Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated:
1
00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,510
we won't see this again we will not see
2
00:00:02,510 --> 00:00:02,520
we won't see this again we will not see
3
00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:05,329
we won't see this again we will not see
a bubble economy for for our kids will
4
00:00:05,329 --> 00:00:05,339
a bubble economy for for our kids will
5
00:00:05,339 --> 00:00:07,610
a bubble economy for for our kids will
probably not even see a bubble economy
6
00:00:07,610 --> 00:00:07,620
probably not even see a bubble economy
7
00:00:07,620 --> 00:00:09,770
probably not even see a bubble economy
decades and decades from now it happens
8
00:00:09,770 --> 00:00:09,780
decades and decades from now it happens
9
00:00:09,780 --> 00:00:12,709
decades and decades from now it happens
once in a lifetime at most and this is
10
00:00:12,709 --> 00:00:12,719
once in a lifetime at most and this is
11
00:00:12,719 --> 00:00:13,970
once in a lifetime at most and this is
the bubble of Our Lifetime right now
12
00:00:13,970 --> 00:00:13,980
the bubble of Our Lifetime right now
13
00:00:13,980 --> 00:00:15,770
the bubble of Our Lifetime right now
this is the bubble of our lifetime and
14
00:00:15,770 --> 00:00:15,780
this is the bubble of our lifetime and
15
00:00:15,780 --> 00:00:19,250
this is the bubble of our lifetime and
bigger than either the 1837 Peak or the
16
00:00:19,250 --> 00:00:19,260
bigger than either the 1837 Peak or the
17
00:00:19,260 --> 00:00:21,710
bigger than either the 1837 Peak or the
29 Peak this is going to be the biggest
18
00:00:21,710 --> 00:00:21,720
29 Peak this is going to be the biggest
19
00:00:21,720 --> 00:00:24,830
29 Peak this is going to be the biggest
crisis in the baby boomers life the
20
00:00:24,830 --> 00:00:24,840
crisis in the baby boomers life the
21
00:00:24,840 --> 00:00:26,269
crisis in the baby boomers life the
biggest crisis of the Bob Hope
22
00:00:26,269 --> 00:00:26,279
biggest crisis of the Bob Hope
23
00:00:26,279 --> 00:00:28,849
biggest crisis of the Bob Hope
generation was the Great Depression this
24
00:00:28,849 --> 00:00:28,859
generation was the Great Depression this
25
00:00:28,859 --> 00:00:30,710
generation was the Great Depression this
is going to be the big crisis the the
26
00:00:30,710 --> 00:00:30,720
is going to be the big crisis the the
27
00:00:30,720 --> 00:00:33,650
is going to be the big crisis the the
final kind of depression into this is
28
00:00:33,650 --> 00:00:33,660
final kind of depression into this is
29
00:00:33,660 --> 00:00:35,150
final kind of depression into this is
going to hit the Baby Boomers the
30
00:00:35,150 --> 00:00:35,160
going to hit the Baby Boomers the
31
00:00:35,160 --> 00:00:37,130
going to hit the Baby Boomers the
hardest because they're going to need
32
00:00:37,130 --> 00:00:37,140
hardest because they're going to need
33
00:00:37,140 --> 00:00:39,530
hardest because they're going to need
that net worth that's going to disappear
34
00:00:39,530 --> 00:00:39,540
that net worth that's going to disappear
35
00:00:39,540 --> 00:00:41,630
that net worth that's going to disappear
at the speed of light and I mean
36
00:00:41,630 --> 00:00:41,640
at the speed of light and I mean
37
00:00:41,640 --> 00:00:44,270
at the speed of light and I mean
disappear not come back our next guest
38
00:00:44,270 --> 00:00:44,280
disappear not come back our next guest
39
00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:47,030
disappear not come back our next guest
is calling for possibly the largest
40
00:00:47,030 --> 00:00:47,040
is calling for possibly the largest
41
00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:50,029
is calling for possibly the largest
crash in our lifetime in the markets why
42
00:00:50,029 --> 00:00:50,039
crash in our lifetime in the markets why
43
00:00:50,039 --> 00:00:52,130
crash in our lifetime in the markets why
is this happening where are we in the
44
00:00:52,130 --> 00:00:52,140
is this happening where are we in the
45
00:00:52,140 --> 00:00:54,350
is this happening where are we in the
multi-wave cycle Harry Dent has the
46
00:00:54,350 --> 00:00:54,360
multi-wave cycle Harry Dent has the
47
00:00:54,360 --> 00:00:56,869
multi-wave cycle Harry Dent has the
answers he is the founder of HS dent and
48
00:00:56,869 --> 00:00:56,879
answers he is the founder of HS dent and
49
00:00:56,879 --> 00:00:58,850
answers he is the founder of HS dent and
the author of several best-selling books
50
00:00:58,850 --> 00:00:58,860
the author of several best-selling books
51
00:00:58,860 --> 00:01:01,310
the author of several best-selling books
including zero hour turn the greatest
52
00:01:01,310 --> 00:01:01,320
including zero hour turn the greatest
53
00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:03,229
including zero hour turn the greatest
political and financial upheaval in
54
00:01:03,229 --> 00:01:03,239
political and financial upheaval in
55
00:01:03,239 --> 00:01:05,450
political and financial upheaval in
modern history to your advantage and the
56
00:01:05,450 --> 00:01:05,460
modern history to your advantage and the
57
00:01:05,460 --> 00:01:08,090
modern history to your advantage and the
demographic Cliff how to survive and
58
00:01:08,090 --> 00:01:08,100
demographic Cliff how to survive and
59
00:01:08,100 --> 00:01:11,270
demographic Cliff how to survive and
prosper during the Great deflation ahead
60
00:01:11,270 --> 00:01:11,280
prosper during the Great deflation ahead
61
00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:13,730
prosper during the Great deflation ahead
Harry wonderful titles you've written
62
00:01:13,730 --> 00:01:13,740
Harry wonderful titles you've written
63
00:01:13,740 --> 00:01:16,010
Harry wonderful titles you've written
wonderful books everyone should check
64
00:01:16,010 --> 00:01:16,020
wonderful books everyone should check
65
00:01:16,020 --> 00:01:18,590
wonderful books everyone should check
out your site hsdeck or Harry den.com
66
00:01:18,590 --> 00:01:18,600
out your site hsdeck or Harry den.com
67
00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:20,510
out your site hsdeck or Harry den.com
rather in your newsletter welcome to my
68
00:01:20,510 --> 00:01:20,520
rather in your newsletter welcome to my
69
00:01:20,520 --> 00:01:23,030
rather in your newsletter welcome to my
show nice to be back Dave you're calling
70
00:01:23,030 --> 00:01:23,040
show nice to be back Dave you're calling
71
00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:26,570
show nice to be back Dave you're calling
for possibly the greatest crash in our
72
00:01:26,570 --> 00:01:26,580
for possibly the greatest crash in our
73
00:01:26,580 --> 00:01:28,730
for possibly the greatest crash in our
lifetime we already had a pretty big
74
00:01:28,730 --> 00:01:28,740
lifetime we already had a pretty big
75
00:01:28,740 --> 00:01:30,950
lifetime we already had a pretty big
downturn last year the S P 500 was down
76
00:01:30,950 --> 00:01:30,960
downturn last year the S P 500 was down
77
00:01:30,960 --> 00:01:34,070
downturn last year the S P 500 was down
18 percent year on year but that's not
78
00:01:34,070 --> 00:01:34,080
18 percent year on year but that's not
79
00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:35,450
18 percent year on year but that's not
it that's not the crash you're talking
80
00:01:35,450 --> 00:01:35,460
it that's not the crash you're talking
81
00:01:35,460 --> 00:01:36,469
it that's not the crash you're talking
about
82
00:01:36,469 --> 00:01:36,479
about
83
00:01:36,479 --> 00:01:40,670
about
right and in the 2008-9 crash was 57 on
84
00:01:40,670 --> 00:01:40,680
right and in the 2008-9 crash was 57 on
85
00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:44,810
right and in the 2008-9 crash was 57 on
the S P 500 so so yes no this this is
86
00:01:44,810 --> 00:01:44,820
the S P 500 so so yes no this this is
87
00:01:44,820 --> 00:01:47,210
the S P 500 so so yes no this this is
basically what that crash should have
88
00:01:47,210 --> 00:01:47,220
basically what that crash should have
89
00:01:47,220 --> 00:01:49,429
basically what that crash should have
been people didn't notice it's pretty
90
00:01:49,429 --> 00:01:49,439
been people didn't notice it's pretty
91
00:01:49,439 --> 00:01:51,830
been people didn't notice it's pretty
obvious about how about a year and a
92
00:01:51,830 --> 00:01:51,840
obvious about how about a year and a
93
00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:54,289
obvious about how about a year and a
half into that crash the central banks
94
00:01:54,289 --> 00:01:54,299
half into that crash the central banks
95
00:01:54,299 --> 00:01:55,969
half into that crash the central banks
just stepped in and just just started
96
00:01:55,969 --> 00:01:55,979
just stepped in and just just started
97
00:01:55,979 --> 00:01:59,149
just stepped in and just just started
printing money uh unprecedented rates to
98
00:01:59,149 --> 00:01:59,159
printing money uh unprecedented rates to
99
00:01:59,159 --> 00:02:00,469
printing money uh unprecedented rates to
blow us out of that that's what
100
00:02:00,469 --> 00:02:00,479
blow us out of that that's what
101
00:02:00,479 --> 00:02:02,170
blow us out of that that's what
basically happened so that recession
102
00:02:02,170 --> 00:02:02,180
basically happened so that recession
103
00:02:02,180 --> 00:02:05,630
basically happened so that recession
didn't really do its job of flushing out
104
00:02:05,630 --> 00:02:05,640
didn't really do its job of flushing out
105
00:02:05,640 --> 00:02:07,789
didn't really do its job of flushing out
the greatest debt bubble in history
106
00:02:07,789 --> 00:02:07,799
the greatest debt bubble in history
107
00:02:07,799 --> 00:02:10,010
the greatest debt bubble in history
which I've been warning about for years
108
00:02:10,010 --> 00:02:10,020
which I've been warning about for years
109
00:02:10,020 --> 00:02:12,530
which I've been warning about for years
and decades uh bigger than the Roaring
110
00:02:12,530 --> 00:02:12,540
and decades uh bigger than the Roaring
111
00:02:12,540 --> 00:02:14,869
and decades uh bigger than the Roaring
20s which ended up in a bubble in the
112
00:02:14,869 --> 00:02:14,879
20s which ended up in a bubble in the
113
00:02:14,879 --> 00:02:17,930
20s which ended up in a bubble in the
stock markets and the the crash of a
114
00:02:17,930 --> 00:02:17,940
stock markets and the the crash of a
115
00:02:17,940 --> 00:02:22,190
stock markets and the the crash of a
lifetime back then now down 89 for the
116
00:02:22,190 --> 00:02:22,200
lifetime back then now down 89 for the
117
00:02:22,200 --> 00:02:23,930
lifetime back then now down 89 for the
Dow which was the leading index back
118
00:02:23,930 --> 00:02:23,940
Dow which was the leading index back
119
00:02:23,940 --> 00:02:26,930
Dow which was the leading index back
then I'm predicting as much as 86 for
120
00:02:26,930 --> 00:02:26,940
then I'm predicting as much as 86 for
121
00:02:26,940 --> 00:02:30,350
then I'm predicting as much as 86 for
the S P 500 in this crash and 92 percent
122
00:02:30,350 --> 00:02:30,360
the S P 500 in this crash and 92 percent
123
00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:33,830
the S P 500 in this crash and 92 percent
on the NASDAQ so in that realm of
124
00:02:33,830 --> 00:02:33,840
on the NASDAQ so in that realm of
125
00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:36,410
on the NASDAQ so in that realm of
something you only literally see why
126
00:02:36,410 --> 00:02:36,420
something you only literally see why
127
00:02:36,420 --> 00:02:39,770
something you only literally see why
once in a lifetime if that so so this is
128
00:02:39,770 --> 00:02:39,780
once in a lifetime if that so so this is
129
00:02:39,780 --> 00:02:42,410
once in a lifetime if that so so this is
nothing this is what my point is most
130
00:02:42,410 --> 00:02:42,420
nothing this is what my point is most
131
00:02:42,420 --> 00:02:44,270
nothing this is what my point is most
financial advisors are right most the
132
00:02:44,270 --> 00:02:44,280
financial advisors are right most the
133
00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:45,830
financial advisors are right most the
time you can just sit through most
134
00:02:45,830 --> 00:02:45,840
time you can just sit through most
135
00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:47,750
time you can just sit through most
Corrections and rebalance and that sort
136
00:02:47,750 --> 00:02:47,760
Corrections and rebalance and that sort
137
00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:49,490
Corrections and rebalance and that sort
of stuff because it's not easy to time
138
00:02:49,490 --> 00:02:49,500
of stuff because it's not easy to time
139
00:02:49,500 --> 00:02:51,410
of stuff because it's not easy to time
the market as most people know okay but
140
00:02:51,410 --> 00:02:51,420
the market as most people know okay but
141
00:02:51,420 --> 00:02:54,170
the market as most people know okay but
but this is so important that I Am
142
00:02:54,170 --> 00:02:54,180
but this is so important that I Am
143
00:02:54,180 --> 00:02:56,030
but this is so important that I Am
timing the market I have I warned about
144
00:02:56,030 --> 00:02:56,040
timing the market I have I warned about
145
00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:59,509
timing the market I have I warned about
this in my newsletter off the charts two
146
00:02:59,509 --> 00:02:59,519
this in my newsletter off the charts two
147
00:02:59,519 --> 00:03:01,910
this in my newsletter off the charts two
huge warnings in mid and late December
148
00:03:01,910 --> 00:03:01,920
huge warnings in mid and late December
149
00:03:01,920 --> 00:03:05,509
huge warnings in mid and late December
saying this crash is about to happen it
150
00:03:05,509 --> 00:03:05,519
saying this crash is about to happen it
151
00:03:05,519 --> 00:03:06,890
saying this crash is about to happen it
is going to be the crash of your
152
00:03:06,890 --> 00:03:06,900
is going to be the crash of your
153
00:03:06,900 --> 00:03:08,930
is going to be the crash of your
lifetime and next thing you know we were
154
00:03:08,930 --> 00:03:08,940
lifetime and next thing you know we were
155
00:03:08,940 --> 00:03:13,009
lifetime and next thing you know we were
down 38 percent uh in the NASDAQ uh in
156
00:03:13,009 --> 00:03:13,019
down 38 percent uh in the NASDAQ uh in
157
00:03:13,019 --> 00:03:15,890
down 38 percent uh in the NASDAQ uh in
in October of last year and that's just
158
00:03:15,890 --> 00:03:15,900
in October of last year and that's just
159
00:03:15,900 --> 00:03:18,530
in October of last year and that's just
the first wave down there's two more to
160
00:03:18,530 --> 00:03:18,540
the first wave down there's two more to
161
00:03:18,540 --> 00:03:20,089
the first wave down there's two more to
follow and I think we're just about to
162
00:03:20,089 --> 00:03:20,099
follow and I think we're just about to
163
00:03:20,099 --> 00:03:22,729
follow and I think we're just about to
see or we're we've already started the
164
00:03:22,729 --> 00:03:22,739
see or we're we've already started the
165
00:03:22,739 --> 00:03:24,949
see or we're we've already started the
next wave down which could take the
166
00:03:24,949 --> 00:03:24,959
next wave down which could take the
167
00:03:24,959 --> 00:03:28,850
next wave down which could take the
NASDAQ down to 8 000 just in this next
168
00:03:28,850 --> 00:03:28,860
NASDAQ down to 8 000 just in this next
169
00:03:28,860 --> 00:03:31,610
NASDAQ down to 8 000 just in this next
wave not not the end of it and that's
170
00:03:31,610 --> 00:03:31,620
wave not not the end of it and that's
171
00:03:31,620 --> 00:03:34,009
wave not not the end of it and that's
going to be down a little over 50 and
172
00:03:34,009 --> 00:03:34,019
going to be down a little over 50 and
173
00:03:34,019 --> 00:03:35,330
going to be down a little over 50 and
that's when people are going to know
174
00:03:35,330 --> 00:03:35,340
that's when people are going to know
175
00:03:35,340 --> 00:03:39,830
that's when people are going to know
this is is not a big correction it is a
176
00:03:39,830 --> 00:03:39,840
this is is not a big correction it is a
177
00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:42,229
this is is not a big correction it is a
major crash one that you have not seen
178
00:03:42,229 --> 00:03:42,239
major crash one that you have not seen
179
00:03:42,239 --> 00:03:46,490
major crash one that you have not seen
in 7374 or 8082 in your lifetime and one
180
00:03:46,490 --> 00:03:46,500
in 7374 or 8082 in your lifetime and one
181
00:03:46,500 --> 00:03:48,710
in 7374 or 8082 in your lifetime and one
that even the Millennials will not see a
182
00:03:48,710 --> 00:03:48,720
that even the Millennials will not see a
183
00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:50,990
that even the Millennials will not see a
bigger crash than this when their boom
184
00:03:50,990 --> 00:03:51,000
bigger crash than this when their boom
185
00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:53,390
bigger crash than this when their boom
and bust hits many decades from now I
186
00:03:53,390 --> 00:03:53,400
and bust hits many decades from now I
187
00:03:53,400 --> 00:03:54,770
and bust hits many decades from now I
remember the first time I talked to you
188
00:03:54,770 --> 00:03:54,780
remember the first time I talked to you
189
00:03:54,780 --> 00:03:57,289
remember the first time I talked to you
was late 2020 and you had predicted that
190
00:03:57,289 --> 00:03:57,299
was late 2020 and you had predicted that
191
00:03:57,299 --> 00:03:59,930
was late 2020 and you had predicted that
we would begin this crash I think it was
192
00:03:59,930 --> 00:03:59,940
we would begin this crash I think it was
193
00:03:59,940 --> 00:04:02,330
we would begin this crash I think it was
first or second wave and eventually it
194
00:04:02,330 --> 00:04:02,340
first or second wave and eventually it
195
00:04:02,340 --> 00:04:04,309
first or second wave and eventually it
did come you were correct in that 2022
196
00:04:04,309 --> 00:04:04,319
did come you were correct in that 2022
197
00:04:04,319 --> 00:04:07,070
did come you were correct in that 2022
last year saw the stock markets and
198
00:04:07,070 --> 00:04:07,080
last year saw the stock markets and
199
00:04:07,080 --> 00:04:09,649
last year saw the stock markets and
cryptocurrencies all crash uh not to the
200
00:04:09,649 --> 00:04:09,659
cryptocurrencies all crash uh not to the
201
00:04:09,659 --> 00:04:13,070
cryptocurrencies all crash uh not to the
extent of 50 but actually 2022 was the
202
00:04:13,070 --> 00:04:13,080
extent of 50 but actually 2022 was the
203
00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:14,990
extent of 50 but actually 2022 was the
most severe crash for stocks and bonds
204
00:04:14,990 --> 00:04:15,000
most severe crash for stocks and bonds
205
00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:16,729
most severe crash for stocks and bonds
collectively if you put them together as
206
00:04:16,729 --> 00:04:16,739
collectively if you put them together as
207
00:04:16,739 --> 00:04:19,009
collectively if you put them together as
a percentage of GDP so in that regard
208
00:04:19,009 --> 00:04:19,019
a percentage of GDP so in that regard
209
00:04:19,019 --> 00:04:20,750
a percentage of GDP so in that regard
you were correct however it did happen
210
00:04:20,750 --> 00:04:20,760
you were correct however it did happen
211
00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:23,749
you were correct however it did happen
later than you initially anticipated why
212
00:04:23,749 --> 00:04:23,759
later than you initially anticipated why
213
00:04:23,759 --> 00:04:26,450
later than you initially anticipated why
why did it happen later you think that's
214
00:04:26,450 --> 00:04:26,460
why did it happen later you think that's
215
00:04:26,460 --> 00:04:29,390
why did it happen later you think that's
extremely extremely simple never before
216
00:04:29,390 --> 00:04:29,400
extremely extremely simple never before
217
00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:31,550
extremely extremely simple never before
look at the Great Depression look at any
218
00:04:31,550 --> 00:04:31,560
look at the Great Depression look at any
219
00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:34,129
look at the Great Depression look at any
major downturn the mid 70s never before
220
00:04:34,129 --> 00:04:34,139
major downturn the mid 70s never before
221
00:04:34,139 --> 00:04:38,090
major downturn the mid 70s never before
have central banks declared War literal
222
00:04:38,090 --> 00:04:38,100
have central banks declared War literal
223
00:04:38,100 --> 00:04:41,270
have central banks declared War literal
war on recessions and said we will not
224
00:04:41,270 --> 00:04:41,280
war on recessions and said we will not
225
00:04:41,280 --> 00:04:43,610
war on recessions and said we will not
let the economy fall Mario Dragon was
226
00:04:43,610 --> 00:04:43,620
let the economy fall Mario Dragon was
227
00:04:43,620 --> 00:04:46,010
let the economy fall Mario Dragon was
the first one to say he said to traders
228
00:04:46,010 --> 00:04:46,020
the first one to say he said to traders
229
00:04:46,020 --> 00:04:47,810
the first one to say he said to traders
who were shorting the European markets
230
00:04:47,810 --> 00:04:47,820
who were shorting the European markets
231
00:04:47,820 --> 00:04:50,270
who were shorting the European markets
back there in in 2020 when we should
232
00:04:50,270 --> 00:04:50,280
back there in in 2020 when we should
233
00:04:50,280 --> 00:04:53,270
back there in in 2020 when we should
have had The Real Crash started okay he
234
00:04:53,270 --> 00:04:53,280
have had The Real Crash started okay he
235
00:04:53,280 --> 00:04:56,030
have had The Real Crash started okay he
said I will print unlimited amounts of
236
00:04:56,030 --> 00:04:56,040
said I will print unlimited amounts of
237
00:04:56,040 --> 00:04:58,310
said I will print unlimited amounts of
money do not bet against me you damn
238
00:04:58,310 --> 00:04:58,320
money do not bet against me you damn
239
00:04:58,320 --> 00:05:00,110
money do not bet against me you damn
Traders and that's what they've done
240
00:05:00,110 --> 00:05:00,120
Traders and that's what they've done
241
00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:03,469
Traders and that's what they've done
