Original subtitles

all right so in this video we're going

to get into anticipation order flow and

exactly what it is

i think it's really an important aspect

to know and

learn in the way that we trade and

i do look a little bit different to

other people in

respect that you you should be

you should be always anticipating and

reacting rather than expecting and sort

of predicting now i do go into this into

this video on the charts in a few

minutes so

let's just go quickly through the the

basics into anticipation order flow and

we'll take it from there so

anticipation order flow is what we are

basically always looking for in the

markets so

what is it

well if we are looking at a price chart

we would have some form of anticipation

that we want to see

a trend in market so you know if we if

we're seeing trending markets it's

obviously a great thing

as opposed to ranging markets

we can still trade either or

but you know trending markets is

is where we can make some big trades and

some really big percentages for the

longer term okay

so if we're looking at bullish order

flow or bullish anticipation or order

flow

for this example so

if price forms a high

and a low

so as you can see from the diagram we

have a high and a low

which

this is the pullback so once price

pushed up formed a higher we pull back

that's the pullback

and we have a low but this low is not

confirmed until we actually get a break

above the most recent high which will be

here

so what we would be anticipating for a

bullish order flow is for this higher to

be taken out

and

once that high gets taken out that forms

a higher high

so you can see this is the

the new higher high because

it broke above this so it's a break of

structure and it's also higher than the

most recent high

so we have a higher low

the anticipation order flow

would be for a new higher high

and for

price to

then confirm this to be the higher low

so once price breaks the high closes

above

we have a confirmed higher high and more

importantly we have a confirmed higher

low so this low wasn't confirmed until

price broke

okay so what's next once price breaks

that high

well if bullish order flow is to be

continued the anticipation would be for

a pullback

a tap into you know the order block or

the higher low region

and for price to not surpass this level

if our bullish order flow is going to

continue

this level should not be broken

and when i say that

it can be broken but it depends what

price is breaking into so are we

did we form equal lows or did we form

trend line liquidity on lower time

frames

any form of liquidity around this area

if price comes in to sweep below

that the low or the higher low and

sweeps liquidity or

if price taps into an unmitigated demand

so if we look at this area here

and

you know price comes in to break the

higher low but it comes into this area

which is unmitigated

just for an example then that would not

be classed as

you know the order flow to the upside

you know stop in basically it's

continuing

so when we're looking at unmitigated

areas and liquidity

then price can break

the most recent higher low and our

bullish order flow can still continue

you know to the upside

and i will get into that on the charts

where

we can like how do we determine when

order flow has changed and the

the trend momentum has now shifted to

the downside so i will show you some

examples of that but if we continue

we have a higher higher

higher low

the anticipation would be for a pullback

into this region

bullish order block mitigation and

we aren't

really looking for price to

go lower than this area as i said it

might come down seek liquidity

or

tap into an unmitigated area and it

might also come down to

if you know form equal lows wick below

but that's not considered

depend on depending on how price is

delivered that's not considered

you know a breach of that higher low

okay so this is where we can look for

entries and we can also trade short into

like trade this pullback into the higher

time frame higher low

okay so if we continue we have

the next move so

if our anticipation or order flow is

going to continue this is the most

recent higher high that we want to see

breached

and

you can see price

breaks above the high high we form a new

higher high now this

higher low

is only confirmed to be the higher low

once price puts in that new higher high

so once we get this we can then work

back

work backwards with these candles

and come to

find the lowest point before we can see

the pullback so the lowest point we can

see is here bullish order block

and notice how

this is higher than the previous higher

low okay they get higher because

if price is breaking these higher lows

then

you know

bullish order flow is coming to an end

and we can potentially look for certain

opportunities depending on how price

reacts afterwards

okay and then

higher high

higher low we pull back

and we

then this is not confirmed until this

then puts in a higher high then we have

a confirmed higher low and then i'm sure

you get the

the message by now we get a pullback

higher high higher low

okay so

this is obviously very textbook charts

don't look like this but this is just

showing you you know what our

anticipation order flow is and the

reason why i say anticipation not

expectation

is

i do go into this in the in on the

charts but basically because

having an ego in trading is one of the

worst things you can do because it's

just going to hold you back and you're

not going to see

any sort of consistency if you bring ego

into trading okay

you we want to be always anticipating

reacting not predicting and not

expecting because once you

i'm sure like you can agree with this

like if you're

the moment you start expecting something

to happen the opposite happens like it's

just a way of life really like if you're

anticipating and reacting

you'll be more at peace with the outcome

and it won't actually affect you you

just react and then you just trade based

off your plan

okay so

that being said i now want to get into

