Original subtitles

Hey what's going on everyone? Hope you're all doing really

well. So welcome to this week's video. What we're gonna do is

go through GUEU and AU as you know we always do and talk

about the recent price action that we've just had from the

week gone. And then look to see what we can get involved with

um for next week basically. Now looking on GU you can see we've

had a clear you know some really nice opportunities as we

a clear trend so we're putting in these lower lows, lower

highs, lower lows, lower highs. You know we're coming back in

to mitigate supply levels which are continuation suppliers so

we're you know we're essentially getting short from

the most recent um lower higher okay and if we look at this bit

of price action here this was a trade that you know we we took

um So you can see if I just mark it on we had equal lows

here. So we have one one low and a second low which we know

as you know liquidity below this level and we also had a

liquidity sweep from the top side. So if I look at this move

here. So just zoom in. We can see we broke structure. And we

have this order block refined down to that candle. Which II

have been through this trade in you know the case study. But

you know seeing that we broke that high there um but it's not

really a confirmed lower high because we haven't broken this

lower low. Although it it's not a confirmed lower high this

move that broke above is sweeping liquidity from anyone

who's in that or you know trailing stop losses or you

know getting involved short from here. Because we do have

an area on this move as well. So as this was unmitigated the

price came in but it didn't come to the 50% which is what I

look for to class something as mitigated or not. So we came

in. We took liquidity sellers you know looking at this and

getting involved here we have clear liquidity to target and

we know that the market's target liquidity you know

that's obvious and yeah we got involved in this led to the

downside which took that liquidity and then one thing

once price takes liquidity it has a reason to then move the

other way which you can see it did a bit of momentum and then

essentially you know we are still trending so price is

continuing down. Okay so that was a very nice trade. Uh

Carrying on, you can see we add that lower low. So, we put in

that lower low, new lower high up here. We then broke that. So

we broke that lower there. So a clear break of structure,

momentum, and what does that leave? Well we have the last up

close candle. But as you can see if I just zoom right in we

have two wicks. Now wicks are points of interest on a time

frame down. So it could be on the fifteen to five even the

one minute. It could be you know it's there's something

within that week always. Okay? So when we get that I'm not

really looking to mark on that body or that you know the order

block really I'm just looking at that wick there okay and you

can see price came in ever so slightly but it did come in so

we can look for shorts in that area okay? Because remember,

we're looking to trade with the trend. We don't need to be with

the trend but you know, trading with the trend is the safest

way and you know we get a lot of opportunities basically. So

price came into that wick. So 15 minute you can see we are

still it is still a wick on the fifteen minute. Looking at the

five. What what have we got? Still a wick. So what does that

mean? So going to the one minute. What is it? So you can

see it's an order block. So last up close candle which then

led to a break of structure. And doesn't look like it but it

did come in. You know you can say it's not been mitigated but

for me I would still look for entries because price doesn't

really need to come all the way up to here. It may do but it

doesn't need to. It can do that in a later date with, you know,

in price, you know, next week, week after, whenever. Key

detail um on this bit here. So you may be looking at this as

price is we have continuations here that we can trade into

this level. We then see a break of structure. That's very clear

to see. I'm sure you can agree. We broke down and we broke that

most recent higher low. So we put in a higher high and we

have a higher low here. We broke that but what are we

actually trading off of? Because if I if I go back to

the hourly you can see well you can't really see it but we

didn't come into that level. So this purple zone is the hourly

um lower higher. And you know our point of interest. Price

didn't come into trade into that level. So you could see

that it broke structure. So you could be thinking oh but it's

close enough so should I take the trade? When really that's

you know a bit of Fomo in my opinion. You see a break of

structure so you you'll be looking at this. I'll just mark

it on arguably that area there but we have a range up here.

That candle. And you could be looking at this but again is

not valid. Because it hasn't come into a point of interest

on a higher time frame. So anyone else looking at this you

know smart money retail then looking at this as you know

breaker structure momentum shift which in some cases yes

but is is more so seeking liquidity to push higher take

out that high there take liquidity and then receive the

sell off see it's easy to say that in hindsight but that's

exactly what happened and that is the reason for it. We took

out that high, only just but we tapped into the higher time

frame point of interest, then, this is what I was looking at

here.

I wanted to see this move break with more sort of momentum and

really show me that shift but it didn't. It sort of if

anything it created equal O's and I was looking at this that

wick and then that last up close candle but again I wanted

to see a clear break but it didn't actually break. So price

did come back up and it did just fall short of that area.

