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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:06,228 --> 00:00:09,928 Alright, let's talk about supply and demand. So, 2 00:00:09,928 --> 00:00:13,568 basically, supply and demand is how the market moves. When 3 00:00:13,568 --> 00:00:17,128 demand is taking control of the market, prices trading higher 4 00:00:17,128 --> 00:00:20,048 and when supply is taking control of the market, prices 5 00:00:20,048 --> 00:00:23,008 trading lower and this is basically how our entire 6 00:00:23,008 --> 00:00:25,848 economy works really. Uh we could use the housing market as 7 00:00:25,848 --> 00:00:29,648 an example when when there's a lot of demand for buyers in the 8 00:00:29,648 --> 00:00:33,208 housing market but there's not enough supply, that's typically 9 00:00:33,208 --> 00:00:38,408 when housing prices rise and vice versa if there's a ton of 10 00:00:38,408 --> 00:00:41,368 supply in the market but nobody's really buying then 11 00:00:41,368 --> 00:00:44,408 supply takes control and that's when prices usually take a dive 12 00:00:44,408 --> 00:00:47,088 right so it's a very basic concept it's really present in 13 00:00:47,088 --> 00:00:49,928 our everyday lives even as simple as something as going to 14 00:00:49,928 --> 00:00:53,408 the grocery store supply and demand is is in everything that 15 00:00:53,408 --> 00:00:57,648 we pay for it's how the world works basically so let's take a 16 00:00:57,648 --> 00:01:01,088 look at how it affects us with our trading and how we can use 17 00:01:01,088 --> 00:01:04,608 it to our advantage in incongruence with everything 18 00:01:04,608 --> 00:01:07,228 else we're learning within this video especially market 19 00:01:07,228 --> 00:01:10,628 structure and things like that. So let's dive into it. I have a 20 00:01:10,628 --> 00:01:13,148 few notes here that I'd like to go over before we start talking 21 00:01:13,148 --> 00:01:16,548 about the actual price chart in front of me. So again supply 22 00:01:16,548 --> 00:01:20,028 and demand zones are the consolidation phase before the 23 00:01:20,028 --> 00:01:24,268 impulsive phase in price. So most of you may already know 24 00:01:24,268 --> 00:01:27,628 this but let's let's go over it anyway. So the consolidation 25 00:01:27,628 --> 00:01:32,308 phase is when price is moving sideways. Not really making 26 00:01:32,308 --> 00:01:36,268 much progress. Not really going up or down. A lot of small body 27 00:01:36,268 --> 00:01:40,668 candles very indecisional in their nature small wicks to the 28 00:01:40,668 --> 00:01:44,188 upside and downside just no directional no directional bias 29 00:01:44,188 --> 00:01:48,388 overall and the impulsive phase is when price explodes in one 30 00:01:48,388 --> 00:01:51,908 direction in this in this case on GBP USD on the 15 minute 31 00:01:51,908 --> 00:01:56,828 time frame we've exploded to the upside okay so knowing that 32 00:01:56,828 --> 00:01:59,828 supply and demand zones are the consolidation phase before the 33 00:01:59,828 --> 00:02:04,308 impulsive phase in price let's map out one right here with 34 00:02:04,308 --> 00:02:09,868 current price so looking at this this bullish leg here 35 00:02:09,868 --> 00:02:14,008 price made an impulsive phase came down made a little low 36 00:02:14,008 --> 00:02:18,368 broke that broke the recent high here created a new high 37 00:02:18,368 --> 00:02:21,968 came back down again and then impulsively took off once again 38 00:02:21,968 --> 00:02:25,328 so within that price action there we have a significant 39 00:02:25,328 --> 00:02:29,708 demand zone that I'm going to highlight for you guys I'm just 40 00:02:29,708 --> 00:02:34,128 going to use the rectangle tool I'm going to explain exactly 41 00:02:34,128 --> 00:02:36,888 how I'm doing this in one second. So I'm going to label 42 00:02:36,888 --> 00:02:41,208 it D for demand. And just extend it to right a bit. Just 43 00:02:41,208 --> 00:02:48,588 so we got some room. So after price impulsively broke through 44 00:02:48,588 --> 00:02:52,668 this recent high right we have a high we have a low price 45 00:02:52,668 --> 00:02:56,148 impulsively made a break of structure as we learned in the 46 00:02:56,148 --> 00:02:58,948 previous video about market structure so we broke that 47 00:02:58,948 --> 00:03:02,668 structure and made a new high and then a new low and then 48 00:03:02,668 --> 00:03:06,588 price impulsively took off again okay so let's look at the 49 00:03:06,588 --> 00:03:09,908 next point that I've written down here the zone can only be 50 00:03:09,908 --> 00:03:13,948 identified after the impulsive phase takes place so this is 51 00:03:13,948 --> 00:03:17,308 our most recent impulsive phase those three bullish candles 52 00:03:17,308 --> 00:03:21,908 right there and what that left behind is this clearly 53 00:03:21,908 --> 00:03:25,788 identifiable demand zone so that's why I've highlighted it 54 00:03:25,788 --> 00:03:29,748 from wick to wick with this rectangle tool so basically 55 00:03:29,748 --> 00:03:33,788 it's from where the sorry consolidation started that very 56 00:03:33,788 --> 00:03:36,868 top wick of the bearish candle and then I've dragged my tool 57 00:03:36,868 --> 00:03:40,188 down all the way to the bottom wick of the next bearish candle 58 00:03:40,188 --> 00:03:42,508 because that's the full range in which price was 59 00:03:42,508 --> 00:03:48,068 consolidating within okay so that is our demand zone Now, 60 00:03:48,068 --> 00:03:50,828 these zones can sometimes be used for entries but me 61 00:03:50,828 --> 00:03:54,228 personally with my specific strategy, these zones are best 62 00:03:54,228 --> 00:03:57,788 utilized as profit taking areas for existing trades. We're of 63 00:03:57,788 --> 00:04:00,748 course going to learn about my entry techniques in further 64 00:04:00,748 --> 00:04:04,428 videos because we do have a much more precise way to enter 65 00:04:04,428 --> 00:04:08,868 trades than this but this is a very fundamental lesson and 66 00:04:08,868 --> 00:04:12,308 it's important that we go over it. So, we've now identified 67 00:04:12,308 --> 00:04:16,928 the demand zone and typically when this happens, price reach 68 00:04:16,928 --> 00:04:21,528 back to it at some point, okay? So let's play price forward a 69 00:04:21,528 --> 00:04:25,288 bit and see if that happens here. So we're still 70 00:04:25,288 --> 00:04:31,768 consolidating up here, creating a new demand zone actually. And 71 00:04:31,768 --> 00:04:35,888 there we go. So price trades back into it. So if you really 72 00:04:35,888 --> 00:04:38,528 wanted to have just nice safe entries without too much 73 00:04:38,528 --> 00:04:41,888 precision you could use supply and demand zones for entries. 74 00:04:41,888 --> 00:04:45,328 You could for example set a limit order right at the top of 75 00:04:45,328 --> 00:04:49,608 the demand zone. Place your stop loss just below the demand 76 00:04:49,608 --> 00:04:53,488 zone. In this case that would be 15 pips. And as far as 77 00:04:53,488 --> 00:04:57,088 targets go as I mentioned in the last part here these zones 78 00:04:57,088 --> 00:05:00,328 are best utilized as profit taking areas for trades. So you 79 00:05:00,328 --> 00:05:03,528 can use instead of a demand zone you can look to your left 80 00:05:03,528 --> 00:05:08,208 and find a supply zone and you can set your target there and 81 00:05:08,208 --> 00:05:10,768 your trade will automatically close out once you reach that 82 00:05:10,768 --> 00:05:15,088 area, right? So, let's