:57,839 --> 00:17:00,170 the boom from 1983 to 2007 was driven by the strongest demographic Trends and 850 00:17:00,170 --> 00:17:00,180 the strongest demographic Trends and 851 00:17:00,180 --> 00:17:04,610 the strongest demographic Trends and Technology Trends in history okay even 852 00:17:04,610 --> 00:17:04,620 Technology Trends in history okay even 853 00:17:04,620 --> 00:17:06,530 Technology Trends in history okay even stronger than the 50s and 60s in the 854 00:17:06,530 --> 00:17:06,540 stronger than the 50s and 60s in the 855 00:17:06,540 --> 00:17:09,110 stronger than the 50s and 60s in the Roaring 20s and early 1900s so that was 856 00:17:09,110 --> 00:17:09,120 Roaring 20s and early 1900s so that was 857 00:17:09,120 --> 00:17:11,990 Roaring 20s and early 1900s so that was real everything since 2008 has been fake 858 00:17:11,990 --> 00:17:12,000 real everything since 2008 has been fake 859 00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:14,630 real everything since 2008 has been fake and now we need to wash that out so we 860 00:17:14,630 --> 00:17:14,640 and now we need to wash that out so we 861 00:17:14,640 --> 00:17:17,090 and now we need to wash that out so we can see the next real Trend which is a 862 00:17:17,090 --> 00:17:17,100 can see the next real Trend which is a 863 00:17:17,100 --> 00:17:19,610 can see the next real Trend which is a shorter Trend but it's it's the it's the 864 00:17:19,610 --> 00:17:19,620 shorter Trend but it's it's the it's the 865 00:17:19,620 --> 00:17:23,809 shorter Trend but it's it's the it's the millennial boom from 2020 late 2024 in 866 00:17:23,809 --> 00:17:23,819 millennial boom from 2020 late 2024 in 867 00:17:23,819 --> 00:17:26,750 millennial boom from 2020 late 2024 in the late 2037 that will be their boom 868 00:17:26,750 --> 00:17:26,760 the late 2037 that will be their boom 869 00:17:26,760 --> 00:17:29,870 the late 2037 that will be their boom and that boom will be compromised and 870 00:17:29,870 --> 00:17:29,880 and that boom will be compromised and 871 00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:31,970 and that boom will be compromised and not fully happen if we don't wash out 872 00:17:31,970 --> 00:17:31,980 not fully happen if we don't wash out 873 00:17:31,980 --> 00:17:34,490 not fully happen if we don't wash out the excesses from this baby boom boom we 874 00:17:34,490 --> 00:17:34,500 the excesses from this baby boom boom we 875 00:17:34,500 --> 00:17:36,830 the excesses from this baby boom boom we did we had the boom and never let the 876 00:17:36,830 --> 00:17:36,840 did we had the boom and never let the 877 00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:38,870 did we had the boom and never let the bust do what the economy does so well 878 00:17:38,870 --> 00:17:38,880 bust do what the economy does so well 879 00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:42,110 bust do what the economy does so well clean out all the excess so the 880 00:17:42,110 --> 00:17:42,120 clean out all the excess so the 881 00:17:42,120 --> 00:17:43,490 clean out all the excess so the millennial General information gonna 882 00:17:43,490 --> 00:17:43,500 millennial General information gonna 883 00:17:43,500 --> 00:17:45,710 millennial General information gonna pick us up in 2024 I want to come back 884 00:17:45,710 --> 00:17:45,720 pick us up in 2024 I want to come back 885 00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:47,450 pick us up in 2024 I want to come back to that very important point but let's 886 00:17:47,450 --> 00:17:47,460 to that very important point but let's 887 00:17:47,460 --> 00:17:49,250 to that very important point but let's talk about valuations and Bubbles so 888 00:17:49,250 --> 00:17:49,260 talk about valuations and Bubbles so 889 00:17:49,260 --> 00:17:50,390 talk about valuations and Bubbles so when we think about bubbles we think 890 00:17:50,390 --> 00:17:50,400 when we think about bubbles we think 891 00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:53,150 when we think about bubbles we think about highly overvalued markets the S P 892 00:17:53,150 --> 00:17:53,160 about highly overvalued markets the S P 893 00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:55,789 about highly overvalued markets the S P 500 uh PE ratio has come down like most 894 00:17:55,789 --> 00:17:55,799 500 uh PE ratio has come down like most 895 00:17:55,799 --> 00:17:58,310 500 uh PE ratio has come down like most markets do you think we're still in a 896 00:17:58,310 --> 00:17:58,320 markets do you think we're still in a 897 00:17:58,320 --> 00:18:00,350 markets do you think we're still in a highly overvalued territory then yeah 898 00:18:00,350 --> 00:18:00,360 highly overvalued territory then yeah 899 00:18:00,360 --> 00:18:03,950 highly overvalued territory then yeah yes I mean because this is 900 00:18:03,950 --> 00:18:03,960 901 00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:05,630 this is the two bubbles in a row okay 902 00:18:05,630 --> 00:18:05,640 this is the two bubbles in a row okay 903 00:18:05,640 --> 00:18:09,110 this is the two bubbles in a row okay the the first bubble 904 00:18:09,110 --> 00:18:09,120 905 00:18:09,120 --> 00:18:11,930 Republic bull market was not as bubbly 906 00:18:11,930 --> 00:18:11,940 Republic bull market was not as bubbly 907 00:18:11,940 --> 00:18:14,810 Republic bull market was not as bubbly It was 95 to 2000 when the tech stocks 908 00:18:14,810 --> 00:18:14,820 It was 95 to 2000 when the tech stocks 909 00:18:14,820 --> 00:18:17,090 It was 95 to 2000 when the tech stocks were leading and you had the big bubble 910 00:18:17,090 --> 00:18:17,100 were leading and you had the big bubble 911 00:18:17,100 --> 00:18:19,250 were leading and you had the big bubble there in the NASDAQ and that's what's 912 00:18:19,250 --> 00:18:19,260 there in the NASDAQ and that's what's 913 00:18:19,260 --> 00:18:21,890 there in the NASDAQ and that's what's happened again this time it's not just 914 00:18:21,890 --> 00:18:21,900 happened again this time it's not just 915 00:18:21,900 --> 00:18:24,529 happened again this time it's not just the NASDAQ it's a whole nother sector 916 00:18:24,529 --> 00:18:24,539 the NASDAQ it's a whole nother sector 917 00:18:24,539 --> 00:18:26,390 the NASDAQ it's a whole nother sector which is not in the NASDAQ even though 918 00:18:26,390 --> 00:18:26,400 which is not in the NASDAQ even though 919 00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:27,529 which is not in the NASDAQ even though it's Leading Edge and that's the whole 920 00:18:27,529 --> 00:18:27,539 it's Leading Edge and that's the whole 921 00:18:27,539 --> 00:18:30,830 it's Leading Edge and that's the whole crypto so your crypto stocks have been 922 00:18:30,830 --> 00:18:30,840 crypto so your crypto stocks have been 923 00:18:30,840 --> 00:18:32,390 crypto so your crypto stocks have been the biggest feature they're the Leading 924 00:18:32,390 --> 00:18:32,400 the biggest feature they're the Leading 925 00:18:32,400 --> 00:18:34,730 the biggest feature they're the Leading Edge of this boom it was the not just 926 00:18:34,730 --> 00:18:34,740 Edge of this boom it was the not just 927 00:18:34,740 --> 00:18:37,430 Edge of this boom it was the not just the technology stocks it was the.com 928 00:18:37,430 --> 00:18:37,440 the technology stocks it was the.com 929 00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:40,549 the technology stocks it was the.com stock it was the Amazon like.com 930 00:18:40,549 --> 00:18:40,559 stock it was the Amazon like.com 931 00:18:40,559 --> 00:18:42,890 stock it was the Amazon like.com retailers that were emerging in the 932 00:18:42,890 --> 00:18:42,900 retailers that were emerging in the 933 00:18:42,900 --> 00:18:44,630 retailers that were emerging in the mainstream rapidly in the late 90s 934 00:18:44,630 --> 00:18:44,640 mainstream rapidly in the late 90s 935 00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:46,789 mainstream rapidly in the late 90s driving that first bubble so what this 936 00:18:46,789 --> 00:18:46,799 driving that first bubble so what this 937 00:18:46,799 --> 00:18:49,909 driving that first bubble so what this really is is it's the second Tech bubble 938 00:18:49,909 --> 00:18:49,919 really is is it's the second Tech bubble 939 00:18:49,919 --> 00:18:52,549 really is is it's the second Tech bubble and again you'll never see two 940 00:18:52,549 --> 00:18:52,559 and again you'll never see two 941 00:18:52,559 --> 00:18:54,830 and again you'll never see two technology driven bubbles in a row in 942 00:18:54,830 --> 00:18:54,840 technology driven bubbles in a row in 943 00:18:54,840 --> 00:18:57,470 technology driven bubbles in a row in history you didn't see you saw 37 kind 944 00:18:57,470 --> 00:18:57,480 history you didn't see you saw 37 kind 945 00:18:57,480 --> 00:19:00,230 history you didn't see you saw 37 kind of follow 29 but that was only that was 946 00:19:00,230 --> 00:19:00,240 of follow 29 but that was only that was 947 00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:02,630 of follow 29 but that was only that was less than a decade later and not the 948 00:19:02,630 --> 00:19:02,640 less than a decade later and not the 949 00:19:02,640 --> 00:19:04,970 less than a decade later and not the same level of bubble so since we didn't 950 00:19:04,970 --> 00:19:04,980 same level of bubble so since we didn't 951 00:19:04,980 --> 00:19:07,370 same level of bubble so since we didn't have this wash out and didn't clear out 952 00:19:07,370 --> 00:19:07,380 have this wash out and didn't clear out 953 00:19:07,380 --> 00:19:09,890 have this wash out and didn't clear out the excesses all this stimulus us did 954 00:19:09,890 --> 00:19:09,900 the excesses all this stimulus us did 955 00:19:09,900 --> 00:19:13,190 the excesses all this stimulus us did was to create a second artificial bubble 956 00:19:13,190 --> 00:19:13,200 was to create a second artificial bubble 957 00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:16,190 was to create a second artificial bubble on top of the natural one that first hit 958 00:19:16,190 --> 00:19:16,200 on top of the natural one that first hit 959 00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:18,350 on top of the natural one that first hit in 2000 and crashed and you got to 960 00:19:18,350 --> 00:19:18,360 in 2000 and crashed and you got to 961 00:19:18,360 --> 00:19:21,529 in 2000 and crashed and you got to remember the NASDAQ in 2000 2002 crash 962 00:19:21,529 --> 00:19:21,539 remember the NASDAQ in 2000 2002 crash 963 00:19:21,539 --> 00:19:26,289 remember the NASDAQ in 2000 2002 crash with only a mild recession was down 78 964 00:19:26,289 --> 00:19:26,299 with only a mild recession was down 78 965 00:19:26,299 --> 00:19:29,450 with only a mild recession was down 78 that was the biggest crash the nasdaqs 966 00:19:29,450 --> 00:19:29,460 that was the biggest crash the nasdaqs 967 00:19:29,460 --> 00:19:32,690 that was the biggest crash the nasdaqs ever had in its history and this one I'm 968 00:19:32,690 --> 00:19:32,700 ever had in its history and this one I'm 969 00:19:32,700 --> 00:19:34,310 ever had in its history and this one I'm just saying will be a little larger 970 00:19:34,310 --> 00:19:34,320 just saying will be a little larger 971 00:19:34,320 --> 00:19:36,409 just saying will be a little larger about 92 percent because that one was 972 00:19:36,409 --> 00:19:36,419 about 92 percent because that one was 973 00:19:36,419 --> 00:19:39,529 about 92 percent because that one was not allowed to go all the way so so this 974 00:19:39,529 --> 00:19:39,539 not allowed to go all the way so so this 975 00:19:39,539 --> 00:19:42,710 not allowed to go all the way so so this is what happens bubbles always have the 976 00:19:42,710 --> 00:19:42,720 is what happens bubbles always have the 977 00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:44,810 is what happens bubbles always have the biggest crashes because they have the 978 00:19:44,810 --> 00:19:44,820 biggest crashes because they have the 979 00:19:44,820 --> 00:19:46,970 biggest crashes because they have the biggest blow-offs you know they they're 980 00:19:46,970 --> 00:19:46,980 biggest blow-offs you know they they're 981 00:19:46,980 --> 00:19:48,830 biggest blow-offs you know they they're they're they're the strongest stock 982 00:19:48,830 --> 00:19:48,840 they're they're the strongest stock 983 00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:51,950 they're they're the strongest stock booms on on bull markets and so they 984 00:19:51,950 --> 00:19:51,960 booms on on bull markets and so they 985 00:19:51,960 --> 00:19:54,049 booms on on bull markets and so they crash hard as well so anybody that