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Yo what is going on guys? I hope you're all doing really
well. Um this is gonna be this week's video on you know a
market rundown. So we're gonna go through EU, GU and AU. Um so
yeah we just look to see what happened at the back end of
last week and look to see what opportunities we have coming
into this next week coming. So starting on EU er you can see
the clearest day we had this large impulsive candle up which
was NFP. So that's the non-farm payroll. And you can see a
large impulsive move up. Then prior to that we had this
impulsive move down from last which you know left some
imbalance. So mainly on this candle here. So we're looking
at this as the imbalance. So a lot of selling pressure and we
can also see that we broke structure. When we look left.
So we broke this low here. And you know that means that we
have this area as a potential area where price may react from
as you know we we are seeing here. So prior to NFP you can
see we had we put in these lows here. You know a bit of a you
know corrective moved down, making new lows, wicked, pushed
back down. We had equal lows here and then we can see once
NFP came, we impulsively moved up which was also a move to
rebalance this bit of price here. So, as you can see, we we
came to it perfectly and we also broke structure. So, if we
just look at where this imbalance started, you can see
it was this candle and it. You can see price returned back to
it perfectly. So it rebalanced. Um we also broke structure. So
we broke these highs here. So for next week um you know once
we see news candles like this like you know large candles
it's it's very often that price will come back down to you know
rebalance this uh bit of price action but we won't always see
it you know come all the way back down. Sometimes you'll
like to go to the 50% and then continue. But with that being
said um I will be looking for you know buying opportunities
and first point of reference being you know this order block
here. So we have the last down candle as you can see. Then we
can refine it down to this next candle here. And the key point
is we broke structure as well. Okay so we put in this new low.
For me this is the this is the lower high. As we had this low
and we broke this previous low. This didn't make a low but this
is you know the the point we wanna see broken to actually
class this as you know a demand level. So we can see that we
have this consolidation range expansion out breaking
structure. Last down candle refined to this. So I'll be
looking to get along from here. But if I now drop to the
fifteen we can see we can refine it. So I will be looking
at this last down candle here. The candle just before you know
NFP and we can see we do have imbalance left as well. Okay so
if you're new it basically means we don't have any wicks
in here and it's all buying pressure. Okay? So usually what
price would do is come back down to rebalance at that or it
could go to the 50% before continuing. But especially
being a news candle it's likely we're gonna see you know pushes
back down to rebalance before any continuation. So if I just
go back to the hourly there was a selling opportunity but it
wasn't something that I'll I'll be taking especially on you
know after news and it being a Friday. But you know let me
just show you how you can enter. So we have this area
here. Now why is this an area of interest? Well because we've
broken structure. Okay we've broken structure. Last up
candle before the breaking structure. Okay. Now we do have
this wick here which price could have come to but you can
see we didn't. So we had this up candle. Drop to the fifteen.
And you can see we can refine it to this candle. Now what you
can do is keep on the hourly sort of order block and then
add the 15 minute um order block as well. Just so you
won't miss trades if you if price comes into an hourly um
order block and not a fifteen. But you know it's just your
preference with Evergreen. Yeah but I'll just keep that as it
was. So this is our 15 minute order block because the
momentum came in you know on this next candle that broke
structure. Okay so you can see after NFP price came in. So
once price come in you could be looking on your execution time
frame and looking to get involved in trades. So I've put
this on. Um I didn't take this but if I just bring price back
to around here. Okay so once price tapped into the supply
zone you can see we had an immediate reaction where we
pushed down and we broke structure. So we had this
higher and you know the lowest point you can see is we had a
higher and low. A nice pullback and then a higher. So this is
the point that I would be looking at.
Okay. So we've broke the structure there. Now once we've
broke structure we can be looking at this last up candle
or this candle here. Um it just comes down to your preference.
For me I would be looking at this candle and potentially
filtering this wick on a lower time frame. But you can see
price didn't come back and then we broke structure again. So
what I would be doing this scenario is void this area and
then just be looking at this next breaking structure as you
can see here.