Before then pushing down. Now, one other area would be looking

at this move here but if we look at that move, it's not

really showing momentum. If anything, it's sort of reacting

off of an area left and you can see a sufficient pricing as

well. Um but to to each different trader, you could be

looking at that area as a breakup structure. We've broken

these lows here and the move really started up here maybe

even here and then you you may have taken a loss but yeah for

me it wasn't really an entry that I was looking at. Um but

if if we carry on you can see we've clearly broken down but

we didn't pull back to any of these areas here. And we

continue to break. The next clear area is here. So we have

a consolidation of these candles then we momentously

break that low and then we come in. I didn't Take this because

the move is already quite a way down. Um and I think I was in

other trades at the time if I can remember. But this you know

this is a definitely AA great trade to be looking at. For me

the EQ point on GU. Free pips. You know giving plenty of room.

You would have been tagged in. So coming back to it what we

have is a range. Initiation out. That broke structure. A

mitigation of these orders to fill in more orders. Mitigation

of the imbalance and then you know smart money gets involved

or at large institutions at that area and then you know we

see a continuation. Okay so you can see we break structure

again we tap into that loss up close or that range and then we

continue but if I go to the hourly time frame you can see

we've already put in that lower low. So what I would be

anticipating is that that pullback because we have put in

a new lower low and closed below. Okay so we do push down

then push up. And then this is where you know NFP we came down

and we reversed from NFP and one thing to look at here We

broke structure. So we broke this most recent um lower high.

So just mark it on. BOS. And this is NFP so I wouldn't be

looking at taking this because it is news but if we look at

this order block there which wouldn't be valid for me but

refined to that candle price broke structure closed above

came back down nearly mitigating that imbalance you

know but the majority of it has been mitigated then we continue

up Now as we sin that that grip down and this is NFP. I'm gonna

avoid this area and sort of anticipate the price won't need

to come back to that area and we could be looking, well, what

I'm gonna be looking for is getting long from this sort of

area here. Okay. Now the reason I wanna get along from here is

because this move and that wick is just news. It is a pullback

so we have an inside bar there. There this would be a visible

pullback on a lower time frame. Then we momentously break up

which broke structure that that um sort of little pullback here

but it's also broken this second most recent lower high.

If that makes sense. So one thing that I'll be looking at

is a push back into this level.

Something like this and then what I'll draw here will be on

a lower time frame what I'll be looking for you know clear

breaker structure and something like that So that's gonna be

what I'm looking for and One other thing to mention is we

have areas left. So you you always wanna look left and

although current price action is very important. Looking left

and seeing looking left and seeing what price left behind.

