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I often mention the Russian invaders' problems
with artillery, lack of ammunition, shortage
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of tanks, and so on.
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But if everything is clear when it comes to
artillery - no artillery means no life, and
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everything seems to be clear with tanks, then
the dependence on Armored Fighting Vehicles
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is not disclosed.
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At the moment almost all units of the Russian
occupation troops do not have a complete set
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of these very armored fighting vehicles.
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They are medium and lightly armored vehicles
used both for transporting infantry and providing
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fire support for it.
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But, an important point is that it is mobile
equipment, having some, but armor, protecting
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the personnel from defeat.
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Battalion tactical group should have 33 armored
vehicles, but in reality the occupants' complement
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consists of 18-21 armored vehicles, if youโre
lucky.
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You may think this is some kind of triviality,
but no.
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33 armored vehicles are mobile medium and
lightly armored transports for 165-230 paratroopers,
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and sometimes much more when stuffed like
sprats in a can.
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That is, providing armor for several hundred
assault troops, under small arms and artillery
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fire.
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But there is a critical shortage of armor,
and it is necessary to advance, because Putin
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needs even a local victory, for example in
the Donbass.
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He really wants an epic victory on the anniversary
of the shameful invasion of Ukraine.
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On Kyiv to attack guaranteed will not work,
but to occupy a dozen villages in the Donetsk
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direction - what a tempting plan!
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However, for Putin this plan may end with
the fact that, firstly, it will destroy a
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huge human resource.
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Secondly - the combat-ready tank component
will be finally levelled.
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Thirdly, the armored vehicles are already
in minimum quantity and will become even less.
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In other words, for the occupants the offensive
equals demilitarization.
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For example, in March 2022 losses among the
Russian troops were many times less, because
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each unit had a standard number of armored
vehicles.
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Thus, in March there were 4-5 destroyed occupants
per 1 destroyed armored vehicles.
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In January 2023, there were 72 occupiers for
every 1 armored vehicles destroyed.
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Feel the difference and remember the pointless
meat waves with no vehicle cover that we have
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seen recently.
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Armored vehicles are a very important element
in an offensive and any assault action.
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They protect personnel not only from small
arms, but also from the shrapnel impact of
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artillery, allowing them to cover distances
much faster and conduct assault actions more
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effectively.
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But the Russian army has a catastrophic shortage
of armored vehicles if we consider their proportional
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distribution across units.
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That is why the increase in losses compared
to March-April 2022 is gigantic.
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And now, the most interesting part.
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The massive offensive that the Russian forces
are planning.
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How do you think it will end if the advancing
side does not have enough artillery support,
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does not have the necessary number of tanks,
there is a severe shortage of armored vehicles?
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And it will end, if it starts, with a new
record of losses.
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Therefore, artillery with artillery, tanks
with tanks, but the absence of armored vehicles
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during the offensive is suicide for those
units that will be thrown into the field without
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armor.
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But, as we know, the Russian command does
not count losses, continuing the demilitarization
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of the Russian army.
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