looks 986 00:19:54,049 --> 00:19:54,059 crash hard as well so anybody that looks 987 00:19:54,059 --> 00:19:55,909 crash hard as well so anybody that looks at a bubble of this size and I dare 988 00:19:55,909 --> 00:19:55,919 at a bubble of this size and I dare 989 00:19:55,919 --> 00:19:58,909 at a bubble of this size and I dare anybody look at the stock market from 95 990 00:19:58,909 --> 00:19:58,919 anybody look at the stock market from 95 991 00:19:58,919 --> 00:20:02,870 anybody look at the stock market from 95 to 2000 look at it from 2019 22 to 29 992 00:20:02,870 --> 00:20:02,880 to 2000 look at it from 2019 22 to 29 993 00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:04,730 to 2000 look at it from 2019 22 to 29 that Bubble look at any other bubble in 994 00:20:04,730 --> 00:20:04,740 that Bubble look at any other bubble in 995 00:20:04,740 --> 00:20:06,950 that Bubble look at any other bubble in history and look at this recent bubble 996 00:20:06,950 --> 00:20:06,960 history and look at this recent bubble 997 00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:09,710 history and look at this recent bubble okay since 2009 the long biggest and 998 00:20:09,710 --> 00:20:09,720 okay since 2009 the long biggest and 999 00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:11,630 okay since 2009 the long biggest and biggest bubble and tell me this isn't a 1000 00:20:11,630 --> 00:20:11,640 biggest bubble and tell me this isn't a 1001 00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:12,529 biggest bubble and tell me this isn't a bubble 1002 00:20:12,529 --> 00:20:12,539 bubble 1003 00:20:12,539 --> 00:20:14,990 bubble you're crazy if you say that nobody 1004 00:20:14,990 --> 00:20:15,000 you're crazy if you say that nobody 1005 00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:17,330 you're crazy if you say that nobody wants to see it and all the experts 1006 00:20:17,330 --> 00:20:17,340 wants to see it and all the experts 1007 00:20:17,340 --> 00:20:19,370 wants to see it and all the experts ignore it well it's okay and the FED has 1008 00:20:19,370 --> 00:20:19,380 ignore it well it's okay and the FED has 1009 00:20:19,380 --> 00:20:21,890 ignore it well it's okay and the FED has it under control and the FED won't let 1010 00:20:21,890 --> 00:20:21,900 it under control and the FED won't let 1011 00:20:21,900 --> 00:20:24,230 it under control and the FED won't let this a downturn get too high it's 1012 00:20:24,230 --> 00:20:24,240 this a downturn get too high it's 1013 00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:26,930 this a downturn get too high it's already failing I think what's going to 1014 00:20:26,930 --> 00:20:26,940 already failing I think what's going to 1015 00:20:26,940 --> 00:20:27,590 already failing I think what's going to happen 1016 00:20:27,590 --> 00:20:27,600 happen 1017 00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:29,390 happen and the best thing that can happen from 1018 00:20:29,390 --> 00:20:29,400 and the best thing that can happen from 1019 00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:31,730 and the best thing that can happen from my view is that this next this third 1020 00:20:31,730 --> 00:20:31,740 my view is that this next this third 1021 00:20:31,740 --> 00:20:33,409 my view is that this next this third wave of the third wave which is 1022 00:20:33,409 --> 00:20:33,419 wave of the third wave which is 1023 00:20:33,419 --> 00:20:35,029 wave of the third wave which is naturally the most powerful you're going 1024 00:20:35,029 --> 00:20:35,039 naturally the most powerful you're going 1025 00:20:35,039 --> 00:20:37,370 naturally the most powerful you're going to see okay in the whole sequence down 1026 00:20:37,370 --> 00:20:37,380 to see okay in the whole sequence down 1027 00:20:37,380 --> 00:20:39,169 to see okay in the whole sequence down over five waves over two and a half 1028 00:20:39,169 --> 00:20:39,179 over five waves over two and a half 1029 00:20:39,179 --> 00:20:43,430 over five waves over two and a half years like like 73 to 74 or 29 to 32. is 1030 00:20:43,430 --> 00:20:43,440 years like like 73 to 74 or 29 to 32. is 1031 00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:46,909 years like like 73 to 74 or 29 to 32. is is going to happen fast and hard and 1032 00:20:46,909 --> 00:20:46,919 is going to happen fast and hard and 1033 00:20:46,919 --> 00:20:49,070 is going to happen fast and hard and that's what's going to lose people gonna 1034 00:20:49,070 --> 00:20:49,080 that's what's going to lose people gonna 1035 00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:50,930 that's what's going to lose people gonna lose faith Fame the central banks being 1036 00:20:50,930 --> 00:20:50,940 lose faith Fame the central banks being 1037 00:20:50,940 --> 00:20:53,029 lose faith Fame the central banks being able to contain this thing and then they 1038 00:20:53,029 --> 00:20:53,039 able to contain this thing and then they 1039 00:20:53,039 --> 00:20:55,010 able to contain this thing and then they just get bearish and then it's hard to 1040 00:20:55,010 --> 00:20:55,020 just get bearish and then it's hard to 1041 00:20:55,020 --> 00:20:56,990 just get bearish and then it's hard to stop the markets from continuing to fall 1042 00:20:56,990 --> 00:20:57,000 stop the markets from continuing to fall 1043 00:20:57,000 --> 00:20:58,850 stop the markets from continuing to fall so I think this is a critical Junction 1044 00:20:58,850 --> 00:20:58,860 so I think this is a critical Junction 1045 00:20:58,860 --> 00:21:01,549 so I think this is a critical Junction the markets want to get back in control 1046 00:21:01,549 --> 00:21:01,559 the markets want to get back in control 1047 00:21:01,559 --> 00:21:03,890 the markets want to get back in control here the markets don't agree with the 1048 00:21:03,890 --> 00:21:03,900 here the markets don't agree with the 1049 00:21:03,900 --> 00:21:06,230 here the markets don't agree with the fed the markets would would rather flush 1050 00:21:06,230 --> 00:21:06,240 fed the markets would would rather flush 1051 00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,450 fed the markets would would rather flush out these excesses than keep a limping 1052 00:21:08,450 --> 00:21:08,460 out these excesses than keep a limping 1053 00:21:08,460 --> 00:21:11,270 out these excesses than keep a limping economy going on forever but the you 1054 00:21:11,270 --> 00:21:11,280 economy going on forever but the you 1055 00:21:11,280 --> 00:21:13,730 economy going on forever but the you know central banks and politicians want 1056 00:21:13,730 --> 00:21:13,740 know central banks and politicians want 1057 00:21:13,740 --> 00:21:15,890 know central banks and politicians want to get reelected now and they don't want 1058 00:21:15,890 --> 00:21:15,900 to get reelected now and they don't want 1059 00:21:15,900 --> 00:21:17,690 to get reelected now and they don't want the economy to go down on their watch so 1060 00:21:17,690 --> 00:21:17,700 the economy to go down on their watch so 1061 00:21:17,700 --> 00:21:20,690 the economy to go down on their watch so so they're they're basically wimps in 1062 00:21:20,690 --> 00:21:20,700 so they're they're basically wimps in 1063 00:21:20,700 --> 00:21:22,909 so they're they're basically wimps in this case the markets the market node 1064 00:21:22,909 --> 00:21:22,919 this case the markets the market node 1065 00:21:22,919 --> 00:21:25,430 this case the markets the market node the market as soon as the central banks 1066 00:21:25,430 --> 00:21:25,440 the market as soon as the central banks 1067 00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:28,370 the market as soon as the central banks kind of get get run over or lose control 1068 00:21:28,370 --> 00:21:28,380 kind of get get run over or lose control 1069 00:21:28,380 --> 00:21:30,409 kind of get get run over or lose control here the markets are going to go down 1070 00:21:30,409 --> 00:21:30,419 here the markets are going to go down 1071 00:21:30,419 --> 00:21:33,350 here the markets are going to go down and Usher in a deep debt detail it's a 1072 00:21:33,350 --> 00:21:33,360 and Usher in a deep debt detail it's a 1073 00:21:33,360 --> 00:21:35,149 and Usher in a deep debt detail it's a debt detox it's the best thing to call 1074 00:21:35,149 --> 00:21:35,159 debt detox it's the best thing to call 1075 00:21:35,159 --> 00:21:38,510 debt detox it's the best thing to call it you basically need to wash out a lot 1076 00:21:38,510 --> 00:21:38,520 it you basically need to wash out a lot 1077 00:21:38,520 --> 00:21:41,330 it you basically need to wash out a lot of bad debts and zombie companies which 1078 00:21:41,330 --> 00:21:41,340 of bad debts and zombie companies which 1079 00:21:41,340 --> 00:21:43,610 of bad debts and zombie companies which shouldn't exist the cop free market 1080 00:21:43,610 --> 00:21:43,620 shouldn't exist the cop free market 1081 00:21:43,620 --> 00:21:46,970 shouldn't exist the cop free market capitalism is equally boom and bust the 1082 00:21:46,970 --> 00:21:46,980 capitalism is equally boom and bust the 1083 00:21:46,980 --> 00:21:49,370 capitalism is equally boom and bust the busts are necessary as I said earlier to 1084 00:21:49,370 --> 00:21:49,380 busts are necessary as I said earlier to 1085 00:21:49,380 --> 00:21:51,590 busts are necessary as I said earlier to to clean out the excesses you're going 1086 00:21:51,590 --> 00:21:51,600 to clean out the excesses you're going 1087 00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:54,289 to clean out the excesses you're going to get in every boom you can't have a 1088 00:21:54,289 --> 00:21:54,299 to get in every boom you can't have a 1089 00:21:54,299 --> 00:21:56,870 to get in every boom you can't have a boom without a bus to clean up and take 1090 00:21:56,870 --> 00:21:56,880 boom without a bus to clean up and take 1091 00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:58,549 boom without a bus to clean up and take out the garbage and get ready for the 1092 00:21:58,549 --> 00:21:58,559 out the garbage and get ready for the 1093 00:21:58,559 --> 00:22:00,890 out the garbage and get ready for the next great boom and if you don't and 1094 00:22:00,890 --> 00:22:00,900 next great boom and if you don't and 1095 00:22:00,900 --> 00:22:02,270 next great boom and if you don't and this would be the first time in history 1096 00:22:02,270 --> 00:22:02,280 this would be the first time in history 1097 00:22:02,280 --> 00:22:04,490 this would be the first time in history if we didn't if you don't have that 1098 00:22:04,490 --> 00:22:04,500 if we didn't if you don't have that 1099 00:22:04,500 --> 00:22:06,470 if we didn't if you don't have that downturn in between like we saw in the 1100 00:22:06,470 --> 00:22:06,480 downturn in between like we saw in the 1101 00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:09,169 downturn in between like we saw in the 70s and we saw in the 30s then then the 1102 00:22:09,169 --> 00:22:09,179 70s and we saw in the 30s then then the 1103 00:22:09,179 --> 00:22:11,990 70s and we saw in the 30s then then the next boom will be compromised there will 1104 00:22:11,990 --> 00:22:12,000 next boom will be compromised there will 1105 00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:14,810 next boom will be compromised there will not be the productivity and and the 1106 00:22:14,810 --> 00:22:14,820 not be the productivity and and the 1107 00:22:14,820 --> 00:22:16,730 not be the productivity and and the growth there full out because we're 1108 00:22:16,730 --> 00:22:16,740 growth there full out because we're 1109 00:22:16,740 --> 00:22:19,090 growth there full out because we're still carrying unproductive debts 1110 00:22:19,090 --> 00:22:19,100 still carrying unproductive debts 1111 00:22:19,100 --> 00:22:22,490 still carrying unproductive debts lugging them into the future uh what's 1112 00:22:22,490 --> 00:22:22,500 lugging them into the future uh what's 1113 00:22:22,500 --> 00:22:24,049 lugging them into the future uh what's your view on cryptocurrencies in your 1114 00:22:24,049 --> 00:22:24,059 your view on cryptocurrencies in your 1115 00:22:24,059 --> 00:22:25,430 your view on cryptocurrencies in your recent newsletter you pointed out the 1116 00:22:25,430 --> 00:22:25,440 recent newsletter you pointed out the 1117 00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:27,649 recent newsletter you pointed out the fact that Bitcoin still overwhelmingly 1118 00:22:27,649 --> 00:22:27,659 fact that Bitcoin still overwhelmingly 1119 00:22:27,659 --> 00:22:29,930 fact that Bitcoin still overwhelmingly dominates the overall crypto market cap 1120 00:22:29,930 --> 00:22:29,940 dominates the overall crypto