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Alright, let's talk about
supply and demand. So,
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basically, supply and demand is
how the market moves. When
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demand is taking control of the
market, prices trading higher
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and when supply is taking
control of the market, prices
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trading lower and this is
basically how our entire
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economy works really. Uh we
could use the housing market as
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an example when when there's a
lot of demand for buyers in the
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housing market but there's not
enough supply, that's typically
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when housing prices rise and
vice versa if there's a ton of
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00:00:38,408 --> 00:00:41,368
supply in the market but
nobody's really buying then
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supply takes control and that's
when prices usually take a dive
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right so it's a very basic
concept it's really present in
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our everyday lives even as
simple as something as going to
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the grocery store supply and
demand is is in everything that
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we pay for it's how the world
works basically so let's take a
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look at how it affects us with
our trading and how we can use
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it to our advantage in
incongruence with everything
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else we're learning within this
video especially market
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structure and things like that.
So let's dive into it. I have a
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few notes here that I'd like to
go over before we start talking
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about the actual price chart in
front of me. So again supply
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and demand zones are the
consolidation phase before the
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impulsive phase in price. So
most of you may already know
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this but let's let's go over it
anyway. So the consolidation
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phase is when price is moving
sideways. Not really making
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much progress. Not really going
up or down. A lot of small body
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candles very indecisional in
their nature small wicks to the
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upside and downside just no
directional no directional bias
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overall and the impulsive phase
is when price explodes in one
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direction in this in this case
on GBP USD on the 15 minute
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time frame we've exploded to
the upside okay so knowing that
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supply and demand zones are the
consolidation phase before the
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impulsive phase in price let's
map out one right here with
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current price so looking at
this this bullish leg here
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price made an impulsive phase
came down made a little low
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broke that broke the recent
high here created a new high
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came back down again and then
impulsively took off once again
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so within that price action
there we have a significant
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demand zone that I'm going to
highlight for you guys I'm just
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going to use the rectangle tool
I'm going to explain exactly
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how I'm doing this in one
second. So I'm going to label
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it D for demand. And just
extend it to right a bit. Just
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so we got some room. So after
price impulsively broke through
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this recent high right we have
a high we have a low price
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impulsively made a break of
structure as we learned in the
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previous video about market
structure so we broke that
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structure and made a new high
and then a new low and then
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price impulsively took off
again okay so let's look at the
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next point that I've written
down here the zone can only be
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identified after the impulsive
phase takes place so this is
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our most recent impulsive phase
those three bullish candles
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right there and what that left
behind is this clearly
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identifiable demand zone so
that's why I've highlighted it
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from wick to wick with this
rectangle tool so basically
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it's from where the sorry
consolidation started that very
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top wick of the bearish candle
and then I've dragged my tool
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down all the way to the bottom
wick of the next bearish candle
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because that's the full range
in which price was
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consolidating within okay so
that is our demand zone Now,
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these zones can sometimes be
used for entries but me
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personally with my specific
strategy, these zones are best
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utilized as profit taking areas
for existing trades. We're of
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course going to learn about my
entry techniques in further
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videos because we do have a
much more precise way to enter
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trades than this but this is a
very fundamental lesson and
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it's important that we go over
it. So, we've now identified
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the demand zone and typically
when this happens, price reach
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back to it at some point, okay?
So let's play price forward a
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bit and see if that happens
here. So we're still
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consolidating up here, creating
a new demand zone actually. And
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there we go. So price trades
back into it. So if you really
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wanted to have just nice safe
entries without too much
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precision you could use supply
and demand zones for entries.
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You could for example set a
limit order right at the top of
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the demand zone. Place your
stop loss just below the demand
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zone. In this case that would
be 15 pips. And as far as
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targets go as I mentioned in
the last part here these zones
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are best utilized as profit
taking areas for trades. So you
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can use instead of a demand
zone you can look to your left
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00:05:03,528 --> 00:05:08,208
and find a supply zone and you
can set your target there and
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your trade will automatically
close out once you reach that
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area, right? So, let's look to
the left and see if we can find
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a supply zone, a significant
supply zone that has been
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unmitigated and by unmitigated,
I mean, price has not traded
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back into it just yet, right?
So, when price was back here
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still, This demand zone was
unmitigated. Now, as soon as
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price traded into it, That is
confirmed as a mitigated zone.
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That means it's it's no longer
of interest. It's no longer a
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point of interest. Uh prices
already mitigated it. So we can
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now move forward and
equilibrium has been restored
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in the market between buyers
and sellers right? So again
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let's look to the left and find
an unmitigated supply zone.
