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If you follow the course of hostilities now,
the main point is not Bakhmut, but Vugledar.
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The occupants attack there most fiercely. About
Bakhmut I have already told - all of its assaults
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are simply pointless, the enemy's linear tactics
only lead to a slow gnawing of the defense at
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the cost of monstrous losses. In 11 months, the
Russians have advanced about 50 km in this area,
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it just does not make sense. Even if they push
through and force the Ukrainians to withdraw,
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they will simply run into a new line of defense
and that will be it - start all over again.
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Vugledar is another matter. They are so eager to
go there because it will give them an opportunity
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to move Ukrainian artillery away from Volnovakha,
which is the most important supply hub. Also, this
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breakthrough could give them access to Kurakhovo
to overhang the right flank of the AFU defense in
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the Donetsk region. Putin has apparently set the
task of "liberating the Donetsk region by spring"
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and preventing the Ukrainians from advancing in
the Luhansk region. However, so far their success
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has been more than modest. Vugledar is perfectly
fortified - the village stands amid clear fields,
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so it is impossible to get up unnoticed. Artillery
is shooting the attackers on the approaches.
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That's how they once again fried
a "Pacific herring" in Vugledar...
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Well, you get the idea. I mean the occupants,
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specifically the 155th Separate Marine
Guards Brigade of the Russian Navy.
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That is the one that came to the aid of the
mercenaries of the Wagner group. I take it it
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can now "proudly" be called "Pooing their pants
twice near Ugledar". In 2022 and now: there are
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already timid rumors on Russian resources that at
best a company is left of the brigade. After all,
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as expected, despite the massive, intense and
unprecedented pressure on Vugledar that began last
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week, the Russian forces had actually deflated by
the beginning of this week. Not yet permanently,
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but they no longer have the strength and
capabilities they have. A lot of enemy equipment
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and personnel have been eliminated, which once
again shows the pointlessness of such assaults.
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Having reported the other day that the brave
Marines were already in control of the town, as
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of today a considerable part of the units of the
Pacific herring have lost their fighting ability
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due to losses and need to be withdrawn to restore
it, otherwise they will cease to exist altogether.
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In fact, Vugledar, quite expectedly,
withstood another onslaught of the occupants.
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It is possible to take a long time to
analyze what allowed the city to be held,
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whether it was the presence in the Marines'
units of the overwhelming majority of recruits,
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who are not even familiar with the smell of the
sea, or the enemy's problems with artillery,
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but the important point is that
the invaders will not stop there.
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Units will be rebuilt at the expense of the next
cannon fodder and may even form additional ones,
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so such an attack can happen again
in a month and a half to two months.
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And only the superiority of AFU artillery,
its accuracy and sufficient presence,
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as well as mortar support, can
neutralize such waves at the root.
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Right now we are at the point where the Russian
forces are losing their artillery advantage,
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but at the same time they can
continue their offensive with
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the component against which artillery
should be used. Therefore, the issue of
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providing artillery to Ukraine should be
no less acute than the issue of aviation.
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We are watching. There comes a critical moment
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of the winter campaign - the enemy
is trying to seize the initiative.
5360
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