Original subtitles

Some people call the new offensive of the Russian troops has already begun, and it is impossible to

argue with this, because the preliminary phase has indeed been launched. Some are expecting

the offensive to peak on certain dates, such as the anniversary of the start of the full-scale

invasion. And someone expected it last weekend, believing the Russian psychological operations.

In reality, it should be understood that any offensive does not start in an even place,

but takes place in a complex, accompanied, informational and not only. And the phrase

"not only" implies a number of tactical and even strategic factors and elements of influence.

If we talk about the information component, it is already in full swing.

Fakes are being thrown into the information space about "colossal" losses of the AFU,

information about the advance of Russian troops is being manipulated,

regularly reporting on the capture of settlements that are not actually captured, and so on.

If we talk about the preliminary phase of the occupier's offensive,

its active component is now more noticeable in the Donetsk bridgehead, although it does not reach

its apogee. It does not, because the general activity will come after a certain "signal.

But we should not expect Putin to make a fiery speech to his troops and send them to attack, no.

It could be, for example, another massive missile strike against Ukraine.

Now the enemy has almost finished the cumulative phase of ammunition formation,

which will be used in the next missile strike.

Full formation could be completed by February 10, with an approximate step of two weeks.

The total capacity of the non-unified ammunition could range from 40 to 60 missiles.

A missile strike takes out the power grid for at least 48 hours, greatly reducing public awareness.

During this period it is most effective to implement psychological operations,

especially through media resources of double importance.

The country is in situational blackout, information is not available in time and

this is a mess for manipulation. It is because of this factor that the start

of the offensive could coincide with another missile strike. But this is only as one option.

Of course, some might say that the announced so-called "epic" offensive could be delayed

every 2 weeks, from missile strike to missile strike, stretching out over many months. But,

in fact, it isn't. And all because the Russian troops are going on the

offensive not because they "can", but because the situation is hopeless.

In the next 2-3 months, full-fledged assault Battalion tactical groups will be formed and

fully manned in Ukraine, consisting exclusively of Western-type equipment.

Beginning with tanks and ending with artillery. The enemy forces will not

be able to counter anything in the defense with these Battalion tactical groups on the offensive.

There is no need to say anything about the prospects of further enemy offensives.

Thus, the occupiers will now go on the offensive out of desperation and

indulging the hysterical sentiments of their commanders. They are simply obliged to go on

the offensive before the AFU forms a new type of Battalion tactical groups.

And this is the window of opportunity of February and early March, that is - from

missile strike to missile strike in this interval, there may be no other chance.