Original subtitles

depreciating so therefore AU goes up. This is exactly what

trading of course this is what you want to be looking for.

break even point or take my stop loss for example and these

Of course there's not really something particular that we've

the perfect entry because I understood the fundamental

their COVID situation in Australia it was far superior

you can never be too sure you know price could retrace back

into my strategy for example saw some kind of retracement on

the lower time frame that's exactly why I entered I

What I'm talking about is how I use fundamentals and link that

going to be decreasing in price therefore what can we expect

strengthening compared to the other pairs so what happens

look at if on a weekly time frame on my weekly analysis for

therefore, I'm not understanding where price is

going to be going long term because either it might be

pairs. It's for understanding the long term currency bias. So

diverge a lot as well so all of the inflation stats that might

example I see these pairs I don't understand where price is

divergences are going to be for. It's for picking your

one to 50 trade. Now I'm not actually looking let's not talk

if we look at have a look at my case studies on Instagram. In

exports that's data driven so you need to look at that for

what's been called causing that massive increase in price and

how much longer this will continue for but for that we're

biggest drivers that we've been seeing in the markets recently

I know particularly in this year especially for the pound

need to infer have a look at the general oh one of the main

we look at every single one of these pairs every single one of

trade and economics because if you remember they've got that

divergences between AD USD AD was going up USD was

So yeah guys that's it for this lesson. Um truly take this on.

you're going to be looking for and that's what I want to be

down and then go back up but because of that because I had

course I took partials on the way there because you'd never

When you're when you're looking at your pairs when you're

looked at here but it's kind of a summary of everything that

therefore price is unlikely to come back down and take my

teaching you guys and drilling into literally into your head.

to USD in America of course. Then what I did was when I got

we've learnt throughout this course. So yeah guys take care

You're going to get high probability trades like this

that point their export market was doing very well in terms of

out. At that point in early 2021 I understood that AUD at

are exactly the points that we're going to be looking at.

their vaccination not vaccinations at the time but

understood my fundamental bias so I was aiming for that of

because you understand if my fundamentals are backing it

to technicals. So I understood this for AED USD. I had zero. 8

had some equal highs or something on the higher time

as an institutional figure that I was aiming for. I believe we

call is a PC if you remember got PPI as well so that's for

frame. If I remember this trade correctly we got here for

Now that was a point of interest that I had figured

example and then we got to some weekly order block right here.

inflation for example how much is inflation in that economy so

things what that also leads to is you know looking at

these are going to be the main ones GDP as well how could I

to all of our lessons to so you explore every single aspect but

technical section but if I understand the currency pair

to be appreciating in the next few weeks of course why would I

be the same the interest rate stats might be the same their

appreciate now let's actually think about other pairs as well

about the risk to reward here because that doesn't matter.

fundamentals are very similar. So, if the Euro, so this is why

going so obviously I analyse these because they're my

if you've got a list of pairs that you look at so for me it

has clear fundamental bias. So if I know that AED JPY is going

every single case study that I show I believe it's at least a

that I always look at. JPY, I can't spell. Um you've got to

fundamentals might be either interlinked their data doesn't

actually look at the fundamentals of every single

one but if I don't see a clear fundamental divergence,

the euro and the pound moves very similar because their

not be entering on that? And that's exactly what fundamental

I'm just going to delete all of this AUD JPY is going to

will be Euro USD GBP USD and GBP JPY. These are my main ones

bond purchasing stats might be the same these are things you

favorite pairs and obviously we've explored this in the

once you get all of this data and information if we

understand right here that JPY for all the reasons listed is

So you're already looking at that. Uh other types of fiscal

to all the other programs around the world and that's

parts of our fundamental plan obviously have have a look back

policies as well that's something to look at fiscal

to go up because of reduced asset purchases

especially over the past year and a half who knows how long

to look at is the obviously imports and exports.

better AED blah blah blah JPY what's that it's lower there's

it's got the CPI data it's got inflation it's got interest

purchases when is that going to be reducing when is that

going to have to be looking at the vaccine program that's been

things as well recently is COVID. This is one of the

going to be increasing or whatever it may be import

that's what that's what's been driving the pound up especially

example fiscal policies that's also something that you may

going to be some bits that you actually have to infer what's

because their vaccine program has been far superior compared

going on so of course you have to infer about the asset

comparative table it's like this it's got the GDP on there

rates everything actually have a look at the data compare it

single one of course when it comes to the data as well use

side by side so you'd look at okay which is higher which is

these aspects so just continue them over have a look at every

expecting the Australian dollar to increase in price now let's

take a look at another pair let's just say JPY for example

what if you get other things as well? Like their QE program if

mean? Interest rates go up. Therefore investment into the

as deflationary so what what that means is AED is expected

deflationary conditions so the economy is contracting we're

and the data's improving and everything like that your

AED if you understand let's just say all the stats work out

over time because of these factors therefore it's in

is the inflation increasing or decrease in what we to look at

analysis fundamentally shows that I expect AUD to increase

forget GDP is going to be the most one of the most important

is things like CPI the core CPI as well so one thing that they

that shows that it's going up for example let's just say

example now this may be a move that might happen in the future

to incorporate I'm just thinking about other other

now however this is obviously something that you always need

so it's not going to be happening at any point right

policies so if you know what's going on with the taxes for

Uh the bond market is to do with asset purchases in a way.

So you've got all that for AUD. Um another point that you need

content. What you're trying to do when you're understanding

planned to actually show you guys because it's just going to

start to taper really soon what can you expect less bond asset

that's I'm not sure how much it is at the moment but if they

country also goes up. Therefore AUD is expected to go up. Now

purchases therefore a decreased money supply and also is seen

what does that mean? If you're seeing AUD you've got the data

their version so the RBA, the Royal Bank of Australia.

employment going up interest rates are also about to go up.

They're going to be introducing rate hikes. So what does that

So what does that mean? That means there's a rate hike. So

fundamentals is you're trying to look for that divergence. So

much everything that we've concluded throughout this whole

it's going to be quite a brief one. I haven't got anything

be something that I'll be explaining. But it's pretty

just going to be covering fundamental divergences. So

Yes guys so welcome to the next video. So in this one we're

and I'll see you in the next video.