Original subtitles

Belarus is moving military equipment to the border with NATO!

Ukraine is preparing for invasion from Belarus !

I read such headlines and understand that we need to understand what is really going

on there and what to expect from another dictator neighbor?

Although, it is quite obvious that the answer is obvious.

But to dispel fears, at least in the short term, let's conduct a little analysis of what

is happening and what can happen.

So, Lukashenko, as part of a sudden inspection of combat readiness, decided to redeploy the

103rd Brigade of Special Operations Forces to the Brest region.

In addition, the 7th engineer regiment began to equip the crossing of the river Berezina.

Do they prepare an invasion!

Not across the Berezina River, that's for sure.

That river begins and ends in the territory of Belarus, so we cross it out.

All these movements have alarmed those who persistently continue not to observe the main

thing, namely, not what senseless reflexions the Belarusian army is making, but whether

or not a meaningful formation of a strike force is taking place on its territory.

And no formation is taking place.

Today 5 Battalion tactical groups of the Belarusian army are concentrated near the border with

Ukraine.

The most interesting thing is that back in November 6 Battalion tactical groups were

deployed on the border with Ukraine.

Moreover, if we return to the 103rd Brigade of Special Operations Forces, which for some

reason are persistently frightened in the information flow, we should pay attention

to their staffing.

Let's look at the reports: 10 armored personnel carriers, three self-propelled mortars, 25

trucks and some other stuff...

Well and actually that's all.

To put it mildly, it doesn’t look much like a full-fledged Battalion tactical group.

With such «armada» you can, of course, try to get, but it will end before the first artillery

raid.

In February and March, the Russian group was much stronger and it was cut up like a god

turtle.

Those who do not remember, then destroyed were 80 kilometers caravans.

As for the rest, the formation of a strike group on other locations in Belarus is not

recorded.

Let me explain that a full-fledged strike group for the seizure of a region and a regional

center in Ukraine is not less than 40 Battalion tactical groups concentrated in the location

of the border breakthrough.

That is all the present circus is nothing more than another farce for constraining the

AFU resources at the borders with Belarus.

But it is certainly not suitable for the occupation of the Ukrainian Lutsk, about which they will

break all their teeth.

It is a diversionary action, on the one hand - designed to show Putin that we will also

attack, just give me more money.

On the other hand - since you are dealing with the lunatics, who do not know what will

come to mind - the Ukrainian command has to keep reserves in this direction, and they

are so much needed now in the Donbass and in the south.

Therefore, I ask everyone to sleep as peacefully as possible and realize that we should not

expect any invasion from the territory of Belarus in the next few days.

All the more so when there are people in Ukraine to take care of these little buggers.