the charts and go into this on the

charts in a lot more detail so you can

understand

you know anticipation of order flow and

how we view it

so now we're on the charts what i'm

going to do is go through um eu

on the hourly time frame and we talk

about

you know anticipation order flow and

basically

the turning points in the market the

lower lows lower highs higher highs and

higher lows

and talk on yeah the

what we would be anticipating for you

know future price and

we're going to start from here and then

we're going to go for a bit of price

and

you know we go through some

examples and take it from there so if we

start on this side here

what we can see is

we have price that's pushed down

and we had a

counter trend candle inside bar here but

if we're looking at the swing points you

can see this is one one leg down

and

the next sort of

most visible pullback will be here

and then price then puts in

a new lower low

okay

now at this point here

the anti anticipation that we would be

you know looking for seeking

would be

lower low

we have a range which is which is also

the lower high

we have an order block here

and

the anticipation

would be for price to come into this

area and

mitigate this move

and then anticipate a new lower low and

you can see we got it here

and we did wick

we didn't really close below okay we did

fairly close below

ever so slightly and then

we pull back and we put in a lower low

again

okay

so this is a clear bearish order flow

and it's quite

um efficient pricing as well you can see

once we've broken structure we've come

back in to mitigate

this this fair value candle the

imbalance and the order block mitigation

range

a little

move down here pull back mitigation

break of structure which would be

the most visible break of structure is

this move here because this candle has

broken impulsively left imbalance

we have the last up close candle which

would be here which we could refine to

the next candle

and what i can do is

bring this up here mark that on

so this is the order block we can refine

it to that candle

okay so at this point here

i think it'd be better if i can draw it

on for you so we have a lower low

okay make that a bit darker

we have a lower low and

the swing point

you know it's a bit subjective is it up

here or

for me the swinging point would be up

here but you know obviously what we can

do is look at

our order blocks and where price is

likely going to react from or where it's

going to need to come back to to

mitigate before continuing

you can see if i just delete that off

what we had was

get my fib

and bring it down

you can see we've got our mitigation to

the 50 eq

and you know obviously we can look for

entries within here

and if we're not getting involved with

this move we have sub 15 minute

structure breaks what we can look for

into the new lower low so at this point

here what we have is

spring point so i love a high

lower low

and what do we have next

pull back which we know as a corrective

mitigation of these orders with inside

this order block

and

we can

sort of agree that the highest point the

highest swing point before price push

down is clearly this candle here

okay so

if this bearish order flow is going to

continue

what do we need to see

well we need to see

we need to see price break this lower

low

and stay

below the most recent lower high which

is here

if price say pulls back to here

fails to put in a new lower low and we

actually break structure to the upside

above the lower higher

then we have signs

it's not confirmed of a trend change or

a shift in momentum because

it's all dependent on what price is

tapping into

we would need to see a break

above that a pullback and then a second

break of structure that would give us a

really good indication that

we're now going to see some bullish

price action and order flow okay so

if we continue you can see the move that

broke structure or broke this lower low

is this

candle here okay

and we can see

we

have a

price puts in a lower low we pull back

ever so slightly but really the swing

point would be here

um

and we do don't get me wrong if we're

looking

more into each candle we do have

breaks of structure within this which we

can

look at as

potential

entries for us to get long because if we

are looking at this what we have

is this is

one whole move but within it we have a

break of structure here

and we have

the last up close candle or a little

range inside bar

which price comes in to mitigate

but what we can also see

is

you know

lower low

and really a lower height up here then

we sort of range within this wick and

then we push down with this these two

candles put in a new lower low so we

have a lower high here

okay

and then what we can then see is price

broke

okay so let me just

delete this for now

because these are the swing points but

as i just said we have an area within

here that which price has broken

and put in a new lower low here so what

we can see is

prices broken structure

so break of structure

as you can see above that lower high

and what do we have

um before that so we have a

one two three

free candles so we have a consolidation

range

which price

does come into but you know barely

so

this

would be

you know a change in

trend which we can

look to get along from although what i

just said before where

if we've got an area

of supply which was previously you know

left unmitigated then this could be a

seek of liquidity from the most recent

lower high and then a mitigation of this

supplier to go short

or good to go lower but as you can see

we have some

you know it's very efficient pricing we

don't really have any areas where we

would really be looking at to get

short from

and we can

identify this as a

quite a momentous break above the lower

high

okay so

what we have basically is a

consolidation range initiation out break

of structure

and price pulls back we do break again

but it's about how it breaks

and what i would be looking

at that

would be

just sort of

a feel of that imbalance so from that