market cap 1121 00:22:29,940 --> 00:22:32,029 dominates the overall crypto market cap so I guess I'll ask you what your view 1122 00:22:32,029 --> 00:22:32,039 so I guess I'll ask you what your view 1123 00:22:32,039 --> 00:22:34,010 so I guess I'll ask you what your view on bitcoin is given that you think 1124 00:22:34,010 --> 00:22:34,020 on bitcoin is given that you think 1125 00:22:34,020 --> 00:22:35,029 on bitcoin is given that you think there's going to be a crash in the 1126 00:22:35,029 --> 00:22:35,039 there's going to be a crash in the 1127 00:22:35,039 --> 00:22:36,770 there's going to be a crash in the NASDAQ and given that historically 1128 00:22:36,770 --> 00:22:36,780 NASDAQ and given that historically 1129 00:22:36,780 --> 00:22:39,169 NASDAQ and given that historically they've been correlated yes yes okay 1130 00:22:39,169 --> 00:22:39,179 they've been correlated yes yes okay 1131 00:22:39,179 --> 00:22:41,870 they've been correlated yes yes okay real quick so I'm predicting the s p 1132 00:22:41,870 --> 00:22:41,880 real quick so I'm predicting the s p 1133 00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:44,510 real quick so I'm predicting the s p will go down 86 percent the NASDAQ 92 1134 00:22:44,510 --> 00:22:44,520 will go down 86 percent the NASDAQ 92 1135 00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:47,630 will go down 86 percent the NASDAQ 92 and guess what the crypto sector Bitcoin 1136 00:22:47,630 --> 00:22:47,640 and guess what the crypto sector Bitcoin 1137 00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:49,250 and guess what the crypto sector Bitcoin being because there isn't a good enough 1138 00:22:49,250 --> 00:22:49,260 being because there isn't a good enough 1139 00:22:49,260 --> 00:22:52,190 being because there isn't a good enough index will go down more like 95 96 1140 00:22:52,190 --> 00:22:52,200 index will go down more like 95 96 1141 00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:55,549 index will go down more like 95 96 percent so they are lead bubble and so 1142 00:22:55,549 --> 00:22:55,559 percent so they are lead bubble and so 1143 00:22:55,559 --> 00:22:59,149 percent so they are lead bubble and so that means Bitcoin goes and nobody's 1144 00:22:59,149 --> 00:22:59,159 that means Bitcoin goes and nobody's 1145 00:22:59,159 --> 00:23:00,529 that means Bitcoin goes and nobody's going to believe this in that industry 1146 00:23:00,529 --> 00:23:00,539 going to believe this in that industry 1147 00:23:00,539 --> 00:23:02,029 going to believe this in that industry and I'm down here in Puerto Rico 1148 00:23:02,029 --> 00:23:02,039 and I'm down here in Puerto Rico 1149 00:23:02,039 --> 00:23:03,830 and I'm down here in Puerto Rico surrounded by crypto people they've all 1150 00:23:03,830 --> 00:23:03,840 surrounded by crypto people they've all 1151 00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:05,810 surrounded by crypto people they've all moved here for the tax purposes because 1152 00:23:05,810 --> 00:23:05,820 moved here for the tax purposes because 1153 00:23:05,820 --> 00:23:07,789 moved here for the tax purposes because they're in big capital gains industry 1154 00:23:07,789 --> 00:23:07,799 they're in big capital gains industry 1155 00:23:07,799 --> 00:23:11,510 they're in big capital gains industry that that Bitcoin will fall from 69 000 1156 00:23:11,510 --> 00:23:11,520 that that Bitcoin will fall from 69 000 1157 00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:14,450 that that Bitcoin will fall from 69 000 to about three to four thousand David 1158 00:23:14,450 --> 00:23:14,460 to about three to four thousand David 1159 00:23:14,460 --> 00:23:16,310 to about three to four thousand David and that and people say oh Mike then 1160 00:23:16,310 --> 00:23:16,320 and that and people say oh Mike then 1161 00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:17,690 and that and people say oh Mike then people will say oh well that was just 1162 00:23:17,690 --> 00:23:17,700 people will say oh well that was just 1163 00:23:17,700 --> 00:23:20,390 people will say oh well that was just total BS oh it was it was just a big 1164 00:23:20,390 --> 00:23:20,400 total BS oh it was it was just a big 1165 00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:23,210 total BS oh it was it was just a big hoax no it's exactly what Amazon and the 1166 00:23:23,210 --> 00:23:23,220 hoax no it's exactly what Amazon and the 1167 00:23:23,220 --> 00:23:25,430 hoax no it's exactly what Amazon and the dot-coms did that will even prove to me 1168 00:23:25,430 --> 00:23:25,440 dot-coms did that will even prove to me 1169 00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:27,950 dot-coms did that will even prove to me more this bubble the size of this crypto 1170 00:23:27,950 --> 00:23:27,960 more this bubble the size of this crypto 1171 00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:30,409 more this bubble the size of this crypto bubble says to me this is not a joke 1172 00:23:30,409 --> 00:23:30,419 bubble says to me this is not a joke 1173 00:23:30,419 --> 00:23:33,049 bubble says to me this is not a joke this is the next big thing happening it 1174 00:23:33,049 --> 00:23:33,059 this is the next big thing happening it 1175 00:23:33,059 --> 00:23:36,409 this is the next big thing happening it it it it it it monitors and and Echoes 1176 00:23:36,409 --> 00:23:36,419 it it it it it monitors and and Echoes 1177 00:23:36,419 --> 00:23:39,590 it it it it it monitors and and Echoes the the.com bubble perfectly and the 1178 00:23:39,590 --> 00:23:39,600 the the.com bubble perfectly and the 1179 00:23:39,600 --> 00:23:42,529 the the.com bubble perfectly and the Crash should be equally bad 95 to 96 1180 00:23:42,529 --> 00:23:42,539 Crash should be equally bad 95 to 96 1181 00:23:42,539 --> 00:23:45,590 Crash should be equally bad 95 to 96 which is what what Amazon and the 1182 00:23:45,590 --> 00:23:45,600 which is what what Amazon and the 1183 00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:47,750 which is what what Amazon and the dot-coms went down and then have the 1184 00:23:47,750 --> 00:23:47,760 dot-coms went down and then have the 1185 00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:49,669 dot-coms went down and then have the great a great Boom for decades to follow 1186 00:23:49,669 --> 00:23:49,679 great a great Boom for decades to follow 1187 00:23:49,679 --> 00:23:54,710 great a great Boom for decades to follow so so this is just the baby bubble in a 1188 00:23:54,710 --> 00:23:54,720 so so this is just the baby bubble in a 1189 00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:57,310 so so this is just the baby bubble in a longer boom that will not Peak until the 1190 00:23:57,310 --> 00:23:57,320 longer boom that will not Peak until the 1191 00:23:57,320 --> 00:23:59,570 longer boom that will not Peak until the 2030s when the United States when the 1192 00:23:59,570 --> 00:23:59,580 2030s when the United States when the 1193 00:23:59,580 --> 00:24:01,789 2030s when the United States when the Millennials peak in their spending cycle 1194 00:24:01,789 --> 00:24:01,799 Millennials peak in their spending cycle 1195 00:24:01,799 --> 00:24:05,510 Millennials peak in their spending cycle is when you'll see crypto and all these 1196 00:24:05,510 --> 00:24:05,520 is when you'll see crypto and all these 1197 00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:07,310 is when you'll see crypto and all these things like Bitcoin and blockchain and 1198 00:24:07,310 --> 00:24:07,320 things like Bitcoin and blockchain and 1199 00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:09,110 things like Bitcoin and blockchain and it's not Bitcoin Bitcoin is just kind of 1200 00:24:09,110 --> 00:24:09,120 it's not Bitcoin Bitcoin is just kind of 1201 00:24:09,120 --> 00:24:14,090 it's not Bitcoin Bitcoin is just kind of the lead dog here blockchain is is a way 1202 00:24:14,090 --> 00:24:14,100 the lead dog here blockchain is is a way 1203 00:24:14,100 --> 00:24:17,990 the lead dog here blockchain is is a way of reconstructing all Financial Services 1204 00:24:17,990 --> 00:24:18,000 of reconstructing all Financial Services 1205 00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,289 of reconstructing all Financial Services it is basically a revolution 1206 00:24:20,289 --> 00:24:20,299 it is basically a revolution 1207 00:24:20,299 --> 00:24:22,850 it is basically a revolution particularly in financial services and 1208 00:24:22,850 --> 00:24:22,860 particularly in financial services and 1209 00:24:22,860 --> 00:24:24,649 particularly in financial services and why is financial services so important 1210 00:24:24,649 --> 00:24:24,659 why is financial services so important 1211 00:24:24,659 --> 00:24:27,710 why is financial services so important for the first time in history we have 1212 00:24:27,710 --> 00:24:27,720 for the first time in history we have 1213 00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:29,870 for the first time in history we have the point where everyday people have 1214 00:24:29,870 --> 00:24:29,880 the point where everyday people have 1215 00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:32,149 the point where everyday people have substantial wealth you know have 1216 00:24:32,149 --> 00:24:32,159 substantial wealth you know have 1217 00:24:32,159 --> 00:24:33,830 substantial wealth you know have hundreds of thousands of dollars going 1218 00:24:33,830 --> 00:24:33,840 hundreds of thousands of dollars going 1219 00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:35,390 hundreds of thousands of dollars going into retirement they didn't have that in 1220 00:24:35,390 --> 00:24:35,400 into retirement they didn't have that in 1221 00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:38,029 into retirement they didn't have that in the Roaring 20s or the 50s and 60s so 1222 00:24:38,029 --> 00:24:38,039 the Roaring 20s or the 50s and 60s so 1223 00:24:38,039 --> 00:24:40,549 the Roaring 20s or the 50s and 60s so this is a wealth Revolution this is a a 1224 00:24:40,549 --> 00:24:40,559 this is a wealth Revolution this is a a 1225 00:24:40,559 --> 00:24:43,610 this is a wealth Revolution this is a a revolution in financial services being 1226 00:24:43,610 --> 00:24:43,620 revolution in financial services being 1227 00:24:43,620 --> 00:24:48,590 revolution in financial services being ushered in by blockchain technology and 1228 00:24:48,590 --> 00:24:48,600 ushered in by blockchain technology and 1229 00:24:48,600 --> 00:24:51,049 ushered in by blockchain technology and and I see Bitcoin Bitcoin is not that 1230 00:24:51,049 --> 00:24:51,059 and I see Bitcoin Bitcoin is not that 1231 00:24:51,059 --> 00:24:53,390 and I see Bitcoin Bitcoin is not that useful I see Bitcoin being the number 1232 00:24:53,390 --> 00:24:53,400 useful I see Bitcoin being the number 1233 00:24:53,400 --> 00:24:57,890 useful I see Bitcoin being the number one 43 of the whole index today okay of 1234 00:24:57,890 --> 00:24:57,900 one 43 of the whole index today okay of 1235 00:24:57,900 --> 00:24:59,990 one 43 of the whole index today okay of of the nine trillion dollars in value 1236 00:24:59,990 --> 00:25:00,000 of the nine trillion dollars in value 1237 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:03,289 of the nine trillion dollars in value there 43 of its Bitcoin I see Bitcoin 1238 00:25:03,289 --> 00:25:03,299 there 43 of its Bitcoin I see Bitcoin 1239 00:25:03,299 --> 00:25:06,710 there 43 of its Bitcoin I see Bitcoin becoming the standard for a digital 1240 00:25:06,710 --> 00:25:06,720 becoming the standard for a digital 1241 00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:10,370 becoming the standard for a digital global economy like gold in the past was 1242 00:25:10,370 --> 00:25:10,380 global economy like gold in the past was 1243 00:25:10,380 --> 00:25:13,070 global economy like gold in the past was this monetary standard in a in a more 1244 00:25:13,070 --> 00:25:13,080 this monetary standard in a in a more 1245 00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:16,070 this monetary standard in a in a more material uh less information intensive 1246 00:25:16,070 --> 00:25:16,080 material uh less information intensive 1247 00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:19,549 material uh less information intensive economy in the past I see gold cannot be 1248 00:25:19,549 --> 00:25:19,559 economy in the past I see gold cannot be 1249 00:25:19,559 --> 00:25:21,890 economy in the past I see gold cannot be that standard it does it's not the new 1250 00:25:21,890 --> 00:25:21,900 that standard it does it's not the new 1251 00:25:21,900 --> 00:25:25,310 that standard it does it's not the