they have pushed this off but even with
242
00:05:03,469 --> 00:05:03,479
they have pushed this off but even with
243
00:05:03,479 --> 00:05:06,409
they have pushed this off but even with
all this unprecedented nine trillion
244
00:05:06,409 --> 00:05:06,419
all this unprecedented nine trillion
245
00:05:06,419 --> 00:05:07,969
all this unprecedented nine trillion
dollars for the FED alone and money
246
00:05:07,969 --> 00:05:07,979
dollars for the FED alone and money
247
00:05:07,979 --> 00:05:10,790
dollars for the FED alone and money
printing never have we seen even a
248
00:05:10,790 --> 00:05:10,800
printing never have we seen even a
249
00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:13,550
printing never have we seen even a
fraction of that okay even with all that
250
00:05:13,550 --> 00:05:13,560
fraction of that okay even with all that
251
00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:16,129
fraction of that okay even with all that
we keep falling back in a recession we
252
00:05:16,129 --> 00:05:16,139
we keep falling back in a recession we
253
00:05:16,139 --> 00:05:19,249
we keep falling back in a recession we
just came we just came out of the covet
254
00:05:19,249 --> 00:05:19,259
just came we just came out of the covet
255
00:05:19,259 --> 00:05:21,890
just came we just came out of the covet
down and with all this massive stimulus
256
00:05:21,890 --> 00:05:21,900
down and with all this massive stimulus
257
00:05:21,900 --> 00:05:24,050
down and with all this massive stimulus
10 trillion dollars half of it fiscal
258
00:05:24,050 --> 00:05:24,060
10 trillion dollars half of it fiscal
259
00:05:24,060 --> 00:05:26,510
10 trillion dollars half of it fiscal
half of it monetary the biggest single
260
00:05:26,510 --> 00:05:26,520
half of it monetary the biggest single
261
00:05:26,520 --> 00:05:28,850
half of it monetary the biggest single
two-year stimulus in all of history
262
00:05:28,850 --> 00:05:28,860
two-year stimulus in all of history
263
00:05:28,860 --> 00:05:31,189
two-year stimulus in all of history
topping everything before that and we're
264
00:05:31,189 --> 00:05:31,199
topping everything before that and we're
265
00:05:31,199 --> 00:05:33,409
topping everything before that and we're
already falling in a recession again
266
00:05:33,409 --> 00:05:33,419
already falling in a recession again
267
00:05:33,419 --> 00:05:35,330
already falling in a recession again
that's the problem the economy
268
00:05:35,330 --> 00:05:35,340
that's the problem the economy
269
00:05:35,340 --> 00:05:38,210
that's the problem the economy
underneath is really really weak and
270
00:05:38,210 --> 00:05:38,220
underneath is really really weak and
271
00:05:38,220 --> 00:05:39,830
underneath is really really weak and
really needs to get rid of a lot of
272
00:05:39,830 --> 00:05:39,840
really needs to get rid of a lot of
273
00:05:39,840 --> 00:05:42,590
really needs to get rid of a lot of
really bad debt and zombie companies and
274
00:05:42,590 --> 00:05:42,600
really bad debt and zombie companies and
275
00:05:42,600 --> 00:05:44,810
really bad debt and zombie companies and
the central banks won't let the economy
276
00:05:44,810 --> 00:05:44,820
the central banks won't let the economy
277
00:05:44,820 --> 00:05:46,550
the central banks won't let the economy
do its thing oh we're free market
278
00:05:46,550 --> 00:05:46,560
do its thing oh we're free market
279
00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:48,469
do its thing oh we're free market
capitalists no we're not
280
00:05:48,469 --> 00:05:48,479
capitalists no we're not
281
00:05:48,479 --> 00:05:50,629
capitalists no we're not
be trusted the free markets you'd let
282
00:05:50,629 --> 00:05:50,639
be trusted the free markets you'd let
283
00:05:50,639 --> 00:05:53,390
be trusted the free markets you'd let
the free markets do what they do and
284
00:05:53,390 --> 00:05:53,400
the free markets do what they do and
285
00:05:53,400 --> 00:05:56,570
the free markets do what they do and
central banks have declared war on the
286
00:05:56,570 --> 00:05:56,580
central banks have declared war on the
287
00:05:56,580 --> 00:05:58,850
central banks have declared war on the
free markets that's the problem and the
288
00:05:58,850 --> 00:05:58,860
free markets that's the problem and the
289
00:05:58,860 --> 00:06:00,590
free markets that's the problem and the
free markets thank God look like they're
290
00:06:00,590 --> 00:06:00,600
free markets thank God look like they're
291
00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:02,029
free markets thank God look like they're
going to win this I'm I've been
292
00:06:02,029 --> 00:06:02,039
going to win this I'm I've been
293
00:06:02,039 --> 00:06:04,310
going to win this I'm I've been
threatening to my subscribers saying you
294
00:06:04,310 --> 00:06:04,320
threatening to my subscribers saying you
295
00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:05,629
threatening to my subscribers saying you
know I don't know if we'll ever have
296
00:06:05,629 --> 00:06:05,639
know I don't know if we'll ever have
297
00:06:05,639 --> 00:06:07,670
know I don't know if we'll ever have
free markets again I mean this may never
298
00:06:07,670 --> 00:06:07,680
free markets again I mean this may never
299
00:06:07,680 --> 00:06:10,310
free markets again I mean this may never
end if the economy gets its way and we
300
00:06:10,310 --> 00:06:10,320
end if the economy gets its way and we
301
00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:12,050
end if the economy gets its way and we
have this crash it means the markets
302
00:06:12,050 --> 00:06:12,060
have this crash it means the markets
303
00:06:12,060 --> 00:06:14,090
have this crash it means the markets
have taken back over they're going to do
304
00:06:14,090 --> 00:06:14,100
have taken back over they're going to do
305
00:06:14,100 --> 00:06:16,310
have taken back over they're going to do
what the economy really needs and not
306
00:06:16,310 --> 00:06:16,320
what the economy really needs and not
307
00:06:16,320 --> 00:06:18,590
what the economy really needs and not
listen to stupid Central Bankers who
308
00:06:18,590 --> 00:06:18,600
listen to stupid Central Bankers who
309
00:06:18,600 --> 00:06:21,050
listen to stupid Central Bankers who
never had sex or run a business find me
310
00:06:21,050 --> 00:06:21,060
never had sex or run a business find me
311
00:06:21,060 --> 00:06:22,790
never had sex or run a business find me
one that meets either those two
312
00:06:22,790 --> 00:06:22,800
one that meets either those two
313
00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:24,890
one that meets either those two
definitions or looks like it
314
00:06:24,890 --> 00:06:24,900
definitions or looks like it
315
00:06:24,900 --> 00:06:26,990
definitions or looks like it
what are these people doing in charge in
316
00:06:26,990 --> 00:06:27,000
what are these people doing in charge in
317
00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:30,469
what are these people doing in charge in
the first place okay so that's that's
318
00:06:30,469 --> 00:06:30,479
the first place okay so that's that's
319
00:06:30,479 --> 00:06:33,110
the first place okay so that's that's
what I see the economy looks like and
320
00:06:33,110 --> 00:06:33,120
what I see the economy looks like and
321
00:06:33,120 --> 00:06:34,550
what I see the economy looks like and
this this that's why we're in a critical
322
00:06:34,550 --> 00:06:34,560
this this that's why we're in a critical
323
00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:37,370
this this that's why we're in a critical
point right now the economy is set by
324
00:06:37,370 --> 00:06:37,380
point right now the economy is set by
325
00:06:37,380 --> 00:06:38,990
point right now the economy is set by
looking at the waves and I've spent
326
00:06:38,990 --> 00:06:39,000
looking at the waves and I've spent
327
00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:41,090
looking at the waves and I've spent
years and years studying what I call
328
00:06:41,090 --> 00:06:41,100
years and years studying what I call
329
00:06:41,100 --> 00:06:42,710
years and years studying what I call
Elliott weight Theory brought by Robert
330
00:06:42,710 --> 00:06:42,720
Elliott weight Theory brought by Robert
331
00:06:42,720 --> 00:06:44,270
Elliott weight Theory brought by Robert
Proctor he's another good guy to
332
00:06:44,270 --> 00:06:44,280
Proctor he's another good guy to
333
00:06:44,280 --> 00:06:46,370
Proctor he's another good guy to
interview by the way
334
00:06:46,370 --> 00:06:46,380
interview by the way
335
00:06:46,380 --> 00:06:49,189
interview by the way
um that this we're about to hit this
336
00:06:49,189 --> 00:06:49,199
um that this we're about to hit this
337
00:06:49,199 --> 00:06:51,290
um that this we're about to hit this
third wave of the third wave would you
338
00:06:51,290 --> 00:06:51,300
third wave of the third wave would you
339
00:06:51,300 --> 00:06:54,110
third wave of the third wave would you
win you basically the crash gets its
340
00:06:54,110 --> 00:06:54,120
win you basically the crash gets its
341
00:06:54,120 --> 00:06:56,210
win you basically the crash gets its
most momentum if that happens if they
342
00:06:56,210 --> 00:06:56,220
most momentum if that happens if they
343
00:06:56,220 --> 00:06:57,770
most momentum if that happens if they
can't stop this and I I don't think
344
00:06:57,770 --> 00:06:57,780
can't stop this and I I don't think
345
00:06:57,780 --> 00:06:59,029
can't stop this and I I don't think
they're going to be able to stop I think
346
00:06:59,029 --> 00:06:59,039
they're going to be able to stop I think
347
00:06:59,039 --> 00:07:00,529
they're going to be able to stop I think
it's going to creep up on them before
348
00:07:00,529 --> 00:07:00,539
it's going to creep up on them before
349
00:07:00,539 --> 00:07:02,689
it's going to creep up on them before
they can reverse their tightening that's
350
00:07:02,689 --> 00:07:02,699
they can reverse their tightening that's
351
00:07:02,699 --> 00:07:05,990
they can reverse their tightening that's
what what shows people uh oh no these
352
00:07:05,990 --> 00:07:06,000
what what shows people uh oh no these
353
00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:07,909
what what shows people uh oh no these
guys do not have control of the economy
354
00:07:07,909 --> 00:07:07,919
guys do not have control of the economy
355
00:07:07,919 --> 00:07:10,370
guys do not have control of the economy
they're not able to stop this crash and
356
00:07:10,370 --> 00:07:10,380
they're not able to stop this crash and
357
00:07:10,380 --> 00:07:12,590
they're not able to stop this crash and
then they lose credibility I want to
358
00:07:12,590 --> 00:07:12,600
then they lose credibility I want to
359
00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:14,270
then they lose credibility I want to
come back to this crash and your timing
360
00:07:14,270 --> 00:07:14,280
come back to this crash and your timing
361
00:07:14,280 --> 00:07:15,770
come back to this crash and your timing
for this crash you're gonna you're gonna
362
00:07:15,770 --> 00:07:15,780
for this crash you're gonna you're gonna
363
00:07:15,780 --> 00:07:17,629
for this crash you're gonna you're gonna
tell us exactly when you think this is
364
00:07:17,629 --> 00:07:17,639
tell us exactly when you think this is
365
00:07:17,639 --> 00:07:19,430
tell us exactly when you think this is
going to bottom but first I want to talk
366
00:07:19,430 --> 00:07:19,440
going to bottom but first I want to talk
367
00:07:19,440 --> 00:07:21,830
going to bottom but first I want to talk
to you uh or talk to the audience about
368
00:07:21,830 --> 00:07:21,840
to you uh or talk to the audience about
369
00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:25,249
to you uh or talk to the audience about
um your your views on our uh demographic
370
00:07:25,249 --> 00:07:25,259
um your your views on our uh demographic
371
00:07:25,259 --> 00:07:28,129
um your your views on our uh demographic
Trends now remember that Harry wasn't
372
00:07:28,129 --> 00:07:28,139
Trends now remember that Harry wasn't
373
00:07:28,139 --> 00:07:31,189
Trends now remember that Harry wasn't
always bearish in fact you were very
374
00:07:31,189 --> 00:07:31,199
always bearish in fact you were very
375
00:07:31,199 --> 00:07:33,230
always bearish in fact you were very
very bullish on our economy and our
376
00:07:33,230 --> 00:07:33,240
very bullish on our economy and our
377
00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:34,790
very bullish on our economy and our
growth prospects I'm talking about the
378
00:07:34,790 --> 00:07:34,800
growth prospects I'm talking about the
379
00:07:34,800 --> 00:07:37,850
growth prospects I'm talking about the
US in the 80s and then something shifted
380
00:07:37,850 --> 00:07:37,860
US in the 80s and then something shifted
381
00:07:37,860 --> 00:07:40,070
US in the 80s and then something shifted
and then you changed your outlook what
382
00:07:40,070 --> 00:07:40,080
and then you changed your outlook what
383
00:07:40,080 --> 00:07:43,070
and then you changed your outlook what
what shifted Harry okay it's just
384
00:07:43,070 --> 00:07:43,080
what shifted Harry okay it's just
385
00:07:43,080 --> 00:07:45,350
what shifted Harry okay it's just
demographics I I was the one I was
386
00:07:45,350 --> 00:07:45,360
demographics I I was the one I was
387
00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:48,050
demographics I I was the one I was
studying demographics for my new Venture
388
00:07:48,050 --> 00:07:48,060
studying demographics for my new Venture
389
00:07:48,060 --> 00:07:50,809
studying demographics for my new Venture
clients and in the early 80s I was
390
00:07:50,809 --> 00:07:50,819
clients and in the early 80s I was
391
00:07:50,819 --> 00:07:52,850
clients and in the early 80s I was
managing and turning around small
392
00:07:52,850 --> 00:07:52,860
managing and turning around small
393
00:07:52,860 --> 00:07:54,469
managing and turning around small
businesses new Ventures and new
394
00:07:54,469 --> 00:07:54,479
businesses new Ventures and new
395
00:07:54,479 --> 00:07:56,510
businesses new Ventures and new
Industries so I was seeing the new
396
00:07:56,510 --> 00:07:56,520
Industries so I was seeing the new
397
00:07:56,520 --> 00:07:58,969
Industries so I was seeing the new
economy emerging in the early stages and
398
00:07:58,969 --> 00:07:58,979
economy emerging in the early stages and
399
00:07:58,979 --> 00:08:01,070
economy emerging in the early stages and
I was seeing most importantly these
400
00:08:01,070 --> 00:08:01,080
I was seeing most importantly these
401
00:08:01,080 --> 00:08:03,170
I was seeing most importantly these
people were not selling Goods to aging
402
00:08:03,170 --> 00:08:03,180
people were not selling Goods to aging
403
00:08:03,180 --> 00:08:04,909
people were not selling Goods to aging
Bob Hope generation people they were
404
00:08:04,909 --> 00:08:04,919
Bob Hope generation people they were
405
00:08:04,919 --> 00:08:07,550
Bob Hope generation people they were
selling back then to young baby boomers
406
00:08:07,550 --> 00:08:07,560
selling back then to young baby boomers
407
00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:09,529
selling back then to young baby boomers
so that's when I started studying the
408
00:08:09,529 --> 00:08:09,539
so that's when I started studying the
409
00:08:09,539 --> 00:08:12,350
so that's when I started studying the
baby boom how big a generation is when
410
00:08:12,350 --> 00:08:12,360
baby boom how big a generation is when
411
00:08:12,360 --> 00:08:14,330
baby boom how big a generation is when
do they spend money how they can impact
412
00:08:14,330 --> 00:08:14,340
do they spend money how they can impact
413
00:08:14,340 --> 00:08:15,830
do they spend money how they can impact
the economy and of course the first
414
00:08:15,830 --> 00:08:15,840
the economy and of course the first
415
00:08:15,840 --> 00:08:19,550
the economy and of course the first
indicator I came out out with in 1988
416
00:08:19,550 --> 00:08:19,560
indicator I came out out with in 1988
417
00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:21,290
indicator I came out out with in 1988
was called the spending wave and here's
418
00:08:21,290 --> 00:08:21,300
was called the spending wave and here's
419
00:08:21,300 --> 00:08:25,249
was called the spending wave and here's
how simple it was David a 46-year lag on
420
00:08:25,249 --> 00:08:25,259
how simple it was David a 46-year lag on
421
00:08:25,259 --> 00:08:27,230
how simple it was David a 46-year lag on
the birth index which I adjust for
422
00:08:27,230 --> 00:08:27,240
the birth index which I adjust for
423
00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:29,450
the birth index which I adjust for
immigrants and I can do that accurately
424
00:08:29,450 --> 00:08:29,460
immigrants and I can do that accurately
425
00:08:29,460 --> 00:08:31,550
immigrants and I can do that accurately
I've got accurate statistics on the age
426
00:08:31,550 --> 00:08:31,560
I've got accurate statistics on the age
427
00:08:31,560 --> 00:08:33,050
I've got accurate statistics on the age
of immigrants and how many have come in
428
00:08:33,050 --> 00:08:33,060
of immigrants and how many have come in
429
00:08:33,060 --> 00:08:35,810
of immigrants and how many have come in
and how many have projected to uh and
430
00:08:35,810 --> 00:08:35,820
and how many have projected to uh and
431
00:08:35,820 --> 00:08:37,430
and how many have projected to uh and
and it said greatest boom in history
432
00:08:37,430 --> 00:08:37,440
and it said greatest boom in history
433
00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:41,209
and it said greatest boom in history
until 2007 and and and and what happened
434
00:08:41,209 --> 00:08:41,219
until 2007 and and and and what happened
435
00:08:41,219 --> 00:08:44,329
until 2007 and and and and what happened
after 2007 we hit 2008 the deepest
436
00:08:44,329 --> 00:08:44,339
after 2007 we hit 2008 the deepest
437
00:08:44,339 --> 00:08:45,949
after 2007 we hit 2008 the deepest
downturn since the Great Depression
438
00:08:45,949 --> 00:08:45,959
downturn since the Great Depression
439
00:08:45,959 --> 00:08:48,889
downturn since the Great Depression
since 1930 and central banks panicked
440
00:08:48,889 --> 00:08:48,899
since 1930 and central banks panicked
441
00:08:48,899 --> 00:08:50,389
since 1930 and central banks panicked
and have been printing money ever since
442
00:08:50,389 --> 00:08:50,399
and have been printing money ever since
443
00:08:50,399 --> 00:08:53,570
and have been printing money ever since
to offset this great downturn they don't
444
00:08:53,570 --> 00:08:53,580
to offset this great downturn they don't
445
00:08:53,580 --> 00:08:56,150
to offset this great downturn they don't
understand what's happening I predicted
446
00:08:56,150 --> 00:08:56,160
understand what's happening I predicted
447
00:08:56,160 --> 00:08:58,250
understand what's happening I predicted
this would happen decades although in
448
00:08:58,250 --> 00:08:58,260
this would happen decades although in
449
00:08:58,260 --> 00:08:59,750
this would happen decades although in
the 80s I wasn't just predicting the
450
00:08:59,750 --> 00:08:59,760
the 80s I wasn't just predicting the
451
00:08:59,760 --> 00:09:03,370
the 80s I wasn't just predicting the
boom I was saying 2008 through
452
00:09:03,370 --> 00:09:03,380
boom I was saying 2008 through
453
00:09:03,380 --> 00:09:06,470
boom I was saying 2008 through
2022-23 would be a week period in
454
00:09:06,470 --> 00:09:06,480
2022-23 would be a week period in
455
00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:08,930
2022-23 would be a week period in
between generational spending cycles and
456
00:09:08,930 --> 00:09:08,940
between generational spending cycles and
457
00:09:08,940 --> 00:09:10,730
between generational spending cycles and
particularly wheat because the baby boom
458
00:09:10,730 --> 00:09:10,740
particularly wheat because the baby boom
459
00:09:10,740 --> 00:09:13,190
particularly wheat because the baby boom
was such a large generation to Peak and
460
00:09:13,190 --> 00:09:13,200
was such a large generation to Peak and
461
00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:15,949
was such a large generation to Peak and
crash and that's why these guys they
462
00:09:15,949 --> 00:09:15,959
crash and that's why these guys they
463
00:09:15,959 --> 00:09:16,910
crash and that's why these guys they
thought they were just going to print
464
00:09:16,910 --> 00:09:16,920
thought they were just going to print
465
00:09:16,920 --> 00:09:19,430
thought they were just going to print
some money in 2009 and be done in a year
466
00:09:19,430 --> 00:09:19,440
some money in 2009 and be done in a year
467
00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:21,670
some money in 2009 and be done in a year
they've been printing ever since
468
00:09:21,670 --> 00:09:21,680
they've been printing ever since
469
00:09:21,680 --> 00:09:23,810
they've been printing ever since
unprecedented I think it's up to nine
470
00:09:23,810 --> 00:09:23,820
unprecedented I think it's up to nine
471
00:09:23,820 --> 00:09:26,210
unprecedented I think it's up to nine
trillion dollars now they've had to
472
00:09:26,210 --> 00:09:26,220
trillion dollars now they've had to
473
00:09:26,220 --> 00:09:27,470
trillion dollars now they've had to
print unprecedent amount of money
474
00:09:27,470 --> 00:09:27,480
print unprecedent amount of money
475
00:09:27,480 --> 00:09:30,290
print unprecedent amount of money
because the the downward demographic
476
00:09:30,290 --> 00:09:30,300
because the the downward demographic
477
00:09:30,300 --> 00:09:32,329
because the the downward demographic
forces are that strong and they actually
478
00:09:32,329 --> 00:09:32,339
forces are that strong and they actually
479
00:09:32,339 --> 00:09:35,050
forces are that strong and they actually
do turn up around
480
00:09:35,050 --> 00:09:35,060
do turn up around
481
00:09:35,060 --> 00:09:39,110
do turn up around
2024-25 but they've kind of pushed this
482
00:09:39,110 --> 00:09:39,120
2024-25 but they've kind of pushed this
483
00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:42,650
2024-25 but they've kind of pushed this
downturn out longer by by fighting it
484
00:09:42,650 --> 00:09:42,660
downturn out longer by by fighting it
485
00:09:42,660 --> 00:09:44,810
downturn out longer by by fighting it