week to that week you can see we filled

that to rebalance

and we didn't really break with momentum

as opposed to this move here

now if we was to drop down to a lower

time frame we would also see equal lows

okay so we've had a clear of equals

or a sweep of equal lows one two

three you know a lot of liquidity

building out this area from people

stacking on buy orders

price seeks liquidity taps into this

area mitigates and then that's why we

then see price continue

okay so if we continue with price you

can see

we then mitigate entries within here

and if we

aren't getting involved here we have a

break of structure which would be more

visible

on a 15-minute time frame and then we

tap in

and we mitigate and then we continue

again

now this is what i was saying about

a true sort of confirmation of the trend

change

we have one breaker structure mitigate

and then we break the structure again

okay so we're signaling that price

really wants to go up from here

and price is efficient

and you know we break structure again

we have a wick here that price comes

into

but no real sort of clear entries that i

would be looking at from here

but we can see

we've now

changed our order flow

and

you know previously here we was in

a downtrend putting in lower lowest

level highs and then

we broke structure to the upside

mitigate supply to the left

mitigate demand and

you can see this low here

price come in and it failed to put in a

new lower low and instead we broke

struck to the upside and

this shows us intent for higher prices

because price has failed to go lower

okay and then instead we've broken

structure to the upside

okay

so we're now changing our anticipation

order flow to the upside and you can see

this is what we have next so carrying on

breaker structure

pull back

so the swing points at this point would

be

that is the higher

and the swing point down here as the the

low

okay so these are the swing points we

have entries within here that we could

look at

but we're

we now have the anticipation that price

is gonna

potentially doesn't need to but take out

this and put in a new higher high and

you can see we have that here

okay a new high high and then

where's the most recent swing point

well it's clearly

the lowest point which is here

this is the most recent higher low

because it's the lowest point before we

see the pullback

so we price pulled back this is the

lowest it came

before it broke

the higher high

okay so i hope that makes sense

and this may seem a bit

basic to

more of the the advanced traders but you

know these are

these are the concepts that are really

important

so carrying on we have the most recent

high high higher low and you can see

anticipation order flow continues

we have

that as a higher high

and

lowest point which would be

higher low at that wick we have entries

within here that we can refine you know

valid order block

price does not come back into

which we always know price doesn't need

to mitigate every single order block

that could be used for you know a later

date okay

so carrying on high high high low

price pulls back little range

and then

we have a new higher high

so we can definitely

class that as a pullback because price

is stored and then moved up again

right and then we have

that as a new higher low price does come

down to test it

and you could argue that's broken it but

it's always about how it breaks and

we can see

um it hasn't you know if anything it's

just

sort of equalled equal the low

build liquidity in the form of equal

lows so we can see

we do have equal lows there

and then what do we get next

this is the highest point price then

puts in a new higher high

and we have the new high low

and what we can also see

is that's a valid order block

which we would be definitely

if i can get that

definitely be looking for entries within

that and

although it hasn't broken with huge

momentum

this candle has

and

you know these two candles you know it's

showing some

some momentum we do have liquidity

sitting below

but it doesn't need to be swept right

away as we already know

okay so

although we do range around for the next

few days or you know yeah two three days

we are still within

this higher high and higher low price

break structure i'll be coming to

mitigate entries on a lower time frame

within here

as we've

you know we know with the strategy that

we trade

and

if we could be looking for entry entries

within here as well because

although it's not a break of the

hourly

um higher high that is a break

of

substructure on the lower time frames

okay so even the 15 minute that's a

break of structure from that high

we come back in to mitigate that move

in these wicks here

and then

you know price pushes off

and really we have the exact same thing

on this move here we push off and we

come back in to mitigate with that wick

that last down close candle

so i can just mark that one for you

we can refine it to that candle

okay and that's what that's why prices

is doing this it's coming into mitigate

okay but then we can see we've now

broken

our higher higher so bullish order flow

and our anticipation is should be still

bullish

that's the new higher higher

or that's not really a pullback

so we could be although i keep saying

that there is some structure breaks

within here it's not really a clear

swing point

so we would be looking up here okay so

we can see a clear pull back and then we

broke structure again

okay so that would be the new high high

and

where are we yeah

and that's the new higher low okay

continuing on

we have

a high high pull back

it's a high low high high

and we can move that up to there

and we do become a bit messy we range

around a little bit

and

what i see this as well this is exactly

what it is we have equal lows

as you can see

so we have

a

sweep of equals

so soe means sweep of equals

so basically equal lows

so

you know people are looking at this as a

double bottom retail methods

we have one

price pushes off comes back to it people

are getting long we see a reaction from

this

