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So I've just recorded a 20 minute video on this pair. Just
to realise that it didn't record. You know which is
always great. Er but let's do it again. So I've done some
back testing on the weekend on UJ. As I also put on my
Instagram. So we're on USDJPY Audi time frame. I just wanna
go through um this trade that I back tested. Now I don't trade
this pair. But you know I looked at this pair on the
weekend and yeah let's go through it because I think
you'll learn a lot. So previously we had this
impulsive move up and we can see prices come down with these
lower lows and lower highs back to rebalance all of this price
here. Now this entry is one of my go-to setups that I've
traded for a very long time. But obviously you know with
some different um confluences added. Just to up our
probability really. So, let's get into it. So, if we look at
this, we have lower lows and lower highs. We had price made
this lower low here and we had a little pullback in price. So,
this would be the lower high that I would wanna see broken.
Which would then give us a order block which would be the
last down candle. Now, as you know, we can refine it down.
Now, what I'm doing is looking for my hourly bracing
structure. Looking for the order blocks but then I'm
refined on a 15 minute time frame. So let's get into it.
Fifteen minute. We now know we're looking at this to get
long from. So let's go into the fifteen and we can refine it
down this is the last down candle but this would be where
we can refine it down to. Because this is the last is
this is the large impulse that broke structure. Now five
minute, am I looking to refine it even more? No, not
personally because it gets to a stage where can you over
refine? On your order blocks and points of interest.
Definitely. Like you can, if you keep refining down, you're
gonna go from the fifteen, five, three, two minute, one
minute, thirty second, you know, where does it get to
where you say, um okay, this is where I'm looking to get along
from. And you know, stop refining because you can
definitely overrefine which I think a lot of people have or a
few people I've seen are doing But for me I like to keep it
simple. I'm looking at my hourly breaks and structure.
Where's the momentum shifting? Plot on all the blocks then
refine it down on a fifteen. Just like this. So this is
where I'm looking to get along from. If price comes back into
it. Okay? So we can see let me just come out of this.
Take it back to here. You can see off the breaking structure,
price comes back into it. So now we can go to a minute time
frame and look at price. So this is the 15 minute POI.
Okay. Now with this breaking structure coming up you know
imbalance imbalance bit of imbalance imbalance down here
okay? So as we tapped in lower lows and lower highs we tap in
here and we put in this lower low which makes this the most
recent lower high. We then break structure we wick it here
but then we do close with these two wicks here and this would
be the first entry for me. So let me just take these off. And
delete that. I'm also gonna delete this now because we know
where we are in price. This is the 15 minute demand level.
We're looking to get long on breaks and structure. Okay so
the first area is here. So we've broken structure. Now
where would be the entry um or the candle to get along from.
Well we have this little candle here but I wouldn't be looking
to take this because for me again it's too refined and
price could go from here after rebalancing this bit of price
here. So for me I would take the range. So this is a range
in my opinion. We have inside bars. This is the low that made
that low from here. So from this candle to here is a range.
But our would take the last down candle which is here. Uh
my order block because it is the last down candle. We have
this but it's not, you know, of too much interest to me. So,
this is the trade, okay? So, we broke structure, we come back
in, so I'm setting it on the top of the order block, we get
tapped in here. Stop loss for me would wouldn't be a two pips
because that is choking the trade in my opinion. For my
personality I'd rather have it at 2.5 down here. And you can
see the trade lost. So does that mean that this was a bad
trade? Definitely not. It's a great trade. It just didn't
play out. I think the the misconception with smart money
is you always need to know and in some cases this is true. You
do need to know the why of price action of course. But if
you take a loss, you shouldn't really be thinking, oh, why did
that not play out? Did I miss something? Did I miss an order
block? Or a bit of imbalance? In some ways, I don't really
agree with that because smart money, no matter what form of
smart money you're trading, you're always gonna take
losses. You just can't avoid it. I don't care what anyone
says. They're always gonna be there. So, you can take the
best trade ever you know smart money the best trade best setup
and it will it will still lose sometimes you will still get a
you know trades that lose that's just how trading is so
although this um trade you know meets my plan this for me is a
higher prop setup and it's one I would take every day of the
week. It's still lost. Now I'm not sitting there thinking oh
maybe maybe that breaking structure wasn't too
convincing. Maybe, you know, it wasn't actually a good setup.
When really it was, I would take this every day of the
week. Um it just lost. So, now that we've taken a loss on that
trade, a lot of people would then miss these next upcoming
trades. Ultimately would bank a lot of percentage. So I'm just
gonna take it back. So we've taken the loss. We know where
we are. We're we're at a 15 minute demand. We're now
putting this new lower low in the 1 minute time frame. After
breaking structure here. Now this was probably just you know
grabbing liquidity. You can see we tap back in to rebalance a
bit of this price here. We put in a lower low. Now for me the
lower high would be either this candle or this candle. If we
also look left we have an imbalance from this wick to
this week that was left. You can see price comes down to
mitigate perfectly. We tap below it ever so slightly which
was likely reacting to a POI here. We then momentously break
structure with this candle which also leaves imbalance
from this wick to this wick. Now with imbalances um as you
know we trade them as extra confluence. I don't recommend
trading off of the imbalance because it won't work out for
you. We we need to just use them as extra confluence. So
what does that mean? Well now we've broken structure again.
