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Yo what's good everyone? I hope you're all doing really well er
and enjoying your weekend. Now I just wanna say a welcome to
everyone who's recently joined in the last few weeks. Um I
hope you're sort of understanding the strategy um
going through you know videos and dialing down on you know
your chart work and yeah come into terms with how we trade so
just understand it does take time and you're not gonna get
it straight away. It will take a few weeks, months before you
can fully understand it. Um but yeah, the more chart work you
put in and you know, listen, listen to more of the
experienced traders in the in Discord. Then, you know, the
quicker you'll understand is actually how we trade the
strategy. So, what these these videos are is I'll go through
my pairs and what I'm looking at for the week ahead and then
we'll go through some price action from last week as well.
Um but we're starting on Euro dollar. Um now if you are new
what I do is um I start I always start my analysis from
the 1 hour time frame and then I'm basing my trading around
that and then you know getting a bias and then dropping down
to a fifteen, five, 1 minute and then the second time frame
if needed. Um so yeah always getting my bias you know
starting from the hourly and then you know working from
there. The reason I use the hourly and not not the full
hour is just because I've used the hourly you know for a very
very long time and it's a great time frame to use to actually
look at price cos you can see a lot of price action on the
hourly. And it also gives a lot of opportunity within the week.
Um so yeah we always you know get trades every single week.
Pretty much and yeah it's just a great time frame to use as
you know your overall sort of bias. Then simply use the the
lower time frames just as like refinement and you know getting
in on better entries. Er so yeah that's the reason but if
you wanna use the 4 hour um as your highest time frame then
you can. It comes down to your own preference and what you you
know what you wanna do. I'm just showing you how I do it
and what works for me as well. So with that being said let's
get into EU. Now I have got a few drawings you can say on the
chart just so you can see what's going on. Now I can see
this. Um but you know, I need to show, I need to try and show
you what I'm looking at so you, you know, you can learn from it
but if we look at current price before we get into some of
this, we can see we had a quite a large sell off. Um to the
downside that has now broken this low. So we previously had
this aggressive move up that was you know NFP. That broke
this high. We see price pull back and like I always say
price likes to come to the 50% to mitigate before continuing.
Now in this case we came back to here with this wick. Which
is probably around 40% of this candle and then we broke
structure. So once once we broke structure to the upside
it doesn't give price a reason to come back to this area right
away this could be used as a later date in price which we
can see was here which is on the Friday. So once we got this
I'm not really looking at this area cos obviously we have an
order block. On this candle here. But I wasn't really
looking at that area to get long. Um
you know we had this aggressive move down into it and we didn't
really have we didn't have any entries in here at all really
because we're just seeing you know lower lows and lower highs
and you know clear momentum down and you know no signs of
this going long. Um and then you can see we did break the
low. Now I've marked on the low because you can see we've
broken it. Now as we know um the market manipulates the the
highs and lows. So what we'll see a lot is a low here. Price
comes below it and then it will reverse you know back up
whether that be up to here um because I've marked on a bit of
imbalance. So we have this wick and this wick from this next
candle. All of this within here is an imbalance. So you know
selling pressure and there's no really there's no clear
pullback um all we can see is you know a large candle and
just price selling off essentially which also broke
structure as well. So what I'm looking at is now that we've
broken this low this this low here. We may see a pullback up
to this imbalance because the this move here is all you know
efficient pricing. We can see the wigs are meeting. Um So
price may need to gravitate back up whether that be to the
EQ of this imbalance and I won't be looking at getting
short from here because it's not in my trading plan. Um
although this would be on this would be AA lower high on a 15
minute time frame. Um or a five. Yeah so we can see a
pullback and then a push. So we we may get a tap into here. Um
a pullback there. We have this wick and we you know we have
the last up closed candle. So price may need to come up there
and sell off from there but what I'll be waiting for is met
that pullback and if price wants to continue down from
here then I'll be waiting for a breaker structure and I'll be
looking to get short from you know that new supply zone. So
you know it might it may take a day or so but once we usually
see a sell off like this the following price action will
usually you know correct and take a bit of time to you know
rebalance and yeah before we see any more moves. But what we
might see is a push all the way back up to here which you know
could take a day or two. Um because we do have you know
this candle before the momentum kicked in which also broke this
wick which is a low here. So if that's the case then I will be
looking at getting short but you know that's a way off. And
what I'm anticipating is a push breaker structure and a little
to get short from that but you know but like I said it needs
time. And it's not really clear. Um when I'm looking at
chart and it's not clear. My very first look at it it
usually means that there's not um any opportunities. But when
I get onto a chart and I can see a clear opportunity before
even drawing any any drawings on there then that's when you
know I'm looking to get in you know some trades. But when it's
unclear I can see we've broken this low so I am expecting
that. But we may just pull back a little bit break structure
then I'll be looking at that in a that lower higher and look to
get short from there but yeah it's not looking overly clear
right now. But if we look at what we had last week um we
broke structure Okay, so we broke. Gonna prop this higher
here.