people in long what does price do

comes down takes them out with that move

there and then that is exactly why

momentum kicked in

that then led to a break of structure

so when we can

you know utilize liquidity

and our sort of market structure and

order flow this move here isn't really a

although it is a break of

the

most recent um

higher low which is here

it's seeking liquidity

from the equal lows so we're not really

looking at this as a trend change

it's more of you know seeking liquidity

that's going to fuel price to move even

further as you can see this is what it

does

momentum kicked in

because price now has a reason to do so

okay so

and i did say

this is the most recent um higher high

but we did wick it here but we didn't

close above

okay so if we just continue with our

bullish order flow

you can see once price comes in

it does break it but as i just said

utilizing liquidity we can identify that

as just a fake out basically

and seeking liquidity

okay and then we have

high high

and then

higher low

price pulls back

high high

and we can see higher low

so high high

high low high high higher low

and then we range around a little bit

and then we do break

so this is where it can get a bit

confusing where you're thinking

is this

is this move here are we now gonna can

we now get short from this area here

when

we need to be looking at the overall

picture we have this candle that price

is going to

try and gravitate back to

because it is a fair value gap and

you know a lot of liquidity in this

candle

and as i'm always saying

price tends to do this where it will

mitigate

large candles by the 50 percent so the

eq range

as you can see it did

and what we also have

is although it ain't equal

perfect equal lows it is still liquidity

from these lows here okay and a

mitigation of the eq from this

and

as i was saying before

when price is pushing up like this

and we have liquidity building

if price comes in to break

is it really a trend change or is it

just

mitigating something left before

continuing higher if it's going to be a

trend change what we want to see really

is that structure break

pull back and then a second break and

then we can sort of

switch our bias and look for you know

bearish order flow and change our sort

of anticipation

but you can see that's not what we got

in this example we just sort of come in

to mitigate

and that's why this supply didn't really

hold

it reacted as it always does and then it

pushed up higher

and then

basically price come in

it actually came a bit lower

into this candle

took liquidity from that low and then

continued up

okay so if we just continue

knowing that this is a play on liquidity

and to try and rebalance

you know

price from you know previous price

we can continue

you know with our bullish order flow and

look for price breaking above this area

and you can see we got it here

and

we have a higher high higher low

and what we can see is

this move

that led to

the swing point being broken from

here created

a valid order block

which can be refined on a lower time

frame we have entries within here

which probably would have led to a

little bit of profit

because price did come in lower which

looking at this from my experience is

probably

if we're looking at refining this on a

15 minute it's probably somewhere just

you know guessing

probably half of the hourly candle

or even

you know three quarters

and you can see that's what

more than likely that's what price

come lower for

to actually mitigate that

refined ob and the the fair value gap

okay i'm not of course taking liquidity

from that low as well

okay so

that's why price done that but then if

we're looking at this we have

a higher high because we did pull back

and

a higher low we do break

we pull back we come into the last up

close candle and we break structure

again

but remember it's so important on how it

breaks and what is price breaking into

in this example we can see prices

breaking into

you know demand and an unmitigated

demand zone

with liquidity at that low as well

so with that said once price broke

structure we can still look for entries

here

definitely and we can

you know getting involved in entries

here we can target

this you know it's very

obvious we can target this unmitigated

demand zone

okay and then we you know targets would

have been met price reacted we broke

structure

which is um

you know is substructure we've broken

and then price mitigates that down

candle

and really we have the exact same thing

here so if we're looking at this as a

break of structure

if we're looking at the last down close

candle refined to this candle

although we do tap into it

we don't fully mitigate and then

price reacts but this is why price come

lower

because it mitigated you know to the eq

and

well all of it basically

and that's

also taking liquidity from that low and

then pushing up from here

and

we can also see we have

this is definitely news related

but

news is just sort of covering

it's a reason for them to move the

market we have the exact same thing

breaker structure

last down close refined

and we could also refine to the wick

because that is a order block on a lower

time frame

price comes in to mitigate and this is

the move

that

put in

the new higher high

i'm going to say it's here because this

is just a little pullback although it is

a pullback it's not really

you know the swing point for me is the

highest point

so that's the higher higher and we have

the higher low

and

what price does next is

you know again we have

although this is a little pull back it

is still

structure in a way

price breaks it with this candle last up

close candle we mitigate we break

structure again last up close candle we

mitigate these are entries that we can

take and target these lows as you know

the bare minimum

okay but then we can see

our order flow

our bullish order flow comes to an end

and we actually break momentously

we break down and we break below

the most recent higher low

so we have a swing point down here

and we do have a pullback