Previously you know we can still trade. So we have this

area here which I'm sure you can agree is unmitigated and

it's a clear supply zone inside bar showing a range on a lower

time frame so you know a consolidation range initiation

out breaking structure so price may open you know range around

a bit that we usually see and then pull back a little bit

come up to that level and then I'll be looking for something

like this which is a reversal trade. Um and you know, look to

get short if we get a clear delivery in price at at that

area, okay? So, if we come in with momentum, then, I won't be

looking to to sell it basically and look to see what price does

next. But you know how price is delivered. I'll be looking to

sell from there. Another thing to look at is why I wouldn't be

looking at shorts from here because although price came in

like I previously mentioned we didn't mitigate to the 50% of

this you know refined wick or order block on a lower time

frame. But look how price was delivered into this area. If we

just take it back

although that this lower move here was NFP this isn't and you

can see price was momentously coming into this level and you

know we didn't see anything on a on a lower time frame so

that's the area there and I'm sure you can agree there's no

entries in there you know to be looking short because we're

seeing clear higher highs and higher lows. Okay so now I'm

gonna avoid that area um dependent on what we see but we

may see a retrace and we may see something to get short but

you know ultimately this area down here to long and reversals

from up here. Yeah that's gonna be it for GU. That's the game

plan. Looking bullish. Um but we have this imbalance. I'll

just mark it on. On this candle here, we have a bit of

imbalance. From week to week that we have come into so we

wicked it there but we have this in here which is you know

inefficient pricing so we may come up refill that and then

look for a shift in momentum you know week week to strong

hands and look to get short from there basically. And yeah

keeping things simple. I was gonna do it for GU but yeah

this is what we like to see you know clear trend clear

continuation supply zones and getting short from the the the

most recent lower highs and you can trade in between them

levels and I think that's one thing that people don't

understand. Um you can trade. So if you're waiting for say

this move to push back up into this supply. You can still

trade long on this move. It just takes more experience and

understanding what you're doing. But I'm gonna do some

more videos on that and you know go into detail with that

so yeah let's get into EU next. Okay so we're on EU now and

again we've just had some really solid opportunity for

this week. You know clear trend clear reactions from supply you

know lower highs and a lot of trades to be taken. So I hope

you know you've taken trades and you've if you haven't got

involved in any of these moves then what I would suggest you

do is definitely go and back test this you know start from

where was market open around here. Start from here. So get

your replay bar tool and then come back to here and then just

go through go through this whole week of price section.

How you would in the live markets. You know if you're all

your time frames down to the 1 minute and the seconds if you

use that. And and you go go through it like three times and

just learn from it. And and take losses. Take wins. And ASR

it and yeah. Because you know this is super clean so

obviously this trade that I've taken from this area here such

a you know very clean trade liquidity taken from um the

sell side and from these highs here but if I just go through

last week's price section. I know I've done this in a chart

already in the dann aber finde ich

if we just look at this so we had this high that broke that

which is taken liquid as even that higher. Um being pushed

down broke structure. So we've broke this low here. So we have

a clear area here. And I won't make that a little bit. Okay

that's good. So price didn't come back into that level and

as we know it doesn't need to because what we can do is adapt

and look for you know cleaner or the most freshest breaks of

structure and then trade that. So this basically means that

you know price will likely come back to this area at a later

date. It could be next week. It could be week after. We we're

not too sure but you can see air areas do come back to

mitigate but it doesn't need to be you know the next day or the

next couple days. Okay so price pushed down pulled back new

lower low we've broken that low there you can see so you know

clear order block price did come above it but as I as I

always say if it comes above it doesn't invalidate um that area

because it wicked it and then you know a wick on a lower time

frame that would be you know breaks of structure and we can

see there's no momentum up okay so the next area which is I

believe what I've forecasted um just trying to look now yeah so

it's this move here because again if you're new and you're

trying to get your head around this is simple right this broke

that low so a new lower low new lower higher. Which is the

highest point. So the swing point swing higher swing low.

Once that broke you can see clear momentum. What does it

leave behind? Well let's just zoom right in. Last up close

candle which you all should know is an order block. Okay

that's a clear order block. Because it's the last up close

candle before money stepped in. Large institutions push this

down. Broke structure. Price is gonna come back, rebalance,

close out orders, more orders being placed, smart money gets

involved, okay? So, lower low, lower high, which is here but

last up close candle and we we get involved in this and first

target because we're we're seeing clear order flow and a

clear trend. The very first target should be that low. So,

we wanna see price attack that low and you know reassess from

there which is what price done. So what's the next move? Well

this move here broke. Not too momentously and it is quite

efficient. A bit of imbalance left but we pull back break

again. So we have a last up close candle which we can

refine to this or even if we wanna be a bit more advanced

that wick because that is definitely an area on a lower

time frame. You can see price came in mitigated and then

continued. Okay. So the next area is here. Now one thing to

mention is we can trade long into these areas. So once price

made this lower low we can trade long into that area. Is

something that people aren't quite getting and it is, don't

get me wrong, it is for more of the advanced trader, like the

more experience you get, the more knowledge you get on how

to take these trades and I think Elliot was talking about

it. Um you know, the investor experience on Instagram.

Elliot, great guy. Um he was talking about it, I believe. Um

you know, trading long into these areas and not just

waiting for the higher time frame area to play out, you can

trade it into that area. Okay, so it's very key and it comes

with back testing experience, forward testing, you know, and

yeah carrying on. So this leg here quite efficient but it's

still a clear break which was the move that broke that low

there. Okay and this is this was the trade that I took. So

I'm sure you can see by now. Last up close candle before the

move down that caused the break. We tapped in. Wicked it.

Ever so slightly but I'm still looking for entries at that

area. So 1 minute time frame.

