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A new full-scale offensive by Russian troops...

Over the past few days, everyone has been talking about a new offensive by Russian troops in one

form or another, from one direction or another, in one quantity or another. At the same time,

preparations for a new wave of mobilization are in full swing in Russia, which will be nothing but

a continuation of what began back in September - a continuation of the general mobilization.

Well, it sounds very threatening. Apparently, you have to figure out what’s going on.

But to figure it out, you have to start from a distance. Since September 2022.

In September, Russia began so-called partial mobilization, under which 300,000 people were

drafted, and the next four months were a record month of losses for the Russian troops. Over

the course of 4 months, 47,000 were liquidated and 94,000 were injured, using a conservative ratio of

2:1. The total losses can be rounded to 150,000, which must be replaced by another 150,000.

In other words, within 120 days, the occupiers have nearly completely exhausted the resources

of their fall mobilization, since each unit losing effectiveness must be compensated for.

The question arises, when will the resource for the September mobilization reach the figure zero?

Judging by the growing losses, by late February, early March this biomass will be virtually gone.

That is, in January and February they need to mobilize new cannon

fodder in the amount of at least 50 thousand monthly. And not only that.

In order to implement the plan of a protracted war,

this number should be much larger in monthly terms, and for a new,

large-scale offensive operation and even exceed the mobilization of 150-200 thousand per month.

We have seen from the example of the previous mobilization that all

this unprofessional and low-quality mass slowed

down the actions of the Ukrainian army rather than blocking them. Otherwise,

they did not bring any achievements, if not to speak about the records of their own losses.

But the main question... They hardly provided anything for the cannon fodder of the first wave,

and what will provide the subsequent waves with? Mosin rifles made in 1892 ? Already

been there, nothing new. "Armored fist" consisting of such junk as T-55 and T-34?

Artillery? Where to get shells. Will each mobilized man be given a "Wagner sledgehammer"?

Consequently, the AFU will simply need more weapons and ammunition to eliminate

more occupiers. This is exactly what will happen if the Russian command

wants to use the resource of this all obscenity for a new offensive.

The plans of the Russian military-political leadership will, in one way or another,

confront the harsh reality of the mobilization potential.

Specifically, the lack of it within the Russian army,

as well as the Ukrainian military's determination in eliminating version 2.0 of the meat resource.