What am I doing? Okay so we broke structure there and then
we had you know a clear so once we had this break this is a new
higher high. So this is a new high high and then that makes a
new higher low which technically would be this
lowest point. But what we can do with our strategy is look
for that last down candle which is here. Or look to see where
the momentum kicked in. Which you can see was these three
candles here. So that last down down close candle we then
tapped in. And I'm not gonna get into this because it was
messy and you can see look at the wicks. Um I didn't take it.
Uh but you know essentially we tapped in. Uh I'll just delete
that off. Go to the fifteen.
Let's take it back. Okay so what I'm doing when I look on
the hourly and I can see a clear order block. I'm then
dropping down to a fifteen and seeing if I can refine it if
there's any areas where a price may need to come to. Now on the
fifteen not really we have these two pushes up but then we
wick back which is sort of a mitigation in in some respect.
Push up. Wick back down. So you know it's all sort of efficient
pricing. So nothing too significant there. But on the 5
minute Okay so there is one area here. Now the reason I
would look at this area is because it's really the only
bit of pricing that was left unmitigated. Because we had
this move up the broke structure and we had this you
know last down close refined to this candle. Which is an order
block. Price didn't come back in to sort of mitigate it. Now
you could be looking at this area or this order block here
but but look we wicked back in which is you know a mitigation
and then we did continue up. So that's what I'll be looking at.
That candle there. And you can see it's clear clear breaking
structure and price didn't come back to it. And then you can
see look price came back into mid gate and then we went along
from here. But I was looking at this but then we came in quite
momentously and then all of these breaks of structure on
the lower time frame were within the actual swing high
which is here. This is the lower high and this is the
lower low. So all of this in here is in is sub subbrakes of
structure. So I'm not looking to trade that. Um it was in
fact this move here that broke structure. We could take the
last down candle there. Refine it on a lower time frame and
look to get long in here. It wasn't looking great in my
opinion so I just left that. And you could if you was
looking at short in this then you know we do have this this
supply as well because this move here did break structure.
We tap in and we do see a reaction and then ultimately
you know the balls take over and we go long. And um but yeah
that's EU. Uh let's go back to the hourly. You come out of
this.
We push up above this high. This impulsive candle then we
fully retrace straight away. Now you could be looking let me
just delete that off. You could be looking at this as a you
know a supply zone or an order block because we have a higher
high then essentially we have this as a higher low and price
does break it or you know it it wicks it wicks here. But that's
not a valid break of structure for me and price did come back
up. You know we have wicks here but we've come back up and
notice how if I just zoom right in. Notice how we have last up
close candle on the open price come back up to wicket um
perfectly to the pip. Then down wicks back up and then we
ultimately do go short from here. Um so if if you you're
looking at that as you know an entry then you know go and test
that but it's not really for me. Um but yeah we break above
that higher. You know this for me is a seek of liquidity. Uh
and then you can see momentum kicked in straight back in And
then we you know this is messy. Now if you're new to the
strategy this week isn't the greatest um in terms of price
action but we can that's the great thing about our strategy
is we can actually trade it but you know it's better to be
seeing trend in um markets. Er that's my favourite you know
continuations but it's not always gonna be the case every
week. We will see you know range in markets. Looking at
GAU for example this week you know it was just like ping pong
from up down up down. We can trade it but it's for a
beginner or someone learning is is harder um because you know
the ideal scenario is we see this and just trade that but
that's not the case of you know trading. That's not how it
works. Not always. Um but yeah if you if you are new as well
what I would say is study continuations so you wanna see
a nice push up which is here sorry above you know a
structural point which is here so we have a higher break of
structure higher low look for price to get back into this
level look for manipulation liquidity and then your lower
time frame breaks the structure and then just trade that and
then rinse and repeat and you know that's how simple you can
keep trading and that's what we try and you know teach in this
discord. Um but yeah getting back to EU. Price traded below
this low so I'm expecting a push up from here maybe to here
but it it may come back up. To revisit these areas as well.