and not letting the markets do what they
486
00:09:44,810 --> 00:09:44,820
and not letting the markets do what they
487
00:09:44,820 --> 00:09:47,449
and not letting the markets do what they
do best clear out bad debts clear out
488
00:09:47,449 --> 00:09:47,459
do best clear out bad debts clear out
489
00:09:47,459 --> 00:09:50,150
do best clear out bad debts clear out
excessive valuations so we can move on
490
00:09:50,150 --> 00:09:50,160
excessive valuations so we can move on
491
00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:51,889
excessive valuations so we can move on
and have a healthy bull market again
492
00:09:51,889 --> 00:09:51,899
and have a healthy bull market again
493
00:09:51,899 --> 00:09:53,690
and have a healthy bull market again
which we always do when the next
494
00:09:53,690 --> 00:09:53,700
which we always do when the next
495
00:09:53,700 --> 00:09:55,790
which we always do when the next
Generation starts spinning so the next
496
00:09:55,790 --> 00:09:55,800
Generation starts spinning so the next
497
00:09:55,800 --> 00:09:57,949
Generation starts spinning so the next
generation is going to start spinning in
498
00:09:57,949 --> 00:09:57,959
generation is going to start spinning in
499
00:09:57,959 --> 00:10:00,410
generation is going to start spinning in
the next year or two but we have not
500
00:10:00,410 --> 00:10:00,420
the next year or two but we have not
501
00:10:00,420 --> 00:10:03,610
the next year or two but we have not
cleaned up the massive debts and and
502
00:10:03,610 --> 00:10:03,620
cleaned up the massive debts and and
503
00:10:03,620 --> 00:10:05,990
cleaned up the massive debts and and
overvaluations of the biggest financial
504
00:10:05,990 --> 00:10:06,000
overvaluations of the biggest financial
505
00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:08,389
overvaluations of the biggest financial
asset bubble in everything we've never
506
00:10:08,389 --> 00:10:08,399
asset bubble in everything we've never
507
00:10:08,399 --> 00:10:10,370
asset bubble in everything we've never
had a financial asset bubble in
508
00:10:10,370 --> 00:10:10,380
had a financial asset bubble in
509
00:10:10,380 --> 00:10:13,130
had a financial asset bubble in
everything like this this bubble has not
510
00:10:13,130 --> 00:10:13,140
everything like this this bubble has not
511
00:10:13,140 --> 00:10:15,230
everything like this this bubble has not
been allowed to burst and clear out its
512
00:10:15,230 --> 00:10:15,240
been allowed to burst and clear out its
513
00:10:15,240 --> 00:10:17,389
been allowed to burst and clear out its
excesses which we need to do and I think
514
00:10:17,389 --> 00:10:17,399
excesses which we need to do and I think
515
00:10:17,399 --> 00:10:20,150
excesses which we need to do and I think
we're we're into that process now that
516
00:10:20,150 --> 00:10:20,160
we're we're into that process now that
517
00:10:20,160 --> 00:10:22,190
we're we're into that process now that
that you know they over I mean now
518
00:10:22,190 --> 00:10:22,200
that you know they over I mean now
519
00:10:22,200 --> 00:10:24,889
that you know they over I mean now
they're having to tighten strong I mean
520
00:10:24,889 --> 00:10:24,899
they're having to tighten strong I mean
521
00:10:24,899 --> 00:10:26,710
they're having to tighten strong I mean
they they're they're up to uh
522
00:10:26,710 --> 00:10:26,720
they they're they're up to uh
523
00:10:26,720 --> 00:10:29,509
they they're they're up to uh
475 basis points and probably going to
524
00:10:29,509 --> 00:10:29,519
475 basis points and probably going to
525
00:10:29,519 --> 00:10:31,370
475 basis points and probably going to
be at 500 in the next meeting before
526
00:10:31,370 --> 00:10:31,380
be at 500 in the next meeting before
527
00:10:31,380 --> 00:10:33,410
be at 500 in the next meeting before
they stop that's more than they've
528
00:10:33,410 --> 00:10:33,420
they stop that's more than they've
529
00:10:33,420 --> 00:10:35,509
they stop that's more than they've
they've uh pushed up interest rates and
530
00:10:35,509 --> 00:10:35,519
they've uh pushed up interest rates and
531
00:10:35,519 --> 00:10:37,670
they've uh pushed up interest rates and
Titan ever since the early 80s this
532
00:10:37,670 --> 00:10:37,680
Titan ever since the early 80s this
533
00:10:37,680 --> 00:10:40,070
Titan ever since the early 80s this
entire boom and bust so this is serious
534
00:10:40,070 --> 00:10:40,080
entire boom and bust so this is serious
535
00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:43,190
entire boom and bust so this is serious
tightening why they had to tighten
536
00:10:43,190 --> 00:10:43,200
tightening why they had to tighten
537
00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:45,170
tightening why they had to tighten
because they over stimulated and covered
538
00:10:45,170 --> 00:10:45,180
because they over stimulated and covered
539
00:10:45,180 --> 00:10:47,389
because they over stimulated and covered
that was their biggest mistake now
540
00:10:47,389 --> 00:10:47,399
that was their biggest mistake now
541
00:10:47,399 --> 00:10:48,590
that was their biggest mistake now
they're tightening and they're thinking
542
00:10:48,590 --> 00:10:48,600
they're tightening and they're thinking
543
00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:50,269
they're tightening and they're thinking
well the economy underneath can handle
544
00:10:50,269 --> 00:10:50,279
well the economy underneath can handle
545
00:10:50,279 --> 00:10:53,030
well the economy underneath can handle
it no the economy underneath has been
546
00:10:53,030 --> 00:10:53,040
it no the economy underneath has been
547
00:10:53,040 --> 00:10:56,389
it no the economy underneath has been
weak since 2008 and does not get strong
548
00:10:56,389 --> 00:10:56,399
weak since 2008 and does not get strong
549
00:10:56,399 --> 00:10:58,370
weak since 2008 and does not get strong
until a few years from now so I think
550
00:10:58,370 --> 00:10:58,380
until a few years from now so I think
551
00:10:58,380 --> 00:11:00,829
until a few years from now so I think
that's how this correction look what
552
00:11:00,829 --> 00:11:00,839
that's how this correction look what
553
00:11:00,839 --> 00:11:02,990
that's how this correction look what
looks like a correction now keeps going
554
00:11:02,990 --> 00:11:03,000
looks like a correction now keeps going
555
00:11:03,000 --> 00:11:05,750
looks like a correction now keeps going
down bills on itself and turns in to a
556
00:11:05,750 --> 00:11:05,760
down bills on itself and turns in to a
557
00:11:05,760 --> 00:11:10,250
down bills on itself and turns in to a
crash more like 1929 to 32 down 86
558
00:11:10,250 --> 00:11:10,260
crash more like 1929 to 32 down 86
559
00:11:10,260 --> 00:11:12,769
crash more like 1929 to 32 down 86
percent on the S P 500 that's my best
560
00:11:12,769 --> 00:11:12,779
percent on the S P 500 that's my best
561
00:11:12,779 --> 00:11:15,590
percent on the S P 500 that's my best
forecast at this time and we've already
562
00:11:15,590 --> 00:11:15,600
forecast at this time and we've already
563
00:11:15,600 --> 00:11:19,550
forecast at this time and we've already
seen the s p down 28 much more than a
564
00:11:19,550 --> 00:11:19,560
seen the s p down 28 much more than a
565
00:11:19,560 --> 00:11:23,230
seen the s p down 28 much more than a
normal correction and the NASDAQ down 38
566
00:11:23,230 --> 00:11:23,240
normal correction and the NASDAQ down 38
567
00:11:23,240 --> 00:11:26,389
normal correction and the NASDAQ down 38
and I studied every major Bubble Burst
568
00:11:26,389 --> 00:11:26,399
and I studied every major Bubble Burst
569
00:11:26,399 --> 00:11:28,430
and I studied every major Bubble Burst
and all of history for hundreds of years
570
00:11:28,430 --> 00:11:28,440
and all of history for hundreds of years
571
00:11:28,440 --> 00:11:31,190
and all of history for hundreds of years
and found that a bubble does not end
572
00:11:31,190 --> 00:11:31,200
and found that a bubble does not end
573
00:11:31,200 --> 00:11:34,009
and found that a bubble does not end
until you see a first crash of 28 to 50
574
00:11:34,009 --> 00:11:34,019
until you see a first crash of 28 to 50
575
00:11:34,019 --> 00:11:36,949
until you see a first crash of 28 to 50
percent so that's what that crash last
576
00:11:36,949 --> 00:11:36,959
percent so that's what that crash last
577
00:11:36,959 --> 00:11:39,290
percent so that's what that crash last
year was now we're moving in the next
578
00:11:39,290 --> 00:11:39,300
year was now we're moving in the next
579
00:11:39,300 --> 00:11:41,509
year was now we're moving in the next
wave down I call it so you get a first
580
00:11:41,509 --> 00:11:41,519
wave down I call it so you get a first
581
00:11:41,519 --> 00:11:44,030
wave down I call it so you get a first
wave down a second wave bounce which
582
00:11:44,030 --> 00:11:44,040
wave down a second wave bounce which
583
00:11:44,040 --> 00:11:46,250
wave down a second wave bounce which
we've seen we're already into the third
584
00:11:46,250 --> 00:11:46,260
we've seen we're already into the third
585
00:11:46,260 --> 00:11:48,170
we've seen we're already into the third
wave just starting the third wave
586
00:11:48,170 --> 00:11:48,180
wave just starting the third wave
587
00:11:48,180 --> 00:11:50,870
wave just starting the third wave
usually is the strongest and hardest way
588
00:11:50,870 --> 00:11:50,880
usually is the strongest and hardest way
589
00:11:50,880 --> 00:11:52,790
usually is the strongest and hardest way
and I think that's going to happen most
590
00:11:52,790 --> 00:11:52,800
and I think that's going to happen most
591
00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:54,050
and I think that's going to happen most
of that's going to happen between now
592
00:11:54,050 --> 00:11:54,060
of that's going to happen between now
593
00:11:54,060 --> 00:11:55,730
of that's going to happen between now
and the end of the year and the biggest
594
00:11:55,730 --> 00:11:55,740
and the end of the year and the biggest
595
00:11:55,740 --> 00:11:58,970
and the end of the year and the biggest
part of that I call it the third wave of
596
00:11:58,970 --> 00:11:58,980
part of that I call it the third wave of
597
00:11:58,980 --> 00:12:00,889
part of that I call it the third wave of
the third wave so the most powerful part
598
00:12:00,889 --> 00:12:00,899
the third wave so the most powerful part
599
00:12:00,899 --> 00:12:03,410
the third wave so the most powerful part
of the most of the larger third wave
600
00:12:03,410 --> 00:12:03,420
of the most of the larger third wave
601
00:12:03,420 --> 00:12:05,269
of the most of the larger third wave
that we're already in is going to hit
602
00:12:05,269 --> 00:12:05,279
that we're already in is going to hit
603
00:12:05,279 --> 00:12:08,210
that we're already in is going to hit
between now and about mid-june so this
604
00:12:08,210 --> 00:12:08,220
between now and about mid-june so this
605
00:12:08,220 --> 00:12:11,269
between now and about mid-june so this
is the time to be cautious on stocks if
606
00:12:11,269 --> 00:12:11,279
is the time to be cautious on stocks if
607
00:12:11,279 --> 00:12:12,650
is the time to be cautious on stocks if
you listen to me now then you'll
608
00:12:12,650 --> 00:12:12,660
you listen to me now then you'll
609
00:12:12,660 --> 00:12:14,030
you listen to me now then you'll
probably listen to me more down the road
610
00:12:14,030 --> 00:12:14,040
probably listen to me more down the road
611
00:12:14,040 --> 00:12:16,310
probably listen to me more down the road
but just listen to me now this is a
612
00:12:16,310 --> 00:12:16,320
but just listen to me now this is a
613
00:12:16,320 --> 00:12:18,170
but just listen to me now this is a
really good time to lighten up or get
614
00:12:18,170 --> 00:12:18,180
really good time to lighten up or get
615
00:12:18,180 --> 00:12:20,690
really good time to lighten up or get
out of stocks and see if this crash
616
00:12:20,690 --> 00:12:20,700
out of stocks and see if this crash
617
00:12:20,700 --> 00:12:22,670
out of stocks and see if this crash
happens because if it does we could be
618
00:12:22,670 --> 00:12:22,680
happens because if it does we could be
619
00:12:22,680 --> 00:12:24,889
happens because if it does we could be
down 50 on the NASDAQ from the top
620
00:12:24,889 --> 00:12:24,899
down 50 on the NASDAQ from the top
621
00:12:24,899 --> 00:12:27,650
down 50 on the NASDAQ from the top
literally by mid-june or so and that's
622
00:12:27,650 --> 00:12:27,660
literally by mid-june or so and that's
623
00:12:27,660 --> 00:12:29,449
literally by mid-june or so and that's
going to be very painful for investors
624
00:12:29,449 --> 00:12:29,459
going to be very painful for investors
625
00:12:29,459 --> 00:12:32,569
going to be very painful for investors
you mentioned that between 2008 and 2020
626
00:12:32,569 --> 00:12:32,579
you mentioned that between 2008 and 2020
627
00:12:32,579 --> 00:12:36,050
you mentioned that between 2008 and 2020
or 2022 uh back then you forecast that
628
00:12:36,050 --> 00:12:36,060
or 2022 uh back then you forecast that
629
00:12:36,060 --> 00:12:37,550
or 2022 uh back then you forecast that
this period would be a period of very
630
00:12:37,550 --> 00:12:37,560
this period would be a period of very
631
00:12:37,560 --> 00:12:38,990
this period would be a period of very
low spending
632
00:12:38,990 --> 00:12:39,000
low spending
633
00:12:39,000 --> 00:12:42,769
low spending
um okay fine but we also had a period of
634
00:12:42,769 --> 00:12:42,779
um okay fine but we also had a period of
635
00:12:42,779 --> 00:12:45,889
um okay fine but we also had a period of
extraordinary growth for the S P 500 or
636
00:12:45,889 --> 00:12:45,899
extraordinary growth for the S P 500 or
637
00:12:45,899 --> 00:12:48,230
extraordinary growth for the S P 500 or
any stock market index what was that
638
00:12:48,230 --> 00:12:48,240
any stock market index what was that
639
00:12:48,240 --> 00:12:49,670
any stock market index what was that
caused by it wasn't caused by spending
640
00:12:49,670 --> 00:12:49,680
caused by it wasn't caused by spending
641
00:12:49,680 --> 00:12:52,069
caused by it wasn't caused by spending
then right it was something else well it
642
00:12:52,069 --> 00:12:52,079
then right it was something else well it
643
00:12:52,079 --> 00:12:54,769
then right it was something else well it
was caused by Massive money printing
644
00:12:54,769 --> 00:12:54,779
was caused by Massive money printing
645
00:12:54,779 --> 00:12:57,530
was caused by Massive money printing
which did increase consumer spending
646
00:12:57,530 --> 00:12:57,540
which did increase consumer spending
647
00:12:57,540 --> 00:12:58,910
which did increase consumer spending
consumer spending what it would have
648
00:12:58,910 --> 00:12:58,920
consumer spending what it would have
649
00:12:58,920 --> 00:13:01,210
consumer spending what it would have
been much weaker so they were literally
650
00:13:01,210 --> 00:13:01,220
been much weaker so they were literally
651
00:13:01,220 --> 00:13:04,670
been much weaker so they were literally
pouring money in into the economy to
652
00:13:04,670 --> 00:13:04,680
pouring money in into the economy to
653
00:13:04,680 --> 00:13:07,790
pouring money in into the economy to
help offset the natural slowing it's not
654
00:13:07,790 --> 00:13:07,800
help offset the natural slowing it's not
655
00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:09,949
help offset the natural slowing it's not
it's not that individual families are
656
00:13:09,949 --> 00:13:09,959
it's not that individual families are
657
00:13:09,959 --> 00:13:11,389
it's not that individual families are
spending less it's just you have less
658
00:13:11,389 --> 00:13:11,399
spending less it's just you have less
659
00:13:11,399 --> 00:13:13,250
spending less it's just you have less
people moving into their Peak spending
660
00:13:13,250 --> 00:13:13,260
people moving into their Peak spending
661
00:13:13,260 --> 00:13:15,050
people moving into their Peak spending
which again I was the first to
662
00:13:15,050 --> 00:13:15,060
which again I was the first to
663
00:13:15,060 --> 00:13:17,990
which again I was the first to
identified decades ago 46 is the magic
664
00:13:17,990 --> 00:13:18,000
identified decades ago 46 is the magic
665
00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:19,910
identified decades ago 46 is the magic
number now it's about 47 for the
666
00:13:19,910 --> 00:13:19,920
number now it's about 47 for the
667
00:13:19,920 --> 00:13:22,790
number now it's about 47 for the
Millennium 46 is when the Baby Boomers
668
00:13:22,790 --> 00:13:22,800
Millennium 46 is when the Baby Boomers
669
00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:25,550
Millennium 46 is when the Baby Boomers
on average spent the most money so this
670
00:13:25,550 --> 00:13:25,560
on average spent the most money so this
671
00:13:25,560 --> 00:13:27,829
on average spent the most money so this
whole boom was just increasing numbers
672
00:13:27,829 --> 00:13:27,839
whole boom was just increasing numbers
673
00:13:27,839 --> 00:13:30,110
whole boom was just increasing numbers
of baby boomers moving in that Peak
674
00:13:30,110 --> 00:13:30,120
of baby boomers moving in that Peak
675
00:13:30,120 --> 00:13:32,329
of baby boomers moving in that Peak
spinning and ever since 2008 nothing
676
00:13:32,329 --> 00:13:32,339
spinning and ever since 2008 nothing
677
00:13:32,339 --> 00:13:34,009
spinning and ever since 2008 nothing
wrong with economy nobody did anything
678
00:13:34,009 --> 00:13:34,019
wrong with economy nobody did anything
679
00:13:34,019 --> 00:13:36,590
wrong with economy nobody did anything
wrong we have less such Peak Spenders
680
00:13:36,590 --> 00:13:36,600
wrong we have less such Peak Spenders
681
00:13:36,600 --> 00:13:38,990
wrong we have less such Peak Spenders
and that causes a natural slowing and
682
00:13:38,990 --> 00:13:39,000
and that causes a natural slowing and
683
00:13:39,000 --> 00:13:40,730
and that causes a natural slowing and
what governments have done is because
684
00:13:40,730 --> 00:13:40,740
what governments have done is because
685
00:13:40,740 --> 00:13:42,470
what governments have done is because
they only thought it was going to last a
686
00:13:42,470 --> 00:13:42,480
they only thought it was going to last a
687
00:13:42,480 --> 00:13:44,750
they only thought it was going to last a
year to to in 2009 they thought one year
688
00:13:44,750 --> 00:13:44,760
year to to in 2009 they thought one year
689
00:13:44,760 --> 00:13:46,910
year to to in 2009 they thought one year
of of stimulus and we'd be out of that
690
00:13:46,910 --> 00:13:46,920
of of stimulus and we'd be out of that
691
00:13:46,920 --> 00:13:49,030
of of stimulus and we'd be out of that
recession they've had to continually
692
00:13:49,030 --> 00:13:49,040
recession they've had to continually
693
00:13:49,040 --> 00:13:51,829
recession they've had to continually
stimulate the economy because it's a
694
00:13:51,829 --> 00:13:51,839
stimulate the economy because it's a
695
00:13:51,839 --> 00:13:55,790
stimulate the economy because it's a
long-term predictable solid demographic
696
00:13:55,790 --> 00:13:55,800
long-term predictable solid demographic
697
00:13:55,800 --> 00:13:58,850
long-term predictable solid demographic
slowing that you cannot cure except by
698
00:13:58,850 --> 00:13:58,860
slowing that you cannot cure except by
699
00:13:58,860 --> 00:14:00,170
slowing that you cannot cure except by
printing money and what the problem with
700
00:14:00,170 --> 00:14:00,180
printing money and what the problem with
701
00:14:00,180 --> 00:14:01,910
printing money and what the problem with
printing money is it creates financial
702
00:14:01,910 --> 00:14:01,920
printing money is it creates financial
703
00:14:01,920 --> 00:14:05,090
printing money is it creates financial
asset bubbles which then will burst
704
00:14:05,090 --> 00:14:05,100
asset bubbles which then will burst
705
00:14:05,100 --> 00:14:08,750
asset bubbles which then will burst
badly no financial asset bubble ever of
706
00:14:08,750 --> 00:14:08,760
badly no financial asset bubble ever of
707
00:14:08,760 --> 00:14:10,910
badly no financial asset bubble ever of
this size and this is greater than the
708
00:14:10,910 --> 00:14:10,920
this size and this is greater than the
709
00:14:10,920 --> 00:14:12,889
this size and this is greater than the
Roaring 20s greater than the bubble the
710
00:14:12,889 --> 00:14:12,899
Roaring 20s greater than the bubble the
711
00:14:12,899 --> 00:14:16,129
Roaring 20s greater than the bubble the
tech bubble into 99 2000 no bubble has
712
00:14:16,129 --> 00:14:16,139
tech bubble into 99 2000 no bubble has
713
00:14:16,139 --> 00:14:19,129
tech bubble into 99 2000 no bubble has
not burst and burst 80 to 90 percent and
714
00:14:19,129 --> 00:14:19,139
not burst and burst 80 to 90 percent and
715
00:14:19,139 --> 00:14:21,230
not burst and burst 80 to 90 percent and
that's what I'm saying can happen and
716
00:14:21,230 --> 00:14:21,240
that's what I'm saying can happen and
717
00:14:21,240 --> 00:14:23,329
that's what I'm saying can happen and
and anybody that looks at this bubble
718
00:14:23,329 --> 00:14:23,339
and anybody that looks at this bubble
719
00:14:23,339 --> 00:14:25,610
and anybody that looks at this bubble
and sees anything else is bubble blonde
720
00:14:25,610 --> 00:14:25,620
and sees anything else is bubble blonde
721
00:14:25,620 --> 00:14:28,069
and sees anything else is bubble blonde
it just just doesn't understand history
722
00:14:28,069 --> 00:14:28,079
it just just doesn't understand history
723
00:14:28,079 --> 00:14:30,110
it just just doesn't understand history
because this should be the most obvious
724
00:14:30,110 --> 00:14:30,120
because this should be the most obvious
725
00:14:30,120 --> 00:14:32,269
because this should be the most obvious
thing on earth we see a bubble now
726
00:14:32,269 --> 00:14:32,279
thing on earth we see a bubble now
727
00:14:32,279 --> 00:14:35,509
thing on earth we see a bubble now
bigger and higher than the 95 to 2000
728
00:14:35,509 --> 00:14:35,519
bigger and higher than the 95 to 2000
729
00:14:35,519 --> 00:14:37,310
bigger and higher than the 95 to 2000
bubble and people somehow think we'll
730
00:14:37,310 --> 00:14:37,320
bubble and people somehow think we'll
731
00:14:37,320 --> 00:14:39,769
bubble and people somehow think we'll
come out of this with a soft Landing
732
00:14:39,769 --> 00:14:39,779
