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If you follow the course of hostilities now, the main point is not Bakhmut, but Vugledar.
The occupants attack there most fiercely. About Bakhmut I have already told - all of its assaults
are simply pointless, the enemy's linear tactics only lead to a slow gnawing of the defense at
the cost of monstrous losses. In 11 months, the Russians have advanced about 50 km in this area,
it just does not make sense. Even if they push through and force the Ukrainians to withdraw,
they will simply run into a new line of defense and that will be it - start all over again.
Vugledar is another matter. They are so eager to go there because it will give them an opportunity
to move Ukrainian artillery away from Volnovakha, which is the most important supply hub. Also, this
breakthrough could give them access to Kurakhovo to overhang the right flank of the AFU defense in
the Donetsk region. Putin has apparently set the task of "liberating the Donetsk region by spring"
and preventing the Ukrainians from advancing in the Luhansk region. However, so far their success
has been more than modest. Vugledar is perfectly fortified - the village stands amid clear fields,
so it is impossible to get up unnoticed. Artillery is shooting the attackers on the approaches.
That's how they once again fried a "Pacific herring" in Vugledar...
Well, you get the idea. I mean the occupants,
specifically the 155th Separate Marine Guards Brigade of the Russian Navy.
That is the one that came to the aid of the mercenaries of the Wagner group. I take it it
can now "proudly" be called "Pooing their pants twice near Ugledar". In 2022 and now: there are
already timid rumors on Russian resources that at best a company is left of the brigade. After all,
as expected, despite the massive, intense and unprecedented pressure on Vugledar that began last
week, the Russian forces had actually deflated by the beginning of this week. Not yet permanently,
but they no longer have the strength and capabilities they have. A lot of enemy equipment
and personnel have been eliminated, which once again shows the pointlessness of such assaults.
Having reported the other day that the brave Marines were already in control of the town, as
of today a considerable part of the units of the Pacific herring have lost their fighting ability
due to losses and need to be withdrawn to restore it, otherwise they will cease to exist altogether.
In fact, Vugledar, quite expectedly, withstood another onslaught of the occupants.
It is possible to take a long time to analyze what allowed the city to be held,
whether it was the presence in the Marines' units of the overwhelming majority of recruits,
who are not even familiar with the smell of the sea, or the enemy's problems with artillery,
but the important point is that the invaders will not stop there.
Units will be rebuilt at the expense of the next cannon fodder and may even form additional ones,
so such an attack can happen again in a month and a half to two months.
And only the superiority of AFU artillery, its accuracy and sufficient presence,
as well as mortar support, can neutralize such waves at the root.
Right now we are at the point where the Russian forces are losing their artillery advantage,
but at the same time they can continue their offensive with
the component against which artillery should be used. Therefore, the issue of
providing artillery to Ukraine should be no less acute than the issue of aviation.
We are watching. There comes a critical moment
of the winter campaign - the enemy is trying to seize the initiative.
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