But if we do push up then I'll be looking for that breaking
structure and I'll be looking to get short from here. Okay
Ähm but with that said we can still trade it. So if we look
at current price um to start with what we can see is we
pushed down and we did get in into some trades in here on a
lower time frame. Um but then we can see we broke up and
broke above this lower high here. You know with some nice
momentum and we have this Wick.
Yeah so I am looking to see this push up from here um but
what you can see is it again it is a bit messy with this last
you know hourly candle. We have this week down. So what I'll be
waiting for is you know mark it open and look to see if we can
get down a little bit lower down to mitigate this uh wick
here and then you know look for my entries from there. Um but
if I just drop down to the 1 minute it's very it bit messy
but we came into the level and take it back to around here.
Surprise came in and then we do have some entries here but it's
not really something that I would take because of the time.
So, this is like 7 PM So, on a Friday. Um But if we look what
we have we put a lower low and we have this as our lower high
and then price broke it here. So we broke structure.
Put that on there. And we have this consolidation range. So
you can see this clear range in bit of price. We then initiate
out. We come back to it and you know we can take this range or
you know the last candle before the initiation out. So this
would be something that what you'd be doing and then you see
your entry wherever you want but for me it'd be the EQ. 2.5
pips. You know you could have gone the pip but let's just say
2.5 for this trade. And then this is your entry and then
we'll see what price does. You can see we also did come a bit
lower and came in this candle here. You know which left a bit
of imbalance. Um but then we ultimately push up from here.
But then as this is like you know a couple hours from market
close you would be managing this trade. You know you or
even closing it you know. And especially here when price
pushes up to around seven seven R. And then price does pull
back down I believe. But let's go to the fifteen. And yeah you
can see that we wick back down
down. But yeah I'm definitely gonna be looking to get long
from here. Er with some targets you know at at the highest
really. Um we have an area here as well. Because we pull back
probably structure. But yeah we'll see. And if we look to
see um previous price action. We got in long on these areas
here so if I just take it back to round there. Now, what
you'll notice is we had this Well, we took some trades
within here. I've done a video on this. We broke structure. We
got long from here. We had an area with this candle, breaking
structure, wicked back down, but then ultimately, we came
back to it here. Now, when price does this where it breaks
below, I actually prefer it in some cases because it's just,
you know, seeking liquidity from the low, manipulating and
then, you know, it's gonna continue up but it depends, it
all depends on how it breaks. We wanna see a nice you know we
don't wanna see momentum closing below. Just a week you
know seeking liquidity. And then on the 1 minute time frame
we had some entries. So if I just take this over. That is
the hourly you know point of interest. We came below and we
had this break here a little bit of AA little pullback
broken structure but then it was here um I took a loss I
took I took this trade here so we broke I'm sure you can see
it but we broke this high um I took this down candle here. You
could have took this. But I just took this lowest point and
then I took a loss er I then set an entry on this next one
so we broke structure I'll set an entry here but then once we
broke again I cancelled and then set my entry on this next
one which was here so we broke this high and this bit of let
me just zoom in I was looking at this down down candle here
um a Hold on.