come out of this with a soft Landing
733
00:14:39,779 --> 00:14:42,650
come out of this with a soft Landing
last time 2008 was not a soft Landing
734
00:14:42,650 --> 00:14:42,660
last time 2008 was not a soft Landing
735
00:14:42,660 --> 00:14:45,050
last time 2008 was not a soft Landing
was the deepest recession deeper than 80
736
00:14:45,050 --> 00:14:45,060
was the deepest recession deeper than 80
737
00:14:45,060 --> 00:14:48,290
was the deepest recession deeper than 80
to 82 the closest thing to 30 to 32 but
738
00:14:48,290 --> 00:14:48,300
to 82 the closest thing to 30 to 32 but
739
00:14:48,300 --> 00:14:49,970
to 82 the closest thing to 30 to 32 but
nothing nothing will ever probably hit
740
00:14:49,970 --> 00:14:49,980
nothing nothing will ever probably hit
741
00:14:49,980 --> 00:14:52,069
nothing nothing will ever probably hit
that again but this is what this is
742
00:14:52,069 --> 00:14:52,079
that again but this is what this is
743
00:14:52,079 --> 00:14:53,930
that again but this is what this is
going to be stronger than that because
744
00:14:53,930 --> 00:14:53,940
going to be stronger than that because
745
00:14:53,940 --> 00:14:57,590
going to be stronger than that because
we didn't finish the downturn in 2008
746
00:14:57,590 --> 00:14:57,600
we didn't finish the downturn in 2008
747
00:14:57,600 --> 00:14:59,629
we didn't finish the downturn in 2008
that that downturn should have lasted
748
00:14:59,629 --> 00:14:59,639
that that downturn should have lasted
749
00:14:59,639 --> 00:15:03,590
that that downturn should have lasted
like 30 to 32 and well into 2010 and we
750
00:15:03,590 --> 00:15:03,600
like 30 to 32 and well into 2010 and we
751
00:15:03,600 --> 00:15:05,710
like 30 to 32 and well into 2010 and we
should have had much you know 15 16
752
00:15:05,710 --> 00:15:05,720
should have had much you know 15 16
753
00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:08,629
should have had much you know 15 16
unemployment instead of 10 to 11 on and
754
00:15:08,629 --> 00:15:08,639
unemployment instead of 10 to 11 on and
755
00:15:08,639 --> 00:15:10,730
unemployment instead of 10 to 11 on and
on and on it didn't so now we're going
756
00:15:10,730 --> 00:15:10,740
on and on it didn't so now we're going
757
00:15:10,740 --> 00:15:13,310
on and on it didn't so now we're going
to see that in the second crash in the
758
00:15:13,310 --> 00:15:13,320
to see that in the second crash in the
759
00:15:13,320 --> 00:15:15,170
to see that in the second crash in the
Great Depression the first crash was the
760
00:15:15,170 --> 00:15:15,180
Great Depression the first crash was the
761
00:15:15,180 --> 00:15:17,210
Great Depression the first crash was the
big one then we had a a second
762
00:15:17,210 --> 00:15:17,220
big one then we had a a second
763
00:15:17,220 --> 00:15:20,810
big one then we had a a second
depression from 37 to 38 at the end this
764
00:15:20,810 --> 00:15:20,820
depression from 37 to 38 at the end this
765
00:15:20,820 --> 00:15:23,449
depression from 37 to 38 at the end this
time we get we get the big crash at the
766
00:15:23,449 --> 00:15:23,459
time we get we get the big crash at the
767
00:15:23,459 --> 00:15:26,689
time we get we get the big crash at the
end here in the early 2020s because we
768
00:15:26,689 --> 00:15:26,699
end here in the early 2020s because we
769
00:15:26,699 --> 00:15:29,030
end here in the early 2020s because we
didn't let the first crash do what the
770
00:15:29,030 --> 00:15:29,040
didn't let the first crash do what the
771
00:15:29,040 --> 00:15:31,069
didn't let the first crash do what the
economy would have loved to do just
772
00:15:31,069 --> 00:15:31,079
economy would have loved to do just
773
00:15:31,079 --> 00:15:33,470
economy would have loved to do just
clear out a lot of bad debt and zombie
774
00:15:33,470 --> 00:15:33,480
clear out a lot of bad debt and zombie
775
00:15:33,480 --> 00:15:35,449
clear out a lot of bad debt and zombie
companies which David as you know I mean
776
00:15:35,449 --> 00:15:35,459
companies which David as you know I mean
777
00:15:35,459 --> 00:15:37,490
companies which David as you know I mean
both of those are at record levels I
778
00:15:37,490 --> 00:15:37,500
both of those are at record levels I
779
00:15:37,500 --> 00:15:39,650
both of those are at record levels I
mean I can't even compare this debt
780
00:15:39,650 --> 00:15:39,660
mean I can't even compare this debt
781
00:15:39,660 --> 00:15:41,329
mean I can't even compare this debt
bubble and the number of zombie
782
00:15:41,329 --> 00:15:41,339
bubble and the number of zombie
783
00:15:41,339 --> 00:15:42,590
bubble and the number of zombie
companies which they didn't even used to
784
00:15:42,590 --> 00:15:42,600
companies which they didn't even used to
785
00:15:42,600 --> 00:15:44,689
companies which they didn't even used to
measure companies that can't can own
786
00:15:44,689 --> 00:15:44,699
measure companies that can't can own
787
00:15:44,699 --> 00:15:47,389
measure companies that can't can own
can't can't can't pay their Debt Service
788
00:15:47,389 --> 00:15:47,399
can't can't can't pay their Debt Service
789
00:15:47,399 --> 00:15:50,090
can't can't can't pay their Debt Service
but can still barely be a lot this we've
790
00:15:50,090 --> 00:15:50,100
but can still barely be a lot this we've
791
00:15:50,100 --> 00:15:52,129
but can still barely be a lot this we've
never seen levels like this which is a
792
00:15:52,129 --> 00:15:52,139
never seen levels like this which is a
793
00:15:52,139 --> 00:15:54,470
never seen levels like this which is a
sign that the economy needs to take a
794
00:15:54,470 --> 00:15:54,480
sign that the economy needs to take a
795
00:15:54,480 --> 00:15:57,410
sign that the economy needs to take a
break and flush out all these zombie
796
00:15:57,410 --> 00:15:57,420
break and flush out all these zombie
797
00:15:57,420 --> 00:15:59,810
break and flush out all these zombie
companies and excessive debt that is
798
00:15:59,810 --> 00:15:59,820
companies and excessive debt that is
799
00:15:59,820 --> 00:16:02,389
companies and excessive debt that is
unproductive now most debt now that was
800
00:16:02,389 --> 00:16:02,399
unproductive now most debt now that was
801
00:16:02,399 --> 00:16:04,790
unproductive now most debt now that was
raised is not productive the economy
802
00:16:04,790 --> 00:16:04,800
raised is not productive the economy
803
00:16:04,800 --> 00:16:06,590
raised is not productive the economy
loves to flush that out to make us
804
00:16:06,590 --> 00:16:06,600
loves to flush that out to make us
805
00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:08,870
loves to flush that out to make us
healthy again Central Bankers don't like
806
00:16:08,870 --> 00:16:08,880
healthy again Central Bankers don't like
807
00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:10,250
healthy again Central Bankers don't like
recessions because they think they're
808
00:16:10,250 --> 00:16:10,260
recessions because they think they're
809
00:16:10,260 --> 00:16:12,110
recessions because they think they're
the enemy when they and they don't
810
00:16:12,110 --> 00:16:12,120
the enemy when they and they don't
811
00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:14,689
the enemy when they and they don't
understand that it's exactly recessions
812
00:16:14,689 --> 00:16:14,699
understand that it's exactly recessions
813
00:16:14,699 --> 00:16:16,870
understand that it's exactly recessions
that make the economy so damn efficient
814
00:16:16,870 --> 00:16:16,880
that make the economy so damn efficient
815
00:16:16,880 --> 00:16:19,670
that make the economy so damn efficient
recessions are the cleaning agent the
816
00:16:19,670 --> 00:16:19,680
recessions are the cleaning agent the
817
00:16:19,680 --> 00:16:21,530
recessions are the cleaning agent the
rebalancing agent every time we have a
818
00:16:21,530 --> 00:16:21,540
rebalancing agent every time we have a
819
00:16:21,540 --> 00:16:23,930
rebalancing agent every time we have a
boom and things get a little overdone
820
00:16:23,930 --> 00:16:23,940
boom and things get a little overdone
821
00:16:23,940 --> 00:16:26,810
boom and things get a little overdone
and sloppy and in excessive and
822
00:16:26,810 --> 00:16:26,820
and sloppy and in excessive and
823
00:16:26,820 --> 00:16:28,550
and sloppy and in excessive and
inefficient I mean the longer the
824
00:16:28,550 --> 00:16:28,560
inefficient I mean the longer the
825
00:16:28,560 --> 00:16:30,650
inefficient I mean the longer the
economy booms the more everybody lets
826
00:16:30,650 --> 00:16:30,660
economy booms the more everybody lets
827
00:16:30,660 --> 00:16:32,810
economy booms the more everybody lets
their guard down so recessions are as
828
00:16:32,810 --> 00:16:32,820
their guard down so recessions are as
829
00:16:32,820 --> 00:16:35,269
their guard down so recessions are as
necessary as booms and and they don't
830
00:16:35,269 --> 00:16:35,279
necessary as booms and and they don't
831
00:16:35,279 --> 00:16:37,189
necessary as booms and and they don't
last as long they only last you know
832
00:16:37,189 --> 00:16:37,199
last as long they only last you know
833
00:16:37,199 --> 00:16:39,530
last as long they only last you know
about half as long as is upturns
834
00:16:39,530 --> 00:16:39,540
about half as long as is upturns
835
00:16:39,540 --> 00:16:42,110
about half as long as is upturns
typically or less so recessions are a
836
00:16:42,110 --> 00:16:42,120
typically or less so recessions are a
837
00:16:42,120 --> 00:16:44,389
typically or less so recessions are a
good thing and then the way not to have
838
00:16:44,389 --> 00:16:44,399
good thing and then the way not to have
839
00:16:44,399 --> 00:16:46,310
good thing and then the way not to have
a deep recession is don't have a crazy
840
00:16:46,310 --> 00:16:46,320
a deep recession is don't have a crazy
841
00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:49,009
a deep recession is don't have a crazy
bubbly boom like we've gotten from over
842
00:16:49,009 --> 00:16:49,019
bubbly boom like we've gotten from over
843
00:16:49,019 --> 00:16:52,129
bubbly boom like we've gotten from over
stimulus since 2009. this boom has all
844
00:16:52,129 --> 00:16:52,139
stimulus since 2009. this boom has all
845
00:16:52,139 --> 00:16:54,590
stimulus since 2009. this boom has all
been stimulus no demographics driving it
846
00:16:54,590 --> 00:16:54,600
been stimulus no demographics driving it
847
00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:57,829
been stimulus no demographics driving it
the boom from 1983 to 2007 was driven by
848
00:16:57,829 --> 00:16:57,839
the boom from 1983 to 2007 was driven by
849
00:16:57,839 --> 00:17:00,170
the boom from 1983 to 2007 was driven by
the strongest demographic Trends and
850
00:17:00,170 --> 00:17:00,180
the strongest demographic Trends and
851
00:17:00,180 --> 00:17:04,610
the strongest demographic Trends and
Technology Trends in history okay even
852
00:17:04,610 --> 00:17:04,620
Technology Trends in history okay even
853
00:17:04,620 --> 00:17:06,530
Technology Trends in history okay even
stronger than the 50s and 60s in the
854
00:17:06,530 --> 00:17:06,540
stronger than the 50s and 60s in the
855
00:17:06,540 --> 00:17:09,110
stronger than the 50s and 60s in the
Roaring 20s and early 1900s so that was
856
00:17:09,110 --> 00:17:09,120
Roaring 20s and early 1900s so that was
857
00:17:09,120 --> 00:17:11,990
Roaring 20s and early 1900s so that was
real everything since 2008 has been fake
858
00:17:11,990 --> 00:17:12,000
real everything since 2008 has been fake
859
00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:14,630
real everything since 2008 has been fake
and now we need to wash that out so we
860
00:17:14,630 --> 00:17:14,640
and now we need to wash that out so we
861
00:17:14,640 --> 00:17:17,090
and now we need to wash that out so we
can see the next real Trend which is a
862
00:17:17,090 --> 00:17:17,100
can see the next real Trend which is a
863
00:17:17,100 --> 00:17:19,610
can see the next real Trend which is a
shorter Trend but it's it's the it's the
864
00:17:19,610 --> 00:17:19,620
shorter Trend but it's it's the it's the
865
00:17:19,620 --> 00:17:23,809
shorter Trend but it's it's the it's the
millennial boom from 2020 late 2024 in
866
00:17:23,809 --> 00:17:23,819
millennial boom from 2020 late 2024 in
867
00:17:23,819 --> 00:17:26,750
millennial boom from 2020 late 2024 in
the late 2037 that will be their boom
868
00:17:26,750 --> 00:17:26,760
the late 2037 that will be their boom
869
00:17:26,760 --> 00:17:29,870
the late 2037 that will be their boom
and that boom will be compromised and
870
00:17:29,870 --> 00:17:29,880
and that boom will be compromised and
871
00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:31,970
and that boom will be compromised and
not fully happen if we don't wash out
872
00:17:31,970 --> 00:17:31,980
not fully happen if we don't wash out
873
00:17:31,980 --> 00:17:34,490
not fully happen if we don't wash out
the excesses from this baby boom boom we
874
00:17:34,490 --> 00:17:34,500
the excesses from this baby boom boom we
875
00:17:34,500 --> 00:17:36,830
the excesses from this baby boom boom we
did we had the boom and never let the
876
00:17:36,830 --> 00:17:36,840
did we had the boom and never let the
877
00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:38,870
did we had the boom and never let the
bust do what the economy does so well
878
00:17:38,870 --> 00:17:38,880
bust do what the economy does so well
879
00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:42,110
bust do what the economy does so well
clean out all the excess so the
880
00:17:42,110 --> 00:17:42,120
clean out all the excess so the
881
00:17:42,120 --> 00:17:43,490
clean out all the excess so the
millennial General information gonna
882
00:17:43,490 --> 00:17:43,500
millennial General information gonna
883
00:17:43,500 --> 00:17:45,710
millennial General information gonna
pick us up in 2024 I want to come back
884
00:17:45,710 --> 00:17:45,720
pick us up in 2024 I want to come back
885
00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:47,450
pick us up in 2024 I want to come back
to that very important point but let's
886
00:17:47,450 --> 00:17:47,460
to that very important point but let's
887
00:17:47,460 --> 00:17:49,250
to that very important point but let's
talk about valuations and Bubbles so
888
00:17:49,250 --> 00:17:49,260
talk about valuations and Bubbles so
889
00:17:49,260 --> 00:17:50,390
talk about valuations and Bubbles so
when we think about bubbles we think
890
00:17:50,390 --> 00:17:50,400
when we think about bubbles we think
891
00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:53,150
when we think about bubbles we think
about highly overvalued markets the S P
892
00:17:53,150 --> 00:17:53,160
about highly overvalued markets the S P
893
00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:55,789
about highly overvalued markets the S P
500 uh PE ratio has come down like most
894
00:17:55,789 --> 00:17:55,799
500 uh PE ratio has come down like most
895
00:17:55,799 --> 00:17:58,310
500 uh PE ratio has come down like most
markets do you think we're still in a
896
00:17:58,310 --> 00:17:58,320
markets do you think we're still in a
897
00:17:58,320 --> 00:18:00,350
markets do you think we're still in a
highly overvalued territory then yeah
898
00:18:00,350 --> 00:18:00,360
highly overvalued territory then yeah
899
00:18:00,360 --> 00:18:03,950
highly overvalued territory then yeah
yes I mean because this is
900
00:18:03,950 --> 00:18:03,960
901
00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:05,630
this is the two bubbles in a row okay
902
00:18:05,630 --> 00:18:05,640
this is the two bubbles in a row okay
903
00:18:05,640 --> 00:18:09,110
this is the two bubbles in a row okay
the the first bubble
904
00:18:09,110 --> 00:18:09,120
905
00:18:09,120 --> 00:18:11,930
Republic bull market was not as bubbly
906
00:18:11,930 --> 00:18:11,940
Republic bull market was not as bubbly
907
00:18:11,940 --> 00:18:14,810
Republic bull market was not as bubbly
It was 95 to 2000 when the tech stocks
908
00:18:14,810 --> 00:18:14,820
It was 95 to 2000 when the tech stocks
909
00:18:14,820 --> 00:18:17,090
It was 95 to 2000 when the tech stocks
were leading and you had the big bubble
910
00:18:17,090 --> 00:18:17,100
were leading and you had the big bubble
911
00:18:17,100 --> 00:18:19,250
were leading and you had the big bubble
there in the NASDAQ and that's what's
912
00:18:19,250 --> 00:18:19,260
there in the NASDAQ and that's what's
913
00:18:19,260 --> 00:18:21,890
there in the NASDAQ and that's what's
happened again this time it's not just
914
00:18:21,890 --> 00:18:21,900
happened again this time it's not just
915
00:18:21,900 --> 00:18:24,529
happened again this time it's not just
the NASDAQ it's a whole nother sector
916
00:18:24,529 --> 00:18:24,539
the NASDAQ it's a whole nother sector
917
00:18:24,539 --> 00:18:26,390
the NASDAQ it's a whole nother sector
which is not in the NASDAQ even though
918
00:18:26,390 --> 00:18:26,400
which is not in the NASDAQ even though
919
00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:27,529
which is not in the NASDAQ even though
it's Leading Edge and that's the whole
920
00:18:27,529 --> 00:18:27,539
it's Leading Edge and that's the whole
921
00:18:27,539 --> 00:18:30,830
it's Leading Edge and that's the whole
crypto so your crypto stocks have been
922
00:18:30,830 --> 00:18:30,840
crypto so your crypto stocks have been
923
00:18:30,840 --> 00:18:32,390
crypto so your crypto stocks have been
the biggest feature they're the Leading
924
00:18:32,390 --> 00:18:32,400
the biggest feature they're the Leading
925
00:18:32,400 --> 00:18:34,730
the biggest feature they're the Leading
Edge of this boom it was the not just
926
00:18:34,730 --> 00:18:34,740
Edge of this boom it was the not just
927
00:18:34,740 --> 00:18:37,430
Edge of this boom it was the not just
the technology stocks it was the.com
928
00:18:37,430 --> 00:18:37,440
the technology stocks it was the.com
929
00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:40,549
the technology stocks it was the.com
stock it was the Amazon like.com
930
00:18:40,549 --> 00:18:40,559
stock it was the Amazon like.com
931
00:18:40,559 --> 00:18:42,890
stock it was the Amazon like.com
retailers that were emerging in the
932
00:18:42,890 --> 00:18:42,900
retailers that were emerging in the
933
00:18:42,900 --> 00:18:44,630
retailers that were emerging in the
mainstream rapidly in the late 90s
934
00:18:44,630 --> 00:18:44,640
mainstream rapidly in the late 90s
935
00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:46,789
mainstream rapidly in the late 90s
driving that first bubble so what this
936
00:18:46,789 --> 00:18:46,799
driving that first bubble so what this
937
00:18:46,799 --> 00:18:49,909
driving that first bubble so what this
really is is it's the second Tech bubble
938
00:18:49,909 --> 00:18:49,919
really is is it's the second Tech bubble
939
00:18:49,919 --> 00:18:52,549
really is is it's the second Tech bubble
and again you'll never see two
940
00:18:52,549 --> 00:18:52,559
and again you'll never see two
941
00:18:52,559 --> 00:18:54,830
and again you'll never see two
technology driven bubbles in a row in
942
00:18:54,830 --> 00:18:54,840
technology driven bubbles in a row in
943
00:18:54,840 --> 00:18:57,470
technology driven bubbles in a row in
history you didn't see you saw 37 kind
944
00:18:57,470 --> 00:18:57,480
history you didn't see you saw 37 kind
945
00:18:57,480 --> 00:19:00,230
history you didn't see you saw 37 kind
of follow 29 but that was only that was
946
00:19:00,230 --> 00:19:00,240
of follow 29 but that was only that was
947
00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:02,630
of follow 29 but that was only that was
less than a decade later and not the
948
00:19:02,630 --> 00:19:02,640
less than a decade later and not the
949
00:19:02,640 --> 00:19:04,970
less than a decade later and not the
same level of bubble so since we didn't
950
00:19:04,970 --> 00:19:04,980
same level of bubble so since we didn't
951
00:19:04,980 --> 00:19:07,370
same level of bubble so since we didn't
have this wash out and didn't clear out
952
00:19:07,370 --> 00:19:07,380
have this wash out and didn't clear out
953
00:19:07,380 --> 00:19:09,890
have this wash out and didn't clear out
the excesses all this stimulus us did
954
00:19:09,890 --> 00:19:09,900
the excesses all this stimulus us did
955
00:19:09,900 --> 00:19:13,190
the excesses all this stimulus us did
was to create a second artificial bubble
956
00:19:13,190 --> 00:19:13,200
was to create a second artificial bubble
957
00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:16,190
was to create a second artificial bubble
on top of the natural one that first hit
958
00:19:16,190 --> 00:19:16,200
on top of the natural one that first hit
959
00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:18,350
on top of the natural one that first hit
in 2000 and crashed and you got to
960
00:19:18,350 --> 00:19:18,360
in 2000 and crashed and you got to
961
00:19:18,360 --> 00:19:21,529
in 2000 and crashed and you got to
remember the NASDAQ in 2000 2002 crash
962
00:19:21,529 --> 00:19:21,539
remember the NASDAQ in 2000 2002 crash
963
00:19:21,539 --> 00:19:26,289
remember the NASDAQ in 2000 2002 crash
with only a mild recession was down 78
964
00:19:26,289 --> 00:19:26,299
with only a mild recession was down 78
965
00:19:26,299 --> 00:19:29,450
with only a mild recession was down 78
that was the biggest crash the nasdaqs
966
00:19:29,450 --> 00:19:29,460
that was the biggest crash the nasdaqs
967
00:19:29,460 --> 00:19:32,690
that was the biggest crash the nasdaqs
ever had in its history and this one I'm
968
00:19:32,690 --> 00:19:32,700
ever had in its history and this one I'm
969
00:19:32,700 --> 00:19:34,310
ever had in its history and this one I'm
just saying will be a little larger
970
00:19:34,310 --> 00:19:34,320
just saying will be a little larger
971
00:19:34,320 --> 00:19:36,409
just saying will be a little larger
about 92 percent because that one was
972
00:19:36,409 --> 00:19:36,419
about 92 percent because that one was
973
00:19:36,419 --> 00:19:39,529
about 92 percent because that one was
not allowed to go all the way so so this
974
00:19:39,529 --> 00:19:39,539
not allowed to go all the way so so this
975
00:19:39,539 --> 00:19:42,710
not allowed to go all the way so so this
is what happens bubbles always have the
976
00:19:42,710 --> 00:19:42,720
is what happens bubbles always have the