Ok? What I'll be doing is looking at this last up candle
here. I wouldn't take into consideration this little
candle because it's it would have worked out but you can
over refine it. I would rather take this sort of little range
and cos we have we have a range and then an initiation out. So
it's likely price will need to come back to this range before
continuing. So you can see that's what happened. So last
up candle um this would be your entry um you know on that low
of the order clock stop loss above you know around three
pips maybe 2.5 and then this is the trade so
Let me just write it forward.
I don't think you would have got taken that break even. No.
And then This is very common after a news candle where we
just see price gradually gravitate and correctively move
back down. So you know it it is a good trade to take but again
after news and being a Friday I'd rather leave it on a So
this is where price is. You can see that a refined 15 minute
order block. Um And also now that we've rebalanced sort of
this this move here er it's looking good for price to
potentially come back down. So let's talk about the entry. So
once price um sort of makes its way down you know maybe a few
hours until price can get into this area so maybe on a Tuesday
where we can see an entry but will I take short uh selling
opportunities coming into this uh area and the answer is yes I
will take um sells but what I will need to see is ideally on
the 15 minute a nice breaking structure um you know breaking
these lows a nice clear break and then you know I'll be
looking at that area er to get involved in some sales. Now
obviously it depends how markets open. Um but I will be
waiting for a nice clean break. Now this may push back up to
this area. Um and if that's the case then I'll just be waiting
waiting for price to actually show me what it wants to do
before you know getting involved in any trades. But we
may see some shortened opportunities coming back into
this level and then we can look to get along from here. Now
once price comes um into this area. Then I'll be dropping to
you know my my execution time frame and be looking for that
change in in shift, breaks in structure, clear of liquidity
and I'll be looking to get involved on those breaks and
structure. Because if we go back to the hourly um we in my
opinion we are bullish because we've broken structure the
upside. We have tapped into this supplier. So we could see
a pullback. To this area and then look to get along from
here. But you know it's we need to wait for confirmation. This
could push up from here. Um and if this did push up from here
then I will be looking to get long. You know on that newly
created sort of demand zone here. Um but you know it needs
to be clean. It needs to be it needs to show me um you know
you know that it wants to go long. Um but yeah I do believe
this will just keep retracing back down but you know we'll
see on on Monday really. So that's gonna do it for EU. Er
let's get into GU next. Okay so on GU now I've marked out some
points of interest where I wanna get along from looking
into next week. So again we have NFP here which also broke
structure and came back up to revisit this imbalance um bit
of price action here. That we see last week that also broke
structure. So Weasy a norsh reaction no hotel side one the
membros this do reaction fornece week as be teat hum the
washing and twiss bebi necess tat some fin neoloking take of
the ispack the come net to net week hum
My first point of reference is gonna be this area here. So I
will look look to get along from here. Obviously we have
the imbalance on this candle. So you're gonna see we're
seeing price currently retrace that candle. We're at that 50%
mark and I will look to be getting along from this area
here. So once price comes in um that's when I'll be looking at
my lower time frames and just looking for you know that cuz
once price comes in we'll be looking you know we see lower
lows and lower highs on you know a lower time frame. So I
wanna see that shift from weak to strong hands. Breaking
structure and you know mitigations are clear of
liquidity er you know the drill. We'll be looking to get
along from there. So So, once price comes in, I don't believe
price will we we may see price come down as low as this um but
if we take a closer look at what's going on. We have a
breaking structure here but we also have this wick here. Okay
so we we had this bullish candle. We then pulled off and
we was bearish on this candle for you know a little while and
then we we did close backup bullish and then we broke
structure. Now, we do have an order block here. I wouldn't
fully class this as a mitigation but we do have a
wick. So, from my experience, what once we see this, don't
get me wrong, price can still come back into this and go
along from here but I'm looking at price. It's it's looking,
you know, efficient. Um to some degree, we have a little bit
but I will I'm not gonna disregard this area but I'm
just gonna be aware that price may not need to come down to
here and we may see price go long from here. You know cos it
also makes sense for price to come down to this imbalance
where it started. Refill this news candle because that's all
it is. It's just news. Um and it's a way of banks covering
their their sort of move to rebalance any price you know
and using the news at the same time if that makes sense. So I
will look to get from here. Um we may come down form equal
lows you know sweep the lows come into here on a low time
frame and then and then look to go along from there. So that's
the game plan. If we so last week we had we can work on this
wick here because you know there's always something inside
a wick you know on a lower time frame. So when you see a wick
even even this here it's gonna be an order block on well more
times than not it's gonna be an order block or a point of
reference on a lower time frame. Okay? Just keep that in
mind. There's always something within weeks. But if we just
take priced of fifteen.
