All language subtitles for 12-03-2023jkhgf

Crimean fetish of invaders...

Building defense lines, digging trenches and
installing fortifications has recently become

something of a fetish in the temporarily
occupied Crimea. Instead of "capture Kyiv

in 3 days" is being prepared for the
defense of the occupied peninsula.

Of course, all this is done primarily for the
internal Russian consumer, to show that the

"sacral" peninsula is protected and no sea landing
or land counterattack threatens the cradle of the

Russian bacillus. But here's the question, what
kind of sea landing force are they preparing for?

Ukraine does not have enough landing
assets, in particular large, medium,

small landing ships and boats
to implement such a landing.

In addition, the presence of the Russians
mobile coastal defence missile system

"Bastion" threatens such a scenario with large
losses, as well as the process of landing.

In other words, the Russians are preparing right
now in the occupied Crimea for a scenario that

will not be realized under any circumstances.
This leads one to believe that there is now a

banal embezzlement of budgetary funds
in Crimea as if it were the last one.

Why "as the last time,"
though? That’s the last one.

In addition, it is funny that the coastline
in a number of locations dig trenches where,

even theoretically, the landing would not be
made, because it is not rational and stupid.

But still, if we talk about the liberation
of Crimea, what will be the scenario?

I am of the opinion that it would be
the Snake Island scenario, adapted for

a slightly larger territory. The scenario of
complete isolation of the Crimean peninsula

from the outside world and methodical,
systematic annihilation of the occupants.

The main task of the AFU to start the
active phase of this scenario is to

reach the administrative border of the peninsula.

After that, the formation of a shock and fire
capability will begin in order to carry out

the tasks of destroying all military facilities
and military infrastructure on the peninsula.

In fact, the AFU can provide four defeat zones,
taking into account the existing and prospective

means of defeat that the Ukrainian
side can receive (or already receives).

And these zones are quite enough to force the
Russian troops to total shrink in the southern

location, denuding or at least weakening
the north and center of the peninsula.

In turn, an important point will be the
infliction of critical damage to the only

logistic artery connecting mainland Russia
and the peninsula - the Crimean bridge.

Thus, the contingent of Russian troops on the
peninsula will find itself in isolation and will

suffer daily losses, which will not be possible
to restore. That is, a daily minus, which will

lead after some time to a complete loss of combat
effectiveness of the occupant units in Crimea.

This is just one of the scenarios that I
see most clearly, but on the table at the

AFU General Staff, I’m pretty sure there
are several of them and some of them far

more unexpected than this template sketch of
a larger operation than was on Snake Island.

But overall, the fetish that Russian propaganda
has created around Crimea looks pretty shabby,

given how the liberation of the
peninsula is seen in reality.

Pack your bags, the trenches won't help. On the
contrary, you will be buried in those trenches.