All language subtitles for Market Rundown 28-02 July

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Original subtitles

Yo what's going on everyone? I hope you're all doing well. Er

welcome to another video. So what we're gonna do is run

through GU, EU and AU and talk about the trades that I

personally took for the week just gone. Um and yeah let's

start off on EU and get straight into it. Now the last

video I had done was around you know an hour long which I do

believe is a bit too long and you know you you can start to

just tune off and just you know lose focus. So I'd like to keep

these I try and keep them a bit and shorter. Um so that's what

I'm gonna try and do in this video and yeah just try and get

through it quickly and you know still providing value and yeah

let's go from there. So EU on the hourly time frame as I

always start my analysis we can see if we look at current price

we've had this push up which is broken above this high here

which I've marked on and we've now seen a sell off and we've

actually broken you know we had this little consolidation range

we broke up and this can for me is AA handle that has taken

liquidity from that high um cuz you can see we broke that high

and then we actually retraced fully and then we broke

structure on this higher low. Now we've also seen a reaction.

If we look left we have this bit of imbalance from this week

down to this week. Um which was mainly covered with this move

here. But you can see we left a little bit and you know price

has sold off you know pretty much perfectly from there. And

we do have this area as well which we can mark on. So we

could be you know this is a valid order block. You know we

can refine it from that bullish candle to this candle here.

Because you can see that we we push down. Now this was news.

We pulled back and then we broke structure again. So we

broke that low. And we have the last up close candle refined to

that candle which is before the momentum came in as you can

see. We haven't come into that level and we don't need to come

up to here. Um it's not needed. We have filled this imbalance

here and we've took taken liquidity from this high as

well. Now we see this a lot where you know we break highs

and then we retrace. Now we know the highs and lows are

manipulated and this is it's not it's not uncommon. This

happens all the time. Okay? So what I'm looking at for next

week is we've broken that low there. So I'll just mark that

on. Break of structure which is valid for me and we have the

last up close candle which is here but on the fifteen I'll

just go down to it now

um we can refine it down to this candle here but back to

the hourly sorry fifteen. We have this you know very clear

imbalance on the 15 minute as well. So we may come up to

rebalance that bit of price in there and then you know build

liquidity and then actually come above into that last up

close candle here. So we can we can refine it down to that

candle there. And then back to the hourly is something like

that but it for me if price really comes into this sort of

whole area then I'm gonna be looking for potential sell

entries you know looking for liquidity manipulation and look

to sell from here and then really we can look um for for

some areas down here. Now if I look at previous price I can

see we previously had this impulsive move up that broke

structure as I marked on. We have the last down close candle

which is here. Now I'm I'm well aware that we or I did get an

entry from here. So I did look at this area. But as I get into

I took a trade where I refined my area from here up to here on

the fifteen minute. And you can see price wicked in and I took

an I took a trade up here. Um but if we look at the hourly,

this hasn't been mitigated. So, this order block has been, you

know, left and it's not been mitigated. Um we wicked down

but you know, we failed to come into this level. So, if we do

get some sells from this area here, then, we can be looking

for targets. You know, firstly at these lows here, but

ultimately, this as a first target and potentially even

this wick down here. Be cuz if we look at this wick it would

be an order block on a lower time frame there's no doubt. So

we could target here and even this wick and then look for

potential longs from here. Dependent on lower lower time

frame confirmations and you know how price is delivered

into that area. It may continue down to to these lows. Because

we do have liquidity building you know this trend line 123

you know it's liquidity at them lows the price could come down

sweep all that liquidity or even just sweep liquidity from

these lows here cuz you can see we do have you know 123 touches

or that trend line with which people are looking at to get

long. The price may come up then down take that liquidity

tap into that order block and then we can look to get long

from there. Um and then if we can get long in in these areas

then you know a clear target would be of course the highest

but then this unmitigated um supply zone here for a target.