977
00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:44,810
is what happens bubbles always have the
biggest crashes because they have the
978
00:19:44,810 --> 00:19:44,820
biggest crashes because they have the
979
00:19:44,820 --> 00:19:46,970
biggest crashes because they have the
biggest blow-offs you know they they're
980
00:19:46,970 --> 00:19:46,980
biggest blow-offs you know they they're
981
00:19:46,980 --> 00:19:48,830
biggest blow-offs you know they they're
they're they're the strongest stock
982
00:19:48,830 --> 00:19:48,840
they're they're the strongest stock
983
00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:51,950
they're they're the strongest stock
booms on on bull markets and so they
984
00:19:51,950 --> 00:19:51,960
booms on on bull markets and so they
985
00:19:51,960 --> 00:19:54,049
booms on on bull markets and so they
crash hard as well so anybody that looks
986
00:19:54,049 --> 00:19:54,059
crash hard as well so anybody that looks
987
00:19:54,059 --> 00:19:55,909
crash hard as well so anybody that looks
at a bubble of this size and I dare
988
00:19:55,909 --> 00:19:55,919
at a bubble of this size and I dare
989
00:19:55,919 --> 00:19:58,909
at a bubble of this size and I dare
anybody look at the stock market from 95
990
00:19:58,909 --> 00:19:58,919
anybody look at the stock market from 95
991
00:19:58,919 --> 00:20:02,870
anybody look at the stock market from 95
to 2000 look at it from 2019 22 to 29
992
00:20:02,870 --> 00:20:02,880
to 2000 look at it from 2019 22 to 29
993
00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:04,730
to 2000 look at it from 2019 22 to 29
that Bubble look at any other bubble in
994
00:20:04,730 --> 00:20:04,740
that Bubble look at any other bubble in
995
00:20:04,740 --> 00:20:06,950
that Bubble look at any other bubble in
history and look at this recent bubble
996
00:20:06,950 --> 00:20:06,960
history and look at this recent bubble
997
00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:09,710
history and look at this recent bubble
okay since 2009 the long biggest and
998
00:20:09,710 --> 00:20:09,720
okay since 2009 the long biggest and
999
00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:11,630
okay since 2009 the long biggest and
biggest bubble and tell me this isn't a
1000
00:20:11,630 --> 00:20:11,640
biggest bubble and tell me this isn't a
1001
00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:12,529
biggest bubble and tell me this isn't a
bubble
1002
00:20:12,529 --> 00:20:12,539
bubble
1003
00:20:12,539 --> 00:20:14,990
bubble
you're crazy if you say that nobody
1004
00:20:14,990 --> 00:20:15,000
you're crazy if you say that nobody
1005
00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:17,330
you're crazy if you say that nobody
wants to see it and all the experts
1006
00:20:17,330 --> 00:20:17,340
wants to see it and all the experts
1007
00:20:17,340 --> 00:20:19,370
wants to see it and all the experts
ignore it well it's okay and the FED has
1008
00:20:19,370 --> 00:20:19,380
ignore it well it's okay and the FED has
1009
00:20:19,380 --> 00:20:21,890
ignore it well it's okay and the FED has
it under control and the FED won't let
1010
00:20:21,890 --> 00:20:21,900
it under control and the FED won't let
1011
00:20:21,900 --> 00:20:24,230
it under control and the FED won't let
this a downturn get too high it's
1012
00:20:24,230 --> 00:20:24,240
this a downturn get too high it's
1013
00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:26,930
this a downturn get too high it's
already failing I think what's going to
1014
00:20:26,930 --> 00:20:26,940
already failing I think what's going to
1015
00:20:26,940 --> 00:20:27,590
already failing I think what's going to
happen
1016
00:20:27,590 --> 00:20:27,600
happen
1017
00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:29,390
happen
and the best thing that can happen from
1018
00:20:29,390 --> 00:20:29,400
and the best thing that can happen from
1019
00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:31,730
and the best thing that can happen from
my view is that this next this third
1020
00:20:31,730 --> 00:20:31,740
my view is that this next this third
1021
00:20:31,740 --> 00:20:33,409
my view is that this next this third
wave of the third wave which is
1022
00:20:33,409 --> 00:20:33,419
wave of the third wave which is
1023
00:20:33,419 --> 00:20:35,029
wave of the third wave which is
naturally the most powerful you're going
1024
00:20:35,029 --> 00:20:35,039
naturally the most powerful you're going
1025
00:20:35,039 --> 00:20:37,370
naturally the most powerful you're going
to see okay in the whole sequence down
1026
00:20:37,370 --> 00:20:37,380
to see okay in the whole sequence down
1027
00:20:37,380 --> 00:20:39,169
to see okay in the whole sequence down
over five waves over two and a half
1028
00:20:39,169 --> 00:20:39,179
over five waves over two and a half
1029
00:20:39,179 --> 00:20:43,430
over five waves over two and a half
years like like 73 to 74 or 29 to 32. is
1030
00:20:43,430 --> 00:20:43,440
years like like 73 to 74 or 29 to 32. is
1031
00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:46,909
years like like 73 to 74 or 29 to 32. is
is going to happen fast and hard and
1032
00:20:46,909 --> 00:20:46,919
is going to happen fast and hard and
1033
00:20:46,919 --> 00:20:49,070
is going to happen fast and hard and
that's what's going to lose people gonna
1034
00:20:49,070 --> 00:20:49,080
that's what's going to lose people gonna
1035
00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:50,930
that's what's going to lose people gonna
lose faith Fame the central banks being
1036
00:20:50,930 --> 00:20:50,940
lose faith Fame the central banks being
1037
00:20:50,940 --> 00:20:53,029
lose faith Fame the central banks being
able to contain this thing and then they
1038
00:20:53,029 --> 00:20:53,039
able to contain this thing and then they
1039
00:20:53,039 --> 00:20:55,010
able to contain this thing and then they
just get bearish and then it's hard to
1040
00:20:55,010 --> 00:20:55,020
just get bearish and then it's hard to
1041
00:20:55,020 --> 00:20:56,990
just get bearish and then it's hard to
stop the markets from continuing to fall
1042
00:20:56,990 --> 00:20:57,000
stop the markets from continuing to fall
1043
00:20:57,000 --> 00:20:58,850
stop the markets from continuing to fall
so I think this is a critical Junction
1044
00:20:58,850 --> 00:20:58,860
so I think this is a critical Junction
1045
00:20:58,860 --> 00:21:01,549
so I think this is a critical Junction
the markets want to get back in control
1046
00:21:01,549 --> 00:21:01,559
the markets want to get back in control
1047
00:21:01,559 --> 00:21:03,890
the markets want to get back in control
here the markets don't agree with the
1048
00:21:03,890 --> 00:21:03,900
here the markets don't agree with the
1049
00:21:03,900 --> 00:21:06,230
here the markets don't agree with the
fed the markets would would rather flush
1050
00:21:06,230 --> 00:21:06,240
fed the markets would would rather flush
1051
00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,450
fed the markets would would rather flush
out these excesses than keep a limping
1052
00:21:08,450 --> 00:21:08,460
out these excesses than keep a limping
1053
00:21:08,460 --> 00:21:11,270
out these excesses than keep a limping
economy going on forever but the you
1054
00:21:11,270 --> 00:21:11,280
economy going on forever but the you
1055
00:21:11,280 --> 00:21:13,730
economy going on forever but the you
know central banks and politicians want
1056
00:21:13,730 --> 00:21:13,740
know central banks and politicians want
1057
00:21:13,740 --> 00:21:15,890
know central banks and politicians want
to get reelected now and they don't want
1058
00:21:15,890 --> 00:21:15,900
to get reelected now and they don't want
1059
00:21:15,900 --> 00:21:17,690
to get reelected now and they don't want
the economy to go down on their watch so
1060
00:21:17,690 --> 00:21:17,700
the economy to go down on their watch so
1061
00:21:17,700 --> 00:21:20,690
the economy to go down on their watch so
so they're they're basically wimps in
1062
00:21:20,690 --> 00:21:20,700
so they're they're basically wimps in
1063
00:21:20,700 --> 00:21:22,909
so they're they're basically wimps in
this case the markets the market node
1064
00:21:22,909 --> 00:21:22,919
this case the markets the market node
1065
00:21:22,919 --> 00:21:25,430
this case the markets the market node
the market as soon as the central banks
1066
00:21:25,430 --> 00:21:25,440
the market as soon as the central banks
1067
00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:28,370
the market as soon as the central banks
kind of get get run over or lose control
1068
00:21:28,370 --> 00:21:28,380
kind of get get run over or lose control
1069
00:21:28,380 --> 00:21:30,409
kind of get get run over or lose control
here the markets are going to go down
1070
00:21:30,409 --> 00:21:30,419
here the markets are going to go down
1071
00:21:30,419 --> 00:21:33,350
here the markets are going to go down
and Usher in a deep debt detail it's a
1072
00:21:33,350 --> 00:21:33,360
and Usher in a deep debt detail it's a
1073
00:21:33,360 --> 00:21:35,149
and Usher in a deep debt detail it's a
debt detox it's the best thing to call
1074
00:21:35,149 --> 00:21:35,159
debt detox it's the best thing to call
1075
00:21:35,159 --> 00:21:38,510
debt detox it's the best thing to call
it you basically need to wash out a lot
1076
00:21:38,510 --> 00:21:38,520
it you basically need to wash out a lot
1077
00:21:38,520 --> 00:21:41,330
it you basically need to wash out a lot
of bad debts and zombie companies which
1078
00:21:41,330 --> 00:21:41,340
of bad debts and zombie companies which
1079
00:21:41,340 --> 00:21:43,610
of bad debts and zombie companies which
shouldn't exist the cop free market
1080
00:21:43,610 --> 00:21:43,620
shouldn't exist the cop free market
1081
00:21:43,620 --> 00:21:46,970
shouldn't exist the cop free market
capitalism is equally boom and bust the
1082
00:21:46,970 --> 00:21:46,980
capitalism is equally boom and bust the
1083
00:21:46,980 --> 00:21:49,370
capitalism is equally boom and bust the
busts are necessary as I said earlier to
1084
00:21:49,370 --> 00:21:49,380
busts are necessary as I said earlier to
1085
00:21:49,380 --> 00:21:51,590
busts are necessary as I said earlier to
to clean out the excesses you're going
1086
00:21:51,590 --> 00:21:51,600
to clean out the excesses you're going
1087
00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:54,289
to clean out the excesses you're going
to get in every boom you can't have a
1088
00:21:54,289 --> 00:21:54,299
to get in every boom you can't have a
1089
00:21:54,299 --> 00:21:56,870
to get in every boom you can't have a
boom without a bus to clean up and take
1090
00:21:56,870 --> 00:21:56,880
boom without a bus to clean up and take
1091
00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:58,549
boom without a bus to clean up and take
out the garbage and get ready for the
1092
00:21:58,549 --> 00:21:58,559
out the garbage and get ready for the
1093
00:21:58,559 --> 00:22:00,890
out the garbage and get ready for the
next great boom and if you don't and
1094
00:22:00,890 --> 00:22:00,900
next great boom and if you don't and
1095
00:22:00,900 --> 00:22:02,270
next great boom and if you don't and
this would be the first time in history
1096
00:22:02,270 --> 00:22:02,280
this would be the first time in history
1097
00:22:02,280 --> 00:22:04,490
this would be the first time in history
if we didn't if you don't have that
1098
00:22:04,490 --> 00:22:04,500
if we didn't if you don't have that
1099
00:22:04,500 --> 00:22:06,470
if we didn't if you don't have that
downturn in between like we saw in the
1100
00:22:06,470 --> 00:22:06,480
downturn in between like we saw in the
1101
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:09,169
downturn in between like we saw in the
70s and we saw in the 30s then then the
1102
00:22:09,169 --> 00:22:09,179
70s and we saw in the 30s then then the
1103
00:22:09,179 --> 00:22:11,990
70s and we saw in the 30s then then the
next boom will be compromised there will
1104
00:22:11,990 --> 00:22:12,000
next boom will be compromised there will
1105
00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:14,810
next boom will be compromised there will
not be the productivity and and the
1106
00:22:14,810 --> 00:22:14,820
not be the productivity and and the
1107
00:22:14,820 --> 00:22:16,730
not be the productivity and and the
growth there full out because we're
1108
00:22:16,730 --> 00:22:16,740
growth there full out because we're
1109
00:22:16,740 --> 00:22:19,090
growth there full out because we're
still carrying unproductive debts
1110
00:22:19,090 --> 00:22:19,100
still carrying unproductive debts
1111
00:22:19,100 --> 00:22:22,490
still carrying unproductive debts
lugging them into the future uh what's
1112
00:22:22,490 --> 00:22:22,500
lugging them into the future uh what's
1113
00:22:22,500 --> 00:22:24,049
lugging them into the future uh what's
your view on cryptocurrencies in your
1114
00:22:24,049 --> 00:22:24,059
your view on cryptocurrencies in your
1115
00:22:24,059 --> 00:22:25,430
your view on cryptocurrencies in your
recent newsletter you pointed out the
1116
00:22:25,430 --> 00:22:25,440
recent newsletter you pointed out the
1117
00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:27,649
recent newsletter you pointed out the
fact that Bitcoin still overwhelmingly
1118
00:22:27,649 --> 00:22:27,659
fact that Bitcoin still overwhelmingly
1119
00:22:27,659 --> 00:22:29,930
fact that Bitcoin still overwhelmingly
dominates the overall crypto market cap
1120
00:22:29,930 --> 00:22:29,940
dominates the overall crypto market cap
1121
00:22:29,940 --> 00:22:32,029
dominates the overall crypto market cap
so I guess I'll ask you what your view
1122
00:22:32,029 --> 00:22:32,039
so I guess I'll ask you what your view
1123
00:22:32,039 --> 00:22:34,010
so I guess I'll ask you what your view
on bitcoin is given that you think
1124
00:22:34,010 --> 00:22:34,020
on bitcoin is given that you think
1125
00:22:34,020 --> 00:22:35,029
on bitcoin is given that you think
there's going to be a crash in the
1126
00:22:35,029 --> 00:22:35,039
there's going to be a crash in the
1127
00:22:35,039 --> 00:22:36,770
there's going to be a crash in the
NASDAQ and given that historically
1128
00:22:36,770 --> 00:22:36,780
NASDAQ and given that historically
1129
00:22:36,780 --> 00:22:39,169
NASDAQ and given that historically
they've been correlated yes yes okay
1130
00:22:39,169 --> 00:22:39,179
they've been correlated yes yes okay
1131
00:22:39,179 --> 00:22:41,870
they've been correlated yes yes okay
real quick so I'm predicting the s p
1132
00:22:41,870 --> 00:22:41,880
real quick so I'm predicting the s p
1133
00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:44,510
real quick so I'm predicting the s p
will go down 86 percent the NASDAQ 92
1134
00:22:44,510 --> 00:22:44,520
will go down 86 percent the NASDAQ 92
1135
00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:47,630
will go down 86 percent the NASDAQ 92
and guess what the crypto sector Bitcoin
1136
00:22:47,630 --> 00:22:47,640
and guess what the crypto sector Bitcoin
1137
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:49,250
and guess what the crypto sector Bitcoin
being because there isn't a good enough
1138
00:22:49,250 --> 00:22:49,260
being because there isn't a good enough
1139
00:22:49,260 --> 00:22:52,190
being because there isn't a good enough
index will go down more like 95 96
1140
00:22:52,190 --> 00:22:52,200
index will go down more like 95 96
1141
00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:55,549
index will go down more like 95 96
percent so they are lead bubble and so
1142
00:22:55,549 --> 00:22:55,559
percent so they are lead bubble and so
1143
00:22:55,559 --> 00:22:59,149
percent so they are lead bubble and so
that means Bitcoin goes and nobody's
1144
00:22:59,149 --> 00:22:59,159
that means Bitcoin goes and nobody's
1145
00:22:59,159 --> 00:23:00,529
that means Bitcoin goes and nobody's
going to believe this in that industry
1146
00:23:00,529 --> 00:23:00,539
going to believe this in that industry
1147
00:23:00,539 --> 00:23:02,029
going to believe this in that industry
and I'm down here in Puerto Rico
1148
00:23:02,029 --> 00:23:02,039
and I'm down here in Puerto Rico
1149
00:23:02,039 --> 00:23:03,830
and I'm down here in Puerto Rico
surrounded by crypto people they've all
1150
00:23:03,830 --> 00:23:03,840
surrounded by crypto people they've all
1151
00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:05,810
surrounded by crypto people they've all
moved here for the tax purposes because
1152
00:23:05,810 --> 00:23:05,820
moved here for the tax purposes because
1153
00:23:05,820 --> 00:23:07,789
moved here for the tax purposes because
they're in big capital gains industry
1154
00:23:07,789 --> 00:23:07,799
they're in big capital gains industry
1155
00:23:07,799 --> 00:23:11,510
they're in big capital gains industry
that that Bitcoin will fall from 69 000
1156
00:23:11,510 --> 00:23:11,520
that that Bitcoin will fall from 69 000
1157
00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:14,450
that that Bitcoin will fall from 69 000
to about three to four thousand David
1158
00:23:14,450 --> 00:23:14,460
to about three to four thousand David
1159
00:23:14,460 --> 00:23:16,310
to about three to four thousand David
and that and people say oh Mike then
1160
00:23:16,310 --> 00:23:16,320
and that and people say oh Mike then
1161
00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:17,690
and that and people say oh Mike then
people will say oh well that was just
1162
00:23:17,690 --> 00:23:17,700
people will say oh well that was just
1163
00:23:17,700 --> 00:23:20,390
people will say oh well that was just
total BS oh it was it was just a big
1164
00:23:20,390 --> 00:23:20,400
total BS oh it was it was just a big
1165
00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:23,210
total BS oh it was it was just a big
hoax no it's exactly what Amazon and the
1166
00:23:23,210 --> 00:23:23,220
hoax no it's exactly what Amazon and the
1167
00:23:23,220 --> 00:23:25,430
hoax no it's exactly what Amazon and the
dot-coms did that will even prove to me
1168
00:23:25,430 --> 00:23:25,440
dot-coms did that will even prove to me
1169
00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:27,950
dot-coms did that will even prove to me
more this bubble the size of this crypto
1170
00:23:27,950 --> 00:23:27,960
more this bubble the size of this crypto
1171
00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:30,409
more this bubble the size of this crypto
bubble says to me this is not a joke
1172
00:23:30,409 --> 00:23:30,419
bubble says to me this is not a joke
1173
00:23:30,419 --> 00:23:33,049
bubble says to me this is not a joke
this is the next big thing happening it
1174
00:23:33,049 --> 00:23:33,059
this is the next big thing happening it
1175
00:23:33,059 --> 00:23:36,409
this is the next big thing happening it
it it it it it monitors and and Echoes
1176
00:23:36,409 --> 00:23:36,419
it it it it it monitors and and Echoes
1177
00:23:36,419 --> 00:23:39,590
it it it it it monitors and and Echoes
the the.com bubble perfectly and the
1178
00:23:39,590 --> 00:23:39,600
the the.com bubble perfectly and the
1179
00:23:39,600 --> 00:23:42,529
the the.com bubble perfectly and the
Crash should be equally bad 95 to 96
1180
00:23:42,529 --> 00:23:42,539
Crash should be equally bad 95 to 96
1181
00:23:42,539 --> 00:23:45,590
Crash should be equally bad 95 to 96
which is what what Amazon and the
1182
00:23:45,590 --> 00:23:45,600
which is what what Amazon and the
1183
00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:47,750
which is what what Amazon and the
dot-coms went down and then have the
1184
00:23:47,750 --> 00:23:47,760
dot-coms went down and then have the
1185
00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:49,669
dot-coms went down and then have the
great a great Boom for decades to follow
1186
00:23:49,669 --> 00:23:49,679
great a great Boom for decades to follow
1187
00:23:49,679 --> 00:23:54,710
great a great Boom for decades to follow
so so this is just the baby bubble in a
1188
00:23:54,710 --> 00:23:54,720
so so this is just the baby bubble in a
1189
00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:57,310
so so this is just the baby bubble in a
longer boom that will not Peak until the
1190
00:23:57,310 --> 00:23:57,320
longer boom that will not Peak until the
1191
00:23:57,320 --> 00:23:59,570
longer boom that will not Peak until the
2030s when the United States when the
1192
00:23:59,570 --> 00:23:59,580
2030s when the United States when the
1193
00:23:59,580 --> 00:24:01,789
2030s when the United States when the
Millennials peak in their spending cycle
1194
00:24:01,789 --> 00:24:01,799
Millennials peak in their spending cycle
1195
00:24:01,799 --> 00:24:05,510
Millennials peak in their spending cycle
is when you'll see crypto and all these
1196
00:24:05,510 --> 00:24:05,520
is when you'll see crypto and all these
1197
00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:07,310
is when you'll see crypto and all these
things like Bitcoin and blockchain and
1198
00:24:07,310 --> 00:24:07,320
things like Bitcoin and blockchain and
1199
00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:09,110
things like Bitcoin and blockchain and
it's not Bitcoin Bitcoin is just kind of
1200
00:24:09,110 --> 00:24:09,120
it's not Bitcoin Bitcoin is just kind of
1201
00:24:09,120 --> 00:24:14,090
it's not Bitcoin Bitcoin is just kind of
the lead dog here blockchain is is a way
1202
00:24:14,090 --> 00:24:14,100
the lead dog here blockchain is is a way
1203
00:24:14,100 --> 00:24:17,990
the lead dog here blockchain is is a way
of reconstructing all Financial Services
1204
00:24:17,990 --> 00:24:18,000
of reconstructing all Financial Services
1205
00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,289
of reconstructing all Financial Services
it is basically a revolution
1206
00:24:20,289 --> 00:24:20,299
it is basically a revolution
1207
00:24:20,299 --> 00:24:22,850
it is basically a revolution
particularly in financial services and
1208
00:24:22,850 --> 00:24:22,860
particularly in financial services and
1209
00:24:22,860 --> 00:24:24,649
particularly in financial services and
why is financial services so important
1210
00:24:24,649 --> 00:24:24,659
why is financial services so important
1211
00:24:24,659 --> 00:24:27,710
why is financial services so important
for the first time in history we have
1212
00:24:27,710 --> 00:24:27,720