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So we have supply in a lot of
areas here right like there's a
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lot of places that that we
could look at but one that
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stands out to me the most is
actually this right here
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going to label it supply the
reason that stands out to me
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the most is because it was
never mitigated you see price
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pushed away impulsively from
that consolidation phase right
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here we pushed away from it
very impulsively and then
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traded back up but didn't quite
reach that zone so this is
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still an unmitigated supply
zone So this could provide a
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great area for taking profit.
So if I just drag that over to
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the right just so we can
visualize it a bit better we
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can then set our target from to
the beginning of that zone
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right now again this is a very
small trade it's only 3. 38
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return usually my trades are
double or triple than that we
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we get much tighter entries
with our entry system but this
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is just an example right so you
have a 15 pips stop loss just
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00:07:03,688 --> 00:07:08,208
over 50 pips of a take profit
target and a 3. 38 risk reward
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ratio As you can see the trade
would have been triggered in
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with very minimal drawdown.
Let's just play it forward. And
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there you go. Would have been a
nice quick and easy profit
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within a very short amount of
time. So it's just a very basic
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concept. Um some people trade
this just on its own to be
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honest. Like I said before we
have a much more precise way of
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doing things. So we're going to
go over that in future videos.
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Um this video is going to be
quite short. So there's really
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not too much to cover because
our entry system is is going to
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go over much more in depth ways
to enter trades. And yeah. So
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let's go over one more example
in a in a bearish market. And
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then we'll move on to the next
video. Alright so let's take a
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look at a bearish example now.
So we're still on GBP USD on
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the 15 minute time frame. And
in most recent price action
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what we can clearly see is this
very impulsive high momentum
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movement to the downside. So
first things first we can mark
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out a break of structure
because we had a a low point
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here that has clearly been
violated. So let's just label
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that on.
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So, now that we've located a
proper break of structure,
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we're looking for a retracement
in order to look for a trade
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entry, right? So, what occurred
directly before this high
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momentum move? Well, there was
a very tight range of
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consolidation just above it,
right? This was the last point
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of supply before price gained
enough bearish momentum to head
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to the downside and break
market structure prompting us
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to look for a pullback and
bearish continuation it. So if
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we use our handy rectangle tool
use the supply template we can
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mark out this consolidation
range as our supply zone okay
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so I'm going to start from the
very top wick of that bullish
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candle because that's where
price first started
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consolidating and started
moving downwards upwards
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downwards upwards downwards in
a very tight range and I'm
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going to drag it to the bottom
of that bullish wick right
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there because that's the lowest
point within the consolidation
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range so it's very simple you
literally just cover the top
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and the bottom of the
consolidation range that is
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your supply and demand zone
right in this case supply so
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drag it to the right just so
it's very visual and like I
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said we had an impulsive
movement now we're going to
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anticipate a pullback into our
supply zone and we'll see what
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happens from there so let's
play price forward Okay so
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we've tapped into our supply
zone. Now again this isn't my
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entry style but let's just put
a risk entry here which is
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basically when you set a limit
order and place your stop loss
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just above so as soon as price
enters that zone you're
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triggered into the trade so 20
pips stop loss much larger than
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I would prefer but this is just
an example of how you can
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utilize this knowledge if the
supply and demand entries is
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what you'd prefer. So we can
target the most recent lows for
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three and a half three and
percent or three point five
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risk reward ratio because down
here that didn't work down here
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we also have a very tight
consolidation range so we do
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have a demand level within that
so if we break out the
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rectangle tool again change the
template to demand we can map
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out our demand zone now just to
keep things a little tighter
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I'm going to go from the bottom
of the wick here which is the
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absolute bottom of the
consolidation and I'm just
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going to take it to the top
wick of this candle here so
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that's a a tighter
consolidation right we don't
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want to I'm not going to extend
it all the way to the top here
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because that would be crazy
we'd have a very poor risk
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toward ratio trade so we're
certainly hoping that price
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makes it down towards the most
recent lows but you know if you
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really wanted to be safe in
this kind of scenario you could
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put your take profit level
right there at the top of the
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demand zone now that again that
be a very poor risk reward
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00:11:20,048 --> 00:11:23,648
ratio in future videos we'll
teach you how to get much much
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tighter entries with a much
tighter stop loss such as like
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00:11:26,888 --> 00:11:29,648
a five pip stop loss or
sometimes even less but just
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for example sake we're going to
have a 20 pip stop loss entry
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at the beginning of the supply
zone or sorry at the lowest
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point of the supply zone and
we're actually going to take
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the take profit at the most
recent low point here okay
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00:11:47,008 --> 00:11:49,348
let's just rein this a little
bit so it doesn't get in the
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00:11:49,348 --> 00:11:54,308
way and let's play Price
Forward. Okay, so the zone is
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00:11:54,308 --> 00:12:00,608
respected. We have another
break of structure to the
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00:12:00,608 --> 00:12:03,088
downside.