So that's the forecast for EU. You know keeping it simple. And

if I go to the fifteen then we may see a as I said a push into

this area and then I'll be looking for the lower time

frame confirmations and yeah look to get short from there

but I do believe um we will potentially come lower but one

thing to also look at here is this move here, okay? It'll be

broken structure so if I just mark it on although that we

have taken this high out and then retraced we also need to

understand that it is a broker structure okay and we've also

broken substructure um at this high here so the reason this is

substructure is because if we look at this move here so once

we broke structure here we had a higher high which is a swing

higher and then we we have higher lows within this but the

real swing low would be this wick because it's the lowest

point before price then pulled back okay so swing high and

swing low and all this price action within is you know it's

within the higher and the low so it's substructure and then

you can see this is the move that actually broke that higher

high to put in a new higher high and then you know higher

low which would be here or even here. Okay so that is a break

of structure and then we had this here um which is the last

down close so it's a valid order block. Price came in but

didn't respect it. You know, no lower time frame confirmation

and you know, price was delivered in in a way that

shows, you know, momentum with this candle and this candle and

you know, no lower time frame confirmation. But if we look at

another unmitigated area, we have a push up here which

broke, you know, you could say substructure. It's not really a

valid break for me but it is a move that left a bit of

imbalance and we could potentially look at you know

this candle here

but yeah that's sort of the game plan for EU. Keeping it

simple. Overall looking to sell from really this this whole

area um and then understand we have that imbalance on the 15

minute time frame which we can look to see what price action

does and look for entries within that. But ultimately we

we need to understand we do have a lot of liquidity that's

been built on these higher lows. So we may see a push down

into an unmitigated area as I discussed and then look for

entries within that. Okay, so on AU now, which is looking

very clear to me in my opinion. Uh Now one thing that I do is

when I very first get on a chart is I just look at it you

know zoom out a little bit like this and just sort of look to

see what it's telling me. And the first thing that I that

comes to mind is you know we've had this very corrective move

up. We've taken out that high. And this is Messi and we have a

lot of liquidity below. Um and a lot of retail traders you

know who trade patterns and you know larger communities that

you've probably heard of will be looking at this as you know

AA free touch 123 and 123 on the top. A three touch

ascending channel and you know a mass psychology bit of price

action where we had this high and People looking to short

from here. Price pushes up. Fur touch of the pattern. Which it

does make sense but we're not trading it that way. We don't

look we're not looking at this as an ascending channel and a

double top mass psychology. The way we're looking at it is

liquidity building here. We have a push up which led to AA

new higher high from here which we did also break here as well

but we have you know the higher higher and a clear higher low.