for the first time in history we have
1213
00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:29,870
for the first time in history we have
the point where everyday people have
1214
00:24:29,870 --> 00:24:29,880
the point where everyday people have
1215
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:32,149
the point where everyday people have
substantial wealth you know have
1216
00:24:32,149 --> 00:24:32,159
substantial wealth you know have
1217
00:24:32,159 --> 00:24:33,830
substantial wealth you know have
hundreds of thousands of dollars going
1218
00:24:33,830 --> 00:24:33,840
hundreds of thousands of dollars going
1219
00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:35,390
hundreds of thousands of dollars going
into retirement they didn't have that in
1220
00:24:35,390 --> 00:24:35,400
into retirement they didn't have that in
1221
00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:38,029
into retirement they didn't have that in
the Roaring 20s or the 50s and 60s so
1222
00:24:38,029 --> 00:24:38,039
the Roaring 20s or the 50s and 60s so
1223
00:24:38,039 --> 00:24:40,549
the Roaring 20s or the 50s and 60s so
this is a wealth Revolution this is a a
1224
00:24:40,549 --> 00:24:40,559
this is a wealth Revolution this is a a
1225
00:24:40,559 --> 00:24:43,610
this is a wealth Revolution this is a a
revolution in financial services being
1226
00:24:43,610 --> 00:24:43,620
revolution in financial services being
1227
00:24:43,620 --> 00:24:48,590
revolution in financial services being
ushered in by blockchain technology and
1228
00:24:48,590 --> 00:24:48,600
ushered in by blockchain technology and
1229
00:24:48,600 --> 00:24:51,049
ushered in by blockchain technology and
and I see Bitcoin Bitcoin is not that
1230
00:24:51,049 --> 00:24:51,059
and I see Bitcoin Bitcoin is not that
1231
00:24:51,059 --> 00:24:53,390
and I see Bitcoin Bitcoin is not that
useful I see Bitcoin being the number
1232
00:24:53,390 --> 00:24:53,400
useful I see Bitcoin being the number
1233
00:24:53,400 --> 00:24:57,890
useful I see Bitcoin being the number
one 43 of the whole index today okay of
1234
00:24:57,890 --> 00:24:57,900
one 43 of the whole index today okay of
1235
00:24:57,900 --> 00:24:59,990
one 43 of the whole index today okay of
of the nine trillion dollars in value
1236
00:24:59,990 --> 00:25:00,000
of the nine trillion dollars in value
1237
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:03,289
of the nine trillion dollars in value
there 43 of its Bitcoin I see Bitcoin
1238
00:25:03,289 --> 00:25:03,299
there 43 of its Bitcoin I see Bitcoin
1239
00:25:03,299 --> 00:25:06,710
there 43 of its Bitcoin I see Bitcoin
becoming the standard for a digital
1240
00:25:06,710 --> 00:25:06,720
becoming the standard for a digital
1241
00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:10,370
becoming the standard for a digital
global economy like gold in the past was
1242
00:25:10,370 --> 00:25:10,380
global economy like gold in the past was
1243
00:25:10,380 --> 00:25:13,070
global economy like gold in the past was
this monetary standard in a in a more
1244
00:25:13,070 --> 00:25:13,080
this monetary standard in a in a more
1245
00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:16,070
this monetary standard in a in a more
material uh less information intensive
1246
00:25:16,070 --> 00:25:16,080
material uh less information intensive
1247
00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:19,549
material uh less information intensive
economy in the past I see gold cannot be
1248
00:25:19,549 --> 00:25:19,559
economy in the past I see gold cannot be
1249
00:25:19,559 --> 00:25:21,890
economy in the past I see gold cannot be
that standard it does it's not the new
1250
00:25:21,890 --> 00:25:21,900
that standard it does it's not the new
1251
00:25:21,900 --> 00:25:25,310
that standard it does it's not the new
economy Bitcoin is the new economy and
1252
00:25:25,310 --> 00:25:25,320
economy Bitcoin is the new economy and
1253
00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:28,010
economy Bitcoin is the new economy and
is big enough to be that standard and
1254
00:25:28,010 --> 00:25:28,020
is big enough to be that standard and
1255
00:25:28,020 --> 00:25:29,930
is big enough to be that standard and
that's that's why I see Bitcoin Will
1256
00:25:29,930 --> 00:25:29,940
that's that's why I see Bitcoin Will
1257
00:25:29,940 --> 00:25:31,750
that's that's why I see Bitcoin Will
Survive because otherwise
1258
00:25:31,750 --> 00:25:31,760
Survive because otherwise
1259
00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:34,010
Survive because otherwise
ethereum does a lot more useful stuff
1260
00:25:34,010 --> 00:25:34,020
ethereum does a lot more useful stuff
1261
00:25:34,020 --> 00:25:35,990
ethereum does a lot more useful stuff
than Bitcoin for example how do you see
1262
00:25:35,990 --> 00:25:36,000
than Bitcoin for example how do you see
1263
00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:37,909
than Bitcoin for example how do you see
the economy uh unfolding over the course
1264
00:25:37,909 --> 00:25:37,919
the economy uh unfolding over the course
1265
00:25:37,919 --> 00:25:39,830
the economy uh unfolding over the course
of the Year unemployment data came out
1266
00:25:39,830 --> 00:25:39,840
of the Year unemployment data came out
1267
00:25:39,840 --> 00:25:42,110
of the Year unemployment data came out
this morning on Friday and surprisingly
1268
00:25:42,110 --> 00:25:42,120
this morning on Friday and surprisingly
1269
00:25:42,120 --> 00:25:44,870
this morning on Friday and surprisingly
to some people it came down not up 3.5
1270
00:25:44,870 --> 00:25:44,880
to some people it came down not up 3.5
1271
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:47,269
to some people it came down not up 3.5
percent was the latest reading it was
1272
00:25:47,269 --> 00:25:47,279
percent was the latest reading it was
1273
00:25:47,279 --> 00:25:50,090
percent was the latest reading it was
3.6 percent people are saying that this
1274
00:25:50,090 --> 00:25:50,100
3.6 percent people are saying that this
1275
00:25:50,100 --> 00:25:52,130
3.6 percent people are saying that this
is and actually the uh particip labor
1276
00:25:52,130 --> 00:25:52,140
is and actually the uh particip labor
1277
00:25:52,140 --> 00:25:53,870
is and actually the uh particip labor
force participation rate has also been
1278
00:25:53,870 --> 00:25:53,880
force participation rate has also been
1279
00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:56,210
force participation rate has also been
inching upwards people are saying that
1280
00:25:56,210 --> 00:25:56,220
inching upwards people are saying that
1281
00:25:56,220 --> 00:25:58,130
inching upwards people are saying that
the labor market is improving even
1282
00:25:58,130 --> 00:25:58,140
the labor market is improving even
1283
00:25:58,140 --> 00:25:59,390
the labor market is improving even
though every day we're reading headlines
1284
00:25:59,390 --> 00:25:59,400
though every day we're reading headlines
1285
00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:01,909
though every day we're reading headlines
at XYZ company is laying off workers
1286
00:26:01,909 --> 00:26:01,919
at XYZ company is laying off workers
1287
00:26:01,919 --> 00:26:04,190
at XYZ company is laying off workers
McDonald's being the most recent one so
1288
00:26:04,190 --> 00:26:04,200
McDonald's being the most recent one so
1289
00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:06,049
McDonald's being the most recent one so
what do you think how would you evaluate
1290
00:26:06,049 --> 00:26:06,059
what do you think how would you evaluate
1291
00:26:06,059 --> 00:26:08,690
what do you think how would you evaluate
the strength of the economy in 2023
1292
00:26:08,690 --> 00:26:08,700
the strength of the economy in 2023
1293
00:26:08,700 --> 00:26:10,549
the strength of the economy in 2023
we'll see one of the problems one of the
1294
00:26:10,549 --> 00:26:10,559
we'll see one of the problems one of the
1295
00:26:10,559 --> 00:26:13,190
we'll see one of the problems one of the
things people miss David when we had the
1296
00:26:13,190 --> 00:26:13,200
things people miss David when we had the
1297
00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:15,409
things people miss David when we had the
last crash okay
1298
00:26:15,409 --> 00:26:15,419
last crash okay
1299
00:26:15,419 --> 00:26:19,070
last crash okay
um basically uh a lot of people exited
1300
00:26:19,070 --> 00:26:19,080
um basically uh a lot of people exited
1301
00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:21,590
um basically uh a lot of people exited
okay and this didn't come back people
1302
00:26:21,590 --> 00:26:21,600
okay and this didn't come back people
1303
00:26:21,600 --> 00:26:23,570
okay and this didn't come back people
gotta remember a lot the Baby Boomers
1304
00:26:23,570 --> 00:26:23,580
gotta remember a lot the Baby Boomers
1305
00:26:23,580 --> 00:26:26,510
gotta remember a lot the Baby Boomers
are are are almost fully in retirement
1306
00:26:26,510 --> 00:26:26,520
are are are almost fully in retirement
1307
00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:28,310
are are are almost fully in retirement
they're they're in their retirement
1308
00:26:28,310 --> 00:26:28,320
they're they're in their retirement
1309
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:30,769
they're they're in their retirement
stage you know they peaked way back you
1310
00:26:30,769 --> 00:26:30,779
stage you know they peaked way back you
1311
00:26:30,779 --> 00:26:33,409
stage you know they peaked way back you
know in 2007. so they've been moving
1312
00:26:33,409 --> 00:26:33,419
know in 2007. so they've been moving
1313
00:26:33,419 --> 00:26:35,210
know in 2007. so they've been moving
increasingly into retirement and will
1314
00:26:35,210 --> 00:26:35,220
increasingly into retirement and will
1315
00:26:35,220 --> 00:26:39,830
increasingly into retirement and will
continue into 2019. I'm sorry uh in in
1316
00:26:39,830 --> 00:26:39,840
continue into 2019. I'm sorry uh in in
1317
00:26:39,840 --> 00:26:42,409
continue into 2019. I'm sorry uh in in
the 2029 to do that before they're fully
1318
00:26:42,409 --> 00:26:42,419
the 2029 to do that before they're fully
1319
00:26:42,419 --> 00:26:45,350
the 2029 to do that before they're fully
retired but they are retiring they are
1320
00:26:45,350 --> 00:26:45,360
retired but they are retiring they are
1321
00:26:45,360 --> 00:26:47,090
retired but they are retiring they are
leaving the workforce and not coming
1322
00:26:47,090 --> 00:26:47,100
leaving the workforce and not coming
1323
00:26:47,100 --> 00:26:48,649
leaving the workforce and not coming
back so that's what people are missing
1324
00:26:48,649 --> 00:26:48,659
back so that's what people are missing
1325
00:26:48,659 --> 00:26:51,830
back so that's what people are missing
oh unemployment is is remaining pretty
1326
00:26:51,830 --> 00:26:51,840
oh unemployment is is remaining pretty
1327
00:26:51,840 --> 00:26:54,769
oh unemployment is is remaining pretty
low it's because a lot of people have
1328
00:26:54,769 --> 00:26:54,779
low it's because a lot of people have
1329
00:26:54,779 --> 00:26:57,409
low it's because a lot of people have
left okay they're not measuring those
1330
00:26:57,409 --> 00:26:57,419
left okay they're not measuring those
1331
00:26:57,419 --> 00:26:59,930
left okay they're not measuring those
people what happened to those people and
1332
00:26:59,930 --> 00:26:59,940
people what happened to those people and
1333
00:26:59,940 --> 00:27:01,190
people what happened to those people and
and of course they're going to be
1334
00:27:01,190 --> 00:27:01,200
and of course they're going to be
1335
00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:03,110
and of course they're going to be
spending less money in retirement people
1336
00:27:03,110 --> 00:27:03,120
spending less money in retirement people
1337
00:27:03,120 --> 00:27:07,010
spending less money in retirement people
Peak at 46 Plateau into their mid mid to
1338
00:27:07,010 --> 00:27:07,020
Peak at 46 Plateau into their mid mid to
1339
00:27:07,020 --> 00:27:09,409
Peak at 46 Plateau into their mid mid to
late 50s and then spend less in the
1340
00:27:09,409 --> 00:27:09,419
late 50s and then spend less in the
1341
00:27:09,419 --> 00:27:11,690
late 50s and then spend less in the
retirement and death so so the largest
1342
00:27:11,690 --> 00:27:11,700
retirement and death so so the largest
1343
00:27:11,700 --> 00:27:13,310
retirement and death so so the largest
generation in history is just going to
1344
00:27:13,310 --> 00:27:13,320
generation in history is just going to
1345
00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:15,470
generation in history is just going to
be spending less and that is going to be
1346
00:27:15,470 --> 00:27:15,480
be spending less and that is going to be
1347
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:18,529
be spending less and that is going to be
a drag on the economy and that is what
1348
00:27:18,529 --> 00:27:18,539
a drag on the economy and that is what
1349
00:27:18,539 --> 00:27:20,870
a drag on the economy and that is what
would have without all this stimulus
1350
00:27:20,870 --> 00:27:20,880
would have without all this stimulus
1351
00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:24,289
would have without all this stimulus
caused much higher unemployment and much
1352
00:27:24,289 --> 00:27:24,299
caused much higher unemployment and much
1353
00:27:24,299 --> 00:27:27,310
caused much higher unemployment and much
weaker stock markets from 2008 through
1354
00:27:27,310 --> 00:27:27,320
weaker stock markets from 2008 through
1355
00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:31,130
weaker stock markets from 2008 through
2023 here now I say because they've
1356
00:27:31,130 --> 00:27:31,140
2023 here now I say because they've
1357
00:27:31,140 --> 00:27:33,529
2023 here now I say because they've
pushed this off we don't probably bottom
1358
00:27:33,529 --> 00:27:33,539
pushed this off we don't probably bottom
1359
00:27:33,539 --> 00:27:36,430
pushed this off we don't probably bottom
in this downturn in stocks until
1360
00:27:36,430 --> 00:27:36,440
in this downturn in stocks until
1361
00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:40,370
in this downturn in stocks until
mid-2024 maybe late 2024 so a couple of
1362
00:27:40,370 --> 00:27:40,380
mid-2024 maybe late 2024 so a couple of
1363
00:27:40,380 --> 00:27:42,169
mid-2024 maybe late 2024 so a couple of
years later than the natural time which
1364
00:27:42,169 --> 00:27:42,179
years later than the natural time which
1365
00:27:42,179 --> 00:27:44,210
years later than the natural time which
would have been late 2022 in these
1366
00:27:44,210 --> 00:27:44,220
would have been late 2022 in these
1367
00:27:44,220 --> 00:27:45,529
would have been late 2022 in these
Cycles
1368
00:27:45,529 --> 00:27:45,539
Cycles
1369
00:27:45,539 --> 00:27:48,049
Cycles
um and and we have yet to see the
1370
00:27:48,049 --> 00:27:48,059
um and and we have yet to see the
1371
00:27:48,059 --> 00:27:49,970
um and and we have yet to see the
deepest downturn yet this downturn
1372
00:27:49,970 --> 00:27:49,980
deepest downturn yet this downturn
1373
00:27:49,980 --> 00:27:54,890
deepest downturn yet this downturn
should be 50 stronger than the 2008 to 9
1374
00:27:54,890 --> 00:27:54,900
should be 50 stronger than the 2008 to 9
1375
00:27:54,900 --> 00:27:58,310
should be 50 stronger than the 2008 to 9
downturn okay and and the stock market
1376
00:27:58,310 --> 00:27:58,320
downturn okay and and the stock market
1377
00:27:58,320 --> 00:28:01,549
downturn okay and and the stock market
should be down 86 percent s p instead of
1378
00:28:01,549 --> 00:28:01,559
should be down 86 percent s p instead of
1379
00:28:01,559 --> 00:28:05,330
should be down 86 percent s p instead of
57 everything I see unemployment will be
1380
00:28:05,330 --> 00:28:05,340
57 everything I see unemployment will be
1381
00:28:05,340 --> 00:28:08,630
57 everything I see unemployment will be
16 instead of 10 stocks will be down 80
1382
00:28:08,630 --> 00:28:08,640
16 instead of 10 stocks will be down 80
1383
00:28:08,640 --> 00:28:12,110
16 instead of 10 stocks will be down 80
6 s p instead of 57 everything's going
1384
00:28:12,110 --> 00:28:12,120
6 s p instead of 57 everything's going
1385
00:28:12,120 --> 00:28:14,570
6 s p instead of 57 everything's going
to be about 50 but best way to look at
1386
00:28:14,570 --> 00:28:14,580
to be about 50 but best way to look at
1387
00:28:14,580 --> 00:28:17,269
to be about 50 but best way to look at
this next downturn if I'm right it'll be
1388
00:28:17,269 --> 00:28:17,279
this next downturn if I'm right it'll be
1389
00:28:17,279 --> 00:28:20,090
this next downturn if I'm right it'll be
50 percent worse than 2008 to 9 and that
1390
00:28:20,090 --> 00:28:20,100
50 percent worse than 2008 to 9 and that
1391
00:28:20,100 --> 00:28:22,310
50 percent worse than 2008 to 9 and that
is the worst downturn any of us have
1392
00:28:22,310 --> 00:28:22,320
is the worst downturn any of us have
1393
00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:25,730
is the worst downturn any of us have
seen in our lifetime the early 80s in
1394
00:28:25,730 --> 00:28:25,740
seen in our lifetime the early 80s in
1395
00:28:25,740 --> 00:28:28,430
seen in our lifetime the early 80s in
the 73 to 75 downturn were not as strong
1396
00:28:28,430 --> 00:28:28,440
the 73 to 75 downturn were not as strong
1397
00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:31,070
the 73 to 75 downturn were not as strong
as unemployment or stock crashes as that
1398
00:28:31,070 --> 00:28:31,080
as unemployment or stock crashes as that
1399
00:28:31,080 --> 00:28:32,750
as unemployment or stock crashes as that
one this is going to be stronger than
1400
00:28:32,750 --> 00:28:32,760
one this is going to be stronger than
1401
00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:36,230
one this is going to be stronger than
that if I'm right so so if I'm right you
1402
00:28:36,230 --> 00:28:36,240
that if I'm right so so if I'm right you
1403
00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:37,850
that if I'm right so so if I'm right you
better get out of the way and if I'm
1404
00:28:37,850 --> 00:28:37,860
better get out of the way and if I'm
1405
00:28:37,860 --> 00:28:39,529
better get out of the way and if I'm
wrong you might miss you know a couple
1406
00:28:39,529 --> 00:28:39,539
wrong you might miss you know a couple
1407
00:28:39,539 --> 00:28:41,090
wrong you might miss you know a couple
months of this thing before you realize
1408
00:28:41,090 --> 00:28:41,100
months of this thing before you realize
1409
00:28:41,100 --> 00:28:42,769
months of this thing before you realize
I'm wrong but I'm telling you if I'm
1410
00:28:42,769 --> 00:28:42,779
I'm wrong but I'm telling you if I'm
1411
00:28:42,779 --> 00:28:44,450
I'm wrong but I'm telling you if I'm
right it's likely to follow through
1412
00:28:44,450 --> 00:28:44,460
right it's likely to follow through
1413
00:28:44,460 --> 00:28:47,510
right it's likely to follow through
we're we're well into this third wave
1414
00:28:47,510 --> 00:28:47,520
we're we're well into this third wave
1415
00:28:47,520 --> 00:28:49,490
we're we're well into this third wave
down and that's the that's the damaging
1416
00:28:49,490 --> 00:28:49,500
down and that's the that's the damaging
1417
00:28:49,500 --> 00:28:51,649
down and that's the that's the damaging
one that's the dangerous one I think
1418
00:28:51,649 --> 00:28:51,659
one that's the dangerous one I think
1419
00:28:51,659 --> 00:28:54,769
one that's the dangerous one I think
you're going to see that hit in the next
1420
00:28:54,769 --> 00:28:54,779
you're going to see that hit in the next
1421
00:28:54,779 --> 00:28:57,409
you're going to see that hit in the next
couple of months so just give me two
1422
00:28:57,409 --> 00:28:57,419
couple of months so just give me two
1423
00:28:57,419 --> 00:28:59,570
couple of months so just give me two
months of you being conservative and see
1424
00:28:59,570 --> 00:28:59,580
months of you being conservative and see
1425
00:28:59,580 --> 00:29:01,130
months of you being conservative and see
if I'm right then you can listen to me
1426
00:29:01,130 --> 00:29:01,140
if I'm right then you can listen to me
1427
00:29:01,140 --> 00:29:03,350
if I'm right then you can listen to me
and continue to follow me but just be
1428
00:29:03,350 --> 00:29:03,360
and continue to follow me but just be
1429
00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:05,210
and continue to follow me but just be
careful the next two months is my advice
1430
00:29:05,210 --> 00:29:05,220
careful the next two months is my advice
1431
00:29:05,220 --> 00:29:07,430
careful the next two months is my advice
today we'll follow up with you in two to
1432
00:29:07,430 --> 00:29:07,440
today we'll follow up with you in two to
1433
00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:08,570
today we'll follow up with you in two to
three months uh but Harry I wanna tell
1434
00:29:08,570 --> 00:29:08,580
three months uh but Harry I wanna tell
1435
00:29:08,580 --> 00:29:11,090
three months uh but Harry I wanna tell
talk about 2024 and what's beyond so
1436
00:29:11,090 --> 00:29:11,100
talk about 2024 and what's beyond so
1437
00:29:11,100 --> 00:29:13,430
talk about 2024 and what's beyond so
what what turned you bullish now you're
1438
00:29:13,430 --> 00:29:13,440
what what turned you bullish now you're
1439
00:29:13,440 --> 00:29:15,169
what what turned you bullish now you're
saying that the millennial generation
1440
00:29:15,169 --> 00:29:15,179
saying that the millennial generation
1441
00:29:15,179 --> 00:29:16,549
saying that the millennial generation
coming in spending money could
1442
00:29:16,549 --> 00:29:16,559
coming in spending money could
1443
00:29:16,559 --> 00:29:18,169
coming in spending money could
potentially make you bullish let's talk
1444
00:29:18,169 --> 00:29:18,179
potentially make you bullish let's talk
1445
00:29:18,179 --> 00:29:19,669
potentially make you bullish let's talk
about the demographics interesting
1446
00:29:19,669 --> 00:29:19,679
about the demographics interesting
1447
00:29:19,679 --> 00:29:22,250
about the demographics interesting
trends that the Millennials have
1448
00:29:22,250 --> 00:29:22,260
trends that the Millennials have
1449
00:29:22,260 --> 00:29:23,990
