All language subtitles for Market Breakdown 07-11 June

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Original subtitles

Yo what is going on guys? I hope you're all doing really

well. Um this is gonna be this week's video on you know a

market rundown. So we're gonna go through EU, GU and AU. Um so

yeah we just look to see what happened at the back end of

last week and look to see what opportunities we have coming

into this next week coming. So starting on EU er you can see

the clearest day we had this large impulsive candle up which

was NFP. So that's the non-farm payroll. And you can see a

large impulsive move up. Then prior to that we had this

impulsive move down from last which you know left some

imbalance. So mainly on this candle here. So we're looking

at this as the imbalance. So a lot of selling pressure and we

can also see that we broke structure. When we look left.

So we broke this low here. And you know that means that we

have this area as a potential area where price may react from

as you know we we are seeing here. So prior to NFP you can

see we had we put in these lows here. You know a bit of a you

know corrective moved down, making new lows, wicked, pushed

back down. We had equal lows here and then we can see once

NFP came, we impulsively moved up which was also a move to

rebalance this bit of price here. So, as you can see, we we

came to it perfectly and we also broke structure. So, if we

just look at where this imbalance started, you can see

it was this candle and it. You can see price returned back to

it perfectly. So it rebalanced. Um we also broke structure. So

we broke these highs here. So for next week um you know once

we see news candles like this like you know large candles

it's it's very often that price will come back down to you know

rebalance this uh bit of price action but we won't always see

it you know come all the way back down. Sometimes you'll

like to go to the 50% and then continue. But with that being

said um I will be looking for you know buying opportunities

and first point of reference being you know this order block

here. So we have the last down candle as you can see. Then we

can refine it down to this next candle here. And the key point

is we broke structure as well. Okay so we put in this new low.

For me this is the this is the lower high. As we had this low

and we broke this previous low. This didn't make a low but this

is you know the the point we wanna see broken to actually

class this as you know a demand level. So we can see that we

have this consolidation range expansion out breaking

structure. Last down candle refined to this. So I'll be

looking to get along from here. But if I now drop to the

fifteen we can see we can refine it. So I will be looking

at this last down candle here. The candle just before you know

NFP and we can see we do have imbalance left as well. Okay so

if you're new it basically means we don't have any wicks

in here and it's all buying pressure. Okay? So usually what

price would do is come back down to rebalance at that or it

could go to the 50% before continuing. But especially

being a news candle it's likely we're gonna see you know pushes

back down to rebalance before any continuation. So if I just

go back to the hourly there was a selling opportunity but it

wasn't something that I'll I'll be taking especially on you

know after news and it being a Friday. But you know let me

just show you how you can enter. So we have this area

here. Now why is this an area of interest? Well because we've

broken structure. Okay we've broken structure. Last up

candle before the breaking structure. Okay. Now we do have

this wick here which price could have come to but you can

see we didn't. So we had this up candle. Drop to the fifteen.

And you can see we can refine it to this candle. Now what you

can do is keep on the hourly sort of order block and then

add the 15 minute um order block as well. Just so you

won't miss trades if you if price comes into an hourly um

order block and not a fifteen. But you know it's just your

preference with Evergreen. Yeah but I'll just keep that as it

was. So this is our 15 minute order block because the

momentum came in you know on this next candle that broke

structure. Okay so you can see after NFP price came in. So

once price come in you could be looking on your execution time

frame and looking to get involved in trades. So I've put

this on. Um I didn't take this but if I just bring price back

to around here. Okay so once price tapped into the supply

zone you can see we had an immediate reaction where we

pushed down and we broke structure. So we had this

higher and you know the lowest point you can see is we had a

higher and low. A nice pullback and then a higher. So this is

the point that I would be looking at.

Okay. So we've broke the structure there. Now once we've

broke structure we can be looking at this last up candle

or this candle here. Um it just comes down to your preference.