We've broken structure. So we've broken that low you know

ever so slightly which agreed isn't the most convincing and

momentous break but it is still a break of structure and we

have this as the last up close and then you know refined to

this candle here. Um so I will be seeking you know selling

opportunities in this area and if we also look left we can see

we have this that price you know we have this convincing

sort of bullish candle which is probably an order block on a

time frame up and you can see prices tapped in tapped into

that area and it says that's you know why a price has sold

off from here broke structure but one thing that I'm looking

at personally is that candle there as my order block and if

I go to a 15 minute time frame you know I wouldn't be looking

at refining but you know this this is messy and you know this

is definitely messy price action. Um but in this example

what I would do is potentially look at that candle there but

on the hourly really if price is coming into this area I'm

gonna be looking on the lower time frames and then you know

go from there with my entries. Um so yeah the full process is

I wanna see price come into this area and just get my mouse

once price comes in to this area and if it does I'll be

looking you know for a shift in momentum you know breaks of

structure mitigations liquidity clearing and then looking for

that momentum shift and looking at that break of structure on a

low time frame and looking at that newly created order block

to get short from. And And yeah and we have reason for price to

move down because we have a lot of liquidity as I've mentioned

which price has taken from this low already. But you know this

this is a trend line which people are looking at and one

thing that we could see is we have a break of structure here

but it's not something that's valid for me because we have

this higher price wicked but then closed below. Um but we we

do have an an area where price may come down to but the the

real sort of order block or demand zone that I'm looking at

is the one lower so we have this here okay so we broke

structure with that higher and they they try and ignore this

this is trades that I've I took um at the start of the week but

what I'm looking at is Just mark that on if I can get it on

correctly. Is that candle there? Okay so I'm sure you can

see but we have a break of structure which I'll just mark

it on. We broke that high. BIS. And we have the last down close

candle refined to this candle. Now the reason why I would

refine that down if you're new is because it's wicked. So it

it was up here and it closed back down. So it's not showing

momentum. And this candle here you know has

yeah so that's what I'm looking at so this area to sell so a

clear order block or supply zone we've taken liquidity from

that high as the same as EU we have liquidity under these lows

to target and another target could be this low here which I

will be looking at and I'm looking to trade into this area

now if price does come up to here you know we have 100 plus

pips from this move down to here. So you know a lot of

percentage that we can make. Um because if you look at even

this this move here I got involved on this first trade up

here and got out around hm where was it? Maybe around here

and that's thirty-five to forty pips which was around 15% on

this trade. So you know it's a lot of percentage that we can

make. Um but yeah so that's gonna be my sort of views on AU

sell from this area and if price doesn't come into this

area then I'll be looking for another break of structure. So

once market opens we may just see a little bit of a range as

we usually do and then we may just break structure again and

if we do that then I'll just mark it on so if we just range

around and then break structure again then I'll be looking at

that new area. So I'm always looking to trade the new the

the most fresh um order blocks. Um and then you know look to

get short from here. Targeting that low but ultimately this um

mitigate area here. And then I'll be looking for longs in

this area. So you know nice breaks of structure. Excuse the

drawings but you you get the idea. Um and yeah that is my

sort of views on AU. You know, keeping it simple as I always

do and these trades I'm gonna get into so don't worry. But

yeah, um nice and simple. Liquidity to target. Liquidity

under these lows. Um bitter gate area. And one other thing

to mention is price does not need to push up and then down.

It can still you know push up rep to maybe this area here but

you know all of this is really mitigated and you know but we

could just see a break of structure up and we have this

wick here as we know there's always something inside wicks.

So we may even break structure. Break that higher and then we

could get long from this area if if price comes back to it

and then you know lower time frames. Something like that and

then we can target this sort of area and then sell from there

but you know whatever price gives me is what I'm gonna

react to. I'm always reacting to price and not trying to

predict too much. Although I although I do forecast I'm not

predicting I'm not saying right this is gonna go up from here

or this is definitely gonna go into this level and then sell.

Because once you start doing that you know trading smart

money or not that's when ego comes into it and you know I

really don't have an ego. I just sort of react to what

price is telling me and then, you know, make money on my

trading plan and once I get my entries and it's as simple as

that and then, you just rinse and repeat every single day.

Okay, so that's gonna be AU and the last pair is gonna be GU.

So, let's get into that now. The final pair, uh we're on GU.

So, again, when I first come onto this chart, the first

thing I see is you know, a bit messy in all honesty it's not

really interesting me too much when I've got AU and and EU

well especially AU looking you know prime for some some great

opportunities for the week um GU isn't really showing me too

much um but if we look at what we saw last week is we had this

break of structure here so you can see we put in a new lower

low we had this as the order block that we was looking at

and once we came into this level I know I've done a video

on this but you know we we can't get too fixated on the

higher time frame sales in this example we can still trade long

into these areas because price does not need to sell from here

although it's more likely that we will sell from here it does

not need to and especially once we have an unmitigated area

above it as you can see here we had this area which price

ultimately came into sold off from and then went long from

the new sort of demand level which was here. Okay so there

is still a lot of percentage to make in these moves up to

higher time frame areas. That's that's one thing you know I

really wanna try and get across and teach er teach you like

basically. So that's what we see here. So I traded long. I

went through this trade already in a video and then we had

areas here and this was during spread hours. I wasn't I didn't

take any trades in here. Um but I'm sure there was trades

within here. Okay and then we came down so we had I'll just

zoom zoom right in. We put in a new higher high with this move

here cuz you can see we broke these highs here. We pulled

back new high high. So we had this last down candle move.