trends that the Millennials have
um slightly more educated than the
1450
00:29:23,990 --> 00:29:24,000
um slightly more educated than the
1451
00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:25,850
um slightly more educated than the
boomer generation on a per capita basis
1452
00:29:25,850 --> 00:29:25,860
boomer generation on a per capita basis
1453
00:29:25,860 --> 00:29:27,830
boomer generation on a per capita basis
uh they still have less wealth in the
1454
00:29:27,830 --> 00:29:27,840
uh they still have less wealth in the
1455
00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:29,990
uh they still have less wealth in the
boomer generation uh although I was
1456
00:29:29,990 --> 00:29:30,000
boomer generation uh although I was
1457
00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:31,549
boomer generation uh although I was
reading Millennial wealth has doubled
1458
00:29:31,549 --> 00:29:31,559
reading Millennial wealth has doubled
1459
00:29:31,559 --> 00:29:33,649
reading Millennial wealth has doubled
since the pandemic uh household
1460
00:29:33,649 --> 00:29:33,659
since the pandemic uh household
1461
00:29:33,659 --> 00:29:35,389
since the pandemic uh household
formation is going down younger people
1462
00:29:35,389 --> 00:29:35,399
formation is going down younger people
1463
00:29:35,399 --> 00:29:38,389
formation is going down younger people
are having uh families later in their
1464
00:29:38,389 --> 00:29:38,399
are having uh families later in their
1465
00:29:38,399 --> 00:29:39,590
are having uh families later in their
lives than before than previous
1466
00:29:39,590 --> 00:29:39,600
lives than before than previous
1467
00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:42,529
lives than before than previous
generations and we're seeing uh less
1468
00:29:42,529 --> 00:29:42,539
generations and we're seeing uh less
1469
00:29:42,539 --> 00:29:45,950
generations and we're seeing uh less
adoption or less uh less purchases of
1470
00:29:45,950 --> 00:29:45,960
adoption or less uh less purchases of
1471
00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:49,310
adoption or less uh less purchases of
real estate most more Millennials are at
1472
00:29:49,310 --> 00:29:49,320
real estate most more Millennials are at
1473
00:29:49,320 --> 00:29:52,490
real estate most more Millennials are at
at their current age are renting as
1474
00:29:52,490 --> 00:29:52,500
at their current age are renting as
1475
00:29:52,500 --> 00:29:54,470
at their current age are renting as
opposed to Prior Generations who have
1476
00:29:54,470 --> 00:29:54,480
opposed to Prior Generations who have
1477
00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:56,450
opposed to Prior Generations who have
already bought homes so how do all these
1478
00:29:56,450 --> 00:29:56,460
already bought homes so how do all these
1479
00:29:56,460 --> 00:29:58,190
already bought homes so how do all these
Trends play out and how do you think
1480
00:29:58,190 --> 00:29:58,200
Trends play out and how do you think
1481
00:29:58,200 --> 00:30:00,830
Trends play out and how do you think
Millennial spending will differ or be
1482
00:30:00,830 --> 00:30:00,840
Millennial spending will differ or be
1483
00:30:00,840 --> 00:30:02,870
Millennial spending will differ or be
similar to let's say Boomer spending
1484
00:30:02,870 --> 00:30:02,880
similar to let's say Boomer spending
1485
00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:04,970
similar to let's say Boomer spending
okay this is why the economy knows
1486
00:30:04,970 --> 00:30:04,980
okay this is why the economy knows
1487
00:30:04,980 --> 00:30:07,190
okay this is why the economy knows
better than dumbass economists okay I
1488
00:30:07,190 --> 00:30:07,200
better than dumbass economists okay I
1489
00:30:07,200 --> 00:30:09,769
better than dumbass economists okay I
hate to say that but dumb economists
1490
00:30:09,769 --> 00:30:09,779
hate to say that but dumb economists
1491
00:30:09,779 --> 00:30:12,470
hate to say that but dumb economists
okay the economy why why can't this
1492
00:30:12,470 --> 00:30:12,480
okay the economy why why can't this
1493
00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:14,029
okay the economy why why can't this
generation afford real estate because we
1494
00:30:14,029 --> 00:30:14,039
generation afford real estate because we
1495
00:30:14,039 --> 00:30:15,889
generation afford real estate because we
have the greatest real estate bubble in
1496
00:30:15,889 --> 00:30:15,899
have the greatest real estate bubble in
1497
00:30:15,899 --> 00:30:18,230
have the greatest real estate bubble in
history a second one which you never see
1498
00:30:18,230 --> 00:30:18,240
history a second one which you never see
1499
00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:21,110
history a second one which you never see
as I say two bubbles in a row we had a
1500
00:30:21,110 --> 00:30:21,120
as I say two bubbles in a row we had a
1501
00:30:21,120 --> 00:30:22,850
as I say two bubbles in a row we had a
first real estate bubble in 2000 and
1502
00:30:22,850 --> 00:30:22,860
first real estate bubble in 2000 and
1503
00:30:22,860 --> 00:30:25,789
first real estate bubble in 2000 and
then a second one now real estate is the
1504
00:30:25,789 --> 00:30:25,799
then a second one now real estate is the
1505
00:30:25,799 --> 00:30:28,549
then a second one now real estate is the
most unaffordable it's ever been and we
1506
00:30:28,549 --> 00:30:28,559
most unaffordable it's ever been and we
1507
00:30:28,559 --> 00:30:29,510
most unaffordable it's ever been and we
didn't have a real estate
1508
00:30:29,510 --> 00:30:29,520
didn't have a real estate
1509
00:30:29,520 --> 00:30:31,370
didn't have a real estate
unaffordability problem even in the
1510
00:30:31,370 --> 00:30:31,380
unaffordability problem even in the
1511
00:30:31,380 --> 00:30:33,830
unaffordability problem even in the
Roaring 20s bubble okay it was a stock
1512
00:30:33,830 --> 00:30:33,840
Roaring 20s bubble okay it was a stock
1513
00:30:33,840 --> 00:30:35,810
Roaring 20s bubble okay it was a stock
bubble because because real estate was
1514
00:30:35,810 --> 00:30:35,820
bubble because because real estate was
1515
00:30:35,820 --> 00:30:37,549
bubble because because real estate was
too hard to finance back then back then
1516
00:30:37,549 --> 00:30:37,559
too hard to finance back then back then
1517
00:30:37,559 --> 00:30:40,070
too hard to finance back then back then
you know what a loan a mortgage was 50
1518
00:30:40,070 --> 00:30:40,080
you know what a loan a mortgage was 50
1519
00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:44,090
you know what a loan a mortgage was 50
down and five-year termination okay five
1520
00:30:44,090 --> 00:30:44,100
down and five-year termination okay five
1521
00:30:44,100 --> 00:30:47,210
down and five-year termination okay five
here uh maturity okay so it was people
1522
00:30:47,210 --> 00:30:47,220
here uh maturity okay so it was people
1523
00:30:47,220 --> 00:30:48,769
here uh maturity okay so it was people
couldn't speculate and couldn't get
1524
00:30:48,769 --> 00:30:48,779
couldn't speculate and couldn't get
1525
00:30:48,779 --> 00:30:50,810
couldn't speculate and couldn't get
loans so easy back then so we've had
1526
00:30:50,810 --> 00:30:50,820
loans so easy back then so we've had
1527
00:30:50,820 --> 00:30:53,389
loans so easy back then so we've had
very easy mortgages a second real estate
1528
00:30:53,389 --> 00:30:53,399
very easy mortgages a second real estate
1529
00:30:53,399 --> 00:30:56,510
very easy mortgages a second real estate
bubble and now of course that's why this
1530
00:30:56,510 --> 00:30:56,520
bubble and now of course that's why this
1531
00:30:56,520 --> 00:30:59,330
bubble and now of course that's why this
poor generation can't afford to buy a
1532
00:30:59,330 --> 00:30:59,340
poor generation can't afford to buy a
1533
00:30:59,340 --> 00:31:01,430
poor generation can't afford to buy a
new house or or the same house a baby
1534
00:31:01,430 --> 00:31:01,440
new house or or the same house a baby
1535
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:03,649
new house or or the same house a baby
boomer could have when they were in
1536
00:31:03,649 --> 00:31:03,659
boomer could have when they were in
1537
00:31:03,659 --> 00:31:06,529
boomer could have when they were in
their late 20s typically your first home
1538
00:31:06,529 --> 00:31:06,539
their late 20s typically your first home
1539
00:31:06,539 --> 00:31:10,610
their late 20s typically your first home
purchase is is peak exit 31 and then
1540
00:31:10,610 --> 00:31:10,620
purchase is is peak exit 31 and then
1541
00:31:10,620 --> 00:31:12,350
purchase is is peak exit 31 and then
your second home your trade-up home your
1542
00:31:12,350 --> 00:31:12,360
your second home your trade-up home your
1543
00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:14,870
your second home your trade-up home your
largest home Peaks at 42. well for this
1544
00:31:14,870 --> 00:31:14,880
largest home Peaks at 42. well for this
1545
00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:16,789
largest home Peaks at 42. well for this
generation they're not getting their
1546
00:31:16,789 --> 00:31:16,799
generation they're not getting their
1547
00:31:16,799 --> 00:31:20,269
generation they're not getting their
first home until 34 to 35 and and and
1548
00:31:20,269 --> 00:31:20,279
first home until 34 to 35 and and and
1549
00:31:20,279 --> 00:31:22,370
first home until 34 to 35 and and and
who knows when they're gonna get their
1550
00:31:22,370 --> 00:31:22,380
who knows when they're gonna get their
1551
00:31:22,380 --> 00:31:25,190
who knows when they're gonna get their
trade up home uh and and that's why the
1552
00:31:25,190 --> 00:31:25,200
trade up home uh and and that's why the
1553
00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:27,350
trade up home uh and and that's why the
economy the economy will solve this
1554
00:31:27,350 --> 00:31:27,360
economy the economy will solve this
1555
00:31:27,360 --> 00:31:30,230
economy the economy will solve this
overnight David all we need is a big
1556
00:31:30,230 --> 00:31:30,240
overnight David all we need is a big
1557
00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:32,570
overnight David all we need is a big
recession which will look at more like a
1558
00:31:32,570 --> 00:31:32,580
recession which will look at more like a
1559
00:31:32,580 --> 00:31:34,850
recession which will look at more like a
depression and real estate will come
1560
00:31:34,850 --> 00:31:34,860
depression and real estate will come
1561
00:31:34,860 --> 00:31:36,769
depression and real estate will come
down and this is my forecast as well
1562
00:31:36,769 --> 00:31:36,779
down and this is my forecast as well
1563
00:31:36,779 --> 00:31:39,649
down and this is my forecast as well
stocks 86 percent real estate will come
1564
00:31:39,649 --> 00:31:39,659
stocks 86 percent real estate will come
1565
00:31:39,659 --> 00:31:43,310
stocks 86 percent real estate will come
down for the average house 50 and people
1566
00:31:43,310 --> 00:31:43,320
down for the average house 50 and people
1567
00:31:43,320 --> 00:31:45,909
down for the average house 50 and people
say oh that can't happen we just saw 34
1568
00:31:45,909 --> 00:31:45,919
say oh that can't happen we just saw 34
1569
00:31:45,919 --> 00:31:48,710
say oh that can't happen we just saw 34
in the last downturn which the central
1570
00:31:48,710 --> 00:31:48,720
in the last downturn which the central
1571
00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:50,930
in the last downturn which the central
banks purposely cut off before it did
1572
00:31:50,930 --> 00:31:50,940
banks purposely cut off before it did
1573
00:31:50,940 --> 00:31:53,330
banks purposely cut off before it did
its work okay that would have so so 50
1574
00:31:53,330 --> 00:31:53,340
its work okay that would have so so 50
1575
00:31:53,340 --> 00:31:55,850
its work okay that would have so so 50
is not a stretch and this is what's
1576
00:31:55,850 --> 00:31:55,860
is not a stretch and this is what's
1577
00:31:55,860 --> 00:31:57,409
is not a stretch and this is what's
going to hurt most people stock market
1578
00:31:57,409 --> 00:31:57,419
going to hurt most people stock market
1579
00:31:57,419 --> 00:32:00,409
going to hurt most people stock market
goes down comes back faster real estate
1580
00:32:00,409 --> 00:32:00,419
goes down comes back faster real estate
1581
00:32:00,419 --> 00:32:03,049
goes down comes back faster real estate
didn't bottom in the last downturn David
1582
00:32:03,049 --> 00:32:03,059
didn't bottom in the last downturn David
1583
00:32:03,059 --> 00:32:08,450
didn't bottom in the last downturn David
the 2008 crisis until mid 2012 six years
1584
00:32:08,450 --> 00:32:08,460
the 2008 crisis until mid 2012 six years
1585
00:32:08,460 --> 00:32:10,789
the 2008 crisis until mid 2012 six years
later stocks bottomed a couple years
1586
00:32:10,789 --> 00:32:10,799
later stocks bottomed a couple years
1587
00:32:10,799 --> 00:32:13,789
later stocks bottomed a couple years
later okay so so real estate is what's
1588
00:32:13,789 --> 00:32:13,799
later okay so so real estate is what's
1589
00:32:13,799 --> 00:32:16,190
later okay so so real estate is what's
going to hit people the hardest and we
1590
00:32:16,190 --> 00:32:16,200
going to hit people the hardest and we
1591
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:19,250
going to hit people the hardest and we
will not we probably will not and I've
1592
00:32:19,250 --> 00:32:19,260
will not we probably will not and I've
1593
00:32:19,260 --> 00:32:20,750
will not we probably will not and I've
been predicting this for a long time not
1594
00:32:20,750 --> 00:32:20,760
been predicting this for a long time not
1595
00:32:20,760 --> 00:32:23,510
been predicting this for a long time not
just read we will not see the peak real
1596
00:32:23,510 --> 00:32:23,520
just read we will not see the peak real
1597
00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:25,610
just read we will not see the peak real
estate prices we've seen here for the
1598
00:32:25,610 --> 00:32:25,620
estate prices we've seen here for the
1599
00:32:25,620 --> 00:32:28,730
estate prices we've seen here for the
rest of our lifetimes if ever not even
1600
00:32:28,730 --> 00:32:28,740
rest of our lifetimes if ever not even
1601
00:32:28,740 --> 00:32:30,710
rest of our lifetimes if ever not even
in the millennial boom because the
1602
00:32:30,710 --> 00:32:30,720
in the millennial boom because the
1603
00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:32,870
in the millennial boom because the
millennial boom will not be in a bubble
1604
00:32:32,870 --> 00:32:32,880
millennial boom will not be in a bubble
1605
00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:35,570
millennial boom will not be in a bubble
era like the Roaring 20s or like the 90s
1606
00:32:35,570 --> 00:32:35,580
era like the Roaring 20s or like the 90s
1607
00:32:35,580 --> 00:32:38,990
era like the Roaring 20s or like the 90s
and 2000s here so so so will it they'll
1608
00:32:38,990 --> 00:32:39,000
and 2000s here so so so will it they'll
1609
00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:40,789
and 2000s here so so so will it they'll
drive real estate back up but it will
1610
00:32:40,789 --> 00:32:40,799
drive real estate back up but it will
1611
00:32:40,799 --> 00:32:42,710
drive real estate back up but it will
not get to Bubble levels because it will
1612
00:32:42,710 --> 00:32:42,720
not get to Bubble levels because it will
1613
00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:44,870
not get to Bubble levels because it will
not be a bubble boom what people have to
1614
00:32:44,870 --> 00:32:44,880
not be a bubble boom what people have to
1615
00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:47,269
not be a bubble boom what people have to
realize and I've I've just my recent
1616
00:32:47,269 --> 00:32:47,279
realize and I've I've just my recent
1617
00:32:47,279 --> 00:32:48,889
realize and I've I've just my recent
books have been bubble bubble this you
1618
00:32:48,889 --> 00:32:48,899
books have been bubble bubble this you
1619
00:32:48,899 --> 00:32:51,710
books have been bubble bubble this you
know roaring you know 2 000 stuff we
1620
00:32:51,710 --> 00:32:51,720
know roaring you know 2 000 stuff we
1621
00:32:51,720 --> 00:32:53,870
know roaring you know 2 000 stuff we
won't see this again we will not see a
1622
00:32:53,870 --> 00:32:53,880
won't see this again we will not see a
1623
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:56,570
won't see this again we will not see a
bubble economy for for our kids will
1624
00:32:56,570 --> 00:32:56,580
bubble economy for for our kids will
1625
00:32:56,580 --> 00:32:58,850
bubble economy for for our kids will
probably not even see a bubble economy
1626
00:32:58,850 --> 00:32:58,860
probably not even see a bubble economy
1627
00:32:58,860 --> 00:33:00,950
probably not even see a bubble economy
decades and decades from now they are
1628
00:33:00,950 --> 00:33:00,960
decades and decades from now they are
1629
00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:03,289
decades and decades from now they are
rare the last bubble economy was the
1630
00:33:03,289 --> 00:33:03,299
rare the last bubble economy was the
1631
00:33:03,299 --> 00:33:05,830
rare the last bubble economy was the
early 1900s into
1632
00:33:05,830 --> 00:33:05,840
early 1900s into
1633
00:33:05,840 --> 00:33:09,649
early 1900s into
1929. it happens once in a lifetime at
1634
00:33:09,649 --> 00:33:09,659
1929. it happens once in a lifetime at
1635
00:33:09,659 --> 00:33:12,350
1929. it happens once in a lifetime at
most every 80s and this is it bubble
1636
00:33:12,350 --> 00:33:12,360
most every 80s and this is it bubble
1637
00:33:12,360 --> 00:33:16,430
most every 80s and this is it bubble
cycle is a 90 year cycle and this is the
1638
00:33:16,430 --> 00:33:16,440
cycle is a 90 year cycle and this is the
1639
00:33:16,440 --> 00:33:18,230
cycle is a 90 year cycle and this is the
this is the bubble of our bubble before
1640
00:33:18,230 --> 00:33:18,240
this is the bubble of our bubble before
1641
00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:22,490
this is the bubble of our bubble before
that was 1837 Peak uh 90 years before
1642
00:33:22,490 --> 00:33:22,500
that was 1837 Peak uh 90 years before
1643
00:33:22,500 --> 00:33:24,889
that was 1837 Peak uh 90 years before
29. and this is the bubble of Our
1644
00:33:24,889 --> 00:33:24,899
29. and this is the bubble of Our
1645
00:33:24,899 --> 00:33:26,509
29. and this is the bubble of Our
Lifetime right now this is the bubble of
1646
00:33:26,509 --> 00:33:26,519
Lifetime right now this is the bubble of
1647
00:33:26,519 --> 00:33:28,250
Lifetime right now this is the bubble of
our lifetime and bigger and big either
1648
00:33:28,250 --> 00:33:28,260
our lifetime and bigger and big either
1649
00:33:28,260 --> 00:33:32,210
our lifetime and bigger and big either
the 18 1937 Peak for the 29 people are
1650
00:33:32,210 --> 00:33:32,220
the 18 1937 Peak for the 29 people are
1651
00:33:32,220 --> 00:33:33,830
the 18 1937 Peak for the 29 people are
you not concerned and it's even called
1652
00:33:33,830 --> 00:33:33,840
you not concerned and it's even called
1653
00:33:33,840 --> 00:33:36,590
you not concerned and it's even called
now by dumbass Economist the bubble of
1654
00:33:36,590 --> 00:33:36,600
now by dumbass Economist the bubble of
1655
00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:38,630
now by dumbass Economist the bubble of
everything the everything bubble we
1656
00:33:38,630 --> 00:33:38,640
everything the everything bubble we
1657
00:33:38,640 --> 00:33:40,430
everything the everything bubble we
didn't now you know every every bubble
1658
00:33:40,430 --> 00:33:40,440
didn't now you know every every bubble
1659
00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:42,710
didn't now you know every every bubble
in the previous bubbles
1660
00:33:42,710 --> 00:33:42,720
in the previous bubbles
1661
00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:45,110
in the previous bubbles
uh well Harry are you not concerned
1662
00:33:45,110 --> 00:33:45,120
uh well Harry are you not concerned
1663
00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:47,750
uh well Harry are you not concerned
about generational wealth being wiped
1664
00:33:47,750 --> 00:33:47,760
about generational wealth being wiped
1665
00:33:47,760 --> 00:33:49,669
about generational wealth being wiped
out by this Bubble Burst I mean if
1666
00:33:49,669 --> 00:33:49,679
out by this Bubble Burst I mean if
1667
00:33:49,679 --> 00:33:51,769
out by this Bubble Burst I mean if
housing goes down 50 well how are
1668
00:33:51,769 --> 00:33:51,779
housing goes down 50 well how are
1669
00:33:51,779 --> 00:33:53,330
housing goes down 50 well how are
millennials going to have money to spend
1670
00:33:53,330 --> 00:33:53,340
millennials going to have money to spend
1671
00:33:53,340 --> 00:33:54,889
millennials going to have money to spend
in this next coming boom then if
1672
00:33:54,889 --> 00:33:54,899
in this next coming boom then if
1673
00:33:54,899 --> 00:33:56,750
in this next coming boom then if
everything is going to be down I'm not
1674
00:33:56,750 --> 00:33:56,760
everything is going to be down I'm not
1675
00:33:56,760 --> 00:33:57,889
everything is going to be down I'm not
worried about the Millennials because
1676
00:33:57,889 --> 00:33:57,899
worried about the Millennials because
1677
00:33:57,899 --> 00:33:59,330
worried about the Millennials because
they're not even in their big save the
1678
00:33:59,330 --> 00:33:59,340
they're not even in their big save the
1679
00:33:59,340 --> 00:34:01,909
they're not even in their big save the
saving cycle is is from the kind of
1680
00:34:01,909 --> 00:34:01,919
saving cycle is is from the kind of
1681
00:34:01,919 --> 00:34:05,750
saving cycle is is from the kind of
early 50s into retirement age 63 okay so
1682
00:34:05,750 --> 00:34:05,760
early 50s into retirement age 63 okay so
1683
00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:07,549
early 50s into retirement age 63 okay so
that's when people say they're not even
1684
00:34:07,549 --> 00:34:07,559
that's when people say they're not even
1685
00:34:07,559 --> 00:34:09,349
that's when people say they're not even
there yet yeah they're saving a little
1686