new economy Bitcoin is the new economy and 1252 00:25:25,310 --> 00:25:25,320 economy Bitcoin is the new economy and 1253 00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:28,010 economy Bitcoin is the new economy and is big enough to be that standard and 1254 00:25:28,010 --> 00:25:28,020 is big enough to be that standard and 1255 00:25:28,020 --> 00:25:29,930 is big enough to be that standard and that's that's why I see Bitcoin Will 1256 00:25:29,930 --> 00:25:29,940 that's that's why I see Bitcoin Will 1257 00:25:29,940 --> 00:25:31,750 that's that's why I see Bitcoin Will Survive because otherwise 1258 00:25:31,750 --> 00:25:31,760 Survive because otherwise 1259 00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:34,010 Survive because otherwise ethereum does a lot more useful stuff 1260 00:25:34,010 --> 00:25:34,020 ethereum does a lot more useful stuff 1261 00:25:34,020 --> 00:25:35,990 ethereum does a lot more useful stuff than Bitcoin for example how do you see 1262 00:25:35,990 --> 00:25:36,000 than Bitcoin for example how do you see 1263 00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:37,909 than Bitcoin for example how do you see the economy uh unfolding over the course 1264 00:25:37,909 --> 00:25:37,919 the economy uh unfolding over the course 1265 00:25:37,919 --> 00:25:39,830 the economy uh unfolding over the course of the Year unemployment data came out 1266 00:25:39,830 --> 00:25:39,840 of the Year unemployment data came out 1267 00:25:39,840 --> 00:25:42,110 of the Year unemployment data came out this morning on Friday and surprisingly 1268 00:25:42,110 --> 00:25:42,120 this morning on Friday and surprisingly 1269 00:25:42,120 --> 00:25:44,870 this morning on Friday and surprisingly to some people it came down not up 3.5 1270 00:25:44,870 --> 00:25:44,880 to some people it came down not up 3.5 1271 00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:47,269 to some people it came down not up 3.5 percent was the latest reading it was 1272 00:25:47,269 --> 00:25:47,279 percent was the latest reading it was 1273 00:25:47,279 --> 00:25:50,090 percent was the latest reading it was 3.6 percent people are saying that this 1274 00:25:50,090 --> 00:25:50,100 3.6 percent people are saying that this 1275 00:25:50,100 --> 00:25:52,130 3.6 percent people are saying that this is and actually the uh particip labor 1276 00:25:52,130 --> 00:25:52,140 is and actually the uh particip labor 1277 00:25:52,140 --> 00:25:53,870 is and actually the uh particip labor force participation rate has also been 1278 00:25:53,870 --> 00:25:53,880 force participation rate has also been 1279 00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:56,210 force participation rate has also been inching upwards people are saying that 1280 00:25:56,210 --> 00:25:56,220 inching upwards people are saying that 1281 00:25:56,220 --> 00:25:58,130 inching upwards people are saying that the labor market is improving even 1282 00:25:58,130 --> 00:25:58,140 the labor market is improving even 1283 00:25:58,140 --> 00:25:59,390 the labor market is improving even though every day we're reading headlines 1284 00:25:59,390 --> 00:25:59,400 though every day we're reading headlines 1285 00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:01,909 though every day we're reading headlines at XYZ company is laying off workers 1286 00:26:01,909 --> 00:26:01,919 at XYZ company is laying off workers 1287 00:26:01,919 --> 00:26:04,190 at XYZ company is laying off workers McDonald's being the most recent one so 1288 00:26:04,190 --> 00:26:04,200 McDonald's being the most recent one so 1289 00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:06,049 McDonald's being the most recent one so what do you think how would you evaluate 1290 00:26:06,049 --> 00:26:06,059 what do you think how would you evaluate 1291 00:26:06,059 --> 00:26:08,690 what do you think how would you evaluate the strength of the economy in 2023 1292 00:26:08,690 --> 00:26:08,700 the strength of the economy in 2023 1293 00:26:08,700 --> 00:26:10,549 the strength of the economy in 2023 we'll see one of the problems one of the 1294 00:26:10,549 --> 00:26:10,559 we'll see one of the problems one of the 1295 00:26:10,559 --> 00:26:13,190 we'll see one of the problems one of the things people miss David when we had the 1296 00:26:13,190 --> 00:26:13,200 things people miss David when we had the 1297 00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:15,409 things people miss David when we had the last crash okay 1298 00:26:15,409 --> 00:26:15,419 last crash okay 1299 00:26:15,419 --> 00:26:19,070 last crash okay um basically uh a lot of people exited 1300 00:26:19,070 --> 00:26:19,080 um basically uh a lot of people exited 1301 00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:21,590 um basically uh a lot of people exited okay and this didn't come back people 1302 00:26:21,590 --> 00:26:21,600 okay and this didn't come back people 1303 00:26:21,600 --> 00:26:23,570 okay and this didn't come back people gotta remember a lot the Baby Boomers 1304 00:26:23,570 --> 00:26:23,580 gotta remember a lot the Baby Boomers 1305 00:26:23,580 --> 00:26:26,510 gotta remember a lot the Baby Boomers are are are almost fully in retirement 1306 00:26:26,510 --> 00:26:26,520 are are are almost fully in retirement 1307 00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:28,310 are are are almost fully in retirement they're they're in their retirement 1308 00:26:28,310 --> 00:26:28,320 they're they're in their retirement 1309 00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:30,769 they're they're in their retirement stage you know they peaked way back you 1310 00:26:30,769 --> 00:26:30,779 stage you know they peaked way back you 1311 00:26:30,779 --> 00:26:33,409 stage you know they peaked way back you know in 2007. so they've been moving 1312 00:26:33,409 --> 00:26:33,419 know in 2007. so they've been moving 1313 00:26:33,419 --> 00:26:35,210 know in 2007. so they've been moving increasingly into retirement and will 1314 00:26:35,210 --> 00:26:35,220 increasingly into retirement and will 1315 00:26:35,220 --> 00:26:39,830 increasingly into retirement and will continue into 2019. I'm sorry uh in in 1316 00:26:39,830 --> 00:26:39,840 continue into 2019. I'm sorry uh in in 1317 00:26:39,840 --> 00:26:42,409 continue into 2019. I'm sorry uh in in the 2029 to do that before they're fully 1318 00:26:42,409 --> 00:26:42,419 the 2029 to do that before they're fully 1319 00:26:42,419 --> 00:26:45,350 the 2029 to do that before they're fully retired but they are retiring they are 1320 00:26:45,350 --> 00:26:45,360 retired but they are retiring they are 1321 00:26:45,360 --> 00:26:47,090 retired but they are retiring they are leaving the workforce and not coming 1322 00:26:47,090 --> 00:26:47,100 leaving the workforce and not coming 1323 00:26:47,100 --> 00:26:48,649 leaving the workforce and not coming back so that's what people are missing 1324 00:26:48,649 --> 00:26:48,659 back so that's what people are missing 1325 00:26:48,659 --> 00:26:51,830 back so that's what people are missing oh unemployment is is remaining pretty 1326 00:26:51,830 --> 00:26:51,840 oh unemployment is is remaining pretty 1327 00:26:51,840 --> 00:26:54,769 oh unemployment is is remaining pretty low it's because a lot of people have 1328 00:26:54,769 --> 00:26:54,779 low it's because a lot of people have 1329 00:26:54,779 --> 00:26:57,409 low it's because a lot of people have left okay they're not measuring those 1330 00:26:57,409 --> 00:26:57,419 left okay they're not measuring those 1331 00:26:57,419 --> 00:26:59,930 left okay they're not measuring those people what happened to those people and 1332 00:26:59,930 --> 00:26:59,940 people what happened to those people and 1333 00:26:59,940 --> 00:27:01,190 people what happened to those people and and of course they're going to be 1334 00:27:01,190 --> 00:27:01,200 and of course they're going to be 1335 00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:03,110 and of course they're going to be spending less money in retirement people 1336 00:27:03,110 --> 00:27:03,120 spending less money in retirement people 1337 00:27:03,120 --> 00:27:07,010 spending less money in retirement people Peak at 46 Plateau into their mid mid to 1338 00:27:07,010 --> 00:27:07,020 Peak at 46 Plateau into their mid mid to 1339 00:27:07,020 --> 00:27:09,409 Peak at 46 Plateau into their mid mid to late 50s and then spend less in the 1340 00:27:09,409 --> 00:27:09,419 late 50s and then spend less in the 1341 00:27:09,419 --> 00:27:11,690 late 50s and then spend less in the retirement and death so so the largest 1342 00:27:11,690 --> 00:27:11,700 retirement and death so so the largest 1343 00:27:11,700 --> 00:27:13,310 retirement and death so so the largest generation in history is just going to 1344 00:27:13,310 --> 00:27:13,320 generation in history is just going to 1345 00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:15,470 generation in history is just going to be spending less and that is going to be 1346 00:27:15,470 --> 00:27:15,480 be spending less and that is going to be 1347 00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:18,529 be spending less and that is going to be a drag on the economy and that is what 1348 00:27:18,529 --> 00:27:18,539 a drag on the economy and that is what 1349 00:27:18,539 --> 00:27:20,870 a drag on the economy and that is what would have without all this stimulus 1350 00:27:20,870 --> 00:27:20,880 would have without all this stimulus 1351 00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:24,289 would have without all this stimulus caused much higher unemployment and much 1352 00:27:24,289 --> 00:27:24,299 caused much higher unemployment and much 1353 00:27:24,299 --> 00:27:27,310 caused much higher unemployment and much weaker stock markets from 2008 through 1354 00:27:27,310 --> 00:27:27,320 weaker stock markets from 2008 through 1355 00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:31,130 weaker stock markets from 2008 through 2023 here now I say because they've 1356 00:27:31,130 --> 00:27:31,140 2023 here now I say because they've 1357 00:27:31,140 --> 00:27:33,529 2023 here now I say because they've pushed this off we don't probably bottom 1358 00:27:33,529 --> 00:27:33,539 pushed this off we don't probably bottom 1359 00:27:33,539 --> 00:27:36,430 pushed this off we don't probably bottom in this downturn in stocks until 1360 00:27:36,430 --> 00:27:36,440 in this downturn in stocks until 1361 00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:40,370 in this downturn in stocks until mid-2024 maybe late 2024 so a couple of 1362 00:27:40,370 --> 00:27:40,380 mid-2024 maybe late 2024 so a couple of 1363 00:27:40,380 --> 00:27:42,169 mid-2024 maybe late 2024 so a couple of years later than the natural time which 1364 00:27:42,169 --> 00:27:42,179 years later than the natural time which 1365 00:27:42,179 --> 00:27:44,210 years later than the natural time which would have been late 2022 in these 1366 00:27:44,210 --> 00:27:44,220 would have been late 2022 in these 1367 00:27:44,220 --> 00:27:45,529 would have been late 2022 in these Cycles 1368 00:27:45,529 --> 00:27:45,539 Cycles 1369 00:27:45,539 --> 00:27:48,049 Cycles um and and we have yet to see the 1370 00:27:48,049 --> 00:27:48,059 um and and we have yet to see the 1371 00:27:48,059 --> 00:27:49,970 um and and we have yet to see the deepest downturn yet this downturn 1372 00:27:49,970 --> 00:27:49,980 deepest downturn yet this downturn 1373 00:27:49,980 --> 00:27:54,890 deepest downturn yet this downturn should be 50 stronger than the 2008 to 9 1374 00:27:54,890 --> 00:27:54,900 should be 50 stronger than the 2008 to 9 1375 00:27:54,900 --> 00:27:58,310 should be 50 stronger than the 2008 to 9 downturn okay and and the stock market 1376 00:27:58,310 --> 00:27:58,320 downturn okay and and the stock market 1377 00:27:58,320 --> 00:28:01,549 downturn okay and and the stock market should be down 86 percent s p instead of 1378 00:28:01,549 --> 00:28:01,559 should be down 86 percent s p instead of 1379 00:28:01,559 --> 00:28:05,330 should be down 86 percent s p instead of 57 everything I see unemployment will be 1380 00:28:05,330 --> 00:28:05,340 57 everything I see unemployment will be 1381 00:28:05,340 --> 00:28:08,630 57 everything I see unemployment will be 16 instead of 10 stocks will be down 80 1382 00:28:08,630 --> 00:28:08,640 16 instead of 10 stocks will be down 80 1383 00:28:08,640 --> 00:28:12,110 16 instead of 10 stocks will be down 80 6 s p instead of 57 everything's going 1384 00:28:12,110 --> 00:28:12,120 6 s p instead of 57 everything's going 1385 00:28:12,120 --> 00:28:14,570 6 s p instead of 57 everything's going to be about 50 but best way to look at 1386 00:28:14,570 --> 00:28:14,580 