For me I would be looking at this candle and potentially

filtering this wick on a lower time frame. But you can see

price didn't come back and then we broke structure again. So

what I would be doing this scenario is void this area and

then just be looking at this next breaking structure as you

can see here.

Ok? What I'll be doing is looking at this last up candle

here. I wouldn't take into consideration this little

candle because it's it would have worked out but you can

over refine it. I would rather take this sort of little range

and cos we have we have a range and then an initiation out. So

it's likely price will need to come back to this range before

continuing. So you can see that's what happened. So last

up candle um this would be your entry um you know on that low

of the order clock stop loss above you know around three

pips maybe 2.5 and then this is the trade so

Let me just write it forward.

I don't think you would have got taken that break even. No.

And then This is very common after a news candle where we

just see price gradually gravitate and correctively move

back down. So you know it it is a good trade to take but again

after news and being a Friday I'd rather leave it on a So

this is where price is. You can see that a refined 15 minute

order block. Um And also now that we've rebalanced sort of

this this move here er it's looking good for price to

potentially come back down. So let's talk about the entry. So

once price um sort of makes its way down you know maybe a few

hours until price can get into this area so maybe on a Tuesday

where we can see an entry but will I take short uh selling

opportunities coming into this uh area and the answer is yes I

will take um sells but what I will need to see is ideally on

the 15 minute a nice breaking structure um you know breaking

these lows a nice clear break and then you know I'll be

looking at that area er to get involved in some sales. Now

obviously it depends how markets open. Um but I will be

waiting for a nice clean break. Now this may push back up to

this area. Um and if that's the case then I'll just be waiting

waiting for price to actually show me what it wants to do

before you know getting involved in any trades. But we

may see some shortened opportunities coming back into

this level and then we can look to get along from here. Now

once price comes um into this area. Then I'll be dropping to

you know my my execution time frame and be looking for that

change in in shift, breaks in structure, clear of liquidity

and I'll be looking to get involved on those breaks and

structure. Because if we go back to the hourly um we in my

opinion we are bullish because we've broken structure the

upside. We have tapped into this supplier. So we could see

a pullback. To this area and then look to get along from

here. But you know it's we need to wait for confirmation. This

could push up from here. Um and if this did push up from here

then I will be looking to get long. You know on that newly

created sort of demand zone here. Um but you know it needs

to be clean. It needs to be it needs to show me um you know

you know that it wants to go long. Um but yeah I do believe

this will just keep retracing back down but you know we'll

see on on Monday really. So that's gonna do it for EU. Er

let's get into GU next. Okay so on GU now I've marked out some

points of interest where I wanna get along from looking

into next week. So again we have NFP here which also broke

structure and came back up to revisit this imbalance um bit

of price action here. That we see last week that also broke

structure. So Weasy a norsh reaction no hotel side one the

membros this do reaction fornece week as be teat hum the

washing and twiss bebi necess tat some fin neoloking take of

the ispack the come net to net week hum

My first point of reference is gonna be this area here. So I

will look look to get along from here. Obviously we have

the imbalance on this candle. So you're gonna see we're

seeing price currently retrace that candle. We're at that 50%

mark and I will look to be getting along from this area

here. So once price comes in um that's when I'll be looking at

my lower time frames and just looking for you know that cuz

once price comes in we'll be looking you know we see lower

lows and lower highs on you know a lower time frame. So I

wanna see that shift from weak to strong hands. Breaking

structure and you know mitigations are clear of

liquidity er you know the drill. We'll be looking to get

