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Bakhmut... You can agree or disagree, but in myÂ
opinion it is Bakhmut that will be the Â
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city that will deplete the Russian occupationÂ
forces' supply of artillery ammunition.
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The Russian invaders are so desperately trying to Â
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occupy this city that it seems thatÂ
the entire barrage of fire is there.
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The concentration of artillery in this narrowÂ
direction will have serious consequences for Â
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the Russian troops, namely the depletion of theÂ
warehouses to the level of unusable ammunition, Â
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with all the consequences. As a bonus,Â
the units would be exsanguinated.
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As a result, Russian troops are now hammeringÂ
a nail into their coffin near Bakhmut. Â
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Ineptly, persistent, desperate.
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Next - counting only on their own productionÂ
from the first quarter of 2023. And its own Â
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production is from 1 to 1.5 million artilleryÂ
shots of one or another caliber per year.
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That is, solely counting on its domesticÂ
production Russia can provide an average of Â
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2.5 to 4 thousand shots per day, which isÂ
5 to 9 times less than todayâs potential. Â
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Not forgetting the logisticsÂ
and problematic delivery.
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And this is not to mention the fact that there isÂ
a colossal wear and tear of the already exhausted Â
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resource of the barrels, as well as destroyedÂ
in the artillery duels of the Russian artillery.
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If Bakhmut is not the nail in the coffinÂ
of Russian artillery potential, then what?
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I was asked in November whether the fightingÂ
would cease in winter, to which I replied no. Â
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Because in winter fighting, the one who isÂ
better prepared for winter wins, and the AFUÂ Â
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has been preparing since September, while theÂ
Russian forces have been preparing - as usual.
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And here are the first examples of theÂ
occupation troops preparing for winter...
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So, in Lugansk in recent days there is aÂ
strong frost, and even at severe gusts of wind. Â
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As a result, by the end of this week theÂ
Lugansk Regional Hospital was clogged with Â
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wounded. Only they are not dominated by shrapnelÂ
or bullet wounds, but by frostbite of the limbs.
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Frostbite is now becoming the main causeÂ
of sanitary casualties. And this is just Â
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the beginning of winter, there willÂ
be hellish nights and days ahead, Â
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when the temperature dropsÂ
below 20 degrees Celsius.
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What is interesting is that convicts ofÂ
the Wagner group are kept separately from Â
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the newly mobilized and are sent eitherÂ
to Alchevsk or Novosvetlovka at once.
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In most cases, frostbittenÂ
limbs are simply amputated, Â
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because it is impossible to provide professionalÂ
treatment at the Luhansk regional hospital.
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The winter will be cold, not all ofÂ
them will return to their warm homes. Â
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Or rather, few will return, atÂ
least on their own two feet.
4036
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