Original subtitles

It's difficult in Vuhledar. But it has never been easy there,

just like in any other area along the line of contact. And in the context of describing the

current situation, it is worth remembering something that many people have forgotten,

and therefore are spreading mass panic in the networks, when one should keep their composure.

In the first days of November 2022, Russian troops, having assembled five more or less

manned Battalion tactical groups, advanced to storm Vuhledar, which they hastened to call

a kind of epic battle. But the epic battle was limited to the neighboring village of Pavlivka.

Having sent the five hard-assembled Battalion tactical group into the meat

grinder and having cut their combat efficiency in half or even more,

the occupiers managed to reach the outskirts of Pavlivka, and on November 11 and then on November

20 managed to announce twice that the village was completely under the control of Russian forces.

But where there are two times, there are three times?

And now, from December 2 to 3, the occupants' artillery began shelling Pavlivka.

Strange, why shell a village that is under your control? And twice.

Anyway, this is a short excursion into the not too

distant past to understand what is now happening near Vuhledar.

It took the enemy almost 2 months to recover their unit losses and they again threw these same

groups at Vuhledar, which they critically need to implement Logistical Support from east to south.

But this time the occupiers try to bypass also from the west direction,

as well as the current composition is different from last year’s lemmings

throw. The infantry component prevails, the equipment is in short supply. But there is

artillery and this is the composition they will try to capture Vuhledar.

In this context, the decisive factor could be: First, the availability of sufficient artillery

ammunition for the enemy forces to support the assault action.

But this raises the question of whether they were able to

accumulate this ammunition and ensure the process of its long-term and timely supply.

Given the general situation of the enemy with artillery and ammunition, there are doubts.

Second, the availability of sufficient artillery and ammunition from the AFU.

Since this factor decides not just a lot, but everything in Vuhledar location, especially taking

into account the dominant heights and the fact that they are controlled by Ukrainian artillery.

It won't be easy, but Ugledar will grind the "sailors" again, believe in the APU!

During all this fuss with tanks, the news that the

allies are going to supply 18 more HIMARS to Ukraine went unnoticed.

Let me remind you that now the AFU has 25 units of this equipment. And they

have radically changed the rules of the game on the battlefield.

For several months already the Ukrainians in a day translate into the right aggregate state

about two Battalion tactical group of occupation forces.

Plus twice as many organisms become sanitary losses. That is, the math is like this now:

- In a day the occupiers plant 2 to 3 Battalion tactical group in

Ukraine (according to different sources). - Irretrievable losses during the same

day are 2 Battalion tactical groups + sanitary losses of another 3-4 Battalion tactical groups.

We observe a stable negative growth of the enemy's numbers on Ukrainian soil.

And the equipment for effective growth of this figure keeps arriving and arriving.

The loser is helped only by the losers, the winner is helped by everyone. Think about it.