along from there. So So, once price comes in, I don't believe

price will we we may see price come down as low as this um but

if we take a closer look at what's going on. We have a

breaking structure here but we also have this wick here. Okay

so we we had this bullish candle. We then pulled off and

we was bearish on this candle for you know a little while and

then we we did close backup bullish and then we broke

structure. Now, we do have an order block here. I wouldn't

fully class this as a mitigation but we do have a

wick. So, from my experience, what once we see this, don't

get me wrong, price can still come back into this and go

along from here but I'm looking at price. It's it's looking,

you know, efficient. Um to some degree, we have a little bit

but I will I'm not gonna disregard this area but I'm

just gonna be aware that price may not need to come down to

here and we may see price go long from here. You know cos it

also makes sense for price to come down to this imbalance

where it started. Refill this news candle because that's all

it is. It's just news. Um and it's a way of banks covering

their their sort of move to rebalance any price you know

and using the news at the same time if that makes sense. So I

will look to get from here. Um we may come down form equal

lows you know sweep the lows come into here on a low time

frame and then and then look to go along from there. So that's

the game plan. If we so last week we had we can work on this

wick here because you know there's always something inside

a wick you know on a lower time frame. So when you see a wick

even even this here it's gonna be an order block on well more

times than not it's gonna be an order block or a point of

reference on a lower time frame. Okay? Just keep that in

mind. There's always something within weeks. But if we just

take priced of fifteen.

Actually let's go to the one. Okay so once price came into

this supplier was there any entries to take. Okay so we can

see we have a build of liquidity here. You know a

clear range initiation out. So we broke structure.

Broke structure there. So we could be looking to get short

from here. You know last up candle but price didn't come

back to that area. So where will be the next point? Well we

can look at here. We did break structure. Quite a subtle break

but it it is a breaking structure you know nonetheless.

So put that on. Now where's where did price start from that

cause the break? Well this is this is the last up candle here

so we can look at this as our order block. Now, you could say

this is hindsight trading but we broke structure and price

started to move from this candle here and this is the

last up candle, okay? You can enter on the base. Bei jeder

Seele, Art, B.

Hat er nicht gesehen, wie die Na, der ist im. Ähm But yeah

this is where price currently is. But yeah going into next

week I wanna try and see some nice reaction from this area

and I would be looking to get along from there. But if we it

all depends how price comes into this level. If it comes

you know super aggressive and pulls through it then you know

it's not valid to be looking long. Because there's no shift

in momentum. Having these demand levels or supply levels

is good but it's all about how price is delivered into them.

You know that gonna tell us or give us a really good um idea

of where price is gonna respect it or just pull through it.

Okay so that's the game plan of the GU. Um looking long from

here.

If I just go back to the fifteen we can take sales into

these you know higher time frame sort of points of

reference so we haven't got to always be waiting for you know

price to come in we can take sales into the into the levels

if you know what I mean. Um so if we look at this move here we

have a breaking structure. I know that it's on market close

but it is still a breaking structure. We do have a last up

candle here that we can be looking at. Just gonna fit. So

coming down to the one. It's looking you know a bit messy on

market clothes. But we have a broken structure so Price could

come back in and then go short from there. But as we get to

sort of Monday morning price may be down here but if it's

not then I will be on the fifteen just looking you know

for breaks in structure and I will sell into this level but

it depends on how price it is. Uh it needs to be like AA very

clear you know and precise setup. But you know overall

looking bullish. And yeah we'll see how this develops going

into next week.

