All language subtitles for 14-04-2023-captions

This is not anxiety, but just "archaeological
excavations" on all the beaches in Crimea.

As we can see they are really afraid of
landing from the sea, the impression is

that the advance of AFU forces will not be
with the help of Leopards, but on dolphins.

When the first facts began to appear about
the establishment of defense lines on the

temporarily occupied territory of Crimea,
placed on the beaches and along the coast,

I perceived it as an element of corruption, on
the eve of the inevitable flight of the rats.

And it was logical, because no landing
from the sea borders will be undertaken.

The AFU does not have the appropriate means for
this, such as medium and large landing ships.

Also, this scenario of attack is fraught with
high casualties, with very doubtful results.

Small sabotage groups may infiltrate from
the sea, but it is not necessary to plow

the beaches to counteract them, but it is
necessary to use slightly different measures.

It is for this reason, I perceived these
lines of defense as a corrupt component...

However, satellite images of these very
lines of defense have been published and,

unbelievably, artillery has already been placed
on them, for direct fire on the naval frontiers!

152 mm towed howitzers on guard of Crimea.

Well, the enemy is seriously considering the
scenario of such a large-scale landing that

they begin to place artillery in Crimea,
which the Russian occupation troops lack

in other bridgeheads, for example,
in the same Zaporizhzhia direction.

And this is one of the likely offensive
scenarios that everyone is waiting for.

In this case, the deployment of artillery is not
only the installation of a combat unit, but also

providing it with ammunition. That is, while the
left bank grouping has an incomplete equipment

and ammunition shortage, Crimea is being dug
in to prevent a phenomenally unlikely scenario?

On the other hand, it is worth noting that
Russian troops are thoroughly entrenched in

the north of the peninsula, along the
Medvedevka-Dzhankoy-Armiansk triangle.

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If we assess the scale of their defense lines
and the current number of personnel deployed

on the peninsula, they simply don't have enough
manpower to fully cover all the positions they

are fortifying. The current contingent in Crimea
is one of the smallest in the entire war zone.

From all this it can be concluded that the
Russian command is planning a measured retreat

from the southern bridgehead, if anything, which
the defense lines in mainland southern Ukraine

will have to provide for them. They will
drive the bulk of the troops into Crimea.

After that, the command of the occupation
forces plans to hold a "circular" defense,

using the available and escaped
(or retreated) resources.

Thus, they intend to turn Crimea
into an impregnable fortress. But,

most interestingly, it will never become
one for them. A grave, yes, but no more.

After all, the liberation of the Crimean peninsula
will be carried out exactly according to that

scenario, which the enemy command is not prepared
for and, moreover, will never be prepared for.

But it is too early to talk about this; events
must run their course, without undue haste.