Actually let's go to the one. Okay so once price came into
this supplier was there any entries to take. Okay so we can
see we have a build of liquidity here. You know a
clear range initiation out. So we broke structure.
Broke structure there. So we could be looking to get short
from here. You know last up candle but price didn't come
back to that area. So where will be the next point? Well we
can look at here. We did break structure. Quite a subtle break
but it it is a breaking structure you know nonetheless.
So put that on. Now where's where did price start from that
cause the break? Well this is this is the last up candle here
so we can look at this as our order block. Now, you could say
this is hindsight trading but we broke structure and price
started to move from this candle here and this is the
last up candle, okay? You can enter on the base. Bei jeder
Seele, Art, B.
Hat er nicht gesehen, wie die Na, der ist im. Ähm But yeah
this is where price currently is. But yeah going into next
week I wanna try and see some nice reaction from this area
and I would be looking to get along from there. But if we it
all depends how price comes into this level. If it comes
you know super aggressive and pulls through it then you know
it's not valid to be looking long. Because there's no shift
in momentum. Having these demand levels or supply levels
is good but it's all about how price is delivered into them.
You know that gonna tell us or give us a really good um idea
of where price is gonna respect it or just pull through it.
Okay so that's the game plan of the GU. Um looking long from
here.
If I just go back to the fifteen we can take sales into
these you know higher time frame sort of points of
reference so we haven't got to always be waiting for you know
price to come in we can take sales into the into the levels
if you know what I mean. Um so if we look at this move here we
have a breaking structure. I know that it's on market close
but it is still a breaking structure. We do have a last up
candle here that we can be looking at. Just gonna fit. So
coming down to the one. It's looking you know a bit messy on
market clothes. But we have a broken structure so Price could
come back in and then go short from there. But as we get to
sort of Monday morning price may be down here but if it's
not then I will be on the fifteen just looking you know
for breaks in structure and I will sell into this level but
it depends on how price it is. Uh it needs to be like AA very
clear you know and precise setup. But you know overall
looking bullish. And yeah we'll see how this develops going
into next week.
Okay so now we're on Aussie dollar and we have sort of the
the same thing because we are looking at you know all dollar
pairs so they are similar in some regard. So if we just
start off with last week um we had this move here which I took
advantage of and I know a few of you did as well so I know
I've done a case study on this but we broke structure. To the
upside this gives us you know our order block and a higher
low where we look to get along from. So breaking structure we
pushed back there was a trade within here that I missed. We
then pushed up, retraced. We got the next entry because if
we look at this we had a tap into this level but only
slightly. So this does not um mitigate. This is not mitigated
um from my trading plan. Um I always look to see the 50% of
any order block to be mitigated. And if that 50% has
been mitigated then then I then disregard this as valid for you
know future price section. So you can see that here. And it's
a great great example of it. So we tapped in but then we came
back to tap in again. We mitigate you know around sixty
percent. And then once price came back into it again you can
see how you know it's not respected okay so that's a
little tip the 50% is a good area to look for you know your
mitigations and whether or not you you keep it valid or you
know you void it. Okay so we took a missed trade and then we
took AA thirteen R on this second tap in and you can see
we pushed up but we didn't really we just performed equal
highs and we didn't really you know continue bullish from
there. We had equal highs. You can see price swept that equal
highs. Bit of liquidity before continuing down. Okay so this
is where we are now. We had an impulsive move which you know
has imbalance from these wicks. So you can see the wicks aren't
matching up. So we have a lot of selling pressure you know
within within this sort of area here. Okay. As I'm sure you can
all see. So price has pushed up rebalancing. We have NFP here
of course. Now if you're looking at this as you know
potential entries. So we have AA push up and you may be
looking at this as a breaking structure. But it comes down to
asking yourself what has it actually broken? Because if we
look at price we have a lower low and a lower high is all the
way you know back up here. So anything within this is just
substructure. So we have a pullback but price does not
break below this level here. So it does not put in a new lower
low. Now this is a breaking structure but it's a sub brake.