look to the left and see if we can find 83 00:05:15,088 --> 00:05:17,848 a supply zone, a significant supply zone that has been 84 00:05:17,848 --> 00:05:21,688 unmitigated and by unmitigated, I mean, price has not traded 85 00:05:21,688 --> 00:05:26,008 back into it just yet, right? So, when price was back here 86 00:05:26,008 --> 00:05:31,328 still, This demand zone was unmitigated. Now, as soon as 87 00:05:31,328 --> 00:05:36,888 price traded into it, That is confirmed as a mitigated zone. 88 00:05:36,888 --> 00:05:40,208 That means it's it's no longer of interest. It's no longer a 89 00:05:40,208 --> 00:05:43,888 point of interest. Uh prices already mitigated it. So we can 90 00:05:43,888 --> 00:05:47,368 now move forward and equilibrium has been restored 91 00:05:47,368 --> 00:05:51,928 in the market between buyers and sellers right? So again 92 00:05:51,928 --> 00:05:57,168 let's look to the left and find an unmitigated supply zone. 93 00:05:59,168 --> 00:06:02,588 So we have supply in a lot of areas here right like there's a 94 00:06:02,588 --> 00:06:05,228 lot of places that that we could look at but one that 95 00:06:05,228 --> 00:06:10,628 stands out to me the most is actually this right here 96 00:06:10,628 --> 00:06:13,748 going to label it supply the reason that stands out to me 97 00:06:13,748 --> 00:06:17,548 the most is because it was never mitigated you see price 98 00:06:17,548 --> 00:06:20,948 pushed away impulsively from that consolidation phase right 99 00:06:20,948 --> 00:06:25,108 here we pushed away from it very impulsively and then 100 00:06:25,108 --> 00:06:28,708 traded back up but didn't quite reach that zone so this is 101 00:06:28,708 --> 00:06:34,268 still an unmitigated supply zone So this could provide a 102 00:06:34,268 --> 00:06:39,128 great area for taking profit. So if I just drag that over to 103 00:06:39,128 --> 00:06:41,808 the right just so we can visualize it a bit better we 104 00:06:41,808 --> 00:06:46,128 can then set our target from to the beginning of that zone 105 00:06:46,128 --> 00:06:51,048 right now again this is a very small trade it's only 3. 38 106 00:06:51,048 --> 00:06:55,768 return usually my trades are double or triple than that we 107 00:06:55,768 --> 00:06:59,688 we get much tighter entries with our entry system but this 108 00:06:59,688 --> 00:07:03,688 is just an example right so you have a 15 pips stop loss just 109 00:07:03,688 --> 00:07:08,208 over 50 pips of a take profit target and a 3. 38 risk reward 110 00:07:08,208 --> 00:07:12,108 ratio As you can see the trade would have been triggered in 111 00:07:12,108 --> 00:07:17,468 with very minimal drawdown. Let's just play it forward. And 112 00:07:17,468 --> 00:07:20,708 there you go. Would have been a nice quick and easy profit 113 00:07:20,708 --> 00:07:23,828 within a very short amount of time. So it's just a very basic 114 00:07:23,828 --> 00:07:27,188 concept. Um some people trade this just on its own to be 115 00:07:27,188 --> 00:07:30,428 honest. Like I said before we have a much more precise way of 116 00:07:30,428 --> 00:07:33,068 doing things. So we're going to go over that in future videos. 117 00:07:33,068 --> 00:07:37,188 Um this video is going to be quite short. So there's really 118 00:07:37,188 --> 00:07:41,428 not too much to cover because our entry system is is going to 119 00:07:41,428 --> 00:07:45,888 go over much more in depth ways to enter trades. And yeah. So 120 00:07:45,888 --> 00:07:49,928 let's go over one more example in a in a bearish market. And 121 00:07:49,928 --> 00:07:52,728 then we'll move on to the next video. Alright so let's take a 122 00:07:52,728 --> 00:07:56,248 look at a bearish example now. So we're still on GBP USD on 123 00:07:56,248 --> 00:07:59,888 the 