And hold on let me go to the fifteen cuz you can I don't

always refine from the hourly to the fifteen unless there's a

very clear area where price may need to come to and we do have

it here we have this area because if we just dissect this

bit of price action all we have that's the hourly area right

but we broke structure then we wicked back on the fifteen

which is technically a mitigation or something that I

would class as a mitigation. But then we have this next area

which isn't visible on on the hourly but on the fifteen it

is. So we have the last up close candle then we broke

again. And that's not been mitigated that sort of order

block there. And that is also the reason why price didn't

come up here and it actually just sold off from here because

if we just take that area

and you can see price did go above it but you know we've

mitigated and I wasn't looking at this at the time. I was just

more focused on the hourly area because I wanna get short

because going back to the hourly as I mentioned we have

them we had a clear sweep of liquidity from that low. And

then we have price put in that lower low. Take take took

liquidity sorry. And then we had this lower height here. But

we we knew that we had this area above that was unmitigated

okay so people are looking to get short in here from this

area price come up took liquidity and you know we came

into this level and back to the 1 minute I took two trades. One

loss and obviously this win which ended in just below

twenty R. So I think it was nineteen point nine. Yeah.

Okay. So we tapped in and with that move there we tapped in.

Continuations into that level which you can take as I you

know previously mentioned you you had an entry here. Arguably

you had one here and one down here but price didn't come to

tag you in. And you you can still take this one here which

probably would have tagged you out just and then you know

pushed up but once price tapped in we are anticipating you know

sellers to come into the market and you know we wanna be

waiting for that confirmation but looking for sales. Um so

yeah we broke structure. Now I wasn't looking at this because

it didn't break. As I always say I wanna see price break

with momentum. And this didn't really show me that if anything

this is equal lows for me. For price to sweep it. Break

structure again. Tap into an order block. And then go from

there which is what we've done. So we broke structure on this

move here. And one thing that stands out is a bit of

imbalance which you know is great. I do look look for

imbalances but it's not always needed. It is needed but not

you can trade without it. Um but you know it's just extra

confluence. And I'm just trying to remember what my exact area

was but what we can see is we pushed up. This is the move

that broke structure and it started from here. Okay? So I

was looking at this last down candle and I think I did take

into consideration this candle here. It. I think it might have

been this candle. Oh no that was it. Okay so we had this was

the order block for me. And then we had these two candles

inside that order block. And then these two and then these

two candles here which is when we you know initiated out which

actually engulfed the order block. So I was looking at

these two candles that was inside that order block. And it

might have been Okay so it's roughly around that area. Um

but ultimately price came in and we feel that imbalance

because this is a range. You can class this as a

consolidation range. And price initiated out, broke structure,

clear break. You could have an area here because we have a up

close candle. We did see a reaction from it. But I was I

always take the extreme rather than entries down here. Um as

I've always ed. So I got tagged into this trade. Now wicked

there. You can see a perfect entry. But I did take a trade

here. Okay so we broke structure with this move. So we

broke down and we broke that low there. So I think I was

looking at either this range or this candle here. So it was

something like this anyway. So I took this entry. And I placed

it on I can't quite remember but if something like this 2.5

and took a loss. But I was saying um I wanted to keep this

entry on or once I took this loss sorry I put my entry on

this second er area and although I always say adapt you

know price didn't need to come up to here. Um but I was eager

to get involved in this trade and you know get involved

because of the the higher time frame sort of perspective and

you know the sweeps of liquidity. It was a very high

probability trade. So I wanted to get involved and I took this

loss and then I set my entry on this one here and my stop loss

was two pips or was it one point five? Two pips. Um but I

did account for 0.3 for spread. And yeah got tagged in and then

we see the true momentum kick in because price now has a

reason to. Because all of this move has been mitigated and you

know we're getting involved at a very best price basis so I

managed this on the fifteen to start with because one key tip.

The very first target for me is the low. So the most recent

low. So I wanna be targeting here. Okay so the low lowest

point anything before that I wanna manage somewhat lenient

um but not giving profit back. So if I'm executing on say the

1 minute time frame I wanna be managing either on the five or

the fifteen and sort of you know trail my stop loss below

or above the the structural points so the most recent lower

highs but once price surpasses that lower low I wanna be more

aggressive and even managing on the five or even the the 1

minute but what I done was the five minute. So managing at

these lows we had this range here we initiated out. So I was

looking at this area but then we had NFP that you know just

went through it so we can delete that off. Let me just

take it back before NFP.