to be about 50 but best way to look at 1387 00:28:14,580 --> 00:28:17,269 to be about 50 but best way to look at this next downturn if I'm right it'll be 1388 00:28:17,269 --> 00:28:17,279 this next downturn if I'm right it'll be 1389 00:28:17,279 --> 00:28:20,090 this next downturn if I'm right it'll be 50 percent worse than 2008 to 9 and that 1390 00:28:20,090 --> 00:28:20,100 50 percent worse than 2008 to 9 and that 1391 00:28:20,100 --> 00:28:22,310 50 percent worse than 2008 to 9 and that is the worst downturn any of us have 1392 00:28:22,310 --> 00:28:22,320 is the worst downturn any of us have 1393 00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:25,730 is the worst downturn any of us have seen in our lifetime the early 80s in 1394 00:28:25,730 --> 00:28:25,740 seen in our lifetime the early 80s in 1395 00:28:25,740 --> 00:28:28,430 seen in our lifetime the early 80s in the 73 to 75 downturn were not as strong 1396 00:28:28,430 --> 00:28:28,440 the 73 to 75 downturn were not as strong 1397 00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:31,070 the 73 to 75 downturn were not as strong as unemployment or stock crashes as that 1398 00:28:31,070 --> 00:28:31,080 as unemployment or stock crashes as that 1399 00:28:31,080 --> 00:28:32,750 as unemployment or stock crashes as that one this is going to be stronger than 1400 00:28:32,750 --> 00:28:32,760 one this is going to be stronger than 1401 00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:36,230 one this is going to be stronger than that if I'm right so so if I'm right you 1402 00:28:36,230 --> 00:28:36,240 that if I'm right so so if I'm right you 1403 00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:37,850 that if I'm right so so if I'm right you better get out of the way and if I'm 1404 00:28:37,850 --> 00:28:37,860 better get out of the way and if I'm 1405 00:28:37,860 --> 00:28:39,529 better get out of the way and if I'm wrong you might miss you know a couple 1406 00:28:39,529 --> 00:28:39,539 wrong you might miss you know a couple 1407 00:28:39,539 --> 00:28:41,090 wrong you might miss you know a couple months of this thing before you realize 1408 00:28:41,090 --> 00:28:41,100 months of this thing before you realize 1409 00:28:41,100 --> 00:28:42,769 months of this thing before you realize I'm wrong but I'm telling you if I'm 1410 00:28:42,769 --> 00:28:42,779 I'm wrong but I'm telling you if I'm 1411 00:28:42,779 --> 00:28:44,450 I'm wrong but I'm telling you if I'm right it's likely to follow through 1412 00:28:44,450 --> 00:28:44,460 right it's likely to follow through 1413 00:28:44,460 --> 00:28:47,510 right it's likely to follow through we're we're well into this third wave 1414 00:28:47,510 --> 00:28:47,520 we're we're well into this third wave 1415 00:28:47,520 --> 00:28:49,490 we're we're well into this third wave down and that's the that's the damaging 1416 00:28:49,490 --> 00:28:49,500 down and that's the that's the damaging 1417 00:28:49,500 --> 00:28:51,649 down and that's the that's the damaging one that's the dangerous one I think 1418 00:28:51,649 --> 00:28:51,659 one that's the dangerous one I think 1419 00:28:51,659 --> 00:28:54,769 one that's the dangerous one I think you're going to see that hit in the next 1420 00:28:54,769 --> 00:28:54,779 you're going to see that hit in the next 1421 00:28:54,779 --> 00:28:57,409 you're going to see that hit in the next couple of months so just give me two 1422 00:28:57,409 --> 00:28:57,419 couple of months so just give me two 1423 00:28:57,419 --> 00:28:59,570 couple of months so just give me two months of you being conservative and see 1424 00:28:59,570 --> 00:28:59,580 months of you being conservative and see 1425 00:28:59,580 --> 00:29:01,130 months of you being conservative and see if I'm right then you can listen to me 1426 00:29:01,130 --> 00:29:01,140 if I'm right then you can listen to me 1427 00:29:01,140 --> 00:29:03,350 if I'm right then you can listen to me and continue to follow me but just be 1428 00:29:03,350 --> 00:29:03,360 and continue to follow me but just be 1429 00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:05,210 and continue to follow me but just be careful the next two months is my advice 1430 00:29:05,210 --> 00:29:05,220 careful the next two months is my advice 1431 00:29:05,220 --> 00:29:07,430 careful the next two months is my advice today we'll follow up with you in two to 1432 00:29:07,430 --> 00:29:07,440 today we'll follow up with you in two to 1433 00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:08,570 today we'll follow up with you in two to three months uh but Harry I wanna tell 1434 00:29:08,570 --> 00:29:08,580 three months uh but Harry I wanna tell 1435 00:29:08,580 --> 00:29:11,090 three months uh but Harry I wanna tell talk about 2024 and what's beyond so 1436 00:29:11,090 --> 00:29:11,100 talk about 2024 and what's beyond so 1437 00:29:11,100 --> 00:29:13,430 talk about 2024 and what's beyond so what what turned you bullish now you're 1438 00:29:13,430 --> 00:29:13,440 what what turned you bullish now you're 1439 00:29:13,440 --> 00:29:15,169 what what turned you bullish now you're saying that the millennial generation 1440 00:29:15,169 --> 00:29:15,179 saying that the millennial generation 1441 00:29:15,179 --> 00:29:16,549 saying that the millennial generation coming in spending money could 1442 00:29:16,549 --> 00:29:16,559 coming in spending money could 1443 00:29:16,559 --> 00:29:18,169 coming in spending money could potentially make you bullish let's talk 1444 00:29:18,169 --> 00:29:18,179 potentially make you bullish let's talk 1445 00:29:18,179 --> 00:29:19,669 potentially make you bullish let's talk about the demographics interesting 1446 00:29:19,669 --> 00:29:19,679 about the demographics interesting 1447 00:29:19,679 --> 00:29:22,250 about the demographics interesting trends that the Millennials have 1448 00:29:22,250 --> 00:29:22,260 trends that the Millennials have 1449 00:29:22,260 --> 00:29:23,990 trends that the Millennials have um slightly more educated than the 1450 00:29:23,990 --> 00:29:24,000 um slightly more educated than the 1451 00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:25,850 um slightly more educated than the boomer generation on a per capita basis 1452 00:29:25,850 --> 00:29:25,860 boomer generation on a per capita basis 1453 00:29:25,860 --> 00:29:27,830 boomer generation on a per capita basis uh they still have less wealth in the 1454 00:29:27,830 --> 00:29:27,840 uh they still have less wealth in the 1455 00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:29,990 uh they still have less wealth in the boomer generation uh although I was 1456 00:29:29,990 --> 00:29:30,000 boomer generation uh although I was 1457 00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:31,549 boomer generation uh although I was reading Millennial wealth has doubled 1458 00:29:31,549 --> 00:29:31,559 reading Millennial wealth has doubled 1459 00:29:31,559 --> 00:29:33,649 reading Millennial wealth has doubled since the pandemic uh household 1460 00:29:33,649 --> 00:29:33,659 since the pandemic uh household 1461 00:29:33,659 --> 00:29:35,389 since the pandemic uh household formation is going down younger people 1462 00:29:35,389 --> 00:29:35,399 formation is going down younger people 1463 00:29:35,399 --> 00:29:38,389 formation is going down younger people are having uh families later in their 1464 00:29:38,389 --> 00:29:38,399 are having uh families later in their 1465 00:29:38,399 --> 00:29:39,590 are having uh families later in their lives than before than previous 1466 00:29:39,590 --> 00:29:39,600 lives than before than previous 1467 00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:42,529 lives than before than previous generations and we're seeing uh less 1468 00:29:42,529 --> 00:29:42,539 generations and we're seeing uh less 1469 00:29:42,539 --> 00:29:45,950 generations and we're seeing uh less adoption or less uh less purchases of 1470 00:29:45,950 --> 00:29:45,960 adoption or less uh less purchases of 1471 00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:49,310 adoption or less uh less purchases of real estate most more Millennials are at 1472 00:29:49,310 --> 00:29:49,320 real estate most more Millennials are at 1473 00:29:49,320 --> 00:29:52,490 real estate most more Millennials are at at their current age are renting as 1474 00:29:52,490 --> 00:29:52,500 at their current age are renting as 1475 00:29:52,500 --> 00:29:54,470 at their current age are renting as opposed to Prior Generations who have 1476 00:29:54,470 --> 00:29:54,480 opposed to Prior Generations who have 1477 00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:56,450 opposed to Prior Generations who have already bought homes so how do all these 1478 00:29:56,450 --> 00:29:56,460 already bought homes so how do all these 1479 00:29:56,460 --> 00:29:58,190 already bought homes so how do all these Trends play out and how do you think 1480 00:29:58,190 --> 00:29:58,200 Trends play out and how do you think 1481 00:29:58,200 --> 00:30:00,830 Trends play out and how do you think Millennial spending will differ or be 1482 00:30:00,830 --> 00:30:00,840 Millennial spending will differ or be 1483 00:30:00,840 --> 00:30:02,870 Millennial spending will differ or be similar to let's say Boomer spending 1484 00:30:02,870 --> 00:30:02,880 similar to let's say Boomer spending 1485 00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:04,970 similar to let's say Boomer spending okay this is why the economy knows 1486 00:30:04,970 --> 00:30:04,980 okay this is why the economy knows 1487 00:30:04,980 --> 00:30:07,190 okay this is why the economy knows better than dumbass economists okay I 1488 00:30:07,190 --> 00:30:07,200 better than dumbass economists okay I 1489 00:30:07,200 --> 00:30:09,769 better than dumbass economists okay I hate to say that but dumb economists 1490 00:30:09,769 --> 00:30:09,779 hate to say that but dumb economists 1491 00:30:09,779 --> 00:30:12,470 hate to say that but dumb economists okay the economy why why can't this 1492 00:30:12,470 --> 00:30:12,480 okay the economy why why can't this 1493 00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:14,029 okay the economy why why can't this generation afford real estate because we 1494 00:30:14,029 --> 00:30:14,039 generation afford real estate because we 1495 00:30:14,039 --> 00:30:15,889 generation afford real estate because we have the greatest real estate bubble in 1496 00:30:15,889 --> 00:30:15,899 have the greatest real estate bubble in 1497 00:30:15,899 --> 00:30:18,230 have the greatest real estate bubble in history a second one which you never see 1498 00:30:18,230 --> 00:30:18,240 history a second one which you never see 1499 00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:21,110 history a second one which you never see as I say two bubbles in a row we had a 1500 00:30:21,110 --> 00:30:21,120 as I say two bubbles in a row we had a 1501 00:30:21,120 --> 00:30:22,850 as I say two bubbles in a row we had a first real estate bubble in 2000 and 1502 00:30:22,850 --> 00:30:22,860 first real estate bubble in 2000 and 1503 00:30:22,860 --> 00:30:25,789 first real estate bubble in 2000 and then a second one now real estate is the 1504 00:30:25,789 --> 00:30:25,799 then a second one now real estate is the 1505 00:30:25,799 --> 00:30:28,549 then a second one now real estate is the most unaffordable it's ever been and we 1506 00:30:28,549 --> 00:30:28,559 most unaffordable it's ever been and we 1507 00:30:28,559 --> 00:30:29,510 most unaffordable it's ever been and we didn't have a real estate 1508 00:30:29,510 --> 00:30:29,520 didn't have a real estate 1509 00:30:29,520 --> 00:30:31,370 didn't have a real estate unaffordability problem even in the 1510 00:30:31,370 --> 00:30:31,380 unaffordability problem even in the 1511 00:30:31,380 --> 00:30:33,830 unaffordability problem even in the Roaring 20s bubble okay it was a stock 1512 00:30:33,830 --> 00:30:33,840 Roaring 20s bubble okay it was a stock 1513 00:30:33,840 --> 00:30:35,810 Roaring 20s bubble okay it was a stock bubble because because real estate was 1514 00:30:35,810 --> 00:30:35,820 bubble because because real estate was 1515 00:30:35,820 --> 00:30:37,549 bubble because because real estate was too hard to finance back then back then 1516 00:30:37,549 --> 00:30:37,559 too hard to finance back then back then 1517 00:30:37,559 --> 00:30:40,070 too hard to finance back then back then you know what a loan a mortgage was 50 1518 00:30:40,070 --> 00:30:40,080 you know what a loan a mortgage was 50 1519 00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:44,090 you know what a loan a mortgage was 50 down and five-year termination okay five 1520 00:30:44,090 --> 00:30:44,100 down and five-year termination