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In the previous video, I only mentionedĀ
the fact that the Russian General StaffĀ Ā
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is trying to dispose the inconvenientĀ
private military company "Wagner Group".Ā Ā
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The conflict between the Russian DefenseĀ
Ministry and Prigozhin (the one who ownsĀ Ā
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the private military company Wagner) onlyĀ
confirms that the situation with artilleryĀ Ā
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ammunition for Russian troops is getting worseĀ
by the day. At the same time, they are leakingĀ Ā
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quite detailed information about the supply andĀ
shortage of ammunition to assess this situation.
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For example, the enemy defense ministryĀ
reported that the Wagner group, near Bakhmut,Ā Ā
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received 1,660 rockets, 1,071 shellsĀ
for barrel artillery and mortars,Ā Ā
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and 980 rounds for tanksĀ
between February 18 and 20.
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For his part, Prigozhin lamented that the WagnerĀ Ā
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Group was under-receiving 80%Ā
of the required ammunition.
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And here is very interesting, 80% of theĀ
under-received ammunition, taking into accountĀ Ā
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the 10,171 is another 40,684 rounds. So PrigozhinĀ
was expecting about 50,855 shells in total forĀ Ā
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barrel artillery? Well, keep this figure in mind,Ā
because it will come up during our discussion.
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Well, in the meantime, our favoriteĀ
rubric is "this entertaining mathematics".
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In particular, 980 rounds for tanks is actuallyĀ
a full ammunition for two tank companies.Ā Ā
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That's enough for one active day of the war. AndĀ
this ammunition was supplied within three days.
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10,171 shells for artillery is 3,390 rounds forĀ
3 days, or even less. In turn, an average of upĀ Ā
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to 200 rounds per kilometer of frontline perĀ
day should be used to support the offensive,Ā Ā
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that is, at the current line of engagementĀ
at Bakhmut - more than 6,000 rounds per day.
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But if Prigozhin had received 50,855Ā
artillery shells, it would have been almostĀ Ā
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17,000 rounds per day or more thanĀ
550 rounds per kilometre of the front.Ā Ā
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Overall, this is a requirementĀ
consistent with the firing rampartĀ Ā
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tactics used by Russian forces at theĀ
very beginning of the invasion of Ukraine.
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Thus, we can speak of a shortage of ammunitionĀ
in the most active area of combat operations.Ā Ā
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And this deficit is at leastĀ
50% of the requirements.Ā Ā
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That is, the information about the generalĀ
deficit and the decline of the RussianĀ Ā
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troops' ability to proportionally provideĀ
their units with ammunition is confirmed.
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Moreover, even in the hottest part of the combatĀ
zone, concentrating enormous forces and means,Ā Ā
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especially artillery, which the occupantsĀ
have the most of all the sectors nearĀ Ā
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Bakhmut, they are unable not only toĀ
implement the tactics of a rampart,Ā Ā
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but even to provide artillery ammunition by half.
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Meanwhile, Russian occupiers continue to removeĀ
from conservation the oldest Soviet scrap metal,Ā Ā
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experiencing a sharp shortage of armored vehicles.Ā Ā
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The first footage of deconserved BTR-50P sentĀ
to the combat zone in Ukraine has appeared.
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BTR-50P was produced from 1954 to 1970.Ā
Russia has up to a thousand units in storage.
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It should be noted that not all BTR-50Ps inĀ
Russian storage are suitable for refurbishment.Ā Ā
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The emergence of these mastodons onceĀ
again confirms the crisis in the RussianĀ Ā
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Armed Forces in supplying equipment to itsĀ
units. But more on that in the next issue.
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