So we took it took that new lower low from here and I then

just run it forward a bit. So I got tagged out on that swing

point there. And you know NFP we pushed down here and I was

running around 3332 percent. But then got tagged out at that

swing point for nineteen point nine. Which you know is a great

trade. Happy with that. Every day of the week you know you

only really need to take a couple of these trades a month

and you're set but you know the way we trade you can get

involved in these sort of trades multiple times a week

and that's just the power of our strategy and how we trade

it so you can see tagged out the trade. We had NFP. Let me

just run it or just come out of bar replay. This is where we

are now. So, I'm just gonna delete all this off now. Take

that off. We can hide that. Very clean trade. And one that

I would take you know every single time. Especially when we

have the liquidity from both sides being taken. Um But

looking at this now again we have this as news but it didn't

break structure. Price wicked down rebalancing. But then this

we pulled back then we actually broke again. So I'm not we have

this area here. So the last up close and we could refine it to

to that. Which price traded into. But it's not really an

area that I wanna be looking at. Um and given that this was

Friday at six, seven, 8 PM So, you know, it's not something

I'm gonna be taking. Definitely not. Instead, what I'll be

looking for is now that that's mitigated, I'm sure you can see

but we have the higher high and a higher low. So, I'm looking

at that area there. Because we pull back this is NFP so I'm

not worried about any of this mess we've pulled back broke

structure last down close candle so just like GU I'll be

looking at that area see if price comes in and again you

can trade short into this area but given that it's BB Monday I

will assess price and see how markets open and you know go

from there but ultimately longs from here could we see price

come up into you know previous highs from here. Maybe not next

week but it could get to there. Um but it doesn't need to. We

just need to react to what we're seeing and trade our plan

and look to see how price is delivered into this area. If we

come down momentously then it's unlikely we're gonna hold but

it's likely you know we can get some trades within this area

and then look to to get along and target. Very first target

would be the most recent high which is here and if we look at

that move if we're getting long from here the forty pips away

and if we're having a two pip stop loss then you know you can

do the maths. We're getting some very nice percentage. But

yeah that's gonna be it for EU. Simple and precise let's get

into AU. So straight in we have pretty much the same thing. So

I'm not gonna get into this trade here. I'll do that in

another video or I'll break it down in the Discord channel but

I'm just gonna go through quickly on my AU forecast

because it is the same or similar to the first two pairs

because they are dollar dollar pairs. So, you know, we are

gonna be looking at the same things. But a couple things to

note, we have this area here and you can see price came in

and This is a supply zone and again, this is NFP. So, I'm not

too worried about this but price came in but again, this

is Friday afternoon. But if we go to the 1 minute and look to

see if there's any entries. You can see this. There's not

really you could argue there's an entry here. But the NFP was

here and then, this is an hour later. So, do you really wanna

be getting involved in this? It is valid. We have a breaker

structure there. Last up close we tap in and come into some

profit and then ultimately go up and then we just continue

pushing up and that was the only entry there really. Um but

it's not really too much of a high probability entry because

we do did have NFP that came up near into that level and then

you can see we had momentum. So one thing I'm looking at is we

can delete that off. We can void that area because we

haven't respected it. We've pushed off it and we have this

bit of slow down in price. I'm not looking down here for any

entries because that's NFL I'm looking at this area. So one

candle that sticks out to me is that sort of dodgy candle

there. I will take the lungs from this area because that was

the move there that broke that high. As I'm sure you can

agree, we broke structure there. So a break of that high

clear momentum and it also broke that high as well. And

you know we do have a supply zone here or an order block. We

didn't respect that at all. You know we can we can void that

really and the forecast for me is gonna be potentially looking

to sell into this level for you know an an intra day or sort of

scalping play but ultimately looking at this area looking to

see how price is delivered and looking for something like that

really into this area. So that area there sticks out to me. As

an unmitigate area. Just take that off. So we may see price

come in and then go long into that area but price doesn't

really need to come down to here. What we may see is market

open a pullback. A little bit something like that and then a

push up. Into that level but if that happens then we obviously

that'll be a break of structure there. Then I'll be adapting.

Looking to see how that break that high and then look at that

new area there and trade long into that area as a

continuation play and then look to short as a reversal play

from here. So yeah. That's gonna do it for AU. Keeping

things simple and you know not over complicating things and

that's the best way to learn really. So any questions you

have on my three pairs or any pairs that you have whether it

be gold, Euro yen you know pairs that I don't trade. You

can send them into you know preferably into the channels.

Tag me and I can show you my analysis, send through charts,

or or you know, see how you're looking at your charts and you

know, you can learn from there but yeah, any questions you

have, send me a message and yeah, I'll speak to you all in

Discord and I hope you all have a really good weekend and yeah,

let's let's start off July or or continue July and have a

really good month and you know, make some some really good

percentage um so yeah have a really good weekend.