And it's not it doesn't hold as much weight because it's just
breaks of structure within larger um structure. You can
still trade this um you know on on maybe 15 minute breaks of
structure because you can see that this would be the last
down candle. Price came back in before you know NFP. Uh but if
we go to the fifteen we can also see we can refine it down
and you know price tapped in. But it's not really something
that I look to take. I'm also looking at hourly hourly
direction. Hourly breaks and structure and then refining it
down from there. But it comes down to your own trading plan
and you know, what you tested. Okay, so price come up. Now,
I've marked on this wick because as we already know, Wix
are just order blocks on a lower time frame. So, if I drop
to the five. We probably will see Yeah. So you see AA British
candle which led to you know the breaking structure. Okay um
price came into that level and there wasn't really you could
be looking for sales in here but I won't get into it because
it is a bit messy. Um price come up just above it and you
know it's just sort of now sort of gonna start to range and we
can expect price to potentially come back down. But how I will
go about entering this is what we may see is a push down. We
may get higher and you know something like this we may see
you know a new higher high which will give us a new higher
low breaking structure and I'll be looking to get short from
you know this this area here. But you know it needs some time
um I do believe it will push down back to eventually back to
these levels here. But you know it could take a few days to get
here. Um but yeah I will take sales coming down. So we may
see a push down
اضغط I'll be looking at that to get short but you know in each
time I'm not gonna be rushing into anything you know that's
not clear. I only wanna trade higher probability setups and
if I don't get them then I'll just wait a day or a day or so
and then just wait for them them great trades. Because we
only really need a couple trades. I know you can you can
get a lot of trades on lower time frames like for one
minute. You know trading continuations and order flow.
But I'm talking more so on you know the higher time frames. Um
we only really need a couple like even this trade here.
That'll be a missed trade and then a thirteen R in you know
in one trade which didn't even break structure. So there's a
lot of opportunity. Um so yeah don't don't get foam over just
wait for your setups and yeah be patient. It's all about
patience because there's a lot of trades within the week. Um
you just need to be you know continuing with your
forecasting and staying prepared and yeah you'll get
involved in some trades. Now if if you're new to the strategy
and you aren't quite getting it um that's completely normal.
Like it's not easy. It's only easy when you you've learnt it.
And a lot of other people you know they have to go through a
good few months before it starts to click but I've seen a
quite quite a few people that have come to me and there is
they're now getting it and it's clicking for them. So, you
know, if you're not quite there, keep going with it and
yeah, you will pull through to it because once you, once you
see it, and why price is moving from where it is, you know,
you'll you'll never unsee it, okay? So, that's gonna do it
for my free pairs. Um if you have any questions about uh you
know, any other pairs you're looking at, then, you know,
shoot me a DM or send it through to, you know, the
Discord community and I can look at them pairs for you and
break them down and yeah, go from there. But yeah that's
gonna do it with the video. Er I hope you all have a really
good rest of your weekend and yeah let's have a great week in
the markets.
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