which is classed as a swing point for me

and

what we also have

is

the last up close candle

which price

barely misses

so you can see it doesn't really come

back into it

this candle here would be an an area on

the 15 minute time frame because of how

the candle is with wicks each side

so we can still look for air areas you

know within here to look for shorts and

then first target being the the swing

point price takes it out

and

we then

just put this on so we broke

bullish order flow

we put in a lower low

and this lower high is confirmed when we

get a new lower low

okay so we've broken that

lower low there

and this is now confirmed as the lower

higher swing point

and we pull back

this is not confirmed yet until we break

the lower low

we do that here

we pull back

and what has price failed to do

it fails to put in a new lower low and

instead pulls off the brake structure

this is also intent for higher prices

and then

where's the most recent um

swing point in this market it's up here

or

it could be here

um because lower low lower higher lower

low

lower higher

lower low yeah so sorry it is here this

move price breaks it and then we have

pull back and we break structure again

so we have another change in

you know our anticipation order flow so

we would then be looking for bullish

price action but if we get into this bit

of price here

what we can see is we have the a bullish

candle

which would be that one

which price doesn't come back into

and

we then

break structure

and we have

this as our

last up close candle

which again we don't really come back

into

but we do there is entries on a lower

time frame because this is just a little

range

so we can look for entries um

which would have been you know a little

profit and then price falls to put in a

new lower low

and

instead we then break structure to the

upside

and we pull back

because if we just continue from here

all we can see is we have a high

and

we have

a low here we pull back we range around

we break structure again

it's high high

and

lowest point higher low we break

structure and again we have a news which

just

basically fueled price to come down to

mitigate and then it

basically once price mitigated to the eq

it can then actually move up

okay

so we can see

although we have a counter trend candle

the swing point would be up here

and

that higher low would then be there

we with

you know a little inside bar within that

and then we do we get some liquidity

building

so what we can see

from this bit here we have equal highs

sweep of equals

and you can see we swept it there only

slightly but we

we did sweep the equal highs and took

liquidity

okay so

higher higher higher low

that's not a confirmed higher higher

and then

price does range

build liquidity

breaks down which this move down here is

definitely

a sub

break of structure because we are within

the swing points but we can still look

for

entries within that

brake structure

but bearing in mind we would be having

this marked out as equal highs so we are

anticipating that price will manipulate

the highest before selling off okay

so

if we continue

this move down we break structure

and

this you know it's quite messy

and we do basically come down this is

the lowest point

and we don't really we just wick

the um

most recent swing point and higher low

we wick it with that candle there

and

although that this was news price did

come back in to

fill this candle

and i wouldn't necessarily be looking

for entries within that but

you know there is entries you can take

but i'd be looking for something more um

clean and just waiting for a better

price action

so if we continue on we have this bit of

price action here which is within the

swing points so the high

high and higher low which we did wick up

here in this side so we wicked to either

side but we are still within

these swing points but we can still look

for breaks of structure within it

because

you know there's still a lot of

opportunity involved with this

so

this bit of price section here is

something that i took a few months ago

which i did forecast so what we do have

is

we have a break of structure

okay so we put in a higher

now bearing in mind these are

structure breaks within the swing points

as i've just mentioned but we can still

trade it because

you know there is still opportunity

within here so

what we can see and i did forecast this

quite a while back

but we have high high high low high high

high low this is the move that broke

structure to put in a new high high

and we do have two areas where we can

look for longs that area

and this candle here

which is the one i took on the 15 minute

time frame

and

this led to a really big trade i think

like 50 plus r

so we got in involved in entries here

and managing on higher time frames to

that

very first target being here but then

you can see

we actually before we broke this high we

ranged around for

four or five hours

and then we

really broke with momentum

which also for me is

grabbing more liquidity from these equal

highs because this probably didn't shake

out enough sort of stop losses or orders

and that's why price

pushed up

um

quite momentously

and yeah that was the bit of price i

wanted to go through um

talking on you know anticipation order

flow

and

understanding that the reason why i

don't

call it expectational order flow i know

i did mention this already is because

expecting something to happen is the

wrong mindset especially in training

because once you start to expect

something

more times than not it's not going to

play out how you you know expected but

if you anticipate and react

i think you'll be more a lot more at

ease with

you know what the markets do

and if it plays out in your favor then

it's great but if it doesn't you're not

sort of hurt and thinking

uh but i expected that to happen so why

didn't it happen you just sort of more

you're more at peace with it and you

just react to the market

so i think

it's really important to anticipate

react and not predict or expect