15 minute time frame. And in most recent price action 124 00:07:59,888 --> 00:08:04,008 what we can clearly see is this very impulsive high momentum 125 00:08:04,008 --> 00:08:08,248 movement to the downside. So first things first we can mark 126 00:08:08,248 --> 00:08:11,888 out a break of structure because we had a a low point 127 00:08:11,888 --> 00:08:15,328 here that has clearly been violated. So let's just label 128 00:08:15,328 --> 00:08:17,928 that on. 129 00:08:19,768 --> 00:08:23,108 So, now that we've located a proper break of structure, 130 00:08:23,108 --> 00:08:26,948 we're looking for a retracement in order to look for a trade 131 00:08:26,948 --> 00:08:31,748 entry, right? So, what occurred directly before this high 132 00:08:31,748 --> 00:08:35,428 momentum move? Well, there was a very tight range of 133 00:08:35,428 --> 00:08:38,828 consolidation just above it, right? This was the last point 134 00:08:38,828 --> 00:08:42,748 of supply before price gained enough bearish momentum to head 135 00:08:42,748 --> 00:08:45,948 to the downside and break market structure prompting us 136 00:08:45,948 --> 00:08:51,588 to look for a pullback and bearish continuation it. So if 137 00:08:51,588 --> 00:08:57,508 we use our handy rectangle tool use the supply template we can 138 00:08:57,508 --> 00:09:00,588 mark out this consolidation range as our supply zone okay 139 00:09:00,588 --> 00:09:03,828 so I'm going to start from the very top wick of that bullish 140 00:09:03,828 --> 00:09:06,348 candle because that's where price first started 141 00:09:06,348 --> 00:09:09,628 consolidating and started moving downwards upwards 142 00:09:09,628 --> 00:09:12,348 downwards upwards downwards in a very tight range and I'm 143 00:09:12,348 --> 00:09:15,548 going to drag it to the bottom of that bullish wick right 144 00:09:15,548 --> 00:09:18,228 there because that's the lowest point within the consolidation 145 00:09:18,228 --> 00:09:20,748 range so it's very simple you literally just cover the top 146 00:09:20,748 --> 00:09:23,308 and the bottom of the consolidation range that is 147 00:09:23,308 --> 00:09:27,308 your supply and demand zone right in this case supply so 148 00:09:27,308 --> 00:09:31,268 drag it to the right just so it's very visual and like I 149 00:09:31,268 --> 00:09:33,388 said we had an impulsive movement now we're going to 150 00:09:33,388 --> 00:09:37,308 anticipate a pullback into our supply zone and we'll see what 151 00:09:37,308 --> 00:09:41,488 happens from there so let's play price forward Okay so 152 00:09:41,488 --> 00:09:47,588 we've tapped into our supply zone. Now again this isn't my 153 00:09:47,588 --> 00:09:50,668 entry style but let's just put a risk entry here which is 154 00:09:50,668 --> 00:09:55,028 basically when you set a limit order and place your stop loss 155 00:09:55,028 --> 00:09:58,468 just above so as soon as price enters that zone you're 156 00:09:58,468 --> 00:10:04,148 triggered into the trade so 20 pips stop loss much larger than 157 00:10:04,148 --> 00:10:06,668 I would prefer but this is just an example of how you can 158 00:10:06,668 --> 00:10:11,068 utilize this knowledge if the supply and demand entries is 159 00:10:11,068 --> 00:10:16,028 what you'd prefer. So we can target the most recent lows for 160 00:10:16,028 --> 00:10:19,868 three and a half three and percent or three point five 161 00:10:19,868 --> 00:10:27,488 risk reward ratio because down here that didn't work down here 162 00:10:27,488 --> 00:10:30,848 we also have a very tight consolidation range so we do 163 00:10:30,848 --> 00:10:34,968 have a demand level within that so if we break out the 164 00:10:34,968 --> 00:10:39,728 rectangle tool again change the template to demand we can map 165 00:10:39,728 --> 