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On Russian occupant losses...
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Meanwhile, as of March 2023, the RussianĀ
occupiers had a figure of 23,470 personnel losses.Ā Ā
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Let me remind you that in JanuaryĀ
2023 enemy losses exceeded 21,700.
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And in February the losses of RussianĀ
troops only because it is a shortenedĀ Ā
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month did not set a new record, butĀ
taking into account the general dynamics,Ā Ā
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if it were a standard 30-day month,Ā
they would have exceeded 22,500.
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That is, Putin's troop losses, since August 2022,Ā
have been setting new records from month to month!
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But in the general contextĀ
of losses it should be notedĀ Ā
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how significant these lossesĀ
are for the Russian troops.
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First of all, I should note that theĀ
real losses of the enemy are much higher,Ā Ā
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because we should understand that thereĀ
are sanitary non-return and return losses.Ā Ā
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In simpler terms, these are those who wereĀ
liquidated, wounded, and taken prisoner of war.
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But in addition to losses there areĀ
other things that need to be replenished,Ā Ā
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namely compensation of personnel in theĀ
combat zone, and they are rarely spoken of.
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For example, when a unit loses combatĀ
effectiveness it must be withdrawn to restore it.Ā Ā
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And what can they be replaced with? Accordingly,Ā
they are replaced with another unit.Ā Ā
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At rotations, similar processes take place,Ā
which means that units for replacements areĀ Ā
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also necessary. That is, compensation is notĀ
direct losses, but requires human resources.
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Compensatory resource of theĀ
Russian side now already exceedsĀ Ā
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50,000 people a month. This resource isĀ
crucial to make up for combat losses,Ā Ā
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including those liquidated, wounded, prisonersĀ
of war and those in need of recuperation.Ā Ā
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In addition, it also covers theĀ
rotation needs of the troops.
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And here is the most interesting part.Ā
According to the information available fromĀ Ā
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Defence Intelligence of the Ministry of DefenceĀ
of Ukraine, the enemy's mobilization potentialĀ Ā
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per month is 20,000 men. That is, the monthlyĀ
mobilization potential has decreased by 2.5 times.Ā Ā
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This in turn absorbs the availableĀ
reserves, and irrevocably.
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Thus, with such dynamics of growth of losses andĀ
unchanged dynamics of mobilization processes,Ā Ā
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the compensatory functionality of the occupantsĀ
will be exhausted already in May. This willĀ Ā
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make it impossible to fully staff the RussianĀ
troops, not to mention the technical component.
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If another mobilization is notĀ
rolled out in Russia by then,Ā Ā
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the units that have lost their combatĀ
effectiveness, right at the formationĀ Ā
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stage, will not be able not only to conductĀ
offensive operations, but even defensive ones.
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But that is only in this case.
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Before I continue, I ask you to subscribeĀ
to my channel, it will help to promote it.
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Meanwhile, the rare GAZ-3937 "Vodnik",Ā Ā
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which the Ukrainians got as a trophyĀ
from the enemy, got the right pix.
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This is a very rare off-road vehicle, capableĀ
of crossing water obstacles "swimming",Ā Ā
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as the trophy was first spotted near Bakhmut.
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This armored vehicle is in service inĀ
Russia in the number of no more than fifty,Ā Ā
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and the Ministry of Defense of the occupiersĀ
themselves refused a large order of "Vodniks".Ā Ā
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It proved too heavy to transport. But, theĀ
shortage of Armoured fighting vehicles in theĀ Ā
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Russian army forces them to use even suchĀ
rarities in the combat zone in Ukraine.
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But, as they say - there are not many trophies!
5123
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