okay five 1521 00:30:44,100 --> 00:30:47,210 down and five-year termination okay five here uh maturity okay so it was people 1522 00:30:47,210 --> 00:30:47,220 here uh maturity okay so it was people 1523 00:30:47,220 --> 00:30:48,769 here uh maturity okay so it was people couldn't speculate and couldn't get 1524 00:30:48,769 --> 00:30:48,779 couldn't speculate and couldn't get 1525 00:30:48,779 --> 00:30:50,810 couldn't speculate and couldn't get loans so easy back then so we've had 1526 00:30:50,810 --> 00:30:50,820 loans so easy back then so we've had 1527 00:30:50,820 --> 00:30:53,389 loans so easy back then so we've had very easy mortgages a second real estate 1528 00:30:53,389 --> 00:30:53,399 very easy mortgages a second real estate 1529 00:30:53,399 --> 00:30:56,510 very easy mortgages a second real estate bubble and now of course that's why this 1530 00:30:56,510 --> 00:30:56,520 bubble and now of course that's why this 1531 00:30:56,520 --> 00:30:59,330 bubble and now of course that's why this poor generation can't afford to buy a 1532 00:30:59,330 --> 00:30:59,340 poor generation can't afford to buy a 1533 00:30:59,340 --> 00:31:01,430 poor generation can't afford to buy a new house or or the same house a baby 1534 00:31:01,430 --> 00:31:01,440 new house or or the same house a baby 1535 00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:03,649 new house or or the same house a baby boomer could have when they were in 1536 00:31:03,649 --> 00:31:03,659 boomer could have when they were in 1537 00:31:03,659 --> 00:31:06,529 boomer could have when they were in their late 20s typically your first home 1538 00:31:06,529 --> 00:31:06,539 their late 20s typically your first home 1539 00:31:06,539 --> 00:31:10,610 their late 20s typically your first home purchase is is peak exit 31 and then 1540 00:31:10,610 --> 00:31:10,620 purchase is is peak exit 31 and then 1541 00:31:10,620 --> 00:31:12,350 purchase is is peak exit 31 and then your second home your trade-up home your 1542 00:31:12,350 --> 00:31:12,360 your second home your trade-up home your 1543 00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:14,870 your second home your trade-up home your largest home Peaks at 42. well for this 1544 00:31:14,870 --> 00:31:14,880 largest home Peaks at 42. well for this 1545 00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:16,789 largest home Peaks at 42. well for this generation they're not getting their 1546 00:31:16,789 --> 00:31:16,799 generation they're not getting their 1547 00:31:16,799 --> 00:31:20,269 generation they're not getting their first home until 34 to 35 and and and 1548 00:31:20,269 --> 00:31:20,279 first home until 34 to 35 and and and 1549 00:31:20,279 --> 00:31:22,370 first home until 34 to 35 and and and who knows when they're gonna get their 1550 00:31:22,370 --> 00:31:22,380 who knows when they're gonna get their 1551 00:31:22,380 --> 00:31:25,190 who knows when they're gonna get their trade up home uh and and that's why the 1552 00:31:25,190 --> 00:31:25,200 trade up home uh and and that's why the 1553 00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:27,350 trade up home uh and and that's why the economy the economy will solve this 1554 00:31:27,350 --> 00:31:27,360 economy the economy will solve this 1555 00:31:27,360 --> 00:31:30,230 economy the economy will solve this overnight David all we need is a big 1556 00:31:30,230 --> 00:31:30,240 overnight David all we need is a big 1557 00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:32,570 overnight David all we need is a big recession which will look at more like a 1558 00:31:32,570 --> 00:31:32,580 recession which will look at more like a 1559 00:31:32,580 --> 00:31:34,850 recession which will look at more like a depression and real estate will come 1560 00:31:34,850 --> 00:31:34,860 depression and real estate will come 1561 00:31:34,860 --> 00:31:36,769 depression and real estate will come down and this is my forecast as well 1562 00:31:36,769 --> 00:31:36,779 down and this is my forecast as well 1563 00:31:36,779 --> 00:31:39,649 down and this is my forecast as well stocks 86 percent real estate will come 1564 00:31:39,649 --> 00:31:39,659 stocks 86 percent real estate will come 1565 00:31:39,659 --> 00:31:43,310 stocks 86 percent real estate will come down for the average house 50 and people 1566 00:31:43,310 --> 00:31:43,320 down for the average house 50 and people 1567 00:31:43,320 --> 00:31:45,909 down for the average house 50 and people say oh that can't happen we just saw 34 1568 00:31:45,909 --> 00:31:45,919 say oh that can't happen we just saw 34 1569 00:31:45,919 --> 00:31:48,710 say oh that can't happen we just saw 34 in the last downturn which the central 1570 00:31:48,710 --> 00:31:48,720 in the last downturn which the central 1571 00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:50,930 in the last downturn which the central banks purposely cut off before it did 1572 00:31:50,930 --> 00:31:50,940 banks purposely cut off before it did 1573 00:31:50,940 --> 00:31:53,330 banks purposely cut off before it did its work okay that would have so so 50 1574 00:31:53,330 --> 00:31:53,340 its work okay that would have so so 50 1575 00:31:53,340 --> 00:31:55,850 its work okay that would have so so 50 is not a stretch and this is what's 1576 00:31:55,850 --> 00:31:55,860 is not a stretch and this is what's 1577 00:31:55,860 --> 00:31:57,409 is not a stretch and this is what's going to hurt most people stock market 1578 00:31:57,409 --> 00:31:57,419 going to hurt most people stock market 1579 00:31:57,419 --> 00:32:00,409 going to hurt most people stock market goes down comes back faster real estate 1580 00:32:00,409 --> 00:32:00,419 goes down comes back faster real estate 1581 00:32:00,419 --> 00:32:03,049 goes down comes back faster real estate didn't bottom in the last downturn David 1582 00:32:03,049 --> 00:32:03,059 didn't bottom in the last downturn David 1583 00:32:03,059 --> 00:32:08,450 didn't bottom in the last downturn David the 2008 crisis until mid 2012 six years 1584 00:32:08,450 --> 00:32:08,460 the 2008 crisis until mid 2012 six years 1585 00:32:08,460 --> 00:32:10,789 the 2008 crisis until mid 2012 six years later stocks bottomed a couple years 1586 00:32:10,789 --> 00:32:10,799 later stocks bottomed a couple years 1587 00:32:10,799 --> 00:32:13,789 later stocks bottomed a couple years later okay so so real estate is what's 1588 00:32:13,789 --> 00:32:13,799 later okay so so real estate is what's 1589 00:32:13,799 --> 00:32:16,190 later okay so so real estate is what's going to hit people the hardest and we 1590 00:32:16,190 --> 00:32:16,200 going to hit people the hardest and we 1591 00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:19,250 going to hit people the hardest and we will not we probably will not and I've 1592 00:32:19,250 --> 00:32:19,260 will not we probably will not and I've 1593 00:32:19,260 --> 00:32:20,750 will not we probably will not and I've been predicting this for a long time not 1594 00:32:20,750 --> 00:32:20,760 been predicting this for a long time not 1595 00:32:20,760 --> 00:32:23,510 been predicting this for a long time not just read we will not see the peak real 1596 00:32:23,510 --> 00:32:23,520 just read we will not see the peak real 1597 00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:25,610 just read we will not see the peak real estate prices we've seen here for the 1598 00:32:25,610 --> 00:32:25,620 estate prices we've seen here for the 1599 00:32:25,620 --> 00:32:28,730 estate prices we've seen here for the rest of our lifetimes if ever not even 1600 00:32:28,730 --> 00:32:28,740 rest of our lifetimes if ever not even 1601 00:32:28,740 --> 00:32:30,710 rest of our lifetimes if ever not even in the millennial boom because the 1602 00:32:30,710 --> 00:32:30,720 in the millennial boom because the 1603 00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:32,870 in the millennial boom because the millennial boom will not be in a bubble 1604 00:32:32,870 --> 00:32:32,880 millennial boom will not be in a bubble 1605 00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:35,570 millennial boom will not be in a bubble era like the Roaring 20s or like the 90s 1606 00:32:35,570 --> 00:32:35,580 era like the Roaring 20s or like the 90s 1607 00:32:35,580 --> 00:32:38,990 era like the Roaring 20s or like the 90s and 2000s here so so so will it they'll 1608 00:32:38,990 --> 00:32:39,000 and 2000s here so so so will it they'll 1609 00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:40,789 and 2000s here so so so will it they'll drive real estate back up but it will 1610 00:32:40,789 --> 00:32:40,799 drive real estate back up but it will 1611 00:32:40,799 --> 00:32:42,710 drive real estate back up but it will not get to Bubble levels because it will 1612 00:32:42,710 --> 00:32:42,720 not get to Bubble levels because it will 1613 00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:44,870 not get to Bubble levels because it will not be a bubble boom what people have to 1614 00:32:44,870 --> 00:32:44,880 not be a bubble boom what people have to 1615 00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:47,269 not be a bubble boom what people have to realize and I've I've just my recent 1616 00:32:47,269 --> 00:32:47,279 realize and I've I've just my recent 1617 00:32:47,279 --> 00:32:48,889 realize and I've I've just my recent books have been bubble bubble this you 1618 00:32:48,889 --> 00:32:48,899 books have been bubble bubble this you 1619 00:32:48,899 --> 00:32:51,710 books have been bubble bubble this you know roaring you know 2 000 stuff we 1620 00:32:51,710 --> 00:32:51,720 know roaring you know 2 000 stuff we 1621 00:32:51,720 --> 00:32:53,870 know roaring you know 2 000 stuff we won't see this again we will not see a 1622 00:32:53,870 --> 00:32:53,880 won't see this again we will not see a 1623 00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:56,570 won't see this again we will not see a bubble economy for for our kids will 1624 00:32:56,570 --> 00:32:56,580 bubble economy for for our kids will 1625 00:32:56,580 --> 00:32:58,850 bubble economy for for our kids will probably not even see a bubble economy 1626 00:32:58,850 --> 00:32:58,860 probably not even see a bubble economy 1627 00:32:58,860 --> 00:33:00,950 probably not even see a bubble economy decades and decades from now they are 1628 00:33:00,950 --> 00:33:00,960 decades and decades from now they are 1629 00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:03,289 decades and decades from now they are rare the last bubble economy was the 1630 00:33:03,289 --> 00:33:03,299 rare the last bubble economy was the 1631 00:33:03,299 --> 00:33:05,830 rare the last bubble economy was the early 1900s into 1632 00:33:05,830 --> 00:33:05,840 early 1900s into 1633 00:33:05,840 --> 00:33:09,649 early 1900s into 1929. it happens once in a lifetime at 1634 00:33:09,649 --> 00:33:09,659 1929. it happens once in a lifetime at 1635 00:33:09,659 --> 00:33:12,350 1929. it happens once in a lifetime at most every 80s and this is it bubble 1636 00:33:12,350 --> 00:33:12,360 most every 80s and this is it bubble 1637 00:33:12,360 --> 00:33:16,430 most every 80s and this is it bubble cycle is a 90 year cycle and this is the 1638 00:33:16,430 --> 00:33:16,440 cycle is a 90 year cycle and this is the 1639 00:33:16,440 --> 00:33:18,230 cycle is a 90 year cycle and this is the this is the bubble of our bubble before 1640 00:33:18,230 --> 00:33:18,240 this is the bubble of our bubble before 1641 00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:22,490 this is the bubble of our bubble before that was 1837 Peak uh 90 years before 1642 00:33:22,490 --> 00:33:22,500 that was 1837 Peak uh 90 years before 1643 00:33:22,500 --> 00:33:24,889 that was 1837 Peak uh 90 years before 29. and this is the bubble of Our 1644 00:33:24,889 --> 00:33:24,899 29. and this is the bubble of Our 1645 00:33:24,899 --> 00:33:26,509 29. and this is the bubble of Our Lifetime right now this is the bubble of 1646 00:33:26,509 --> 00:33:26,519 Lifetime right now this is the bubble of 1647 00:33:26,519 --> 00:33:28,250 Lifetime right now this is the bubble of our lifetime and bigger and big either 1648 00:33:28,250 --> 00:33:28,260 our lifetime and bigger and big either 1649 00:33:28,260 --> 00:33:32,210 our lifetime and bigger and big either the 18 1937 Peak for the 29 people are 1650 00:33:32,210 --> 00:33:32,220 the 18 1937 Peak for the 29 people are 1651 00:33:32,220 --> 00:33:33,830 the 18 1937 Peak for the 29 people are you not concerned and it's even called 1652 00:33:33,830 --> 00:33:33,840 you not concerned and it's even called 1653 00:33:33,840 --> 00:33:36,590 you not concerned and it's even called now by dumbass Economist the bubble of 1654 00:33:36,590 --> 00:33:36,600 now by dumbass Economist the bubble of 1655 00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:38,630 now by dumbass Economist the bubble of everything the everything bubble we 1656 00:33:38,630 --> 00:33:38,640 everything the everything bubble we 1657 00:33:38,640 --> 00:33:40,430 everything the everything bubble we didn't now you know every every bubble 1658 00:33:40,430 --> 00:33:40,440 didn't now you know every every bubble 1659 00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:42,710 didn't now you know every every bubble in the previous bubbles 1660 00:33:42,710 --> 00:33:42,720 in the previous bubbles 1661 00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:45,110 in the previous bubbles uh well Harry are you not concerned 1662 00:33:45,110 --> 00:33:45,120 uh well Harry are you not concerned 1663 00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:47,750 uh well Harry are you not concerned about generational wealth being wiped 1664 00:33:47,750 --> 00:33:47,760 about generational wealth being wiped 1665 00:33:47,760 --> 00:33:49,669 about generational wealth being wiped out by this Bubble Burst I mean if 1666 00:33:49,669 --> 00:33:49,679 out by this Bubble Burst I mean if 1667 00:33:49,679 --> 00:33:51,769 out by this Bubble Burst I mean if housing goes down 50 well how are 1668 00:33:51,769 --> 00:33:51,779 housing goes down 50 well how are 1669 00:33:51,779 --> 00:33:53,330 housing goes down 50 well how are millennials going to have money to spend 1670 00:33:53,330 --> 00:33:53,340 millennials going to have money to spend 1671 00:33:53,340 --> 00:33:54,889 millennials going to have money to spend in this next coming boom then if 1672 00:33:54,889 --> 00:33:54,899 in this next coming boom then if 1673 00:33:54,899 --> 00:33:56,750 in this next coming boom then if everything is going to be down I'm not 1674 00:33:56,750 --> 00:33:56,760 everything is going to be down I'm not 1675 00:33:56,760 --> 00:33:57,889 everything is going to be down I'm not worried about the Millennials because 1676 00:33:57,889 --> 00:33:57,899 worried about the Millennials because 1677 00:33:57,899 --> 00:33:59,330 worried about the Millennials because they're not even in their big save the 1678 00:33:59,330 --> 00:33:59,340 they're not even in their big save the 1679 00:33:59,340 --> 00:34:01,909 they're not even in their big save the saving cycle is is from the kind of 1680 00:34:01,909 --> 00:34:01,919 saving cycle is is from the kind of 1681 00:34:01,919 --> 00:34:05,750 saving cycle is is from the kind of early 50s into retirement age 63 okay so 1682 00:34:05,750 --> 00:34:05,760 early 50s into retirement age 63 okay so 1683 00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:07,549 early 50s into retirement age 63 okay so that's when people say they're not even 1684 00:34:07,549 --> 00:34:07,559 that's when people say they're not even 1685 00:34:07,559 --> 00:34:09,349 that's when people say they're not even there yet yeah they're saving a little 1686 00:34:09,349 --> 00:34:09,359 there yet yeah they're saving a little 1687 00:34:09,359 --> 00:34:11,570 there yet yeah they're saving a little bit but there this is going to clear 1688 00:34:11,570 --> 00:34:11,580 bit but there this is going to clear 1689 00:34:11,580 --> 00:34:14,389 bit but there this is going to clear them so they can actually the the the 1690 00:34:14,389 --> 00:34:14,399 them so they can actually the the the 1691 00:34:14,399 --> 00:34:16,669 them so they can actually the the the the Millennials will actually be able to 1692 00:34:16,669 --> 00:34:16,679 the Millennials will actually be able to 1693 00:34:16,679 --> 00:34:19,129 the Millennials will actually be able to invest in financial assets from Real 1694 00:34:19,129 --> 00:34:19,139 invest in financial assets from Real 1695 00:34:19,139 --> 00:34:21,909 invest in financial assets from Real Estate to stocks to bonds at Fair 1696 00:34:21,909 --> 00:34:21,919 Estate to stocks to bonds at Fair 1697 00:34:21,919 --> 00:34:24,530 Estate to stocks to bonds at Fair valuations again so they can actually 1698 00:34:24,530 --> 00:34:24,540 valuations again so they can actually 1699 00:34:24,540 --> 00:34:27,349 valuations again so they can actually appreciate in the next boom they're boom 1700 00:34:27,349 --> 00:34:27,359 appreciate in the next boom they're boom 1701 00:34:27,359 --> 00:34:30,290 appreciate in the next boom they're boom okay the Baby Boomers are seeing a 1702 00:34:30,290 --> 00:34:30,300 okay the Baby Boomers are seeing a 1703 00:34:30,300 --> 00:34:33,349 okay the Baby Boomers are seeing a totally artificial bubble here that was 1704 00:34:33,349 --> 00:34:33,359 totally artificial bubble here that was 1705 00:34:33,359 --> 00:34:36,530 totally artificial bubble here that was way past their natural peak in 2007. we 1706 00:34:36,530 --> 00:34:36,540 way past their natural peak in 2007. we 1707 00:34:36,540 --> 00:34:38,030 way past their natural peak in 2007. we should have been in a downturn since 1708 00:34:38,030 --> 00:34:38,040 should have been in a downturn since 1709 00:34:38,040 --> 00:34:40,190 should have been in a downturn since then and so this is an artifice but if 1710 00:34:40,190 --> 00:34:40,200 then and so this is an artifice but if 1711 00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:42,409 then and so this is an artifice but if this is going to kill the Baby Boomers 1712 00:34:42,409 --> 00:34:42,419 this is going to kill the Baby Boomers 1713 00:34:42,419 --> 00:34:44,750 this is going to kill the Baby Boomers because they're the ones in retirement 1714 00:34:44,750 --> 00:34:44,760 because they're the ones in retirement 1715 00:34:44,760 --> 00:34:46,849 because they're the ones in retirement now or about to enter retirement the 1716 00:34:46,849 --> 00:34:46,859 now or about to enter retirement the 1717 00:34:46,859 --> 00:34:49,010 now or about to enter retirement the last third of them and they are not 1718 00:34:49,010 --> 00:34:49,020 last third of them and they are not 1719 00:34:49,020 --> 00:34:51,530 last third of them and they are not going to have that as much savings as 1720 00:34:51,530 --> 00:34:51,540 going to have that as much savings as 1721 00:34:51,540 --> 00:34:52,669 going to have that as much savings as they thought and they're going to feel 1722 00:34:52,669 --> 00:34:52,679 they thought and they're going to feel 1723 00:34:52,679 --> 00:34:54,589 they thought and they're going to feel like oh my gosh I got to keep working I 1724 00:34:54,589 --> 00:34:54,599 like oh my gosh I got to keep working I 1725 00:34:54,599 --> 00:34:56,510 like oh my gosh I got to keep working I can't even afford to retire this is 1726 00:34:56,510 --> 00:34:56,520 can't even afford to retire this is 1727 00:34:56,520 --> 00:34:59,570 can't even afford to retire this is going to be the biggest crisis in the 1728 00:34:59,570 --> 00:34:59,580 going to be the biggest crisis in the 1729 00:34:59,580 --> 00:35:01,790 going to be the biggest crisis in the baby boomers life the biggest crisis of 1730 00:35:01,790 --> 00:35:01,800 baby boomers life the biggest crisis of 1731 00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:03,770 baby boomers life the biggest crisis of the Bob Hope generation was the Great 1732 00:35:03,770 --> 00:35:03,780 the Bob Hope generation was the Great 1733 00:35:03,780 --> 00:35:05,810 the Bob Hope generation was the Great Depression this is going to be the big 1734 00:35:05,810 --> 00:35:05,820 Depression this is going to be the big 1735 00:35:05,820 --> 00:35:08,630 Depression this is going to be the big crisis the the final kind of depression 1736 00:35:08,630 --> 00:35:08,640 crisis the the final kind of depression 1737 00:35:08,640 --> 00:35:10,550 crisis the the final kind of depression into this is going to hit the Baby 1738 00:35:10,550 --> 00:35:10,560 into this is going to hit the Baby 1739 00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:12,349 into this is going to hit the Baby Boomers the hardest because they're 1740 00:35:12,349 --> 00:35:12,359 Boomers the hardest because they're 1741 00:35:12,359 --> 00:35:14,690 Boomers the hardest because they're going to need that net worth that's 1742 00:35:14,690 --> 00:35:14,700 going to need that net worth that's 1743 00:35:14,700 --> 00:35:16,849 going to need that net worth that's going to disappear at the speed of light 1744 00:35:16,849 --> 00:35:16,859 going to disappear at the speed of light 1745 00:35:16,859 --> 00:35:19,849 going to disappear at the speed of light and I mean disappear not come back final 1746 00:35:19,849 --> 00:35:19,859 and I mean disappear not come back final 1747 00:35:19,859 --> 00:35:22,250 and I mean disappear not come back final two-part question for you Harry is uh 1748 00:35:22,250 --> 00:35:22,260 two-part question for you Harry is uh 1749 00:35:22,260 --> 00:35:24,650 two-part question for you Harry is uh when are we going to see you become 1750 00:35:24,650 --> 00:35:24,660 when are we going to see you become 1751 00:35:24,660 --> 00:35:27,170 when are we going to see you become bullish again what factors would drive 1752 00:35:27,170 --> 00:35:27,180 bullish again what factors would drive 1753 00:35:27,180 --> 00:35:29,630 bullish again what factors would drive this new found bullishness in you and 1754 00:35:29,630 --> 00:35:29,640 this new found bullishness in you and 1755 00:35:29,640 --> 00:35:31,970 this new found bullishness in you and given your outlook on the economy and 1756 00:35:31,970 --> 00:35:31,980 given your outlook on the economy and 1757 00:35:31,980 --> 00:35:34,670 given your outlook on the economy and stock markets and cryptos now what are 1758 00:35:34,670 --> 00:35:34,680 stock markets and cryptos now what are 1759 00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:37,910 stock markets and cryptos now what are your investment plays for us okay first 1760 00:35:37,910 --> 00:35:37,920 your investment plays for us okay first 1761 00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:40,490 your investment plays for us okay first of all the natural time the natural 1762 00:35:40,490 --> 00:35:40,500 of all the natural time the natural 1763 00:35:40,500 --> 00:35:43,550 of all the natural time the natural cycles will turn up around late 2000 24. 1764 00:35:43,550 --> 00:35:43,560 cycles will turn up around late 2000 24. 1765 00:35:43,560 --> 00:35:46,370 cycles will turn up around late 2000 24. so 2025 live on would be bullish without 1766 00:35:46,370 --> 00:35:46,380 so 2025 live on would be bullish without 1767 00:35:46,380 --> 00:35:48,349 so 2025 live on would be bullish without stimulus is what I'm saying okay that's 1768 00:35:48,349 --> 00:35:48,359 stimulus is what I'm saying okay that's 1769 00:35:48,359 --> 00:35:49,970 stimulus is what I'm saying okay that's when we will see the Millennials 1770 00:35:49,970 --> 00:35:49,980 when we will see the Millennials 1771 00:35:49,980 --> 00:35:52,310 when we will see the Millennials actually for good solid reasons driving 1772 00:35:52,310 --> 00:35:52,320 actually for good solid reasons driving 1773 00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:55,970 actually for good solid reasons driving up the economy again okay so now that 1774 00:35:55,970 --> 00:35:55,980 up the economy again okay so now that 1775 00:35:55,980 --> 00:35:57,770 up the economy again okay so now that could start a little later by pushing 1776 00:35:57,770 --> 00:35:57,780 could start a little later by pushing 1777 00:35:57,780 --> 00:36:00,589 could start a little later by pushing this out this this this crisis this 1778 00:36:00,589 --> 00:36:00,599 this out this this this crisis this 1779 00:36:00,599 --> 00:36:03,589 this out this this this crisis this crash now uh that only started at the 1780 00:36:03,589 --> 00:36:03,599 crash now uh that only started at the 1781 00:36:03,599 --> 00:36:06,109 crash now uh that only started at the beginning of 2022 with the peak in the S 1782 00:36:06,109 --> 00:36:06,119 beginning of 2022 with the peak in the S 1783 00:36:06,119 --> 00:36:10,550 beginning of 2022 with the peak in the S P 500 is likely to last well into mid to 1784 00:36:10,550 --> 00:36:10,560 P 500 is likely to last well into mid to 1785 00:36:10,560 --> 00:36:13,430 P 500 is likely to last well into mid to late 2024 when it normally in the Cycles 1786 00:36:13,430 --> 00:36:13,440 late 2024 when it normally in the Cycles 1787 00:36:13,440 --> 00:36:15,609 late 2024 when it normally in the Cycles would have been over by late 2020 early 1788 00:36:15,609 --> 00:36:15,619 would have been over by late 2020 early 1789 00:36:15,619 --> 00:36:19,310 would have been over by late 2020 early 2023 so if we have this crash if this 1790 00:36:19,310 --> 00:36:19,320 