Yeah. We can take this candle here. Now for me I would take
this candle as opposed to not taking this one because this is
larger and you can clearly see the momentum came in on the
next candle. So this is it makes sense. We also have
imbalance. So we have imbalance just above the order block
which you know gives X your confirmation or confluence that
we're gonna tap in from here and then continue up which is
what we've done. So Again we can set our entry at the top of
the order block. Now as you already know with 1 minute
entries or 1 minute order blocks I'm setting an entry on
the top of the order block. So the top of a bullish order
block and the bottom of a bearish order block. Now there
will be variations. If the order block is say this order
block is you know a as wide as that. If I can't put my stop
loss at the top with with my stop loss below if it if it
needs to be more than uh really three pips. Then I'll be
looking at the EQ. Just so I can get in with my stop loss.
No more than three pips. So you know ultimately I'm I am most
cases we can we can get in with with you know the the little
order block and we can get the stop loss you know tight with
you know still room to breathe. But in that example I would
change it to the EQ. So back to the trade we broke structure
last down candle before momentum we tap in rebalance
this inefficiency tap into the order block and this is the
second trade which would have run for you know eleven to
twelve uh um I think even a bit more. But most traders would
miss this trade because you know their emotions kick in
after taking a loss here. They're thinking uh why did
that lose? How was that loss? That's a trade. But you know
it's just part of the game. They then miss the next two.
There's there's another trade here. They then miss it due to
you know their emotions. Cos you need to think we're still
within the 15 minute POI which is here. So we we can still
look for trades even after taking a loss. Which I think
most people sort of don't really understand because they
take a loss and they think oh the trade is going lower now.
The this is it. This this is the trade is gone. I've taken
the last move on. But really you need to come back to um
think of what is price doing. We're still breaking structure.
So we broke structure here. Imbalance, order block,
mitigation, continuation, breaking structure. Now if you
didn't take this trade here then this is the next um
opportunity here. So break structure again momentously.
Now you're probably thinking where would be the entry point
because we have this candle here as an entry or the order
block or the second order block which is down here where would
we get involved? Now for me and what I've tested is I would
always take the extreme. So what is the extreme? Well it
would be the lower order block. So down here. This is the one I
would take over this higher one. Now the reason being is
it's just what I've had more um success with. Sorry excuse me.
If price was to come down to this order block here and then
go from here then you know II really couldn't care too much
because I've stuck to my plan this is what I'm waiting for if
it just doesn't come into this area and goes from here then
once we break structure that's it we take the order off and
it's just a trade that didn't get triggered and there's
there's not much more to it really. As long as long as you
your plan and and stick to what you've found in your testing.
You know you're gonna succeed. Like this if if you take these
these entries here the higher one then that's great. Just
because I take these ones doesn't mean you need to. Just
stick to what you what your data shows and your um training
plan. And stick to it. For me I would wait for this one. Um
because it's just what I've seen you know um be more
successful. So This is the last down candle before the breaking
structure. We can then refine it down to this candle here.
You can see price tapped in. We also do have imbalance. So we
have imbalance from this week to this week. Also imbalance
from this week. Down to this week. Okay? So imbalances just
add confluence. We're not trading then we're just adding
confluence. And then you can see so this is the first trade
or this this is the first trade. 1% loss. Second trade
you know you're looking at ten minimum R. Third trade again
ten minimum R. Er and this is what we what we call order flow
so we're breaking structure mitigating we're not trading
below um the higher lows as you can see we come down to test it
but we don't really close and then you can see as price is
now efficient and essentially transactions have now been
completed large banks are getting in here this is when
momentum kicks in and yeah this is how it played out. Now
obviously I'm not trading this pair but I think I wanted to
through this trade because I think you'll learn a lot from
it. Um again, if you take losses on the first trade,
don't get emotional. Realize it's part of the game and just
look to see what price is doing. Is there more entries to
be taken? Look left. What are we tapping into? Where's the
liquidity? Um where's the order blocks, manipulation,
imbalances, you know, stack all the confluences and take the
trades. That's the trailer I wanted to cover. If you have
any questions on it um please feel free to message me in
discord over you know private DM and yeah if you let if you
took value from this video let me know and I hope you all have
a really good week and yeah let's smash it in the markets.
Let's try and beat last week. Which you know it's probably
gonna be hard to do because it was a great week but let's have
a great week nonetheless and yeah I'll speak to you on
Discord.
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