Okay so now we're on Aussie dollar and we have sort of the

the same thing because we are looking at you know all dollar

pairs so they are similar in some regard. So if we just

start off with last week um we had this move here which I took

advantage of and I know a few of you did as well so I know

I've done a case study on this but we broke structure. To the

upside this gives us you know our order block and a higher

low where we look to get along from. So breaking structure we

pushed back there was a trade within here that I missed. We

then pushed up, retraced. We got the next entry because if

we look at this we had a tap into this level but only

slightly. So this does not um mitigate. This is not mitigated

um from my trading plan. Um I always look to see the 50% of

any order block to be mitigated. And if that 50% has

been mitigated then then I then disregard this as valid for you

know future price section. So you can see that here. And it's

a great great example of it. So we tapped in but then we came

back to tap in again. We mitigate you know around sixty

percent. And then once price came back into it again you can

see how you know it's not respected okay so that's a

little tip the 50% is a good area to look for you know your

mitigations and whether or not you you keep it valid or you

know you void it. Okay so we took a missed trade and then we

took AA thirteen R on this second tap in and you can see

we pushed up but we didn't really we just performed equal

highs and we didn't really you know continue bullish from

there. We had equal highs. You can see price swept that equal

highs. Bit of liquidity before continuing down. Okay so this

is where we are now. We had an impulsive move which you know

has imbalance from these wicks. So you can see the wicks aren't

matching up. So we have a lot of selling pressure you know

within within this sort of area here. Okay. As I'm sure you can

all see. So price has pushed up rebalancing. We have NFP here

of course. Now if you're looking at this as you know

potential entries. So we have AA push up and you may be

looking at this as a breaking structure. But it comes down to

asking yourself what has it actually broken? Because if we

look at price we have a lower low and a lower high is all the

way you know back up here. So anything within this is just

substructure. So we have a pullback but price does not

break below this level here. So it does not put in a new lower

low. Now this is a breaking structure but it's a sub brake.

And it's not it doesn't hold as much weight because it's just

breaks of structure within larger um structure. You can

still trade this um you know on on maybe 15 minute breaks of

structure because you can see that this would be the last

down candle. Price came back in before you know NFP. Uh but if

we go to the fifteen we can also see we can refine it down

and you know price tapped in. But it's not really something

that I look to take. I'm also looking at hourly hourly

direction. Hourly breaks and structure and then refining it

down from there. But it comes down to your own trading plan

and you know, what you tested. Okay, so price come up. Now,

I've marked on this wick because as we already know, Wix

are just order blocks on a lower time frame. So, if I drop

to the five. We probably will see Yeah. So you see AA British

candle which led to you know the breaking structure. Okay um

price came into that level and there wasn't really you could

be looking for sales in here but I won't get into it because

it is a bit messy. Um price come up just above it and you

know it's just sort of now sort of gonna start to range and we

can expect price to potentially come back down. But how I will

go about entering this is what we may see is a push down. We

may get higher and you know something like this we may see

you know a new higher high which will give us a new higher

low breaking structure and I'll be looking to get short from

you know this this area here. But you know it needs some time

um I do believe it will push down back to eventually back to

these levels here. But you know it could take a few days to get

here. Um but yeah I will take sales coming down. So we may

see a push down

اضغط I'll be looking at that to get short but you know in each

time I'm not gonna be rushing into anything you know that's

not clear. I only wanna trade higher probability setups and

if I don't get them then I'll just wait a day or a day or so

and then just wait for them them great trades. Because we

only really need a couple trades. I know you can you can

get a lot of trades on lower time frames like for one

minute. You know trading continuations and order flow.

But I'm talking more so on you know the higher time frames. Um

we only really need a couple like even this trade here.

That'll be a missed trade and then a thirteen R in you know

in one trade which didn't even break structure. So there's a

lot of opportunity. Um so yeah don't don't get foam over just

wait for your setups and yeah be patient. It's all about

patience because there's a lot of trades within the week. Um

you just need to be you know continuing with your

forecasting and staying prepared and yeah you'll get

involved in some trades. Now if if you're new to the strategy

and you aren't quite getting it um that's completely normal.

Like it's not easy. It's only easy when you you've learnt it.

And a lot of other people you know they have to go through a

good few months before it starts to click but I've seen a

quite quite a few people that have come to me and there is

they're now getting it and it's clicking for them. So, you

know, if you're not quite there, keep going with it and

yeah, you will pull through to it because once you, once you

see it, and why price is moving from where it is, you know,

you'll you'll never unsee it, okay? So, that's gonna do it

for my free pairs. Um if you have any questions about uh you

know, any other pairs you're looking at, then, you know,

shoot me a DM or send it through to, you know, the

Discord community and I can look at them pairs for you and

break them down and yeah, go from there. But yeah that's

gonna do it with the video. Er I hope you all have a really

good rest of your weekend and yeah let's have a great week in

the markets.

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