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00:12:04,348 --> 00:12:08,448
Which indicates that the
bearish trend is healthy at
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00:12:08,448 --> 00:12:11,928
least for the time being and
headed towards the next level
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00:12:11,928 --> 00:12:14,448
of demand.
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00:12:15,848 --> 00:12:19,748
Another break of structure,
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right because as we went over
in the market structure section
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of this course we're in a
downtrend market right now a
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00:12:30,368 --> 00:12:34,488
bearish market so we need to
see lower lows and lower highs
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00:12:34,488 --> 00:12:40,128
it's a lower low lower high
another lower low lower high
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00:12:40,128 --> 00:12:44,408
price breaks again and creates
a lower low and that new lower
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00:12:44,408 --> 00:12:48,768
low hit the take profit level
as well let's just drag that
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00:12:48,768 --> 00:12:53,828
over yeah there we go So hit
the take profit level. Again
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00:12:53,828 --> 00:12:57,148
not a very good risk reward
ratio. 3. 5% is extremely
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00:12:57,148 --> 00:13:01,948
small. That's not what I'm
aiming for. Um within my entry
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00:13:01,948 --> 00:13:05,148
parameters I have much much
tighter stop losses. I'd
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00:13:05,148 --> 00:13:09,148
probably be targeting the same
area. But with you know more
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00:13:09,148 --> 00:13:12,828
than half of this stop loss
size. Uh so it'd be much
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00:13:12,828 --> 00:13:15,228
smaller and a much better risk
reward. But again we'll go over
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the exact entry types in later
videos. This video is basically
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just to grasp the concept of
supply and demand so you can
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00:13:22,188 --> 00:13:26,228
start mapping it out on your
charts. And in further videos
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00:13:26,228 --> 00:13:29,668
we're going to go over refined
ways to look for supply and
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00:13:29,668 --> 00:13:34,508
demand and also better entry
systems to do with supply and
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00:13:34,508 --> 00:13:36,788
demand as well so let's
continue to put play price
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00:13:36,788 --> 00:13:39,828
forward I want to see what
happens here with it okay so we
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00:13:39,828 --> 00:13:43,268
go much much further much
further down so technically we
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00:13:43,268 --> 00:13:46,428
could have targeted another
demand zone probably on a
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00:13:46,428 --> 00:13:49,388
higher time frame it would be
more visible to the left but
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00:13:49,388 --> 00:13:53,908
that's completely okay for this
example and as we're going on
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00:13:53,908 --> 00:13:58,068
the way down here we can see
that there's more supply zones
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00:13:58,068 --> 00:14:02,028
being created because remember
supply is when bearish momentum
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00:14:02,028 --> 00:14:07,028
is in control right prices head
to the downside so we have many
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00:14:07,028 --> 00:14:12,268
supply areas created on the way
down
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00:14:13,308 --> 00:14:18,088
Got another one here. Right,
supplies being created, created
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00:14:18,088 --> 00:14:21,568
all over the place. Let's keep
playing price forward and see
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what happens.
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Okay, we start trading higher.
Slight reaction to this supply
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zone right here but not
significant enough.
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Okay so right here this is a
very interesting very
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interesting zone right here. So
I'm going to place this supply
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zone back on the chart.
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And this is another great
example of supply zone
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mitigation because price was
just moving along and then it
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tapped into that supply zone
and started to drop off from
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there so again if we go through
this exercise one more time
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even if we just use a limit
order at the beginning of the
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00:15:11,948 --> 00:15:16,388
supply zone stop loss just
above
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00:15:17,108 --> 00:15:20,728
even if we wanted to just
target the recent lows for
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another 3. 25% to add to the 3
1/ 2% over here we could easily
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do that and is it respected
let's see yes it sure is
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alright so there's a few good
examples of how to utilize
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these supply and demand zones
and it's within the supply and
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00:15:40,728 --> 00:15:44,568
demand zones that we actually
further refine and get much
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much more accurate precise very
tight entries with tight stop
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00:15:49,268 --> 00:15:53,748
losses and massive risk reward.
So with the with these sort of
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00:15:53,748 --> 00:15:57,828
trades they should be anywhere
from 10 to 20 like a one to
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00:15:57,828 --> 00:16:01,428
10one to twenty risk reward
ratio. So this is just an
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example to go over the basics
and I hope you guys got a good
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understanding of it. Uh supply
and demand is a very important
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concept to grasp and it's the
foundation for things that
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we're going to learn a little
further on within this course.
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So again hope you guys enjoy
this video and stay tuned for
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the next one. I'll talk you
soon.
23085
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