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Hey everybody. Welcome back to
another installment of the
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Currency Pros course. Now today
we're talking about imbalance.
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Okay this is going to be a
brief video. There's not too
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much to talk about but it's
definitely an important aspect
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to our trading strategy that we
need to cover and have a firm
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understanding of. So as you can
see in front of me here I have
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the Currency Pros e-book pulled
up. And the reason for that is
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I already have a a very good
description and lesson about
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imbalance here. So what I'd
like to do is just read through
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what I've written in the Ebook.
And then after we've covered I
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want to go through some real
life chart examples okay so you
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guys can see it in action. So
let's get started. One of the
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main criteria we look for when
identifying an order block or
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refined supply and demand zone
is imbalance okay. So just to
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clarify this is not something
imbalance is not something that
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we trade solely. It's not any
sort of entry criteria. As you
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all know by now we trade order
blocks or as some call it just
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refined supply and demand
zones. Um Now, imbalance and a
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few other things as well which
we'll go over in future videos
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simply acts as confluence to
build a case behind whether or
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not our order block is valid or
potentially invalid, okay? So,
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excuse me. So, imbalance is
when an order block is
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responsible for creating such
impulsive volume in the market
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that it throws off the
equilibrium between buyers and
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sellers forming a gap, okay?
So, to understand imbalance,
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you have to understand how the
market moves. Now, with the
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Forex market specially there is
a constant equilibrium or at
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least the goal to have a
constant equilibrium between
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buyers and sellers okay so even
in this example here you can
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see all of these small candles
here it's very efficient price
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action okay we have selling
momentum buying momentum
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selling momentum buying
momentum and everything gets
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covered here it's very
efficient balanced price action
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okay but as soon as we see huge
full body candles it create an
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imbalance in the market as you
can see here in the diagram
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okay it creates a gap we have
one there and we have one here
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too this massive full body
candles they represent that for
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a certain period of time let's
take this one for example for a
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certain period of time only
buyers were in control there is
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no equilibrium between buyers
and sellers there's no give and
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take there's only give okay so
that creates inefficiency and
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imbalance in the market alright
so as I say here this is
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referred to as imbalance or
inefficient price action short
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form IPA which some people like
to use now these gaps act as a
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magnet for price to retrace to
in order to correct the
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disturbance in market
equilibrium okay that's a very
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important point to take note of
so we don't trade based off of
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these but we use it as
confluence because as I place
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in the diagram here below we
have a lower time frame order
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block maybe not visible on this
time frame but a refined lower
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time frame order block is in
this area right up here okay
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now we've set entry parameters
you know we're we're expecting
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we're anticipating price to
trade higher towards our lower
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time frame order block and then
go short from there based on
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our analysis right now what
adds confluence to the fact
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that price is going to head
towards that lower time frame
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order block is the fact that we
have imbalance or inefficiency
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in this area okay because price
is drawn towards this like a
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magnet in order to correct the
inefficiencies okay there has
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to be balance there has to be
equilibrium in the market so
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whenever this this happens it's
very highly likely that price
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is going to travel towards that
area okay so when we were down
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here and we located this order
block up here and then spotted
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inefficiency or imbalance here
we can say to ourselves okay
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it's very likely price is
going to travel towards that
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order block where we can then
look for a short opportunity
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okay let's head over to the
next page because there's two
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pages in the in the Ebook that
cover imbalance So let's go
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over what I wrote here. So as
you can see we aren't trading
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based on the imbalance zone
itself. But rather using it as
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confluence to strengthen our
decision to target an entry
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from an order block okay? An
order block that acted as the
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point of origin for such a
disruption in price is
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considered a higher probability
entry point okay now let me let
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me quickly cover that so
there's order blocks all over
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the place right this is where a
lot of people get confused with
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order block strategies or
refined supply and demand
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because they see them all over
the place and many of them are
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valid right but some have a
higher probability than that of
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working out than others do and
one of the things that
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increases the probability of
success is the fact that that
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order block was responsible for
one a break of structure that
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we've gone over in previous
videos of course so a break in
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market structure but the second
main confluence is that it
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actually created an imbalance
it created a gap in price
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action okay that's very
important because like I said
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it acts as a as a it it turns
price into like a heat seeking
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missile basically once it seek
out that imbalance and correct
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it and then from that point on
once the imbalance slash
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inefficiency is corrected then
price can you and do what it
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was intending to do in the
first place okay so another
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point here is when it comes to
imbalance or efficiency
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inefficiency zones there's no
telling when they will be
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filled okay so it could happen
within a couple minutes it
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could happen in a couple hours
sometimes it could take a week
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or a month or more it depends
on the time frame you're
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trading on most importantly but
there's really no telling when
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it's going to get filled but we
know certainly that they will
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fill when the time is right
okay now this is why we don't
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attempt to trade them on their
own it's an important tool to
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keep in your arsenal when
analyzing the markets okay so
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like I said it's not something
we base our entries off of it's
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something we build our case off
of okay so we we find an order
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block we have to check off some
boxes right did it break
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structure did it create
imbalance is price approaching
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it correctively or there's a
bunch of boxes that we need to
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check right so this is just