2023 so if we have this crash if this 1791 00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:21,230 2023 so if we have this crash if this crash is allowed to continue and they 1792 00:36:21,230 --> 00:36:21,240 crash is allowed to continue and they 1793 00:36:21,240 --> 00:36:22,730 crash is allowed to continue and they don't blow their way out of this one and 1794 00:36:22,730 --> 00:36:22,740 don't blow their way out of this one and 1795 00:36:22,740 --> 00:36:23,810 don't blow their way out of this one and you gotta remember they've been 1796 00:36:23,810 --> 00:36:23,820 you gotta remember they've been 1797 00:36:23,820 --> 00:36:27,230 you gotta remember they've been tightening now for a year okay and and 1798 00:36:27,230 --> 00:36:27,240 tightening now for a year okay and and 1799 00:36:27,240 --> 00:36:29,329 tightening now for a year okay and and and they're about to 1800 00:36:29,329 --> 00:36:29,339 and they're about to 1801 00:36:29,339 --> 00:36:32,329 and they're about to stop that but not turn around and lose 1802 00:36:32,329 --> 00:36:32,339 stop that but not turn around and lose 1803 00:36:32,339 --> 00:36:35,210 stop that but not turn around and lose it again so so this still in in a in a 1804 00:36:35,210 --> 00:36:35,220 it again so so this still in in a in a 1805 00:36:35,220 --> 00:36:38,270 it again so so this still in in a in a tightening mode overall okay so if the 1806 00:36:38,270 --> 00:36:38,280 tightening mode overall okay so if the 1807 00:36:38,280 --> 00:36:40,069 tightening mode overall okay so if the economy keeps going down then we could 1808 00:36:40,069 --> 00:36:40,079 economy keeps going down then we could 1809 00:36:40,079 --> 00:36:42,770 economy keeps going down then we could be over this as early as the summer of 1810 00:36:42,770 --> 00:36:42,780 be over this as early as the summer of 1811 00:36:42,780 --> 00:36:45,589 be over this as early as the summer of 2024 for the stock market and I would 1812 00:36:45,589 --> 00:36:45,599 2024 for the stock market and I would 1813 00:36:45,599 --> 00:36:49,010 2024 for the stock market and I would say at the latest late 2024 depends on 1814 00:36:49,010 --> 00:36:49,020 say at the latest late 2024 depends on 1815 00:36:49,020 --> 00:36:51,349 say at the latest late 2024 depends on how it proceeds from here but if this 1816 00:36:51,349 --> 00:36:51,359 how it proceeds from here but if this 1817 00:36:51,359 --> 00:36:53,510 how it proceeds from here but if this crash if this third wave of the third 1818 00:36:53,510 --> 00:36:53,520 crash if this third wave of the third 1819 00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:56,089 crash if this third wave of the third wave I'm talking about continues down 1820 00:36:56,089 --> 00:36:56,099 wave I'm talking about continues down 1821 00:36:56,099 --> 00:36:58,310 wave I'm talking about continues down and if it does it should you should see 1822 00:36:58,310 --> 00:36:58,320 and if it does it should you should see 1823 00:36:58,320 --> 00:37:00,710 and if it does it should you should see that by about mid-june give or take okay 1824 00:37:00,710 --> 00:37:00,720 that by about mid-june give or take okay 1825 00:37:00,720 --> 00:37:03,170 that by about mid-june give or take okay so not it's not going to take long to 1826 00:37:03,170 --> 00:37:03,180 so not it's not going to take long to 1827 00:37:03,180 --> 00:37:05,030 so not it's not going to take long to see us down oh my gosh now we're not 1828 00:37:05,030 --> 00:37:05,040 see us down oh my gosh now we're not 1829 00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:06,890 see us down oh my gosh now we're not talking 30 some percent we're talking 50 1830 00:37:06,890 --> 00:37:06,900 talking 30 some percent we're talking 50 1831 00:37:06,900 --> 00:37:09,530 talking 30 some percent we're talking 50 some percent for the NASDAQ okay and and 1832 00:37:09,530 --> 00:37:09,540 some percent for the NASDAQ okay and and 1833 00:37:09,540 --> 00:37:12,230 some percent for the NASDAQ okay and and close to that for the for the s p that's 1834 00:37:12,230 --> 00:37:12,240 close to that for the for the s p that's 1835 00:37:12,240 --> 00:37:15,410 close to that for the for the s p that's when people understand this is not a 1836 00:37:15,410 --> 00:37:15,420 when people understand this is not a 1837 00:37:15,420 --> 00:37:17,690 when people understand this is not a correction there's this is not something 1838 00:37:17,690 --> 00:37:17,700 correction there's this is not something 1839 00:37:17,700 --> 00:37:20,329 correction there's this is not something can be fixed by money printing we are in 1840 00:37:20,329 --> 00:37:20,339 can be fixed by money printing we are in 1841 00:37:20,339 --> 00:37:22,730 can be fixed by money printing we are in a deep downturn and then they get scared 1842 00:37:22,730 --> 00:37:22,740 a deep downturn and then they get scared 1843 00:37:22,740 --> 00:37:24,470 a deep downturn and then they get scared and then it's hard to get them spending 1844 00:37:24,470 --> 00:37:24,480 and then it's hard to get them spending 1845 00:37:24,480 --> 00:37:26,210 and then it's hard to get them spending money again because they're scared and 1846 00:37:26,210 --> 00:37:26,220 money again because they're scared and 1847 00:37:26,220 --> 00:37:28,069 money again because they're scared and they should be scared fair enough well 1848 00:37:28,069 --> 00:37:28,079 they should be scared fair enough well 1849 00:37:28,079 --> 00:37:30,050 they should be scared fair enough well uh thank you for your thought that's I 1850 00:37:30,050 --> 00:37:30,060 uh thank you for your thought that's I 1851 00:37:30,060 --> 00:37:32,210 uh thank you for your thought that's I mean excellent analysis as always Harry 1852 00:37:32,210 --> 00:37:32,220 mean excellent analysis as always Harry 1853 00:37:32,220 --> 00:37:34,430 mean excellent analysis as always Harry I appreciate your candor and where can 1854 00:37:34,430 --> 00:37:34,440 I appreciate your candor and where can 1855 00:37:34,440 --> 00:37:35,930 I appreciate your candor and where can people find out more about your work 1856 00:37:35,930 --> 00:37:35,940 people find out more about your work 1857 00:37:35,940 --> 00:37:38,690 people find out more about your work okay harrydent.com just just go to that 1858 00:37:38,690 --> 00:37:38,700 okay harrydent.com just just go to that 1859 00:37:38,700 --> 00:37:40,609 okay harrydent.com just just go to that simple website you get on our free 1860 00:37:40,609 --> 00:37:40,619 simple website you get on our free 1861 00:37:40,619 --> 00:37:42,770 simple website you get on our free newsletter now right now I would tell 1862 00:37:42,770 --> 00:37:42,780 newsletter now right now I would tell 1863 00:37:42,780 --> 00:37:44,270 newsletter now right now I would tell people it might be a good time to get on 1864 00:37:44,270 --> 00:37:44,280 people it might be a good time to get on 1865 00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:46,010 people it might be a good time to get on our pay news later but you can get on 1866 00:37:46,010 --> 00:37:46,020 our pay news later but you can get on 1867 00:37:46,020 --> 00:37:47,630 our pay news later but you can get on our free newsletter immediately you'll 1868 00:37:47,630 --> 00:37:47,640 our free newsletter immediately you'll 1869 00:37:47,640 --> 00:37:49,970 our free newsletter immediately you'll get an article from me and my partner 1870 00:37:49,970 --> 00:37:49,980 get an article from me and my partner 1871 00:37:49,980 --> 00:37:53,390 get an article from me and my partner one page article and chart every week uh 1872 00:37:53,390 --> 00:37:53,400 one page article and chart every week uh 1873 00:37:53,400 --> 00:37:55,670 one page article and chart every week uh and then and we do that until people get 1874 00:37:55,670 --> 00:37:55,680 and then and we do that until people get 1875 00:37:55,680 --> 00:37:57,290 and then and we do that until people get enough confidence in us to get on our 1876 00:37:57,290 --> 00:37:57,300 enough confidence in us to get on our 1877 00:37:57,300 --> 00:37:59,930 enough confidence in us to get on our paid newsletter and let them but they 1878 00:37:59,930 --> 00:37:59,940 paid newsletter and let them but they 1879 00:37:59,940 --> 00:38:01,310 paid newsletter and let them but they can sit on that free newsletter as long 1880 00:38:01,310 --> 00:38:01,320 can sit on that free newsletter as long 1881 00:38:01,320 --> 00:38:02,750 can sit on that free newsletter as long as you want so you can't go wrong with 1882 00:38:02,750 --> 00:38:02,760 as you want so you can't go wrong with 1883 00:38:02,760 --> 00:38:04,849 as you want so you can't go wrong with that especially at a time like this you 1884 00:38:04,849 --> 00:38:04,859 that especially at a time like this you 1885 00:38:04,859 --> 00:38:07,069 that especially at a time like this you got to listen to contrarians at a time 1886 00:38:07,069 --> 00:38:07,079 got to listen to contrarians at a time 1887 00:38:07,079 --> 00:38:09,470 got to listen to contrarians at a time like this you can't listen to the normal 1888 00:38:09,470 --> 00:38:09,480 like this you can't listen to the normal 1889 00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:11,270 like this you can't listen to the normal Economist they're always going to say 1890 00:38:11,270 --> 00:38:11,280 Economist they're always going to say 1891 00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:14,030 Economist they're always going to say it's okay and the central banks have 1892 00:38:14,030 --> 00:38:14,040 it's okay and the central banks have 1893 00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:15,710 it's okay and the central banks have this under control I think that's going 1894 00:38:15,710 --> 00:38:15,720 this under control I think that's going 1895 00:38:15,720 --> 00:38:18,410 this under control I think that's going to be disproven very quickly but I've 1896 00:38:18,410 --> 00:38:18,420 to be disproven very quickly but I've 1897 00:38:18,420 --> 00:38:20,030 to be disproven very quickly but I've been saying this from the beginning you 1898 00:38:20,030 --> 00:38:20,040 been saying this from the beginning you 1899 00:38:20,040 --> 00:38:22,370 been saying this from the beginning you can't stop you can't put off a crash 1900 00:38:22,370 --> 00:38:22,380 can't stop you can't put off a crash 1901 00:38:22,380 --> 00:38:24,710 can't stop you can't put off a crash like this forever the economy is going 1902 00:38:24,710 --> 00:38:24,720 like this forever the economy is going 1903 00:38:24,720 --> 00:38:27,230 like this forever the economy is going to win in the end and it should well we 1904 00:38:27,230 --> 00:38:27,240 to win in the end and it should well we 1905 00:38:27,240 --> 00:38:28,790 to win in the end and it should well we appreciate all viewpoints including the 1906 00:38:28,790 --> 00:38:28,800 appreciate all viewpoints including the 1907 00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:30,290 appreciate all viewpoints including the contrarian so thank you for letting us 1908 00:38:30,290 --> 00:38:30,300 contrarian so thank you for letting us 1909 00:38:30,300 --> 00:38:31,910 contrarian so thank you for letting us your time and your voice today uh thank 1910 00:38:31,910 --> 00:38:31,920 your time and your voice today uh thank 1911 00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:32,810 your time and your voice today uh thank you Harry for coming on the show 1912 00:38:32,810 --> 00:38:32,820 you Harry for coming on the show 1913 00:38:32,820 --> 00:38:35,870 you Harry for coming on the show appreciate it okay thank you David and 1914 00:38:35,870 --> 00:38:35,880 appreciate it okay thank you David and 1915 00:38:35,880 --> 00:38:37,910 appreciate it okay thank you David and thank you for watching uh my show uh the 1916 00:38:37,910 --> 00:38:37,920 thank you for watching uh my show uh the 1917 00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:39,050 thank you for watching uh my show uh the David Lynn report I'll put the link 1918 00:38:39,050 --> 00:38:39,060 David Lynn report I'll put the link 1919 00:38:39,060 --> 00:38:41,390 David Lynn report I'll put the link links down to Harry's uh newsletter in 1920 00:38:41,390 --> 00:38:41,400 links down to Harry's uh newsletter in 1921 00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:42,770 links down to Harry's uh newsletter in the links below thank you and don't 1922 00:38:42,770 --> 00:38:42,780 the links below thank you and don't 1923 00:38:42,780 --> 00:38:46,710 the links below thank you and don't forget to subscribe 1924 00:38:46,710 --> 00:38:46,720 1925 00:38:46,720 --> 00:38:53,359 [Applause] 181751

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