Which price did come below. But you know structure is still

structure. So we're still trading based on, you know,

lower time frame structure and we we did get a very clean

entry on the lower time frames which I know a couple people

took and posted in the pound dollar uh channel. And then you

can see, we put in a new higher excuse me and then we see a

nice trend up you know a lot of percentage to make on that move

there and going forward we put in a new higher high here so I

was looking at this area as I did put into discord but then

again we pull back and then put in a new higher. So we had this

area here. Now I've refine this down to to the wick which is an

order block on I believe the fifteen or 5 minute and let me

just go through this quickly actually. So I'm gonna take you

back quickly to around here. So as I've said you know in this

video already I always like to take the most clean er the most

fresh breaks of structure. So once we broke structure here I

was looking at this area as my consolidation range to get

along from. But then we broke structure again. So this is my

new area. Which I will take entries in on lower time frame

confirmation. Okay? So once price came into that level go

to the fifteen. Yeah so you can see ignore all this but we have

break of structure last down candle which is there refined

to that candle okay you all know this simple stuff really

and then 1 minute time frame price came in I set an entry on

this. Er yeah it was 4 PM So you can clearly see we came in

with lower lows and lower highs. And we came down

mitigated 50% er and more of this area. Broke structure. And

I was looking at this at my area to get long from. Then you

can see price didn't come back in and I took my entry off as

we was approaching 6 PM Bit cos that's too late for me in a day

with spreads coming at 10 PM So I don't wanna keep my entry on

at this time and you know then be in the trade and just get

taken out by spreads. If that makes sense. Especially for

starting to trade on lots of capital. You don't wanna be

taking city losses like that you know. And that just comes

with experience and you know more knowledge in the markets

basically. Um but you can see price failed to come in, pulled

off, and then if you was looking at setting your entry

after spreads, well, you know, this is still 8 PM and then

price did come lower but I'm not gonna get into that yet.

I'm gonna look at current price, okay? But that was a

very clean entry that I would have taken um which would have

resulted in loss but you know, if it wasn't spread hours, then

I'll be in that trade. But back to GU, what I'm looking at is,

well, what sticks out to me the most is this move here but we

know this is news. So, I'm not really interested in this area

but you may be looking at it thinking, can we sell from this

area? Now, as we've broken structure on this low, pulled

back, broke structure, that's not an area I'm looking at and

also being that it is news that caused that um but then we push

down. We had this hourly imbalance from there to that

week there. Which I did take an entry in this as well. Which

was on Thursday I believe. And if we look at where price is

now we we have this low here which I have marked on. Now

what I'm expecting is for price to break that low. You know,

build some liquidity and also take it from that low and then

potentially we can look at this area uh to get along from

because we do, although it's not really an order block, we

do have an area down here but we do have a clear imbalance

that is left on this candle. So, we could see a reaction

from that area. And look to get long and and target you know

highs and really up here but it depends how you know Monday

morning comes around and where price is we could see I do

believe that low will will be taken out and you know break it

and then potentially retrace back up. So one thing we may

see is that low get taken out. Um mitigation of that imbalance

there. And then a push back up into you know this last up

close candle because we have broken this is the move that

broke that low. So we could see you know we could see price

sell off from there and look to get short from here. Which is

what I will be looking at. Um most definitely. If I just mock

that on, we have the last up close candle refined to this

here. Now you could be looking at this candle here. But as

I've always said as this whole move is just one break of

structure. I will take the extreme. So this candle and

then refine to that candle. So if price comes in just go to

the fifteen quickly. And We do have a 15 minute area as well.

So we do have this which I may you know size up and look at as

Monday morning comes around. But on this move here we are

breaking structure again. So it all depends how you know what

what price is doing on say Monday morning you know near

midday and where price is okay? But ultimately the first real

area is up here but then you know look at this area as well

and if price comes in, we can look to sell and you know,

targets all this hourly imbalance this low and we have

an area down here but as I've said a few weeks ago, we broke

structure but we then had this wick that came back in. Which I

do classify as a mitigation in some respect. So, whether that

area will hold and be respected, you know, it will

we'll find out if it does but you know I don't believe it

will. Um but yeah it's all about reacting and

understanding what the lower time frames are doing and yeah

so that's gonna that it for my forecast you know summary we

have a break of structure we have this low that I'm looking

that price may take out manipulate retrace come back

into these areas here and then we can look to sell um

dependent on lower time frame confirmation and then look to

target sort of this imbalance and these lows down here.

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