00:10:45,448 out our demand zone now just to keep things a little tighter 166 00:10:45,448 --> 00:10:47,488 I'm going to go from the bottom of the wick here which is the 167 00:10:47,488 --> 00:10:50,688 absolute bottom of the consolidation and I'm just 168 00:10:50,688 --> 00:10:55,688 going to take it to the top wick of this candle here so 169 00:10:55,688 --> 00:10:58,168 that's a a tighter consolidation right we don't 170 00:10:58,168 --> 00:11:01,328 want to I'm not going to extend it all the way to the top here 171 00:11:01,328 --> 00:11:03,448 because that would be crazy we'd have a very poor risk 172 00:11:03,448 --> 00:11:06,608 toward ratio trade so we're certainly hoping that price 173 00:11:06,608 --> 00:11:11,088 makes it down towards the most recent lows but you know if you 174 00:11:11,088 --> 00:11:13,528 really wanted to be safe in this kind of scenario you could 175 00:11:13,528 --> 00:11:16,688 put your take profit level right there at the top of the 176 00:11:16,688 --> 00:11:20,048 demand zone now that again that be a very poor risk reward 177 00:11:20,048 --> 00:11:23,648 ratio in future videos we'll teach you how to get much much 178 00:11:23,648 --> 00:11:26,888 tighter entries with a much tighter stop loss such as like 179 00:11:26,888 --> 00:11:29,648 a five pip stop loss or sometimes even less but just 180 00:11:29,648 --> 00:11:35,528 for example sake we're going to have a 20 pip stop loss entry 181 00:11:35,528 --> 00:11:38,648 at the beginning of the supply zone or sorry at the lowest 182 00:11:38,648 --> 00:11:41,248 point of the supply zone and we're actually going to take 183 00:11:41,248 --> 00:11:47,008 the take profit at the most recent low point here okay 184 00:11:47,008 --> 00:11:49,348 let's just rein this a little bit so it doesn't get in the 185 00:11:49,348 --> 00:11:54,308 way and let's play Price Forward. Okay, so the zone is 186 00:11:54,308 --> 00:12:00,608 respected. We have another break of structure to the 187 00:12:00,608 --> 00:12:03,088 downside. 188 00:12:04,348 --> 00:12:08,448 Which indicates that the bearish trend is healthy at 189 00:12:08,448 --> 00:12:11,928 least for the time being and headed towards the next level 190 00:12:11,928 --> 00:12:14,448 of demand. 191 00:12:15,848 --> 00:12:19,748 Another break of structure, 192 00:12:21,268 --> 00:12:25,128 right because as we went over in the market structure section 193 00:12:25,128 --> 00:12:30,368 of this course we're in a downtrend market right now a 194 00:12:30,368 --> 00:12:34,488 bearish market so we need to see lower lows and lower highs 195 00:12:34,488 --> 00:12:40,128 it's a lower low lower high another lower low lower high 196 00:12:40,128 --> 00:12:44,408 price breaks again and creates a lower low and that new lower 197 00:12:44,408 --> 00:12:48,768 low hit the take profit level as well let's just drag that 198 00:12:48,768 --> 00:12:53,828 over yeah there we go So hit the take profit level. Again 199 00:12:53,828 --> 00:12:57,148 not a very good risk reward ratio. 3. 5% is extremely 200 00:12:57,148 --> 00:13:01,948 small. That's not what I'm aiming for. Um within my entry 201 00:13:01,948 --> 00:13:05,148 parameters I have much much tighter stop losses. I'd 202 00:13:05,148 --> 00:13:09,148 probably be targeting the same area. But with you know more 203 00:13:09,148 --> 00:13:12,828 than half of this stop loss size. Uh so it'd be much 204 00:13:12,828 --> 00:13:15,228 smaller and a much better risk reward. But again we'll go over 205 00:13:15,228 --> 00:13:19,548 the exact entry types in later videos. This video is basically 206 00:13:19,548 --> 00:13:22,188 just to grasp the concept of supply and demand so you can 207 00:13:22,188 --> 00:13:26,228 start mapping it out on your charts. And in further