Yeah so I got triggered into the trade here and I did take a
break even I think no I didn't I didn't it pushed up here yeah
that's it because it broke structure again and then I was
looking at this as price mainly to come down to mitigate and
then continue. So I left my stop loss where it was. And
then we broke structure again here then I moved it to I think
I moved it to break even or I managed I think I managed at
the lowest. I did take a bit of profit away. Um what was it a
break even? I think it was a break even cuz then we did wick
down here. Uh Yeah. And then this week down you know it was
a tap into this area here. As you can see then we went long
from there but I think I did take a break even actually. And
then we did see some huge momentum up. But you know it it
is what it is. It does happen. So back to the hourly. Um We
have this supply level here which broke structure. You know
it's not always gonna be the cleanest price section but you
need to understand the markets aren't perfect and it's about
using you know your initiative um training your eyes to see
these entries and yeah just understanding the markets
aren't they're hardly ever perfect er if ever but yeah
that's gonna be GU. Um bias is long from this area. You know
targeting this bit this move here or you know the highs and
hopefully we can start seeing you know some trends and let's
get involved in some great trades but let's get into AU.
So this is AU now. I haven't got anything on the chart on
this one. So I'm just gonna go through it er with you live. So
Ähm
little range to get along from but one thing I see is you know
this this isn't valid in my opinion. Because it hasn't
broken any structure. So if we look at this we have a push
down. So we have a low and the lower high is all the way up
here. Okay so we if anything we've just created equal highs.
This isn't really a convincing break. It has broken but it's
not something that I would class as valid because it
hasn't broken with momentum. We came up with momentum but it
was just NFP and you know to rebalance this move here. So
push up range sorry push down range push up. It's not really
a valid area for me to be looking at this as a demand. Um
but if this bit of price was to push down here and make a lower
low then obviously we would have a breaker structure but we
had got a lower low here but then we have this counter trend
move and it didn't you know put in a lower low so it's not a
valid breaker structure. Um So that's why I don't reckon we
will see any reaction from this area. We may do because of the
imbalance but I won't be looking to get along er from
there in my opinion. So I will avoid that. Um but this is
pretty much similar to EU in regards where we've had a sell
off. So we have um some imbalance as you know from wick
to wick. Bit of imbalance there. That's the most you know
obvious bit of price. So we may see a push back up to there. Um
we do have a breaking structure as well, okay? Okay so we broke
that low there.
And what we can see is the last up close candle. We do have a
wick as well but what I'm gonna do for now is mark on that area
understand that we are around sixty to sixty-five pips away
from it. So we it's likely we're not gonna get to that
area er tomorrow. It may take a day or so. But we may come back
up to this bit of imbalance. And we do have a lower high
here as well. And be broke structure so this could be an
area where price comes to to sell off from but I'll be
waiting for something clearer and if we just like EU if we
come up a little bit you know and then we break structure
then I'll be looking at that to get short but it's not jumping
out at me what it wants to do just yet. Um it may even come
down to the back to these areas down here. Um we don't know yet
but it's about waiting. Seeing how the market's open and then
going from there really. Um but yeah that's gonna be it for my
three pairs. Overall um I do think we get some nice trades
for this week and one thing to remember is about preparing.
Keep forecasting. Um ASR your trades. Learn from them. Um
take losses. Learn from them. Don't worry about taking
losses. Manage your risk and yeah just keep improving. And
listen to what lot of the members saying Discord because
there's some great traders in there. A few that are funded
and you know doing this for a living. So you know they know
what they're talking about and yeah listen to them and yeah
but let's just have another great week in the markets and
yeah I'll talk to you all in Discord and all the messages
I've got I will get back to you today. Um I have got a few to
get through. I am getting around thirty to forty a day.
So if it takes me you know a day or so to get back then I
will get back to you. I'm not ignoring you. Um it's just I've
got quite a few and it's it's only me really. Um getting back
to these messages. Uh so yeah give me some time and I will
get back to you but yeah that's gonna do it for the video. If
you have any questions um or any pairs you're looking at
send me them or send them into Discord and yeah let's have a
really good week.
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