another one of those boxes and
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it's another tool that we can
keep in our arsenal alright so
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as you can see here price
traveled towards that imbalance
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zone filled it right around
here so it corrected that
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imbalance and because it
already did that right it it
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completed its mission then it
also mitigated the lower time
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frame order block that we had
up here once that mitigation
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was performed and the imbalance
was corrected you see how price
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just melts away in the
direction that it was intending
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on taking right and that's how
we can take advantage of in the
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market. We use it as confluence
to strengthen our order block
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and we take our entries from
the order block, right? So now
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that we've gone over those two
pages in the Ebook in a little
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further detail, what I'd like
to do is head over to the
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charts and go over a few
examples here that weren't in
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the eBook so you can see it
more practically, okay? So,
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we're currently on Australian
dollar, US dollar on the
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one-hour time frame. Now, I'm
not going to use the replay
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tool and you know, set trade
parameters and all that kind of
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stuff. This video is more so
about being able to train your
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eyes to spot these things in
the market. You need to be able
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to spot the imbalance until it
it becomes second nature to you
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okay? So there's a few things I
can see right off the bat. Now
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I didn't cherry pick these. I'm
just looking at the chart in
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front of me. And I see plenty
of imbalance but there's a few
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that I'd like to go over that
are really good examples. So
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let's start from here okay we
have a clear order block there
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clear order block right here
this candle here it created
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significant imbalance because
look at all that volume that
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pushed into the market right
after that small buy candle it
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created a lot of imbalance I'm
going to mark this out shortly
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and it eventually broke
substructure and you know this
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this order block here it led to
this whole move right which
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broke more substructure more
structure more it was
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responsible for for a lot of
disruption in the market okay
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so let's just quickly highlight
that order block
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Let's just label it. One hour
OB. Okay. Now I'm going to use
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the Fibonacci tool to highlight
the imbalance here. Okay. This
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right here is the imbalance.
You know what? Let me hide the
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auto block for one second just
so you can more clearly see the
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imbalance. So let me explain to
you why this is imbalance. I
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set the Fibonacci tool right at
the lowest point of that last
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buy candle before the
destructive move and the bottom
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of the Fibonacci tool. Keep in
mind we don't trade based on
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Fibonacci. I simply use the
tool to map things out. So the
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bottom of the Fibonacci tool is
set at the highest point of the
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next candle following this full
body candle. Okay so here's the
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thing price was trading high
created a minor low went up a
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little bit failed to break that
dropped very impulsively and
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once it did drop kind of
bottomed out here traded a
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little bit higher created that
that minor high right there and
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then dropped off again from
there so you see how we made a
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low point here and a high point
here right everything in
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between oops everything in
between that is imbalance or
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inefficiency okay that's
inefficient price action
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because there was no
equilibrium between buyers and
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sellers now if price created
this huge candle and then this
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candle here had enough momentum
to continue higher and higher
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and higher until it reached at
least this mark here then there
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would simply be no imbalance in
the market that would be very
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efficient price action okay
there would be no gap anymore
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but that's not what What
happened is we we kind of
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topped out here and then
started dropping off once more.
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So that leaves imbalance in the
market and we know that at some
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point price is going to have to
correct this imbalance. Now
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Let me delete that for a
second. I'm going to bring back
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the 1 hour order block so this
is the order block we would be
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targeting this for a short
position right hypothetically
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I'm not going to get too deep
into you know positions here
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but theoretically we'd be
targeting this one hour order
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block for a short position
because there's bearish order
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flow it broke structure to the
downside multiple times this is
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the order block okay now the
imbalance is here
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imbalance right in that zone
right there so we know that
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even though price is trading so
much lower we know that at some
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point theoretically it should
come back to fill that
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imbalance okay it starts to
right around here obviously
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we're we're moving up very
correctively towards that zone
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start to fill it here but then
we make one last push fills the
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imbalance completely and what
do you know it reacts very
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nicely to our one hour order
block right it taps into the
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one hour order block from from
that point on we start trading
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lower now if you were in a
short position this would
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obviously present a good amount
of profit and of course we have
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we would have lower time frame
order blocks within that wick
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as well price comes back up
mitigates anything within that
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wick and then really melts from
there okay so this is just a
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good example of how we can
utilize the knowledge of
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inefficient price action or
imbalance to to build a case
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behind our bias okay so we have
a short bias here but the
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confluence we can add up to to
go with our short bias the more
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confident we can be in our
overall trade. Okay? Now even
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even within this bullish leg
here leading up to that point
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we have imbalances there as
well okay so Let me actually
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quickly use the replay tool
because this might be a better
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visual.
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Okay so you know what? Let me
take it back a little bit
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further to right here.
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Okay so price reacted to
something here probably far to
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the left on a higher time frame
reacted to a demand level there
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started trading higher hasn't
broken any structure yet
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obviously we kind of topped out
here created supply headed back
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down created a low and then
very impulsively took off to
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the upside didn't break
structure just yet with that
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00:14:09,908 --> 00:14:14,068
candle but shortly after it did
break structure right there so
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this is the important part
where we have to locate our
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imbalance okay Because we broke
structure. Right? BOS breakup
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00:14:24,968 --> 00:14:29,728
structure. What was responsible
for that breakup structure?