00:34:09,349 --> 00:34:09,359
there yet yeah they're saving a little
1687
00:34:09,359 --> 00:34:11,570
there yet yeah they're saving a little
bit but there this is going to clear
1688
00:34:11,570 --> 00:34:11,580
bit but there this is going to clear
1689
00:34:11,580 --> 00:34:14,389
bit but there this is going to clear
them so they can actually the the the
1690
00:34:14,389 --> 00:34:14,399
them so they can actually the the the
1691
00:34:14,399 --> 00:34:16,669
them so they can actually the the the
the Millennials will actually be able to
1692
00:34:16,669 --> 00:34:16,679
the Millennials will actually be able to
1693
00:34:16,679 --> 00:34:19,129
the Millennials will actually be able to
invest in financial assets from Real
1694
00:34:19,129 --> 00:34:19,139
invest in financial assets from Real
1695
00:34:19,139 --> 00:34:21,909
invest in financial assets from Real
Estate to stocks to bonds at Fair
1696
00:34:21,909 --> 00:34:21,919
Estate to stocks to bonds at Fair
1697
00:34:21,919 --> 00:34:24,530
Estate to stocks to bonds at Fair
valuations again so they can actually
1698
00:34:24,530 --> 00:34:24,540
valuations again so they can actually
1699
00:34:24,540 --> 00:34:27,349
valuations again so they can actually
appreciate in the next boom they're boom
1700
00:34:27,349 --> 00:34:27,359
appreciate in the next boom they're boom
1701
00:34:27,359 --> 00:34:30,290
appreciate in the next boom they're boom
okay the Baby Boomers are seeing a
1702
00:34:30,290 --> 00:34:30,300
okay the Baby Boomers are seeing a
1703
00:34:30,300 --> 00:34:33,349
okay the Baby Boomers are seeing a
totally artificial bubble here that was
1704
00:34:33,349 --> 00:34:33,359
totally artificial bubble here that was
1705
00:34:33,359 --> 00:34:36,530
totally artificial bubble here that was
way past their natural peak in 2007. we
1706
00:34:36,530 --> 00:34:36,540
way past their natural peak in 2007. we
1707
00:34:36,540 --> 00:34:38,030
way past their natural peak in 2007. we
should have been in a downturn since
1708
00:34:38,030 --> 00:34:38,040
should have been in a downturn since
1709
00:34:38,040 --> 00:34:40,190
should have been in a downturn since
then and so this is an artifice but if
1710
00:34:40,190 --> 00:34:40,200
then and so this is an artifice but if
1711
00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:42,409
then and so this is an artifice but if
this is going to kill the Baby Boomers
1712
00:34:42,409 --> 00:34:42,419
this is going to kill the Baby Boomers
1713
00:34:42,419 --> 00:34:44,750
this is going to kill the Baby Boomers
because they're the ones in retirement
1714
00:34:44,750 --> 00:34:44,760
because they're the ones in retirement
1715
00:34:44,760 --> 00:34:46,849
because they're the ones in retirement
now or about to enter retirement the
1716
00:34:46,849 --> 00:34:46,859
now or about to enter retirement the
1717
00:34:46,859 --> 00:34:49,010
now or about to enter retirement the
last third of them and they are not
1718
00:34:49,010 --> 00:34:49,020
last third of them and they are not
1719
00:34:49,020 --> 00:34:51,530
last third of them and they are not
going to have that as much savings as
1720
00:34:51,530 --> 00:34:51,540
going to have that as much savings as
1721
00:34:51,540 --> 00:34:52,669
going to have that as much savings as
they thought and they're going to feel
1722
00:34:52,669 --> 00:34:52,679
they thought and they're going to feel
1723
00:34:52,679 --> 00:34:54,589
they thought and they're going to feel
like oh my gosh I got to keep working I
1724
00:34:54,589 --> 00:34:54,599
like oh my gosh I got to keep working I
1725
00:34:54,599 --> 00:34:56,510
like oh my gosh I got to keep working I
can't even afford to retire this is
1726
00:34:56,510 --> 00:34:56,520
can't even afford to retire this is
1727
00:34:56,520 --> 00:34:59,570
can't even afford to retire this is
going to be the biggest crisis in the
1728
00:34:59,570 --> 00:34:59,580
going to be the biggest crisis in the
1729
00:34:59,580 --> 00:35:01,790
going to be the biggest crisis in the
baby boomers life the biggest crisis of
1730
00:35:01,790 --> 00:35:01,800
baby boomers life the biggest crisis of
1731
00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:03,770
baby boomers life the biggest crisis of
the Bob Hope generation was the Great
1732
00:35:03,770 --> 00:35:03,780
the Bob Hope generation was the Great
1733
00:35:03,780 --> 00:35:05,810
the Bob Hope generation was the Great
Depression this is going to be the big
1734
00:35:05,810 --> 00:35:05,820
Depression this is going to be the big
1735
00:35:05,820 --> 00:35:08,630
Depression this is going to be the big
crisis the the final kind of depression
1736
00:35:08,630 --> 00:35:08,640
crisis the the final kind of depression
1737
00:35:08,640 --> 00:35:10,550
crisis the the final kind of depression
into this is going to hit the Baby
1738
00:35:10,550 --> 00:35:10,560
into this is going to hit the Baby
1739
00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:12,349
into this is going to hit the Baby
Boomers the hardest because they're
1740
00:35:12,349 --> 00:35:12,359
Boomers the hardest because they're
1741
00:35:12,359 --> 00:35:14,690
Boomers the hardest because they're
going to need that net worth that's
1742
00:35:14,690 --> 00:35:14,700
going to need that net worth that's
1743
00:35:14,700 --> 00:35:16,849
going to need that net worth that's
going to disappear at the speed of light
1744
00:35:16,849 --> 00:35:16,859
going to disappear at the speed of light
1745
00:35:16,859 --> 00:35:19,849
going to disappear at the speed of light
and I mean disappear not come back final
1746
00:35:19,849 --> 00:35:19,859
and I mean disappear not come back final
1747
00:35:19,859 --> 00:35:22,250
and I mean disappear not come back final
two-part question for you Harry is uh
1748
00:35:22,250 --> 00:35:22,260
two-part question for you Harry is uh
1749
00:35:22,260 --> 00:35:24,650
two-part question for you Harry is uh
when are we going to see you become
1750
00:35:24,650 --> 00:35:24,660
when are we going to see you become
1751
00:35:24,660 --> 00:35:27,170
when are we going to see you become
bullish again what factors would drive
1752
00:35:27,170 --> 00:35:27,180
bullish again what factors would drive
1753
00:35:27,180 --> 00:35:29,630
bullish again what factors would drive
this new found bullishness in you and
1754
00:35:29,630 --> 00:35:29,640
this new found bullishness in you and
1755
00:35:29,640 --> 00:35:31,970
this new found bullishness in you and
given your outlook on the economy and
1756
00:35:31,970 --> 00:35:31,980
given your outlook on the economy and
1757
00:35:31,980 --> 00:35:34,670
given your outlook on the economy and
stock markets and cryptos now what are
1758
00:35:34,670 --> 00:35:34,680
stock markets and cryptos now what are
1759
00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:37,910
stock markets and cryptos now what are
your investment plays for us okay first
1760
00:35:37,910 --> 00:35:37,920
your investment plays for us okay first
1761
00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:40,490
your investment plays for us okay first
of all the natural time the natural
1762
00:35:40,490 --> 00:35:40,500
of all the natural time the natural
1763
00:35:40,500 --> 00:35:43,550
of all the natural time the natural
cycles will turn up around late 2000 24.
1764
00:35:43,550 --> 00:35:43,560
cycles will turn up around late 2000 24.
1765
00:35:43,560 --> 00:35:46,370
cycles will turn up around late 2000 24.
so 2025 live on would be bullish without
1766
00:35:46,370 --> 00:35:46,380
so 2025 live on would be bullish without
1767
00:35:46,380 --> 00:35:48,349
so 2025 live on would be bullish without
stimulus is what I'm saying okay that's
1768
00:35:48,349 --> 00:35:48,359
stimulus is what I'm saying okay that's
1769
00:35:48,359 --> 00:35:49,970
stimulus is what I'm saying okay that's
when we will see the Millennials
1770
00:35:49,970 --> 00:35:49,980
when we will see the Millennials
1771
00:35:49,980 --> 00:35:52,310
when we will see the Millennials
actually for good solid reasons driving
1772
00:35:52,310 --> 00:35:52,320
actually for good solid reasons driving
1773
00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:55,970
actually for good solid reasons driving
up the economy again okay so now that
1774
00:35:55,970 --> 00:35:55,980
up the economy again okay so now that
1775
00:35:55,980 --> 00:35:57,770
up the economy again okay so now that
could start a little later by pushing
1776
00:35:57,770 --> 00:35:57,780
could start a little later by pushing
1777
00:35:57,780 --> 00:36:00,589
could start a little later by pushing
this out this this this crisis this
1778
00:36:00,589 --> 00:36:00,599
this out this this this crisis this
1779
00:36:00,599 --> 00:36:03,589
this out this this this crisis this
crash now uh that only started at the
1780
00:36:03,589 --> 00:36:03,599
crash now uh that only started at the
1781
00:36:03,599 --> 00:36:06,109
crash now uh that only started at the
beginning of 2022 with the peak in the S
1782
00:36:06,109 --> 00:36:06,119
beginning of 2022 with the peak in the S
1783
00:36:06,119 --> 00:36:10,550
beginning of 2022 with the peak in the S
P 500 is likely to last well into mid to
1784
00:36:10,550 --> 00:36:10,560
P 500 is likely to last well into mid to
1785
00:36:10,560 --> 00:36:13,430
P 500 is likely to last well into mid to
late 2024 when it normally in the Cycles
1786
00:36:13,430 --> 00:36:13,440
late 2024 when it normally in the Cycles
1787
00:36:13,440 --> 00:36:15,609
late 2024 when it normally in the Cycles
would have been over by late 2020 early
1788
00:36:15,609 --> 00:36:15,619
would have been over by late 2020 early
1789
00:36:15,619 --> 00:36:19,310
would have been over by late 2020 early
2023 so if we have this crash if this
1790
00:36:19,310 --> 00:36:19,320
2023 so if we have this crash if this
1791
00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:21,230
2023 so if we have this crash if this
crash is allowed to continue and they
1792
00:36:21,230 --> 00:36:21,240
crash is allowed to continue and they
1793
00:36:21,240 --> 00:36:22,730
crash is allowed to continue and they
don't blow their way out of this one and
1794
00:36:22,730 --> 00:36:22,740
don't blow their way out of this one and
1795
00:36:22,740 --> 00:36:23,810
don't blow their way out of this one and
you gotta remember they've been
1796
00:36:23,810 --> 00:36:23,820
you gotta remember they've been
1797
00:36:23,820 --> 00:36:27,230
you gotta remember they've been
tightening now for a year okay and and
1798
00:36:27,230 --> 00:36:27,240
tightening now for a year okay and and
1799
00:36:27,240 --> 00:36:29,329
tightening now for a year okay and and
and they're about to
1800
00:36:29,329 --> 00:36:29,339
and they're about to
1801
00:36:29,339 --> 00:36:32,329
and they're about to
stop that but not turn around and lose
1802
00:36:32,329 --> 00:36:32,339
stop that but not turn around and lose
1803
00:36:32,339 --> 00:36:35,210
stop that but not turn around and lose
it again so so this still in in a in a
1804
00:36:35,210 --> 00:36:35,220
it again so so this still in in a in a
1805
00:36:35,220 --> 00:36:38,270
it again so so this still in in a in a
tightening mode overall okay so if the
1806
00:36:38,270 --> 00:36:38,280
tightening mode overall okay so if the
1807
00:36:38,280 --> 00:36:40,069
tightening mode overall okay so if the
economy keeps going down then we could
1808
00:36:40,069 --> 00:36:40,079
economy keeps going down then we could
1809
00:36:40,079 --> 00:36:42,770
economy keeps going down then we could
be over this as early as the summer of
1810
00:36:42,770 --> 00:36:42,780
be over this as early as the summer of
1811
00:36:42,780 --> 00:36:45,589
be over this as early as the summer of
2024 for the stock market and I would
1812
00:36:45,589 --> 00:36:45,599
2024 for the stock market and I would
1813
00:36:45,599 --> 00:36:49,010
2024 for the stock market and I would
say at the latest late 2024 depends on
1814
00:36:49,010 --> 00:36:49,020
say at the latest late 2024 depends on
1815
00:36:49,020 --> 00:36:51,349
say at the latest late 2024 depends on
how it proceeds from here but if this
1816
00:36:51,349 --> 00:36:51,359
how it proceeds from here but if this
1817
00:36:51,359 --> 00:36:53,510
how it proceeds from here but if this
crash if this third wave of the third
1818
00:36:53,510 --> 00:36:53,520
crash if this third wave of the third
1819
00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:56,089
crash if this third wave of the third
wave I'm talking about continues down
1820
00:36:56,089 --> 00:36:56,099
wave I'm talking about continues down
1821
00:36:56,099 --> 00:36:58,310
wave I'm talking about continues down
and if it does it should you should see
1822
00:36:58,310 --> 00:36:58,320
and if it does it should you should see
1823
00:36:58,320 --> 00:37:00,710
and if it does it should you should see
that by about mid-june give or take okay
1824
00:37:00,710 --> 00:37:00,720
that by about mid-june give or take okay
1825
00:37:00,720 --> 00:37:03,170
that by about mid-june give or take okay
so not it's not going to take long to
1826
00:37:03,170 --> 00:37:03,180
so not it's not going to take long to
1827
00:37:03,180 --> 00:37:05,030
so not it's not going to take long to
see us down oh my gosh now we're not
1828
00:37:05,030 --> 00:37:05,040
see us down oh my gosh now we're not
1829
00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:06,890
see us down oh my gosh now we're not
talking 30 some percent we're talking 50
1830
00:37:06,890 --> 00:37:06,900
talking 30 some percent we're talking 50
1831
00:37:06,900 --> 00:37:09,530
talking 30 some percent we're talking 50
some percent for the NASDAQ okay and and
1832
00:37:09,530 --> 00:37:09,540
some percent for the NASDAQ okay and and
1833
00:37:09,540 --> 00:37:12,230
some percent for the NASDAQ okay and and
close to that for the for the s p that's
1834
00:37:12,230 --> 00:37:12,240
close to that for the for the s p that's
1835
00:37:12,240 --> 00:37:15,410
close to that for the for the s p that's
when people understand this is not a
1836
00:37:15,410 --> 00:37:15,420
when people understand this is not a
1837
00:37:15,420 --> 00:37:17,690
when people understand this is not a
correction there's this is not something
1838
00:37:17,690 --> 00:37:17,700
correction there's this is not something
1839
00:37:17,700 --> 00:37:20,329
correction there's this is not something
can be fixed by money printing we are in
1840
00:37:20,329 --> 00:37:20,339
can be fixed by money printing we are in
1841
00:37:20,339 --> 00:37:22,730
can be fixed by money printing we are in
a deep downturn and then they get scared
1842
00:37:22,730 --> 00:37:22,740
a deep downturn and then they get scared
1843
00:37:22,740 --> 00:37:24,470
a deep downturn and then they get scared
and then it's hard to get them spending
1844
00:37:24,470 --> 00:37:24,480
and then it's hard to get them spending
1845
00:37:24,480 --> 00:37:26,210
and then it's hard to get them spending
money again because they're scared and
1846
00:37:26,210 --> 00:37:26,220
money again because they're scared and
1847
00:37:26,220 --> 00:37:28,069
money again because they're scared and
they should be scared fair enough well
1848
00:37:28,069 --> 00:37:28,079
they should be scared fair enough well
1849
00:37:28,079 --> 00:37:30,050
they should be scared fair enough well
uh thank you for your thought that's I
1850
00:37:30,050 --> 00:37:30,060
uh thank you for your thought that's I
1851
00:37:30,060 --> 00:37:32,210
uh thank you for your thought that's I
mean excellent analysis as always Harry
1852
00:37:32,210 --> 00:37:32,220
mean excellent analysis as always Harry
1853
00:37:32,220 --> 00:37:34,430
mean excellent analysis as always Harry
I appreciate your candor and where can
1854
00:37:34,430 --> 00:37:34,440
I appreciate your candor and where can
1855
00:37:34,440 --> 00:37:35,930
I appreciate your candor and where can
people find out more about your work
1856
00:37:35,930 --> 00:37:35,940
people find out more about your work
1857
00:37:35,940 --> 00:37:38,690
people find out more about your work
okay harrydent.com just just go to that
1858
00:37:38,690 --> 00:37:38,700
okay harrydent.com just just go to that
1859
00:37:38,700 --> 00:37:40,609
okay harrydent.com just just go to that
simple website you get on our free
1860
00:37:40,609 --> 00:37:40,619
simple website you get on our free
1861
00:37:40,619 --> 00:37:42,770
simple website you get on our free
newsletter now right now I would tell
1862
00:37:42,770 --> 00:37:42,780
newsletter now right now I would tell
1863
00:37:42,780 --> 00:37:44,270
newsletter now right now I would tell
people it might be a good time to get on
1864
00:37:44,270 --> 00:37:44,280
people it might be a good time to get on
1865
00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:46,010
people it might be a good time to get on
our pay news later but you can get on
1866
00:37:46,010 --> 00:37:46,020
our pay news later but you can get on
1867
00:37:46,020 --> 00:37:47,630
our pay news later but you can get on
our free newsletter immediately you'll
1868
00:37:47,630 --> 00:37:47,640
our free newsletter immediately you'll
1869
00:37:47,640 --> 00:37:49,970
our free newsletter immediately you'll
get an article from me and my partner
1870
00:37:49,970 --> 00:37:49,980
get an article from me and my partner
1871
00:37:49,980 --> 00:37:53,390
get an article from me and my partner
one page article and chart every week uh
1872
00:37:53,390 --> 00:37:53,400
one page article and chart every week uh
1873
00:37:53,400 --> 00:37:55,670
one page article and chart every week uh
and then and we do that until people get
1874
00:37:55,670 --> 00:37:55,680
and then and we do that until people get
1875
00:37:55,680 --> 00:37:57,290
and then and we do that until people get
enough confidence in us to get on our
1876
00:37:57,290 --> 00:37:57,300
enough confidence in us to get on our
1877
00:37:57,300 --> 00:37:59,930
enough confidence in us to get on our
paid newsletter and let them but they
1878
00:37:59,930 --> 00:37:59,940
paid newsletter and let them but they
1879
00:37:59,940 --> 00:38:01,310
paid newsletter and let them but they
can sit on that free newsletter as long
1880
00:38:01,310 --> 00:38:01,320
can sit on that free newsletter as long
1881
00:38:01,320 --> 00:38:02,750
can sit on that free newsletter as long
as you want so you can't go wrong with
1882
00:38:02,750 --> 00:38:02,760
as you want so you can't go wrong with
1883
00:38:02,760 --> 00:38:04,849
as you want so you can't go wrong with
that especially at a time like this you
1884
00:38:04,849 --> 00:38:04,859
that especially at a time like this you
1885
00:38:04,859 --> 00:38:07,069
that especially at a time like this you
got to listen to contrarians at a time
1886
00:38:07,069 --> 00:38:07,079
got to listen to contrarians at a time
1887
00:38:07,079 --> 00:38:09,470
got to listen to contrarians at a time
like this you can't listen to the normal
1888
00:38:09,470 --> 00:38:09,480
like this you can't listen to the normal
1889
00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:11,270
like this you can't listen to the normal
Economist they're always going to say
1890
00:38:11,270 --> 00:38:11,280
Economist they're always going to say
1891
00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:14,030
Economist they're always going to say
it's okay and the central banks have
1892
00:38:14,030 --> 00:38:14,040
it's okay and the central banks have
1893
00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:15,710
it's okay and the central banks have
this under control I think that's going
1894
00:38:15,710 --> 00:38:15,720
this under control I think that's going
1895
00:38:15,720 --> 00:38:18,410
this under control I think that's going
to be disproven very quickly but I've
1896
00:38:18,410 --> 00:38:18,420
to be disproven very quickly but I've
1897
00:38:18,420 --> 00:38:20,030
to be disproven very quickly but I've
been saying this from the beginning you
1898
00:38:20,030 --> 00:38:20,040
been saying this from the beginning you
1899
00:38:20,040 --> 00:38:22,370
been saying this from the beginning you
can't stop you can't put off a crash
1900
00:38:22,370 --> 00:38:22,380
can't stop you can't put off a crash
1901
00:38:22,380 --> 00:38:24,710
can't stop you can't put off a crash
like this forever the economy is going
1902
00:38:24,710 --> 00:38:24,720
like this forever the economy is going
1903
00:38:24,720 --> 00:38:27,230
like this forever the economy is going
to win in the end and it should well we
1904
00:38:27,230 --> 00:38:27,240
to win in the end and it should well we
1905
00:38:27,240 --> 00:38:28,790
to win in the end and it should well we
appreciate all viewpoints including the
1906
00:38:28,790 --> 00:38:28,800
appreciate all viewpoints including the
1907
00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:30,290
appreciate all viewpoints including the
contrarian so thank you for letting us
1908
00:38:30,290 --> 00:38:30,300
contrarian so thank you for letting us
1909
00:38:30,300 --> 00:38:31,910
contrarian so thank you for letting us
your time and your voice today uh thank
1910
00:38:31,910 --> 00:38:31,920
your time and your voice today uh thank
1911
00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:32,810
your time and your voice today uh thank
you Harry for coming on the show
1912
00:38:32,810 --> 00:38:32,820
you Harry for coming on the show
1913
00:38:32,820 --> 00:38:35,870
you Harry for coming on the show
appreciate it okay thank you David and
1914
00:38:35,870 --> 00:38:35,880
appreciate it okay thank you David and
1915
00:38:35,880 --> 00:38:37,910
appreciate it okay thank you David and
thank you for watching uh my show uh the
1916
00:38:37,910 --> 00:38:37,920
thank you for watching uh my show uh the
1917
00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:39,050
thank you for watching uh my show uh the
David Lynn report I'll put the link
1918
00:38:39,050 --> 00:38:39,060
David Lynn report I'll put the link
1919
00:38:39,060 --> 00:38:41,390
David Lynn report I'll put the link
links down to Harry's uh newsletter in
1920
00:38:41,390 --> 00:38:41,400
links down to Harry's uh newsletter in
1921
00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:42,770
links down to Harry's uh newsletter in
the links below thank you and don't
1922
00:38:42,770 --> 00:38:42,780
the links below thank you and don't
1923
00:38:42,780 --> 00:38:46,710
the links below thank you and don't
forget to subscribe
1924
00:38:46,710 --> 00:38:46,720
1925
00:38:46,720 --> 00:38:53,359
[Applause]
181751
Can't find what you're looking for?
Get subtitles in any language from opensubtitles.com, and translate them here.