All language subtitles for 25-01-2023kvajidhuaytg6r56r5r56

Is the counteroffensive delayed or will there
be no counteroffensive at all?

Let's look into it.

After I noted in past videos that the AFU
has the ability to launch an active counteroffensive

at at least 3 bridgeheads, a logical question
began to arise: "Why do they delay?"

After the phenomenal liberation of Kharkiv
and the expulsion of the occupants from the

right-bank Kherson region, people wanted more
action, but there was none.

First of all, I will note that the counteroffensive
did not stop for a day, because it is not

only the aforementioned action, but also the
phases of preparation, the formation of conditions.

Destruction of ammunition and fuel and lubricants
depots, destruction of equipment and repair

bases, command and control centers, headquarters,
air defense bases, Battalion tactical group

blown up in Makiivka - all this is a counterattack
that does not stop for a day.

And when all the conditions are created, we
will be able to observe with you the active

phase - the very action.

And up to this phase, taking into account
various factors, usually several months have

passed since the previous breakthrough.

The current situation is fully consistent
with this phase - preparation.

In any case, it is better for the General
Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to know

in which direction and when exactly to move
from the phase of creating conditions, to

the active phase.

But there is one very interesting point about
our realities.

The fact is that last year I said that at
least one bridgehead by the end of 2022 could

see a significant advance by the AFU.

But it would seem that under sufficiently
formed conditions it did not happen.

Yes, it is possible to allow for the factor
of lack of prolonged severe frosts.

It does play a role in that area.

But... looking through the last packages of
military aid from international partners,

you know what I see?

No, I don't just see lists of equipment, weapons,
ammunition, and other things.

I see a complete full complement of assault
battalion-tactical group.

And not one.

So, have patience and watch.

And meanwhile the occupiers have reflexions
in Crimea...

Or convulsions.

First of all, there is an accumulation of
military equipment, especially near the administrative

border with mainland Ukraine, as well as the
removal from storage of a large amount of

old Soviet equipment.

In total, up to 20 Battalion tactical groups
are now concentrated in the Medvedivka-Dzhankoy-Armiansk

triangle.

But, this mass looks more like an accumulation
of resources for defense than a capacity to

support the southern grouping as part of some
kind of offensive.

In other words, all this reflexion is caused
by the occupiers' preparations for the defense

of Crimea, not for a large-scale breakthrough
to Zaporizhzhia.

On the other hand, the territory of Crimea
continues to be used as a transit logistical

hub for sending logistical support to the
southern bridgehead, but with the intensification

of hostilities, it is unlikely that the logistical
artery through the Crimean bridge will be

able to fully support the occupants in the
South.

It is obvious that the enemy does not have
enough forces and means to conduct active

combat operations, with an offensive along
the broad southern front, and those that are

concentrated have a depletion period of up
to 2 weeks, after which...

After which the gates to the Crimea will be
opened in through mode.