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00:14:29,728 --> 00:14:33,248
Well this order block was
responsible for that that was
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00:14:33,248 --> 00:14:37,768
the last low volume point of
interest sorry that was the
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00:14:37,768 --> 00:14:41,008
last it was the point of origin
for this break of structure it
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was the last low volume candle
prior to the volume disrupting
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the market and breaking
structure right like I've said
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in previous videos doesn't
matter if it's bullish or
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bearish what matters is that
it's the low volume candle so
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rather than setting our order
block to this huge bearish
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candle we can refine it down to
the small bullish candle
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doesn't matter if it's bullish
or bearish okay so this is our
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order block again let's label
one hour OB, one hour order
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block. Now this order block is
even more valid than another
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order block would be because it
actually created imbalance. Now
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I hope you can spot the
imbalance based on what we went
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over up here. The imbalance is
we just move this away for a
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second. It's the gap between
this wick and this wick. Okay.
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Now, there wouldn't be an
imbalance if this wick right
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here was able to trade down far
enough and connect with this or
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go past it but that's not what
happened. There was a gap in
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price. So, only buyers were in
control, right? There's a gap
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in price. There's no
equilibrium. There's no balance
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between buyers and sellers
creating an imbalance, alright?
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Let's put our order block back
there.
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Okay so we know that we have a
valid order block here it broke
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structure okay and we have
imbalance here as well so that
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creates a higher probability
scenario that this order block
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will be mitigated and continue
bullish order flow from that
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point on okay so we could
certainly look at placing a
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long position here and that's
exactly what happens price taps
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into the auto block clears the
or sorry corrects the imbalance
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slash inefficient price action
clears that mitigates the order
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block about 50% of the order
block too which is nice and
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then takes off from there okay
look at that so that would have
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been a beautiful long position
as well and you could even you
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know once you enter a long
position here your targets
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could be set at the 1 hour
order block up here because we
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also have good understanding
that price should reach back to
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that level because of the
imbalance here okay so rather
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than let me just map this out
for you quickly so you
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00:17:02,208 --> 00:17:05,568
understand what I'm talking
about set an entry at the open
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00:17:05,568 --> 00:17:08,608
of the order block for example
stop loss just below now
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00:17:08,608 --> 00:17:11,328
instead of just simply
targeting our profit for the
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00:17:11,328 --> 00:17:15,768
recent highs like this high
here for example or even this
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00:17:15,768 --> 00:17:19,008
high here you know that would
still present a good
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00:17:19,008 --> 00:17:25,808
opportunity 5% to that high you
know just over five and 1/ 2%
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00:17:25,808 --> 00:17:28,728
to that high but we know
there's imbalance here so it's
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00:17:28,728 --> 00:17:31,328
a very likely scenario that
price is going to eventually
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00:17:31,328 --> 00:17:34,368
reach the order block up here
right so we could target that
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00:17:34,368 --> 00:17:37,248
order block at least the the
low of that order block now
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00:17:37,248 --> 00:17:43,168
that changes things into 8. 66
R rather than five R okay and
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00:17:43,168 --> 00:17:45,928
we already saw this previously
but you know it's played out
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00:17:45,928 --> 00:17:52,088
anyways price does reach that
order block okay from there
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00:17:52,088 --> 00:17:55,168
we'd be going short right
because we you know we have a
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00:17:55,168 --> 00:17:58,048
valid block.
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00:17:58,748 --> 00:18:06,888
Stop loss just above. Target
lows. You can target this low.
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00:18:09,428 --> 00:18:12,128
Right? So there's I'm not
going to go through the whole
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00:18:12,128 --> 00:18:15,848
trade. That's not the point of
this. But the point is we can
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00:18:15,848 --> 00:18:19,568
use imbalance and inefficiency.
We can use our knowledge of
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00:18:19,568 --> 00:18:23,968
that to strengthen our bias for
our order blocks okay. Locating
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00:18:23,968 --> 00:18:25,848
order blocks and breaks of
structure. That's a whole
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00:18:25,848 --> 00:18:28,128
different thing. We've gone
over that previously. But
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00:18:28,128 --> 00:18:31,288
imbalance is just another tool
in the shed to use towards
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00:18:31,288 --> 00:18:34,368
strengthening our bias. And you
can see how beautifully that
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00:18:34,368 --> 00:18:37,328
can be utilized right? We can
take advantage of the market in
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00:18:37,328 --> 00:18:40,968
in completely different ways
with complete confidence. By
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00:18:40,968 --> 00:18:44,488
utilizing this knowledge.
Alright so I hope hope you guys
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enjoyed this video. Um I hope
it wasn't too long. I hope I
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00:18:48,208 --> 00:18:51,328
didn't ramble too much but you
know I'm sure there was some
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00:18:51,328 --> 00:18:53,328
really good points that you
guys can take away from this.
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So yeah. We'll talk to you guys
soon. Stay tuned for the next
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one.
26710
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