videos 208 00:13:26,228 --> 00:13:29,668 we're going to go over refined ways to look for supply and 209 00:13:29,668 --> 00:13:34,508 demand and also better entry systems to do with supply and 210 00:13:34,508 --> 00:13:36,788 demand as well so let's continue to put play price 211 00:13:36,788 --> 00:13:39,828 forward I want to see what happens here with it okay so we 212 00:13:39,828 --> 00:13:43,268 go much much further much further down so technically we 213 00:13:43,268 --> 00:13:46,428 could have targeted another demand zone probably on a 214 00:13:46,428 --> 00:13:49,388 higher time frame it would be more visible to the left but 215 00:13:49,388 --> 00:13:53,908 that's completely okay for this example and as we're going on 216 00:13:53,908 --> 00:13:58,068 the way down here we can see that there's more supply zones 217 00:13:58,068 --> 00:14:02,028 being created because remember supply is when bearish momentum 218 00:14:02,028 --> 00:14:07,028 is in control right prices head to the downside so we have many 219 00:14:07,028 --> 00:14:12,268 supply areas created on the way down 220 00:14:13,308 --> 00:14:18,088 Got another one here. Right, supplies being created, created 221 00:14:18,088 --> 00:14:21,568 all over the place. Let's keep playing price forward and see 222 00:14:21,568 --> 00:14:24,128 what happens. 223 00:14:24,928 --> 00:14:31,168 Okay, we start trading higher. Slight reaction to this supply 224 00:14:31,168 --> 00:14:36,088 zone right here but not significant enough. 225 00:14:38,008 --> 00:14:42,668 Okay so right here this is a very interesting very 226 00:14:42,668 --> 00:14:46,188 interesting zone right here. So I'm going to place this supply 227 00:14:46,188 --> 00:14:49,428 zone back on the chart. 228 00:14:52,648 --> 00:14:55,588 And this is another great example of supply zone 229 00:14:55,588 --> 00:15:00,188 mitigation because price was just moving along and then it 230 00:15:00,188 --> 00:15:03,188 tapped into that supply zone and started to drop off from 231 00:15:03,188 --> 00:15:07,308 there so again if we go through this exercise one more time 232 00:15:07,308 --> 00:15:11,948 even if we just use a limit order at the beginning of the 233 00:15:11,948 --> 00:15:16,388 supply zone stop loss just above 234 00:15:17,108 --> 00:15:20,728 even if we wanted to just target the recent lows for 235 00:15:20,728 --> 00:15:27,808 another 3. 25% to add to the 3 1/ 2% over here we could easily 236 00:15:27,808 --> 00:15:33,968 do that and is it respected let's see yes it sure is 237 00:15:33,968 --> 00:15:37,288 alright so there's a few good examples of how to utilize 238 00:15:37,288 --> 00:15:40,728 these supply and demand zones and it's within the supply and 239 00:15:40,728 --> 00:15:44,568 demand zones that we actually further refine and get much 240 00:15:44,568 --> 00:15:49,268 much more accurate precise very tight entries with tight stop 241 00:15:49,268 --> 00:15:53,748 losses and massive risk reward. So with the with these sort of 242 00:15:53,748 --> 00:15:57,828 trades they should be anywhere from 10 to 20 like a one to 243 00:15:57,828 --> 00:16:01,428 10one to twenty risk reward ratio. So this is just an 244 00:16:01,428 --> 00:16:04,708 example to go over the basics and I hope you guys got a good 245 00:16:04,708 --> 00:16:08,068 understanding of it. Uh supply and demand is a very important 246 00:16:08,068 --> 00:16:10,348 concept to grasp and it's the foundation for things that 247 00:16:10,348 --> 00:16:13,668 we're going to learn a little further on within this course. 248 00:16:13,668 --> 00:16:16,628 So again hope you guys enjoy this video and stay tuned for 249 00:16:16,628 --> 00:16:20,048 the next one. I'll talk you soon. 23085

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